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2014 Illinois gubernatorial election

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2014 Illinois gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
Turnout48.48% Decrease 1.21 pp
  File:BruceRauner (1).jpg File:PatQuinn (1).jpg
Nominee Bruce Rauner Pat Quinn
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Evelyn Sanguinetti Paul Vallas
Popular vote 1,823,627 1,681,343
Percentage 50.3% 46.4%
Rauner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Quinn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Pat Quinn
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bruce Rauner
Republican

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The 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Illinois, concurrently with the election to Illinois's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Prior to this cycle, candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor were nominated separately, and the primary winners ran on the same ticket in the general election. In 2011, the law was changed to allow candidates for Governor to pick their own running mates. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon did not run for reelection, instead running unsuccessfully for comptroller. She was replaced as Quinn's running mate by Paul Vallas, a former CEO of Chicago Public Schools. Rauner chose Wheaton City Councilwoman Evelyn Sanguinetti as his running mate and Grimm chose Alex Cummings.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Pat Quinn ran for re-election to a second full term in office. Quinn, then the Lieutenant Governor, assumed the office of Governor on January 29, 2009, upon the impeachment and removal of Rod Blagojevich. He narrowly won a full term in 2010. Primary elections were held on March 18, 2014.[1] Quinn won the Democratic primary, while the Republicans chose businessman Bruce Rauner and the Libertarians nominated political activist Chad Grimm.

Rauner defeated Quinn in the general election with 50.3% of the vote to Quinn's 46.4%, winning every county in the state except for Cook County, home to the city of Chicago and 40% of the state's residents.[2][3] Quinn was the only incumbent Democratic governor to lose a general election in 2014 and remained the last one to do so until Nevada's Steve Sisolak in 2022.

As of 2024, this alongside the concurrent Comptroller election is the only time Republicans won a statewide election in Illinois since Mark Kirk was elected to the Senate in 2010. It is also the only time a Republican has been elected governor of the state in the 21st century.

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for federal (House and Senate) and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2014 Illinois elections.

Turnout

See also: 2014 Illinois elections § Turnout

For the primary election, turnout was 16.88%, with 1,267,028 votes cast.[4][5] For the general election, turnout was 48.48%, with 3,627,690 votes cast.[6][5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

William Daley (withdrew)
Pat Quinn

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn 		Tio
Hardiman 		Other Undecided
Strive Strategies March 9, 2014 563 ± 4.21% 64% 36% — —
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn 		Bill
Daley 		Lisa
Madigan 		Kwame
Raoul 		Other Undecided
We Ask America August 6, 2013 1,528 ± ? 27% 23% — 13% — 37%
We Ask America July 19, 2013 1,394 ± ? 38% 33% — — — 29%
We Ask America June 13, 2013 1,322 ± 2.8% 21% 22% 32% — — 25%
37% 38% — — — 25%
33% — 44% — — 23%
Paul Simon Institute January 27–February 8, 2013 310 ± 5.5% 22.9% 11.9% 31.9% — 4.8% 28.4%
We Ask America January 30, 2013 1,255 ± 3% 20% 15% 37% — — 18%
38% 33% — — — 29%
26% — 51% — — 23%
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 319 ± 5.5% 34% 37% — — — 29%
20% — 64% — — 17%

Results

County results
Democratic primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pat Quinn (incumbent) 321,818 71.94
Democratic Tio Hardiman 125,500 28.06
Total votes 447,318 100.00

Republican primary

By early summer 2013, the field seeking the Republican nomination was set at four candidates.[28] Two of them, State Senators Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, had sought the nomination in 2010, with Brady edging out Dillard by 193 votes, but ultimately losing to Pat Quinn by less than 1 percent.[29] Dan Rutherford, who was elected state treasurer in 2010 after serving as a State Representative and State Senator, formally entered the race on June 2.[30]

Rauner had announced the formation of an exploratory committee in March[31] and made his entry into the Republican field official on June 5.[32] Despite longstanding rumors that Rauner was committed to spending $50 million on his campaign, he denied in an interview ever specifying a dollar figure.[33]

By the date of the primary, Rauner had broken the previous record for self-funding in an Illinois gubernatorial race by putting more than $6 million of his own money into his campaign. In total, he raised more than $14 million before the primary election.[34]

On March 18, 2014, Rauner won the Republican primary, collecting 40% of the vote, compared to 37% for State Senator Kirk Dillard.

