2019 Manitoba general election
This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. (September 2019) |
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57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019 to elect the 57 members of the 42nd Manitoba Legislature.[1] The incumbent Progressive Conservative government, led by Premier Brian Pallister, was re-elected to a second majority government while the NDP, led by Wab Kinew, retained their position as the official opposition. The NDP gained seats from the Progressive Conservatives and one from the Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, which won the remaining three seats.
Background
Date
Under the Manitoba Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]
However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]
It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]
Electoral boundaries
By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]
Timeline
2016
- May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
- September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
- October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2017
- January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election.
- January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
- June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority.
- June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
- June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues.
- September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
- October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2018
- March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election.
- March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election.[8]
- July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals.
- September 11: Steven Fletcher joins and becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party.
- October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
- December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released.[9]
- December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election.[10]
2019
- May 22: MLA Steven Fletcher resigns as leader of the Manitoba First party.[11]
- August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10th.[12]
- September 10: The election is held.
Legislature summary
Party | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Current | 2019 | +/- | Votes | % | % change | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Brian Pallister | 57 | 40 | 38 | ||||||
New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 57 | 14 | 12 | ||||||
Liberal | Dougald Lamont | 57 | 3 | 4 | ||||||
Green | James Beddome | 43 | – | – | ||||||
Manitoba First | Douglas Petrick | 6 | – | 1 | ||||||
Communist | Darrell Rankin | 5 | – | – | ||||||
Manitoba Forward | Wayne Sturby | 7 | – | |||||||
Independents | 3 | – | 2 | – | ||||||
Vacant | 0 | – | ||||||||
Total | 57 | 57 |
Incumbents not running for reelection
Riding | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee | New MLA | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assiniboia | Steven Fletcher[13] (elected as PC) | ||||
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry) | James Allum[14] | Mark Wasyliw[15] | |||
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station) | Flor Marcelino[16] | ||||
Wolseley | Rob Altemeyer[17] | Lisa Naylor[18] | |||
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame) | Andrew Swan[19] | Malaya Marcelino | |||
Keewatinook | Judy Klassen[20] | Jason Harper |
Candidates by riding
- Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.
Northern Manitoba
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Flin Flon | Theresa Wride | Tom Lindsey | James Lindsay | Saara Murnick | Tom Lindsey | |||||||
Keewatinook | Arnold Flett | Ian Bushie | Jason Harper | Judy Klassen | ||||||||
Swan River | Rick Wowchuk | Shelley Wiggins | David Teffaine | Rick Wowchuk | ||||||||
The Pas-Kameesak | Ron Evans | Amanda Lathlin | Ken Brandt | Ralph McLean | Amanda Lathlin The Pas | |||||||
Thompson | Kelly Bindle | Danielle Adams | Darla Contois | Meagan Jemmett | Kelly Bindle |
Westman/Parkland
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Agassiz | Eileen Clarke | Kelly Legaspi | Hector Swanson | Liz Clayton | Eileen Clarke | |||||||
Turtle Mountain | Doyle Piwniuk | Angie Herrera-Hildebrand | Richard Davies | David M. Neufeld | Doyle Piwniuk Arthur-Virden | |||||||
Brandon East | Len Isleifson | Lonnie Patterson | Kim Longstreet | Len Isleifson | ||||||||
Brandon West | Reg Helwer | Nick Brown | Sunday Frangi | Robert Brown | Reg Helwer | |||||||
