Ottawa South: Difference between revisions

45°21′33.372″N 75°39′51.696″W / 45.35927000°N 75.66436000°W / 45.35927000; -75.66436000

Ottawa South

Ontario electoral district

Ottawa South in relation to other electoral districts in Ottawa

Federal electoral district

Legislature

House of Commons

David McGuinty
Liberal

District created

1987

First contested

1988

Last contested

2008

District webpage

profile, map

Demographics

Population (2006)

117,581

Electors (2011)

87,579

Area (km²)

Pop. density (per km²)

1,547.1

Census division(s)

Ottawa

Census subdivision(s)

Ottawa

Ottawa South (Template:Lang-fr) is a federal electoral district in Ottawa in the Canadian province of Ontario. It is represented in the Canadian House of Commons by David McGuinty, brother of Ontario Premier and Ottawa South MPP Dalton McGuinty. The riding was created in 1987 from parts of Ottawa—Vanier, Ottawa Centre and the former Ottawa—Carleton electoral districts. It has been held continuously by Liberal candidates since it was first contested in 1988. Ottawa South is a suburban, generally middle class riding, notable for having the highest Arab population in Ontario.

Geography

The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. It is bounded on the north and east by Highway 417, on the west by the Rideau River and on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River and the former Ottawa city limits, then east to Limebank Road, south to Leitrim Road, east to the CP Rail line, north to Lester Road, then east along Lester and Davidson Road to Conroy Road, north to Hunt Club Road and east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts include Ottawa—Vanier to the north, Ottawa—Orleans to the east, Nepean—Carleton to the south and Ottawa West—Nepean and Ottawa Centre to the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods of Riverview, Eastway Gardens, Alta Vista, Riverside Park, Mooney's Bay, Hunt Club Woods, Hunt Club Estate, Hunt Club Chase, South Keys, Ellwood, Heron Gate, Sheffield Glen, Airport-Uplands, Elizabeth Park, Windsor Park Village, and Blossom Park in the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km². There are 233 polling divisions.

Party support

The riding has been held by the Liberal Party of Canada since its creation in 1988. The closest the Liberals have come to losing the seat was a 7% win in 2006. The riding has stayed in Liberal hands despite Conservative governments and has not elected a non-Liberal Member of Parliament since its creation. If the riding existed with the same boundaries in 1984 however, the Progressive Conservatives would have won it. As of the 2008 election, Ottawa South remains one of only two Liberal held ridings in Ottawa.

The New Democratic Party has never seen its support above 14% in Ottawa South, and it was the weakest riding for the party in Ottawa for the 2008 election. The Greens saw their highest vote here in 2008 with 7%.

2008 election popular vote map by polling division

Political geography

The Liberals have support in most parts of the riding. In the 2004 election, the strongest Liberal areas were in the Alta Vista neighbourhood. However in the 2006 election, they lost some of this support, but it was gained from lower income areas such as Heron Gate. By 2008, the Liberals had gained much of their support back in Alta Vista.

The Conservatives have their strongest amount in the southern parts of the riding, especially in the community of Blossom Park and around the Macdonald-Cartier International Airport By 2006, the Conservatives had won the neighbourhood of Elmvale Acres, but this was lost in 2008. The New Democrats have only won one poll in recent memory, and that was a poll in Heron Gate in 2004.[3] [4] [5][6]

Demographics

According to the Canada 2001 Census

Ethnic groups: 71.4% White, 8.3% Black, 6.3% Arab, 3.6% Chinese, 3.0% South Asian, 1.7% Latin American, 1.3% West Asian, 1.2% Southeast Asian
Languages: 56.9% English, 13.0% French, 27.7% Other, 2.4% Multiple languages
Religions: 41.3% Catholic, 24.9% Protestant, 10.4% Muslim, 3.8% Christian Orthodox, 1.6% Jewish, 1.2% Hindu, 1.1% Buddhist, 2.2% Other Christian, 12.8% No religious affiliation
Average income: $35,247

Member of Parliament

The Member of Parliament (MP) is for Ottawa South David McGuinty, a former businessman, immigration officer, lawyer and professor. He was first elected in 2004. He represents the Liberal Party of Canada.

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the national political parties: [7]

Party		Association Name	CEO	HQ Address	Neighbourhood Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Green/row	Green Party of Canada	Green Party of Canada Ottawa South	Colin Hine	338 Acton Street	Riverview Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Conservative/row	Conservative Party of Canada	Ottawa South Conservative Association	Lorne Anderson	301-2446 Bank Street	Blossom Park Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal/row	Liberal Party of Canada	Ottawa South Federal Liberal Association	Sid Treml	702-1785 Riverside Drive	Riverview Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP/row	New Democratic Party	Ottawa South Federal NDP Riding Association	Stephanie Jones	56 Robert St.	Ottawa Centre Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Canadian/row	Progressive Canadian Party	Ottawa South PC Party Association	Ernie Schreiber	2280 Russell Rd.	Hawthorne Meadows

History

The district was created in 1987. 65.7% was from Ottawa—Carleton, 20.1% from Ottawa Centre and 14.2% from Ottawa—Vanier.

