2012 United States Senate election in Connecticut
This article has multiple issues. Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page. (Learn how and when to remove these messages)
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 60.9% (voting eligible)[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McMahon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Connecticut |
---|
The 2012 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 6, 2012, in conjunction with the 2012 U.S. presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primaries to elect Senate candidates from the Republican and Democratic parties were held on Tuesday, August 14, 2012.[2]
Incumbent U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman, an independent who caucused with the Democratic Party, decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fifth term.[3] Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon faced Democratic representative Chris Murphy in the general election and lost, marking two defeats in as many years.[4] Elected at the age of 39, Chris Murphy would be the youngest senator in the 113th United States Congress.
Background
[edit]In the 2006 election, incumbent Joe Lieberman was defeated in the Democratic primary by businessman Ned Lamont and formed his own party, Connecticut for Lieberman, winning re-election. Lieberman promised to remain in the Senate Democratic Caucus, but had since stood against the Democrats on many significant issues, including his endorsement of Republican 2008 presidential nominee John McCain over Barack Obama.[5] As a result, Lieberman's poll numbers among Democrats dropped significantly.[6][7]
Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal was reportedly considering a run against Lieberman,[8] but instead ran for and won Connecticut's other Senate seat in 2010 after U.S. Senator Christopher Dodd announced his retirement.[9]
Lieberman had publicly floated the possibility of running as a Democrat,[10] Republican,[11] or an independent.[12] However, on January 19, 2011, he announced that he would not run for another term.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Susan Bysiewicz, former Connecticut Secretary of State[13]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. Representative[14]
- Sylvester Salcedo, attorney[15]
- Lee Whitnum, anti-AIPAC activist and software engineer[16]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Matthew Oakes, activist (endorsed Murphy)[17]
- William Tong, State Representative (running for re-election; endorsed Murphy)[18]
Debates
[edit]The first Democratic debate took place on February 23, 2012, with Murphy, Bysiewicz, and Tong participating.[19] The first televised debate was held on April 5, with Murphy, Bysiewicz, Tong, Oakes, and Whitnum participating.[20] A debate was held at UConn on April 9, with the five candidates participating.[21] A debate sponsored by WFSB took place on April 15, with all five taking part.[22]
Convention
[edit]Delegates of the Connecticut Democratic Party endorsed Chris Murphy at their state party convention held on May 12. Murphy was the choice of 1,378 delegates (76 percent), while Susan Bysiewicz won 444 delegates (24 percent), enough to qualify for the August 14 primary. Matthew Oakes received the support of one delegate from Hartford. Lee Whitnum's name was not placed in nomination.[23]
Endorsements
[edit]Politicians
- Bill Clinton, 42nd President of the United States[24]
- George Jepsen, Connecticut attorney general[18]
- Kevin Lembo, Connecticut comptroller[18]
- Dan Malloy, Connecticut governor[18]
- Denise Merrill, Connecticut secretary of the state[18]
- Matthew Oakes, disabled American and former U.S. Senate candidate[25]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[26]
- William Tong, state representative and former U.S. Senate candidate[18]
- Nancy Wyman, Connecticut lieutenant governor[18]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO (American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations)[27]
- Connecticut High School Democrats
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[28]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz |
Chris Murphy |
William Tong |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[30] | March 17–20, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 38% | 40% | — | — | 21% |
Quinnipiac[31] | September 8–13, 2011 | 447 | ±4.6% | 26% | 36% | 1% | 2% | 35% |
Public Policy Polling[32] | September 22–25, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 33% | 39% | 8% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 640 | ±3.9% | 25% | 37% | 4% | 5% | 29% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 538 | ±4.2% | 20% | 50% | — | 5% | 24% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | 32% | 49% | — | — | 18% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Murphy | 89,283 | 67.4% | |
Democratic | Susan Bysiewicz | 43,135 | 32.6% | |
Total votes | 132,418 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Brian Hill, attorney[36]
- Peter Lumaj, attorney[37]
- Linda McMahon, businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[38]
- Chris Shays, former U.S. Representative[39][40]
- Kie Westby, attorney[16]
Declined
[edit]- John Ratzenberger, actor
Debates
[edit]A debate sponsored by the Norwich Bulletin took place on April 19, 2012, with McMahon, Shays, Lumaj, Hill, and Westby in attendance.[41] The debate was not televised. The first televised debate took place on April 22, 2012, sponsored by WFSB.[42] All five candidates participated.
