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2016 Serbian parliamentary election

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Serbian parliamentary election, 2016
Serbia
← 2014 24 April 2016 2020 →

All 250 seats in the National Assembly
126 seats needed for a majority
Turnout56.07%
Party Leader % Seats +/–
SNS coalition Vučić 48.25 131
SPSJS Dačić 10.95 29
SRS Šešelj 8.10 22
DJB Radulović 6.02 16
DS coalition Pajtić 6.02 16
DveriDSS Rašković Ivić 5.04 13
SDSLDPLSV Tadić 5.02 13
VMSZVMDP Pásztor 1.50 4
BDZ Zukorlić 0.86 2
SDAS Ugljanin 0.80 2
ZS Čabradi 0.63 1
PDD Sinani 0.43 1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Aleksandar Vučić
SNS
Aleksandar Vučić
SNS

Parliamentary elections were held in Serbia on 24 April 2016.[1] They were originally due to be held by March 2018, but on 17 January 2016 Prime Minister Aleksandar Vučić called for a snap election claiming Serbia "needs four more years of stability so that it is ready to join the European Union". The parliamentary elections were held simultaneously with provincial election in Vojvodina and state-wide local elections.

The total turnout was 56%. Vučić's Serbian Progressive Party-led coalition retained its majority, winning 131 of the 250 seats. In contrast to the 2014 elections, a record-breaking seven non-minority lists passed the 5% threshold. Several parties returned to the National Assembly, including the Serbian Radical Party, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Democratic Party of Serbia, while three parties entered for the first time; the liberal Enough is Enough, the conservative Dveri (in coalition with the Democratic Party of Serbia) and the Green Party (as a Slovak ethnic minority list).

Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government.[3]

Electoral system

The 250 members of the National Assembly are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with a 5% electoral threshold (with the percentages calculated including the invalid and blank votes cast), although the threshold is disregarded for coalitions representing ethnic minorities. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method.[4]

Campaign

In November 2014 Dveri and the Democratic Party of Serbia declared that they would contest the elections as the "Patriotic Bloc" alliance.[5] In January 2015 PULS and SLS also joined the bloc.[6]

On 19 February 2016, the Party of United Pensioners of Serbia (PUPS) decided to leave the coalition with SPS, and sign an agreement with SNS,[7] as did the SDPS.[8]

DS, SDS and the LDP agreed to form a coalition called "Democratic Serbia - DS-LDP-SDS", with Dragoljub Mićunović as the leader.[9] However, on 28 February DS leader Bojan Pajtić said that his party would not join the SDS and the LDP in a pre-election coalition.[10]

Electoral lists

The Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) published an official list of competing parties and coalitions.[11]

Ballot number Ballot name Ballot carrier Note
1 Aleksandar Vučić – Serbia Is Winning
Serbian Progressive Party, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, New Serbia, Serbian Renewal Movement, Movement of Socialists, Strength of Serbia Movement, Independent Democratic Party of Serbia, Serbian People's Party[12]

Aleksandar Vučić
2 For A Just Serbia – Democratic Party
Democratic Party, New Party, Reformist Party, Movement "I live for The Frontier", Democratic Alliance of Croats in Vojvodina, Together for Serbia, Together for Šumadija[13]
File:Bojan Pajtić (2016).png
Bojan Pajtić
3 Ivica Dačić – SPS – JS – Dragan Marković Palma
Socialist Party of Serbia, United Serbia, Greens of Serbia, Communist Party[14]

Ivica Dačić
4 Dr Vojislav Šešelj — Serbian Radical Party
Serbian Radical Party[15]

Vojislav Šešelj
5 Dveri – DSS – Sanda Rašković Ivić – Boško Obradović
Dveri, Democratic Party of Serbia, Serbian Liberal Council, New Serbian Political Thought [16]

Sanda Rašković Ivić
6 Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians — István Pásztor
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians, Democratic Party of Vojvodina Hungarians, Party of Hungarian Unity[17]

István Pásztor
M
7 Boris Tadić, Čedomir Jovanović – Alliance for a Better Serbia – LDP, LSV, SDS
Liberal Democratic Party of Serbia, League of Social Democrats of Vojvodina, Social Democratic Party[18]

Nenad Čanak
8 Muamer Zukorlić – Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak
Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak[19]

Muamer Zukorlić
M
9 Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak – Dr. Sulejman Ugljanin
Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak[19]

