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2011 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

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2011 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
← 2007 October 11, 2011 2015 →
All 48 seats in the 47th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
25 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Kathy Dunderdale Kevin Aylward Lorraine Michael
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since April 2, 2011 August 14, 2011 May 26, 2006
Leader's seat Virginia Waters ran in St. George's-Stephenville East
(lost) 		Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi
Last election 44 seats, 69.59% 3 seats, 21.69% 1 seat, 8.49%
Seats before 43 4 1
Seats won 37 6 5
Seat change Decrease6 Increase2 Increase4
Popular vote 124,523 42,417 54,713
Percentage 56.1% 19.1% 24.6%
Swing Decrease13.49 Decrease2.59 Increase16.11
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
Premier before election

Kathy Dunderdale
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Kathy Dunderdale
Progressive Conservative

The 2011 Newfoundland and Labrador general election took place on October 11, 2011, to elect members of the 47th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) formed a majority government in the 2007 election, with the Liberal Party serving as the Official Opposition and the New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as a third party.

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in 2004, elections in Newfoundland and Labrador are now held on fixed dates: the second Tuesday in October every four years.[1]

The Progressive Conservatives, led by Kathy Dunderdale, won their third consecutive majority government. Dunderdale became only the third woman in Canadian history to lead a political party to power.[2] The Liberal Party, led by Kevin Aylward, formed the Official Opposition, however the party placed third in the popular vote and Aylward himself was not elected to the legislature.[3] Lorraine Michael's New Democratic Party won a record number of seats and placed second in the popular vote for the first time in the province's history.[4]

Background

[edit]

Progressive Conservative Party

[edit]
 

Leader: Kathy Dunderdale

Under Dunderdale's leadership the PC Party won a third straight majority government, winning 37 seats in the House of Assembly and taking 56% of the popular vote.[2] The party platform included the phasing out of the payroll tax over six years, eliminating provincial student loans and replacing them with needs-based grants over four years, improving health care wait times, establishing a ceiling for new spending growth, investing a third of any surplus into unfunded public pension funds, the creation of a population growth strategy, reforming the adoption process to make it easier for people to adopt children and provide province-wide high-speed access within four years. While releasing the platform Dunderdale stated that promises outlined were contingent on fiscal conditions in the months and years to come.[5][6][7]

Liberal Party

[edit]
 

Leader: Kevin Aylward

Under Aylward's leadership the Liberal Party won a total of six seats. While they increased their number of seats, by two, the party placed third in the popular with 19.1%, the worst showing in their history.[2] The party platform advocated for the creation of a legacy fund for offshore oil revenues, a new deal to develop the Lower Churchill hydroelectric development, annual increase to retired public service pensions, improve high-speed internet and cellphone service in rural areas, merge the Department of Business with the Department of Innovation, Trade, and Rural Development, establish a fisheries investment and diversification fund, creation of a fisheries loan board, initiate a judicial inquiry dealing with management of the fishery and operating a marine rescue subcentre in the province.[8][9]

New Democratic Party

[edit]
 

Leader: Lorraine Michael

Under Michael's leadership the NDP won a total of five seats and took 24.6% of the popular vote, the best result in the party's history. While the party placed second in the popular vote they placed third in seats.[2] Their platform advocated for a 25% reduction in the small business tax, an all-day kindergarten pilot project starting in September 2012, an independent review of the health care system, elimination of the “tax on tax” on gasoline and diesel fuel, regular increases in the minimum wage, reductions in public post-secondary tuition fees with a move towards free tuition, and the introduction of a three per cent petroleum royalty surcharge on oil companies.[10][11][12]

Party leadership

[edit]

