2013 Virginia gubernatorial election

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Virginia gubernatorial election, 2013

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  File:Robert Sarvis at the 2013 Virginia Libertarian Convention.jpg
Nominee Ken Cuccinelli Terry McAuliffe Robert Sarvis
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian

County results

Incumbent Governor

Bob McDonnell
Republican



The Virginia gubernatorial election of 2013 will take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2013. The incumbent governor, Republican Bob McDonnell, is not eligible to run due to term limits established by the Virginia Constitution. Virginia is the only state that prohibits its governor from serving immediate successive terms.

Three candidates will appear on the ballot for governor.[1] Ken Cuccinelli, the Attorney General of Virginia, is the Republican Party nominee. Terry McAuliffe, a businessman and the former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, is the Democratic Party nominee. Robert Sarvis, a lawyer and businessman, is the Libertarian Party nominee.

Candidates

Republican Party

Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling, elected to the post in 2005, decided to run for re-election as lieutenant governor in 2009, enabling McDonnell to run for governor without a primary. After the 2009 election, Bolling made no secret of his intention to run for governor in 2013, while Attorney General of Virginia Ken Cuccinelli openly stated that he was considering three options: a run for re-election as attorney general in 2013, running for the U.S. Senate in 2014, and running for governor in 2013.[2] Cuccinelli announced to colleagues on December 1, 2011, that he was indeed running for governor.[3] Bolling responded on the same day that he was disappointed that Cuccinelli decided to challenge him[4]

Bolling withdrew from the race on November 28, 2012. He cited the Republican Party's decision to move to a nominating convention rather than hold a primary. He ruled out running for another term as Lieutenant Governor and refused to endorse Cuccinelli.[5] Bolling considered running as an independent, but decided against it.[6] Bolling also rejected the possibility of a write-in campaign.[7]

Nominee

Cuccinelli became the de facto nominee after being the only candidate to file to run by the deadline, and was formally nominated at the state Republican convention on May 18, 2013.[9]

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Bolling
Ken
Cuccinelli
Undecided
Quinnipiac May 30–June 4, 2012 549 ± 4.2% 15% 51% 31%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 23% 51% 22%
Roanoke College February 13–28, 2012 377 ± 5% 18% 37% 44%
Public Policy Polling December 11–13, 2011 350 ± 5.2% 25% 44% 31%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 21% 45% 34%

Democratic Party

Nominee

On April 2, 2013, the Democratic Party of Virginia certified that McAuliffe was the only candidate to file for the June primary, and was therefore the Democratic nominee.[15]

Declined

Libertarian Party

Nominee

On April 21, 2013, the Libertarian Party of Virginia held a special convention[20] and nominated Sarvis as the party's official gubernatorial candidate.[21]

Sarvis's campaign submitted over 17,000 signatures to meet the Virginia State Board of Elections (SBE) requirement of 10,000 valid signatures.[22] On June 26, 2013, the SBE confirmed to Sarvis's campaign that he would be listed on the ballot statewide during the elections this November.[23] This makes Sarvis the fourth minor party gubernatorial nominee to get on the Virginia ballot in 40 years.[22]

Write-in Candidates

Salahi planned to seek the Republican nomination, but left the party to launch an independent bid.[25] However, he failed to submit the necessary signatures to the Virginia State Board of Elections by the June 11, 2013 deadline and will not appear on the ballot as an independent. He has since transitioned his run into a write-in campaign.[26][27] Salahi scheduled to have a film document his campaign by Campbell Media Group, but the production company is currently facing legal allegations.[28]

Parmele announced his campaign as a write-in candidate in August 2013. Parmele unsuccessfully ran for the Virginia Beach City Council six times.[30] In 2005, he ran as an independent for the 82nd district of the Virginia House of Delegates and lost to incumbent Harry Purkey.[31][32]

General election campaign

Debates and forums

Cuccinelli has challenged McAuliffe to a series of 15 debates around the state.[33] McAuliffe has refused, and called Cuccinelli's challenge "absurd"[34] and a "gimmick".[35] Cuccinelli has responded, "McAuliffe’s campaign might have dismissed the challenge, but it’s clear that community leaders and Virginians share our desire to hold real debates across the Commonwealth."[36]

Thus far, both candidates have agreed to participate in just three debates: July 20, 2013 in Hot Springs, sponsored by the Virginia Bar Association; September 25, 2013, in McLean, sponsored by the Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce and to be broadcast by NBC affiliates throughout Virginia;[37] and a third debate to be held at Virginia Tech in September or October that has not yet been scheduled.[38]

Cuccinelli declined to appear at the League of Women Voters/AARP debate, calling it a "left-wing, stacked debate".[39] Cuccinelli has accepted a debate invitation in Danville for a date in September or October; McAuliffe has not yet responded.[34]