Dauphin | Brad Michaleski | Darcy Scheller | Cathy Scofield-Singh | Brad Michaleski | ||||||||
Riding Mountain | Greg Nesbitt | Wayne Chacun | Jordan Fleury | Mary Lowe | Greg Nesbitt | |||||||
Spruce Woods | Cliff Cullen | Justin Shannon | Jennifer Harcus | Gordon Beddome | Cliff Cullen |
Central Manitoba
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Borderland | Josh Guenter | Liz Cronk | Loren Braul | Ken Henry | Cliff Graydon[21] | Cliff Graydon Emerson | ||||||
Interlake-Gimli | Derek Johnson | Sarah Pinsent | Mary Lou Bourgeois | Dwight Harfield | Jeff Wharton‡ Gimli | |||||||
Merged District | ||||||||||||
Derek Johnson Interlake | ||||||||||||
Lakeside | Ralph Eichler | Dan Rugg | Ilsa Regelsky | Ralph Eichler | ||||||||
Midland | Blaine Pedersen | Cindy Friesen | Julia Sisler | Blaine Pedersen | ||||||||
Morden-Winkler | Cameron Friesen | Robin Dalloo | David Mintz | Mike Urichuk | Cameron Friesen | |||||||
Springfield-Ritchot | Ron Schuler | Sam Okoi | Sara Mirwaldt | Garrett Hawgood | Shannon Martin Morris | |||||||
Portage la Prairie | Ian Wishart | Andrew Podolecki | Charles Huband | Ian Wishart |
Eastman
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Dawson Trail | Bob Lagassé | Echo Asher | Robert Rivard | Bob Lagassé | ||||||||
Lac du Bonnet | Wayne Ewasko | Sidney Klassen | Terry Hayward | Wayne Ewasko | ||||||||
La Verendrye | Dennis Smook | Erin McGee | Lorena Mitchell | Dennis Smook | ||||||||
Steinbach | Kelvin Goertzen | Rob Jessup | LeAmber Kensley | Janine Gibson | Kelvin Goertzen | |||||||
Red River North | Jeff Wharton | Chris Pullen | Noel Ngo | Graham Hnatiuk | Jocelyn Burzuik (MF) | Ron Schuler St. Paul | ||||||
Selkirk | Alan Lagimodiere 4,736 |
Mitch Obach 3,319 |
Philip Olcen 480 |
Tony Hill 713 |
Alan Lagimodiere |
Northwest Winnipeg
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Burrows | Jasmine Brar | Diljeet Brar | Sarbjit Singh Gill | Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.) | Cindy Lamoureux‡ | |||||||
Kildonan-River East | Cathy Cox | Elliot Macdonald | Kathryn Braun | Nic Curry Kildonan | ||||||||
Merged District | ||||||||||||
Cathy Cox River East | ||||||||||||
McPhillips | Shannon Martin | Greg McFarlane | John Cacayuran | Jason Smith | Dave Wheeler (MF) | New Riding | ||||||
Point Douglas | Michelle Redmond | Bernadette Smith | Richard Sanderson | Jenn Kess | Fagie Fainman (CPC-M) Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.) |
Bernadette Smith | ||||||
St. Johns | Ray Larkin | Nahanni Fontaine | Eddie Calisto-Tavares | Joshua McNeil | Nahanni Fontaine | |||||||
The Maples | Aman Sandhu | Mintu Sandhu | Amandeep Brar | Kiran Gill | Mohinder Saran | |||||||
Tyndall Park | Daljit Kainth | Ted Marcelino | Cindy Lamoureux | Fleur Mann | Frank Komarniski (CPC-M) | Ted Marcelino |
Northeast Winnipeg
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Concordia | Andrew Frank | Matt Wiebe |
Maria Albo | Matt Wiebe | ||||||||
Elmwood | Mayra Dubon | Jim Maloway |
Regan Wolfrom | Nicolas Geddert | German Lombana (CPC-M) | Jim Maloway | ||||||
Radisson | James Teitsma | Raj Sandhu | Tanya Hansen Pratt | Carlianne Runions | James Teitsma | |||||||
Rossmere | Andrew Micklefield | Andy Regier | Isaiah Oyeleru | Amanda Bazan | Andrew Micklefield | |||||||
St. Boniface | Megan Hoskins | Laurissa Sims | Dougald Lamont | Jaclyn Jeanson | Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.) | Dougald Lamont | ||||||
Transcona | Blair Yakimoski 3,914 |
Nello Altomare 4,029 |
Dylan Bekkering 716 |
Blair Yakimoski |
West Winnipeg
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Assiniboia | Scott Johnston | Joe McKellep | Jeff Anderson | John Delaat | Steven Fletcher | |||||||
Roblin | Myrna Driedger | Sophie Brandt-Murenzi | Michael Bazak | Kevin Nichols | Myrna Driedger Charleswood | |||||||
Kirkfield Park | Scott Fielding | Kurt Morton | Ernie Nathaniel | Dennis Bayomi | Scott Fielding | |||||||
St. James | Michelle Richard | Adrien Sala | Bernd Hohne | Jeff Buhse | Scott Johnston‡ | |||||||
Tuxedo | Heather Stefanson | Carla Compton | Marc Brandson | Kristin Lauhn-Jensen | Abby Al-Sahi (MF) | Heather Stefanson |
Central Winnipeg
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Garry | Nancy Cooke | Mark Wasyliw | Craig Larkins | Casey Fennessy | James Allum Fort Garry-Riverview | |||||||
Fort Rouge | Edna Nabess | Wab Kinew | Cyndy Friesen | James Beddome | Michael McCracken (MF) Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.) |
Wab Kinew | ||||||
Notre Dame | Marsha Street | Malaya Marcelino | Donovan Martin | Martha Jo Willard | Andrew Taylor (CPC-M) Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.) |