Following Liberal leader Gerry Reid's defeat in the 2007 general election he resigned as the party's leader.[13] The party subsequently chose Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair MHA Yvonne Jones as interim leader of the party and therefore the Official Opposition Leader in the House of Assembly.[14] The party delayed calling a leadership election until 2010, and when nominations for the leadership closed on July 30, 2010, Jones was the only candidate to come forward and was acclaimed leader of the party.[15] Only weeks later on August 13, 2010, Jones announced she had been diagnosed with breast cancer and would be taking time off to undergo treatment. During her time off Liberal House Leader Kelvin Parsons took over for Jones on an interim basis.[16] The Liberal convention that would swear Jones in as leader was rescheduled from October 2010, to May 2011, due to her illness. She was sworn in as leader on May 28, 2011.[17] On August 8, 2011, it was announced that Jones would step down as leader the following day on the advice of her doctor. The Liberal Party executive chose former MHA and cabinet minister Kevin Aylward as her successor on August 14, 2011.[18][19]

On November 25, 2010, Premier Danny Williams made the surprise announcement that he would resign as leader and premier the next week.[20] On December 3, 2010, Kathy Dunderdale, Williams' Deputy Premier, was sworn in as Newfoundland and Labrador's tenth Premier.[21] Although she had originally stated she would not seek the permanent leadership she announced on December 30, 2010, she would run for the Progressive Conservative leadership. Her announcement came after several high-profile cabinet ministers announced they would not run and endorsed her candidacy.[22][23] In January 2011, Dunderdale was acclaimed party leader when she was the only eligible candidate to seek the leadership.[24] On April 2, 2011, she was sworn in as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[25]

Timeline

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2007

[edit]

2008

[edit]

2009

[edit]

2010

[edit]

2011

[edit]
  • February 15, 2011: Progressive Conservative candidate Vaughn Granter is elected MHA of Humber West.[40]
  • April 2, 2011: Kathy Dunderdale is sworn in as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[25]
  • May 28, 2011: Yvonne Jones is sworn in as leader of the Liberal Party.[17]
  • August 9, 2011: Jones steps down as leader of the Liberal Party for health reasons.[18]
  • August 14, 2011: Kevin Aylward is chosen as leader of the Liberal Party.[19]
  • September 19, 2011: Election call, Kathy Dunderdale asks Lieutenant Governor John Crosbie to dissolve the legislature.[41]

Campaign

[edit]

At 10:00 am on September 19, 2011, Premier Dunderdale met with Lieutenant Governor John Crosbie who dissolved the 46th General Assembly, officially launching the election campaign.[42][41] It was widely expected that the PCs would win the election.[43]

Campaign slogans

[edit]

The parties campaign slogans for the 2011 election are:

  • Liberal Party – "We Can Do Better"
  • New Democratic Party – "It's Time"
  • Progressive Conservative – "New Energy"

Issues

[edit]
Muskrat Falls

The tentative deal to develop the $6.2 billion Muskrat Falls hydroelectric project in Labrador was negotiated by the Progressive Conservative government in November 2010. The Liberal Party opposes the deal, saying it is bad for the province because it will increase the province's debt and will see electricity rates increase for consumers. The NDP have had similar concerns and both party leaders have called for spending on the project to stop until more independent analysis' can be conducted to see if the current deal is the best one for the province.[44][45]

Public sector pension increases

The Liberal Party announced they would provide a one-time increase to public sector pensioners of 2.5%, as well as provide annual increases equivalent to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) up to 2%. While Aylward has said increasing payments would cost $13 million in the first year and about $10 million extra for each additional year, the Department of Finance stated that the plan would add $1.2 billion in additional liabilities to the pension plan.[46] Dunderdale slammed the Liberal Party's plan calling it 'foolhardy'.[47]

Controversies

[edit]
Dunderdale confrontation with fisheries workers

Toward the end of the campaign, Tory Leader Kathy Dunderdale was confronted by frustrated fisheries workers in Marystown in the district of Burin-Placentia West held by Minister of Fisheries & Aquaculture Clyde Jackman.[48] Dunderdale, accompanied by Jackman and Grand Bank district MHA Darin King, refused to negotiate with the workers until after the election. Jackman went on to win the election by only 40 votes.[49]

Dumaresque comment

Controversy arose at the St. John's Board of Trade debate when Liberal candidate Danny Dumaresque was asked about an appeal by the mayor of St. John's for a new financial arrangement between the city and the provincial government. Dumaresque stated that "there are a hell of a lot more priorities outside the overpass that need to be addressed before we start forking more money over to the City of St. John's." The comment led to divisions within the party, with Liberal candidate Drew Brown stating it was an “idiotic comment by an idiotic man.”[50][51]

