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2022 South Korean presidential election

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2022 Korean presidential election
← 2017 9 March 2022 2027 →
 
Party Democratic People Power
 
Party Justice People Party (South Korea)
Incumbent President

Moon Jae-in
Democratic



2022 South Korean presidential election, or 20th Republic of Korea presidential election (Korean: 제20대 대한민국 대통령 선거; Hanja: 第20代大韓民國大統領選擧) in South Korea, is scheduled to be held in South Korea on 9 March 2022. It will be the eighth presidential election since democratization. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office,[1] meaning the incumbent president Moon Jae-in is ineligible to run for a second term.

Background

Electoral system

The President of South Korea is elected via a single round plurality voting system. The President serves a term of five years and is ineligible to seek re-election either directly or indirectly.

Following the 2016 South Korean political scandal which led to the impeachment of President Park Geun-hye, an early election was called. Longtime liberal politician Moon Jae-in of the Democratic Party defeated right-wing firebrand Hong Jun-pyo (Liberty Korea Party) and centrist Ahn Cheol-soo by a wide margin in the 2017 presidential election, bringing liberals back to the Blue House for the first time in nine years. Following a somewhat rocky first three years in office, Moon's hand was significantly strengthened by his party's historic victory in the 2020 legislative election, which gave his party an absolute majority of 163 out of 300 seats in the National Assembly.[2]

Fall in President Moon's popularity

Moon Jae-in's presidential job approval rating, by Gallup Korea

However, by April 2021, President Moon's approval rating fell into the low 30s, the lowest of his term. The Moon administration's fall in public approval was attributed to the perception of double standards, as seen in the alleged meddling of former Justice Minister Cho Kuk and his wife in their children's school admissions, contentious reforms to the national prosecution service leading to the resignation of the Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl (who is speculated to stand for the presidency in 2022), the Moon administration's perceived failings in real estate policies such as tightening of borrowing rules and raising various home-related taxes, affecting young people who wish to buy a home of their own. A property speculation scandal which erupted in late March 2021 in South Korea's top housing agency, the Korea Land & Housing Corporation (LH) at a time of rising house prices was also blamed on the government, leading to the Democrats' defeats in the April 2021 South Korean by-elections for mayoralties of Seoul and Busan.[3] Following the by-election setbacks, Moon was perceived to be a lame duck, with a year to go before the 2022 elections to replace him.[4] However, Moon’s approval ratings were the highest for any president entering his or her final year in office, compared to his predecessors.[5]

Shift in youth support to conservatives

Notably, in addition to the backlash caused by housing policies for young voters, the swing against the Democratic Party was also attributed to its continued support for feminism and pro-women policies, which caused a backlash among young men and prompting male voters in the 20s to vote for the conservatives. Among male voters in their 20s in Seoul, the PPP candidate Oh Se-hoon received a staggering 72.5 percent support in the exit poll. Seoul exit polls showed that young voters, who have traditionally sided with the Democratic Party, voted for the conservative People's Power Party (PPP) by huge majorities, by a margin of 55.3 percent to 34.1 percent among voters in their 20s, and 56.5 percent to 38.7 percent among voters in their 30s.[6][7]

In addition, the opposition People Power Party elected 36 year old Lee Jun-seok as the new party chief in June 2021, defeating four other established politicians while putting concerns of young people and opposition for affirmative action at the heart of his pitch and also announcing plans for a 'big tent' approach for the party's appeal to the electorate, which is seen as a generational shift in South Korean politics.[8] Thus the youth vote is seen to be a swing demographic in the 2022 elections.

