Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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'''[[Barack Obama]]''' |
'''[[Barack Obama]]''' |
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<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: Please take care to use the most recent poll that does *not* have next to it a single star (Zogby Interactive) or a double star (Partisan based polling). These polls introduce too much error into them, and by consensus have been discluded from the latest results listing --> |
<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: Please take care to use the most recent poll that does *not* have next to it a single star (Zogby Interactive) or a double star (Partisan based polling). These polls introduce too much error into them, and by consensus have been discluded from the latest results listing --> |
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*Total states ( |
*Total states (25 states & D.C. - 301 electoral votes) |
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*Safe states§ (8 states & D.C. - 143 electoral votes) |
*Safe states§ (8 states & D.C. - 143 electoral votes) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#California|California]] (55) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#California|California]] (55) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Rhode Island|Rhode Island]] (4) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Rhode Island|Rhode Island]] (4) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Vermont|Vermont]] (3) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Vermont|Vermont]] (3) |
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*Leaning states ( |
*Leaning states (17 states - 168 electoral votes) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Colorado|Colorado]] (9) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Colorado|Colorado]] (9) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Connecticut|Connecticut]] (7) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Connecticut|Connecticut]] (7) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Hampshire|New Hampshire]] (4) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Hampshire|New Hampshire]] (4) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Mexico|New Mexico]] (5) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Mexico|New Mexico]] (5) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Oregon|Oregon]] (7) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Oregon|Oregon]] (7) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] (21) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] (21) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Carolina|North Carolina]] (15) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Carolina|North Carolina]] (15) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Dakota|North Dakota]] (3) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Dakota|North Dakota]] (3) |
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| ⚫ | |||
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Carolina|South Carolina]] (8) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Carolina|South Carolina]] (8) |
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**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Dakota|South Dakota]] (3) |
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Dakota|South Dakota]] (3) |
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Revision as of 05:51, 27 August 2008
Template:Future election in the United States This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.
-
Presumptive Democratic nominee
Barack Obama -
Presumptive Republican nominee
John McCain -
Presumptive Democratic Vice Presidential nominee
Joe Biden
Opinion polling
General election
9 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
July 29-August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 58% |
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
June 25-26,30,July 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 49% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30, 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 26, 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 51% |
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
May 15-June 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 27, 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 60% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 57% |
| Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association |
April 16-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 55% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 64% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 2, 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hays Research Group ** | August 6-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 40% | Ralph Nader | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Ivan Moore Research | July 18-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 51% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% | Other | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% | Other | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% | Other | 5% |
| Survey USA | February 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 30% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling(PPP) | July 30-31,2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 30,2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 57% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Arizona State University/KAET | June 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 28% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Behavior Research Center | May 12-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Arizona State University/KAET | April 24-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 57% |
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 30% | John McCain | 59% |
| Opinion Research | March 6-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 27% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 53% |
55 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | July 8-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 35% |
| Field Research Corporation | July 8-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 30% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 30% |
| Survey USA | June 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 41% |
| Field Research Corporation | May 16-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
| Los Angeles Times/KTLA | May 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 19-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 12-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 37% |
| USA Election Polls | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | March 11-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 61% | John McCain | 34% |
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
9 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | August 21-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | August 15-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 8% | ||||||
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Rocky Mtn News/CBS4 | August 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 44% | Bob Barr | 3% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 2% | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | August 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| FrederickPolls | July 16-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% | Other | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 38% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 2% | ||||||
| Other | 4% | ||||||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
June 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | Other | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | Other | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| New Leadership USA/ TargetPoint |
March 31-April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 51% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31,2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 36% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
June 30-July 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 1,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 32% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 29 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 19-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 34% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
27 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic Vision | August 22-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% | Bob Barr | 1% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% | Others | 2% |
| Kitchens Group | August 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% | Others | 6% |
| American Research Group | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 12% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
August 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 44.2% | John McCain | 47.8% | ||
| Survey USA | August 1-3 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 30-August 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Fabrizio,McLaughlin & Associates/ Florida Chamber of Commerce ** |
July 20-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 22,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| American Research Group | July 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| War Room Logistics | July 7-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Strategic Vision | June 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | June 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 26,2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| American Research Group | June 13-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | June 9-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | May 13-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | April 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 53% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | March 24-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | March 15-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Mason Dixon | February 21-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 53% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | February 6-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 41% |
15 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 53% |
| InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research |
July 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 44% |
| Strategic Vision | June 27-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 53% |
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
June 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 51% |
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
May 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 45% |
| Strategic Vision | May 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 54% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 54% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | February 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 61% | John McCain | 31% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
21 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12,2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8,2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 32% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 60% | John McCain | 31% |
| Research 2000 | January 21-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 58% | John McCain | 37% |
11 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 49% |
| Survey USA | August 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | June 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
| Downs Center/ Survey USA |
April 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
| Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune |
April 23-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
| Selzer & Co./WTHR/ Indianapolis Star |
April 20-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
| Downs Center/ Survey USA |