Election summary

[edit]
Party Seats Second Third Fourth
Progressive Conservative 37 10 1 0
Liberal 6 15 27 0
New Democratic 5 23 20 0
  Other 0 0 0 3
Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % % Change
Progressive Conservative Kathy Dunderdale 48 44 43 37 -6 124,523 56.1% -13.49%
Liberal Kevin Aylward 48 3 4 6 +2 42.417 19.1% -2.59%
New Democratic Lorraine Michael 48 1 1 5 +4 54,713 24.6% +16.11%
  Independents 3 0 0 0 0 430 0.2%
Total 48 48 48 222,083 100%  

Results by region

[edit]
Party Name St. John's St. John's Metro Avalon/Burin Central Western/
Southern 		Labrador Total
Parties winning seats in the legislature:
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 4 6 9 11 5 2 37
  Popular Vote: 47.47% 63.29% 62.87% 59.18% 51.13% 44.14%
  Liberal Seats: 0 0 0 0 4 2 6
  Popular Vote: 7.1% 5.21% 17.10% 24.49% 33.76% 31.45%
  New Democratic Seats: 4 0 0 0 1 0 5
  Popular Vote: 45.43% 31.51% 19.08% 15.61% 14.67% 24.40%
Parties that won no seats in the legislature
  Independent Popular Vote: 0.73% 0.14%
Total seats: 8 6 9 11 10 4 48

Results by district

[edit]

Bold incumbents indicates party leaders. The premier's name is boldfaced and italicized.

  • All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly.
  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
  • § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
  • ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
  • ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.

St. John's

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP
Kilbride John Dinn
3,347
58.32% 		Brian Hanlon
454
7.91% 		Paul Boundridge
1,927
33.58% 		John Dinn
Signal Hill—Quidi Vidi John Noseworthy
1,550
31.17% 		Drew Brown
173
3.48% 		Lorraine Michael
3,239
65.13% 		Lorraine Michael
St. John's Centre Shawn Skinner
2,041
43.13% 		Carly Bigelow
109
2.30% 		Gerry Rogers
2,569
54.29% 		Shawn Skinner
St. John's East Ed Buckingham
2,175
40.77% 		Mike Duffy
367
6.88% 		George Murphy
2,766
51.85% 		Ed Buckingham
St. John's North Bob Ridgley
1,905
40.29% 		Elizabeth Scammel Reynolds
201
4.25% 		Dale Kirby
2,595
54.89% 		Bob Ridgley
St. John's South Tom Osborne
2,967
57.71% 		Trevor Hickey
163
3.17% 		Keith Dunne
1,994
38.79% 		Tom Osborne
St. John's West Dan Crummell
2,004
43.25% 		George Joyce
890
19.21% 		Chris Pickard
1,729
37.32% 		Sheila Osborne†
Virginia Waters Kathy Dunderdale
3,371
59.85% 		Sheila Miller
536
9.52% 		Dave Sullivan
1,708
30.33% 		Kathy Dunderdale

St. John's suburbs

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons
4,132
59.06% 		Joy Buckle
204
2.92% 		Geoff Gallant
2,623
37.49% 		Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East - Bell Island David Brazil
3,059
54.91% 		Kim Ploughman
213
3.82% 		Bill Kavanagh
2,290
41.11% 		David Brazil
Conception Bay South Terry French
3,632
69.01% 		Cynthia Layden Barron
354
6.73% 		Noah Davis-Power
1,263
24.00% 		Terry French
Mount Pearl North Steve Kent
3,727
70.82% 		Maurice Budgell
363
6.90% 		Kurtis Coombs
994
18.89% 		Steve Kent
Mount Pearl South Paul Lane
2,375
54.52% 		Norm Snelgrove
299
6.86% 		John Riche
1,675
38.45% 		Dave Denine†
Topsail Paul Davis
3,860
68.26% 		Nic Reid
280
4.95% 		Brian Nolan
1,507
26.65% 		Paul Davis