Sulejman Ugljanin
M
10 For a Free Serbia – Oathkeepers – Milica Đurđević
Srpski Sabor Zavetnici[20]
Božidar Zečević
11 Citizen's group – For Serb revival – Prof. Dr. Slobodan Komazec
Jovan Deretić
12 Russian Party – Slobodan Nikolić
Russian Party[21]
Slobodan Nikolić
13 Republican Party – Nikola Sandulović
Republican Party[22]
Nikola Sandulović
14 Serbo-Russian Movement – Slobodan Dimitrijević
East Alternative, Serbian League, Serbian Fatherland Front, Veterans Movement, Hungarian League[23]

Dragan Todorović
15 Borko Stefanović – Serbia for all of us
Serbian Left, Movement for Reversal, Social Democratic Union, New Pensioners Association[24]

Borko Stefanović
16 Dialogue – Youth with a stance – Stanko Debeljaković[25] Stanko Debeljaković
17 It's enough – Restart - Saša Radulović[26]
Saša Radulović
18 Party for Democratic Action – Ardita Sinani
Party for Democratic Action[27]
Ardita Sinani M
19 Green Party
Green Party[28]
Goran Čabradi M
20 Out of Spite – United for Serbia – National Alliance
Third Serbia, National Network[28]
Vladan Glišić

MNational minority list

Opinion polls

Most opinion polls predicted that the SNS was going to fare around 50%, while their partners in the ruling coalition SPS were stable at above 10%. Serbian Radical Party, strengthened by the return of their leader Vojislav Šešelj from the Hague Tribunal, seemed the only party certain to make it to the Parliament with the support of 6–8% polled, while all other major lists undulated around the 5% threshold.

Results

Party Votes % Seats +/–
Serbia is Winning (SNSSDPSPUPSNSSPOPSPSS–NDSS–SNP) 1,823,147 48.25 131 –39
SPSJSZSKP 413,770 10.95 29 –4
Serbian Radical Party 306,052 8.10 22 +22
Enough is Enough 227,626 6.02 16 +16
For a Just Serbia (DSNSRSDSHVZZSZZŠ) 227,589 6.02 16 –5
DveriDSS 190,530 5.04 13 +13
Alliance for a Better Serbia (LDPLSVSDS) 189,564 5.02 13 –2
VMSZVMDP 56,620 1.50 4 –2
Serbia for All of Us (PLS–PZP–NUPS–SDU) 35,710 0.94 0 New
Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak 32,526 0.86 2 +2
Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak 30,092 0.80 2 –1
For A Free Serbia – Oathkeepers 27,690 0.73 0 New
Green Party 23,890 0.63 1 New
Out of spite – United for Serbia – National Alliance 17,528 0.46 0 New
Party for Democratic Action 16,262 0.43 1 –1
Russian Party 13,777 0.36 0 0
Citizen's Group – For Serb Revival 13,260 0.35 0 New
Serbo-Russian Movement 10,016 0.27 0 New
Dialogue – Youth with a Stance 7,744 0.20 0 New
Republican Party 4,522 0.12 0 New
Invalid/blank votes 111,008 2.86
Total 3,778,923 100 250 0
Registered voters/turnout 6,739,441 56.07
Source: B92

  SNSSDPSPUPSNSSPOPSSNP  (131)
  SPSJSZSKP  (29)
  SRS  (22)
  DJB   (16)
  DSNovaZZSZZŠ   (16)
  DveriDSS  (13)
  SDSLDPLSV  (13)

Aftermath

After the polls closed, it soon became clear that the Serbian Progressive Party would maintain its absolute majority in the Assembly, albeit with a smaller number of MPs, and that their partners, the Socialist Party of Serbia, would maintain their standing. However, the Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) and organizations monitoring the election (such as CeSID) were cautious about the results of most other lists, as they hovered around the 5% threshold. For a while, it looked as if all seven main contestants would pass the threshold, but as the Commission published the final results on Thursday 28 April, the DSS-Dveri coalition ended up a single vote short. Tensions ran high, as the participants started to accuse each other and the Commission of fraud.[30][31] Still, there were additional 18,000 votes to share, as voting had to be repeated at 15 polling stations due to irregularities.[32] In the re-run held on 4 May, DSS–Dveri comfortably won the required number of votes and ended up with 5.03% of the electorate.[30] The Electoral Commission pronounced the final results of the election on Thursday 5 May.

Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government, hinting that he will "certainly not form a government with someone who can't wait to stab him in the back."[3]

Notes

  1. ^
    Based on 890 respondents aged 18 years (first-time voters).
  2. ^
    If the parties were to run in coalition: (mid–Dec 2015)
  3. ^
    DveriDSS coalition 7.8.[33] (1–7 Oct 2015)
  4. ^
    If the parties were to run in coalition: (24 Sep–4 Oct 2015)
  5. ^
    Ipsos Strategic Marketing poll for International Republican Institute (IRI).[34]
  6. ^
    Between 13–15 if in coalition with JS and PUPS.[35] (26–30 Aug 2015)
  7. ^
    If in coalition:[36] (24–30 Jul 2015)
  8. ^
    Based on 800 respondents aged 18–25 years.
  9. ^
    Percentages would be higher if undecided voters were excluded.
    • SPSJSPUPS coalition 8.5. (24–30 Jan 2015)

References

  1. ^ "Nikolić raspisao izbore: Želim da pobedi SNS". B92. 4 March 2016.
  2. ^ a b "Vučić najavio formiranje vlade u junu". 25 April 2016.
  3. ^ a b "Vucic says he won't form government with "backstabbers"". B92. 29 April 2016.
  4. ^ Electoral system IPU
  5. ^ DSS i Dveri formirali patriotski blok RTS, 18 November 2014
  6. ^ Uz DSS i Dveri sada i PULS i SLS Blic, 30 January 2015
  7. ^ Pensioner party leaves coalition with Socialists B92, 19 February 2016
  8. ^ SNS IDE NA IZBORE SA SDPS Blic, 25 January 2016
  9. ^ Dogovor opozicije - na izbore na jednoj listi B92, 27 Feb 2016
  10. ^ Opposition parties won't form single list for elections B92, 29 Feb 2016
  11. ^ "Изборне листе" (in Serbian). RIK. 5 March 2016. Retrieved 5 March 2016.
  12. ^ Proglašena prva lista Mondo/Tanjug, 06.03.2016
  13. ^ Proglašena lista "Za pravednu Srbiju" - Demokratska stranka Blic, 06.03.2016
  14. ^ Koalicija oko SPS predala RIK-u izbornu listu B92, 08.03.2016
  15. ^ Četvrti na glasačkom listiću Kurir, 10.03.2016
  16. ^ RIK proglasila izbornu listu DSS-a i Dveri N1, 11.03.2016
  17. ^ RIK proglasio izbornu listu SVM - I. Pastor RTV, 12.03.2016
  18. ^ Proglašena lista koalicije LDP-LSV-SDS Blic, 14.03.2016
  19. ^ a b Proglašene još tri liste, prošao i Ugljanin Mondo, 18.03.2016
  20. ^ Proglašena izborna lista Za Slobodnu Srbiju - Zavetnici Večernje Novosti, 28.03.2016
  21. ^ RIK proglasio Izbornu listu Ruska stranka B92, 05.04.2016
  22. ^ RIK proglasio izbornu listu Republikanska stranka B92, 06.04.2016
  23. ^ Proglašena lista Srpsko ruski pokret B92, 07.04.2016
  24. ^ Borislav Stefanović i Janko Veselinović na zajedničkoj listi RTS, 16.03.2016
  25. ^ Proglašena i lista "Dijalog" Mondo, 09.04.2016
  26. ^ RIK: Proglašeno 18 izbornih lista B92, 09.04.2016
  27. ^ PDD, jedina manjinska partija Albanaca na izborima B92, 12.04.2016
  28. ^ a b RIK proglasio 21. listu, odbačena "Tolerancija" B92, 12.04.2016
  29. ^ "DESNICA JAČA IZ DANA U DAN Radikali, Dveri i DSS prešišali DS". Informer. 26 May 2015.
  30. ^ a b Saša Dragojlo (5 May 2016). "Serbian Right-Wingers Win Seats in Poll Re-Run". Balkan Insight.
  31. ^ "IGRA ŽIVACA: DSS-Dveri ispod cenzusa za JEDAN GLAS". Blic. 29 April 2016. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |trans_title= ignored (|trans-title= suggested) (help)
  32. ^ "18.000 BIRAČA PONOVO NA GLASANJE Poništeni izbori na ukupno 15 biračkih mesta, neizvesna sudbina dve liste". Blic. 27 April 2016.
  33. ^ "Za SNS 48,1 za DVERI - 7,8 odsto". Svedok. 3 November 2015.
  34. ^ "I LDP prelazi cenzus?". Danas. 6 September 2015.
  35. ^ "Faktor plus: Građani podržavaju Vučića i pomoć izbeglicama". N1. 31 August 2015.
  36. ^ "Faktor plus: SNS iznad 50 odsto". Novosti. 1 August 2015.