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2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

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49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election

← 2011 49th 50th →

All seats in the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
Opinion polls
 
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Last election 37 seats, 56.1% 6 seats, 19.1% 5 seats, 24.6%
Current seats 34 9 3

Incumbent Premier

Kathy Dunderdale
Progressive Conservative



The 49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election will elect members of the House of Assembly in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party led by Kathy Dunderdale formed a majority government in the previous election, while the Liberal Party formed the Official Opposition.[1]

The election was originally scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the same act also requires a new Premier to advise the Lieutenant-Governor, within 12 months of being sworn in, to call an election.[2] Due to the resignation of Premier Dunderdale, and the subsequent swearing in of Tom Marshall on January 24, 2014, the Lieutenant-Governor must dissolve the House of Assembly before January 25, 2015, if the Progressive Conservative Party does not elect a new leader before then. An early election will also avoid a conflict with the next federal election, scheduled for October 19, 2015.

Party leadership

Following the provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen.[3] On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[4][5] Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013.[6]

Timeline

2011
2012
  • September 13, 2012: Progressive Conservative MHA Tom Osborne announces that he has left the party and will sit as an independent.[8]
2013
2014

Party standings

Template:49th Newfoundland and Labrador provincial election

MHAs not running again

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador align="center"| Liberal Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP align="center"| New Democratic
Corporate Research Associates November 7–30, 2013 [1] 29 52 19
MQO October 22–26, 2013 [24] 29 52 18
Corporate Research Associates August 8–31, 2013 [2] 26 41 33
Corporate Research Associates May 8-May 30, 2013 [3] 27 36 37
Corporate Research Associates February 11–March 8, 2013 PDF 38 22 39
MQO January 21–27, 2013 [25] 36 28 35
Corporate Research Associates November 13-December 1, 2012 [26] 46 23 31
Corporate Research Associates August 9–September 2, 2012 PDF 45 22 33
Environics Research Group June 19–29, 2012 PDF 35 26 38
Corporate Research Associates May 10–June 4, 2012 PDF 49 18 33
Corporate Research Associates February 13–29, 2012 HTML 54 18 28
Corporate Research Associates November 9–29, 2011 PDF 60 13 26
Election 2011 October 11, 2011 56.1 19.1 24.6

References

  1. ^ "Dunderdale leads N.L. Tories to majority". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 12, 2011. Retrieved October 15, 2011.
  2. ^ "Bill 40 An Act To Amend The House Of Assembly Act And The Elections Act, 1991". Government of Newfoundland and Labrador. 2004. Retrieved January 24, 2014.
  3. ^ a b "Kevin Aylward resigning as Liberal leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  4. ^ "Dwight Ball named Liberal Party leader". The Telegram. December 14, 2011. Retrieved December 15, 2011.
  5. ^ "Ball new interim N.L. Liberal leader". CBC News, December 15, 2011.
  6. ^ "No rush for Liberal leadership race". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. December 2, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  7. ^ "Dwight Ball wants to lead Liberals into 2015 vote". CBC News. December 15, 2011. Retrieved December 17, 2011.
  8. ^ "Osborne brushed off as 'deadwood' as PCs stick together". CBC News. September 14, 2012. Retrieved September 16, 2012.
  9. ^ "Jones resigns provincial seat for federal by-election". CBC News. April 8, 2013. Retrieved April 8, 2013.
  10. ^ "Long-serving MHA Eddie Joyce named Opposition leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  11. ^ "Eddie Joyce named Opposition Leader". The Western Star. July 18, 2013. Retrieved July 19, 2013.
  12. ^ "Tom Osborne joins Liberals". CBC News. August 29, 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2013.
  13. ^ "Kennedy resigns from government". CBC News. October 2, 2013. Retrieved October 2, 2013.
  14. ^ "N.L. NDP Leader Lorraine Michael facing caucus revolt". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 21, 2013. Retrieved October 21, 2013.
  15. ^ "Mixed messages from NDP caucus, executive". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 22, 2013. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  16. ^ "Michael calls for 2014 leadership review". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2013. Retrieved October 26, 2013.
  17. ^ "Kirby, Mitchelmore quit NDP caucus after leadership row". CBC News. October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013.
  18. ^ "Dwight Ball wins Liberal leadership". CBC News. November 17, 2013. Retrieved November 17, 2013.
  19. ^ "Liberals Reclaim Carbonear Harbour Grace". CBC News. November 26, 2013. Retrieved November 26, 2013.
  20. ^ "Tory MHA Paul Lane crossing the floor". NTV. January 20,2014. Retrieved January 20,2014. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |accessdate= and |date= (help)
  21. ^ "Kathy Dunderdale confirms stepping down as N.L. premier". CBC News. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
  22. ^ "Tom Marshall rules out running in next election". CBC News. December 8, 2012. Retrieved December 17, 2012.
  23. ^ Norman, Rudy (January 22, 2014). "Hunter welcomes Premier's resignation". Advertiser. Retrieved January 24, 2014.
  24. ^ http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/ndp-support-plummets-liberals-make-gains-cra-poll-1.2450468/
  25. ^ http://www.thetelegram.com/News/Local/2013-02-01/article-3168868/NDP-PCs-in-statistical-tie-in-MQO-poll/1
  26. ^ http://cra.ca/support-for-nl-pc-government-stable-remains-highest-in-atlantic-canada/