2010 South Australian state election
| State election major party leaders | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 2006 2010 2014 | |||||
 Labor | |||||
 Liberal | |||||
The 2010 South Australian state election elected members to the 52nd Parliament of South Australia on 20 March 2010. All seats in the House of Assembly or lower house, whose current members were elected at the 2006 election, and half the seats in the Legislative Council or upper house, last filled at the 2002 election, became vacant. Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in the lower house and single transferable vote group voting tickets in the upper house. The election was conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament.
Results
Lower house
| Party | Votes | % | Swing | Seats | Change | |
| Liberal Party of Australia | 408,449 | 41.7 | +7.7 | 18 | +4 | |
| Australian Labor Party | 367,445 | 37.5 | −7.8 | 26 | −2 | |
| SA Greens | 79,536 | 8.1 | +1.6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Family First Party | 52,756 | 5.4 | −0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nationals SA | 10,279 | 1.0 | −1.0 | 0 | −1 | |
| Independent | 46,109 | 4.7 | +3.3 | 3 | –1 | |
| Other | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 980,590 | 47 | ||||
| Australian Labor Party | WIN | 48.4 | −8.4 | 26 | −2 | |
| Liberal Party of Australia | 51.6 | +8.4 | 18 | +4 |
Independents: Bob Such, Geoff Brock, Don Pegler
Seat movement
- Adelaide: Incumbent Jane Lomax-Smith (Labor) lost her seat to Rachel Sanderson (Liberal).[3][4]
- Chaffey: Incumbent Karlene Maywald (National) lost her seat to Tim Whetstone (Liberal).[5][6]
- Mitchell: Incumbent Kris Hanna (Independent) lost his seat to Alan Sibbons (Labor).
- Morialta: Incumbent Lindsay Simmons (Labor) lost her seat to John Gardner (Liberal).[7][8]
- Mount Gambier: Incumbent Rory McEwen (Independent) did not re-contest his seat, Don Pegler (Independent) won the seat.[9]
- Norwood: Incumbent Vini Ciccarello (Labor) lost her seat to Steven Marshall (Liberal).[10]
Upper house
| Party | Votes | % | Swing | Seats Won | Seats Held | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Template:Australian politics/party colours/Liberal| | Liberal Party of Australia | 376,028 | 39.4 | +13.4 | 4 | 7 | –1 |
| Australian Labor Party | 356,548 | 37.3 | +0.7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | |
| SA Greens | 63,461 | 6.6 | +2.3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | |
| Family First Party | 42,003 | 4.4 | –0.6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dignity for Disability | 11,373 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 1 | 1 | +1 | |
| Other | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | –1 | |||
| No Pokies | –20.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||
| Total | 955,469 | 11 | 22 |
Prior to the election, of 22 seats, Labor and the Liberals held eight seats each, Family First and No Pokies held two seats each, and the Greens and Democrat-turned-independent David Winderlich held one seat each. Up for election were five Liberal, four Labor, one Family First, and Winderlich. Labor and the Liberals won four seats each, with one each to Family First and the Greens, with the last spot to Dignity for Disability candidate Kelly Vincent.[13][14][15][16] This gives an upper house composition of eight Labor, seven Liberal, two Greens, two Family First, two independent No Pokies, and one Dignity for Disability.[17]
