2018 New Brunswick general election: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 13:49, 4 September 2018

New Brunswick general election, 2018
← 2014 On or before September 24, 2018 (2018-09-24) Next →
49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Brian Gallant Blaine Higgs David Coon
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative Green
Leader since October 27, 2012 October 22, 2016 September 22, 2012
Leader's seat Shediac Bay-Dieppe Quispamsis Fredericton South
Last election 27 seats, 42.72% 21 seats, 34.64% 1 seat, 6.61%
Current seats 24 22 1
Incumbent Premier

Brian Gallant
Liberal



The 39th New Brunswick general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on September 24, 2018,[1][2] to elect 49 members to the 59th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – could alter the date by one week or one month in either direction if there is a conflict due to religious or culture reasons, or a federal election.[3]

Timeline

Opinion polls

Three-day average of New Brunswick opinion polls from September 22, 2014, to the last possible date of the next election on September 24, 2018. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Firm Last Day of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green PA
Corporate Research Associates August 19, 2018 [1] 50 30 7 7 6
MQO Research August 4, 2018 [2] 40 32 9 10
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [3] 38.1 39.4 6.6 8.9
Corporate Research Associates May 31, 2018 [4] 45 31 13 7 4
MQO Research May 16, 2018 [5] 35 43 7 11 4
Corporate Research Associates March 3, 2018 [6] 43 30 13 11 3
MQO Research January 25, 2018 [7] 46 37 5 9 3
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 [8] 41.1 39.7 9.3 9.9
Corporate Research Associates November 29, 2017 [9] 47 28 11 9 3
MQO Research October 15, 2017 [10] 41 36 12 7
Corporate Research Associates September 6, 2017 [11] 47 32 12 7 2
MQO Research July 27, 2017 [12] 45 35 10 7 3
Mainstreet Research June 22, 2017 [13] 48 29 8 16 0
Corporate Research Associates May 31, 2017 [14] 46 33 11 6 3
MQO Research April 17, 2017 [15] 43 32 15 5 5
Corporate Research Associates March 1, 2017 [16] 51 30 12 5 2
MQO Research January 22, 2017 [17] 50 30 11 7 1
Corporate Research Associates November 30, 2016 [18] 53 30 7 9 2
MQO Research October 15, 2016 [19] 54 25 12 8 2
Corporate Research Associates August 31, 2016 [20] 54 28 8 8 2
MQO Research July 19, 2016 [21] 50 28 10 8 5
Corporate Research Associates June 1, 2016 [22] 52 25 12 9 2
MQO Research April 16, 2016 [23] 51 28 11 9 2
Corporate Research Associates March 2, 2016 [24] 45 27 18 8 2
Corporate Research Associates November 30, 2015 [25] 55 25 12 7 1
Corporate Research Associates September 10, 2015 [26] 36 28 25 10 2
Corporate Research Associates June 9, 2015 [27] 38 28 23 11 1
Corporate Research Associates March 2, 2015 [28] 54 27 9 10 1
Corporate Research Associates November 26, 2014 [29] 52 23 14 9 1
Election 2014 September 22, 2014 HTML 42.72 34.64 12.98 6.61 2.14

Statistics

e • d Summary of the 2018 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election
Party Party leader # of
candidates[14] 		Seats Popular vote
2014 Dissolution Elected Change # % Change
Liberal Brian Gallant 49 27 24
Progressive Conservative Blaine Higgs 49 21 21
Green David Coon 41 1 1
New Democratic Jennifer McKenzie 35 0 0
People's Alliance Kris Austin 29 0 0
  K.I.S.S. N.B. Political Party Gerald Bourque 8 * 0 *
  Independent 8 0 1
  Vacant n/a 2 n/a
Total 219 49 49 49 n/c 100%

Candidates by region

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
  • * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
  • © denotes a candidate whose name has been submitted to Elections New Brunswick[15]

NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick

Northern

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB Other
Restigouche West Gilles LePage© David Moreau© Charles Theriault© Beverly A. Mann© Travis Pollock©
(KISS) 		Gilles LePage
Campbellton-Dalhousie Guy Arseneault© Diane Cyr© Annie Thériault[16] Thérèse Tremblay© Robert Boudreau© Vacant
Restigouche-Chaleur Daniel Guitard© Charles Stewart© Mario Comeau© Paul Napoleon Tremblay[17][18] Daniel Guitard
Bathurst West-Beresford Brian Kenny© Yvon Landry© Mike Rau© Anne-Renée Thomas©[a] James Risdon©
(KISS) 		Brian Kenny
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore Denis Landry© Michelle Branch© Robert Kryszko© Jean Maurice Landry© Denis Landry
Caraquet Isabelle Thériault© Kevin Hache© Yvon Durelle[16][b] Katy Casavant© Guilmond Hébert©
(Ind.) 		Hédard Albert†[20]
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou Wilfred Roussel© Robert Gauvin© (no candidate)[16] Albert Rousselle© Philippe Tisseuil[21]
(Ind.) 		Wilfred Roussel
Tracadie-Sheila Keith Chiasson© Claude Landry© Nancy Benoit[16] Francis Duguay© Stéphane Richardson©
(Ind.) 		Serge Rousselle†[22]