Convention
[edit]Delegates of the Connecticut Republican Party endorsed Linda McMahon at their state party convention held on May 18. McMahon was the choice of 730 delegates (60 percent), while Chris Shays won 389 delegates (32 percent), enough to qualify for the August 14 primary. Brian K. Hill, Peter Lumaj, and Kie Westby did not meet the 15 percent threshold necessary to automatically qualify for the primary, receiving the support of 62, 22, and 5 delegates, respectively.[43] Hill pursued a post-convention attempt to petition his way onto the primary ballot, but fell short of the 8,319 signatures required and suspended his campaign in June.[44]
Endorsements
[edit]Politicians
- Penny Bacchiochi, Connecticut State Representative from the 52nd district[45]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO), and former Congressman[46]
- Sam Caligiuri, former State Senator, and 2010 nominee for Connecticut's 5th congressional district[47]
- Michael Fedele, former Connecticut lieutenant governor[16]
- Mark Lauretti, Mayor of Shelton, Connecticut[48]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ), and 2008 Republican Presidential Nominee[46]
- John McKinney, minority leader of the Connecticut Senate[16]
- Dick Morris, political author and Fox News commentator who previously worked as a pollster, political campaign consultant, and general political consultant and former adviser to President Bill Clinton[49]
- Peter Schiff, economist noted for predicting the housing bubble, and 2010 Senate candidate
- Rob Simmons, former U.S. Representative for Connecticut's 2nd congressional district[50]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO (American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations)[27]
- League of Conservation Voters[51]
Newspapers
- The Norwich Bulletin's editorial board[52]
Politicians
- Mark Boughton, mayor of Danbury and Republican nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010[53]
Organizations
Politicians
- Herman Cain, former CEO of Godfather's Pizza and former 2012 presidential candidate
Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jason McCoy |
Linda McMahon |
Chris Shays |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac[55] | September 8–13, 2011 | 332 | ±5.4% | — | 50% | 35% | 2% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling[32] | September 22–25, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 3% | 60% | 27% | — | 10% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 429 | ±4.7% | — | 51% | 42% | 1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 381 | ±5.0% | — | 59% | 30% | 1% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 400 | ±4.9% | — | 68% | 20% | — | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Linda McMahon | 83,413 | 72.7% | |
Republican | Chris Shays | 31,305 | 27.3% | |
Total votes | 114,718 | 100.0% |
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Linda McMahon (Republican, Independent), businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[56]
- Chris Murphy (Democratic, Working Families), U.S. Representative[56]
- Paul Passarelli (Libertarian)[56]
Campaign
[edit]Susan Bysiewicz was the first to declare herself as a candidate.[57] However, by March 2011 Chris Murphy had raised over $1 million to Bysiewicz's $500,000. Murphy had won election to Connecticut's 5th congressional district, which is considered Republican-leaning, and he promoted himself as the most electable candidate against a Republican challenger. Bysiewicz, the former Secretary of the State of Connecticut, enjoyed high name recognition while a statewide officeholder, and had a formidable face-off with Murphy. William Tong, a state representative, joined the race touting his biography as the son of Chinese immigrants working at a Chinese restaurant.[58] In January East Hartford resident Matthew John Oakes announced his candidacy. Oakes pointed to his real-life experience being a disabled American, victim of crime, and civil rights activist, growing up in the inner city and being a political outsider.[59]
