2016 Serbian parliamentary election
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All 250 seats in the National Assembly 126 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 56.07% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
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Parliamentary elections were held in Serbia on 24 April 2016.[1] They were originally due to be held by March 2018, but on 17 January 2016 Prime Minister Aleksandar Vučić called for a snap election claiming Serbia "needs four more years of stability so that it is ready to join the European Union". The parliamentary elections were held simultaneously with provincial election in Vojvodina and state-wide local elections.
The total turnout was 56%. Vučić's Serbian Progressive Party-led coalition retained its majority, winning 131 of the 250 seats. In contrast to the 2014 elections, a record-breaking seven non-minority lists passed the 5% threshold. Several parties returned to the National Assembly, including the Serbian Radical Party, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Democratic Party of Serbia, while three parties entered for the first time; the liberal Enough is Enough, the conservative Dveri (in coalition with the Democratic Party of Serbia) and the Green Party (as a Slovak ethnic minority list).
Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government.[3]
Electoral system
The 250 members of the National Assembly are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency with a 5% electoral threshold (with the percentages calculated including the invalid and blank votes cast), although the threshold is disregarded for coalitions representing ethnic minorities. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method.[4]
Campaign
In November 2014 Dveri and the Democratic Party of Serbia declared that they would contest the elections as the "Patriotic Bloc" alliance.[5] In January 2015 PULS and SLS also joined the bloc.[6]
On 19 February 2016, the Party of United Pensioners of Serbia (PUPS) decided to leave the coalition with SPS, and sign an agreement with SNS,[7] as did the SDPS.[8]
DS, SDS and the LDP agreed to form a coalition called "Democratic Serbia - DS-LDP-SDS", with Dragoljub Mićunović as the leader.[9] However, on 28 February DS leader Bojan Pajtić said that his party would not join the SDS and the LDP in a pre-election coalition.[10]
Electoral lists
The Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) published an official list of competing parties and coalitions.[11]
Ballot number | Ballot name | Ballot carrier | Note |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Aleksandar Vučić – Serbia Is Winning Serbian Progressive Party, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, New Serbia, Serbian Renewal Movement, Movement of Socialists, Strength of Serbia Movement, Independent Democratic Party of Serbia, Serbian People's Party[12] |
![]() Aleksandar Vučić |
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2 | For A Just Serbia – Democratic Party Democratic Party, New Party, Reformist Party, Movement "I live for The Frontier", Democratic Alliance of Croats in Vojvodina, Together for Serbia, Together for Šumadija[13] |
File:Bojan Pajtić (2016).png Bojan Pajtić |
|
3 | Ivica Dačić – SPS – JS – Dragan Marković Palma Socialist Party of Serbia, United Serbia, Greens of Serbia, Communist Party[14] |
![]() Ivica Dačić |
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4 | Dr Vojislav Šešelj — Serbian Radical Party Serbian Radical Party[15] |
![]() Vojislav Šešelj |
|
5 | Dveri – DSS – Sanda Rašković Ivić – Boško Obradović Dveri, Democratic Party of Serbia, Serbian Liberal Council, New Serbian Political Thought [16] |
![]() Sanda Rašković Ivić |
|
6 | Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians — István Pásztor Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians, Democratic Party of Vojvodina Hungarians, Party of Hungarian Unity[17] |
István Pásztor |
M |