Template:South Australian Legislative Council
Post-election pendulum
| LABOR SEATS | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Bright | Chloe Fox | ALP | 0.4% |
| Mitchell | Alan Sibbons | ALP | 2.1% |
| Newland | Tom Kenyon | ALP | 2.2% |
| Hartley | Grace Portolesi | ALP | 2.3% |
| Florey | Frances Bedford | ALP | 3.6% |
| Elder | Pat Conlon | ALP | 3.6% |
| Colton | Paul Caica | ALP | 4.0% |
| Mawson | Leon Bignell | ALP | 4.4% |
| Wright | Jennifer Rankine | ALP | 4.6% |
| Ashford | Stephanie Key | ALP | 4.8% |
| Light | Tony Piccolo | ALP | 5.3% |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Little Para | Lee Odenwalder | ALP | 6.7% |
| West Torrens | Tom Koutsantonis | ALP | 6.7% |
| Lee | Michael Wright | ALP | 7.1% |
| Torrens | Robyn Geraghty | ALP | 7.7% |
| Kaurna | John Hill | ALP | 8.6% |
| Safe | |||
| Reynell | Gay Thompson | ALP | 10.4% |
| Enfield | John Rau | ALP | 10.5% |
| Taylor | Leesa Vlahos | ALP | 11.1% |
| Giles | Lyn Breuer | ALP | 11.9% |
| Port Adelaide | Kevin Foley | ALP | 12.8% |
| Croydon | Michael Atkinson | ALP | 14.1% |
| Napier | Michael O'Brien | ALP | 15.8% |
| Cheltenham | Jay Weatherill | ALP | 16.1% |
| Playford | Jack Snelling | ALP | 16.2% |
| Ramsay | Mike Rann | ALP | 18.0% |
| Very safe | |||
| LIBERAL SEATS | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Chaffey | Tim Whetstone | LIB | 3.8% v NAT |
| Morialta | John Gardner | LIB | 4.1% |
| Adelaide | Rachel Sanderson | LIB | 4.2% |
| Norwood | Steven Marshall | LIB | 4.9% |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Stuart | Dan Van Holst Pellekaan | LIB | 7.6% |
| Safe | |||
| Morphett | Duncan McFetridge | LIB | 11.1% |
| Finniss | Michael Pengilly | LIB | 11.2% |
| Davenport | Iain Evans | LIB | 11.8% |
| Unley | David Pisoni | LIB | 12.2% |
| Waite | Martin Hamilton-Smith | LIB | 12.9% |
| Kavel | Mark Goldsworthy | LIB | 15.8% |
| Heysen | Isobel Redmond | LIB | 16.5% |
| Schubert | Ivan Venning | LIB | 17.8% |
| Goyder | Steven Griffiths | LIB | 18.3% |
| Hammond | Adrian Pederick | LIB | 19.0% |
| Very safe | |||
| Bragg | Vickie Chapman | LIB | 21.1% |
| MacKillop | Mitch Williams | LIB | 23.3% |
| Flinders | Peter Treloar | LIB | 26.2% |
| Independents | |||
| Mt Gambier | Don Pegler | IND | 0.4% v LIB |
| Frome | Geoff Brock | IND | 8.2% v LIB |
| Fisher | Bob Such | IND | 16.6% v ALP |
Candidates
Retiring
Liberal
- Graham Gunn, MHA in Stuart. Preselection is former national basketball player Dan Van Holst Pellekaan.
- Liz Penfold, MHA in Flinders. Preselection is Australian Farmers' Federation Grains Council chairman Peter Treloar.
- Robert Lawson, MLC.
- Caroline Schaefer, MLC.
Labor
- Lea Stevens, MHA in Little Para. Preselection is former police officer Lee Odenwalder.
- Trish White, MHA in Taylor. Preselection is former Labor assistant secretary Leesa Vlahos.
Other
- Rory McEwen, Independent MHA in Mount Gambier. Liberal preselection is Mount Gambier Mayor Steve Perryman.
Polling
Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of just under 900 electors, with the 14-18 March 2010 poll consisting of just under 1600 electors. The declared margin of errors are ±3.5 percent and ±2.5 percent respectively.