Wide speculation continued on Linda McMahon, who had a widely publicized race for senator in 2010. She lost the election decisively, but had strong finances and a well-established political organization.[58] McMahon met with her former campaign consultant to review her 2010 results, and said she was leaning towards running. She planned to make a decision regarding another run after the start of 2012. Former congressman Chris Shays joined in August 2011, promoting his involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan's military contracting.[60] Shays campaign had also gained traction from a series of independent polls showing him beating or in a dead heat with the top Democratic contenders in the general election, while those same polls showed McMahon losing handily to each of the top Democratic contenders.[45] The Shays campaign quickly capitalized on these polls, arguing for the former Congressman's electability while questioning McMahon's electability due to her loss in an open Senate seat contest in 2010 by a large margin despite spending $50 million of her own money, also citing her high unfavorable numbers among state voters, and the weak fundraising numbers of the McMahon campaign.[61]
In July 2012, Shays declared that he would not support McMahon if she won the primary. He said that he had "never run against an opponent that I have respected less—ever—and there are a lot of candidates I have run against," adding that "I do not believe that Linda McMahon has spent the time, the energy to determine what [being] a senator really means." He also said that during the last debate he had with McMahon, "I thought she was embarrassingly clueless" and that "I think she is a terrible candidate and I think she would make a terrible senator." Although he said he would not support Chris Murphy, he expected him to win the Democratic nomination and the general election.[62]
In September 2012, the records of the McMahons' 1976 bankruptcy and specifics of nearly $1 million unpaid debts from the proceeding were published.[63] In days the candidate and her husband announced the "intention to reimburse all private individual creditors that can be located".[64]
Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, October 7, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 11, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 16, 2012
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2012
Fundraising
[edit]Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Murphy (D) | $10,543,456 | $10,436,219 | $107,239 | $189,925 |
Linda McMahon (R) | $50,956,502 | $50,262,442 | $351,464 | $1,250,000 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[65][66] |
Top contributors
[edit]Chris Murphy | Contribution | Linda McMahon | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moveon.org | $112,864 | Morgan Stanley | $31,050 | |
Yale University | $69,101 | Linda McMahon for Senate | $26,174 | |
League of Conservation Voters | $47,388 | General Electric | $24,250 | |
Koskoff, Koskoff & Bieder | $44,916 | Ott International | $15,000 | |
Travelers Companies | $41,000 | Thor Industries | $12,500 | |
Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company | $40,650 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $11,231 | |
Sullivan & Cromwell | $36,500 | Ceci Brothers Inc. | $10,000 | |
Comcast Corporation | $36,000 | Invemed Associates | $10,000 | |
Shipman & Goodwin | $35,511 | Midstream Partners | $10,000 | |
Northeast Utilities | $34,789 | Tudor Investment Corporation | $10,000 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[67] |
Top industries
[edit]Chris Murphy | Contribution | Linda McMahon | Contribution | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Retired | $1,041,795 | Financial Institutions | $121,717 | |
Lawyers/Law Firms | $861,258 | Retired | $81,949 | |
Financial Institutions | $580,370 | Misc Business | $55,302 | |
Real Estate | $319,466 | Manufacturing & Distributing | $46,500 | |
Leadership PACs | $302,500 | Misc Finance | $38,050 | |
Insurance Industry | $302,025 | Business Services | $28,932 | |
Health Professionals | $285,150 | Real Estate | $27,000 | |
Democratic/Liberal | $267,018 | Republican/Conservative | $25,630 | |
Universities | $232,951 | Candidate Committees | $24,874 | |
Business Services | $228,550 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $24,372 | |
Source: OpenSecrets[68] |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[69] | Tossup | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[71] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[72] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Linda McMahon (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 54% | 38% | — | 9% |
Quinnipiac[74] | September 8–13, 2011 | 1,230 | ±2.8% | 49% | 38% | — | 11% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 50% | 43% | — | 6% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 52% | 37% | — | 9% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 1,408 | ±2.6% | 46% | 43% | — | 9% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 50% | 42% | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports[76] | August 21, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 46% | 49% | — | 5% |
