Post-election pendulum for the 2019 New South Wales state election
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The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2019 New South Wales state election.[1]
"Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.
All margins are Coalition vs. Labor unless specified otherwise.
Margins by party
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Dave Layzell was elected to the district of Upper Hunter in the 2021 by-election after the resignation of Michael Johnsen.
- ^ While the post-2019 margin is 2.5%, the results of the 2021 Upper Hunter state by-election is a margin of 5.8% for the National Party of Australia – NSW.
References
[edit]- ^ Raue, Ben. "New South Wales 2019 Pendulum".