New Hampshire Democratic primary, 2016

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New Hampshire Democratic primary, 2016

← 2012 February 9, 2016 (2016-02-09) 2020 →

  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 15 9
Popular vote 152,193 95,355
Percentage 60.14% 37.68%

NewHampshirePrimary2016.svg
New Hampshire results by county
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary took place on February 9. As per tradition, it was the first primary and second nominating contest overall to take place in the cycle. Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the primary by a margin of more than 22% in the popular vote. Sanders claimed 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.[1] It was considered a major upset, as it made Bill Clinton's comeback in 1992 and Hillary Clinton's in 2008.

It occurred on the same day as the Republican one.

Debates and forums[edit]

December 2015 debate in Goffstown[edit]

On December 19, 2015, the Democratic Party held their third debate at St. Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire. Hosted by "World News Tonight" anchor David Muir and Chief Global Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz, it aired on ABC News.[2] Ahead of the debate, WMUR-TV's co-sponsorship had been revoked by the DNC due to a labor dispute. Participants were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley.

The topics covered during the debate included Sanders' campaign's breach of Clinton's campaign data, strategy for defeating ISIS, gun control, the issue of whether to depose President Assad of Syria, if Wall Street favored each candidate, stability in the Middle East enforced by dictators and whether regime change was necessary, and the role of the First Spouse.[3]

February 2016 forum in Derry[edit]

A fifth forum, a Town Hall event, was held on February 3, 2016, in Derry, New Hampshire. It aired on CNN.[4]

Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown[edit]

One of the highlights of the campaign is when the nonrecognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.[5]

Due to the notorious glitter-bombing incident of the previous cycle, Vermin Supreme was pointedly dis-invited,[6] but showed up anyway, and made the national news. Eighteen people showed up: Jon Adams, Eric Elbot, Rocky De La Fuente, Mark Greenstein, Henry Hewes, William McGaughey, Edward O'Donnell, Graham Schwass, Sam Sloan, Edward Sonnino, Michael Steinberg and several others.

February 2016 debate in Durham[edit]

Unlike in previous years, initially only a single authorized debate was scheduled to be held in New Hampshire. Initially planned as an unsanctioned debate, a debate on February 4 in Durham, New Hampshire was however later confirmed by the DNC. Hosted by Chuck Todd and Rachel Maddow, it was broadcast by NBC News. While Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley all confirmed their participation, O'Malley eventually came to suspend his campaign prior to the debate.

Commentators of the debate cited the elevated discourse between the candidates. There was discussion on the death penalty (federal versus state), money in politics, and assessing Iran, North Korea and Russia as threats to national security. Clinton demanded that Sanders explain his "artful smears" of Clinton receiving campaign donations. Sanders responded by critiquing the inherently "quid-pro-quo" nature of Wall Street campaign donations. The exchange between the two candidates was called by Eric Levitz one of the best 10-minute exchanges in the history of American political debates.[7]

Candidates[edit]

Bernie Sanders in Littleton, New Hampshire, on August 24, 2015
Bernie Sanders Campaign Field Office In Nashua, New Hampshire.
Hillary Clinton at the 2016 Democratic primary.

This is a list of the candidates[8] on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.

The following notable candidates have been listed in five major polls and participated in all authorized debates:

The following candidate withdrew from the race prior to New Hampshire, but remains on the ballot:

The following candidates have not been invited to any major debates or listed in national polls, but are notable enough to have Wikipedia articles written about them:

In addition to appearing on the New Hampshire primary ballot, the following candidates are on the primary ballot in one or more other state(s):

  • Steve Burke, former St. Lawrence County Democratic Committee Chair
  • Henry Hewes
  • Michael Steinberg, lawyer, candidate U.S. House of Representatives 2006
  • Star Locke of Texas, rancher
  • James Valentine of Virginia, political philosopher[15][16][17]

The following are not presently listed on the primary ballot in any state(s) other than New Hampshire:[18]

