2018 New Brunswick general election
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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 39th New Brunswick general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on September 24, 2018,[1][2] to elect 49 members to the 59th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.
The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – could alter the date by one week or one month in either direction if there is a conflict due to religious or culture reasons, or a federal election.[3]
Timeline
- September 22, 2014 – The New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Brian Gallant, won a narrow majority government, defeating incumbent Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservatives, which became the second single-term government in New Brunswick's history.[4]
- September 23, 2014 - Alward announces his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.
- October 14, 2014 - Gary Keating resigns as the Liberal member for Saint John East.
- October 18, 2014 - Bruce Fitch became interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
- November 17, 2014 - Glen Savoie is elected as member the Progressive Conservative MLA for Saint John East, following the resignation of Gary Keating; NDP leader Dominic Cardy comes in third.
- December 10, 2014 - The NDP executive rejects Cardy's resignation as leader, urging him to continue and offering him a salary as he has been working as leader on a volunteer basis.
- May 22, 2015 - David Alward resigns as member for Carleton.
- October 5, 2015 - Stewart Fairgrieve holds the Carleton seat for the PCs in a byelection.[5]
- October 22, 2016 - Blaine Higgs becomes the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party in a leadership election.[6]
- January 1, 2017 - Dominic Cardy resigns as leader of the NDP, and as a party member. He subsequently joins the PCs as Chief of Staff to Leader Blaine Higgs.[7][8]
- January 8, 2017 - Rosaire L'Italien is chosen as interim leader of the NDP by the party's executive.[9]
- August 10, 2017 - Jennifer McKenzie is acclaimed as the new leader of the NDP.[10]
- November 30, 2017 - Donald Arseneault resigns as member for Campbellton-Dalhousie.[11][12]
- July 6, 2018 - Madeleine Dubé resigns as member for Edmundston-Madawaska Centre.[13]
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Last Day of Polling | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | PA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corporate Research Associates | August 19, 2018 | [1] | 50 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
MQO Research | August 4, 2018 | [2] | 40 | 32 | 9 | 10 | |
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | [3] | 38.1 | 39.4 | 6.6 | 8.9 | |
Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2018 | [4] | 45 | 31 | 13 | 7 | 4 |
MQO Research | May 16, 2018 | [5] | 35 | 43 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 3, 2018 | [6] | 43 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 3 |
MQO Research | January 25, 2018 | [7] | 46 | 37 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | [8] | 41.1 | 39.7 | 9.3 | 9.9 | |
Corporate Research Associates | November 29, 2017 | [9] | 47 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 3 |
MQO Research | October 15, 2017 | [10] | 41 | 36 | 12 | 7 | |
Corporate Research Associates | September 6, 2017 | [11] | 47 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 2 |
MQO Research | July 27, 2017 | [12] | 45 | 35 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
Mainstreet Research | June 22, 2017 | [13] | 48 | 29 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Corporate Research Associates | May 31, 2017 | [14] | 46 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 3 |
MQO Research | April 17, 2017 | [15] | 43 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 5 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 1, 2017 | [16] | 51 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
MQO Research | January 22, 2017 | [17] | 50 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 30, 2016 | [18] | 53 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
MQO Research | October 15, 2016 | [19] | 54 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 31, 2016 | [20] | 54 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
MQO Research | July 19, 2016 | [21] | 50 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
Corporate Research Associates | June 1, 2016 | [22] | 52 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 2 |
MQO Research | April 16, 2016 | [23] | 51 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 2, 2016 | [24] | 45 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 30, 2015 | [25] | 55 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | September 10, 2015 | [26] | 36 | 28 | 25 | 10 | 2 |