| Date | Labor Rann |
Liberal Redmond |
|---|---|---|
| 14 – 18 Mar 2010 | 43% | 45% |
| Jan – Mar 2010 | 44% | 41% |
| Oct – Dec 2009 | 48% | 31% |
| Jul – Aug 2009 | 46% | 27% |
| Jan – Mar 2009 | 53% | 24%3 |
| Oct – Dec 2008 | 50% | 26%3 |
| Jul – Sep 2008 | 48% | 30%3 |
| Apr – Jun 2008 | 54% | 27%3 |
| Jan – Mar 2008 | 54% | 24%3 |
| Oct – Dec 2007 | 50% | 25%3 |
| Jul – Sep 2007 | 52% | 26%3 |
| Apr – Jun 2007 | 52% | 21%3 |
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 64% | 14%2 |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 61% | 14%2 |
| Pre 2006 election | 63% | 21%1 |
| Pre 2002 election | 30% | 50%1 |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. 1 Rob Kerin, 2 Iain Evans, 3 Martin Hamilton-Smith | ||
| Dates | Political parties | Two party preferred | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | Lib | Nat | Dem | FFP | Grn | Oth | ALP | Lib | ||
| 2010 Election | 37.5% | 41.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 48.4% | 51.6% | |
| 14 – 18 Mar 2010 | 35.3% | 42.5% | < .5% | < .5% | 3.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 48% | 52% | |
| Jan – Mar 2010 | 36% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 12% | 50% | 50% | |
| Oct – Dec 2009 | 37% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 13% | 53% | 47% | |
| Jul – Aug 2009 | 41% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 56% | 44% | |
| Jan – Mar 2009 | 42% | 34% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 56% | 44% | |
| Oct – Dec 2008 | 39% | 35% | 1% | < .5% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jul – Sep 2008 | 38% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 50% | 50% | |
| Apr – Jun 2008 | 41% | 35% | 1% | < .5% | 2% | 12% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jan – Mar 2008 | 41% | 37% | < .5% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 53% | 47% | |
| Oct – Dec 2007 | 42% | 36% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jul – Sep 2007 | 48% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 59% | 41% | |
| Apr – Jun 2007 | 47% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 57% | 43% | |
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 48% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 61% | 39% | |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 47% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 58% | 42% | |
| 2006 Election | 45.2% | 34% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 56.8% | 43.2% | |
| 15 – 16 Mar 2006 | 46% | 33% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 57% | 43% | |
| Jan – Feb 2006 | 44% | 37% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 54% | 46% | |
| Oct – Dec 2005 | 46% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 56% | 43% | |
| Jul – Sep 2005 | 45% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Apr – Jun 2005 | 46% | 37% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 55% | 45% | |
| Jan – Mar 2005 | 45% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 53% | 47% | |
| Oct – Dec 2004 | 42% | 42% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 49% | 51% | |
| 2002 Election | 36.3% | 40% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 9.7% | 49.1% | 50.9% | |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. | ||||||||||
Date
The last state election was held on 18 March 2006 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday or occurs within the same month as a Commonwealth election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the Government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[18]
The election campaign must run for a minimum of 25 days or a maximum of 55 days, therefore the Governor would need to have issued writs for the election by 23 February 2010 at the latest. Between 7 and 10 days after that date, the electoral roll is closed, which gives voters a final opportunity to enrol or to notify the State Electoral Office of any changes in their place of residence. Candidates wishing to stand for election can nominate between the issue of the writs and no more than 14 days after the close of rolls for a deposit of $450.[19]
The writs were issued 20 February, the electoral roll closed March 2, and candidate nominations closed March 5.
Previous Parliament
- See also: 2006 election pendulum and maps
The centre-left Labor Party, led by Premier Mike Rann, and the centre-right Liberal Party, led by Leader of the Opposition Isobel Redmond, are the two main parties in South Australia. In the 2006 state election, of 47 seats total, Labor won 28 seats, the Liberals won 15 seats and the Nationals, who are not in coalition with the Liberals in South Australia, retained their seat through minister Karlene Maywald (Chaffey). Three seats were retained by independents, minister Rory McEwen (Mount Gambier), Bob Such (Fisher) and Kris Hanna (Mitchell). Smaller parties which held no seats in the lower House but achieved significant votes in 2006 included the SA Greens and the Family First Party.
Former Liberal Premier Rob Kerin resigned in November 2008, which triggered a Frome by-election on 17 January 2009. Independent Geoff Brock won the seat, reducing the Liberals to 14 seats.
In the South Australian Legislative Council, the Labor Party and the Liberal Party held eight seats each, whilst No Pokies and Family First held two seats each. The SA Greens and an ex-Democrat independent held one seat each. Half of the upper house was up for election in 2010, four Labor and five Liberal, one Family First and one ex-Democrat independent.
No Pokies MP Nick Xenophon, re-elected in 2006 until 2014, was replaced by former No Pokies candidate John Darley after Xenophon's resignation to run for the Australian Senate at the 2007 federal election in which he was successful. Former Liberal MP Robert Brokenshire replaced Family First MP Andrew Evans as an MLC in 2008. The last remaining Democrats MP anywhere in Australia, Sandra Kanck, chose to resign before the end of her term, which prompted a party membership ballot to choose a replacement in early 2009. David Winderlich was selected. He resigned from the party in late 2009 to sit in parliament as an independent.