Sarvis has not been invited to the debates or forums; some newspapers, including the Richmond Times Dispatch, The Roanoke Times, and The Daily Progress, have called for his inclusion.[40][41][42][43] In addition, WUSA-TV news anchor Derek McGinty, who moderated the Battleground Forum, called for the inclusion of Sarvis.[44] Because of the continued exclusion of Sarvis, Barton Hinkle, who is the senior editorial writer and columnist at the Richmond Times Dispatch, called the current debate process "stacked" suggesting that debate organizers are activists trying to influence the outcome of the election for their own ideological purposes.[45] Sarvis said he would "debate anybody anywhere under any conditions."[46]

Virginia Bar Association Debate

Cuccinelli and McAuliffe met in their first debate on Saturday, July 20, 2013, at the Omni Homestead Resort in Hot Springs, Virginia, for the Virginia Bar Association-sponsored debate. Both candidates attacked their opponent's record, and they debated one another on issues including transportation, federal healthcare, abortion, Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, same-sex marriage, and other topics.[47][48][49] PBS’ Judy Woodruff moderated the debate.[50]

Virginia Farm Bureau Forum

Cuccinelli and McAuliffe discussed their plans for Virginia's largest industry, agriculture and forest products, on Friday, August 2, 2013, at Wytheville Community College in Wytheville, Virginia. The candidates also discussed topics including transportation and healthcare. The forum was hosted by the Farm Bureau's Young Farmers Committee.[51][52]

Let's Grow, The 2013 Jobs Summit

Cuccinelli and McAuliffe appeared Tuesday, August 6, 2013, at the Norfolk Waterside Marriott in Norfolk, Virginia at an event hosted by Tidewater Community College. Democrat McAuliffe argued that improving transportation would spur job creation, and he wanted to reform the Standards of Learning and Medicaid. Republican Cuccinelli focused on tax cuts as well as expanding opportunities for veterans and growing Virginia's ports.[53][54]

Virginia Gubernatorial Candidates Battleground Forum

Cuccinelli and McAuliffe took the stage again on Friday, August 9, 2013, at the Hylton Performing Arts Center in Manassas, Virginia, hosted by the chambers of commerce from Loudoun, Prince William, Reston and Fredericksburg. Both Cuccinelli and McAuliffe answered a series of questions from representatives from each of the chambers that hosted the forum, and both were called out by the event's moderator for dodging specific questions. Democrat McAuliffe side-stepped a question on the controversial Bi-County Parkway, and Republican Cuccinelli refused to list specific loopholes that he said he plans to eliminate in the tax code. WUSA-TV news anchor Derek McGinty moderated the forum.[55][56]

Virginia Energy and Opportunity Forum

The Consumer Energy Alliance and National Ocean Industries Association (NOIA) co-hosted a forum with Cuccinelli and McAuliffe on Thursday, August 29, 2013. The forum took place at the George Mason University School of Law auditorium located in Arlington, Virginia. Two panels explored how to ensure access to affordable, reliable electricity, and Virginia's opportunities for offshore oil, natural gas and renewable energy development. Both Cuccinelli and McAuliffe launched broad attacks on one another. Cuccinelli focused on Virginia's coal industry. McAuliffe focused on climate change. The candidates were introduced by David Hart, who is the acting Senior Associate Dean for the George Mason University School of Public Policy. The event was sponsored by the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy and the Virginia Manufacturers Association. The forum was free and open to the public.[57][58][59][60]

Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce and NBC4 Debate

The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce and NBC4 will co-host a debate between Cuccinelli and McAuliffe on Wednesday, September 25, 2013. NBC political journalist Chuck Todd will moderate. The debate will be aired live from 7 to 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on NBC4 and NBC affiliates in Richmond, Charlottesville, Bristol and other Virginia cities. The debate will be held at the Capital One Bank headquarters in McLean, Virginia.[61]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports through March 31, 2013
Campaign Receipts Expenses Cash on hand
Terry McAuliffe $6,708,526 $1,533,459 $5,184,962
Ken Cuccinelli $4,377,398 $1,412,780 $2,964,620
Tareq Salahi $108,281 $107,946 $333
Robert Sarvis $1,898 $1,798 $100
Source: Virginia Public Access Project[62][63][64][65]

Through the first quarter of 2013 ending on March 31, 2013, McAuliffe had raised $6.7 million, and Cuccinelli had raised $4.4 million.[66]

McAuliffe's funds included $294,000 he donated to himself, and a $100,000 contribution from Bill Clinton.[67] Cuccinelli's funds included a $1 million contribution from the Republican Governors Association PAC.[68]