Members of Parliament

The riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Ottawa—Carleton, Ottawa Centre, and Ottawa—Vanier prior to 1987
34th	1988–1993	rowspan="4" Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal \|	John Manley	Liberal
35th	1993–1997
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006	rowspan="3" Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal \|	David McGuinty	Liberal
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–present

Election results

Ottawa South in 1987 showing the districts from which it was created.

1988

Barry Turner was the incumbent going into the 1988 election. He had previously been the member of the Ottawa—Carleton riding. As an MP, Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP. However, he would end up being defeated by John Manley, a lawyer with a specialty in tax law. Many attribute the loss to a phone and mail campaign by the Public Service Alliance of Canada which were upset at the Progressive Conservative Government's cuts to the civil service.

Template:CanElec2 Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Tot Template:CanElec2Tot |- bgcolor="white" Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal/row |align="left" colspan=2|Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative |align="right"|Swing |align="right"|+12.1 |align="right"|

^ Change based on redistributed results.

1993

Manley was re-elected, as part of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals. He defeated consulting engineer Doug Walkinshaw of the Reform Party. Joe Anton, the Progressive Conservative candidate, an auditor for Revenue Canada defeated the mayor of Kanata for the Tory nomination. Ursule Critoph, an economist, was the NDP candidate.

1997

Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1996 version. The remaining 5% came from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley, now the Minister of Industry was once again re-elected. He faced opposition from the Somali community in the riding for his indifference to their needs and concerns. This did not have enough impact, however and Manley won again with another massive majority. He defeated Carla Marie Dancey, the Reform Party candidate who lived outside the riding. Also running was Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MP Gerry Weiner. Many attribute Manley's victory to attracting business to Ottawa's high tech sector.

2000

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.

2004

The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was among a number of high profile Liberals to retire who were known to be Jean Chrétien loyalists. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty, won the Liberal nomination. He was known to be a friend of Prime Minister Paul Martin. McGuinty faced a steep challenge from Alan Riddell, another lawyer, and Monia Mazigh, the NDP candidate. Riddell, the Conservative candidate, had suffered bad press when it was discovered he had been driving with a suspended license. Mazigh, who lived in Nepean, was another high-profile candidate, being the wife of Maher Arar, who was wrongly accused of terrorism. McGuinty suffered too, as his brother's government was unpopular at the time, but in the end was victorious.

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election.

Results by neighbourhood

^[1]