Miramichi

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB KISS
Miramichi Bay-Neguac Lisa Harris© Debi Tozer© James (Junior) Denny© Willie Robichaud© Terry Collette©[c] Lisa Harris
Miramichi Bill Fraser© Peggy McLean© Louann Savage© Douglas T. Mullin[17][18] Michelle Conroy© Bill Fraser
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin Andy Hardy© Jake Stewart© Byron J. Connors© Art O'Donnell© Dawson Brideau© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Jake Stewart

Southeastern

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB Other
Kent North Emery Comeau© Katie Robertson©[d] Kevin Arseneau© Roger Richard©
(Ind.) 		Bertrand LeBlanc†[26]
Kent South Benoit Bourque© Ricky Gautreau© Alain Rousselle© Serge Remi Parent© Benoît Bourque
Shediac Bay-Dieppe Brian Gallant© Paulin Blaise Ngweth© Michel Albert© Michel Boudreau© Brian Gallant
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé Jacques LeBlanc© Marcel Doiron© Greta Doucet[16] Lise Potvin© Victor Boudreau†[26]
Memramcook-Tantramar Bernard R. LeBlanc© Etienne Gaudet© Megan Mitton© Hélène Boudreau© Bernard LeBlanc
Dieppe Roger Melanson© Pierre Brine© Joyce Richardson© Roger Melanson
Moncton East Monique Anne LeBlanc© Marty Kingston© Matthew Ian Clark© Monique LeBlanc
Moncton Centre Rob McKee© Claudette Boudreau-Turner© Jean-Marie Nadeau© Jessica Ida-Julienne Caissie[27][18] Kevin McClure© Chris Collins©
(Ind.) 		Chris Collins
Moncton South Cathy Rogers© Moira Murphy© Laura Sanderson© Amy E. Johnson[17][18] Marilyn Crossman-Riel© Cathy Rogers
Moncton Northwest Courtney Holly L. Pringle-Carver© Ernie Lawrence Steeves© Keagan Slupsky[16] Cyprien Okana© Myrna Geldart© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Ernie Steeves
Moncton Southwest Susy Campos© Sherry Wilson© Sarah Colwell© Hailey Elizabeth Duffy[17][18] Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Sherry Wilson
Riverview Brent Mazerolle© R. Bruce Fitch© Stephanie Coburn© Madison Rebecca Duffy[17][18] Heather Collins© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Bruce Fitch
Albert Catherine Black© Mike Holland© Moranda van Geest© Betty Weir© Sharon Buchanan©[e] James Wilson©
(Ind.) 		Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Brian Keirstead†[30]
Gagetown-Petitcodiac Brigitte Noel© Ross F. Wetmore© Marilyn L. Merritt-Gray© Anne Richardson[18] Craig Andrew Dykeman© Carolyn D. MacDonald©
(KISS) 		Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Ross Wetmore

Southern

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB Independent
Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins Ian Smyth© Bruce N. Northrup© Fred Harrison© Dawna Robertson© Jim Bedford© David Raymond Amos© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Bruce Northrup
Hampton Carley Parish© Gary Crossman© John Sabine© Layton Peck© Dana Hansen© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Gary Crossman
Quispamsis Aaron Kennedy© Blaine Higgs© Mark Woolsey© Keith Porter©[f] Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Blaine Higgs
Rothesay Stephanie Tomilson© Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming© Ann McAllister© Josh Floyd[32] Michael Griffin© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Ted Flemming
Saint John East Clare Manzer© Glen Savoie© Lynaya Astephen© Alexander Miller White[17][18] Matthew Thompson© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Glen Savoie
Portland-Simonds John MacKenzie© Trevor A. Holder© Sheila Croteau[16] Kimberly Ann Blue[17][18] Michelle Lianne Merrett[33][34] Artie Watson© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Trevor Holder
Saint John Harbour Gerry Lowe© Barry Ogden© Wayne Dryer© Jennifer McKenzie© Adam J. C. Salesse[21] Ed Doherty†[26]
Saint John Lancaster Kathleen Riley-Karamanos© Dorothy Shephard© Doug James© Tony Mowery© Paul Seelye© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Dorothy Shephard
Kings Centre Bill Merrifield© Bill Oliver© Bruce Dryer©[g] Susan J. Shedd© David John Peters© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Bill Oliver
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West Rick Doucet© Andrea Anderson-Mason© Romey Frances Heuff© Keith Leblanc[17] Doug Ellis© Rick Doucet
Saint Croix John B. Ames© Greg Thompson© Donna Linton© Jan Underhill© Joyce Wright© John Ames

