According to an American political conspiracy theory, the deep state is a clandestine network of members of the federal government (especially within the FBI and CIA), working in conjunction with high-level financial and industrial entities and leaders, to exercise power alongside or within the elected United States government. The term deep state originated in the 1990s as a reference to an alleged longtime deep state in Turkey, but began to be used to refer to the American government as well, including during the Obama administration. However, the theory reached mainstream recognition under the presidency of Donald Trump, who referenced an alleged deep state working against him and his administration's agenda.
The term has precedents since at least the 1950s, including the concept of the military–industrial complex (more popular among the political left than "deep state"), which posits a cabal of generals and defense contractors who enrich themselves through pushing the country into endless wars.
Although the term 'deep state' is thought to have originated in Turkey in the 1990s, belief in the concept of a deep state has been present in the United States since at least the 1950s. A 1955 article in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, quotes Americans sharing their belief in the existence of a "dual state": a hidden national security hierarchy and shadow government that monitors and controls elected politicians.
Usage by journalists and academics
Historian Alfred W. McCoy argued that the increase in the power of the United States Intelligence Community since the September 11 attacks "has built a fourth branch of the U.S. government" that is "in many ways autonomous from the executive, and increasingly so".
Tufts University professor Michael J. Glennon stated that President Barack Obama did not succeed in resisting or changing what he calls the "double government" and points to Obama's failure to close Guantanamo Bay detention camp, a major campaign promise, as evidence of the existence of a deep state.
In a 2017 interview several weeks before Trump was inaugurated, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer called Trump "really dumb" for having repeatedly criticized the CIA, saying, "Let me tell you, you take on the intelligence community, they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you." Various commentators, as well as the ACLU, have pointed to this statement as evidence for the existence of a deep state.
Rebecca Gordon, a teacher and author at the University of San Francisco, wrote in a 2020 piece for Business Insider that Trump has used the term "deep state" to refer to the U.S. government, in particular government Institutions that "frustrate" him, as well as block or fail to implement his government policy such as courts, the Justice Department, and the news media.
Usage by public figures
In 2014, former Congressional staffer Mike Lofgren alleged that there was a deep state protecting "powerful vested interests" and that a "web of entrenched interests in the US government and beyond ... dictate America’s defense decisions, trade policies and priorities with little regard for the actual interests or desires of the American people".
In 2017, former Democratic U.S. Representative Dennis Kucinich alleged that there were individuals in the intelligence community attempting to sabotage relations between the United States and Russia.
Usage by Trump and allies
During his presidency, Donald Trump and his strategists alleged that the deep state was interfering with his agenda and that the United States Department of Justice was part of the deep state because it did not prosecute Huma Abedin or James Comey. Some Trump allies and right-wing media outlets alleged that Obama was coordinating a deep state resistance to Trump. President Trump's supporters used deep state to refer to allegations that intelligence officers and executive branch officials were influencing policy via leaks or other internal means.
In 2018, Newt Gingrich alleged that Robert Mueller was part of the deep state for the Special Counsel investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections.
In 2018, The New York Times published an anonymous op-ed by DHS chief of staff Miles Taylor titled "I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration", attributed at the time to a "senior official in the Trump Administration". In the essay, Taylor was critical of President Trump and claimed "that many of the senior officials in [Trump's] own administration are working diligently from within to frustrate parts of his agenda and his worst inclinations". House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy described this as evidence of the deep state at work, and David Bossie wrote an op-ed at Fox News saying this was the deep state "working against the will of the American people".
Critics of Trump's use of the term 'deep state' maintain that it is a conspiracy theory with no basis in reality.
UCLA School of Law professor Jon D. Michaels argued that compared with developing governments such as Egypt, Pakistan, and Turkey, governmental power structures in the United States are "almost entirely transparent". Michaels argues that the American 'deep state', which includes federal agencies responsible for regulation, welfare, crime prevention, and defense, and the employees who operate them, fundamentally differs from Trump's use of the term in five important respects:
- Not Elitist – In the US, bureaucrats come from a diverse range of socio-economic backgrounds, especially when compared to those in the Middle East, and even Western Europe.
