United States presidential election in Idaho, 2004

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United States presidential election in Idaho, 2004
Idaho
2000 ←
November 2, 2004 → 2008

  George-W-Bush.jpeg John F. Kerry.jpg
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 409,235 181,098
Percentage 68.4% 30.3%

ID2004.jpg

County Results
  Kerry—50-60%
  Bush—<50%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
  Bush—80-90%
  Bush—>90%

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose 4 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since 1964. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County.

Caucuses[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Predictions[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling[edit]

Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.[2]

Fundraising[edit]

Bush raised $371,495.[3] Kerry raised $359,011.[4]

Advertising and visits[edit]

Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.[5][6]

Analysis[edit]

With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliably GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential canddidate since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats did hold the governorship from 1971 too 1995. Voters tend to be extremely conservative on fiscal and social issues.

Results[edit]

United States presidential election in Idaho, 2004[7]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush 409,235 68.4% 4
Democratic John Kerry 181,098 30.3% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 3,844 0.6% 0
Write In Michael Peroutka 3038 0.5% 0
Write In Ralph Nader 1115 0.2% 0
Write In David Cobb 58 0.0% 0
Write In John J. Kennedy 9 0.0% 0
Write In Walt Brown 3 0.0% 0
Totals 598,447 100.00% 4
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.2%

Results breakdown[edit]

By county[edit]

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others#
Ada 37.7% 58,523 61.0% 94,641 1.2% 1,866
Adams 26.9% 555 71.2% 1,468 1.9% 40
Bannock 37.0% 12,903 61.6% 21,479 1.3% 462
Bear Lake 16.3% 494 82.4% 2,506 1.3% 40
Benewah 28.3% 1,148 69.7% 2,823 2.0% 79
Bingham 21.8% 3,605 76.9% 12,734 1.4% 226
Blaine 59.1% 5,992 39.8% 4,034 1.2% 121
Boise 27.5% 970 70.9% 2,501 1.6% 56
Bonner 37.6% 6,649 60.5% 10,697 1.9% 338
Bonneville 21.5% 8,356 77.3% 30,048 1.2% 467
Boundary 29.0% 1,268 68.8% 3,012 2.3% 99
Butte 22.8% 321 76.6% 1,077 0.6% 8
Camas 23.4% 139 75.6% 450 1.0% 6
Canyon 24.1% 13,415 74.7% 41,599 1.2% 684
Caribou 15.0% 491 83.9% 2,753 1.1% 37
Cassia 14.7% 1,153 83.9% 6,562 1.4% 106
Clark 13.0% 46 85.6% 302 1.4% 5
Clearwater 27.7% 1,117 70.4% 2,839 1.9% 78
Custer 23.7% 559 74.7% 1,762 1.6% 37
Elmore 24.3% 1,959 74.6% 6,011 1.1% 91
Franklin 9.0% 456 89.6% 4,527 1.4% 71
Fremont 12.8% 741 86.1% 4,965 1.1% 63
Gem 22.8% 1,628 75.9% 5,416 1.3% 90
Gooding 24.0% 1,278 74.6% 3,973 1.4% 74
Idaho 21.2% 1,689 75.5% 6,017 3.3% 264
Jefferson 12.2% 1,084 86.5% 7,703 1.3% 119
Jerome 20.4% 1,344 78.7% 5,177 0.9% 59
Kootenai 32.2% 17,584 66.2% 36,173 1.5% 846
Latah 48.0% 8,430 49.5% 8,686 2.5% 437
Lemhi 22.6% 915 75.9% 3,079 1.5% 61
Lewis 24.2% 440 74.7% 1,359 1.2% 21
Lincoln 24.8% 466 74.0% 1,388 1.2% 22
Madison 7.1% 826 91.9% 10,693 1.0% 118
Minidoka 18.5% 1,331 80.5% 5,797 1.0% 73
Nez Perce 36.6% 6,476 62.2% 11,009 1.2% 215
Oneida 14.3% 304 83.9% 1,789 1.9% 40
Owyhee 19.1% 685 79.6% 2,859 1.3% 46
Payette 22.6% 1,848 76.5% 6,256 0.9% 77
Power 28.0% 829 71.2% 2,105 0.8% 24
Shoshone 43.7% 2,331 54.7% 2,922 1.6% 84
Teton 38.4% 1,416 60.6% 2,235 1.1% 39
Twin Falls 24.4% 6,458 74.4% 19,672 1.2% 305
Valley 38.6% 1,843 60.0% 2,863 1.4% 68
Washington 23.7% 1,033 75.1% 3,274 1.2% 52

By congressional district[edit]

Bush won both congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 69% 30% Butch Otter
2nd 69% 30% Mike Simpson

Electors[edit]

Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.

  1. Pete T. Cenarrusa
  2. Debbie Field
  3. Sandra Patano
  4. John Sandy

References[edit]

See also[edit]