Avalon and Burin Peninsulas

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Other
Bellevue Calvin Peach
3,005
60.12% 		Pam Pardy Ghent
626
12.53% 		Gabe Ryan
1,356
27.13% 		Calvin Peach
Burin—Placentia West Clyde Jackman
2,538
48.34% 		Jacqueline Mullett
202
3.85% 		Julie Mitchell
2,498
47.58% 		Clyde Jackman
Carbonear—Harbour Grace Jerome Kennedy
3,993
75.94% 		Phillip Earle
774
14.72% 		Shawn Hyde
445
8.46% 		Kyle Brookings (Independent)
22
0.42% 		Jerome Kennedy
Ferryland Keith Hutchings
3,640
71.99% 		Dianne Randell
181
3.58% 		Chris Molloy
1,224
24.21% 		Keith Hutchings
Grand Bank Darin King
3,271
68.33% 		Carol Anne Haley
1,336
27.91% 		Wally Layman
167
3.49% 		Darin King
Harbour Main Tom Hedderson
3,600
69.32% 		Bern Hickey
580
11.17% 		Mike Maher
990
19.06% 		Tom Hedderson
Placentia—St. Mary's Felix Collins
2,516
49.71% 		Todd Squires
1,055
20.85% 		Trish Dodd
1,475
29.14% 		Felix Collins
Port de Grave Glenn Littlejohn
3,551
59.33% 		Leanne Hussey
2,022
33.78% 		Sarah Downey
396
6.62% 		Roland Butler†
Trinity—Bay de Verde Charlene Johnson
2,889
61.73% 		Barry Snow
1,114
23.86% 		Sheina Lerman
659
14.11% 		Charlene Johnson

Central Newfoundland

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Other
Baie Verte—Springdale Kevin Pollard
2,552
52.65% 		Neil Ward
1,827
37.69% 		Tim Howse
456
9.41% 		Kevin Pollard
Bonavista North Eli Cross
1,723
46.26% 		Paul Kean
1,518
40.75% 		John Coaker
467
12.54% 		Harry Harding†
Bonavista South Glen Little
2,214
55.99% 		Johanna Ryan Guy
532
13.45% 		Darryl Johnson
1,198
30.30% 		Roger Fitzgerald†
Exploits Clayton Forsey
2,819
68.64% 		Jim Samson
654
15.92% 		Grant Hemeon
629
15.32% 		Clayton Forsey
Gander Kevin O'Brien
2,393
52.09% 		Barry Warren
1,415
30.80% 		Lukas Norman
770
16.76% 		Kevin O'Brien
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans Susan Sullivan
2,957
61.44% 		Wayne Morris
1,540
31.20% 		John Whelan
313
6.27% 		Susan Sullivan
Grand Falls-Windsor—Green Bay South Ray Hunter
2,131
57.16% 		Merv Wiseman
1,165
31.25% 		Clyde Bridger
418
11.21% 		Ray Hunter
Lewisporte Wade Verge
2,450
56.48% 		Todd Manuel
891
20.54% 		Lloyd Snow
988
22.78% 		Wade Verge
Terra Nova Sandy Collins
2,785
62.92% 		Ryan Lane
631
14.26% 		Robin Brentnall
648
14.64% 		John Baird (Independent)
346
7.82% 		Sandy Collins
The Isles of Notre Dame Derrick Dalley
2,746
67.48% 		Danny Dumaresque
1,070
26.12% 		Tree Walsh
252
6.15% 		Derrick Dalley
Trinity North Ross Wiseman
3,211
66.74% 		Brad Cabana
344
7.15% 		Vanessa Wiseman
1,247
25.92% 		Ross Wiseman

