2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election: Difference between revisions

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Parliamentary elections will be held in Lithuania on 11 and 25 October 2020 to elect the 141 members of the Seimas.^[1] 71 will be elected in single-member constituencies using the two-round system, and the remaining 70 in a single nationwide constituency using proportional representation. The first round will be held on 11 October and the second round on 25 October.

The 2016 election was a surprise landslide victory for the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union (LVŽS), which won 54 seats, including half of the single-member constituencies. The Skvernelis Cabinet took office with the support of LVŽS and Social Democratic Party of Lithuania (LSDP). The latter party split in 2017 due to disagreement about government participation, with some of its MPs forming the Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania (LSDDP) with members of the Labour Party. Lacking support in Parliament, the government passed a cooperation agreement with Order and Justice (TT) in 2018.

A proposal to reduce the size of the Seimas from 141 to 121 seats failed following a referendum held in May 2019.

Electoral system

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies and 70 members elected by proportional representation.^[2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.^[2]

To be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 25 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.^[2] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may not be elected.^[3]

Parties

Party / Electoral list^[4]		Abbr.	Leader	Ideology	Political position	Last election
Party / Electoral list^[4]		Abbr.	Leader	Ideology	Political position	Votes (%)	Seats
bgcolor=Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color\|	Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga	LVŽS	Ramūnas Karbauskis	Technocracy Agrarianism Green conservatism	Centre to centre-right	22.45%	54 / 141
bgcolor=Template:Homeland Union/meta/color\|	Homeland Union Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai	TS-LKD	Gabrielius Landsbergis	Conservatism Christian democracy Liberal conservatism National conservatism Pro-Europeanism	Centre-right	22.63%	31 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" \|	Social Democratic Party of Lithuania Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija	LSDP	Gintautas Paluckas	Social democracy Democratic socialism Pro-Europeanism	Centre-left to left-wing	15.04%	17 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|	Liberal Movement Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis	LRLS	Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen	Classical liberalism Liberalism	Centre-right	9.45%	14 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" \|	Freedom and Justice Laisvė ir teisingumas	LT	Remigijus Žemaitaitis	Lithuanian nationalism National conservatism Conservative liberalism	Centre-right to right-wing	7.78%	8 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" \|	Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija – Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga Akcja Wyborcza Polaków na Litwie – Związek Chrześcijańskich Rodzin	LLRA–KŠS	Valdemar Tomaševski	Polish minority interests Christian democracy Conservatism Christian right	Centre-right	5.72%	8 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|	Labour Party Darbo Partija	DP	Viktor Uspaskich	Social liberalism Populism	Centre to centre-left	4.88%	2 / 141
	Centre Party–Nationalists Centro partija – Tautininkai	CP-T	Naglis Puteikis	Lithuanian nationalism National conservatism Christian democracy	Centre to far-right	6.88%	1 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Lithuanian Green Party/meta/color" \|	Lithuanian Green Party Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija	LŽP	Remigijus Lapinskas	Green politics	Centre	2.03%	0 / 141
	Lithuanian People's Party Lietuvos liaudies partija	LLP	Vaidotas Prunskus	Paternalistic conservatism Russophilia Left-wing nationalism Hard euroskepticism	Left-wing	1.05%	0 / 141
	The Way of Courage Drąsos Kelias	DK	Jonas Varkala	Anti-corruption Populism	Centre	0.29%	0 / 141
	Union of Intergenerational Solidarity - Cohesion for Lithuania Kartų Solidarumo Sąjunga – Santalka Lietuvai	KSSL	Arvydas Juozaitis	Pensioners' interests Single-issue politics Nationalism		Did not run
	Lithuania - For everyone Lietuva – Visų	LV	Tomas Pačėsas	Lithuanian diaspora rights		Did not run
	Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija	LSDDP	Gediminas Kirkilas	Social democracy Pro-Europeanism Nordic model	Centre-left	Did not exist Split from LSDP
	Freedom Party Laisvės Partija	LP	Aušrinė Armonaitė	Social liberalism Pro-Europeanism Progressivism	Centre	Did not exist Split from Liberal Movement
	Christian Union Krikščionių sąjunga	KS	Rimantas Dagys	Christian democracy Christian right	Right-wing	Did not exist Split from Homeland Union
	National Association Nacionalinis Susivienijimas	NS	Vytautas Radžvilas	Lithuanian nationalism Conservatism	Right-wing to far-right	Did not exist

