42nd Quebec general election

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42nd Quebec general election
Quebec
2014 ←
members
On or before October 1, 2018 (2018-10-01) → 43rd

125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Party Liberal Parti Québécois
Last election 70 seats, 41.52% 30 seats, 25.38%
Current seats 70 29

 
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Québec solidaire
Last election 22 seats, 23.05% 3 seats, 7.63%
Current seats 22 3

Incumbent Premier

Philippe Couillard
Liberal

The 42nd Quebec general election is tentatively scheduled for October 1, 2018 to elect members to the National Assembly of Quebec.

Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, the election is to be held on the first Monday in October of the fourth calendar year following the last day of the previous Legislature,[1] setting the date for October 1, 2018. However, the chief electoral officer can change the election date in the event of a natural disaster. Furthermore, the Lieutenant Governor can call an election sooner should the premier request one, or in the event the National Assembly is dissolved by a motion of no confidence.[2] Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Timeline[edit]

2014[edit]

2015[edit]

  • May 13–15 - The Parti Québécois holds the first round of its leadership election.[9]
  • May 20–22 - The Parti Québécois holds the second round of its leadership election if no candidate gets a majority of votes in the first round.[9]

Party standings[edit]

Summary of the current standings of the
National Assembly of Quebec
Party Party leader Seats
2014 Current
Liberal Philippe Couillard 70 70
Parti Québécois Stéphane Bédard (interim) 30 29
Coalition Avenir Québec François Legault 22 22
Québec solidaire Françoise David
Andrés Fontecilla
3 3
  Vacant 1
Total 125 125

Note:

The party avoids formally designating David and Fontecilla as co-leaders, as the party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Pierre-Paul St-Onge.[10]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polling firm Last date of polling Link QLP PQ CAQ QS Other
CROP December 15, 2014 HTML 35 28 27 10 1
Léger Marketing December 14, 2014 PDF 34 26 26 11 3
CROP November 17, 2014 HTML 36 23 24 14
Léger Marketing November 13, 2014 PDF 36 26 26 10 2
CROP October 20, 2014 PDF 40 25 23 12 0
Léger Marketing September 25, 2014 PDF 38 21 28 10 3
CROP September 22, 2014 PDF 35 21 30 13 1
Léger Marketing August 25, 2014 PDF 41 22 23 10 4
CROP August 18, 2014 PDF 41 18 27 12 2
Léger Marketing June 18, 2014 PDF 40 20 27 9 4
CROP June 16, 2014 PDF 39 19 29 10 3
Léger Marketing June 5, 2014 PDF 39 20 29 9 3
CROP May 19, 2014 PDF 41 22 24 10 3
Léger Marketing May 8, 2014 PDF 40 19 27 11 3
CROP April 21, 2014 PDF 40 22 23 11 3*
2014 election April 7, 2014 HTML 41.52 25.38 23.05 7.63 2.42

* Includes 1% for Option nationale

See also[edit]

External links[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Bill n°3: An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections". National Assembly of Québec. Retrieved July 19, 2013. 
  2. ^ "Future Quebec elections to be held on first Monday in October". CTV News. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013. 
  3. ^ Blatchford, Andy (April 8, 2014). "Pauline Marois Resigns PQ Leadership After Crushing Defeat". The Canadian Press. Retrieved April 8, 2014. 
  4. ^ "PQ elects Stephane Bedard to interim leader post". CTV News. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 10, 2014. 
  5. ^ Authier, Philip (August 15, 2014). "CAQ heavyweight Christian Dubé leaving politics". The Gazette. Retrieved August 16, 2014. 
  6. ^ Ouellet, Martin (September 29, 2014). "Elaine Zakaïb, PQ Member, Quits Politics To Run Jacob". The Canadian Press. Retrieved September 29, 2014. 
  7. ^ "Pierre Karl Péladeau working to soften his image ahead of potential PQ leadership run". Montreal Gazette. September 26, 2014. 
  8. ^ Vendeville, Geoffrey (October 21, 2014). "CAQ holds the fort in Lévis byelection". The Montreal Gazette. Retrieved October 21, 2014. 
  9. ^ a b "Parti Québécois will have new leader in May 2015". The Canadian Press. October 5, 2014. Retrieved October 10, 2014. 
  10. ^ "Québec solidaire". DGE. Retrieved April 8, 2014.