Corporate Research Associates | June 9, 2015 | [27] | 38 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | March 2, 2015 | [28] | 54 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 26, 2014 | [29] | 52 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 1 |
Election 2014 | September 22, 2014 | HTML | 42.72 | 34.64 | 12.98 | 6.61 | 2.14 |
Statistics
Party | Party leader | # of candidates[14] |
Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | Dissolution | Elected | Change | # | % | Change | ||||
Liberal | Brian Gallant | 49 | 27 | 24 | ||||||
Progressive Conservative | Blaine Higgs | 49 | 21 | 21 | ||||||
Green | David Coon | 40 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
New Democratic | Jennifer McKenzie | 31 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
People's Alliance | Kris Austin | 29 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
K.I.S.S. N.B. Political Party | Gerald Bourque | 7 | * | 0 | * | |||||
Independent | 7 | 0 | 1 | |||||||
Vacant | n/a | 2 | n/a | |||||||
Total | 212 | 49 | 49 | 49 | n/c | 100% |
Candidates by region
Legend
- bold denotes cabinet minister, speaker or party leader
- italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
- † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
- * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district
- © denotes a candidate whose name has been submitted to Elections New Brunswick[15]
NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick
Northern
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | Other | |||||||||
Restigouche West | Gilles LePage© | David Moreau© | Charles Theriault© | Beverly A. Mann© | Travis Pollock© (KISS) |
Gilles LePage | ||||||||
Campbellton-Dalhousie | Guy Arseneault© | Diane Cyr© | Annie Thériault[16] | Thérèse Tremblay© | Robert Boudreau© | Vacant | ||||||||
Restigouche-Chaleur | Daniel Guitard© | Charles Stewart© | Mario Comeau© | Paul Napoleon Tremblay[17][18] | Daniel Guitard | |||||||||
Bathurst West-Beresford | Brian Kenny© | Yvon Landry© | Mike Rau© | Anne-Renée Thomas©[a] | James Risdon© (KISS) |
Brian Kenny | ||||||||
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | Denis Landry© | Michelle Branch© | Robert Kryszko© | Jean Maurice Landry© | Denis Landry | |||||||||
Caraquet | Isabelle Thériault© | Kevin Hache© | Yvon Durelle[16][b] | Katy Casavant© | Guilmond Hébert© (Ind.) |
Hédard Albert†[20] | ||||||||
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | Wilfred Roussel© | Robert Gauvin© | (no candidate)[16] | Albert Rousselle© | Philippe Tisseuil[21] (Ind.) |
Wilfred Roussel | ||||||||
Tracadie-Sheila | Keith Chiasson© | Claude Landry© | Nancy Benoit[16] | Francis Duguay© | Stéphane Richardson© (Ind.) |
Serge Rousselle†[22] |
Miramichi
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | KISS | |||||||||
Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lisa Harris© | Debi Tozer© | James (Junior) Denny© | Willie Robichaud© | Terry Collette©[c] | Lisa Harris | ||||||||
Miramichi | Bill Fraser© | Peggy McLean© | Louann Savage© | Douglas T. Mullin[17][18] | Michelle Conroy© | Bill Fraser | ||||||||
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | Andy Hardy© | Jake Stewart© | Byron J. Connors© | Art O'Donnell© | Dawson Brideau© | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Jake Stewart |
Southeastern
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | Other | |||||||||
Kent North | Emery Comeau© | Katie Robertson©[d] | Kevin Arseneau© | Roger Richard© (Ind.) |
Bertrand LeBlanc†[26] | |||||||||
Kent South | Benoit Bourque© | Ricky Gautreau© | Alain Rousselle© | Serge Remi Parent© | Benoît Bourque | |||||||||
Shediac Bay-Dieppe | Brian Gallant© | Paulin Blaise Ngweth© | Michel Albert© | Michel Boudreau© | Brian Gallant | |||||||||
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | Jacques LeBlanc© | Marcel Doiron© | Greta Doucet[16] | Lise Potvin© | Victor Boudreau†[26] | |||||||||
Memramcook-Tantramar | Bernard R. LeBlanc© | Etienne Gaudet© | Megan Mitton© | Hélène Boudreau© | Bernard LeBlanc | |||||||||
Dieppe | Roger Melanson© | Pierre Brine© | Joyce Richardson© | Roger Melanson | ||||||||||
Moncton East | Monique Anne LeBlanc© | Marty Kingston© | Matthew Ian Clark© | Monique LeBlanc | ||||||||||
Moncton Centre | Rob McKee© | Claudette Boudreau-Turner© | Jean-Marie Nadeau© | Jessica Ida-Julienne Caissie[27][18] | Kevin McClure© | Chris Collins© (Ind.) |
Chris Collins | |||||||
Moncton South | Cathy Rogers© | Moira Murphy© | Laura Sanderson© | Amy E. Johnson[17][18] | Marilyn Crossman-Riel© | Cathy Rogers | ||||||||
Moncton Northwest | Courtney Holly L. Pringle-Carver© | Ernie Lawrence Steeves© | Keagan Slupsky[16] | Cyprien Okana© | Myrna Geldart© | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Ernie Steeves | |||||||