Politicians not standing

Irena Degutienė (TS-LKD)
Antanas Baura (LVŽS)
Viktoras Rinkevičius (LVŽS)
Bronius Bradauskas (LSDP)
Leonard Talmont (LLRA)
Gintaras Steponavičius (LRLS, independent)
Virgilijus Poderys (independent)^[5]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Lithuanian parliamentary election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Party vote

The following are opinion polls conducted for the legislative elections, measuring estimated percentage of the vote. Highlighted parties successfully pass the electoral threshold and win seats.

Polling Firm/Link	Last date of polling	TS-LKD	LVŽS	LSDP	LSDDP	LT	LRLS	LLRA	LCP	DP	Laisves
Polling Firm/Link	Last date of polling	style="background:Template:Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" \|		style="background:Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" \|		style="background:Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|
Vilmorus	4–12 September 2020	20.8	21	11.8	4.2	5.3	7.7	3.5	2.6	11.7	3.5
Spinter tyrimai	26 August – 4 September 2020	21.7	19.4	12.6	3.7	4.5	5.9	4.5	3.3	8.6	6.8
Baltijos tyrimai	22 August – 4 September 2020	18.8	19.6	18.2	2.7	7.4	8.2	4	4	11.4	4
Spinter tyrimai	16–26 July 2020	22.8	22.1	13.9		5.4	8.8	4.7	3.4	7.5	5.7
Vilmorus	10–18 July 2020	25.3	25.8	10.4	4.6	5.4	6.9	3.2	2.3	9.1	2.3
Spinter tyrimai	18–26 June 2020	25.2	19.8	13.5		4.9	7.7	5.7		8	6.1
Baltijos tyrimai	15–25 June 2020	18.2	22.5	17	2.9	7.8	8.8	6.6	1.9	8.4	3.7