- Not Shadowy – American agencies are generally "transparent and accessible" , in comparison to those of the Middle East, Asia, and Europe.
- Not Monolithic – the American deep state is "internally diverse and fragmented."
- A Bulwark, Not a Battering Ram – actions of civil servants in the US are inherently defensive, not proactive.
- Not an Extraconstitutional Force – the bureaucracy should be seen as part of the constitutional system of checks and balances in the US, which often serves as a final check on presidential or agency overreach.
Political commentator and former presidential adviser David Gergen said that the term had been appropriated by Steve Bannon, Breitbart News, and other supporters of the Trump administration in order to delegitimize the critics of the presidency.
Stephen Walt, professor of international relations at Harvard University, argued that there is no deep state and that "to the extent that there is a bipartisan foreign-policy elite, it is hiding in plain sight".
Anthropologist C. August Elliott likened military involvement in the Trump administration as a "shallow state" in which they were forced to guide the administration "away from a potential shipwreck".
Linguist Geoffrey Nunberg said that deep state is an "elastic label" in that "its story conforms to the intricate grammar of those conspiracy narratives", referencing the transition of conservative rhetoric regarding "big government" from "meddlesome bunglers" to "conniving ideologues".
According to an ABC NEWS/Washington Post poll of Americans in April 2017, about half (48%) thought there was a deep state, defined as "military, intelligence and government officials who try to secretly manipulate government", while about a third (35%) of all participants thought it was a false conspiracy theory, and the remainder (17%) had no opinion. Of those who believe a deep state exists, more than half (58%) said it was a major problem, a net of 28% of those surveyed.
A March 2018 poll by Monmouth University found most respondents (63%) were unfamiliar with deep state but a majority believe that a deep state likely exists in the United States when described as "a group of unelected government and military officials who secretly manipulate or direct national policy". Three-fourths (74%) of the respondents say that they believe this type of group probably (47%) or definitely (27%) exists in the federal government.
An October 2019 The Economist/YouGov poll found that, without giving a definition of deep state to respondents, 70% of Republicans, 38% of independents, and 13% of Democrats agreed that a deep state was "trying to overthrow Trump".
- "Deep state", for which he cites Mike Lofgren's 2014 definition: "a hybrid association of elements of government and parts of top-level finance and industry that is effectively able to govern ... without reference to the consent of the governed as expressed through the formal political process".
- "Dark state" – "networks of officials, private firms, media outlets, think tanks, foundations, NGOs, interest groups, and other forces that attend to the needs of capital, not of everyday life" while "concealed from public gaze", or "hidden in plain sight"), citing political scientist Jason Lindsay's 2013 article.[verify]: 37–38
- "The Fourth Branch' of U.S. government" – consisting of "an ever more unchecked and unaccountable centre ..., working behind a veil of secrecy", citing Tom Engelhardt's 2014 book.
Deep state has been associated with the "military–industrial complex" by author Mike Lofgren, who has identified this complex as the private part of the deep state. University professor and journalist Marc Ambinder has suggested that a myth about the deep state is that it functions as one entity; in reality, he states "the deep state contains multitudes, and they are often at odds with one another".
- Civil service
- Dual power
- Fifth column
- Illiberal democracy
- Parallel state
- Power behind the throne
- Shadow government (conspiracy theory)
- Smoke-filled room
- Osnos, Evan (May 21, 2018). "Trump vs. the 'Deep State'". The New Yorker. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
- Fallows, James (July 15, 2013). "The Impending Senate Vote on Confirming Nominees". The Atlantic Monthly. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
- Barnes, Julian E.; Goldman, Adam; and Savage, Charlie (December 18, 2018) "Blaming the Deep State: Officials Accused of Wrongdoing Adopt Trump's Response" The New York Times
- Ruper, Aaron (June 17, 2019) "Trump accidentally undercuts his own 'deep state' FBI conspiracy theory" Vox
- "How the 'deep state' conspiracy theory went mainstream". Newsweek. August 2, 2017. Retrieved August 12, 2017.
