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2024 Sindh provincial election

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2024 Sindh provincial election
← 2018 8 February 2024 Next →
130 out of 168 seats in the Sindh Assembly[a]
85 seats needed for a majority
Registered26,994,769
 
Leader Murad Ali Shah Haleem Adil Sheikh TBA
Party PPP PTI MQM-P
Leader since 29 July 2016 2 June 2023
Leader's seat Jamshoro-I Karachi East-I -
Last election 38.44%, 99 Seats 14.47%, 30 seats 7.65%, 20 seats
Current seats 99 30 21
Seats needed Steady Increase 55 Increase 64
Map of Sindh with Provincial Assembly constituencies
Incumbent Chief Minister

Murad Ali Shah
PPP



Provincial elections are scheduled to be held in Sindh on 8 February 2024 to elect a new provincial legislature.[1] On 5 August 2023, after the approval of the results of the 2023 digital census by the Council of Common Interests headed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, elections have been delayed for several months, as new delimitations will be published on 14 December 2023.[2][3] On 2 November 2023, the Election Commission of Pakistan announced, in agreement with the President of Pakistan, Arif Alvi, that the elections will be held on 8 February 2024.[4] This election will be held concurrently with nationwide general elections and other provincial elections.

Background

In the 2018 election, the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) won 99 seats, gaining a majority in the Provincial Assembly. It became the third consecutive time that the PPP was able to form government in Sindh Since 2008.[5]

The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) became the largest party in Karachi by winning 21 out of 44 seats from the city. It was the first time since 1988 that any party other than the MQM-P got the mandate to represent the city on the provincial and national levels.[6] Overall, the PTI won 30 seats and became the second largest party, and the largest party in the opposition.

The Muttahida Qaumi Movement - Pakistan (MQM-P), which was the largest and most popular party in Karachi, Hyderabad and other urban areas of Sindh, faced a tough challenge from the rising popularity of the PTI and received its worst ever result. It won only 21 seats and became the third largest party in the province. The MQM-P also opted to join the opposition.

In April 2022, after circumstances arising during a political crisis in Pakistan after the successful no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Imran Khan, the MQM-P left the opposition and joined the PPP-led provincial government.

In September 2022, Former Prime Minister and Leader of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf Imran Khan announced to liberate Sindh from Zardari Mafia.[7] He stated that Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf will team up with the youth to liberate the poor and oppressed people of Interior Sindh from Feudal lords of Pakistan People's Party.[8] This was the very first time some party leader threatened dominance of People's Party in Sindh and upcoming election will be a battle for survival of PPP[9] in interior Sindh as Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf has support of the people of Karachi and Hyderabad and will be able to gain seats in Interior Sindh if they campaign well.[10]

Merger of MQM factions

Since the appointment of Kamran Tessori as the Governor of Sindh, efforts began to merge breakaway factions of the MQM-P like the Pak Sarzameen Party (PSP) and the Farooq Sattar group back into the MQM-P to unite their vote bank to overcome the growing popularity of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI).[11][12] The Mohajir Qaumi Movement Pakistan - Haqiqi (MQM-H) was also approached, but refused to merge the with the MQM-P.[13]

On the evening of 12 January 2023 Syed Mustafa Kamal, the leader of the PSP, and Farooq Sattar announced their merger with the MQM-P in a press conference.[14]

Schedule

The schedule of the election was announced by the Election Commission of Pakistan on 15 December 2023.[15]

Sr no Poll Event Schedule
1 Public Notice Issued by the Returning Officers 19 December 2023
2 Dates of filing Nomination papers with the Returning Officers by the candidates 20 December 2023 to 22 December 2023
3 Publication of names of the nominated candidates. 23 December 2023
4 Last date of scrutiny of nomination papers by the Returning Officer 24 December 2023 to 30 December 2023
5 Last date of filing appeals against decisions of the Returning Officer rejecting/accepting nomination papers. 3 January 2024
6 Last date for deciding of appeals by the Appellate Tribunal 10 January 2024
7 Publication of revised list of candidates 11 January 2024
8 Last date of withdrawal of candidate and publication of revised list of candidates 12 January 2024
9 Allotment of election symbol to contesting candidates 13 January 2024
10 Date of Polling and Counting of Votes 8 February 2024

Electoral system

The 168 seats of the Sindh Assembly consist of 130 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-post voting system through single-member constituencies. 29 seats are reserved for women and 9 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.

