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Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election

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In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 6 May 2010, to the present day. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held on 7 May 2015.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (the UK excluding Northern Ireland). Separate polls covering Northern Ireland are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as Scotland, or groups of marginals) is covered in a separate article.

Graphical summary

15-day average trend line of poll results from May 2010 to 17 October 2014, with each line corresponding to a political party.

The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to the date the next election is held, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: blue for the Conservative Party, red for the Labour Party, yellow for the Liberal Democrats and purple for the United Kingdom Independence Party. Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Throughout the present parliament, first and second place has without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland are consistently polling fifth and have on occasions polled fourth with some companies – level with or ahead of the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the British National Party, the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates are available in a second table, below.

2014

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green <span style="color:White;">Others]] Lead
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 34% 6% 17% 7% 5% 3%
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 32% 33% 8% 17% 5% 5% 1%
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 32% 8% 18% 6% 4% Tied
24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,002 30% 30% 9% 19% 4% 7% Tied
24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,003 31% 31% 7% 18% 5% 7% Tied
24–26 Oct Populus 2,004 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 4% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,069 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 6% Tied
21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,972 33% 33% 6% 18% 4% 5% Tied
22–23 Oct Populus 2,029 33% 35% 9% 15% 3% 4% 2%
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,020 34% 34% 6% 15% 6% 5% Tied
21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 31% 33% 7% 17% 6% 6% 2%
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,103 32% 33% 8% 16% 5% 5% 1%
19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,727 31% 33% 7% 15% 6% 8% 2%
17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,000 28% 31% 7% 18% 8% 8% 3%
17–19 Oct Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% 5% 2%
16–17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,966 32% 35% 7% 16% 5% 5% 3%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 996 29% 31% 7% 24% 5% 5% 2%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 1,004 31% 34% 7% 19% 4% 5% 3%
15–16 Oct Populus 2,031 33% 35% 10% 14% 4% 3% 2%
15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,045 31% 32% 8% 18% 7% 4% 1%
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 31% 33% 7% 19% 5% 5% 2%
13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,144 30% 34% 8% 18% 5% 5% 4%
11–14 Oct Ipsos-MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 30% 33% 8% 16% 5% 8% 3%
12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,782 31% 34% 7% 17% 4% 7% 3%
10–12 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 32% 8% 19% 5% 8% 4%
10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian 1,001 31% 35% 11% 14% 4% 6% 4%
10–12 Oct Populus 2,067 35% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1%
10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,003 31% 31% 7% 25% 2% 4% Tied
9–10 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,167 32% 34% 9% 16% 5% 5% 2%
9 Oct The UK Independence Party wins the Clacton by-election and Labour retains its seat at the Heywood and Middleton by-election.
8–9 Oct Lord Ashcroft 5,059 31% 34% 8% 18% 4% 5% 3%
8–9 Oct Populus 2,055 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 5% 1%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,049 30% 35% 9% 15% 5% 5% 5%
7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,968 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% 7% 7%
7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,862 33% 34% 7% 14% 6% 6% 1%
6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,155 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 6% 2%
5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,739 35% 33% 8% 13% 4% 7% 2%
3–5 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,002 32% 30% 7% 17% 7% 6% 2%
3–5 Oct Populus 2,037 31% 37% 8% 15% 3% 4% 6%
2–3 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,130 36% 34% 7% 13% 5% 5% 2%
1–2 Oct Populus 2,014 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% 4% 5%
1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 35% 34% 6% 14% 5% 6% 1%
30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,068 31% 38% 7% 15% 5% 4% 7%
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,106 31% 36% 7% 15% 5% 6% 5%
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,715 31% 36% 7% 16% 4% 6% 5%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent 1,007 29% 35% 10% 15% 4% 7% 6%
26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 32% 8% 17% 4% 8% Tied
26–28 Sep Populus 2,024 34% 36% 7% 14% 5% 3% 2%
25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,992 31% 36% 6% 15% 6% 6% 5%
24–26 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,003 29% 35% 7% 19% 4% 6% 6%
23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,984 32% 34% 7% 17% 4% 6% 2%
24–25 Sep Populus 2,034 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 4%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 37% 7% 13% 5% 7% 6%
23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,117 33% 37% 7% 13% 5% 5% 4%
22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,141 31% 37% 7% 15% 5% 5% 6%