April 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | February 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawkeye Poll | August 13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49.5% | John McCain | 43.1% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | June 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 10, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 42% |
| Research2000 | April 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 31, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 44% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
| Des Moines Register | February 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | January 4-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 58% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 58% |
| TargetPoint Consulting, Inc. | June 27-July 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 49% |
| SurveyUSA/ Public Opinion Strategies |
June 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 47% |
| Cooper & Secrest | June 5-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | June 2-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 55% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 54% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | January 16-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
8 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | August 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 55% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 52% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25,2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | June 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 57% |
| Mason Dixon/WKYT/ Lexington Herald-Leader |
May 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 58% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 63% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 28% | John McCain | 64% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 54% |
| Survey USA | February 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 32% | John McCain | 61% |
9 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 17, 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 56% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 47% |
| Southern Media/ Opinion Research |
June 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 28, 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 52% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 54% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
| Critical Insights | June 1-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 31% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS | June 10-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 26% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 39% |
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 43% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 30% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% |
12 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 38% |
| Suffolk University | July 31-August 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 30,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 33% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 29% |
| Survey USA | June 25-27,2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% |
| Suffolk University | June 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 30% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% |
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% |
17 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Others | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA/Detroit News | August 18-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV | August 17-20 2008[1] | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 12% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 23-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News |
July 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 33% | ||
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
June 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | June 21-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Survey USA | May 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| EPIC-MRA | May 19-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| EPIC-MRA | April 4 - 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 25 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Public Radio/ University of Minnesota |
August 7-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | August 13-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 39% |
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 37% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 32% |
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
June 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 37% |
| Survey USA | June 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 22 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
6 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 54% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 21-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
May 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 54% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 54% |
11 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 13-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | July 29-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% |
| Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch |
July 7-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 2-5 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | June 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 47% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 50% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 42% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 31 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
| Mason Dixon/ Lee Newspapers |
May 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 6, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 47% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 52% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 57% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/ Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN |
August 18-20,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Mason-Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal |
August 13-15,2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 38% | Bob Barr | 10% |
| Ralph Nader | 3% | ||||||
| Other | 10% | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 11,2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 16,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Mason Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal |
June 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 38% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 42% | Bob Barr | 11% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 9% | ||||||
| American Research Group | August 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 23,2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| American Research Group | July 19-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| University of New Hampshire | July 11-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 37% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 18,2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| American Research Group | June 13-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Dartmouth College | April 28-May 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 51% | ||
| University of New Hampshire | April 25-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 36% |
15 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | August 4-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey |
July 17-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 36% |
| Strategic Vision | July 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 36% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | June 17-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 33% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 5-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% |
| Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey |
April 24-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 32% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | March 24-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 46% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 45% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | February 18-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 38% |
| Quinnipiac University | February 13-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 11% | ||||||
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 24 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 33% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Survey USA | June 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 17-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 50% |
31 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | August 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 36% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 31-August 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 36% |
| Siena College | July 17-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 26% |
| Siena College | July 7-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 30 2008 | Barack Obama | 60% | John McCain | 29% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 30% |
| Survey USA | June 25-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 37% |
| Siena College | June 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 33% |
| New York Times | June 6-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 32% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 3-8 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 33% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 38% |
| Siena College | May 12-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 38% |
| Siena College | April 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 40% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 14-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% |
| WNBC/Marist College | April 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 57% | John McCain | 36% |
| Siena College | February 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 43% |
15 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
| InsiderAdvantage | August 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.8% | John McCain | 44.5% |
| Zogby International * | August 15-August 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
August 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 50% |
| Survey USA | August 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 49% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 23-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
July 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | July 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 50% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
June 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 28-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | May 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 51% |
| Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research |
May 14-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 44% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 8-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
| Citivas Institute | April 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 20 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 51% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
July 21-July 23 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8,2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
| Dakota Wesleyan University | March 24-April 3 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 44% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