Public Policy Polling[77] | August 22–23, 2012 | 881 | ±3.3% | 48% | 44% | — | 8% |
Quinnipiac[34] | August 22–26, 2012 | 1,472 | ±2.6% | 46% | 49% | — | 4% |
Univ. of Connecticut/Hartford Courant[78] | September 11–16, 2012 | 517 | ±4.0% | 37% | 33% | 1% | 28% |
Public Policy Polling[79] | September 24–26, 2012 | 801 | ±3.5% | 48% | 42% | — | 10% |
Quinnipiac University Poll[80] | September 28 – October 2, 2012 | 1,696 | ±2.5% | 47% | 48% | — | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports[81] | October 7, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% |
Siena Research Institute[82] | October 4–14, 2012 | 552 | ±4.2% | 46% | 44% | — | 8% |
Univ. of Connecticut/Hartford Courant[83] | October 11–16, 2012 | 574 | ±4% | 44% | 38% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling/LCV[84] | October 15–16, 2012 | 1,015 | ±3.1% | 48% | 44% | — | 8% |
Mason-Dixon[85] | October 15–17, 2012 | 625 | ±4% | 44% | 44% | — | 12% |
SurveyUSA[86] | October 19–21, 2012 | 575 | ±4.2% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports[87] | October 21, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
Quinnipiac[88] | October 19–22, 2012 | 1,412 | ±2.6% | 49% | 43% | 1% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports[89] | October 28, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling[90] | November 1–2, 2012 | 1,220 | ±2.8% | 52% | 43% | — | 4% |
With Mark Boughton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Mark Boughton (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 44% | 34% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Mark Boughton (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 52% | 29% | 19% |
With Susan Bysiewicz
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Linda McMahon (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 50% | 39% | 12% |
Quinnipiac[74] | September 8–13, 2011 | 1,230 | ±2.8% | 46% | 38% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 49% | 39% | 9% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 1,408 | ±2.6% | 42% | 46% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
With Michael Fedele
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Michael Fedele (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Michael Fedele (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
With Scott Frantz
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Scott Frantz (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 45% | 30% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Scott Frantz (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 51% | 27% | 22% |
With Joe Lieberman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Lieberman (I) |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Peter Schiff (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[91] | September 30 – October 2, 2010 | 810 | ±3.4% | 19% | 39% | 25% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Lieberman (I) |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Jodi Rell (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000[92] | January 11–13, 2010 | 600 | ±4.0% | 23% | 25% | 47% | 2% |
810 | ±3.4% | 33% | 47% | — | 20% | ||
Public Policy Polling[91] | September 30 – October 2, 2010 | 810 | ±3.4% | 17% | 37% | 29% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Lieberman (I) |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Jodi Rell (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000[93] | March 23–25, 2008 | 600 | ±4.0% | 25% | 30% | 42% | 2% |
Research 2000[94] | September 8–10, 2009 | 600 | ±4.0% | 26% | 26% | 46% | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Lieberman (I) |
Ned Lamont (D) |
Alan Schlesinger (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research 2000[95] | March 31 – April 2, 2008 | 600 | ±4.0% | 37% | 51% | 7% | 5% |
Research 2000[96] | June 30 – July 2, 2008 | 600 | ±4.0% | 36% | 51% | 7% | 6% |
Research 2000[96] | November 11–13, 2008 | 600 | ±4.0% | 34% | 59% | 3% | 2% |
With Chris Shays
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Chris Shays (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac[74] | September 8–13, 2011 | 1,230 | ±2.8% | 40% | 42% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 37% | 48% | 16% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 42% | 43% | 13% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 1,408 | ±2.6% | 40% | 44% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Chris Shays (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac[74] | September 8–13, 2011 | 1,230 | ±2.8% | 43% | 37% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 41% | 40% | 17% |