  • Jon Adams of New York
  • Eric Elbot of Massachusetts
  • Bill French of Pennsylvania
  • Mark Stewart Greenstein of Connecticut
  • Brock C. Hutton of Maryland
  • Lloyd Kelso of North Carolina
  • Steven Roy Lipscomb of New Mexico
  • Robert Lovitt of Kentucky
  • William H. McGaughey, Jr. of Minnesota
  • Raymond Michael Moroz of New York
  • Edward T. O'Donnell, Jr.
  • Edward Sonnino
  • Graham Schwass
  • David John Thistle of New Hampshire
  • Richard Lyons Weil of Colorado

Opinion polling[edit]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results February 9, 2016 Bernie Sanders
60.1%
Hillary Clinton
37.7%
Others / Uncommitted
2.2%
American Research Group[19]
Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 408
February 6–7, 2016 Bernie Sanders
53%
Hillary Clinton
41%
Undecided
6%
University of Massachusetts-Lowell/7 News survey[20]
Margin of error: ± 5.38%
Sample size: 428
February 4–6, 2016 Bernie Sanders
57%
Hillary Clinton
40%
Others / Undecided
3%
University of Massachusetts-Lowell/7 News survey[21]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 442
January 29–31, 2016 Bernie Sanders
61%
Hillary Clinton
30%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 6%
CNN/WMUR[22]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 347
January 27–30, 2016 Bernie Sanders
57%
Hillary Clinton
34%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Other, Undecided, or Not Committed 9%
Emerson College[23]

Margin of error ± 5.2%
Sample Size: 350

January 25–26, 2016 Bernie Sanders
52%
Hillary Clinton
44%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Other 1%
American Research Group[24]

Margin of error ± 4%
Sample Size: 396

January 23–25, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
42%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Other 6%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[25]

Margin of error ± 4.9%
Sample Size: 408

January 20–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders
55%
Hillary Clinton
39%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Other 5%
Fox News[26]

Margin of error ± 4.5%
Sample Size: 400

January 18–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
56%
Hillary Clinton
34%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Other 7%
CBS News/YouGov[27]

Margin of error ± 6.2%
Sample Size:

January 18–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
57%
Hillary Clinton
38%
Martin O'Malley
5%
No preference 0%
Suffolk University[28]

Margin of error –
Sample Size: 500

January 17–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
50%
Hillary Clinton
41%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Other/Undecided 7%
American Research Group[29]

Margin of error ± 4%
Sample Size: 600

January 15–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Undecided 5%
Gravis Marketing[30]

Margin of error ± 4.5%
Sample Size: 472

January 15–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders
46%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Undecided 8%
CNN and WMUR[31]

Margin of error ± 4.8%
Sample Size: 420

January 13–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders
60%
Hillary Clinton
33%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 6%
Monmouth University Poll[32]

Margin of error ± 4.8%
Sample Size: 413

January 7–10, 2016 Bernie Sanders
53%
Hillary Clinton
39%
Martin O'Malley
5%
Undecided 3%
Fox News[33]

Margin of error ± 5%
Sample Size: 386

January 4–7, 2016 Bernie Sanders
50%
Hillary Clinton
37%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Other 2%, None of the above 5%, Don't know 3%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425

January 2–7, 2016 Bernie Sanders
50%
Hillary Clinton
46%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
American Research Group[29]

Margin of error ± 4%
Sample Size: 600

December 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Other <0.5%, Undecided 7%
YouGov/CBS News[34]

Margin of error ± 5.7%
Sample Size: 1091

December 14–17, 2015 Bernie Sanders
56%
Hillary Clinton
42%
Martin O'Malley
1%
No preference 1%
Boston Herald[35]

Margin of error ± 4.8%
Sample Size: 410

December 13–17, 2015 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
46%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Undecided 4%
CNN and WMUR[36]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 370

November 30 – December 7, 2015 Bernie Sanders
50%
Hillary Clinton
40%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Someone Else/Not Sure 6%
Public Policy Polling[37]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 458

November 30 – December 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Martin O'Malley
8%
Someone Else/Not Sure 7%
YouGov/CBS News[38]

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 561

November 15–19, 2015 Bernie Sanders
52%
Hillary Clinton
45%
Martin O'Malley 3% Undecided 0%
Fox News[39]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 804

November 15–17, 2015 Bernie Sanders
45%
Hillary Clinton
44%
Martin O'Malley 5% None 1%, Don't Know 5%
Gravis Marketing[40]