Polling Firm/Link	Last date of polling	TS-LKD	LVŽS	LSDP	LSDDP	TT	LRLS	LLRA	LCP	DP	Laisves
Polling Firm/Link	Last date of polling	style="background:Template:Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" \|		style="background:Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|	style="background:Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" \|		style="background:Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" \|
Vilmorus	5–13 June 2020	24.9	23.3	15.9	3.7	5.4	7.5	3.8	3.0	8.0	3.5
Spinter tyrimai	20–30 April 2020	26.4	19.3	13.7	3.2		8.5	5.9		6.4	4.3
Spinter tyrimai	17–30 March 2020	30.1	15.1	12.2	3.6	3.6	7.3	5.1		6.5	6.5
Vilmorus	5–13 March 2020	17	12.4	8.3	2.5	3.8	3.5			5.1
Spinter tyrimai	18–25 February 2020	18.6	9.9	8.3	2.9	3.3	6.8	4.2	2	5.1	2.7
Vilmorus	7–13 February 2020	17.7	11.6	9.7	2.3	5.7	3.1	1.6	1.1	5.9	1.2
Spinter tyrimai	20-28 January 2020	18.1	9.8	7.7	2	3.8	6.2	4.2	2.5	6.7	3.9
Vilmorus	10-18 January 2020	16.5	11.3	8.9	2.4	4.3	3.2	1.7	2.8	6	1.3
Baltijos tyrimai	10–21 December 2019	16.6	6.9	12.2	2.2	5.5	5.2	4.2	3.1	8.9	2.3
Baltijos tyrimai	14–27 November 2019	17.3	8.3	13	2.4	3.4	3.9	3.9	2.1	9.1	2.2
Spinter tyrimai	19–29 November 2019	19.1	7.5	8	1.5	3.1	6.6	3.3	2.7	7.2	3.4
Baltijos tyrimai	October 2019	15.6	7	12.5	1.6	3.1	4.4	4.6	2.6	9	1.8
Spinter tyrimai	October 2019	18	10.2	6.9
Spinter tyrimai	18–27 September 2019	19.2	14.6	9	2	3.9	5.2	3	2.3	5	3
Vilmorus	6–14 September 2019	14.4	14.6	8.4	3.2	4.4	3.2	2.1	2.4	7.3	1.8
Baltijos tyrimai	26 August – 3 September 2019	15.2	14.6	14.1	1.4	6.4	5.8	4	3.5	8.3	2.7
Baltijos tyrimai	August 2019	14	12.1	12.8
Spinter tyrimai	17–26 July 2019	18.2	11.5	9.5	2	4.9	5	3.2	2.1	5.3	3.3
Vilmorus	5–13 July 2019	15.5	12.2	7.1	2.6	5.7	2.6	2.4	1.2	8.1	2.8
Vilmorus	7–15 June 2019	17	15	8.1	2.2	5.9	2.9	3.1	1.4	6.8	2.2
Spinter tyrimai	June 2019	20.2	13.7	10.5	2.2	4.9	4.6	3.5	2.2	5.2	3.5
Spinter tyrimai	20–29 April 2019	20.4	17.3	8.3		5	6.4	4.6	2	5.6
Vilmorus	4–13 April 2019	20.8	15.8	7.3	2.8	6	2.8	3.1	2.6	5.8
Vilmorus	March 2019	16.3	18.6	8.5		4.8				5.3
Spinter tyrimai	18–28 March 2019	19.6	16.5	10.5		5.5	6.2	4.2	3.1	5.4
Vilmorus	23 February 2019	18.9	16.6	4.9	2.2	4.3	3.5	2.1	2.4	4.8
Spinter tyrimai	18–28 February 2019	21.1	17.1	7.4		4.4	4	4.5	2	5.6
Baltijos tyrimai	15–26 February 2019	16.2	14.6	7.8	2.5	6.7	3.9	2.9	3.8	7.2
Baltijos tyrimai	January 2019	18.5	16.8	9.8	2.8	9.2	4.8	2.3	3.7	6.3
Spinter tyrimai	15–26 January 2019	18.3	15.5	7.6	2.2	5.7	3.1	4.5	2.2	4.8
Vilmorus	11–20 December 2018	14.6	15.7	6	2.6	5.3	2.8	2.2	2.8	5.2