Candidates

Declared

Removed

  • Peter Edward Jones (removed from the ballot)[43][44]
    • Running mate: None[43]

Declined

Endorsements

Kirk Dillard
Bruce Rauner

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Adam
Andrzejewski 		Bill
Brady 		Kirk
Dillard 		Dan
Proft 		Bruce
Rauner 		Dan
Rutherford 		Aaron
Schock 		Joe
Walsh 		Other Undecided
We Ask America March 17, 2014 1,126 ± 3% — 19% 27% — 44% 9% — — — —
Illinois Mirror/WAS Archived 2014-12-02 at the Wayback Machine March 16, 2014 1,162 ± 3% — 15% 26% — 32% 5% — — — 21%
We Ask America March 11, 2014 1,235 ± 2.9% — 19% 26% — 46% 9% — — — —
Tribune/WGN-TV March 1–5, 2014 600 ± 4% — 18% 23% — 36% 9% — — — 13%
We Ask America March 4, 2014 1,262 ± 2.85% — 12% 14% — 40% 8% — — — 26%
We Ask America February 25, 2014 1,178 ± 3% — 13% 17% — 36% 7% — — — 27%
McKeon & Assoc.* February 18–19, 2014 831 ± 3.6% — 24% 13% — 32% 3% — — — 18%
We Ask America February 18, 2014 1,323 ± ? — 14% 13% — 35% 8% — — — 30%
Tribune/WGN-TV February 5–8, 2014 600 ± 4% — 20% 11% — 40% 13% — — — 15%
We Ask America January 14, 2014 1,139 ± 2.9% — 17% 9% — 34% 15% — — — 25%
Ogden & Fry January 2014 778 ± 2.5% — 8% 6% — 18% 10% — — — 58%
We Ask America November 26, 2013 1,233 ± 2.79% — 18% 10% — 26% 17% — — — 29%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 375 ± 5.1% — 17% 10% — 24% 14% — — — 36%
We Ask America November 14, 2013 1,191 ± 2.94% — 25% 14% — 11% 18% — — — 32%
Battleground Polling November 3–11, 2013 535 ± 3.97% — 13% 12% — 12% 18% — — — 45%
We Ask America August 13, 2013 1,102 ± ? — 21% 10% — 14% 17% — — — 32%
We Ask America June 20, 2013 1,310 ± 2.8% — 18% 11% — 12% 22% — — — 38%
Battleground Polling Archived 2014-11-28 at the Wayback Machine May 20–27, 2013 400 ± 4.8% — 19% 14% 13% 5% 27% — — 22% —
Paul Simon Institute January 27–February 8, 2013 186 ± 7.2% 2% 10% 3% 2% — 10% 9% 6% 5% 53%
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 303 ± 5.6% — 14% 12% — 7% 19% 18% 8% 7% 15%
  • * Internal poll for Bill Brady campaign

Results

County results
Republican primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Rauner 328,934 40.13
Republican Kirk Dillard 305,120 37.22
Republican Bill Brady 123,708 15.09
Republican Dan Rutherford 61,848 7.55
Total votes 819,624 100.00

Third party and Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Chad Grimm (Libertarian), political activist, candidate for the State House in 2012 and candidate for the Peoria City Council in 2013[65]
    • Running mate: Alex Cummings