Margin of error: ± 6.7%
Sample size: 214

November 11, 2015 Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Unsure 26%
Monmouth University Polling Institute[41]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 403

October 29 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Lawrence Lessig 1%
YouGov/CBS News[42]

Margin of error: ± 7.1%
Sample size: 499

October 15–22, 2015 Bernie Sanders
54%
Hillary Clinton
39%
Martin O'Malley 3% Lincoln Chafee 0%, Lawrence Lessig 0%, No preference 3%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 393

October 16–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton
41%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Joe Biden
11%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lawrence Lessig 0%, Not Sure 7%
Bloomberg/San Anselm Poll[43]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

October 15–18, 2015 Bernie Sanders
41%
Hillary Clinton
36%
Joe Biden
10%
Jim Webb 1%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, Someone Else 1%, None of the Above 2%, Not Sure 8%
Franklin Pierce-Herald[44]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 403

October 14–17, 2015 Bernie Sanders
38%
Hillary Clinton
30%
Joe Biden
19%
Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%
Boston Globe/Suffolk University[45]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

October 14–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
36.8%
Bernie Sanders
35.4%
Joe Biden
11.2%
Jim Webb 2.6%, Martin O'Malley 1.4%, Lincoln Chafee 0.6%, Lawrence Lessig 0.2%, Undecided 11.6%
Gravis Marketing[46]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 373

October 5–6, 2015 Bernie Sanders
32.8%
Hillary Clinton
30.2%
Joe Biden
10.6%
Martin O'Malley 1.5%, Jim Webb 0.7%, Lincoln Chafee 0.8%, Undecided 23.3%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[47]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 404

September 23–30, 2015 Bernie Sanders
42%
Hillary Clinton
28%
Joe Biden
18%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Undecided 9%
Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
39%
Lincoln Chafee 2% Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 9%
UNH/WMUR[48]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 314

September 17–23, 2015 Bernie Sanders
46%
Hillary Clinton
30%
Joe Biden
14%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 1%, Don't Know Yet 6%
MassINC/WBUR/NPR[49]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 404

September 12–15, 2015 Bernie Sanders
35%
Hillary Clinton
31%
Joe Biden
14%
Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Did not know/refused 10%, Some other candidate 4%, Would not vote 2%
Monmouth University[50]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

September 10–13, 2015 Bernie Sanders
43%
Hillary Clinton
36%
Joe Biden
13%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, other 1%, undecided 3%
YouGov/CBS News[51]

Margin of error: ± 7.4%
Sample size: 548

September 3–10, 2015 Bernie Sanders
52%
Hillary Clinton
30%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Jim Webb 0%, No preference 8%
NBC News/Marist Poll[52]

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 356

Published September 6, 2015 Bernie Sanders
41%
Hillary Clinton
32%
Joe Biden
16%
Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee <1%, Undecided 8%
Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
38%
Jim Webb
2%
Lincoln Chafee 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling[53]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 370

August 21–24, 2015 Bernie Sanders
42%
Hillary Clinton
35%
Jim Webb
6%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, Not sure 10%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[54]

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 442

August 7–10, 2015 Bernie Sanders
44%
Hillary Clinton
37%
Joe Biden
9%
Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Lincoln Chafee <1%, Other/Not sure 9%
Gravis Marketing/One
America News[55]

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 475

July 31 – August 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Bernie Sanders
39%
Elizabeth Warren
8%
Joe Biden 6%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%
UNH/WMUR[56]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 276

July 22–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton
42%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Joe Biden
5%
Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 3%, Don't Know Yet 12%
NBC News/Marist[57]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 329

July 14–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
42%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Joe Biden
12%
Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 10%
CNN/WMUR[58]

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 360

June 18–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton
43%
Bernie Sanders
35%
Joe Biden
8%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 2%, Not sure 9%
Bloomberg/Saint Anselm

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

June 19–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
24%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Lincoln Chafee 1%, None of the above 4%, Not sure 12%
Suffolk

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

June 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
41%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Joe Biden
7%
Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 0%, Undecided 15%
Morning Consult

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 279

May 31 – June 8, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Joe Biden
8%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 0%, Don't know/no opinion 11%
Purple Strategies