Vilmorus	December 2018	18.2	14.8	5.7	2.4	6.6	2.8	2.5	2.8	6.9
Spinter tyrimai	19–30 November 2018	19.9	16.2	8.4	2.7	8.1	3.2	5	3.6	4.5
Baltijos tyrimai	9–26 November 2018	20.2	15.2	9.2	4.1	7.3	2.9	3	4.1	6.1
Vilmorus	9–18 November 2019	17.6	14.5	5.6	2.8	7	4	2.7	3.9	7
Baltijos tyrimai	October 2018	16	12.3	8.7	4.6	7.5	5	3.7	3.8	5.1
Spinter tyrimai	16–30 October 2019	19	15.2	6.2	3.5	6.2	3.4	4.3	3.3	4.6
Vilmorus	5–14 October 2018	16.9	13.1	7.2	3.1	8.3	2.5	3.1	2.5	4.8
Baltijos tyrimai	24 September – 7 October 2018	17.7	12.4	8.6	3.9	8.3	5.2	3.1	3.2	5.3
Spinter tyrimai	September 2018	19.3	18.2	5.4	4.4	5.4	4.5	4.5	3	4.7
Vilmorus	7–16 September 2018	14.5	14.9	7.2	4.5	6.3	3.4			6.4
Vilmorus	5–17 July 2018	16.7	15	5.1	3.5	6.8	2.2	2.9	4	6.1
Spinter tyrimai	19–27 June 2018	17.1	15.4	7.8	4.5	8.2	4.6	4	2.9	6.7
Vilmorus	8–17 June 2018	16.6	14.9	5.3	4.8	6.2	2	2.7	3.1	6.7
Spinter tyrimai	22–29 May 2018	17.8	16.2	5.4	4.9	7.4	3.9	3.9	3.1	4.9
Vilmorus	4–12 May 2018	16.3	16.3	5.1	6.4	7.6	3.8	2.8	4.4	7.1
Spinter tyrimai	17–26 April 2018	17.3	15.2	5.2	4.6	7.7	7	4.5	3.1	1.7
Vilmorus	6–15 April 2018	17.6	11.9	4.9	5	7.2	4.7	2.7	4	2.9
Spinter tyrimai	March 2018	18.6	16.9	6.5	3.7	7.5	5.8	4	3.3
Vilmorus	March 2018	16.8	16.2	10.1		9	5.1	2.5	3.7	1.9
Spinter tyrimai	19–27 February 2018	17.3	15.4	8.2		7.7	5.1	3	4.7
Vilmorus	9–18 February 2018	16.8	13.5	7.6		7	3.4	2.5	2.6	4.3
Vilmorus	12–21 January 2018	17.8	13.9	8.3		8.4	4	2.3	1.9	2.7
Vilmorus	December 2017	16.3	13.4	8.1		5.6	4	2.3	1.9	2.7
Spinter tyrimai	11–19 December 2017	18.7	14.9	9.3		7.5	4.9	4	5.2
Spinter tyrimai	November 2017	20.4	19.4	8		6.2	5.3	4	3.3
Vilmorus	November 2017	15.4	12.1	7.9		6.4		3.1	4.1
RAIT	10–27 November 2017	19	16	10		4	5		6
Spinter tyrimai	16–28 October 2017	19.1	17	7.2		4.8	5.6	5	5.4
Vilmorus	5–16 October 2017	15	12.4	10		6.2	4.1	4.2
Spinter tyrimai	19–28 September 2017	17	16.6	9.1		4.9	5.7		3.9
Vilmorus	September 2017	14.1	13.5	9		4.5	4.1	2.4
Baltijos tyrimai	29 August – 9 September 2017	13	12	10		7	9	4	3	4
Spinter tyrimai	August 2017	16.3	15.9	11.3			6.8
RAIT	15–27 July 2017	17	16	12		4	7		4	4
Spinter tyrimai	17–23 July 2017	16.6	17	11.3
Vilmorus	30 June – 9 July 2017	13.5	12.9	9.7			4.9
RAIT	9 June – 2 July 2017	16	19	9			9
Vilmorus	June 2017	15.5	15.7	10.7			5
Baltijos tyrimai	13–26 June 2017	13	14	13		7	7	6	3	4
RAIT	10–26 March 2017	10	26			3	9	2
RAIT	9–26 February 2017	14	29	9		5	7
Spinter tyrimai	December 2016	12	30.7	8.9
	2016 Elections	22.63	22.45	15.04		5.55	9.45	5.72	6.32	4.88