Moncton Southwest | Susy Campos© | Sherry Wilson© | Sarah Colwell© | Hailey Elizabeth Duffy[17][18] | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Sherry Wilson | ||||||||
Riverview | Brent Mazerolle© | R. Bruce Fitch© | Stephanie Coburn© | Madison Rebecca Duffy[17][18] | Heather Collins© | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Bruce Fitch | |||||||
Albert | Catherine Black© | Mike Holland© | Moranda van Geest© | Betty Weir© | Sharon Buchanan©[e] | James Wilson© (Ind.) |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Brian Keirstead†[30] | ||||||
Gagetown-Petitcodiac | Brigitte Noel© | Ross F. Wetmore© | Marilyn L. Merritt-Gray© | Anne Richardson[18] | Craig Andrew Dykeman© | Carolyn D. MacDonald© (KISS) |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Ross Wetmore |
Southern
Capital Region
Upper River Valley
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Progressive Conservatives | Green | NDP | PANB | KISS | |||||||||
Carleton | Christy Culberson© | Stewart Fairgrieve© | Amy Anderson© | Adam McAvoy© | Stewart B. Manuel© | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| | Stewart Fairgrieve | |||||||
Carleton-Victoria | Andrew Harvey© | Margaret C. Johnson© | Paula Shaw© | Terry L. Sisson© | Carter Edgar© | Andrew Harvey | ||||||||
Victoria-La Vallée | Chuck Chiasson© | Danny Soucy© | Paul Plourde[16] | Chuck Chiasson | ||||||||||
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours© | Gérald Levesque© | Sophie Vaillancourt© | Vacant | ||||||||||
Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Francine Landry© | Jeannot Volpe© | Denis Boulet© | Francine Landry |
Notes
- ^ Michel Aldéo Robichaud registered as an NDP nomination candidate in Bathurst West-Beresford on 7 February 2018[18] but the local riding association was still searching for a candidate on 23 March.[19]
- ^ Daniel Alain Blanchard was previously listed on the Green Party candidate page[16] but has since been removed.
- ^ Shelly Eileen Vance was nominated by the People's Alliance of New Brunswick in Miramichi Bay-Neguac but later withdrew.[23]
- ^ Joël MacIntosh declared himself a candidate for the PC nominaton[24] but was refused by the party.[25]
- ^ Tim Raworth was nominated as the PANB candidate for Albert in April; he did not communicate with the party for weeks[28] and was replaced by Sharon Buchanan on 12 July[29]
- ^ Luke Marshall previously won the People's Alliance nomination in Quispamsis but withdrew in May.[31]
- ^ James F. (Ryan) Lanigan registered as a candidate for the Kings Centre Green Party nomination on 23 November 2017[35] but was never nominated.
- ^ Keith John Ashfield registered as a candidate for the Progressive Conservative nomination in Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton[36] but died in his sleep before the original nomination meeting.[37]
- ^ Christopher David Smissaert won the Green Party nomination for Fredericton North in November 2017 but was stripped of the nomination in March 2018 due to unspecified behavioural issues.[39]
- ^ Randall L. Leavitt previously won the People's Alliance nomination for Fredericton North but withdrew in May.[31][34]
- ^ Brian Thomas Macdonald was nominated by the Progressive Conservatives in Fredericton West-Hanwell[40] but later chose not to run.[41]
References
- ^ Legislative Assembly Act, Section 2(4).
- ^ "Thirty-eighth general election September 22, 2014" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
- ^ Section 2(6) of the Legislative Assembly Act
- ^ McHardie, Daniel (September 23, 2014). "N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco". CBC News. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
- ^ "PC Stewart Fairgrieve says jobs a factor in byelection win". CBC News. October 6, 2015. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ McHardie, Daniel (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs wins New Brunswick Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ Ross, Shane (January 1, 2017). "NDP Leader Dominic Cardy resigns amid party 'infighting'". CBC News. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ Fahmy, Gabrielle; Gill, Jordan (2 January 2017). "Cardy won't rule out return to politics, jump to PCs". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ "NDP names Rosaire L'Italien interim leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. 9 January 2017. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ MacKinnon, Bobbi-Jean (10 August 2017). "NDP hopes to reclaim members with Jennifer McKenzie as new leader". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ "Job controversy pushes Donald Arseneault to resign from legislature | CBC News". CBC. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
- ^ "Arseneault releases lobbying advice from integrity commissioner". CBC News. Retrieved 2018-03-13.