Western and Southern Newfoundland

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Other
Bay of Islands Terry Loder
2,003
37.05% 		Eddie Joyce
2,760
51.05% 		Tony Adey
625
11.56% 		Terry Loder
Burgeo—La Poile Colin Short
1,850
43.14% 		Andrew Parsons
2,228
51.96% 		Matt Fuchs
197
4.59% 		Kelvin Parsons†
Fortune Bay—Cape La Hune Tracey Perry
2,592
67.06% 		Eric Skinner
596
15.42% 		Susan Skinner
665
17.21% 		Tracey Perry
Humber East Tom Marshall
3,493
77.97% 		Charles Murphy
378
8.44% 		Marc Best
593
13.24% 		Tom Marshall
Humber Valley Darryl Kelly
2,541
46.72% 		Dwight Ball
2,609
47.97% 		Sheldon Hynes
270
4.96% 		Darryl Kelly
Humber West Vaughn Granter
2,335
59.28% 		Donna Luther
832
21.12% 		Jordan Stringer
765
19.42% 		Vaughn Granter
Port au Port Tony Cornect
2,609
58.69% 		Kate Mitchell-Mansfield
954
21.46% 		Jamie Brace
860
19.35% 		Tony Cornect
St. Barbe Wallace Young
1,779
44.05% 		Jim Bennett
1816
44.94% 		Diane Ryan
437
10.82% 		Wallace Young
St. George's—Stephenville East Joan Burke
2,104
49.08% 		Kevin Aylward
1,396
32.56% 		Bernice Hancock
705
16.45% 		Dean Simon (Independent)
62
1.45% 		Joan Burke
The Straits - White Bay North Selma Pike
1,336
31.46% 		Marshall Dean
1,382
32.54% 		Chris Mitchelmore
1,511
35.58% 		Marshall Dean

Labrador

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP
Cartwright—L'Anse au Clair Glen Acreman
576
26.77% 		Yvonne Jones
1,516
71.07% 		Bill Cooper
44
2.06% 		Yvonne Jones
Labrador West Nick McGrath
1,843
50.80% 		Karen Oldford
593
16.35% 		Tom Harris
1,182
32.58% 		Jim Baker†
Lake Melville Keith Russell
1,741
49.50% 		Chris Montague
531
15.10% 		Arlene Michelin-Pittman
1,209
34.38% 		John Hickey†
Torngat Mountains Patty Pottle
586
37.66% 		Randy Edmunds
744
47.81% 		Alex Saunders
186
11.95% 		Patty Pottle

MHAs not running again

[edit]

Opinion polls

[edit]

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Corporate Research Associates September 29 – October 3, 2011 HTML 59 16 25
Environics September 29 – October 4, 2011 HTML 54 13 33
MarketQuest Omnifacts Research September 28–30, 2011 HTML 54 13 33
MarketQuest Omnifacts Research September 16–19, 2011 HTML 53 18 29
Corporate Research Associates August 15–31, 2011 PDF 54 22 24
Corporate Research Associates May 11–28, 2011 PDF Archived April 1, 2012, at the Wayback Machine 57 22 20
Corporate Research Associates February 10–28, 2011 PDF Archived July 6, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 73 18 8
Corporate Research Associates November 9–30, 2010 PDF Archived December 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine 75 16 8
Corporate Research Associates August 10–30, 2010 PDF Archived December 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine 76 17 7
Corporate Research Associates May 11–31, 2010 PDF Archived October 24, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 75 16 8
Corporate Research Associates February 9–25, 2010 PDF Archived July 6, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 80 15 5
Corporate Research Associates November 5–22, 2009 PDF Archived December 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine 77 16 7
Corporate Research Associates August 11–29, 2009 PDF Archived December 23, 2010, at the Wayback Machine 77 15 8
Corporate Research Associates May 12–30, 2009 PDF 72 19 8
Corporate Research Associates February 11–28, 2009 PDF 71 22 7
Corporate Research Associates November 5 – December 2, 2008 PDF 72 19 9
Corporate Research Associates August 12–30, 2008 PDF 78 14 7
Corporate Research Associates May 8 – June 1, 2008 PDF 77 13 8
Corporate Research Associates February 12 – March 4, 2008 PDF 79 14 6
Corporate Research Associates November 9 – December 3, 2007 PDF 82 12 7
Election 2007 October 9, 2007 HTML 69.6 21.7 8.5

References

[edit]
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Further reading

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Political parties

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