Removed from ballot

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[70] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[72] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[73] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn (D) 		Bruce
Rauner (R) 		Chad
Grimm (L) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 1,064 ± 3% 47% 45% 3% — 5%
48% 48% — — 4%
McKeon & Associates October 28, 2014 823 ± 3.9% 45% 42% 4% — 9%
We Ask America October 27–28, 2014 2,327 ± 3% 50% 45% 6% — —
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,519 ± 3% 45% 41% — 1% 13%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–22, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 47% 48% — 2% 4%
APC Research October 16–21, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 43% 45% 4% — 7%
Southern Illinois University September 23 – October 15, 2014 1,006 RV ± 3% 41% 39% 5% 1% 15%
691 LV ± 3.7% 41% 42% 3% 1% 13%
We Ask America October 8, 2014 1,051 ± 3.02% 44% 41% 7% — 8%
University of Illinois Springfield October 2–8, 2014 723 ± 3.7% 41% 43% — 2% 14%
We Ask America October 6, 2014 1,097 ± 3% 44% 40% 6% — 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 3,955 ± 2% 46% 43% — 1% 10%
Communication Express September 30, 2014 1,208 ± 2.87% 37% 43% 5% — 16%
Fabrizio Lee September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 39% 5% — 15%
Rasmussen Reports September 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 42% — 6% 8%
Battleground Polling September 23–24, 2014 408 ± 4.8% 43% 43% 6% — 8%
We Ask America September 18–19, 2014 1,418 ± 3% 41% 44% 6% — 9%
Global Strategy Group September 4–7, 2014 605 ± 4% 43% 40% 5% — 12%
APC Research September 3–5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 48% 37% 5% — 10%
We Ask America September 2, 2014 1,064 ± 3% 37% 46% 7% — 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 4,363 ± 3% 40% 44% — 2% 13%
Garin Hart Yang Research Group* August 12–14, 2014 802 ± 3.5% 43% 46% — — 11%
We Ask America August 5–6, 2014 1,085 ± 3.12% 38% 51% — — 11%
Gravis Marketing August 4–5, 2014 567 ± 4% 40% 48% — — 12%
Rasmussen Reports July 29–30, 2014 750 ± 4% 39% 44% — 7% 10%
We Ask America July 28, 2014 1,087 ± 2.97% 33% 47% — — 20%
Mellman Group^ July 27–29, 2014 600 ± 5% 38% 39% — — 23%
Harstad Strategic Research July 17–22, 2014 1,003 ± 3.1% 42% 46% — 3% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 5,298 ± 2.1% 43% 46% — 2% 8%
McKeon & Associates July 9–10, 2014 800 ± 3.9% 34% 40% — — 26%
Capitol Fax/We Ask America July 8, 2014 940 ± 3.2% 39% 51% — — 10%
We Ask America June 10–11, 2014 1,075 ± 3% 37% 47% — — 16%
Where America Stands Archived 2014-05-17 at the Wayback Machine May 12, 2014 1,168 ± 3% 31% 49% 1% 3%[74] 16%
We Ask America[75] April 27, 2014 ? ± 3.14% 44% 44% — — 12%
We Ask America[76] April 21, 2014 ? ± 3.21% 38% 49% — — 13%
Rasmussen Reports April 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 43% — 6% 10%
Where America Stands Archived 2014-04-07 at the Wayback Machine March 27, 2014 1,033 ± 3% 32% 46% 1% 2%[77] 19%
Gravis Marketing March 21–22, 2014 806 ± 3% 35% 43% — — 22%
We Ask America January 30, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 39% 47% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 41% 38% — — 21%
Hypothetical polling
With Quinn
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn (D) 		Bill
Brady (R) 		Undecided
We Ask America January 30, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 39% 48% 13%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 41% 41% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn (D) 		Kirk
Dillard (R) 		Undecided
We Ask America January 30, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 37% 46% 17%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 39% 39% 21%
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 37% 44% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn (D) 		Dan
Rutherford (R) 		Undecided
We Ask America January 30, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 37% 46% 17%
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 39% 41% 20%
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 39% 43% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Quinn (D) 		Aaron
Schock (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 40% 39% 21%
With Daley
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Daley (D) 		Kirk
Dillard (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 34% 36% 30%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Daley (D) 		Dan
Rutherford (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 37% 38% 25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Daley (D) 		Aaron
Schock (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 40% 35% 25%
With Emanuel
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rahm
Emanuel (D) 		Dan
Rutherford (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 40% 38% 22%
With Hynes
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Daniel
Hynes (D) 		Dan
Rutherford (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 34% 34% 32%
With Madigan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lisa
Madigan (D) 		Kirk
Dillard (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 46% 37% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lisa
Madigan (D) 		Dan
Rutherford (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 22–25, 2013 557 ± 4.2% 45% 40% 15%
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 46% 37% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lisa
Madigan (D) 		Aaron
Schock (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 26–28, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 46% 38% 17%
  • * Internal Poll for Dick Durbin campaign
  • ^ Internal Poll for Pat Quinn campaign

Results

2014 Illinois gubernatorial election[78]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bruce Rauner 1,823,627 50.27% +4.33%
Democratic Pat Quinn (incumbent) 1,681,343 46.35% −0.44%
Libertarian Chad Grimm 121,534 3.35% +2.42%
Write-in 1,186 0.03% N/A
Total votes 3,627,690 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

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  67. ^ a b Rauner Dealt Double Blows Over Illinois Ballot Miami Herald, August 22, 2014. Retrieved August 25, 2014
  68. ^ "STATE SENATOR SAM MCCANN CONSIDERING A THIRD PARTY RUN FOR ILLINOIS GOVERNOR". Illinois Review. June 6, 2014. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  69. ^ Bernard Schoenburg (June 10, 2014). "McCann out before he's in governor's race". The State Journal-Register. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  70. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  71. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  72. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  73. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  74. ^ Mike Oberline (C) 2%, Scott Summers (G) 1%
  75. ^ Poll identified candidate's party
  76. ^ Poll did not identify candidate's party
  77. ^ "Green Party candidate"
  78. ^ "November 4, 2014 General election Official results" (PDF). Illinois Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 28, 2015. Retrieved December 8, 2014.
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