Rise of political 'outsider' candidates

In contrast to the previous six presidents since restoration of democracy in 1987, the 2022 election is the first where the leading presidential hopefuls like Lee Jae-myung on the Democratic side and Yoon Seok-youl, Kim Dong-yeon and Choi Jae-hyung on the PPP side have never served as lawmakers at the National Assembly. Political commentators observed that the rise of those without legislative careers reflected growing public distrust in South Korea's establishment politicians, which was also observed in the surprise election of Lee Jun-seok, a 36-year-old who has never held a seat in the Assembly, as the youngest-ever chairman of the opposition People Power Party (PPP).[9]

Candidates

Democratic Party

The Democratic Party (Korean: 더불어민주당) is the ruling political party of South Korea following its victories in the 2017 presidential election, 2018 local elections and the 2020 National Assembly election. While the current party was technically founded in 2014,[10] it should be understood as the current iteration of South Korea's long line of liberal parties dating back to the original Democratic Party that was founded in 1955. The party is considered to be something of a big tent party comprising both centrist[11] and liberal factions.[12] Politicians in the party generally support a social market economy with a strong social safety net, anti-corruption measures, direct democracy, and environmentalist policies.[13] On matters of foreign policy, the party supports reconciliation and eventual reunification with North Korea.[14] Incumbent president Moon Jae-in, a member of the party, is ineligible to run for reelection due to term limits. The party is particularly strong in Honam region.[15]

Following and prior to his victory in the crucial district of Jongno in the 2020 legislative election, former Prime Minister Lee Nak-yeon emerged as the frontrunner for both the Democratic Party's nomination and the general election. Lee, who is celebrated for his expertise on Japanese relations[16][17] and administrative capabilities he has shown during his time as South Jeolla Provincial Governor[18] and President Moon Jae-in's first Prime minister,[19] is supported by Moon's faction of the party evinced by his landslide victory in party leadership contest.[20] However, Lee's January 2021 proposal to pardon corrupt former conservative presidents Park Geun-hye and Lee Myung-bak led to a fall in his support. Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-Myung, who ran a left-wing populist campaign for president in 2017 while Mayor of Seongnam, has emerged as the most popular prospective candidate across parties as a result of his well-received response to the 2019 coronavirus pandemic and his proposal for a universal basic income.[21] Moon's second prime minister, Chung Sye-kyun, also resigned to run for the presidency.[22]

Primary schedule and process

The nominating primaries are scheduled to be held in September 2021, although representatives of the Lee Nak-yon and Chung Sye-kyun camps have called for the primaries to be delayed to November.[23] The calls to delay the primary are seen to be attempts to prevent frontrunner Lee Jae-myung from getting the nomination, as he is the most preferred candidate among the public and the party.[24]

On 25 June, the party's supreme council decided to hold the primary as scheduled by 10 September.[23] The timetable for the process is as follows:[23]

  • 28 to 30 June - Registration of candidates
  • 9 to 11 July - Preliminary primary involving a 50:50 survey of the general public and party members
  • 11 July - announcement of the top six candidates eligible for the main primary
  • Before 10 September - Announcement of primary result and party nominee

On 19 July, the party announced a delay in the final selection of candidates to mid-October due to an upsurge in COVID-19 cases in South Korea.[25]

Primary candidates

The following individuals are candidates for the Democratic party primaries, in sequence of announcement of candidacy:

Eliminated candidates

On 11 July 2021, Democratic Party of Korea narrowed its primary candidates down to six in the first round of the party primary. The DP declared Gyeonggi Gov. Lee Jae-myung, ex-DP chief Lee Nak-yon, ex-Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun, ex-Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae and two others as the six final winners of the first-stage presidential primary.[37]

Withdrawn candidates

People Power Party

The People Power Party (Korean: 국민의힘) is the current iteration of a long line of South Korean conservative parties. The party was formally established in 2020[44] following a merger of multiple conservative parties created in the fallout of the 2016 South Korean corruption scandal that led to the fall of conservative president Park Geun-hye and her Saenuri Party. In the 2017 presidential election, the party's predecessor nominated right-wing populist[45] Hong Jun-pyo, who went on to lose the election to liberal Moon Jae-in. The party lost further ground in the 2020 National Assembly election.[46] However, the party has since regained ground after retaking the mayoralties of Seoul and Busan in the 2021 South Korean by-elections. On matters of policy, politicians in the party generally support neoliberal economic policies (including support for chaebols,[47] the industrial conglomerates that dominate the South Korean economy) and hold conservative positions on national security, including hawkish stances on North Korea.[48] The party is particularly strong in the southeastern Gyeongsang region.[49]