Andrew Swan Minto | ||||||
River Heights | Susan Boulter | Jonathan Niemczak | Jon Gerrard | Nathan Zahn | Jon Gerrard | |||||||
Union Station | Tara Fawcett | Uzoma Asagwara | Harold Davis | Andrea Shalay | Elsa Cubas (CPC-M) James Yau (MB Fwd.) |
Flor Marcelino Logan | ||||||
Wolseley | Elizabeth Hildebrand | Lisa Naylor | Shandi Strong | David Nickarz | Eddie Hendrickson | Rob Altemeyer |
South Winnipeg
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Richmond | Sarah Guillemard | George Wong | Tanjit Nagra | Cameron Proulx | Sarah Guillemard | |||||||
Fort Whyte | Brian Pallister | Beatrice Bruske | Darrel Morin | Sara Campbell | Jason Holenski (MF) | Brian Pallister | ||||||
Lagimodière | Andrew Smith | Billie Cross | Jake Sacher | Bob Krul | New Riding | |||||||
Riel | Rochelle Squires | Mike Moyes | Neil Johnston | Roger Schellenberg | Rochelle Squires | |||||||
Seine River | Janice Morley-Lecomte | Durdana Islam | James Bloomfield | Bryanne Lamoureux | Janice Morley-Lecomte | |||||||
Southdale | Audrey Gordon | Karen Myshkowsky | Spencer Duncanson | Katherine Quinton | Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.) | Andrew Smith‡ | ||||||
St. Vital | Colleen Mayer | Jamie Moses | Jeffrey Anderson | Elizabeth Dickson | David Sutherland (MF) Baljeet Sharma |
Colleen Mayer | ||||||
Waverley | Jon Reyes | Dashi Zargani | Fiona Haftani | James Ducas | Jon Reyes St. Norbert |
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 9, 2019 | URL | 43 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 1 |
Research Co. | September 9, 2019 | URL | 44 | 31 | 16 | 7 | 1 |
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2019 | URL | 43.3 | 34.2 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
Research Co. | August 29, 2019 | URL | 46 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 1 |
Probe Research Inc | August 24, 2019 | URL | 40 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2019 | URL | 42.5 | 34.7 | 11.9 | 9.6 | 1.4 |
Converso | August 7, 2019 | URL | 35.0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 |
Probe Research Inc | June 17, 2019 | URL | 42 | 26 | 16 | 14 | 3 |
Probe Research Inc | March 24, 2019 | 42 | 30 | 18 | 7 | ||
Mainstreet Research | March 24, 2019 | URL | 44.8 | 32.1 | 13.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 |
Mainstreet Research | January 16, 2019 | URL | 44.6 | 28.0 | 16.8 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
Probe Research Inc | December 6, 2018 | 44 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 3 | |
Mainstreet Research | November 5, 2018 | URL | 42.3 | 28.7 | 18.1 | 6.0 | 4.9 |
Probe Research Inc | September 28, 2018 | 44 | 25 | 20 | 8 | ||
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | URL | 44.9 | 29.3 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 3.4 |
Probe Research Inc | June 19, 2018 | 42 | 30 | 16 | 11 | ||
Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2018 | URL | 45.6 | 30.2 | 13.0 | 7.8 | |
Probe Research Inc | April 13, 2018 | 44 | 28 | 19 | 8 | ||
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | URL | 39.6 | 36.7 | 13.3 | 10.4 | |
Probe Research Inc | December 14, 2017 | 40 | 26 | 25 | 8 | ||
Probe Research Inc | October 10, 2017 | URL | 36 | 30 | 24 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | June 18, 2017 | URL | 42 | 30 | 20 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | April 7, 2017 | URL | 47 | 23 | 19 | 11 | |
Probe Research Inc | March 28, 2017 | URL | 43 | 27 | 20 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | December 12, 2016 | 49 | 24 | 19 | 8 | ||
Probe Research Inc | September 26, 2016 | 48 | 20 | 26 | 5 | ||
Probe Research Inc | June 16, 2016 | 46 | 27 | 18 | 8 | ||
2016 election | April 19, 2016 | 53.0 | 25.7 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
References
- ^ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
- ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
- ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
- ^ Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
- ^ Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
- ^ "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/rob-altemeyer-quitting-1.4587149
- ^ "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
- ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ [1]
- ^ [2]
- ^ "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
- ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
- ^ "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
- ^ Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
- ^ Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.