Quinnipiac[34] | May 29 – June 3, 2012 | 1,408 | ±2.6% | 45% | 37% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling[35] | July 26–29, 2012 | 771 | ±3.5% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
With Rob Simmons
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Bysiewicz (D) |
Rob Simmons (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Murphy (D) |
Rob Simmons (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[73] | March 17–20, 2011 | 822 | ±3.4% | 49% | 34% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 45% | 36% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William Tong (D) |
Rob Simmons (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 32% | 39% | 29% |
With William Tong
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William Tong (D) |
Linda McMahon (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 39% | 43% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
William Tong (D) |
Chris Shays (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[75] | September 22–25, 2011 | 592 | ±4.0% | 27% | 46% | 27% |
Quinnipiac[33] | March 14–19, 2012 | 1,622 | ±2.4% | 25% | 50% | 21% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Murphy | 792,983 | 52.45% | +12.72% | |
Working Families | Chris Murphy | 35,778 | 2.37% | N/A | |
Total | Chris Murphy | 828,761 | 54.82% | +15.09% | |
Republican | Linda McMahon | 604,569 | 39.99% | +30.37% | |
Independent Party | Linda McMahon | 46,520 | 3.08% | N/A | |
Total | Linda McMahon | 651,089 | 43.07% | +33.45% | |
Libertarian | Paul Passarelli | 25,045 | 1.66% | N/A | |
Write-in | 6,869 | 0.45% | +0.45% | ||
Total votes | 1,511,764 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Independent Democrat |
Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic
[edit]- Fairfield (largest town: Bridgeport)
- Hartford (largest town: Hartford)
- Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
- New Haven (largest town: New Haven)
- New London (largest town: Norwich)
- Tolland (largest town: Vernon)
- Windham (largest town: Windham)
Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican
[edit]- Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)
Results by congressional district
[edit]Murphy won all 5 congressional districts.[98]
District | Murphy | McMahon | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 59.81% | 38.61% | John B. Larson |
2nd | 52.74% | 44.92% | Joe Courtney |
3rd | 59.66% | 38.65% | Rosa DeLauro |
4th | 53.5% | 44.525% | Jim Himes |
5th | 50.72% | 47.79% | Elizabeth Esty |
See also
[edit]- 2012 United States Senate elections
- 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut
References
[edit]- ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
- ^ "Candidate Committees, Exploratory Committees, and Durational Political Committees Organized for the November 6, 2012 Election" (PDF). State of Connecticut, State Elections Enforcement Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 17, 2012. Retrieved August 13, 2011.
- ^ a b "'To everything there is a season:' Lieberman announces plan to end Senate run". Connecticut Post. January 19, 2011. Retrieved January 19, 2011.
- ^ Geiger, Kim (November 6, 2012). "Democrat Murphy beats GOP's McMahon in Connecticut Senate race". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ Sargent, Greg (December 17, 2007). "FLASHBACK: Lieberman Said He Wanted To Help Elect "Democratic President In 2008"". Talking Points Memo. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved December 18, 2010.
- ^ Peoples, Steve (November 15, 2010). "Lieberman's 2012 Race Calculus Is Big Mystery". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 19, 2010. Retrieved November 30, 2010.
- ^ Ball, Molly (November 23, 2010). "Joe Lieberman left with limited 2012 options". Politico. Retrieved November 30, 2010.
- ^ Wilson, Reid (February 3, 2009). "Connecticut attorney general eyes Lieberman challenge". The Hill. Retrieved December 18, 2010.
- ^ "Richard Blumenthal announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". NECN. January 6, 2010. Retrieved January 18, 2011.
- ^ J. Taylor Rushing (March 13, 2009). "Lieberman open to reunion with Democratic Party". The Hill. Retrieved December 18, 2010.
- ^ Bash, Dana (December 16, 2010). "Lieberman won't rule out run as Republican in 2012". CNN. Retrieved November 18, 2010.
