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2010 Idaho gubernatorial election

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2010 Idaho gubernatorial election

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee Butch Otter Keith G. Allred Jana Kemp
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 267,483 148,680 26,655
Percentage 59.11% 32.85% 5.89%

County results
Otter:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Allred:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Butch Otter
Republican

The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.

A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Campaign

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Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]

In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]

Polling

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Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Walt
Bayes
Butch
Otter
Ron"Pete"
Peterson
Rex
Rammell
Sharon
Ullman
Tamara
Wells
Un-
decided
Mason-Dixon (report) May 17–19, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 1% 60% 3% 6% 4% 1% 25%

Results

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Results by county:
  Otter—70–80%
  Otter—60–70%
  Otter—50–60%
  Otter—40–50%
  Rammell—40–50%
  Rammell—50–60%
Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Butch Otter (incumbent) 89,117 54.6
Republican Rex Rammell 42,436 26.0
Republican Sharon Ullman 13,749 8.4
Republican Pete Peterson 8,402 5.2
Republican Walt Bayes 4,825 3.0
Republican Tamara Wells 4,544 2.8
Republican Fred Nichols 38 0.0
Total votes 163,111 100

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator[8]
  • Lee Chaney, laborer[9]

Declined

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Results

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Results by county:
  Allred—80–90%
  Allred—70–80%
  Allred—60–70%
  Allred—50–60%
Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Keith Allred 22,386 81.7
Democratic Lee Chaney 5,026 18.3
Total votes 27,412 100

Third party candidates

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Libertarian Party

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  • Ted Dunlap

Independents

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General election

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Campaign

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Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]

Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[13] Safe R October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Likely R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Likely R October 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Butch Otter (R) Keith Allred (D)
Rasmussen Reports[18] August 31, 2010 52% 36%
Rasmussen Reports[19] July 15, 2010 53% 36%
Rasmussen Reports[20] May 11, 2010 54% 32%
Rasmussen Reports[20] March 23, 2010 60% 28%

Results

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Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010[21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Butch Otter (incumbent) 267,483 59.11% +6.44%
Democratic Keith G. Allred 148,680 32.85% −11.25%
Independent Jana M. Kemp 26,655 5.89%
Libertarian Ted Dunlap 5,867 1.30% −0.31%
Independent Pro-Life 3,850 0.85% −0.77%
Majority 118,803 26.25% +17.69%
Turnout 452,535
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  1. ^ "Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election". KBOI-TV. March 12, 2010. Archived from the original on July 18, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  2. ^ a b "Three in, one out in Guv's race". The Spokesman-Review. March 8, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  3. ^ Kunz, Aaron (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  4. ^ "Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010". Idaho Statesman. July 14, 2009. Archived from the original on February 8, 2013. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  5. ^ a b Miller, John (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries". Idaho State Journal. Retrieved June 6, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^ "Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama". Daily News. August 28, 2009. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  7. ^ a b "Idaho Governor Primary Results". The Associated Press. May 25, 2010. Retrieved May 25, 2010.
  8. ^ Popkey, Dan (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  9. ^ Kunz, Aaron (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat". KPVI-DT. Archived from the original on July 13, 2011. Retrieved March 15, 2009.
  10. ^ Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007 Archived July 18, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  11. ^ "Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com. Archived from the original on September 14, 2010. Retrieved March 15, 2010.
  12. ^ Iverson-Long, Brad (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter. Retrieved June 6, 2010.
  13. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  18. ^ "Toplines - Idaho Governor - August 31, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  19. ^ "Toplines - 2010 Idaho Governor Election - July 15, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  20. ^ a b "Election 2010: Idaho Governor". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  21. ^ "2010 General Results statewide". Archived from the original on September 22, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
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Official campaign websites (Archived)