21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,671 33% 35% 7% 14% 5% 6% 2%
19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 33% 9% 17% 6% 8% 6%
19–21 Sep Populus 2,048 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% 4% 4%
18–19 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,126 31% 36% 7% 16% 5% 5% 5%
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 4% 5% 4%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,072 33% 35% 8% 14% 5% 5% 2%
16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,029 33% 36% 8% 13% 5% 5% 3%
12–17 Sep Lord Ashcroft 8,053 30% 35% 7% 19% 10% 5%
15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 37% 7% 12% 6% 4% 3%
14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,703 31% 35% 7% 15% 6% 6% 4%
12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,002 33% 35% 10% 9% 7% 6% 2%
12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 33% 33% 9% 14% 6% 6% Tied
12–14 Sep Populus 2,052 34% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% 1%
12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,090 31% 35% 8% 19% 3% 4% 4%
11–12 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,900 32% 35% 7% 15% 6% 6% 3%
10–11 Sep Populus 2,010 33% 37% 9% 13% 6% 4%
10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,068 31% 35% 7% 16% 11% 4%
9–11 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,960 29% 37% 7% 19% 9% 8%
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,122 32% 38% 6% 14% 10% 6%
8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,099 30% 36% 8% 16% 10% 6%
6–9 Sep Ipsos-MORI 1,010 34% 33% 7% 15% 11% 1%
7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,724 31% 36% 8% 16% 9% 5%
5–7 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 8% 18% 11% 7%
5–7 Sep Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 12% 10% 2%
4–5 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,961 33% 35% 7% 15% 9% 2%
3–4 Sep Populus 2,026 32% 38% 8% 14% 8% 6%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,043 32% 36% 7% 16% 9% 4%
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,103 33% 36% 7% 14% 10% 3%
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,068 32% 35% 8% 15% 9% 3%
31 Aug–1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 35% 7% 14% 9% 1%
29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent 1,001 28% 35% 9% 17% 11% 7%
29–31 Aug Populus 2,010 32% 36% 9% 15% 8% 4%
29–30 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,010 32% 36% 7% 16% 8% 4%
26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,974 30% 36% 7% 16% 11% 6%
27–28 Aug Populus 2,006 35% 34% 8% 13% 9% 1%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 33% 36% 7% 13% 11% 3%
26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,129 34% 35% 7% 14% 11% 1%
25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,021 33% 37% 8% 13% 10% 4%
22–25 Aug Populus 2,062 32% 38% 8% 15% 7% 6%
21–22 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,866 34% 36% 8% 14% 8% 2%
20–22 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,058 32% 34% 8% 18% 8% 2%
20–21 Aug Populus 2,065 33% 39% 9% 11% 7% 6%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,028 33% 38% 8% 12% 9% 5%
19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,070 34% 38% 9% 11% 8% 4%
18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,036 36% 37% 9% 12% 6% 1%
17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,710 33% 38% 8% 12% 8% 5%
15–17 Aug Populus 2,049 32% 37% 9% 14% 8% 5%
14–15 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,019 34% 38% 7% 13% 8% 4%
12–15 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,963 28% 32% 10% 21% 10% 4%
13–14 Aug Populus 2,018 32% 35% 9% 14% 10% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,984 35% 35% 8% 12% 10% Tied
12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,116 34% 36% 10% 12% 9% 2%
11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,942 35% 38% 8% 11% 7% 3%
10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,676 33% 37% 8% 12% 9% 4%
9–11 Aug Ipsos-MORI 1,003 33% 33% 7% 13% 14% Tied
8–11 Aug Populus 2,031 33% 37% 9% 12% 8% 4%
8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 38% 12% 10% 9% 7%
7–8 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,943 33% 37% 8% 13% 8% 4%
6–7 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 35% 9% 11% 8% 1%
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,016 33% 38% 7% 12% 9% 5%
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,944 34% 37% 9% 12% 8% 3%
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,977 33% 38% 8% 12% 9% 5%
3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,617 34% 38% 6% 13% 9% 4%
1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 33% 8% 18% 11% 3%
1–3 Aug Populus 2,021 35% 37% 9% 12% 7% 2%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,083 35% 38% 7% 12% 8% 3%
29 Jul–1 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,979 32% 35% 7% 15% 12% 3%
30–31 Jul Populus 2,027 35% 36% 8% 13% 8% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 7% 4%
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,100 35% 37% 8% 12% 8% 2%
28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,004 34% 35% 8% 12% 11% 1%
27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,658 33% 39% 8% 12% 8% 6%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 27% 33% 8% 17% 15% 6%
25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 34% 9% 14% 11% 2%
25–27 Jul Populus 2,024 33% 37% 9% 12% 9% 4%
24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,741 35% 36% 8% 13% 8% 1%
23–24 Jul Populus 2,035 35% 37% 9% 9% 10% 2%
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,065 35% 38% 8% 11% 8% 3%
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 38% 8% 12% 8% 4%
21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,904 34% 37% 7% 14% 9% 3%
20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 34% 38% 9% 11% 9% 4%
18–20 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 35% 7% 17% 14% 8%
18–20 Jul Populus 2,035 32% 37% 9% 13% 9% 5%
17–18 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,078 32% 37% 9% 13% 9% 5%