7 | Boris Tadić, Čedomir Jovanović – Alliance for a Better Serbia – LDP, LSV, SDS Liberal Democratic Party of Serbia, League of Social Democrats of Vojvodina, Social Democratic Party[18] |
![]() Nenad Čanak |
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8 | Muamer Zukorlić – Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak[19] |
![]() Muamer Zukorlić |
M |
9 | Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak – Dr. Sulejman Ugljanin Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak[19] |
![]() Sulejman Ugljanin |
M |
10 | For a Free Serbia – Oathkeepers – Milica Đurđević Srpski Sabor Zavetnici[20] |
Božidar Zečević | |
11 | Citizen's group – For Serb revival – Prof. Dr. Slobodan Komazec | ![]() Jovan Deretić |
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12 | Russian Party – Slobodan Nikolić Russian Party[21] |
Slobodan Nikolić | |
13 | Republican Party – Nikola Sandulović Republican Party[22] |
Nikola Sandulović | |
14 | Serbo-Russian Movement – Slobodan Dimitrijević East Alternative, Serbian League, Serbian Fatherland Front, Veterans Movement, Hungarian League[23] |
![]() Dragan Todorović |
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15 | Borko Stefanović – Serbia for all of us Serbian Left, Movement for Reversal, Social Democratic Union, New Pensioners Association[24] |
![]() Borko Stefanović |
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16 | Dialogue – Youth with a stance – Stanko Debeljaković[25] | Stanko Debeljaković | |
17 | It's enough – Restart - Saša Radulović[26] | ![]() Saša Radulović |
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18 | Party for Democratic Action – Ardita Sinani Party for Democratic Action[27] |
Ardita Sinani | M |
19 | Green Party Green Party[28] |
Goran Čabradi | M |
20 | Out of Spite – United for Serbia – National Alliance Third Serbia, National Network[28] |
Vladan Glišić |
M — National minority list
Opinion polls
Most opinion polls predicted that the SNS was going to fare around 50%, while their partners in the ruling coalition SPS were stable at above 10%. Serbian Radical Party, strengthened by the return of their leader Vojislav Šešelj from the Hague Tribunal, seemed the only party certain to make it to the Parliament with the support of 6–8% polled, while all other major lists undulated around the 5% threshold.
Date | Polling Firm | SNS et al. | SPS JS |
DS | SRS | Dveri | DSS | SDS | LDP | DJB | Others | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | ||||||||||||||||||
21 Apr | CeSid | 54.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 (+LSV) | 6.0 | – | 43.0 | ||||||||
20 Apr | Faktor Plus | 50.9 | 12.3 | 5.5 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 5.1 (+LSV) | 4.6 | – | 38.6 | ||||||||
20 Apr | Ninamedia | 47.2 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 5.6 (+LSV) | 4.9 | – | 33.9 | ||||||||
20 Apr | NSPM | 44.8 | 12.7 | 7.5 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 6.9 (+LSV) | 4.2 | – | 32.1 | ||||||||
19 Apr | ProPozitiv | 50.6 | 11.4 | 4.9 | 8.2 | 5.6 | 6.9 (+LSV) | 5.3 | – | 39.2 | ||||||||
mid–Apr | FPN [a] | 27.2 | 11.6 | 5.6 | 17.5 | 8.1 | 12.0 (+LSV) | 8.8 | – | 9.7 | ||||||||
11 Apr | Faktor Plus | 50.9 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 5.0 (+LSV) | 4.5 | – | 38.3 | ||||||||
31 Mar | ProPozitiv | 52.4 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.3 (+LSV) | 5.7 | – | 40.1 | ||||||||
28–31 Mar | CeSID | 53.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 (+LSV) | 5.0 | – | 40 | ||||||||
27 Mar | Faktor Plus | 52.6 | 11.9 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 5.0 (+LSV) | 3.3 | – | 40.7 | ||||||||
3 Mar | Faktor Plus | 49.4 | 12.7 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.0 (+LSV) | 3 | – | 36.7 | ||||||||
28 Jan–7 Feb | NSPM | 44.9 | 11.8 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 8.5 (+LSV) | 3.4 | – | 33.1 | ||||||||
3 Feb | Faktor Plus | 49.5 | 12.0 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.2 (+LSV) | 2.3 | – | 37.5 | ||||||||
2015 | ||||||||||||||||||
