2018 New Brunswick general election: Difference between revisions
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| image6 = <div style="width:115px;"><span style="line-height:150px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|KISS}}; font-size:38px;"> '''{{small|KISSNB}}'''</span></div> |
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| colour6 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|KISS|nohash}} |
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| leader6 = {{nowrap|Gerald Bourque}} |
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| party6 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|[[KISS NB]]|name}} |
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| leaders_seat6 = ''Ran in [[Fredericton-Grand Lake]] (lost)'' |
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| title = Premier |
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Revision as of 13:05, 26 September 2018
This article documents a current event. Information may change rapidly as the event progresses, and initial news reports may be unreliable. The latest updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. (September 2018) |
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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 39th New Brunswick general election was held on September 24, 2018,[1][2] to elect 49 members to the 59th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.
Two smaller parties — the People’s Alliance and the Greens — made breakthroughs, winning multiple seats, and potentially holding the balance of power. The People's Alliance entered the legislature for the first time with three seats, while the Greens increased their seat count to three. This marked the first time since the 1991 election that four parties won representation in the legislature.
This is the first election to not result in a majority government since the 1920 election. The Progressive Conservatives won the most seats, with 22 to the Liberals' 21, but the Liberals and incumbent premier Brian Gallant, whose Liberal Party won almost 6% more of the popular vote than the Progressive Conservatives, indicated that they would first attempt to form government and seek the confidence of the legislature.
On September 25, Gallant received permission from the lieutenant governor to continue in office.[3]
Timeline
- September 22, 2014 – The New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Brian Gallant, won a narrow majority government, defeating incumbent Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservatives, which became the second single-term government in New Brunswick's history.[4]
- September 23, 2014 - Alward announces his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.
- October 14, 2014 - Gary Keating resigns as the Liberal member for Saint John East.
- October 18, 2014 - Bruce Fitch became interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
- November 17, 2014 - Glen Savoie is elected as member the Progressive Conservative MLA for Saint John East, following the resignation of Gary Keating; NDP leader Dominic Cardy comes in third.
- December 10, 2014 - The NDP executive rejects Cardy's resignation as leader, urging him to continue and offering him a salary as he has been working as leader on a volunteer basis.
- May 22, 2015 - David Alward resigns as member for Carleton.
- October 5, 2015 - Stewart Fairgrieve holds the Carleton seat for the PCs in a byelection.[5]
- October 22, 2016 - Blaine Higgs becomes the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party in a leadership election.[6]
- January 1, 2017 - Dominic Cardy resigns as leader of the NDP, and as a party member. He subsequently joins the PCs as Chief of Staff to Leader Blaine Higgs.[7][8]
- January 8, 2017 - Rosaire L'Italien is chosen as interim leader of the NDP by the party's executive.[9]
- August 10, 2017 - Jennifer McKenzie is acclaimed as the new leader of the NDP.[10]
- November 30, 2017 - Donald Arseneault resigns as member for Campbellton-Dalhousie.[11][12]
- July 6, 2018 - Madeleine Dubé resigns as member for Edmundston-Madawaska Centre.[13]
Results
Party | Party leader | # of candidates[14] |
Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | Dissolution | Elected | Change | # | % | Change | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Blaine Higgs | 49 | 21 | 21 | 22 | +1 | 121,300 | 31.89% | -2.75pp | |
Liberal | Brian Gallant | 49 | 27 | 24 | 21 | -3 | 143,791 | 37.80% | -4.92pp | |
People's Alliance | Kris Austin | 30 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 47,860 | 12.58% | +10.44pp | |
Green | David Coon | 47 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 45,186 | 11.88% | +5.27pp | |