However, under new party chairman Lee Jun-seok's plans for a 'big tent' approach for the party's appeal to the electorate and desire to unify opposition forces against the Democratic Party, up to 15 individuals have declared or expressed interest in running for the PPP nomination. Of the 15, Yoon Seok youl (the frontrunner), Choi Jae-hyung, Kim Dong-yeon, Chang Sŏng-min and Ahn Cheol-soo are not members of the PPP.[50]Choi Jae hyung joined the party on July 15.[51]

Declared candidates

The following individuals have announced their bids for the People Power Party nomination:

Yoon was initially not a member of the party but has expressed interest in joining the party. However, he has also not ruled out the possibility of creating his own party and forging an electoral alliance with the PPP later.[63] Nevertheless, he officially joined the PPP on 30 July.[64][65][66]

Potential

The following individuals have been mentioned as potential candidates of the People Power Party for the 2022 presidential election:

Former Prime Minister Hwang Kyo-ahn, a longtime prosecutor who entered politics as Minister of Justice and later became acting President of South Korea following Park Geun-hye's removal from office, was seen as the most likely right-wing candidate for the 2022 presidential election.[70] However, his high-profile defeat in the 2020 South Korean legislative election in the crucial Jongno district by Democratic former Prime Minister Lee Nak-yeon harmed his standing in national polling.[71] Right-wing populist Hong Jun-pyo, the conservative opponent of Moon in 2017 is seeking the PPP nomination again for 2022.[72]

Former Prosecutor General of South Korea Yoon Seok-youl is the frontrunner for the PPP nomination, despite not being a member of the party.[73][74] Yoon led a January 2021 poll as the most favored presidential candidate on 30.4 percent, over the ruling Democratic Party's Lee Jae-myung and Lee Nak-yeon.[75] Amid reports of a dossier detailing illegal activities of Yoon and his family in late June 2021, Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who won the April 2021 mayoral by election, has been speculated to join the race if Yoon drops out.[67]

Former National Assembly member Yoo Seong-min, one of the most prominent conservative opponents of Park Geun-hye and a co-founder of the breakaway Bareun Party in 2016 announced his candidacy in May 2020.[76] Possible other candidates are Choi Jae-hyung, former Chairman of the Board of Audit and Inspection; Kim Dong-yeon, former Deputy Prime Minister of South Korea and Minister of Economy and Finance[67] and Ahn Cheol-soo, founder and leader of the People Party.[67]

Ahn Cheol-soo, founder and leader of the People Party and a former medical doctor, software engineer and National Assembly member who is known for his centrist views, is considered a possible 2022 presidential candidate following his performance in the 2017 presidential election. However, in June 2021, Ahn was reportedly considering a bid for the presidency on the People Power Party ticket, and planning a merger between his People Party and the PPP.[67]

Justice Party

The Justice Party (Korean: 정의당) is a centre-left, social democratic and progressive party that was founded in October 2012.