72% of McAuliffe's campaign contributors are from Virginia, but in the first quarter of 2013, 78% of his funds came from donors from outside Virginia.[69] 33% of Cuccinelli's funds in the first quarter of 2013 came from donors outside Virginia.[69]

Campaign finance reports through May 29, 2013
Campaign Receipts Expenses Cash on hand
Terry McAuliffe $3,715,326 $3,493,808 $5,406,481
Ken Cuccinelli $2,154,910 $2,373,420 $2,746,111
Robert Sarvis $34,339 $29,808 $4,630
Tareq Salahi $0 $0 $333
Source: Virginia Public Access Project[62][63][65][64]

Through the second report of 2013 ending on May 29, 2013, Cuccinelli had raised $2.1 million, and McAuliffe had raised $3.7 million. Libertarian Sarvis had raised $34,000; an increase from the first quarter. Salahi did not show any receipts.[66]

Campaign finance reports through June 30, 2013
Campaign Receipts Expenses Cash on hand Total raised to date of report
Terry McAuliffe $2,232,412 $1,647,621 $6,012,697 $12,683,556
Ken Cuccinelli $1,139,296 $1,232,839 $2,652,588 $7,671,604
Robert Sarvis $2,499 $5,126 $2,002 $38,736
Source: Virginia Public Access Project[62][63][65]

Through the report ending on June 30, 2013, McAuliffe raised $2.2 million, Cuccinelli raised $1.1 million, and Sarvis raised approximately $2,500. Salahi failed to qualify for the ballot and is no longer required to report.[66] Terry McAuliffe's top five donors are from outside Virginia.[62] Three of Ken Cucinelli's top five donors are from out-of-state.[63] One of Sarvis's top five donors are from outside Virginia.[65] To date, McAuliffe has raised a total of $12.7 million, Cuccinelli has raised a total of $7.7 million and Sarvis has raised a total of $39,000.[66]

Endorsements

Terry McAuliffe
Robert Sarvis

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ken
Cuccinelli (R)
Terry
McAuliffe (D)
Robert
Sarvis (L)
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 23–28, 2013 653 ± 3.8% 35% 45% 10% 11%
Public Policy Polling August 27–28, 2013 500 ± ? 37% 44% 9% 9%
Quinnipiac August 14–19, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 42% 48% 2% 9%
Quinnipiac July 11–15, 2013 1,030 ± 3.1% 39% 43% 1% 17%
Public Policy Polling July 11–14, 2013 601 ± 4% 37% 41% 7% 15%
Roanoke College July 8–14, 2013 525 ± 4.3% 37% 31% 5% 27%
Rasmussen June 5–6, 2013 1,000 ± 3% 41% 44% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling May 24–26, 2013 672 ± 3.8% 37% 42% 21%
Wenzel Strategies May 14–15, 2013 800 ± 3.4% 44% 36% 21%
Quinnipiac May 8–13, 2013 1,286 ± 2.7% 38% 43% 1% 19%
The Washington Post April 29–May 2, 2013 1,000 ± 3.5% 46% 41% 13%
NBC News/Marist April 28–May 2, 2013 1,095 ± 3% 41% 43% 1% 16%
Roanoke College April 8–14, 2013 639 ± 3.9% 34% 29% 38%
Quinnipiac March 20–25, 2013 1,098 ± 3% 40% 38% 2% 20%
University of Mary Washington March 20–24, 2013 1,004 ± 3.5% 37% 38% 25%
Quinnipiac February 14–18, 2013 1,112 ± 2.9% 38% 38% 1% 23%
Roanoke College January 14–22, 2013 583 ± 4.1% 33% 26% 41%
Christopher Newport University January 14–20, 2013 1,015 ± 3.1% 30% 31% 6% 33%
Quinnipiac January 4–7, 2013 1,134 ± 2.9% 39% 40% 2% 19%
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2013 602 ± 4% 41% 46% 13%
Quinnipiac November 8–12, 2012 1,469 ± 2.6% 37% 41% 1% 22%
Public Policy Polling August 16–19, 2012 855 ± 3.4% 40% 40% 20%
Public Policy Polling July 5–8, 2012 647 ± 3.9% 37% 41% 22%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 680 ± 3.8% 36% 41% 23%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 600 ± 4.0% 41% 40% 20%
Public Policy Polling July 21–24, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 41% 38% 22%

See also

References

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  38. ^ Cuccinelli, McAuliffe agree to just 2 more debates
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  84. ^ "Sarvis' Valley Adventures in Pictures". The Virginia Conservative. August 18, 2013. Retrieved August 18, 2013. with his recent endorsement by former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, more Virginia voters will look Robert Sarvis' way
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External links