2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts: Difference between revisions

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| next_year = 2012
| next_year = 2012
| election_date = January 19, 2010
| election_date = January 19, 2010
| image2 = [[File:Martha Coakley crop.jpg|127px]]
| image2 = [[File:Martha Coakley crop fixed.jpg|127px]]
| nominee2 = '''[[Martha Coakley]]'''
| nominee2 = '''[[Martha Coakley]]'''
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

Revision as of 00:12, 17 January 2010

United States Senate special election in Massachusetts, 2010

← 2006 January 19, 2010 2012 →
  File:Martha Coakley crop fixed.jpg
Nominee Scott Brown Martha Coakley
Party Republican Democratic

 
Nominee Joseph L. Kennedy
Party Independent

Senator before election

Paul Kirk
Democratic

Elected Senator

TBD
TBD

The 2010 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts will take place on January 19, 2010. It will be a special election to fill the Massachusetts Class I Senate seat for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2013.

The vacancy that prompted the special election was created by the death of Democrat Ted Kennedy on August 25, 2009; Kennedy had served as Senator since 1962, having himself initially been elected in a special election in 1962 to fill the vacancy created when his brother, John F. Kennedy, was elected President in 1960.

The seat is currently held by an appointee, Paul Kirk, a longtime Kennedy aide who is not a candidate in the election to complete the term.

A party primary election determining the winners of party nominations occurred on December 8, 2009.[1][2] The Democratic Party nominated Martha Coakley, the Massachusetts Attorney General; The Republican Party nominated Scott Brown, a Massachusetts State Senator. Joseph L. Kennedy (no relation to the Kennedy family) is running as an independent candidate.

The race has drawn national attention due to Brown's unexpected competitiveness and the fact that a Brown victory would deprive the Democratic Party of the 60th Senate vote it needs to invoke cloture on the health care reform bill.[3]

Background

Timeline

Massachusetts law requires a special election to be held on a Tuesday, to be determined by the governor, no less than 145 days, nor more than 160 days from the date of office vacancy. That range placed the election date between January 17 and February 1, 2010.[1][4][5] Massachusetts law specifies that a party primary shall be held the sixth Tuesday before the general election.[6] On August 28, 2009, Secretary of the Commonwealth William F. Galvin presented the dates January 19 and January 26, 2010, calculated following meetings with State House Speaker Robert DeLeo, State Senate President Therese Murray, and aides to Governor Deval Patrick. Patrick was legally required to select one of these two dates. A January 19 election would require the primary to be held on December 8, while a January 26 election would have required a December 15 primary.[1] Patrick said he would address the issue of the election date "after we have finished this period of respectful grief."[7] On August 31, 2009, Patrick scheduled the special election for January 19, 2010, with the primary elections on December 8, 2009. For party primary candidates, completed nomination papers with certified signatures were required to be filed by the close of business, November 3, 2009. Non-party candidates had a December 8, 2009 filing deadline.[8][2][8][9][8]

State Rep. Karyn Polito (R) suggested on August 28, 2009 that because the possible election dates overlap the holiday season, the law ought to be rewritten to allow the special election to be held on November 3, 2009, to coincide with other elections in the state.[7]

Qualifications

A senator must be at least 30 years of age, a U.S. citizen for at least nine years prior to the date of the election, and an inhabitant of Massachusetts when elected.[10][11] In Massachusetts, all candidates for U.S. Senate must file nomination papers with the certified signatures of 10,000 Massachusetts voters, by deadlines established by the Secretary of the Commonwealth.[11][12] A candidate for nomination in a party's special primary election must, unless a newly registered voter, have been an enrolled member of the party for the 90 days preceding the filing deadline with the Secretary of the Commonwealth, and must not have been enrolled in any other party in the prior year.[11]

Appointment

In 2004, the Massachusetts General Court withdrew the authority of the governor to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy by appointment, to prevent the then-Governor Mitt Romney, a Republican, from appointing a Republican to fill the remainder of Democrat John Kerry's Senate term, if Kerry were to win the 2004 presidential election. The legislation was enacted over Romney's veto.[13][14][15][16][17] At that time, Senator Ted Kennedy successfully made personal appeals to Massachusetts Democratic legislative leaders to pass the bill, which had been stalled prior to his request.[18]

Seven days before his death, Kennedy communicated his desire to amend the law so that upon a vacancy, the governor might appoint a Senator to serve until the special election occurred and avoid a five-month vacancy for the office. Kennedy sent a letter to the governor and legislative leaders (received on August 18, 2009, and dated July 2, 2009) requesting that they consider changing the law, and that the Governor obtain the personal pledge of such an appointee to not become a candidate in the following special election.[19][20] John Kerry, President Barack Obama and State House Speaker Robert DeLeo all expressed support for an interim appointment.[21][22][23]

Patrick stated that he wished to honor the request by Kennedy that any appointee pledge not to run in the special election.[7] The legality of such a demand in state law is questioned by Secretary of the Commonwealth William F. Galvin, as the qualifications for office to Congress are specified solely in the Constitution.[7] Robert DeLeo stated that both the Senate and the House of Representatives planned to approve resolutions indicating that they did not want the appointee to run in the special election or become involved with any candidate's campaign.[24]

