2021 Honduran general election

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2021 Honduran general election
← 2017 28 November 2021 (2021-11-28) 2025 →
Registered5,182,436
Presidential election
  Nasry Asfura in 2017 (cropped).jpg Xiomara Castro.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Nasry Asfura Xiomara Castro Yani Rosenthal
Party National Libre Liberal
Alliance Libre-PSH-PINU
President before election

Juan Orlando Hernández
National

Elected President

TBD

Parliamentary election
All 128 seats in the National Congress
65 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
National Juan Orlando Hernández
Libre Manuel Zelaya
Liberal Yani Rosenthal
PINU Guillermo Enrique Valle
APH Romeo Vásquez Velásquez
UD Alfonso Díaz Narváez
CD Marco Antonio Reyes
PAC Marlene Alvarenga
PSH Salvador Nasralla
Incumbent President of the National Congress
Mauricio Oliva
National

General elections will be held in Honduras on 28 November 2021 to elect the President, members of the National Congress and 20 members of the Central American Parliament.

Background[edit]

Incumbent president Juan Orlando Hernández was first elected in 2013 after defeating Xiomara Castro, and controversially re-elected in 2017. There were large protests against Hernandez following the 2017 elections, some continuing into 2019.

Electoral system[edit]

The President of Honduras is elected by plurality, with the candidate receiving the most votes in a single round of voting declared the winner.[1] The 128 members of the National Congress are elected by open list proportional representation from 18 multi-member constituencies based on the departments ranging in size from one to 23 seats.[2] Seats are allocated using the Hare quota.[2]

Primary elections[edit]

Party primaries were held on 14 March 2021 to elect which candidates would represent each party.[3]

Movements Candidates Votes Total Map
National Party of Honduras Flag.svg National Party (PNH)
Unity and Hope Nasry Asfura 681,701 (70.12%) Valid votes: 972,139
Invalid votes: 86,369
Blank Votes: 108,791
Total: 1,167,299
(46.53%)
     Nasry Asfura 80%-90%      Nasry Asfura 70%-80%      Nasry Asfura 60%-70%      Nasry Asfura 50%-60%      Mauricio Oliva 50%-60%
Together We Can Mauricio Oliva 290,438 (29.88%)
Liberal Party of Honduras flag.svg Liberal Party (PLH)
Yanista Movement Yani Rosenthal 339,001 (49.97%) Valid votes: 678,370
Invalid votes: 41,460
Blank Votes: 58,867
Total: 778,697
(31.04%)
     Yani Rosenthal 70%-80%      Yani Rosenthal 60%-70%      Yani Rosenthal 50%-60%      Yani Rosenthal 40%-50%      Luis Zelaya 60%-70%      Luis Zelaya 50%-60%      Luis Zelaya 30%-40%      Dario Banegas 30%-40%
The Hope of Honduras Darío Banegas 109,127 (16.09%)
Recover Honduras Luis Zelaya 230,242 (33.94%)
Libertad y Refundacion Party Logo.svg Liberty and Refoundation (Libre)
Nueva Corriente Carlos Eduardo Reina 25,368 (4.96,%) Valid votes: 511,201
Invalid votes: 26,123
Blank Votes: 25,106
Total: 562,430 (22.43%)
     Xiomara Castro >90%     Xiomara Castro 80%-90%      Xiomara Castro 70%-80%      Xiomara Castro 60%-70%
Free Honduras Wilfredo Méndez 22,600 (4.42%)
July 5th Movement Nelson Ávila 58,995 (11.54%)
Somos+ Xiomara Castro 404,238 (79.08%)
M-28 Power for You
Popular Refoundation Force FRP
People Organized in Resistance POR
Free People
AAAMEL
Total 2,508,426 (100.00%)
Source: National Electoral Council

Candidates[edit]

Nasry Asfura[edit]

Asfura is the current mayor of Honduras's capital, Tegucigalpa, and a member of the ruling center-right to right-wing National Party of Honduras.[3]

Xiomara Castro[edit]

Castro was the presidential candidate for the left-wing Liberty and Refoundation Party in 2013 and made second place, she founded the party with her husband Manuel Zelaya after he was deposed in the 2009 coup.[3]

Yani Rosenthal[edit]

Rosenthal has been a longtime member of the center to center-right Liberal Party of Honduras, he's a businessman and was sentenced to three years in a US prison for laundering drug money, being released in 2020 just in time to begin his presidential campaign.[3]