Community	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Marijuana\| John Akpata	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Independents\| Raymond Aubin	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Marxist-Leninist\| Saroj Bains	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Green\| John Ford	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP\| Monia Mazigh	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal\| David McGuinty	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Conservative\| Alan Riddell	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Canadian\| Brad Thomson
	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Marijuana\| Mar.	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Independents\| Ind.	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Marxist-Leninist\| M-L	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Green\| Green	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP\| NDP	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal\| Liberal	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Conservative\| Cons.	align="center" colspan=2 Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Canadian\| PC Party
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Eastway Gardens	4	1.1	8	2.3	1	0.3	19	5.5	25	7.2	161	46.5	127	36.7	1	0.3
Cyrville	0	0.0	4	2.2	0	0.0	12	6.5	17	9.2	91	49.2	57	30.8	4	2.2
Riverview	53	1.0	27	0.5	6	0.1	332	6.3	830	15.8	2482	47.3	1488	28.3	32	0.6
Rideau Park	9	0.7	0	0.0	0	0.0	74	6.0	106	8.6	646	52.4	393	31.9	5	0.4
Applewood Acres	4	0.4	5	0.5	0	0.0	80	7.4	134	12.4	551	50.8	304	28.0	6	0.6
Alta Vista	11	0.9	0	0.0	2	0.2	97	8.0	151	12.4	584	47.9	368	30.2	5	0.4
Ridgemont	5	0.8	3	0.5	2	0.3	54	8.4	82	12.7	305	47.4	188	29.2	5	0.8
Playfair Park	2	0.2	4	0.4	1	0.1	49	4.5	83	7.7	571	52.7	373	34.4	1	0.1
Guildwood Estates	1	0.1	0	0.0	2	0.3	37	5.2	47	6.6	389	54.3	238	33.2	3	0.4
Urbandale Acres	4	0.3	7	0.6	1	0.1	75	6.2	126	10.3	575	47.2	423	34.7	7	0.6
Elmvale Acres	14	0.8	12	0.7	2	0.1	123	6.8	214	11.8	792	43.6	649	35.8	11	0.6
Urbandale	13	0.6	11	0.5	3	0.1	168	7.6	209	9.5	979	44.4	810	36.7	13	0.6
Hawthorne Meadows	15	1.2	9	0.7	0	0.0	38	3.0	207	16.1	583	45.3	425	33.0	10	0.8
Sheffield Glen	21	1.7	5	0.4	3	0.2	55	4.4	203	16.3	534	42.9	415	33.3	9	0.7
Billings Bridge	17	1.2	10	0.7	4	0.3	74	5.4	253	18.5	619	45.2	381	27.8	12	0.9
Heron Park	7	0.8	9	1.1	2	0.2	48	5.7	143	17.0	364	43.2	266	31.6	3	0.4
Riverside Park	14	0.9	6	0.4	5	0.3	97	6.1	198	12.4	749	46.8	526	32.9	9	0.6
Mooney's Bay	4	0.4	0	0.0	1	0.1	91	8.9	111	10.8	487	47.5	329	32.1	3	0.3
Riverside Park South	9	0.8	7	0.6	2	0.2	86	7.3	137	11.6	472	40.1	459	39.0	6	0.5
Ellwood	12	1.5	6	0.8	3	0.4	41	5.2	139	17.6	359	45.4	227	28.7	4	0.5
Heron Gate	30	1.1	10	0.4	6	0.2	139	4.9	756	26.5	1150	40.3	723	25.4	38	1.3
Hunt Club Woods	18	0.9	3	0.2	2	0.1	110	5.6	272	13.9	867	44.2	677	34.5	11	0.6
Hunt Club Estate	23	1.3	2	0.1	2	0.1	124	7.0	282	15.9	751	42.4	573	32.3	16	0.9
Hunt Club Chase	20	1.2	2	0.1	0	0.0	129	7.5	205	12.0	761	44.5	580	33.9	12	0.7
Elizabeth Park	4	2.6	1	0.7	0	0.0	9	5.9	14	9.2	46	30.3	77	50.7	1	0.7
Windsor Park Village	4	1.4	1	0.3	0	0.0	23	7.8	38	13.0	88	30.0	134	45.7	5	1.7
South Keys	13	0.8	13	0.8.	2	0.1	84	5.0	221	13.2	666	39.9	663	39.7	7	0.4
Greenboro	43	0.9	11	0.2	8	0.2	225	4.9	712	15.7	1989	43.7	1536	33.8	23	0.5
Hunt Club Park	18	0.5	7	0.2	5	0.1	167	4.6	481	13.2	1717	47.1	1227	33.7	23	0.6
Blossom Park	69	1.3	25	0.5	4	0.1	307	5.7	755	14.0	2067	38.4	2117	39.3	40	0.7

Nomination contests

Candidate	Residence	March 6, 2004
Liberal Party of Canada
Camille Awada	Ottawa
Diane Deans	Ottawa
Sheila Gervais	Ottawa
John Samuel	Ottawa
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Candidate	Residence	March 8, 2004
Conservative Party of Canada
Brad Darbyson	Ottawa
Terry Kilrea	Nepean
Alan Riddell	Ottawa	X

2006

David McGuinty was re-elected after two years as a Liberal backbencher. The race was expected to be closer than 2004, which it was, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler. Cutler was the man who blew the whistle on the Liberal Sponsorship Scandal which saw millions of dollars of public funds transferred to Liberal friendly firms in Quebec during the Chrétien era. The margin of victory between the liberal and his conservative challenger was closer than in 2004, but McGuinty eventually came out on top. Cutler himself was painted as a hypocrite as he would not address the issue of his nomination. Accusations started that 2004 candidate Alan Riddell was given $50,000 not to stand for nomination in the race. Riddell was also pushed aside in an earlier nomination race that saw former MP Barry Turner acclaimed, but would later drop out, forcing a new race. Running for the NDP was the Lebanese-born economist Henri Sader who faced a difficult challenge holding on to the votes that Monia Mazigh won in the previous election. Running again for Greens again was John Ford who failed to hold on to his votes, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who lost votes as well. Thomson had all but dropped out however, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned to run Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.