A bill previously pending before the legislature, filed by State Rep. Robert M. Koczera of New Bedford in January 2009, proposed to permit the governor to appoint a senator; to enjoin the governor from appointing a candidate in a subsequent special election; and to permit the appointment date to occur only after the filing deadline for the special election had passed.[25] Governor Patrick said he would push the General Court to pass the bill, and that he would sign it into law.[26] The General Court held its first hearing on the legislation on September 9.[27]

The Massachusetts House of Representatives approved legislation to give Governor Patrick the power to appoint an interim senator on September 17, 2009, by a 95–58 vote.[24] The Massachusetts Senate approved the measure on September 22, 2009, by a vote of 24 to 16,[28] and both houses of the General Court gave final approval to the bill on September 23.[29]

On September 24, 2009, Patrick appointed Paul G. Kirk, former Democratic National Committee chairman and aide to Ted Kennedy, to serve as a temporary replacement whose term expires on Jan. 19 when the special election is held.[21][30] Kennedy's two sons, Patrick J. Kennedy and Edward Kennedy, Jr.,[31] and his wife, Victoria Reggie Kennedy,[32] had all expressed their preference for Kirk. Kirk was sworn in to office on Friday September 25, 2009.[33] He pledged not to be a candidate in the special election.[30]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Source Date(s) administered Mike Capuano Martha Coakley Alan Khazei Stephen Pagliuca Other
Rasmussen Reports (report)[Poll 1] November 23 21% 36% 14% 14% 5%
The Boston Globe (report)[Poll 2] November 13–18 22% 43% 6% 15%
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 3] November 4–8 16% 44% 3% 17%
Research 2000 (report)[Poll 4] October 28–29 16% 42% 5% 15%
Lake Research Partners (report)[Poll 5] September 21–24 12% 47% 1% 4%
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 6] September 16 9% 47% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)[Poll 7] September 8 7% 38% 24%

Results

Democratic Primary results[39]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Martha Coakley 310,227 47
Democratic Mike Capuano 184,791 28
Democratic Alan Khazei 88,929 13
Democratic Stephen Pagliuca 80,248 12
Total votes 664,195 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Source Dates administered Scott Brown Jack E. Robinson III Undecided
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 3] November 4–8 45% 7% 47%

Results

Republican Primary results[48][49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Brown 145,465 89
Republican Jack Robinson 17,241 11
Total votes 162,706 100

Other candidates

Independent or third party candidates had until December 8, 2009 to submit nomination papers for signature certification.[8]

General election

CQ Politics rated the election as "Tossup."[52] The last three Democratic presidential candidates carried the state with over 60% of the vote. The last Republican to win the state in a presidential election was Ronald Reagan in 1984. The last Republican to win a Senate election was Edward Brooke in 1972.[53]

Campaign

Positions

Scott Brown considers himself a fiscal conservative and Washington, D.C. outsider.[40] He said "I have always thought that being in government service is a privilege, not a right. This Senate seat doesn't belong to any one person or political party. It belongs to you, the people, and the people deserve a US senator who will always put your interests first."[40] Brown has called for fiscal restraint and smaller government, claiming that he has never voted for a tax increase.[40] Assistant Professor Boris Schor of the University of Chicago's Harris School of Public Policy Studies has described Brown as "a more liberal Republican than Dede Scozzafava", the Republican nominee in the 2009 special election in New York's 23rd congressional district.[54][55][56]

Coakley has positioned herself as a liberal, supporting several key initiatives of President Obama's, including healthcare reform.[57] She supports reform that accomplishes the three goals of expanding coverage, improving healthcare outcomes and reducing costs.[58] She supports increased regulation of the financial sector, the protection of abortion rights and ending the war in Afghanistan. Notably, Coakley has taken positions to increase equal rights for LGBT individuals; she favors ending Don't Ask, Don't Tell, repealing the Defense of Marriage Act and strengthening hate crimes laws.[59]

Kennedy opposes Democratic plans for healthcare reform and has vowed, if elected, to work to repeal the legislation. He opposes government spending by both the George W. Bush and Barack Obama administrations. He has acknowledged that he may benefit from voters who associate him with the Kennedy family, saying "I'm not going to be delusional, there will be hard-core Kennedy voters who will pull the wrong lever." However, Boston University political scientist Thomas Whalen has said that Kennedy's libertarian views may cause him to detract votes from Brown rather than Coakley.[60]

Developments

On January 12, 2010, an alleged altercation occured between The Weekly Standard journalist John McCormack and Democratic strategist Michael Meehan, in which McCormack was pushed into a fence while trying to ask Coakley a question.[61][62] Coakley blamed Republican 'stalkers' for the incident.[63] Meehan later apologized for the incident.[64]

On January 14, 2010, Stuart Rothenberg of The Rothenberg Political Report,[65] Charlie Cook of The Cook Political Report[65] and statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com[66] all characterized the race as a tossup.