20–27 Dec | Ninamedia Research | 47.7 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 4.8 | – | – | 36.6 | |||||||
15–25 Dec | Faktor Plus | 51.4 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 2.2 | – | 41.9 | ||||||||
c. 24 Dec | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 52.0 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 5.0 | – | 6.9 | – | – | 41.0 | |||||||
mid–Dec | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 52[b] | 10[b] | 5[b] | 3[b] | 5[b] | 2[b] | 4[b] | 2[b] | 2[b] | – | 42 | ||||||
25 Nov–3 Dec | NSPM | 42.1 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | – | 31.0 | ||||||
24–30 Nov | Faktor Plus | 51.6 | 8.7 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | – | 42.9 | ||||||
24–27 Nov | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 52 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | – | – | 42 | |||||||
26–30 Oct | Faktor Plus | 51.5 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | – | 42.8 | ||||||
10–18 Oct | NSPM | 45.8 | 10.4 | 9.4 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.6 | – | 35.4 | ||||||
c. 12 Oct | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 50 | 10 | 5–6 | 5–6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 40 | ||||||
1–7 Oct | Ninamedia Research | 48.1 | 14.3 (+PUPS) | 5.8 | 6.2 | 3.2[c] | 3.0[c] | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 | – | 33.8 | ||||||
25 Sep–4 Oct | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 54[d] | 9[d] | 5[d] | 6[d] | 3[d] | 4[d] | 2[d] | 3[d] | 2[d] | – | 45 | ||||||
25–30 Sep | Faktor Plus | 51.5 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | – | 42.7 | ||||||
5–14 Sep | NSPM | 39.1 | 11.6 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | – | 27.5 | ||||||
late Aug–early Sep | Ipsos Strategic Marketing [e] | 48 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | – | 38 | ||||||
26–30 Aug | Faktor Plus | 51.0 | 9.0[f] | 7.0 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | – | 42.0 | ||||||
24–30 Jul | Faktor Plus | 50.7 | 9.2[g] | 7.1 | 5.8 | 2.8[g] | 2.5[g] | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | – | 41.5 | ||||||
18–26 Jun | NSPM | 45.0 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.4 | – | 0.8 | – | 34.1 | ||||||
18–25 Jun | Faktor Plus | 50.5 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | – | 41.2 | ||||||
21–27 May | Faktor Plus | 50.6 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | – | 41.1 | ||||||
late May | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 50.0 | 12.0 (+PUPS) | 6.1 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 4.9[29] | 2.5 | 1.4 | – | 38.0 | |||||||
25–29 Apr | Faktor Plus [h] | 52.1 | 9.5 | 8.3 | 6.4 | – | – | 4.1 | – | – | – | 42.6 | ||||||
17–24 Apr | Faktor Plus | 50.8 | 10.1 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | – | 40.7 | ||||||
10–22 Apr | NSPM | 42.4 | 10.7 | 12.5 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | – | 29.9 | ||||||
30 Mar–3 Apr | Faktor Plus | 50.6 | 10.8 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | – | 39.8 | ||||||
early Mar | Faktor Plus | 50.1 | 10.2 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | – | 39.9 | ||||||
24–30 Jan | TNS Medium Gallup [i] | 48.7 | 6.4[i] | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 | – | – | 42.3 | ||||||
2014–2015 | ||||||||||||||||||
27 Dec–5 Jan | NSPM | 47.9 | 12.0 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | – | 35.9 | ||||||
2014 | ||||||||||||||||||
16–19 Dec | Faktor Plus | 51.1 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.0 | – | – | 40.3 | ||||||
late Nov | Faktor Plus | 51.0 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 3.8 | – | 4.5 | – | – | – | 40.5 | ||||||
late Nov | Ipsos Strategic Marketing | 50 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | – | 40 | ||||||
10–15 Oct | NSPM | 46.7 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 3.7 | – | – | 33.4 | ||||||
8–10 Oct | Faktor Plus | 50.5 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | – | 4.8 | – | – | – | 39.7 | ||||||