Campaign
Rann opened his campaign by promising a $445 million duplication of the Southern Expressway. This upgrade will allow traffic to flow in both directions and be completed by 2014.[20] The Premier also promises to recruit and train up to 155 specialist maths and science teachers to work in South Australian high schools.[21] In Norwood for his official campaign launch Mr Rann promised 62,600 extra training places and apprenticeships to help meet his pledge of 100,000 extra jobs during the next six years if re-elected.[22]
Redmond said WorkCover's dual roles led to a decrease in accountability and contributed to its budget problems so under a Liberal government WorkCover's insurance and regulatory arms would be split.[23] Redmond also announced, if elected, than 600 businesses would no longer have to pay payroll tax under a plan to lift the threshold to $700,000. She would lift the rate from the current $600,000 threshold to $650,000 from July 1 next year and to $700,000 from July 1, 2012.[24] The Liberals have promised a new 55-bed hospital in Tanunda, to replace the Angaston Hospital which would be demolished and the current Tanunda Hospital transformed into an aged-care facility.[25]
One of the key issues of this state election is that voters now having two different options for the future of the Royal Adelaide Hospital in the city. Labor is proposing a new hospital on the site of the old rail yards at the western end of North Terrace. The Liberals have chosen a rebuilding proposal on the current hospital site.[26] [27]
On Wednesday 24 March 2010, Rann claimed victory after Redmond conceded she could not win enough seats to form a government. Rann Labor was re-elected with a majority government.[28]
See also
- Candidates of the South Australian state election, 2010
- Members of the South Australian House of Assembly, 2010–2014
- Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2010–2014
External links
- 2010 South Australian election: Electoral Commission SA
- 2010 South Australian election: Antony Green - ABC
- 2010 South Australian election guide: The Poll Bludger
- 2010 South Australian election: Adelaide Now
- Liberals confident as South Australia heads to the polls, 7:30 Report, 16 March 2010, Transcript - Video
References
- ^ ABC elections: 2010 SA results
- ^ ABC elections: 2010 SA party totals
- ^ http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/election2010/results.php%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/state-election-2010-the-key-seats/story-fn2sdwup-1225843220167%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/election2010/results.php%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/state-election-2010-the-key-seats/story-fn2sdwup-1225843220167%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/election2010/results.php%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/state-election-2010-the-key-seats/story-fn2sdwup-1225843220167%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ SA 2010 election - Mount Gambier: ABC election results
- ^ http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/election2010/results.php%7C Retrieved 2010-03-20
- ^ ABC elections: 2010 upper house results
- ^ ECSA: 2010 upper house results
- ^ 2010 Legislative Council - Live Results - ABC Elections
- ^ South Australian Election Count Update: ABC elections 24 March 2010
- ^ Parliament House not ready for Kelly: The Advertiser 23 March 2010
- ^ South Australian Legislative Council Update: ABC elections 29 March 2010
- ^ Nation's youngest MP elected in SA: ABC News 8 April 2010
- ^ Australian elections timetable: Australian Parliamentary Library
- ^ State Electoral Office, South Australia (13 February 2006). "Electoral Questions & Answers" (PDF). Retrieved 2007-12-26.
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/southern-expressway-to-be-duplicated-announces-sa-premier-mike-rann/story-fn2sdwup-1225831294904
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/sa-premier-mike-rann-promises-155-more-specialist-maths-and-science-teachers/story-fn2sdwup-1225833385589
- ^ http://www.theaustralian.com.au/politics/state-politics/jobs-pledge-swamped-by-10pc-polling-swing-to-libs/story-e6frgczx-1225835362192
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/libs-to-split-workcover-arms/story-e6frea83-1225833511512
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/payroll-tax-in-liberals-sights/story-fn2sdwup-1225836147700
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/liberals-offer-35-million-for-barossa-hospital/story-fn2sdwup-1225835811808
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/south-australian-liberals-want-to-rebuild-royal-adelaide-hospital/story-fn2sdwup-1225799202800
- ^ http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/in-depth/labor-libs-clash-on-rah-costing-formula/comments-fn2sdwup-1225834053891
- ^ Rann's third-term team to be sworn in: ABC News 25 March 2010