- David Rohde. IN DEEP: THE FBI, THE CIA, AND THE TRUTH ABOUT AMERICA'S "DEEP STATE. W. W. Norton & Company. ISBN 978-1-324-00355-7.
- "Nearly half of Americans think there's a 'deep state' in US: Poll". ABC News. April 27, 2017. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- Wright, Avid. "Americans skeptical of government, more politically engaged, poll finds". CNN. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- "The Turkish Origins of the 'Deep State'", jstor.org, April 10, 2017.
- Curtis, Adam (October 16, 2020). "Is QAnon a game gone wrong?". FT Film. Financial Times. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
- Morgenthau, Hans J.; Kennan, George F. (April 1, 1955). "The Impact of the Loyalty-Security Measures on the State Department". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 11 (4): 134–140. Bibcode:1955BuAtS..11d.134M. doi:10.1080/00963402.1955.11453586. ISSN 0096-3402.
- Friedman, George (March 15, 2017). "The Deep State Is A Very Real Thing". HuffPost.
- Scahill, Jeremy (July 22, 2017). "Donald Trump and the Coming Fall of the American Empire". The Intercept. Retrieved July 29, 2017.
- Smith, Jordan Michael (October 18, 2014). "Vote all you want. The secret government won't change". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
- Shelbourne, Mallory (January 3, 2017). "Schumer: Trump 'really dumb' for attacking intelligence agencies". The Hill.
- Rozsa, Matthew (May 30, 2017). "Donald Trump thinks there's a "deep state" conspiracy against him". Salon.
- Armerding, Taylor (February 22, 2017). "Leaky intelligence community is swamping President Trump". The Salem News.
- Codevilla, Angelo (February 17, 2020). "It's time to abolish CIA & FISA". Asia Times.
- Stanley, Jay (January 9, 2017). "Do U.S. Politicians Need to Fear Our Intelligence Agencies?". ACLU.
- Gordon, Rebecca. "What the American 'deep state' actually is, and why Trump gets it wrong". Business Insider. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
- "The Deep State by Mike Lofgren: 9780143109938 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books". PenguinRandomhouse.com.
- Lofgren, Mike (February 21, 2014). "Essay: Anatomy of the Deep State". BillMoyers.com. Retrieved October 18, 2018.
- "Moyers & Company | the Deep State Hiding in Plain Sight | Season 3 | Episode 8". PBS.
- "Is Michael Flynn the first casualty of a 'deep state' coup? It's not unthinkable". Salon. February 16, 2017. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
- "Kucinich: 'Deep State' Trying to Take Down Trump, 'Our Country is Under Attack Within'". realclearpolitics.com.
- "Edward Snowden: 'Poisoning people who are long out of their service is contemptible'". repubblica.it. March 18, 2018.
- Davis, Julie Hirschfeld (March 6, 2017). "Rumblings of a 'Deep State' Undermining Trump? It Was Once a Foreign Concept". The New York Times.
- Rucker, Phillip; Costa, Robert; Parker, Ashley (March 5, 2017). "Inside Trump's fury: The president rages at leaks, setbacks and accusations". The Washington Post.
- Lucey, Catherine; Superville, Darlene (January 2, 2018). "Trump accuses DOJ of being part of 'deep state'". Associated Press. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
- Weigel, David (March 7, 2017). "Trump and Republicans see a 'deep state' foe: Barack Obama". The Washington Post.
- Tharoor, Ishaan (February 1, 2017). "Is Trump fighting the deep state or creating his own?". The Washington Post.