- ^ Roy-Comeau, Mathieu (6 July 2018). "Madeleine Dubé donne officiellement sa démission". Acadie Nouvelle (in French). Caraquet, NB: Acadie Nouvelle ltée. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
- ^ https://www1.gnb.ca/elections/en/prov18sep24/provcandidatelist-e.asp?ELECTIONID=74
- ^ "Unofficial List of Candidates". Elections New Brunswick. Government of New Brunswick. Retrieved 31 August 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "2018 Candidates". Green Party of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Candidates". New Brunswick NDP / NPD Nouveau-Brunswick. New Democratic Party of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Registry of Nomination Contestants - New Brunswick New Democratic Party" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 30 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
- ^ NPD NB Bathurst Ouest - Beresford NB NDP on Facebook
- ^ Magee, Shane (17 March 2018). "'Emotional day' as assembly wraps ahead of fall vote". Brunswick News Inc. p. A.3.
{{cite news}}
:|access-date=
requires|url=
(help) - ^ a b "Registry of Independent Candidates" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 30 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
- ^ Poitras, Jacques (14 March 2018). "Attorney General Serge Rousselle won't run for re-election". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
- ^ @PANB_AGNB (June 4, 2018). "Just a reminder" (Tweet) – via Twitter. {{Cite tweet}}: |date= / |number= mismatch (help)
- ^ Joël MacIntosh on Facebook
- ^ Joël MacIntosh on Facebook
- ^ a b c Chilibeck (6 September 2017). "Gallant drops 3 ministers, adds 3 new faces". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.1.
{{cite news}}
:|access-date=
requires|url=
(help) - ^ NB New Democratic Party - Nouveau Parti Démocratique du NB on Facebook
- ^ Huras, Adam (27 July 2018). "Party didn't hear from candidate, so it got a new one". Brunswick News Inc. Legislature Bureau. Retrieved 11 August 2018.
- ^ People's Alliance of New Brunswick - Albert Riding - Sharon Buchanan on Facebook
- ^ McPhail, Colin (17 April 2018). "Challenger wins PC nomination in 'rare' upset over incumbent MLA". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2018.
- ^ a b Huras, Adam (8 May 2018). "People's Alliance candidates withdraw from race". Telegraph-Journal. Brunswick News Inc. Retrieved 8 May 2018.
- ^ Josh Floyd for Rothesay NDP Nomination on Facebook
- ^ "Your Candidates". People's Alliance of New Brunswick. Retrieved 30 August 2018.
- ^ a b "Registry of Nomination Contestants – People's Alliance of New Brunswick" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 17 August 2018. Retrieved 20 August 2018.
- ^ a b "Registry of Nomination Contestants – Parti vert N. B. Green Party" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 21 June 2018. Retrieved 3 July 2018.
- ^ "Registry of Nomination Contestants - Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick" (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. 29 August 2018. Retrieved 2 September 2018.
- ^ Ibrahim, Hadeel (22 April 2018). "New Brunswick politician Keith Ashfield dead at 66". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
- ^ "UPDATED---MLA Jody Carr Is Not Re-Offering In September's Election". CHSJ Country 94.1 FM. Acadia Broadcasting. 18 January 2018. Retrieved 2 May 2018.
- ^ Chilibeck, John (12 April 2018). "Greens ban candidate over 'behavioural issues'". Telegraph-Journal.com. Brunswick News Inc. Retrieved 27 April 2018.
- ^ Huras, Adam (13 July 2017). "Who's already nominated? 13 candidates to run in 2018 already quietly declared". Times & Transcript. Brunswick News Inc. p. A.4.
{{cite news}}
:|access-date=
requires|url=
(help) - ^ a b "Progressive Conservative MLA calls it quits at provincial level". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. CBC News. 28 May 2018. Retrieved 29 May 2018.