24 Sep–1 Oct | Ninamedia Research | 49.6 | 10.9 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | – | 38.7 | ||||||
mid–Sep | Faktor Plus | 50.5 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 2.0 | – | 4.8 | – | – | – | 39.5 | ||||||
9–13 Aug | Faktor Plus | 50.6 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 3.9 | – | – | 4.8 | – | – | – | 39.6 | ||||||
26 Jun–2 Jul | Faktor Plus | 50.5 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 4.3 | – | – | 5.6 | – | – | – | 40.0 | ||||||
27–29 May | Faktor Plus | 50.1 | 12.8 | 6.2 | – | – | – | 5.8 | – | – | – | 37.3 | ||||||
22–29 May | Danas | 55 | 13 (+PUPS) | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | – | 42 | ||||||
mid–Apr | Faktor Plus | 51.1 | 12.5 | 6.3 | – | – | 3.9 | 5.9 | – | – | – | 38.6 | ||||||
16 Mar 2014 | Election result | 48.4 | 13.5 (+PUPS) | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 8.0 | 34.9 |
Results
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– |
---|---|---|---|---|
Serbia is Winning (SNS–SDPS–PUPS–NS–SPO–PS–PSS–NDSS–SNP) | 1,823,147 | 48.25 | 131 | –39 |
SPS–JS–ZS–KP | 413,770 | 10.95 | 29 | –4 |
Serbian Radical Party | 306,052 | 8.10 | 22 | +22 |
Enough is Enough | 227,626 | 6.02 | 16 | +16 |
For a Just Serbia (DS–NS–RS–DSHV–ZZS–ZZŠ) | 227,589 | 6.02 | 16 | –5 |
Dveri–DSS | 190,530 | 5.04 | 13 | +13 |
Alliance for a Better Serbia (LDP–LSV–SDS) | 189,564 | 5.02 | 13 | –2 |
VMSZ–VMDP | 56,620 | 1.50 | 4 | –2 |
Serbia for All of Us (PLS–PZP–NUPS–SDU) | 35,710 | 0.94 | 0 | New |
Bosniak Democratic Union of Sandžak | 32,526 | 0.86 | 2 | +2 |
Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak | 30,092 | 0.80 | 2 | –1 |
For A Free Serbia – Oathkeepers | 27,690 | 0.73 | 0 | New |
Green Party | 23,890 | 0.63 | 1 | New |
Out of spite – United for Serbia – National Alliance | 17,528 | 0.46 | 0 | New |
Party for Democratic Action | 16,262 | 0.43 | 1 | –1 |
Russian Party | 13,777 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
Citizen's Group – For Serb Revival | 13,260 | 0.35 | 0 | New |
Serbo-Russian Movement | 10,016 | 0.27 | 0 | New |
Dialogue – Youth with a Stance | 7,744 | 0.20 | 0 | New |
Republican Party | 4,522 | 0.12 | 0 | New |
Invalid/blank votes | 111,008 | 2.86 | – | – |
Total | 3,778,923 | 100 | 250 | 0 |
Registered voters/turnout | 6,739,441 | 56.07 | – | – |
Source: B92 |
Aftermath
After the polls closed, it soon became clear that the Serbian Progressive Party would maintain its absolute majority in the Assembly, albeit with a smaller number of MPs, and that their partners, the Socialist Party of Serbia, would maintain their standing. However, the Republic Electoral Commission (RIK) and organizations monitoring the election (such as CeSID) were cautious about the results of most other lists, as they hovered around the 5% threshold. For a while, it looked as if all seven main contestants would pass the threshold, but as the Commission published the final results on Thursday 28 April, the DSS-Dveri coalition ended up a single vote short. Tensions ran high, as the participants started to accuse each other and the Commission of fraud.[30][31] Still, there were additional 18,000 votes to share, as voting had to be repeated at 15 polling stations due to irregularities.[32] In the re-run held on 4 May, DSS–Dveri comfortably won the required number of votes and ended up with 5.03% of the electorate.[30] The Electoral Commission pronounced the final results of the election on Thursday 5 May.
Vučić announced formation of the new government by early June.[2] He stated that the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians were the only certain partners in the cabinet, and remained ambiguous about the future cooperation with the Socialist Party of Serbia, the coalition partners in the previous government, hinting that he will "certainly not form a government with someone who can't wait to stab him in the back."[3]
Notes
- ^ Based on 890 respondents aged 18 years (first-time voters).