Template:CanElec2 Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row

Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal/row

Candidate	Residence	April 14, 2004
New Democratic Party
Jeannie Page	Ottawa
Monia Mazigh	Nepean	X
Difference			4,124	6.71	-2.29
Rejected Ballots			298	0.5	-0.1
Turnout			61,808	71.71	+2.00
Liberal hold		Swing	-1.48	+0.1

Nomination contests

Candidate	Residence	May 9, 2005
Liberal Party of Canada
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Candidate	Residence	May 17, 2005
Conservative Party of Canada
Barry Turner	Nepean	X

Barry Turner was acclaimed for the nomination when Allan Riddell, the party's candidate in 2004, withdrew because of allegations about a prank in which he was involved in university. The party later cancelled Turner's nomination and called a new meeting. Turner was not able to get an answer from the party about why the nomination was cancelled, and decided against seeking the nomination again.^[2]^[3] Allan Cutler announced that he would seek the nomination.

Candidate	Residence	November 25, 2005
Conservative Party of Canada
Allan S. Cutler	Nepean	X

Candidate	Residence	November 10, 2005
New Democratic Party
Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte	Ottawa
Henri Sader	Ottawa	X

Candidate	Residence	August 29, 2005
Green Party of Canada
John Ford	Ottawa	X

2008

In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Elie Salibi, the director of international sales with Corel, who was born in Lebanon. The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, a Carleton University political science student of Bengali descent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a doctor, born in Yemen. Former Libertarian Party leader Jean-Serge Brisson also ran, as well as Al Gullon, the Progressive Canadian candidate. Facing lower turnout in the riding itself, as well as nationwide, and a strong lack of enthusiasm for the Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, McGuinty was able to increase his vote total, and his lead over his closest opponent, from the 2006 election. McGuinty just barely missed the 50% mark, but was nonetheless re-elected handily in Ottawa South.

Template:CanElec2 Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Totexp Template:CanElec2Tot Template:CanElec2Tot Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal/row |align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold |align="right"|Swing |align="right"|+4.83 |align="right"|

Nomination contests

Candidate	Residence	?
Liberal Party of Canada
David McGuinty	Ottawa	X

Candidate	Residence	February 23, 2007
Conservative Party of Canada
Elie Salibi	Ottawa	X
George M. Brown	Ottawa

Candidate	Residence	September 11, 2008
New Democratic Party
Hijal De Sarkar\|Ottawa	X

Candidate	Residence	June 16, 2007
Green Party of Canada
Qais Ghanem	Ottawa	X
Peter Tretter	Ottawa

2011

Template:CanElec2 Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Row Template:CanElec2Tot

|} Source: Election Prediction Project

References

External links

Elections Canada (source of campaign expense data)

v t e Federal ridings in Ottawa
Liberal	Kanata—Carleton Nepean Orléans Ottawa Centre Ottawa South Ottawa—Vanier Ottawa West—Nepean
Conservative	Carleton

Federal ridings in Ontario

Central
Ontario

Eastern
Ontario

S Durham
& York

SW Durham	Ajax Oshawa Pickering—Uxbridge Whitby
S York	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill King—Vaughan Markham—Stouffville Markham—Thornhill Markham—Unionville Richmond Hill Thornhill Vaughan—Woodbridge

City of Toronto
(Suburbs & Downtown)

Scarborough	Scarborough—Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough-Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough—Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest
Beaches—East York Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Eglinton—Lawrence Humber River—Black Creek Parkdale—High Park Spadina—Fort York Toronto Centre Toronto—Danforth Toronto—St. Paul's University—Rosedale Willowdale York Centre York South—Weston
Etobicoke	Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke—Lakeshore Etobicoke North

Cities of
Brampton &
Mississauga

Brampton	Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West
Mississauga	Mississauga Centre Mississauga East—Cooksville Mississauga—Erin Mills Mississauga—Lakeshore Mississauga—Malton Mississauga—Streetsville

Southern
Halton,
Hamilton
and Niagara

Southwestern Halton	Burlington Milton Oakville Oakville North—Burlington
City of Hamilton	Flamborough—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
Niagara	Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West St. Catharines

See also: Former federal ridings in Ontario
Provincial ridings in Ontario

@@ Line 627: / Line 627: @@
 {{CanElec2Row|Conservative|Elie Salibi|- |- | -| -}}
 {{CanElec2Row|NDP|[[James McLaren (Ontario politician)|James McLaren]] |- |- | -| -}}
-{{CanElec2Row|Green|TBA |-|- | -| -}}
+{{CanElec2Row|Green|Mick Kitor |-|- | -| -}}
 {{CanElec2Row|Pirate Party|Mike Bleskie|-|- | -| -}}
 {{CanElec2Tot|Total valid votes|-|	100.0%| -}}

Revision as of 17:51, 11 April 2011

Geography

Party support

Political geography

Demographics

Member of Parliament

Riding associations

History

Members of Parliament

Election results

1988

1993

1997

2000

2004

Results by neighbourhood

Nomination contests

2006

Nomination contests

2008

Nomination contests

2011

See also

References

External links