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

May 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton
62%
Bernie Sanders
18%
Joe Biden
5%
Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 3%, Not sure 8%
UNH/WMUR

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: 229

April 24 – May 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton
51%
Elizabeth Warren
20%
Bernie Sanders
13%
Andrew Cuomo 3%, Joe Biden 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 8%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 369

April 21–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
45%
Elizabeth Warren
24%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Joe Biden 7%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Bill de Blasio 0.4%, Undecided 5%
Hillary Clinton
54%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Joe Biden
10%
Martin O'Malley 5%, Jim Webb 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Bill de Blasio 1%, Undecided 6%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 329

April 9–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton
45%
Elizabeth Warren
23%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Joe Biden 7%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other/Undecided 9%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 417

March 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton
47%
Elizabeth Warren
22%
Joe Biden
10%
Bernie Sanders 8%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb <1%, Other 3%, Unsure 5%
Hillary Clinton
41%
Elizabeth Warren
20%
Al Gore
16%
Joe Biden 7%, Bernie Sanders 6%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Jim Webb <1%, Other 2%, Unsure 6%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 427

March 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton
49%
Elizabeth Warren
20%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Joe Biden 5%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Unsure 10%
NBC News/Marist

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 309

February 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton
69%
Bernie Sanders
13%
Joe Biden
8%
Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Undecided 7%
Purple Strategies

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

January 31 – February 5, 2015 Hillary Clinton
56%
Elizabeth Warren
15%
Joe Biden
8%
Bernie Sanders 8%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Jim Webb 0%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 2%, Not sure 11%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 384

February 2–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton
44%
Elizabeth Warren
25%
Bernie Sanders
13%
Joe Biden 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Unsure 10%
UNH/WMUR

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 297

January 22 – February 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton
58%
Elizabeth Warren
14%
Joe Biden
8%
Bernie Sanders 6%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Someone else 1%, Don't know yet 9%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Purple Insights

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 404

November 12–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton
62%
Elizabeth Warren
13%
Bernie Sanders
6%
Joe Biden 5%, Deval Patrick 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 2%, Not sure 8%
New England College

Margin of error: ± 4.06%
Sample size: 583

October 31 – November 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton
53.1%
Elizabeth Warren
16.8%
Bernie Sanders
7%
Joe Biden 5.8%, Martin O'Malley 2.3%, Deval Patrick 1.4%, Andrew Cuomo 1.2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1.2%, Mark Warner 1.2%, Other 10%
UMass Amherst

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 204

October 10–15, 2014 Hillary Clinton
49%
Elizabeth Warren
16%
Bernie Sanders
11%
Joe Biden 6%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Deval Patrick 3%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Cory Booker <1%, Other 11%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 275

September 29 – October 5, 2014 Hillary Clinton
58%
Elizabeth Warren
18%
Joe Biden
3%
Martin O'Malley 3%, Bernie Sanders 3%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Mark Warner <1%, Other 1%, Undecided 13%
CNN/ORC

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 334

September 8–11, 2014 Hillary Clinton
60%
Elizabeth Warren
11%
Joe Biden
8%
Bernie Sanders 7%, Deval Patrick 4%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 1%, None/No one 2%, No opinion 6%
NBC News/Marist

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 479

July 7–13, 2014 Hillary Clinton
74%
Joe Biden
18%
Undecided 8%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 6.1%
Sample size: 257

June 19 – July 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Elizabeth Warren
8%
Bernie Sanders 5%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 9%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 7.2%
Sample size: 184

April 1–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton
65%
Joe Biden
6%
Andrew Cuomo
4%
Mark Warner 2%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Other 5%, Undecided 18%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample size: 252

January 21–26, 2014 Hillary Clinton
74%
Joe Biden
10%
Andrew Cuomo
2%
Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Brian Schweitzer <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Other 2%, Undecided 10%
Purple Strategies

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 334

January 21–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton
68%
Elizabeth Warren
13%
Joe Biden
6%
Deval Patrick 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 2%, None 1%, Undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 502