Opinion polls

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link PPP PTI MQM(P) Other MMA Ind. Lead Sample
size 		Undecideds &
Non-voters[b]
PA 11 August 2023 The Provincial Assembly is dissolved by Governor Kamran Tessori on the advice of Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah.[16]
Gallup Pakistan 30 June 2023 PDF 42.2% 43.4% 2.4% 10.8% 1.2% N/A 17%
Iris Communications 5 April 2023 PDF 34.1% 29.5% 10.2% 26.1% 4.6% 3,000 12%
Sindh By-elections 16 October 2022 25.6% 50.0% 12.5% 11.8% 24.4% 146,470 1,493
NA-245 By-election 21 August 2022 [17] 48.85% 21.87% 23.51 5.77 26.98% 60,760 0.70%
NA 11-12 April 2022 Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 PDF 44% 17% 5% 34% 27% ~810 N/A[c]
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 PDF 34% 30% 3% 28% 3% 2% 4% ~1,300 39%
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 PDF 44% 13% 7% 36% 31% 867 N/A[c]
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 PDF 22% 13% 1% 61% 9% 467 N/A[c]
2018 Elections 25 July 2018 ECP 38.4% 14.5% 7.7% 25.9% 6.1% 7.4% 23.6% 10,025,437 N/A
Directly elected seats 76 23 16 GDA 11 TLP 2 1 1 post. 53 Women: 29 non-Muslims 9 total: 168
ECP 2024 Gen.Elections delimitations for Sindh PA seats: 130 directly elected + 29 women + 9 non-Muslims = 168 

Results

Result by Party

Party Popular vote Seats
General Reserved Total +/−
Votes % ±pp Contested Won Women Non-Muslims
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
Pakistan Peoples Party
Grand Democratic Alliance
Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan
Tehreek-i-Labbaik Pakistan
Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan
Pakistan Muslim League (N)
Independents
Others
Total 100% 130 29 9 168
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast/ turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters

Results by Region

Region Seats PTI PPP GDA MQM PML(N) IND Others
Upper Sindh 44
Lower Sindh 39
Karachi 47
Total 130

Results by division

Division Total seats PTI PPP GDA MQM PML(N) IND Others
Larkana 17
Sukkur 14
Nawabshah 13
Mirpur Khas 11
Hyderabad 19
Banbhore 9
Karachi 47
Total 130

Results by district

Division District Seats PTI PPP GDA MQM PML(N) IND Others
Larkana Jacobabad 3
Kashmore 3
Shikarpur 3
Larkana 4
Qambar Shahdadkot 4
Sukkur Ghotki 4
Sukkur 4
Khairpur 6
Nawabshah Naushahro Feroz 4
Nawabshah 4
Sanghar 5
Mirpur Khas Mirpur Khas 4
Umerkot 3
Tharparkar 4
Hyderabad Matiari 2
Tando Allahyar 2
Hyderabad 6
Tando Muhammad Khan 2
Banbhore Badin 5
Sujawal 2
Thatta 2
Hyderabad Jamshoro 3
Dadu 4
Karachi Malir 6
Korangi 7
East 9
South 5
Keamari 5
West 6
Central 9
Total 130

Results by constituency

District Constituency Winner Runner Up Margin
No. Name Candidate Party Votes % Candidate Party Votes %
Jacobabad 1 Jacobabad-I
2 Jacobabad-II
3 Jacobabad-III
Kashmore 4 Kashmore-I
5 Kashmore-II
6 Kashmore-III
Shikarpur 7 Shikarpur-I
8 Shikarpur-II
9 Shikarpur-III
Larkana 10 Larkana-I
11 Larkana-II
12 Larkana-III
13 Larkana-IV
Qambar Shahdadkot 14 Qambar Shahdadkot-I
15 Qambar Shahdadkot-II
16 Qambar Shahdadkot-III
17 Qambar Shahdadkot-IV
Ghotki 18 Ghotki-I
19 Ghotki-II
20 Ghotki-III
21 Ghotki-IV
Sukkur 22 Sukkur-I
23 Sukkur-II
24 Sukkur-III
25 Sukkur-IV
Khairpur 26 Khairpur-I
27 Khairpur-II
28 Khairpur-III
29 Khairpur-IV
30 Khairpur-V
31 Khairpur-VI
Naushahro Feroze 32 Naushahro Feroze-I
33 Naushahro Feroze-II
34 Naushahro Feroze-III
35 Naushahro Feroze-IV
Nawabshah 36 Nawabshah-I
37 Nawabshah-II
38 Nawabshah-III
39 Nawabshah-IV
Sanghar 40 Sanghar-I
41 Sanghar-II
42 Sanghar-III
43 Sanghar-IV
44 Sanghar-V
Mirpur Khas 45 Mirpur Khas-I
46 Mirpur Khas-II
47 Mirpur Khas-III
48 Mirpur Khas-IV
Umerkot 49 Umerkot-I
50 Umerkot-II
51 Umerkot-III
Tharparkar 52 Tharparkar-I
53 Tharparkar-II
54 Tharparkar-III
55 Tharparkar-IV
Matiari 56 Matiari-I
57 Matiari-II
Tando Allahyar 58 Tando Allahyar-I
59 Tando Allahyar-II
Hyderabad 60 Hyderabad-I
61 Hyderabad-II
62 Hyderabad-III
63 Hyderabad-IV
64 Hyderabad-V
65 Hyderabad-VI
Tando Muhammad Khan 66 Tando Muhammad Khan-I
67 Tando Muhammad Khan-II
Badin 68 Badin-I
69 Badin-II
70 Badin-III
71 Badin-IV
72 Badin-V
Sujawal 73 Sujawal-I
74 Sujawal-II
Thatta 75 Thatta-I
76 Thatta-II
Jamshoro 77 Jamshoro-I
78 Jamshoro-II
79 Jamshoro-III
Dadu 80 Dadu-I
81 Dadu-II
82 Dadu-III
83 Dadu-IV
Malir 84 Karachi Malir-I
85 Karachi Malir-II
86 Karachi Malir-III
87 Karachi Malir-IV
88 Karachi Malir-V
89 Karachi Malir-VI
Korangi 90 Karachi Korangi-I
91 Karachi Korangi-II
92 Karachi Korangi-III
93 Karachi Korangi-IV
94 Karachi Korangi-V
95 Karachi Korangi-VI
96 Karachi Korangi-VII
Karachi East 97 Karachi East-I
98 Karachi East-II
99 Karachi East-III
100 Karachi East-IV
101 Karachi East-V
102 Karachi East-VI
103 Karachi East-VII
104 Karachi East-VIII
105 Karachi East-IX
Karachi South 106 Karachi South-I
107 Karachi South-II
108 Karachi South-III
109 Karachi South-IV
110 Karachi South-V
Keamari 111 Karachi Keamari-I
112 Karachi Keamari-II
113 Karachi Keamari-III
114 Karachi Keamari-IV
115 Karachi Keamari-V
Karachi West 116 Karachi West-I
117 Karachi West-II
118 Karachi West-III
119 Karachi West-IV
120 Karachi West-V
121 Karachi West-VI
Karachi Central 122 Karachi Central-I
123 Karachi Central-II
124 Karachi Central-III
125 Karachi Central-IV
126 Karachi Central-V
127 Karachi Central-VI
128 Karachi Central-VII
129 Karachi Central-VIII
130 Karachi Central-IX