Potential

Opinion polling

Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		DP PPP PP Others None / Undecided Lead
Lee
Jae-myung 		Lee
Nak-yeon 		Choo
Mi-ae 		Chung
Sye-kyun 		Park
Yong-jin 		Yoon
Seok-youl 		Choi
Jae-hyung 		Hong
Jun-pyo 		Yoo
Seung-min 		Ahn
Cheol-soo
colspan="5" style="background-color: Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color" | colspan="4" style="background-color: Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color" | style="background-color: Template:People Party/meta/color" |
30 July 2021 Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl joins the People Power Party[77]
Hangil Research Kukinews 24–26 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 23.7% 15.8% 5.2% - - 29.8% - 4.4% 3.5% -
6.7%
  • Others 6.7%
 10.8% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 6.1%
WinG Korea Asia Business 24–25 Jul 1,008 ±3.1%p 28.6% 16.9% 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 24.3% 5.9% 5% 2.6% 2%
3.5%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.4%
  • Park Yong-jin 0.7%
  • Others 4.8%
 5.5% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 4.3%
KSOI TBS 23–24 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 26% 18.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.8% 26.9% 8.1% 4.7% 2.8% 2%
2.3%
  • Others 1.0%
 4.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 0.9%
National Barometer Survey 19–21 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 27% 14% 2% 1% 0% 19% 3% 4% 2% 3%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Others 1%
 26% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 8%
KRi MBC News 17–18 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 27.1% 14.6% 2.9% 1.3% 19.7% 4.8% 3.9% 1.1% 2.8%
5.5%
  • Won Hee-ryong 1.5%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.9%
  • Others 2.1%
 2.4% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 7.4%
Realmeter JTBC 17–18 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 23.8% 20.1% 4.5% 6.4% 0.9% 22% 6% 4.6% 2% 1.7%
5.5%
  • Won Hee-ryong 1.5%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.9%
  • Others 2.1%
 2.4% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 1.8%
KSOI TBS 16–17 Jul 1,013 ±3.1%p 25.4% 19.3% 3.4% - 0.9% 30.3% 5.6% 3.3% 2.3% 2.2%
2.3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Others 1.1%
 4.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4.9%
15 July 2021 Choi Jae-hyung joins the People Power Party[78]
National Barometer Survey 12–14 Jul 1,016 ±3.1%p 26% 14% 3% 1% 0% 20% 3% 4% 2% 2%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0%
  • Others 1%
 22% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 6%
HRI Seoul Shinmun 12–14 Jul 1,208 ±2.83%p 27.2% 16% 2.9% 2.6% - 26.8% 5.1% 4% 3.1% 2% 0.3% 9.8% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 0.4%
NEXT SBS News 12–13 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 25.1% 12% 3.8% 1.4% - 24.5% 3.2% 4.2% 1.9% 2.2%
2.7%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0.3%
  • Others 0.4%
 19% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 0.6%
Jowon C&I Straight News 10–12 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 27.4% 16.4% 5% 2.8% 1.1% 28.9% 3.6% 4.8% 2.6% 2.7% '1.9% 2.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 1.5%
WinG Korea Asia Business 10–11 Jul 1,011 ±3.1%p 25.8% 16.4% 4.7% 3% 1.3% 26.4% 4.1% 4.8% 3.2% 2.1%
2.9%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.3%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.5%
  • Others 1.1%
 5.2% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 0.6%
KSOI TBS 9–10 Jul 1,014 ±3.1%p 26.9% 18.1% 4.2% 1.7% - 29.9% 2.5% 4.1% 4.5% 2.1%
1.9%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Others 1.0%
 3.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 3%
National Barometer Survey 5–7 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 27% 10% 2% 2% 0% 21% - 4% 2% 2%
4%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Others 1%
 26% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 6%
KIR News Phim 5 Jul 1,012 ±3.1%p 29% 11.8% 3.7% 2.4% 0.5% 31.6% 2.4% 4.1% 2.6% 2.4%
4.5%
  • Yoon Hui-sook 1.8%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.9%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.5%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0.4%
  • Others 0.9%
 5.1% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 2.6%
Realmeter JTBC 3–4 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 26.3% 12.5% 6.4% 1.7% 0.4% 33.9% 2.5% 4.7% 2.3% 1.8%
4.4%
  • Kim Du-kwan 0.4%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.5%
  • Yoon Hui-sook 2.1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0.8%
  • Others 0.6%
 3.2% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 7.6%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 3 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 26.2% 13.7% 4.1% 3.2% 0.8% 36.1% 2.5% 4.6% 2.5% 3.1%
3.1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.5%
  • Others 2.6%
 3.2% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 9.9%
KSOI TBS 2–3 Jul 1,002 ±3.1%p 30.3% 12.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 31.4% 3.2% 3.9% 2.3% 3.1% 1.3% 5.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 1.1%
Global Research 30 Jun–2 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 26.5% 9.4% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4% 25% 2.4% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
2.3%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0.7%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.6%
  • Others 1.0%
 21.5% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 1.5%
Gallup Korea 29 Jun–1 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 24% 6% 2% 2% - 25% 2% 2% - 1% 3% 32% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 1%
National Barometer Survey 28–30 Jun 1,007 ±3.1%p 27% 9% 3% 1% 1% 21% - 3% 2% 3%