- Abramson, Alana (March 8, 2017). "President Trump's Allies Keep Talking About the 'Deep State'. What's That?". Time.
'This is a dark conspiratorial view that is being pushed by [top Trump strategist] Steve Bannon, his allies at Breitbart and some others in the conservative movement that is trying to delegitimize the opposition to Trump in many quarters and pass the blame to others,' said David Gergen.
- Crowley, Michael (September–October 2017). "The Deep State Is Real". Politico Magazine. Retrieved September 5, 2017.
- Tomasky, Michael (August 16, 2018). "title needed". The New York Review of Books. p. 8.
- Anonymous (September 5, 2018). "I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration". The New York Times. Retrieved November 17, 2018.
- McCarthy, Kevin (September 7, 2018). "A Top Republican Fires Back at 'Anonymous'". The New York Times. Retrieved November 17, 2018.
- Bossie, David N. "Anonymous NY Times op-ed shows Deep State thugs are working against the will of the American people". Fox News. Retrieved November 17, 2018.
- Laura Ingraham (March 20, 2018). "Rand Paul: No question that there is a deep state". The Laura Ingraham Show (Podcast). Event occurs at 30:19. Archived from the original on December 6, 2018. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
- Paul, Rand [@RandPaul] (December 4, 2018). "Do you want to know what the deep state is?" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- Senator Rand Paul (December 10, 2018). "Compares Exclusive C.I.A. Khashoggi Briefing to 'Deep State'". The New York Times (Interview). Washington, D.C: Associated Press. Retrieved December 10, 2018.
- "Mick Mulvaney said the deep state is '100% true,' and government officials should obey Trump or quit". Business Insider.
- Stanage, Niall (June 5, 2017). "The Memo: Is Trump a victim of the 'deep state'?". The Hill.
- "Michaels, Jon". www.law.ucla.edu. UCLA School of Law. August 15, 2017. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
- Michaels, Jon D. (September–October 2017). "Trump and the 'Deep State'". Foreign Affairs.
- Michaels, Jon D. (2017). "The American Deep State". Notre Dame L. Rev. 93: 1653.
- Graham, David A. (February 20, 2017). "Why it's dangerous to talk about a deep state". The Atlantic Monthly.
- Walt, Stephen M. (September 7, 2018). "The Battle for Crazytown". Foreign Policy. Retrieved October 20, 2018.
- Elliott, C. August (April 15, 2017). "MOABs win battles but they don't win wars". ABC News. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
- Nunberg, Geoff. "Opinion: Why The Term 'Deep State' Speaks To Conspiracy Theorists". NPR. Retrieved August 24, 2018.
- Hafford, Michael (March 9, 2017). "Deep State: Inside Donald Trump's Paranoid Conspiracy Theory – Rolling Stone". Rollingstone.com. Retrieved May 29, 2019.
- Langer Research Associates. "Lies, Damn Lies and the Deep State: Plenty of Americans See Them All" (PDF). ABC News.
- Morin, Rebecca. "Poll: Majority believe 'deep state' manipulates U.S. policies". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- "Public Troubled by 'Deep State'". Monmouth University Polling Institute. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- Frankovic, Kathy. "Americans who favor impeachment want President Trump removed, too | YouGov". today.yougov.com. Retrieved October 19, 2019.
- Jessop, Bob (December 2015). The State: Past, Present, Future. John Wiley & Sons. p. 224.
- Lindsey, Jason Royce (2013). The Concealment of the State. Bloomsbury. ISBN 978-1-4411-7245-7.
- Engelhardt, Tom (2014). Shadow Government: Surveillance, Secret Wars, and a Global Security State in a Single Superpower World. Chicago: Haymarket Books. ISBN 9781608464272.
- "'Deep State' Truthout Interview". February 22, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2017.
- Ambinder, Marc (March 10, 2017). "Five myths about the deep state". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved August 9, 2017.