Capital Region

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB KISS
Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton John Fife© Mary E. Wilson©[h] Thomas G. McLean© Craig Rector© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Jody Carr†[38]
Fredericton-Grand Lake Wendy Tremblay© Pam Lynch© Daniel Weston[16][35] Glenna Hanley© Kris Austin© Gerald Bourque© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Pam Lynch
New Maryland-Sunbury Alex Scholten© Jeff Carr© Jenica Atwin© Mackenzie Thomason© Morris Shannon© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Jeff Carr
Fredericton South Susan Holt© Scott Smith© David Coon© Chris Durrant© Bonnie Clark© David Coon
Fredericton North Stephen Horsman© Jill Green© Tamara White©[i] Scarlett Tays[17] Lynn King©[j] Stephen Horsman
Fredericton-York Amber Bishop© Kirk Douglas MacDonald© Amanda Wildeman© Evelyne Godfrey© Rick DeSaulniers© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Kirk MacDonald
Fredericton West-Hanwell Cindy Miles© Dominic Cardy©[k] Susan Jonah© Olivier Hébert© Jason Paull© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Brian Macdonald†[41]
Carleton-York Jackie Morehouse© Carl Urquhart© Sue Rickards© Robert Kitchen© Gary Lemmon© Lloyd Maurey© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Carl Urquhart

Upper River Valley

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal Progressive Conservatives Green NDP PANB KISS
Carleton Christy Culberson© Stewart Fairgrieve© Amy Anderson© Adam McAvoy© Stewart B. Manuel© Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Stewart Fairgrieve
Carleton-Victoria Andrew Harvey© Margaret C. Johnson© Paula Shaw© Terry L. Sisson© Carter Edgar© Andrew Harvey
Victoria-La Vallée Chuck Chiasson© Danny Soucy© Paul Plourde[16] Chuck Chiasson
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours© Gérald Levesque© Sophie Vaillancourt© Vacant
Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston Francine Landry© Jeannot Volpe© Denis Boulet© Francine Landry

Notes

  1. ^ Michel Aldéo Robichaud registered as an NDP nomination candidate in Bathurst West-Beresford on 7 February 2018[18] but the local riding association was still searching for a candidate on 23 March.[19]
  2. ^ Daniel Alain Blanchard was previously listed on the Green Party candidate page[16] but has since been removed.
  3. ^ Shelly Eileen Vance was nominated by the People's Alliance of New Brunswick in Miramichi Bay-Neguac but later withdrew.[23]
  4. ^ Joël MacIntosh declared himself a candidate for the PC nominaton[24] but was refused by the party.[25]
  5. ^ Tim Raworth was nominated as the PANB candidate for Albert in April; he did not communicate with the party for weeks[28] and was replaced by Sharon Buchanan on 12 July[29]
  6. ^ Luke Marshall previously won the People's Alliance nomination in Quispamsis but withdrew in May.[31]
  7. ^ James F. (Ryan) Lanigan registered as a candidate for the Kings Centre Green Party nomination on 23 November 2017[35] but was never nominated.
  8. ^ Keith John Ashfield registered as a candidate for the Progressive Conservative nomination in Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton[36] but died in his sleep before the original nomination meeting.[37]
  9. ^ Christopher David Smissaert won the Green Party nomination for Fredericton North in November 2017 but was stripped of the nomination in March 2018 due to unspecified behavioural issues.[39]
  10. ^ Randall L. Leavitt previously won the People's Alliance nomination for Fredericton North but withdrew in May.[31][34]
  11. ^ Brian Thomas Macdonald was nominated by the Progressive Conservatives in Fredericton West-Hanwell[40] but later chose not to run.[41]

