2023 Valencian regional election
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All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes 50 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next Valencian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts will be up for election.
Overview
Electoral system
The Corts Valencianes are the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the Corts is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Valencians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).[1][3]
Election date
The term of the Corts Valencianes expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 April 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 28 April 2023. The election decree must be published in the DOGV no later than 4 April 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[1][3][4]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts are to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
Parliamentary status
The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the Corts at the present time.[5]
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 50 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
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Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:People's Party of the Valencian Community/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Coalició Compromís/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Vox (political party)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Unidas Podemos/meta/color;"| | |||||
| Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[6] | 17–20 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | 65.7 | 27.3 28 |
25.6 27 |
6.8 8 |
16.7 15 |
12.8 13 |
8.3 8 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 1.7 |
| SyM Consulting[p 1][p 2] | 19–21 May 2020 | 1,695 | 72.6 | 24.6 25/26 |
23.4 25/26 |
12.0 11 |
15.1 14/15 |
13.9 14/16 |
7.4 7/8 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 1.2 |
| electoPanel/electomania.es[p 3][p 4] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 26.2 27 |
23.6 25 |
8.8 9 |
16.3 16 |
12.6 13 |
8.4 9 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.6 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 69.8 | 27.6 31 |
23.0 24 |
7.7 7 |
7.0 5 |
18.5 19 |
13.4 13 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 4.6 |
| Invest Group/Levante-EMV[p 5] | 23 Sep–1 Oct 2019 | 900 | ? | 32.6 35 |
21.8 22 |
10.0 10 |
16.5 18 |
8.7 8 |
7.4 6 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.8 |
| 2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.5 | 33.0 36 |
22.6 25 |
14.3 15 |
8.4 7 |
7.2 7 |
9.7 9 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.4 |
| 2019 regional election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 73.7 | 24.2 27 |
19.1 19 |
17.7 18 |
16.7 17 |
10.6 10 |
8.1 8 |
style="background:Template:Socialist Party of the Valencian Country/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1 |
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/05/2020: UP-EUPV 7,4% (7/8), COMPROMÍS 15,1% (14/15), PSOE 24,6% (25/26), Cs 12,0% (11), PP 23,4% (25/26), VOX 13,9% (14/16)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
- ^ "EP (17My): Com. Valenciana – desplome de Cs que aprovechan PP y Vox. Se mantiene el Botanic". electomania.es (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". electomania.es (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "La izquierda toma ventaja". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 9 October 2019.
- Other
- ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 1 July 1982. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
- ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- ^ a b c Ley 1/1987, de 31 de marzo, Electoral Valenciana. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 2) (in Spanish). 31 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
- ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
- ^ "Grupos parlamentarios". www.cortsvalencianes.es. Corts Valencianes. Retrieved 11 October 2019.
- ^ "Sondeo ESdiario: El PSPV de Puig resiste ante la escalada del PP". ESdiario (in Spanish). 23 June 2020.
 Elections in the Valencian Community | |
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| Regional elections | |
| General elections | |
| European Parliament elections | |
| Local elections | |