6%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Others 2%
 27% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 6%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 27–29 Jun 1,046 ±3%p 23.7% 8.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.3% 34.3% 5.6% 6.1% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 3.4% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 10.6%
WinG Korea Asia Business 26–27 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 26.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 30.7% 3.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.7%
3.5%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.2%
  • Ma Kyoung-won 1.0%
  • Others 1.3%
 5.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4.1%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 26 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 25.5% 13% 5.5% 2.6% 0.3% 32.7% 3.7% 6.1% 3.1% -
3.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Others 2.3%
 4.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 7.2%
KSOI TBS 25–26 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 28.4% 11.5% 4.7% - 0.7% 32.4% - 6.4% 3.1% 2.1%
6%
  • Oh Se-hoon 1.5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.5%
  • Others 3.0%
 4.6% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4%
24 June 2021 Hong Jun-pyo rejoined the PPP (formerly the United Future Party)[79]
National Barometer Survey 21–23 Jun 1,006 ±3.1%p 27% 7% 2% 2% 0% 20% - 3% 1% 3%
4%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 1%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Others 2%
 30% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 7%
Realmeter Oh My News 21–22 Jun 2,014 ±2.2%p 22.8% 8.4% 3.9% 3% 0.7% 32.3% 3.6% 4.1% 3% 2.6%
8.9%
  • Oh Se-hoon 3.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 0.9%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.7%
  • Choi Moon-soon 1.0%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 0.7%
  • Others 1.4%
 6.7% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 9.5%
Realmeter JTBC 19–20 Jun 1,028 ±3.1%p 29.3% 11.5% 3.9% 2.5% 0.6% 32% 3.7% 4.4% 2.4% 2.4%
2.1%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 0.8%
  • Others 1.3%
 5.2% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 2.7%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 19 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 27.2% 13% - 4.7% - 33.9% 4.5% 4.3% - 3.1%
5.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Others 3.4%
 4.2% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 6.7%
KSOI TBS 18–19 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 25% 12.2% 2.7% - 0.9% 38% - 4% 3.1% 1.7%
7.1%
  • Oh Se-hoon 3.3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.4%
  • Others 2.4%
 5.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 13%
KIR News Phim 18 Jun 1,012 ±3.1%p 27.2% 8.4% - 4% 0.8% 36.7% - 4.7% 2.6% 3.6%
6.7%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.6%
  • Ha Tae-kyoung 1.3%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 2.1%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.0%
  • Others 1.7%
 5.4% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 9.5%
National Barometer Survey 14–16 Jun 1,004 ±3.1%p 25% 7% 1% 1% 0% 24% - 2% 1% 3%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 0%
  • Others 1%
 32% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 1%
WinG Korea Asia Business 12–13 Jun 1,017 ±3.1%p 28.3% 10% - 2.1% 1.2% 33.3% 2.7% 3.9% 2.7% 3.2%
4.9%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.4%
  • Won Hui-ryong 1.1%
  • Choi Moon-soon 0.5%
  • Others 1.9%
 7.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 5%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 12 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 26.2% 12.3% - 2.6% - 39.1% - 5.9% - 2.7%
5.2%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.2%
  • Others 3.7%
 6.3% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 12.9%
KSOI TBS 11–12 Jun 1,007 ±3.1%p 27.7% 12.6% 2.2% 1.8% - 35.5% - 4.1% 1.4% 2.6%
6.8%
  • Oh Se-hoon 2.8%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2.3%
  • Others 1.7%
 7.5% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 7.8%
National Barometer Survey 7–9 Jun 1,010 ±3.1%p 24% 7% 1% 2% 0% 24% - 3% 2% 3%
3%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 0%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Others 1%
 30% Tie
KSOI TBS 5–6 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 26.1% 10.2% 4% 3.5% - 31.1% - 3.5% 3% 2.5%
6.8%
  • Oh Se-hoon 4.0%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Others 1.9%
 8.3% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 5%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 5 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 25.7% 13.8% - 3.7% - 35.7% - 5.4% 4.1% 2.5%
5.6%
  • Sim Sang-jung 2.0%
  • Others 3.6%
 5.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 10%
Gallup Korea 1–3 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 24% 5% - 1% - 21% - 2% - 3%
11%
  • Lee Jun-seok 3.0%
  • Oh Se-hoon 2.0%
  • Others 6%
 36% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 3%
National Barometer Survey 31 May–2 Jun 1,008 ±3.1%p 28% 9% 1% 2% 0% 20% - 3% 1% 3%
5%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1%
  • Hwang Kyo-ahn 2%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0%
  • Kim Boo-kyum 0%
  • Others 1%
 28% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 8%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 30 May–1 Jun 1,003 ±3.1%p 26.4% 11.3% - 3% 0.5% 28.7% 3.9% 5.8% 2.1% 3.6%
11.4%
  • Na Kyoung-won 2.6%
  • Sim Sang-jung 1.8%
  • Kim Dong-yeon 1.7%
  • Kim Du-kwan 1.3%
  • Lee Kwang-jae 1.8%
  • Yang Seung-jo 0.8%
  • Won Hui-ryong 0.5%
  • Others 0.9%
 4.1% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 2.3%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