20 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | August 17-24,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| The Columbus Dispatch | August 12-21,2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 36% | Bob Barr | 8% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 13% | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling | August 12-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Survey USA | June 20-22,2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 17,2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | June 9-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | June 14-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | May 13-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | April 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | March 24-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | March 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 50% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 46% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 17 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | February 6-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 42% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World |
July 19-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 24% | John McCain | 56% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 42% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | June 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 52% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 57% |
7 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | August 2-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 33% |
| Survey USA | June 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 11 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | January 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% |
21 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 19, 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 37% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 3% | ||||||
| Other | 8% | ||||||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research |
August 11-14 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Franklin and Marshall College | August 4-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 41% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | July 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Strategic Vision | July 25-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 23, 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 36% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 19-22, 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | June 9-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 21, 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | May 13-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research |
May 1-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | April 23-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 38% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 24, 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Strategic Vision | April 18-20, 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Strategic Vision | April 11-13, 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Temple University | March 27-April 9, 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Strategic Vision | April 4-6 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | March 24-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Strategic Vision | March 28-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 10 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Susquehanna Polling | March 5-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Strategic Vision | March 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | February 21-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 40% | ||
| Franklin and Marshall College | February 13-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Muhlenberg College | February 9-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 14 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | February 6-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 41% |
4 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | June 30,2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 31% |
| Rhode Island College | June 18-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 25% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 38% |
| Brown University | February 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 30% |
8 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 22-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 9-11 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 45% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 48% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
| Dakota Wesleyan | March 24-April 03 2008 | Barack Obama | 34% | John McCain | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 4 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
11 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 20, 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 60% |
| Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** | August 10-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 51% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 24, 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2008 | Barack Obama | 31% | John McCain | 58% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 54% |
| Middle Tennessee State University | February 11-23 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 50% |
34 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 21,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 54% |
| University of Texas | July 18-30,2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 29,2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 25,2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 48% |
| Texas Lyceum | June 12-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 38% | John McCain | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
| Baselice & Associates | May 20-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 52% |
| Research 2000/ Daily Kos |
May 5-7 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 48% |
| Public Strategies/ WFAA Dallas/BELO |
February 28-March 1 2008 | Barack Obama | 42% | John McCain | 49% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 47% |
| Survey USA | February 23-25 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 49% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 23% | John McCain | 62% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 33% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates |
June 16-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 29% | John McCain | 57% | ||
| Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates |
May 13-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 27% | John McCain | 62% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 39% | John McCain | 50% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 63% | John McCain | 29% |
13 electoral votes chart
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | August 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Zogby Interactive * | August 15-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 41% | Bob Barr | 5% |
| Ralph Nader | 1% | ||||||
| Other | 10% | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research |
August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 42.6% | John McCain | 43.1% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Survey USA | August 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | July 17-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | July 16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 48% | ||
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 39% | ||
| Survey USA | June 20-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | June 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | June 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 42% | ||
| Virginia Commonwealth University | May 12-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 36% | John McCain | 44% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | May 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 41% | John McCain | 52% | ||
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 47% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | February 19 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 49% | ||
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 45% | ||
| Survey USA | January 16-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 52% |
11 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | August 11-12 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 42% |
| Elway Poll | July 27-31 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 35% |
| Strategic Vision | July 25-27 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 37% |
| Survey USA | July 13-15 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 39% |
| Moore Information | July 9-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 43% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 35% |
| Strategies 360 | June 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | June 17-19 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 9 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 35% |
| Survey USA | June 7-9 2008 | Barack Obama | 56% | John McCain | 39% |
| Elway Poll | May 26-29 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | May 12 2008 | Barack Obama | 54% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | April 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 53% | John McCain | 40% |
| Survey USA | April 7 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 27 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 43% |
| Elway Poll | March 18-20 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 28 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 45% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 38% |
| Survey USA | February 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 55% | John McCain | 38% |
5 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | June 2 2008 | Barack Obama | 37% | John McCain | 45% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 53% |
10 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic Vision | August 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 47% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 44% |
| Wisconsin Policy Research Institute | August 3-4 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 38% |
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
July 14-22 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 8 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Zogby International * | June 11-30 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 38% |
| Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post |
June 17-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 39% |
| Survey USA | June 13-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 43% |
| University of Wisconsin | June 8-10 2008 | Barack Obama | 50% | John McCain | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 45% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | May 16-18 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 43% | John McCain | 47% |
| University of Wisconsin | April 15-24 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 41% |
| Survey USA | April 11-13 2008 | Barack Obama | 49% | John McCain | 44% |
| Wisconsin Public Radio/ St. Norbert College |
March 25-April 5 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 26 2008 | Barack Obama | 46% | John McCain | 48% |
| Survey USA | March 14-16 2008 | Barack Obama | 48% | John McCain | 44% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 51% | John McCain | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports | February 21 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 43% |
| Survey USA | February 15-17 2008 | Barack Obama | 52% | John McCain | 42% |
| Survey USA | January 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 44% | John McCain | 46% |
3 electoral votes
| Poll Source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Dixon | August 13 -15 2008 | Barack Obama | 25% | John McCain | 62% |
| Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 20-21 2008 | Barack Obama | 40% | John McCain | 53% |
| Survey USA | February 26-28 2008 | Barack Obama | 35% | John McCain | 54% |
Notes:
- * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
- ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).