January 9–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton
65%
Joe Biden
10%
Elizabeth Warren
8%
Andrew Cuomo 3%, Cory Booker 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone else/Not sure 9%
Joe Biden
32%
Elizabeth Warren
21%
Andrew Cuomo
9%
Cory Booker 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone else/Not sure 26%
Elizabeth Warren
30%
Andrew Cuomo
19%
Cory Booker
9%
Martin O'Malley 5%, Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Brian Schweitzer 2%, Mark Warner 2%, Someone else/Not sure 28%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample size: 252

October 7–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton
64%
Joe Biden
6%
Elizabeth Warren
6%
Andrew Cuomo 2%, Deval Patrick 1%, Evan Bayh <1%, Cory Booker <1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Mark Warner <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, John Hickenlooper 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 18%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 455

September 13–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton
57%
Joe Biden
12%
Elizabeth Warren
11%
Cory Booker 4%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
Joe Biden
36%
Elizabeth Warren
20%
Cory Booker
9%
Andrew Cuomo 7%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone else/Not sure 23%
Elizabeth Warren
33%
Andrew Cuomo
14%
Cory Booker
12%
Kirsten Gillibrand 5%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Mark Warner 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Someone else/Not sure 30%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 7.1%
Sample size: 190

July 18–29, 2013 Hillary Clinton
62%
Joe Biden
8%
Deval Patrick
5%
Cory Booker 2%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Evan Bayh <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand <1%, John Hickenlooper <1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 19%
New England College

Margin of error: ± 5.37%
Sample size: 333

July, 2013 Hillary Clinton
65%
Joe Biden
8%
Jeanne Shaheen
6%
Andrew Cuomo 1.5%, Martin O'Malley 0.6%, Unsure 19%
New England College

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 314

May, 2013 Hillary Clinton
65%
Joe Biden
10%
Elizabeth Warren
5%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Deval Patrick 3%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Unsure 13%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 368

April 19–21, 2013 Hillary Clinton
68%
Joe Biden
12%
Elizabeth Warren
5%
Andrew Cuomo 3%, Deval Patrick 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 9%
Joe Biden
44%
Elizabeth Warren
12%
Andrew Cuomo
9%
Deval Patrick 9%, Kirsten Gillibrand 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 21%
Andrew Cuomo
23%
Elizabeth Warren
22%
Deval Patrick
17%
Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 30%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 7.1%
Sample size: 188

April 4–9, 2013 Hillary Clinton
61%
Joe Biden
7%
Andrew Cuomo
3%
Deval Patrick 3%, Mark Warner 2%, Evan Bayh 1%, Cory Booker 1%, John Hickenlooper 0%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Antonio Villaraigosa 0%, Someone Else 2%, Undecided 22%
WMUR/UNH

Margin of error: ± 7%
Sample size: 201

Jan. 30–Feb. 5, 2013 Hillary Clinton
63%
Joe Biden
10%
Andrew Cuomo
5%
Cory Booker 2%, Evan Bayh 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, John Hickenlooper <1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Antonio Villaraigosa <1%, Mark Warner <1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 16%


Results[edit]

Municipal results of the New Hampshire Democratic primaries, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Not reported[a]
New Hampshire Democratic primary, February 9, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Of total Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 152,193 60.14% 15 1 16
Hillary Clinton 95,355 37.68% 9 6 15
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 667 0.26%
Vermin Supreme 268 0.11%
David John Thistle 226 0.09%
Graham Schwass 143 0.06%
Steve Burke 108 0.04%
Rocky De La Fuente 96 0.04%
John Wolfe, Jr. 54 0.02%
Jon Adams 53 0.02%
Lloyd Thomas Kelso 46 0.02%
Keith Russell Judd 44 0.02%
Eric Elbot 36 0.01%
Star Locke 33 0.01%
William D. French 29 0.01%
Mark Stewart Greenstein 29 0.01%
Edward T. O'Donnell 26 0.01%
James Valentine 24 0.01%
Robert Lovitt 22 0.01%
Michael Steinberg 21 0.01%
William H. McGaughey, Jr. 19 0.01%
Henry Hewes 18 0.01%
Edward Sonnino 17 0.01%
Steven Roy Lipscomb 15 0.01%
Sam Sloan 15 0.01%
Brock C. Hutton 14 0.01%
Raymond Michael Moroz 8 0.00%
Richard Lyons Weil 8 0.00%
Write-ins 3,475 1.37%
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 253,062 100% 24 8 32
Sources: The Green Papers New Hampshire Secretary of State