New Democratic | Jennifer McKenzie | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19,039 | 5.00% | -7.98pp | |
KISS NB | Gerald Bourque | 9 | * | 0 | 0 | 0 | 366 | 0.10% | * | |
Independent | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2,821 | 0.74% | -0.15pp | ||
Vacant | n/a | 2 | n/a | |||||||
Blank and invalid votes | - | |||||||||
Total | 241 | 49 | 49 | 49 | n/c | 100% | ||||
Registered voters/turnout | - |
Results by riding: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13PId5WHFO82sKgbtpimz5eABDjDsb43LuFVyrQ2_zHw/edit?usp=sharing
Results by region
Party Name | Northern | Miramichi | Southeastern | Southern | Capital Region | Upper River Valley | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Seats | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | |
Popular Vote | 55.18% | 33.26% | 42.60% | 26.88% | 22.49% | 45.44% | 37.80% | ||
Progressive Conservative |
Seats | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 22 | |
Popular Vote | 22.34% | 23.62% | 29.95% | 46.50% | 30.68% | 33.46% | 31.89% | ||
Green | Seats | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Popular Vote | 9.18% | 3.97% | 14.32% | 8.54% | 17.31% | 10.49% | 11.88% | ||
People's Alliance | Seats | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Popular Vote | 0.91% | 35.34% | 6.72% | 12.78% | 27.55% | 8.10% | 12.58% | ||
New Democratic | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Popular Vote | 10.42% | 3.73% | 5.07% | 5.04% | 1.82% | 2.35% | 5.01% | ||
Other | Seats | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Popular Vote | 1.98% | 0.08% | 1.34% | 0.27% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 0.84% | ||
Total seats | 8 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 49 |
Results by place
Party | Seats | Second | Third | Fourth | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 21 | 20 | 7 | 1 | |
Progressive Conservative | 22 | 17 | 10 | 0 | |
Green | 3 | 2 | 11 | 27 | |
People's Alliance | 3 | 7 | 15 | 2 | |
New Democratic | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | |
Other | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Last Day of Polling | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | PA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 23, 2018 | [1] | 35.8 | 29.4 | 3.6 | 13.8 | 16.4 |
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2018 | [2] | 35.2 | 28.8 | 3.2 | 16.0 | 14.8 |
Nanos Research | September 20, 2018 | [3] | 37.4 | 30.2 | 9.6 | 10.8 | 12.0 |
Forum Research | September 11, 2018 | [4] | 37 | 32 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
Leger Research | September 11, 2018 | [5] | 41 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
Corporate Research Associates | September 9, 2018 | [6] | 45 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 19, 2018 | [7] | 50 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
MQO Research | August 4, 2018 | [8] | 40 | 32 | 9 | 10 | |
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | [9] | 38.1 | 39.4 | 6.6 | 8.9 | |
Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2018 | [10] | 45 | 31 | 13 | 7 | 4 |
MQO Research | May 16, 2018 | [11] | 35 | 43 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 3, 2018 | [12] | 43 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 3 |
MQO Research | January 25, 2018 | [13] | 46 | 37 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | [14] | 41.1 | 39.7 | 9.3 | 9.9 | |
Corporate Research Associates | November 29, 2017 | [15] | 47 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 3 |
MQO Research | October 15, 2017 | [16] | 41 | 36 | 12 | 7 | |
Corporate Research Associates | September 6, 2017 | [17] | 47 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 2 |
MQO Research | July 27, 2017 | [18] | 45 | 35 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | June 22, 2017 | [19] | 48 | 29 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2017 | [20] | 46 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 3 |
MQO Research | April 17, 2017 | [21] | 43 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 5 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 1, 2017 | [22] | 51 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
MQO Research | January 22, 2017 | [23] | 50 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 30, 2016 | [24] | 53 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
MQO Research | October 15, 2016 | [25] | 54 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 31, 2016 | [26] | 54 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
MQO Research | July 19, 2016 | [27] | 50 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