On January 15, 2010, former President Bill Clinton campaigned for Coakley in Worcester, while former Mayor of New York City Rudy Giuliani campaigned for Brown in Boston.[67] President Barack Obama will campaign for Coakley on January 17, 2010.[68]

In a radio interview on January 16, 2010, Coakley described former Boston Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling as a "Yankee fan," drawing criticism.[69][70][71][72][73][74] Schilling, who considered running for the Senate seat himself and later endorsed Scott Brown,[75] responded by saying "I've been called a lot of things... but never, I mean never, could anyone make the mistake of calling me a Yankee fan. Well, check that, if you didn't know what the hell is going on in your own state maybe you could..."[76][77]

Finances

As of January 8, 2010, Martha Coakley had raised over US$5.2 million in total, and had $937,383 cash on hand. Scott Brown had $367,150 cash on hand. Brown had spent $450,000 on television advertisements, while Coakley had spent $1.4 million.[78] A week before the general election, Brown raised $1.3 million from over 16,000 donors in a 24-hour fund-raising effort. Reports have also indicated that Brown has raised an average of $1 million per day the week prior to the election.[79]

Debates

All three candidates participated in the debates. The first was held in Boston on January 5, and broadcast by WTKK. The January 8 debate was held in Springfield and broadcast by WGBY-TV. The final debate was held on January 11 at the Edward M. Kennedy Institute.[80][81]

Endorsements

The Boston Herald has endorsed Brown for the general election,[82] while the Boston Globe has endorsed Coakley.[83] Vicki Kennedy, wife of the late Senator Edward Kennedy, has endorsed Coakley, along with other members of the Kennedy family,[84] while former presidential candidate John McCain,[85] and Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling endorsed Brown.[86]

Polling

Poll source Date(s) administered Scott Brown (R) Martha Coakley (D) Joseph L. Kennedy (I) Other Undecided
CrossTarget Research (report)[Poll 8] January 14, 2010 54% 39% 8%
American Research Group (report)[Poll 9] January 12–14, 2010 48% 45% 2% 5%
Research 2000 (report)[Poll 10] January 12–13, 2010 41% 49% 5%
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 11] January 11–13, 2010 50% 46% 3% 1%
Rasmussen Reports (report)[Poll 12] January 11, 2010 47% 49% 3% 2%
Public Policy Polling (report)[Poll 13] January 7–9, 2010 48% 47% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)[Poll 14] January 4, 2010 41% 50% 1% 7%
The Boston Globe (report)[Poll 15] January 2–6, 2010 35% 50% 5% 9%
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 16] November 4–8, 2009 27% 58% 15% 9%
WNEC (report)[Poll 17] October 18–22, 2009 32% 58% 9% 9%
Suffolk University (report)[Poll 6] September 16, 2009 24% 54% 20% 9%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Sample size: 567, margin of error: ±4%
  2. ^ Sample size: 537, margin of error: ±4.4%
  3. ^ a b Sample size: 600, margin of error: ±4%
  4. ^ Sample size: 400, margin of error: ±5%
  5. ^ Sample size: 800, margin of error: ±3.5%
  6. ^ a b Sample size: 500, margin of error: ±4.4%
  7. ^ Sample size: 611, margin of error: ±4%
  8. ^ Sample size: 946, margin of error: ±3.19%
  9. ^ Sample size: 600, margin of error: ±4%
  10. ^ Sample size: 500, margin of error: ±4%
  11. ^ Sample size: 500, margin of error: ±4.4%
  12. ^ Sample size: 1000, margin of error: ±3%
  13. ^ Sample size: 744, margin of error: ±3.6%
  14. ^ Sample size: 500, margin of error: ±4.5%
  15. ^ Sample size: 554
  16. ^ Sample size: 600
  17. ^ Sample size: 468

References

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  3. ^ Vick, Karl; Cillizza, Chris (January 16, 2010). "Democrats scramble in Massachusetts to retain Ted Kennedy's old Senate seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2010.
  4. ^ Massachusetts General Laws, Chapter 54, Section 140 Senators and representatives in congress; vacancies
  5. ^ Benenson, Bob (August 26, 2009). "Governor Must Soon Set Special Election". CQPolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Retrieved August 26, 2009. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)
  6. ^ Massachusetts General Laws, Chapter 53, Section 28 Dates and places for holding primaries.
  7. ^ a b c d Johnson, Glen (August 29, 2009). "Mass. governor seeks demand on Kennedy succession". Google News. Associated Press. Retrieved August 30, 2009.
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  10. ^ United States Constitution, Article I, section 3, clause 3. "No Person shall be a Senator who shall not have attained to the Age of thirty Years, and been nine Years a Citizen of the United States, and who shall not, when elected, be an Inhabitant of that State for which he shall be chosen."
  11. ^ a b c Galvin, William (no date). "A Candidate's Guide to Special Elections: Age, Residence and Signature Requirements for United States Senator, United States Representative, State Senator & State Representative". Elections Division, Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Retrieved August 26, 2009. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)
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  20. ^ LeBlanc, Steve (August 20, 2009). "Ailing Kennedy seeks to change law on succession". Boston Globe. Associated Press.
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  86. ^ Andy Barr (January 4, 2010). "Curt Schilling endorses Scott Brown in Mass. Senate race".

External links