Withdrawn candidates[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Pollster Date Sample size Nasry Asfura
National Party of Honduras Flag.svg 		Xiomara Castro
Logo LIBRE.svg 		Salvador Nasralla
Logo - Partido Salvador de Honduras.svg 		Yani Rosenthal
Liberal Party of Honduras flag.svg 		Other Undecided/
abstention
Paradigma[4] 14–26 October 2021 3,463 27.7 25.7 — 6.6 2 38
CESPAD[1] 14–20 October 2021 1,726 21 38 — 3 5 33
Nasralla withdrew on 13 October 2021
Paradigma[5] 30 September 2021 3,355 22.7 18.7 10.1 5.5 2.7 40.3
CID-Gallup[6] 10 September 2021 1,288 21 18 18 13 2 28
TResearch[7] 8–9 September 2021 1,000 30.9 31.8 15.8 9.3 2.2 9.9
Paradigma[8] 11–26 August 2021 4,446 15.0 13.8 7.5 4.8 0.6 58.5
Paradigma[9] 28 June–13 July 2021 3,003 12.4 12.9 7.1 6.1 1.3 60.2
CESPAD[10] 13 April–7 May 2021 1,888 14.9 11.7 7.9 6.6 7.6 51.1
Primary elections held on 14 March 2021
C&E Research[11] 2 March 2021 600 14.2 13.8 15.5 14.1 — 42.4

Results[edit]

President[edit]

CandidateParty
Julio Lopéz CasacaAnti-Corruption Party
Kelin Pérez GómezFAPER
Esdraz Amado LópezNew Route
Romeo Vásquez VelásquezHonduran Patriotic Alliance
Santos Orlando Rodriguez OrellanaIndependent
José Coto GarcíaGo-Solidary Movement
Xiomara CastroLiberty and Refoundation
Alexander MiraSavior Party of Honduras
Lempira Cuauhtemoc VianaLIDEHR
Alfonso Díaz NarváezDemocratic Unification Party
Carlos Mauricio PortilloChristian Democratic Party
Marlon EscotoWe are all Honduras
Milton BenítezIndependent
Yani RosenthalLiberal Party
Nasry AsfuraNational Party
Total
Source: CNE

National Congress[edit]

Party
Anti-Corruption Party
FAPER
New Route
Honduran Patriotic Alliance
Go-Solidary Movement
Liberty and Refoundation
Savior Party of Honduras
LIDEHR
Democratic Unification Party
Christian Democratic Party
We are all Honduras
Liberal Party
National Party
PINU-SD
Total
Source: CNE

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Elections: Honduras Presidential Nov 09". IFES Election Guide. Retrieved 2021-04-06.
  2. ^ a b "Elections: Honduras National Congress". IFES Election Guide. Retrieved 2021-04-06.
  3. ^ a b c d e "Meet the Candidates: Honduras". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 2021-04-06.
  4. ^ "En su última encuesta del proceso electoral actual, Paradigma declara empate técnico entre Nasry Asfura y Xiomara Castro". HCH.TV (in Spanish). 2021-10-27. Retrieved 2021-10-28.
  5. ^ Coello, Ingris (2021-09-30). "A menos de dos meses de las elecciones generales, Nasry Asfura es el candidato favorito para la presidencia de Honduras, según el estudio #90 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma". Diario Paradigma (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-10-05.
  6. ^ seguir, Redacción Autor marcado para. "CID Gallup: la mayoría cree que Nasry Asfura será el presidente". www.laprensa.hn (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-10-13.
  7. ^ @CarlosPennaC (2021-09-11). "ASÍ VAN HONDURAS: XIOMARA CASTRO A LA CABEZA". TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-10-11.
  8. ^ Nasry Asfura y Xiomara Castro, siguen como favoritos para ganar las elecciones generales, según el estudio #89 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma
  9. ^ A cuatro meses de las elecciones generales, Xiomara Castro aventaja con estrecho margen la candidatura a la presidencia, según el estudio #88 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma
  10. ^ Redacción. "Análisis | Fragmentación y necesidad de articulación política: un análisis sobre la fidelidad partidaria y la intención del voto en Honduras | CESPAD" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-05-21.
  11. ^ Elections, C&E Campaigns & (2021-03-03). "Honduras. Destino 21. Marzo 2021". ceonline (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-06-01.
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