Corporate Research Associates | June 1, 2016 | [28] | 52 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 2 |
MQO Research | April 16, 2016 | [29] | 51 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 2, 2016 | [30] | 45 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 30, 2015 | [31] | 55 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | September 10, 2015 | [32] | 36 | 28 | 25 | 10 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | June 9, 2015 | [33] | 38 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 2, 2015 | [34] | 54 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 26, 2014 | [35] | 52 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 1 |
Election 2014 | September 22, 2014 | HTML | 42.72 | 34.64 | 12.98 | 6.61 | 2.14 |
Candidates by region
Legend
- bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
- italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
- † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
- * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick
Northern
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | Other | |||||||||
Restigouche West | Gilles LePage 4233 |
David Moreau 961 |
Charles Thériault 2540 |
Beverly A. Mann 263 |
Travis Pollock (KISS) 62 |
Gilles LePage | ||||||||
Campbellton-Dalhousie | Guy Arseneault 3720 |
Diane Cyr 1761 |
Annie Thériault 637 |
Thérèse Tremblay 721 |
Robert Boudreau 558 |
Vacant | ||||||||
Restigouche-Chaleur | Daniel Guitard 4430 |
Charles Stewart 826 |
Mario Comeau 831 |
Paul Tremblay 621 |
Daniel Guitard | |||||||||
Bathurst West-Beresford | Brian Kenny 4351 |
Yvon Landry 1082 |
Mike Rau 503 |
Anne-Renée Thomas 443 |
James Risdon (KISS) 64 |
Brian Kenny | ||||||||
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | Denis Landry 3550 |
Michelle Branch 858 |
Robert Kryszko 421 |
Jean Maurice Landry 2026 |
Denis Landry | |||||||||
Caraquet | Isabelle Thériault 5420 |
Kevin Haché 1827 |
Yvon Durelle 330 |
Katy Casavant 548 |
Guilmond Hébert (Ind.) 373 |
Hédard Albert†[15] | ||||||||
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | Wilfred Roussel 3949 |
Robert Gauvin 4048 |
Albert Rousselle 578 |
Philippe Tisseuil (Ind.) 178 |
Wilfred Roussel | |||||||||
Tracadie-Sheila | Keith Chiasson 4320 |
Claude Landry 2390 |
Nancy Benoit 390 |
Francis Duguay 1213 |
Stéphane Richardson (Ind.) 544 |
Serge Rousselle†[16] |
Miramichi
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | KISS | |||||||||
Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lisa Harris 3512 |
Debi Tozer 1741 |
James (Junior) Denny 349 |
Willie Robichaud 718 |
Terry Collette 2047 |
Lisa Harris | ||||||||
Miramichi | Bill Fraser 2825 |
Peggy McLean 1154 |
Louann Savage 189 |
Douglas Mullin 110 |
Michelle Conroy 3788 |
Bill Fraser | ||||||||
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | Andy Hardy 1909 |
Jake Stewart 2960 |
Byron J. Connors 447 |
Roger Vautour 97 |
Art O'Donnell 2925 |
Dawson Brideau 19 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Jake Stewart |
Southeastern
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | Other | |||||||||
Kent North | Emery Comeau 3301 |
Katie Robertson 1112 |
Kevin Arseneau 4056 |
Neil Gardner 171 |
Roger Richard (Ind.) 194 |
Bertrand LeBlanc†[17] | ||||||||
Kent South | Benoit Bourque 5595 |
Ricky Gautreau 1848 |
Alain Rousselle 1304 |
Serge Rémi Parent 436 |
Benoît Bourque | |||||||||
Shediac Bay-Dieppe | Brian Gallant 6162 |
Paulin Blaise Ngweth 1353 |
Michel Albert 906 |
Michel Boudreau 764 |
Brian Gallant | |||||||||
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | Jacques LeBlanc 5919 |
Marcel Doiron 2081 |
Greta Doucet 888 |
Lise Potvin 428 |
Victor Boudreau†[17] | |||||||||
Memramcook-Tantramar | Bernard LeBlanc 3137 |
Etienne Gaudet 1518 |
Megan Mitton 3148 |
Hélène Boudreau 410 |
Bernard LeBlanc | |||||||||
Dieppe | Roger Melanson 5173 |
Pierre Brine 998 |
Joyce Richardson 1057 |
Roger Melanson | ||||||||||
Moncton East | Monique LeBlanc 3626 |
Marty Kingston 2771 |
Matthew Ian Clark 925 |
Anthony Crandall 424 |
Monique LeBlanc | |||||||||
Moncton Centre | Rob McKee 2698 |
Claudette Boudreau-Turner 982 |
Jean-Marie Nadeau 771 |
Jessica Caissie 229 |
Kevin McClure 309 |
Chris Collins (Ind.) 1200 |
Chris Collins | |||||||
Moncton South | Cathy Rogers 3099 |
Moira Murphy 2090 |
Laura Sanderson 628 |
Amy Johnson 249 |
Marilyn Crossman-Riel 466 |
Cathy Rogers | ||||||||
Moncton Northwest | Courtney Pringle-Carver 2963 |
Ernie Steeves 3186 |
Keagan Slupsky 437 |
Cyprien Okana 297 |
Myrna Geldart 875 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Ernie Steeves | |||||||
Moncton Southwest | Susy Campos 2667 |
Sherry Wilson 2920 |
Sarah Colwell 907 |