- ^ If the parties were to run in coalition: (mid–Dec 2015)
- ^
- ^ If the parties were to run in coalition: (24 Sep–4 Oct 2015)
- ^ Ipsos Strategic Marketing poll for International Republican Institute (IRI).[34]
- ^
- ^ If in coalition:[36] (24–30 Jul 2015)
- ^ Based on 800 respondents aged 18–25 years.
- ^ Percentages would be higher if undecided voters were excluded.
References
- ^ "Nikolić raspisao izbore: Želim da pobedi SNS". B92. 4 March 2016.
- ^ a b "Vučić najavio formiranje vlade u junu". 25 April 2016.
- ^ a b "Vucic says he won't form government with "backstabbers"". B92. 29 April 2016.
- ^ Electoral system IPU
- ^ DSS i Dveri formirali patriotski blok RTS, 18 November 2014
- ^ Uz DSS i Dveri sada i PULS i SLS Blic, 30 January 2015
- ^ Pensioner party leaves coalition with Socialists B92, 19 February 2016
- ^ SNS IDE NA IZBORE SA SDPS Blic, 25 January 2016
- ^ Dogovor opozicije - na izbore na jednoj listi B92, 27 Feb 2016
- ^ Opposition parties won't form single list for elections B92, 29 Feb 2016
- ^ "Изборне листе" (in Serbian). RIK. 5 March 2016. Retrieved 5 March 2016.
- ^ Proglašena prva lista Mondo/Tanjug, 06.03.2016
- ^ Proglašena lista "Za pravednu Srbiju" - Demokratska stranka Blic, 06.03.2016
- ^ Koalicija oko SPS predala RIK-u izbornu listu B92, 08.03.2016
- ^ Četvrti na glasačkom listiću Kurir, 10.03.2016
- ^ RIK proglasila izbornu listu DSS-a i Dveri N1, 11.03.2016
- ^ RIK proglasio izbornu listu SVM - I. Pastor RTV, 12.03.2016
- ^ Proglašena lista koalicije LDP-LSV-SDS Blic, 14.03.2016
- ^ a b Proglašene još tri liste, prošao i Ugljanin Mondo, 18.03.2016
- ^ Proglašena izborna lista Za Slobodnu Srbiju - Zavetnici Večernje Novosti, 28.03.2016
- ^ RIK proglasio Izbornu listu Ruska stranka B92, 05.04.2016
- ^ RIK proglasio izbornu listu Republikanska stranka B92, 06.04.2016
- ^ Proglašena lista Srpsko ruski pokret B92, 07.04.2016
- ^ Borislav Stefanović i Janko Veselinović na zajedničkoj listi RTS, 16.03.2016
- ^ Proglašena i lista "Dijalog" Mondo, 09.04.2016
- ^ RIK: Proglašeno 18 izbornih lista B92, 09.04.2016
- ^ PDD, jedina manjinska partija Albanaca na izborima B92, 12.04.2016
- ^ a b RIK proglasio 21. listu, odbačena "Tolerancija" B92, 12.04.2016
- ^ "DESNICA JAČA IZ DANA U DAN Radikali, Dveri i DSS prešišali DS". Informer. 26 May 2015.
- ^ a b Saša Dragojlo (5 May 2016). "Serbian Right-Wingers Win Seats in Poll Re-Run". Balkan Insight.
- ^ "IGRA ŽIVACA: DSS-Dveri ispod cenzusa za JEDAN GLAS". Blic. 29 April 2016.
{{cite web}}
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suggested) (help) - ^ "18.000 BIRAČA PONOVO NA GLASANJE Poništeni izbori na ukupno 15 biračkih mesta, neizvesna sudbina dve liste". Blic. 27 April 2016.
- ^ "Za SNS 48,1 za DVERI - 7,8 odsto". Svedok. 3 November 2015.
- ^ "I LDP prelazi cenzus?". Danas. 6 September 2015.
- ^ "Faktor plus: Građani podržavaju Vučića i pomoć izbeglicama". N1. 31 August 2015.
- ^ "Faktor plus: SNS iznad 50 odsto". Novosti. 1 August 2015.