Hypothetical polling

Lee Jae-myung vs. Yoon Seok-youl

Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lee
Jae-myung 		Yoon
Seok-youl 		Others/
Undecided 		Lead
class="unsortable" style="background-color: Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color" | class="unsortable" style="background-color: Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color" |
Jowon C&I Straight News 24–26 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 38% 40.2% 21.8% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 2.2%
Hangil Research Kukinews 24–26 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 36.9% 41.1% 21.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4.2%
National Barometer Survey 19–21 Jul 1,003 ±3.1%p 46% 33% 20% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 13%
KRi MBC News 17–18 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 43% 41% 16% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 2%
Realmeter JTBC 24–26 Jul 1,000 ±3.1%p 44% 34.9% 18.6% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 9.1%
Realmeter Seoul Shinmun 12–14 Jul 1,208 ±2.83%p 48.9% 43% 8.1% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 5.9%
RnSearch MBN/Maeil Business 12–14 Jul 1,060 ±3%p 33.7% 37.9% 28.4% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4.2%
Realmeter Oh My News 12–13 Jul 2,036 ±2.2%p 38.6% 39.4% 22% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 0.8%
NEXT SBS News 12–13 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 36.9% 34% 29.1% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 2.9%
Hangil Research Kukinews 10–12 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 43.9% 36% 20.1% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 7.9%
WinG Korea Asia Business 10–11 Jul 1,011 ±3.1%p 41.5% 42.2% 16.3% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 0.7%
National Barometer Survey 5–7 Jul 1,005 ±3.1%p 43% 33% 24% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 9%
Realmeter JTBC 3–4 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 39.4% 43.6% 17% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 4.2%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 3 Jul 1,001 ±3.1%p 41.8% 49.8% 9.4% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 8%
RnSearch MBN/Maeil Business 28–30 Jun 1,000 ±3%p 34.7% 41.4% 24.9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 6.7%
Jowon C&I Ilyo Shinmun 27–29 Jun 1,000 ±3.1%p 33.1% 44.9% 22.1% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 11.8%
WinG Korea Asia Business 26–27 Jun 1,009 ±3.1%p 40.5% 48.7% 10.8% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 8.2%
PNR Money Today/Mirae Hankook 26 Jun 1,002 ±3.1%p 40.5% 50.5% 9% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 10%
Realmeter Oh My News 21–22 Jun 2,014 ±2.2%p 35.1% 47.7% 17.3% style="background:Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color; color:white" | 12.6%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

Lee Jae-myung vs. Choi Jae-hyung

Polling firm / Client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lee
Jae-myung 		Choi
Jae-hyung 		Others/
Undecided 		Lead
class="unsortable" style="background-color: Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color" | class="unsortable" style="background-color: Template:People Power Party (South Korea)/meta/color" |
Hangil Research Kukinews 24–26 Jul 1,006 ±3.1%p 38.8% 30.9% 30.3% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 8.5%
KRi MBC News 17–18 Jul 1,015 ±3.1%p 46.8% 25.3% 28% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 18.8%
WinG Korea Asia Business 10–11 Jul 1,011 ±3.1%p 42.6% 36.1% 21.3% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 6.5%
Hangil Research Why times 16–17 May 1,006 ±3.1%p 43% 15.9% 41.1% style="background:Template:Democratic Party of Korea/meta/color; color:white" | 1.9%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee

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