References

  1. ^ Legislative Assembly Act, Section 2(4).
  2. ^ "Thirty-eighth general election September 22, 2014" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  3. ^ Section 2(6) of the Legislative Assembly Act
  4. ^ McHardie, Daniel (September 23, 2014). "N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco". CBC News. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  5. ^ "PC Stewart Fairgrieve says jobs a factor in byelection win". CBC News. October 6, 2015. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  6. ^ McHardie, Daniel (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs wins New Brunswick Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  7. ^ Ross, Shane (January 1, 2017). "NDP Leader Dominic Cardy resigns amid party 'infighting'". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  8. ^ Fahmy, Gabrielle; Gill, Jordan (2 January 2017). "Cardy won't rule out return to politics, jump to PCs". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
  9. ^ "NDP names Rosaire L'Italien interim leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. 9 January 2017. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
  10. ^ MacKinnon, Bobbi-Jean (10 August 2017). "NDP hopes to reclaim members with Jennifer McKenzie as new leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
  11. ^ "Job controversy pushes Donald Arseneault to resign from legislature | CBC News". CBC. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
  12. ^ "Arseneault releases lobbying advice from integrity commissioner". CBC News. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
  13. ^ Roy-Comeau, Mathieu (6 July 2018). "Madeleine Dubé donne officiellement sa démission". Acadie Nouvelle (in French). Caraquet, NB: Acadie Nouvelle ltée. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
  14. ^ https://www1.gnb.ca/elections/en/prov18sep24/provcandidatelist-e.asp?ELECTIONID=74
  15. ^ "Unofficial List of Candidates". Elections New Brunswick. Government of New Brunswick. Retrieved 31 August 2018.
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "2018 Candidates". Green Party of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Candidates". New Brunswick NDP / NPD Nouveau-Brunswick. New Democratic Party of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Registry of Nomination Contestants - New Brunswick New Democratic Party" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 30 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
  19. ^ NPD NB Bathurst Ouest - Beresford NB NDP on Facebook
  20. ^ Magee, Shane (17 March 2018). "'Emotional day' as assembly wraps ahead of fall vote". Brunswick News Inc. p. A.3. {{cite news}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help)
  21. ^ a b "Registry of Independent Candidates" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 30 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
  22. ^ Poitras, Jacques (14 March 2018). "Attorney General Serge Rousselle won't run for re-election". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  23. ^ @PANB_AGNB (June 4, 2018). "Just a reminder" (Tweet) – via Twitter. {{Cite tweet}}: |date= / |number= mismatch (help)
  24. ^ Joël MacIntosh on Facebook
  25. ^ Joël MacIntosh on Facebook
  26. ^ a b c Chilibeck (6 September 2017). "Gallant drops 3 ministers, adds 3 new faces". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.1. {{cite news}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help)
  27. ^ NB New Democratic Party - Nouveau Parti Démocratique du NB on Facebook
  28. ^ Huras, Adam (27 July 2018). "Party didn't hear from candidate, so it got a new one". Brunswick News Inc. Legislature Bureau. Retrieved 11 August 2018.
  29. ^ People's Alliance of New Brunswick - Albert Riding - Sharon Buchanan on Facebook
  30. ^ McPhail, Colin (17 April 2018). "Challenger wins PC nomination in 'rare' upset over incumbent MLA". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
  31. ^ a b Huras, Adam (8 May 2018). "People's Alliance candidates withdraw from race". Telegraph-Journal. Brunswick News Inc. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
  32. ^ Josh Floyd for Rothesay NDP Nomination on Facebook
  33. ^ "Your Candidates". People's Alliance of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
  34. ^ a b "Registry of Nomination Contestants – People's Alliance of New Brunswick" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 17 August 2018. Retrieved 20 August 2018.
  35. ^ a b "Registry of Nomination Contestants – Parti vert N. B. Green Party" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 21 June 2018. Retrieved 3 July 2018.
  36. ^ "Registry of Nomination Contestants - Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 29 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
  37. ^ Ibrahim, Hadeel (22 April 2018). "New Brunswick politician Keith Ashfield dead at 66". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
  38. ^ "UPDATED---MLA Jody Carr Is Not Re-Offering In September's Election". CHSJ Country 94.1 FM. Acadia Broadcasting. 18 January 2018. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  39. ^ Chilibeck, John (12 April 2018). "Greens ban candidate over 'behavioural issues'". Telegraph-Journal.com. Brunswick News Inc. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
  40. ^ Huras, Adam (13 July 2017). "Who's already nominated? 13 candidates to run in 2018 already quietly declared". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.4. {{cite news}}: |access-date= requires |url= (help)
  41. ^ a b "Progressive Conservative MLA calls it quits at provincial level". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. CBC News. 28 May 2018. Retrieved 29 May 2018.
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