- ^ O'Brien, Michael (January 17, 2011). "Lieberman says he would likely pursue reelection as an Independent". The Hill. Retrieved December 18, 2010.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (January 18, 2011). "Bysiewicz to declare for U.S. Senate". The Connecticut Mirror. Archived from the original on July 25, 2011. Retrieved January 18, 2011.
- ^ Jacobs, Jeremy P.; Taylor, Jessica (January 20, 2011). "Chris Murphy To Run For Senate". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 23, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
- ^ Vigdor, Neil (August 16, 2011). "McMahon close to launching another Senate bid". The Westport News. Retrieved February 4, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Vigdor, Neil (January 25, 2012). "Shays officially announces Senate bid". The News-Times. Retrieved February 4, 2012.
- ^ Green, Rick (May 24, 2012). "Endorsement Over A Cold One". Archived from the original on January 21, 2013. Retrieved May 24, 2012.
- ^ a b c d e f g Pazniokas, Mark (May 1, 2012). "Tong drops, joins Malloy in endorsing Murphy". Retrieved May 2, 2012.
- ^ Jacqueline Rabe Thomas (February 23, 2012). "Senate Democratic candidates play nice at first debate". CTMirror.org. Retrieved May 4, 2012.
- ^ Phaneuf, Kieth M. (April 5, 2012). "Live Senate debate ends with personal attack on Murphy". CTMirror.org. Archived from the original on April 13, 2012. Retrieved May 4, 2012.
- ^ Crowley, Liz (April 10, 2012). "UConn hosts Senate debate". The Daily Campus. Archived from the original on April 14, 2012. Retrieved May 4, 2012.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (April 15, 2012). "Senate debate covers pot, guns and price of milk". CTMirror.org. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
- ^ Altimari, Daniela (May 12, 2012). "Murphy Wins Democratic Endorsement For U.S. Senate". The Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on September 7, 2012. Retrieved May 14, 2012.
- ^ "President Clinton Fires up Team Murphy - YouTube". YouTube.
- ^ Lockhart, Brian (May 24, 2012). "Oakes endorses Murphy over a beer, Star Trek novel". Retrieved May 24, 2012.
- ^ "Partner - YouTube". YouTube.
- ^ a b "AFL-CIO backs Murphy; Shays backs XL Keystone Pipeline | CT Senate 2012". Archived from the original on December 28, 2013. Retrieved July 26, 2012.
- ^ Terkel, Amanda (August 9, 2012). "NARAL Endorses Chris Murphy In Connecticut Senate Race, Breaking With EMILY's List". Huffington Post. Retrieved August 9, 2012.
- ^ "List".
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d e f g h Quinnipiac Archived March 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c d e f g Quinnipiac Archived September 27, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
- ^ "Brian Hill for Senate, again | The Connecticut Mirror". Archived from the original on July 22, 2011. Retrieved June 11, 2011.
- ^ Reilly, Genevieve (November 23, 2011). "Fairfield lawyer to seek U.S. Senate seat". Connecticut Post. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
- ^ "McMahon Jumps In for Second Senate Bid". Roll Call. September 19, 2011.
- ^ Vigdor, Neil (August 22, 2011). "Hearst exclusive: Former U.S. Rep. Chris Shays to enter 2012 Senate race". greenwichtime.com. Archived from the original on October 18, 2012. Retrieved April 6, 2014.
- ^ "Ex-Rep. Shays Makes Senate Bid Official". Roll Call. August 22, 2011.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (April 19, 2012). "GOP Senate debate relies on familiar songbook". CTMirror.org. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (April 22, 2012). "A GOP debate focuses on electability, jobs and jabs". CTMirror.org. Archived from the original on April 25, 2012. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
- ^ Keating, Christopher; Altimari, Daniela (May 19, 2012). "McMahon Beats Shays 730-389 At GOP Convention; Primary Fight Looms". The Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on July 22, 2012. Retrieved May 19, 2012.