Hailey Duffy 503 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Sherry Wilson | ||||||||
Riverview | Brent Mazerolle2053 | Bruce Fitch 3701 |
Stephanie Coburn 542 |
Madison Duffy 249 |
Heather Collins 1005 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Bruce Fitch | |||||||
Albert | Catherine Black 1775 |
Mike Holland 3479 |
Moranda van Geest 870 |
Betty Weir 375 |
Sharon Buchanan 1546 |
James Wilson (Ind.) 87 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Brian Keirstead†[18] | ||||||
Gagetown-Petitcodiac | Brigitte Noel 1153 |
Ross Wetmore 3674 |
Marilyn Merritt-Gray 1097 |
Anne Marie F. Richardson 165 |
Craig Dykeman 1892 |
Carolyn MacDonald (KISS) 56 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Ross Wetmore |
Southern
Capital Region
Upper River Valley
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | KISS | |||||||||
Carleton | Christy Culberson 1197 |
Stewart Fairgrieve 2982 |
Amy Anderson 1247 |
Adam McAvoy 82 |
Stewart B. Manuel 2026 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Stewart Fairgrieve | |||||||
Carleton-Victoria | Andrew Harvey 3116 |
Margaret C. Johnson 2872 |
Paula Shaw 503 |
Margaret Geldart 114 |
Terry Leigh Sisson 960 |
Carter Edgar 58 |
Andrew Harvey | |||||||
Victoria-La Vallée | Chuck Chiasson 3570 |
Danny Soucy 3212 |
Paul Plourde 468 |
Lina Chiasson 307 |
Chuck Chiasson | |||||||||
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours 4668 |
Gérald Levesque 1437 |
Sophie Vaillancourt 702 |
Anne-Marie Comeau 206 |
Vacant | |||||||||
Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Francine Landry 4191 |
Jeannot Volpé 1826 |
Denis Boulet 945 |
Cécile Richard-Hébert 156 |
Francine Landry |
Notes
References
- ^ Legislative Assembly Act, Section 2(4).
- ^ "Thirty-eighth general election September 22, 2014" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
- ^ Fraser, Elizabeth (September 25, 2018). "Brian Gallant gets permission from lieutenant-governor to continue governing N.B." CBC News. Retrieved September 25, 2018.
{{cite web}}
: Italic or bold markup not allowed in:|publisher=
(help) - ^ McHardie, Daniel (September 23, 2014). "N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco". CBC News. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
- ^ "PC Stewart Fairgrieve says jobs a factor in byelection win". CBC News. October 6, 2015. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ McHardie, Daniel (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs wins New Brunswick Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ Ross, Shane (January 1, 2017). "NDP Leader Dominic Cardy resigns amid party 'infighting'". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ Fahmy, Gabrielle; Gill, Jordan (2 January 2017). "Cardy won't rule out return to politics, jump to PCs". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ "NDP names Rosaire L'Italien interim leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. 9 January 2017. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ MacKinnon, Bobbi-Jean (10 August 2017). "NDP hopes to reclaim members with Jennifer McKenzie as new leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ "Job controversy pushes Donald Arseneault to resign from legislature | CBC News". CBC. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
- ^ "Arseneault releases lobbying advice from integrity commissioner". CBC News. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
- ^ Roy-Comeau, Mathieu (6 July 2018). "Madeleine Dubé donne officiellement sa démission". Acadie Nouvelle (in French). Caraquet, NB: Acadie Nouvelle ltée. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
- ^ "Unofficial List of Candidates". Elections New Brunswick. Government of New Brunswick. Retrieved 31 August 2018.
- ^ Magee, Shane (17 March 2018). "'Emotional day' as assembly wraps ahead of fall vote". Brunswick News Inc. p. A.3.
- ^ Poitras, Jacques (14 March 2018). "Attorney General Serge Rousselle won't run for re-election". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
- ^ a b c Chilibeck (6 September 2017). "Gallant drops 3 ministers, adds 3 new faces". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.1.
- ^ McPhail, Colin (17 April 2018). "Challenger wins PC nomination in 'rare' upset over incumbent MLA". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ "UPDATED---MLA Jody Carr Is Not Re-Offering In September's Election". CHSJ Country 94.1 FM. Acadia Broadcasting. 18 January 2018. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
- ^ "Progressive Conservative MLA calls it quits at provincial level". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. CBC News. 28 May 2018. Retrieved 29 May 2018.