Latest results (using latest polling when available)
The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. A state is indicated as 'for Obama' or 'for McCain' or 'tied' based upon a single poll - the most recent. This list is thus for indicative purposes only.
|
|
|
Notes:
- §- states listed as a "safe" state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator
Maps of most recent polling data
| Obama vs. McCain |
 
|
| Safe Obama - over 10% (165) |
| Likely Obama - over 5% (238) (73) |
| Leans Obama - over 1% (271) (33) |
| Tossup - within 1% (46) |
| Leans McCain - over 1%(229) (61) |
| Likely McCain - over 5% (168) (71) |
| Safe McCain - over 10% (97) |
| Totals |
| Obama leads: 264 electoral votes
McCain leads: 229 electoral votes |
*Please note maps are based on a different algorithm than totals below. Click on map for details. Map and totals updated on August 25 2008. Maps are based on an average for previous polling data, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion.
Charts of polling data in battleground states
Updated August 20, 2008
Florida
data
In Florida, from February to mid-May 2008, McCain held a steady lead in the polls. From mid-May to mid-June, the candidates were virtually tied. Polling conducted since mid-June shows McCain in the lead in most polls, and Obama ahead in some polls. The number of undecided voters has generally been decreasing from an average of about 15% down to an average of about 5% to 10% in recent polling.[2]
Pennsylvania
data
In Pennsylvania, from February 2008 until mid-April 2008, the candidates moved back and forth between leading and lagging in the polls. Since mid-April, polls show Obama with a lead averaging about 7% to 8%. The number of undecided voters has generally been decreasing from an average of about 15% down to an average of about 10% in recent polling.[3]
Ohio
data
In Ohio, from February 2008 until mid-April 2008, McCain's held a slight 2% to 3% lead in the polls. From mid-April to mid-July, Obama held a 3% to 4% lead in the polls. Recent polls show McCain pulling ahead of Obama. The number of undecided voters has generally been decreasing from an average of about 15% down to an average of about 10% in recent polling.[4]
Michigan
data
In Michigan, from February 2008 to mid-May, Obama and McCain were very close in the polls. From mid-May to early July, Obama was ahead by as much as 10%, but Obama's lead has recently decreased to about 3% to 4%. The number of undecided voters has generally been decreasing from an average of about 15% down to an average of about 10% in recent polling.[5]
Virginia
data
In Virginia, from February 2008 until mid-May 2008, McCain held a lead in the polls averaging about 6%. From mid-May to present, Obama and McCain are basically tied. During this period, undecided voters made up an average of about 5% to 11% of the total.[6]
Indiana
data
File:Indiana Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg
In Indiana, from February 2008 until early May 2008, McCain's 9% lead in the polls was reduced to a tie. The candidates were tied in polls conducted in late June. A recent poll shows McCain with a 6% lead over Obama. During this period, undecided voters made up an average of about 7% to 11% of the total.[7]
Missouri
data
In Missouri, from February 2008 to present, McCain had steadily led in the polls. His lead was the greatest in March. The polls closed to within a few percentage points from mid-May to early July, and McCain is beginning to pull away again in recent polling, currently showing an average lead of about 5% to 10%. The number of undecided voters has generally been decreasing from an average of over 10% down to an average of about 7% to 8% in recent polling.[8]
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008
- Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election
- Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination
References
- ^ http://www.clickondetroit.com/politics/17263271/detail.html
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Florida
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Pennsylvania
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Ohio
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Michigan
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Virginia
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Indiana
- ^ Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#Missouri
External links
- FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
- Electoral-Vote.com
- Pollster.com graphic display of aggregated polls
- Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
- Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
- Real Clear Politics
- Survey USA
- CNN's Electoral Map
- American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator