2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina: Difference between revisions
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*[http://senate.ontheissues.org/2014_SC_Senate.htm South Carolina U.S. Senate debate excerpts], ''[[OnTheIssues.org]]'' |
*[http://senate.ontheissues.org/2014_SC_Senate.htm South Carolina U.S. Senate debate excerpts], ''[[OnTheIssues.org]]'' |
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;Official campaign websites |
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* [http://www.bowersforsc.com/ Det Bowers for U.S. Senate] |
* [http://web.archive.org/web/20140508155636/http://www.bowersforsc.com/ Det Bowers for U.S. Senate] |
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* [http://www.brightforsenate.com/ Lee Bright for U.S. Senate] |
* [http://www.brightforsenate.com/ Lee Bright for U.S. Senate] |
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* [http://www.richardcashforsenate.com/ Richard Cash for U.S. Senate] |
* [http://www.richardcashforsenate.com/ Richard Cash for U.S. Senate] |
Revision as of 12:31, 21 July 2016
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Elections in South Carolina |
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The 2014 United States Senate election in South Carolina took place on November 4, 2014, concurrently with a special election for South Carolina's other Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham won re-election. He faced Democratic State Senator Brad Hutto and Independent Thomas Ravenel in the general election. He defeated both of them by a 10-point margin.
Republican primary
Of all the Republican Senators up for re-election in the 2014 cycle, Graham was considered one of the most vulnerable to a primary challenge, largely due to his low approval ratings and reputation for working with and compromising with Democrats.[1][2] He expected a primary challenge from conservative activists, including the Tea Party movement,[3] and Chris Chocola, President of the Club for Growth, indicated that his organization would support a primary challenge if an acceptable standard-bearer emerged.[4]
However, a serious challenger to Graham failed to emerge and he was widely viewed as likely to win,[1] which has been ascribed to his "deft maneuvering" and "aggressive" response to the challenge. He befriended potential opponents from the state's congressional delegation and helped them with fundraising and securing their preferred committee assignments; he assembled a "daunting multimillion-dollar political operation" dubbed the "Graham machine" that built six regional offices across the state and enlisted the support of thousands of paid staffers and volunteers, including over 5,000 precinct captains; he assembled a "staggering" campaign warchest and "blanketed" the state with positive ads; he focused on constituent services and local issues; and he refused to "pander" to the Tea Party supporters, instead confronting them head-on, arguing that the Republican party needs to be more inclusive.[5][6][7]
Candidates
Declared
- Det Bowers, pastor and businessman[8]
- Lee Bright, State Senator[9]
- Richard Cash, businessman and candidate for South Carolina's 3rd congressional district in 2010[10]
- Bill Connor, attorney, Lieutenant Colonel in the United States Army Reserve and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2010[11]
- Benjamin Dunn, attorney[12]
- Lindsey Graham, incumbent Senator
- Nancy Mace, businesswoman and author[9]
Withdrew
- Dave Feliciano, police officer[13]
Declined
- Bruce Carroll, co-founder of GOProud and blogger at gay conservative site GayPatriot[14]
- Tom Davis, State Senator[15]
- Trey Gowdy, U.S. Representative[16]
- Mark Sanford, U.S. Representative and former Governor of South Carolina[17][18]
- Mick Mulvaney, U.S. Representative[19]
- Thomas Ravenel, former South Carolina State Treasurer (running as an Independent)[20][21]
- Joe Wilson, U.S. Representative[22]
Endorsements
- Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey[23]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (D-WV)[24]
- Newspapers
Individuals
- Curtis Bostic, former Charleston County Councilman and candidate for SC-01 in 2013[26]
- Erick Erickson, editor-in-chief of RedState[27]
- Organizations
- Sumter TEAvangical Patriots[28]
Individuals
- Greg Brannon, physician and 2014 North Carolina U.S Senate candidate[29]
- Bill Chumley, State Representative[30]
- Thomas Massie, U.S Representative (R-KY)[31]
- William Rentiers, Chairman of the Lexington County Republican Party[32]
- Steve Stockman, U.S Representative (R-TX)[33]
- Kevin Thomas, Chairman of the Fairfield County Republican Party[34]
- Lewis Vaughn, former State Senator[35]
Organizations
- Americans for Legal Immigration[36]
- Gun Owners of America[37]
- Gun Rights Across America[38]
- Kershaw County Patriots[39]
- National Association for Gun Rights[40]
- Laurens County Tea Party[41]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[42]
- Voice of the Unborn[43]
- Paul E. Vallely, retired US Army Major General and senior military analyst for Fox News[44]
- National Association for Gun Rights[40]
- Tea Party Leadership Fund[45]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham |
Det Bowers |
Lee Bright |
Richard Cash |
Bill Connor |
Benjamin Dunn |
Nancy Mace |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clemson University | May 22–29, 2014 | 400 | ± 6% | 49% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 35% |
TargetPoint | March 16–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 2.8% | 56% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 20% |
Gravis Marketing | March 6–7, 2014 | 735 | ± 4% | 60% | — | 10% | 4% | 2% | — | 7% | 17% |
Winthrop University | February 16–23, 2014 | 901 | ± 3.2% | 45% | — | 8.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | 3.7% | 36.5% |
Wenzel Strategies* | February 3–4, 2014 | 623 | ± 3.9% | 45.9% | — | 17.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | — | 5.1% | 22.5% |
North Star^ | January 20–26, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 53% | — | 11% | 3% | 3% | — | 8% | 23% |
Gravis Marketing | November 30–December 2, 2013 | 601 | ± 4% | 54% | — | 10% | 5% | 2% | — | 6% | 23% |
Harper Polling | October 27–28, 2013 | 379 | ± 5.03% | 51% | — | 15% | 4% | 4% | — | 4% | 22% |
Landmark/Rosetta Stone | August 25, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 42.4% | — | 12.6% | 6.7% | — | — | 10% | 28.3% |
- ^ Internal poll for Lindsey Graham campaign
- * Internal poll for Lee Bright campaign
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Hypothetical runoff polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lindsey Graham | 178,833 | 56.42 | |
Republican | Lee Bright | 48,904 | 15.53 | |
Republican | Richard Cash | 26,325 | 8.3 | |
Republican | Det Bowers | 23,172 | 7.31 | |
Republican | Nancy Mace | 19,634 | 6.19 | |
Republican | Bill Connor | 16,912 | 5.34 | |
Republican | Benjamin Dunn | 3,209 | 1.01 | |
Total votes | 316,989 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Brad Hutto, State Senator[48]
- Jay Stamper, entrepreneur
Declined
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative for (SC-06)[50]
- Jaime Harrison, Chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party[51]
- Organizations
- AFL-CIO, national trade union center[52]
- National Education Association, national labor union[53]
- Newspapers
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brad Hutto |
Jay Stamper |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clemson University | May 26–June 2, 2014 | 400 | ± 6% | 8% | 3% | 89% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Hutto | 87,552 | 76.65 | |
Democratic | Jay Stamper | 26,678 | 23.35 | |
Total votes | 114,230 | 100 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
Independent
In March 2014, with only controversial businessman and prankster Jay Stamper running for the Democrats, Dick Harpootlian, former Chairman of the South Carolina Democratic Party, had stated that business leaders were working on an effort to recruit a potential Independent candidate to run in case Graham was defeated in the primary.[49] Such a "contingency" plan was rendered moot by the entry of Democratic State Senator Brad Hutto into the race.[49]
Former Republican State Treasurer Thomas Ravenel had confirmed that was considering running for the Senate as an Independent and was likely to do so if Lindsey Graham won the Republican primary.[57] In April 2014, with Graham polling strongly in the primary, Ravenel announced he would run.[58] He officially announced his candidacy on July 4.[59]
Candidates
Declared
- Thomas Ravenel, former Republican State Treasurer[20][21][58]
General election
Debates
Graham has refused to debate his opponents. A spokesman has said that his campaign is "in discussions with other groups, as well as looking at the schedule." Hutto has said that Graham is "terrified at the thought of defending his own record in a public debate" and Ravenel said Graham's decision was "highly arrogant and disrespectful."[60]
Fundraising
The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures for the pre-primary reporting period.
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lindsey Graham (R) | $7,014,854 | $9,063,768 | $0 | $276,312 |
Brad Hutto (D) | $399,770 | $342,366 | $132,401 | $75,000 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lindsey Graham (R) |
Brad Hutto (D) |
Thomas Ravenel (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,566 | ± 4% | 43% | 28% | 8% | 2% | 19% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,663 | ± 2% | 44% | 27% | 8% | 1% | 20% |
Winthrop University | September 21–28, 2014 | 1,082 | ± 3% | 46.3% | 28% | 8% | 3.5%[61] | 14.3% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 833 | ± 5% | 42% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 19% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,183 | ± 5.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 7% | 10% |
Voter Survey Service | July 16–20, 2014 | 650 | ± 4% | 45% | 33% | 10% | 4%[62] | 8% |
46% | 33% | — | 9%[62] | 12% | ||||
Voter Survey Service | July 7–13, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 4% | 46% | 33% | — | 9% | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 49% | 30% | — | 10% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lindsey Graham | 672,941 | 54.27% | −3.25% | |
Democratic | Brad Hutto | 456,726 | 36.83% | −5.42% | |
Working Families | Brad Hutto | 24,207 | 1.95% | +1.95% | |
Total Hutto | 480,933 | 38.78% | |||
Independent | Thomas Ravenel | 47,588 | 3.84% | +3.84% | |
Libertarian | Victor Kocher | 33,839 | 2.73% | +2.73% | |
Write-ins | 4,774 | 0.38% | +0.15% | ||
Majority | 192,008 | 15.49% | +0.22% | ||
Turnout | 1,240,075 | 43.04% | −30.24% | ||
Republican hold | Swing |
See also
- United States Senate special election in South Carolina, 2014
- South Carolina gubernatorial election, 2014
- United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, 2014
- United States Senate elections, 2014
- United States elections, 2014
References
- ^ a b Tom Kludt (April 8, 2014). "Lindsey Graham Faces Big - But Weak - Field of Challengers". NBC News. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
- ^ Tom Kludt (2013-10-30). "Poll: Lindsey Graham's Approval Rating Tumbles In S.C". Talkingpointsmemo.com. Retrieved 2014-02-14.
- ^ Rosen, James. "WASHINGTON: Graham: 'I expect' a primary challenge | News". The State. Retrieved 2014-02-14.
- ^ Sullivan, Sean (September 20, 2012). "Lindsey Graham, 2014 target?". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
- ^ Manu Raju (April 23, 2014). "How Lindsey Graham outmaneuvered the tea party". Politico. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
- ^ Molly Ball (June 10, 2014). "How Lindsey Graham Stomped the Tea Party". The Atlantic. Retrieved October 9, 2014.
- ^ Jonathan Martin (June 10, 2014). "In South Carolina, Graham Prevails Without a Runoff". The New York Times. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
- ^ Hamby, Peter (February 4, 2014). "Pastor joins crowded GOP race to unseat Lindsey Graham". CNN. Retrieved February 4, 2014.
- ^ a b Shain, Andrew (August 1, 2013). "First Citadel female grad, Sen. Bright will take on Graham". The State. Retrieved August 2, 2013.
- ^ "Republican Cash to run against Graham in 2014". The Greenville News. Associated Press. April 16, 2013. Retrieved April 16, 2013.[dead link]
- ^ Self, Jamie (November 8, 2013). "SC Senate race: Bill Connor becomes Lindsey Graham's 4th GOP opponent". The State. Retrieved November 10, 2013.
- ^ Self, Jamie (March 13, 2014). "Despite 'ambiguously gay' barb, four Graham foes unite". The State. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
- ^ Acosta, Adrian (January 24, 2014). "Spartanburg police officer resigns to join U.S. Senate race". Fox Carolina. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- ^ Staff, Twitchy (March 27, 2013). "Bruce Carroll pulls a Judd, will not challenge Lindsey Graham". Twitchy. Retrieved March 28, 2013.
- ^ Smith, Gina (February 1, 2013). "EXCLUSIVE: Sen. Tom Davis will not run for U.S. Senate, governor's office". The Island Packet. Retrieved February 1, 2013.
- ^ Arkin, James (July 15, 2013). "Trey Gowdy: No 'interest' in Graham race". Politico. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
- ^ Cameron Joseph (December 6, 2012). "Mark Sanford not ruling out run for DeMint's seat". Roll Call. Retrieved February 10, 2014.
- ^ Mollie Reilly (December 6, 2012). "Mark Sanford Mulls Senate Run In South Carolina: Report". The Huffington Post. Retrieved February 10, 2014.
- ^ "Rep. Mulvaney won't run against Graham or his House colleagues for Senate". TheHill. 2012-12-12. Retrieved 2014-02-14.
- ^ a b "Other views: Campaign cash packs new punch at the polls". Aiken Standard. July 14, 2013. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
- ^ a b "Thomas Ravenel Mulling US Senate Bid". FITSNews. July 14, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
- ^ "Lindsey Graham may be tough to beat in 2014 - Scott Wong and David Catanese". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2014-02-14.
- ^ Tom Kludt (2013-11-06). "Chris Christie To Campaign For Lindsey Graham". Talkingpointsmemo.com. Retrieved 2014-02-14.
- ^ Burgess Everett and Manu Raju (April 15, 2014). "GOP Senate may run purple". Politico. Retrieved May 4, 2014.
- ^ "Editorial: SC, US needs Lindsey Graham in the Senate". The State. May 24, 2014. Retrieved June 5, 2014.
- ^ Bostic, Curtis (March 3, 2014). "Our Perspective on the 2014 Graham Senate Seat..." Constant Contact. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- ^ Self, Jamie (April 30, 2014). "RedState's Erick Erickson endorses Det Bowers in US Senate race". The State. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- ^ "Sumter TEAvangelicals Endorse Det Bowers for US Senate". Det Bowers for Senate. May 16, 2014. Retrieved June 5, 2014.