Results by county[edit]

Sanders won every county.[60]

County Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Belknap 35.7% 3,490 61.3% 5,990
Carroll 36.0% 3,230 63.1% 5,655
Cheshire 29.0% 5,166 70.1% 12,471
Coös 35.0% 2,013 63.2% 3,637
Grafton 32.3% 6,918 66.6% 14,258
Hillsborough 41.3% 28,099 56.7% 38,646
Merrimack 39.8% 12,209 59.0% 18,076
Rockingham 41.6% 22,829 56.7% 31,080
Strafford 35.1% 8,801 63.2% 15,865
Sullivan 29.0% 2,497 68.5% 5,906

Analysis[edit]

Sanders scored a landslide 22-point routing in the New Hampshire primary, thanks to what The New York Times described as a "harness [of] working-class fury"[61] against the so-called "establishment" candidates like Hillary Clinton, in a state known for its rebellious electorate. Sanders' win was propelled by younger voters, whom he won 74-25, men whom he won 67-32, self-identified Independents whom he won 73-25, and white voters whom he won 61-37 and who comprised 91% of the Democratic electorate in the Granite State. According to exit polls, a 53-45 majority of voters thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, while 89% said Sanders was honest. 61% of voters said they were dissatisfied or angry about the federal government. Sanders swept all income levels and educational attainment levels in the Granite State, except those who made more than $200k per year.

Sanders swept all of the major cities, including Nashua, Dover, Concord, and Manchester. Sanders won along the seacoast 59-41, in the Manchester/Nashua area 54-44, in Concord/Ct. Valley 64-35, in the south 59-39, and in the north 65-33.[62]

Sanders' landslide victory was a clear regression for Clinton from 2008, when she had narrowly beaten Barack Obama in the New Hampshire primary thanks to support from populous southern New Hampshire.

References[edit]

Notes
  1. ^ The Associated Press did not report results from municipalities where there were five or fewer registered voters.[59]
Citations
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  2. ^ "Third Democratic Presidential Debate: 9 Moments That Mattered". ABC News. December 19, 2015. Retrieved December 20, 2015. 
  3. ^ Martin, Jonathan; Chozick, Amy (December 19, 2015). "In Democratic Debate, Hillary Clinton's Focus Is on G.O.P." The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 20, 2015. 
  4. ^ Metzler, Rebekah (January 31, 2016). "Dem candidates to attend New Hampshire town hall". CNN. Retrieved January 31, 2016. 
  5. ^ Weigel, David (January 25, 2016). "The existential pleasures of the Lesser Known Candidates presidential debate". The Washington Post. 
  6. ^ "'Lesser-known candidates' to gather for N.H. forum". The Boston Globe. 
  7. ^ "Clinton and Sanders Spar Over Campaign Donations". NYMag. 
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  9. ^ Whittaker, Richard. "Presidential Candidates File in Texas: Clinton and Judd only Dems to file for president in Texas so far - News". The Austin Chronicle. Retrieved December 5, 2015. 
  10. ^ "Candidate Inquiry". Voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015. 
  11. ^ Sutherland, Paige (November 20, 2015). "Fired Up About the "Pony Economy"? Vermin Supreme Just Might Be Your Candidate". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved November 23, 2015. 
  12. ^ Snyder, Brian (November 20, 2015). "U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Vermin Supreme files his declaration of candidacy to appear on the New Hampshire primary election ballot in Concord". Yahoo! News. Reuters. Retrieved November 23, 2015. 
  13. ^ "The Latest: Attorney files to run for Supreme Court post". Times Union. Retrieved November 12, 2015. 
  14. ^ William M. Gardner. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015. 
  15. ^ Federal Election Commission, "Details for Candidate ID : P60017100" (Valentine, James). Retrieved November 8, 2015.
  16. ^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Democrat urging Constitution rewrite files to run for president in Arkansas", Arkansas Online.
  17. ^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Fourth Democrat files to run for president in Arkansas", KATV.
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  20. ^ "UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 6 of 8" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Centre for Public Opinion. February 2016. Retrieved 6 February 2016. 
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