See also

Notes

  1. ^ 29 seats are reserved for women and 9 are reserved for non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation
  2. ^ This is a column that lists the percentage of undecided voters and non-voters in certain polls that publish this data. As some polls do not publish any data whatsoever on undecided voters and non-voters, the columns with survey participants that had a preference when polled are all that is needed to reach 100%. In surveys that do include data on non-voters and undecided voters, a scaling factor is applied to the margin of error and the rest of the data (for example, if the number of undecideds and non-voters equals 20%, each party would have their vote share scaled up by a factor of 100/80 (the formula is 100/(100-UndecidedPercentage)). This is done to keep consistency between the different polls and the different types data they provide.
  3. ^ a b c This poll or crosstabulation did not include any data about undecided voters or non-voters and cut them out completely from the published results.

References

  1. ^ "The Constitution of Pakistan, Part VIII: Elections". Archived from the original on 2018-12-26. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
  2. ^ "Pakistan's general election may be delayed by new census". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 2023-08-06.
  3. ^ Sadozai, Irfan (2023-08-17). "Election delay all but certain as ECP decides to go for fresh delimitation". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2023-08-17.
  4. ^ Sadozai, Irfan; Guramani, Nadir; Bhatti, Haseeb; Momand, Abdullah (2023-11-02). "President, ECP agree on holding elections on Feb 8". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2023-11-02.
  5. ^ "PPP sweeps Sindh". The Express Tribune. 2018-07-26. Archived from the original on 2022-09-25. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
  6. ^ "PTI breaks decades-old MQM hegemony in Karachi". Daily Times. 2018-07-27. Archived from the original on 2018-07-28. Retrieved 2022-09-25.
  7. ^ News Desk (2022-09-06). "Imran urges Sindh's youth to be part of his team to defeat Zardari". Pakistan Observer. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  8. ^ Malik, Adam (2014-11-20). "'Liberating Sindh': Imran Khan and the Hero syndrome". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  9. ^ Khan, Ayaz Muhammad (2021-08-07). "Can PTI dethrone PPP from Sindh government?". Global Village Space. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  10. ^ News Desk (2018-04-06). "Will PTI be able to gain seats in Interior Sindh?". Global Village Space. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  11. ^ "Karachi-based MQM factions in talks for merger". gulfnews.com. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
  12. ^ "All MQM factions agree to unite, says Tessori". www.thenews.com.pk. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
  13. ^ Reporter, The Newspaper's Staff (2023-01-07). "Afaq not against merger of MQM factions, says governor". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
  14. ^ Web Desk (2023-01-12). "PSP, Farooq Sattar formally announce merger with MQM-P". ARY NEWS. Retrieved 2023-01-12.
  15. ^ Sadozai, Irfan (2023-12-15). "ECP issues election schedule for Feb 8 general polls". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2023-12-15.
  16. ^ "Sindh Assembly bows out as Governor Tissori signs dissolution summary". Geo.tv. 2023-08-11. Retrieved 2023-08-11.
  17. ^ "PTI wins NA-245 seat by huge margin". The Express Tribune. 2022-08-21. Retrieved 2022-08-23.
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