References

^ "Numatomi rinkimai" [Upcoming elections] (in Lithuanian). Central Elections Commission. Retrieved 2 December 2015.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
^ "Konstitucinis Teismas R. Paksui vilties nesuteikė" [The constitutional court did not give R. Paksas hope]. Delfi.lt (in Lithuanian). 20 March 2014. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
^ https://www.vz.lt/verslo-aplinka/2020/08/27/partijos-issirikiavo-rinkimu-biuletenyje-drasos-kelias--pirmaslvzs-gavo-13-numeri
^ ://www.lrytas.lt/lietuvosdiena/aktualijos/2020/08/27/news/niuksas-ramunui-karbauskiui-is-partijos-ir-jos-kandidatu-saraso-pasitrauke-algimantas-kirkutis-16120281/

[1] "Numatomi rinkimai" [Upcoming elections] (in Lithuanian). Central Elections Commission. Retrieved 2 December 2015.

[SeimasLaw-2] "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.

[3] "Konstitucinis Teismas R. Paksui vilties nesuteikė" [The constitutional court did not give R. Paksas hope]. Delfi.lt (in Lithuanian). 20 March 2014. Retrieved 31 July 2015.

[4] ttps://www.vz.lt/verslo-aplinka/2020/08/27/partijos-issirikiavo-rinkimu-biuletenyje-drasos-kelias--pirmaslvzs-gavo-13-numeri

[5] ://www.lrytas.lt/lietuvosdiena/aktualijos/2020/08/27/news/niuksas-ramunui-karbauskiui-is-partijos-ir-jos-kandidatu-saraso-pasitrauke-algimantas-kirkutis-16120281/

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

@@ Line 99: / Line 99: @@
 | align=center| '''TS-LKD'''
 | [[Gabrielius Landsbergis]]
-| [[Conservatism]]<br>[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Liberal conservatism]]<br>[[National conservatism]]<br>[[Lithuanian nationalism]]
+| [[Conservatism]]<br>[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Liberal conservatism]]<br>[[National conservatism]]<br>[[Pro-Europeanism]]
 | [[Centre-right]]
 | align=right| 22.63%
@@ Line 117: / Line 117: @@
 | align="center" |'''LRLS'''
 |[[Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen]]
-|[[Classical liberalism]]<br>[[Conservative liberalism]]<br>[[Liberalism]]
+|[[Classical liberalism]]<br>[[Liberalism]]
 |[[Centre-right]]
 | align="right" | 9.45%
@@ Line 135: / Line 135: @@
 | align="center" |'''LLRA–KŠS'''
 |[[Valdemar Tomaševski]]
-|[[Poles in Lithuania|Polish]] [[Minority politics|minority interests]]<br>[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Conservatism]]
+|[[Poles in Lithuania|Polish]] [[Minority politics|minority interests]]<br>[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Conservatism]]<br>[[Christian right]]
 |[[Centre-right]]
 | align="right" | 5.72%
@@ Line 154: / Line 154: @@
 |[[Naglis Puteikis]]
 |[[Lithuanians|Lithuanian]] [[nationalism]]<br>[[National conservatism]]<br>[[Christian democracy]]
-|[[Centrism|Centre]] to [[right-wing]]
+|[[Centrism|Centre]] to [[far-right]]
 | align="right" | ''6.88%''
 |{{Composition bar|1|141|#009C3D}}
@@ Line 171: / Line 171: @@
 | align="center" | '''LLP'''
 |[[Vaidotas Prunskus]]
-|[[Paternalistic conservatism]]<br>[[Russophilia]]<br>[[Nationalism]]
+|[[Paternalistic conservatism]]<br>[[Russophilia]]<br>[[Left-wing nationalism]]<br>[[Hard euroskepticism]]
-|[[Right-wing]]
+|[[Left-wing]]
 | align="right" | 1.05%
 |{{Composition bar|0|141|orange}}
@@ Line 189: / Line 189: @@
 | align="center" |'''KSSL'''
 |[[Arvydas Juozaitis]]
-|[[List of pensioners' parties|Pensioners' interests]]<br />[[Single-issue politics]]
+|[[List of pensioners' parties|Pensioners' interests]]<br />[[Single-issue politics]]<br>[[Nationalism]]
 |
 | colspan="2" align="center" |''Did not run''
@@ Line 221: / Line 221: @@
 | align="center" |'''KS'''
 |[[Rimantas Dagys]]
-|[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Catholic social teaching]]
+|[[Christian democracy]]<br>[[Christian right]]
-| [[Centre-right]]
+| [[Right-wing]]
 | colspan="2" align="center" |''Did not exist''<br>{{small|Split from [[Homeland Union]]}}
 |-
@@ Line 230: / Line 230: @@
 |[[Vytautas Radžvilas]]
 |[[Lithuanians|Lithuanian]] [[nationalism]]<br>[[Conservatism]]
-|[[Right-wing]]
+|[[Right-wing]] to [[far-right]]
 | colspan="2" align="center" |''Did not exist''
 |}

v t e Elections and referendums in Lithuania
Presidential	1993 1997–98 2002–03 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024
Parliamentary	1920 1922 1923 1926 1936 1940 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Municipal	1918 1919 1924 1929 1931 1934 1940 1990 1995 1997 2000 2002 2007 2011 2015 2019 2023
European	2004 2009 2014 2019 2024
Referendums	1991 1992 (May) 1992 (Jun) 1992 (Oct) 1994 1996 (Oct) 1996 (Nov) 2003 2008 2012 2014 2019 2024
See also: Elections in the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth Central Lithuania Klaipėda Region