2022 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman^[2]
Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1]

Potential

Declined

Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district^[3]^[6]
Roger Stone, political consultant^[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Edward Abud, businessman^[8]
Shantele Bennett, financial advisor and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2019^[9]
Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020^[10]
Josue Larose, perennial candidate^[11]
Joshua Weil, teacher^[12]

Publicly expressing interest

Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district^[13]

Potential

Charlie Crist, U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district, former Republican governor of Florida, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, and nominee for governor in 2014^[14]
Val Demings, U.S. representative for Florida's 10th congressional district^[15]^[16]
Ted Deutch, U.S. representative for Florida's 22nd congressional district^[16]
Anna Eskamani, state representative^[17]
Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture^[18]
Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative for Florida's 2nd congressional district and candidate for governor of Florida in 2018^[18]
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative for Florida's 26th congressional district^[19]
Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative for Florida's 7th congressional district^[20]
Jason Pizzo, state senator^[20]

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared

Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant^[21]
Grace Granda, business consultant^[22]

Potential

David Jolly, former U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district^[23]

Declined

John Morgan, attorney and medical marijuana advocate^[16]
Joe Scarborough, MSNBC host and former U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district^[24]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[25]	Likely R	January 25, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Likely R	January 28, 2021
Inside Elections^[27]	Battleground	January 25, 2021

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Data For Progress^[A]	September 15–22, 2020	620 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%	43%	15%

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

Partisan clients

^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.

References

^ ^a ^b "Sen. Marco Rubio will run for reelection in 2022". The Floridian. November 9, 2020. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
^ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ ^a ^b ^c Manjarres, Javier (November 4, 2019). "Succeeding Marco Rubio in 2022". The Floridian. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
^ "Speculation swirls over Ivanka Trump's potential run for US Senate in Florida". The Guardian. December 13, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020.
^ "'I like Ivanka': Marco Rubio sweats over rumoured Trump Senate challenge". The Guardian. January 25, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
^ Contorno, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Matt Gaetz won't challenge Marco Rubio in 2022, he says". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved January 19, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ Smiley, David (December 17, 2020). "Marco Rubio may face a Florida primary challenge in 2022. Here's why". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
^ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 14, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1474139". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 5, 2021.
^ "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
^ "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
^ Marc Caputo [@MarcACaputo] (January 26, 2021). "Progressive firebrand & former US Rep. @AlanGrayson is making calls about running against Republican US Sen. @marcorubio "Repeal Rubio. That's all I have to say," Grayson told me when I reached out. Grayson ran for Sen in 2016 but lost in the primary to Rep Patrick Murphy" (Tweet). Retrieved January 27, 2021 – via Twitter.
^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Florida Elections, Candidates & Politics". www.politics1.com. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
^ DJ 6 Minutes (June 10, 2020). "If Passed Over By Biden, Val Demings Could Challenge Republican Rubio In Florida Senate Race In 2022". WMBT. Retrieved September 14, 2020.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
^ ^a ^b ^c Smiley, Dave (November 10, 2020). "Florida's 2022 elections are already shaping up. Here's who is (and may be) running". Miami Herald. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
^ Powers, Scott (July 29, 2019). "Anna Eskamani registers higher-office campaign websites—just in case". Archived from the original on March 10, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
^ ^a ^b Burlew, Jeff (November 20, 2018). "Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
^ Man, Anthony (January 2, 2021). "2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ ^a ^b Contorno, Steve (July 19, 2020). "As Ron DeSantis slips in Florida polls, Democratic challengers for governor are starting to emerge". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
^ "FLORIDA". PoliticsOne. September 16, 2020. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
^ "GRANDA, GRACE - Candidate overview".
^ https://floridapolitics.com/archives/352242-former-u-s-rep-david-jolly-hints-at-possible-run-for-governor-or-u-s-senate
^ Caputo, Marc (January 28, 2021). "'What Democrat beats that guy?': Top Dems flinch from Rubio challenge". POLITICO. Retrieved February 4, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ "2022 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
^ "2022 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
^ "2022 Senate Election: A First Look". Inside elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

External links

Official campaign websites

[Key-28] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[29] Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.

[:0-1] "Sen. Marco Rubio will run for reelection in 2022". The Floridian. November 9, 2020. Retrieved November 9, 2020.

[2] "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[succeeding-3] Manjarres, Javier (November 4, 2019). "Succeeding Marco Rubio in 2022". The Floridian. Retrieved September 22, 2020.

[4] "Speculation swirls over Ivanka Trump's potential run for US Senate in Florida". The Guardian. December 13, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020.

[5] "'I like Ivanka': Marco Rubio sweats over rumoured Trump Senate challenge". The Guardian. January 25, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.

[6] Contorno, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Matt Gaetz won't challenge Marco Rubio in 2022, he says". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved January 19, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[7] Smiley, David (December 17, 2020). "Marco Rubio may face a Florida primary challenge in 2022. Here's why". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved December 19, 2020.

[8] "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 14, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[9] "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved October 1, 2020.

[10] "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1474139". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved January 5, 2021.

[11] "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved October 1, 2020.

[12] "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

[13] Marc Caputo [@MarcACaputo] (January 26, 2021). "Progressive firebrand & former US Rep. @AlanGrayson is making calls about running against Republican US Sen. @marcorubio "Repeal Rubio. That's all I have to say," Grayson told me when I reached out. Grayson ran for Sen in 2016 but lost in the primary to Rep Patrick Murphy" (Tweet). Retrieved January 27, 2021 – via Twitter.

[:1-14] Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Florida Elections, Candidates & Politics". www.politics1.com. Retrieved November 12, 2020.

[15] DJ 6 Minutes (June 10, 2020). "If Passed Over By Biden, Val Demings Could Challenge Republican Rubio In Florida Senate Race In 2022". WMBT. Retrieved September 14, 2020.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)

[:2-16] Smiley, Dave (November 10, 2020). "Florida's 2022 elections are already shaping up. Here's who is (and may be) running". Miami Herald. Retrieved November 20, 2020.

[17] Powers, Scott (July 29, 2019). "Anna Eskamani registers higher-office campaign websites—just in case". Archived from the original on March 10, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.

[fouryears-18] Burlew, Jeff (November 20, 2018). "Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 14, 2020.

[19] Man, Anthony (January 2, 2021). "2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved January 18, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[demchallengers-20] Contorno, Steve (July 19, 2020). "As Ron DeSantis slips in Florida polls, Democratic challengers for governor are starting to emerge". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 14, 2020.

[politicsone-21] "FLORIDA". PoliticsOne. September 16, 2020. Retrieved September 22, 2020.

[22] "GRANDA, GRACE - Candidate overview".

[23] ttps://floridapolitics.com/archives/352242-former-u-s-rep-david-jolly-hints-at-possible-run-for-governor-or-u-s-senate

[24] Caputo, Marc (January 28, 2021). "'What Democrat beats that guy?': Top Dems flinch from Rubio challenge". POLITICO. Retrieved February 4, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[Cook_PR-25] "2022 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-26] "2022 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.

[Inside_elections-27] "2022 Senate Election: A First Look". Inside elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.

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