- ^ "Greg Brannon Endorses Lee Bright for Senate". Bright for Senate. January 30, 2014.
- ^ Self, Jamie (May 31, 2014). "Lee Bright endorsed for US Senate by SC representative, fellow Obamacare nullifier". The State.
- ^ "Congressman Thomas Massie Endorses Lee Bright for US Senate". April 9, 2014. Retrieved April 30, 2014.
- ^ "Surging Lee Bright Campaign Scores Another Endorsement". Bright for Senate. November 5, 2013. Retrieved December 15, 2013.
- ^ "Bright Scores Major Endorsement from Congressman Stockman". Bright for Senate. January 30, 2014.
- ^ "Fairfield GOP Chair Resigns from Team Graham: Endorses Lee Bright for Senate". Bright for Senate. October 29, 2013. Retrieved January 4, 2014.
- ^ "Lewis Vaughn Endorses Lee Bright". YouTube. February 25, 2014. Retrieved March 10, 2014.
- ^ "Lee Bright's Campaign Endorsed Against Illegal Alien Amnesty Supporter Lindsey Graham". Americans for Legal Immigration PAC. April 15, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- ^ "Top Challenger Bright Nabs Third Major 2nd Amendment Endorsement". Bright for Senate. March 28, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- ^ "Lee Bright Gets Pro-Gun Nod". FITS News. October 24, 2013. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "Kershaw County Patriots Endorse Lee Bright". FITS News. October 7, 2013. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ^ a b Self, Jamie (February 26, 2014). "ELECTION 2014: Bright, Mace endorsed by same gun group". The State. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
- ^ Bright, Lee (February 21, 2014). "The Laurens County Tea Party voted to endorse me for U.S. Senate with over 80% of the vote". Twitter. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
- ^ Cook, Joshua (October 14, 2013). "Republican Liberty Caucus endorses U.S. Senate candidate Lee Bright against Lindsey Graham". Freedom Outpost. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ^ "Voice of the Unborn Endorses Lee Bright". YouTube. January 21, 2014.
- ^ Tom Kludt (February 25, 2014). "Tea Party Leader and FoxNews analyst endorses Connor". Bill Connor for US Senate. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
- ^ Boyle, Matthew (August 13, 2013). "Exclusive–National Tea Party Group To Endorse Nancy Mace Against Lindsey Graham". Breitbart. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ^ Joseph, Cameron (November 21, 2013). "Tim Scott won't endorse Lindsey Graham". The Hill. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
- ^ a b "Official results 2014 Statewide Primary Election June 10, 2014". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
- ^ a b Shain, Andrew (March 28, 2014). "ELECTION 2014 (updated): Who's filed for statewide, State House, Congressional offices". The State. Retrieved March 28, 2014.
- ^ a b c Corey Hutchins (March 4, 2014). "Independent 'contingency plan' in works if Lindsey Graham loses primary". Charleston City Paper. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
- ^ Mary Troyan (2014-06-15). "Dems pin Senate hopes on Hutto". Greenville News. Retrieved 2014-06-15.
- ^ Jeffrey Collins (2014-05-18). "S.C. Democratic leaders choose sides in Senate race". The Times and Democrat. Retrieved 2014-05-21.
- ^ "South Carolina AFL-CIO Endorses Brad Hutto for US Senate". Brad Hutto for U.S. Senate. May 14, 2014. Retrieved May 21, 2014.
- ^ "Educators recommend South Carolina's Brad Hutto for U.S. Senate". National Education Association. August 12, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2014.
- ^ "Brad Hutto for Dem nomination for U.S. Senate". The Greenville News. June 9, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
- ^ "Editorial: Brad Hutto is only choice for Democratic nomination against US Sen Lindsey Graham". The State. May 26, 2014. Retrieved June 5, 2014.
- ^ "Hutto seeking U.S. Senate seat". Fort Mill Times. March 29, 2014. Retrieved April 1, 2014.
- ^ Schuyler Kropf (March 4, 2014). "Newly minted reality TV star Thomas Ravenel may challenge Lindsey Graham for U.S. Senate seat in fall". The Post and Courier. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
- ^ a b Schuyler Kropf (April 8, 2014). "Southern Charm recap: Thomas Ravenel and the U.S. Senate?". The State. Retrieved April 8, 2014.
- ^ Callum, Lillia. "GREENVILLE, SC: Ravenel makes US Senate run official | Politics". The State. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
- ^ "Graham not participating in debate with opponents". The State. October 3, 2014.
- ^ Victor Kocher (L) 2.6%, Other 0.9%
- ^ a b Victor Kocher (L)
- ^ http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/53424/149231/en/summary.html#
External links
- U.S. Senate elections in South_Carolina, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- South Carolina U.S. Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
- Official campaign websites