User:RobLa/CA-10-2018-results-labeled-section-transclusion
![]() | This is an experiment that User:RobLa is in the middle of. See User:RobLa/CA-10-2018-results to see one place where this page is transcluded (as of 23:47, 22 July 2020 (UTC)) |
Below is a section of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California article that User:RobLa is transcluding into this "template". This page is going to behave more like a template than an article. Now for the District 10 portion:
District 10
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The 10th district was based in the Central Valley and included Modesto (and the remainder of Stanislaus County), Manteca, and Tracy (with other portions of southern San Joaquin County). Republican Jeff Denham, who had represented the 10th district since 2013 and previously represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
Primary election
[edit]Republican candidates
[edit]Advanced to general
[edit]- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Ted Howze, veterinarian
Democratic candidates
[edit]California's 10th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[1]
Advanced to general
[edit]- Josh Harder, educator and venture capitalist[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mike Barkley, lawyer, accountant, programmer and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Michael Eggman, farmer, small businessman and general election candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Virginia Madueno, former mayor of Riverbank[3][4]
- Sue Zwahlen, registered nurse and former Modesto City Schools Board of Education member
Withdrawn
[edit]- Lisa Battista
- Mateo Morelos Bedolla
- TJ Cox, engineer and small businessman (running in the 21st)[5]
- Dotty Nygard, registered nurse and former Riverbank City Council member[6]
- Seth Vaughn
Declined
[edit]- Cathleen Galgiani, state senator from the 5th district[7]
- José Hernández, former NASA astronaut and general election candidate for this seat in 2012[3][8]
Independent candidates
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Scott Shoblom, attorney
- Terra Snover
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Michael Eggman (D) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Virginia Madueño (D) |
Sue Zwahlen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Harder)[9] | May 2–6, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 5%[10] | 4% |
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9a/2018CA10primary.svg/220px-2018CA10primary.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,719 | 37.5 | |
Democratic | Josh Harder | 20,742 | 17.0 | |
Republican | Ted D. Howze | 17,723 | 14.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Eggman | 12,446 | 10.2 | |
Democratic | Virginia Madueño | 11,178 | 9.2 | |
Democratic | Sue Zwahlen | 9,945 | 8.2 | |
Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 2,904 | 2.4 | |
Democratic | Dotty Nygard (withdrawn) | 1,100 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 121,757 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program[12]
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
- California Labor Federation[14]
- California Teachers Association[14]
- National Education Association[14]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence[14]
- Council for a Livable World[14]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[15]
- End Citizens United[14]
- J Street PAC[16]
- League of Conservation Voters[17]
- Sierra Club[18]
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Jeff Denham | Josh Harder | |||||
1 | September 22, 2018 | Turlock Journal Univision 19 |
Kristina Hacker | [19] | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
Josh Harder (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[20] | October 21–25, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
UC Berkeley[21] | September 16–23, 2018 | 726 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[22] | June 27 – July 1, 2018 | 501 | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
ALG Research (D-Eggman)[23] | March 13–15, 2018 | 400 | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[24] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[25] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[27] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[28] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[29] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[30] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[31] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Results
[edit]Although Denham led the reported vote count for several days, Harder ultimately won the general election by almost 10,000 votes with Denham conceding defeat on November 14.[32][33]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Harder | 115,945 | 52.3 | |
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 105,955 | 47.7 | |
Majority | 9,990 | 4.6 | ||
Total votes | 221,900 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
- ^ "Charging Forward, DCCC Announces Battlefield Expansion" (PDF). Retrieved 2024-01-05.
- ^ Wire, Sarah D. (May 3, 2017). "Central Valley's Jeff Denham gets new 2018 challenger". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved May 3, 2017.
- ^ a b Jardine, Jeff (May 3, 2017). "Denham beatable in 2018? Only if Democrats bet lots of money on right candidate". The Modesto Bee. Retrieved May 13, 2017.
- ^ Martin, Angelina (May 12, 2017). "Candidates stepping forward to challenge Denham in 2018". Turlock Journal. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
- ^ "Cox Upends CA-10, Switches to CA-21". The Valley Citizen. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
- ^ Frisby, Nina (April 26, 2017). "Nygard Announces Bid for Congressional Post". Oakdale Leader. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ Jardine, Jeff (March 6, 2017). "Denham inspiring the base, but which one more? Conservative or liberal?". The Modesto Bee. Retrieved May 13, 2017.
- ^ Blanco, Octavio (March 14, 2016). "How this son of migrant farm workers became an astronaut". CNN. Retrieved May 12, 2017.
- ^ Benenson Strategy Group (D-Harder)
- ^ Ted Howze (R) 4%, Mike Barkley (D) 1%
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Primary Election
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Candidates". National Republican Congressional Committee. Archived from the original on 7 November 2018. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
- ^ Barack Obama [@BarackObama] (August 1, 2018). "Today I'm proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they're running to represent" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f "Endorsements". Josh Harder for Congress. Archived from the original on September 9, 2020. Retrieved October 13, 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
RtB
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
JStreetPAC Candidates
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. March 14, 2017. Retrieved October 13, 2018.
- ^ "Endorsements | Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide". Sierra Club. July 16, 2012. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
- ^ UC Berkeley
- ^ Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
- ^ ALG Research (D-Eggman)
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Cook
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
IE
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
Sab
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
RCP
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
Kos
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
F538
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CNN
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
RatingsAndPredictions
was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Denham vs Harder: Democrat ahead in heated house race for California's 10th District". KXTV. Retrieved November 10, 2018.
- ^ Finnegan, Maya; Sweedler, Michael. "GOP Rep. Denham falls behind Democrat as 3 other Republicans lose ground in Friday's ballot tally". The San Diego Union-Tribune. Retrieved November 10, 2018.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
General Election
was invoked but never defined (see the help page).