- ^ "Republican candidate Brian K. Hill suspends U.S. Senate campaign". New Haven Register. June 8, 2012. Archived from the original on December 27, 2012. Retrieved June 15, 2012.
- ^ a b Pazniokas, Mark (March 29, 2012). "'Electability' the new buzzword in U.S. Senate race". CT Mirror.
- ^ a b "Account Closed - Piryx". secure.piryx.com.
- ^ /www.shaysforussenate.com/home/
- ^ Dixon, Ken (May 19, 2012). "Shays looks forward to the primary". Connecticut Post.
- ^ Christopher Shays
- ^ Toeplitz, Shira (August 26, 2011). "Linda McMahon's 2010 Foe Tells Her He's in Christopher Shays' Corner". Roll Call. Retrieved November 21, 2011.
- ^ "Conservation group endorses Chris Shays and Chris Murphy | CT Senate 2012". Archived from the original on August 6, 2012. Retrieved July 26, 2012.
- ^ "Norwich Bulletin Editorial Board Endorses Chris Shays for U.S. Senate Republican Candidate | Ameriborn News". Archived from the original on August 30, 2012. Retrieved July 26, 2012.
- ^ Langlois, Mark (December 12, 2011). "Boughton Endorses McMahon for Senate". Danbury Patch. Retrieved February 4, 2012.
- ^ "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc". October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012.
- ^ Quinnipiac Archived September 13, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b c "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 19, 2014. Retrieved April 16, 2019.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ Pazniokas, Mark. "Bysiewicz declares for US Senate". CT Mirror. Archived from the original on July 25, 2011. Retrieved September 8, 2011.
- ^ a b "2012 Connecticut Senate Race To Replace Joe Lieberman Gears Up". Huffington Post. June 19, 2011.
- ^ Oakes, Connecticut for Matthew. "Connecticut Resident Matthew John Oakes Enters U.S. Senate Race". PRLog.
- ^ Vigdor, Neil (August 22, 2011). "Hearst exclusive: Former U.S. Rep. Chris Shays entering 2012 Senate race". Greenwich Time. Retrieved February 4, 2012.
- ^ "Shays Cites Reasons for Optimism in Race Against McMahon – Hotline On Call". Archived from the original on October 18, 2012. Retrieved November 21, 2015.
- ^ O'Leary, Mary E. (July 21, 2012). "Chris Shays says he won't support Linda McMahon if she wins primary". New Haven Register. Archived from the original on July 22, 2012. Retrieved July 24, 2012.
- ^ Reindl, JC, "Records: McMahons owed nearly $1 million in 1976 bankruptcy", The Day, September 18/19, 2012. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
- ^ Altimari, Daniela, "McMahon To Repay Creditors From 1970s Bankruptcy", Hartford Courant, September 20, 2012. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
- ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Connecticut MURPHY, CHRISTOPHER S". fec.gov. Archived from the original on September 26, 2012. Retrieved August 27, 2012.
- ^ Federal Election Commission. "2012 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Connecticut MCMAHON, LINDA". fec.gov. Archived from the original on September 26, 2012. Retrieved August 27, 2012.
- ^ "Top Contributors 2012 Race: Connecticut Senate". OpenSecrets.
- ^ "Top Industries 2012 Race: Connecticut Senate". OpenSecrets.
- ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d Quinnipiac
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Univ. of Connecticut/Hartford Courant
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac University Poll [permanent dead link]
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Siena Research Institute
- ^ Univ. of Connecticut/Hartford Courant
- ^ Public Policy Polling/LCV
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ Research 2000
- ^ Research 2000
- ^ Research 2000
- ^ Research 2000
- ^ a b Research 2000
- ^ "11/06/2012-General Election Results Presidential Electors For" (PDF). portal.ct.gov.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- Connecticut Secretary of State – Elections and Voting
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
Official campaign websites (archived)