16–18 Jul ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,054 31% 34% 9% 17% 9% 3%
16–17 Jul Populus 2,007 35% 35% 8% 14% 8% Tied
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,038 32% 39% 8% 13% 8% 7%
15–17 Jul TNS BMRB 1,191 29% 36% 7% 19% 9% 7%
15–17 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,967 30% 34% 9% 17% 9% 4%
15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 33% 36% 9% 13% 8% 3%
14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 34% 38% 6% 13% 9% 4%
12–15 Jul Ipsos-MORI 1,000 32% 35% 8% 12% 13% 3%
13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,745 35% 38% 8% 10% 9% 3%
11–13 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,000 34% 33% 12% 9% 11% 1%
11–13 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 36% 7% 14% 12% 4%
11–13 Jul Populus 2,055 34% 37% 9% 12% 8% 3%
10–11 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,963 33% 38% 9% 12% 8% 5%
9–10 Jul Populus 2,052 34% 36% 8% 12% 10% 2%
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,022 34% 37% 8% 12% 9% 3%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,034 32% 36% 10% 12% 9% 4%
7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 31% 38% 8% 12% 11% 7%
6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,650 34% 37% 9% 13% 7% 3%
4–6 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,005 27% 34% 11% 15% 13% 7%
4–6 Jul Populus 2,053 31% 38% 9% 14% 8% 7%
3–4 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,095 34% 36% 8% 13% 9% 2%
2–3 Jul Populus 2,029 34% 35% 9% 14% 8% 1%
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,611 35% 36% 8% 12% 9% 1%
1–3 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 35% 7% 18% 11% 6%
1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,991 35% 37% 8% 12% 8% 2%
30 Jun–1 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,073 33% 38% 8% 11% 10% 5%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,729 35% 37% 8% 12% 8% 2%
27–29 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,005 30% 32% 7% 18% 13% 2%
27–29 Jun Populus 2,049 33% 37% 10% 12% 8% 4%
27–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 33% 31% 9% 15% 12% 2%
27 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 27% 36% 7% 22% 8% 9%
26–27 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,936 33% 37% 8% 14% 8% 4%
25–26 Jun Populus 2,021 34% 35% 8% 13% 10% 1%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,996 33% 38% 8% 13% 8% 5%
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,044 32% 37% 7% 14% 10% 5%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,984 33% 36% 8% 15% 8% 3%
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,652 32% 36% 9% 15% 8% 4%
20–22 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 28% 33% 9% 17% 13% 5%
20–22 Jun Populus 2,062 32% 37% 9% 13% 8% 5%
19–20 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,016 32% 38% 8% 14% 9% 6%
18–19 Jun Populus 2,032 34% 36% 8% 13% 9% 2%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,097 33% 37% 8% 15% 7% 4%
17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,946 31% 35% 7% 17% 10% 4%
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,066 34% 38% 7% 13% 8% 4%
16–17 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 37% 7% 13% 10% 3%
14–17 Jun Ipsos-MORI 1,001 31% 34% 8% 14% 13% 3%
15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,696 32% 36% 10% 14% 9% 4%
13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,001 31% 32% 10% 16% 11% 1%
13–15 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,001 29% 35% 8% 15% 13% 6%
13–15 Jun Populus 2,036 33% 37% 9% 13% 8% 4%
12–13 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,106 33% 37% 8% 13% 9% 4%
11–13 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,034 32% 34% 7% 18% 9% 2%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,337 33% 36% 8% 14% 9% 3%
11–12 Jun Populus 2,051 32% 35% 8% 15% 10% 3%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,183 32% 38% 8% 12% 10% 6%
10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 1,195 29% 35% 6% 23% 7% 6%
10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,157 34% 36% 6% 14% 10% 2%
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,974 35% 37% 8% 12% 8% 2%
8–9 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,685 31% 37% 7% 15% 10% 6%
6–8 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,003 28% 32% 8% 17% 15% 4%
6–8 Jun Populus 2,039 35% 36% 9% 14% 7% 1%
5–6 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,134 33% 37% 7% 14% 9% 4%
4–6 Jun Populus 2,006 34% 35% 9% 14% 9% 1%
5 Jun The Conservatives retain their seat in the Newark by-election, 2014.
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,107 31% 37% 8% 15% 9% 6%
3–5 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,950 31% 35% 6% 19% 9% 4%
3–4 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,951 32% 37% 7% 13% 10% 5%
2–3 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,962 32% 36% 8% 14% 9% 4%
1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,740 30% 36% 8% 17% 9% 6%
30 May–1 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,000 25% 34% 6% 19% 15% 9%
30 May–1 Jun Populus 2,062 32% 37% 10% 13% 8% 5%
29–30 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,090 33% 36% 7% 15% 9% 3%
28–29 May Populus 2,010 34% 35% 9% 14% 8% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 2,123 31% 38% 7% 16% 12% 7%
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 2,109 32% 36% 9% 14% 10% 4%
26–27 May YouGov/The Sun 2,079 32% 34% 8% 15% 10% 2%
23–26 May Populus 2,060 34% 36% 9% 14% 7% 2%
23–25 May Lord Ashcroft 1,000 29% 31% 8% 17% 16% 2%
25 May The UK Independence Party comes first in the UK component of the 2014 European Parliament elections.
23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 9% 5%
22–23 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,898 34% 35% 9% 13% 10% 1%
20–23 May Opinium/The Observer 1,968 32% 33% 7% 19% 9% 1%
22 May Labour and the UK Independence Party make gains in the United Kingdom local elections, 2014.
21–22 May Populus 2,045 34% 36% 9% 14% 7% 2%
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,922 34% 34% 9% 14% 9% Tied
20–21 May YouGov/The Times, The Sun 6,124 33% 36% 9% 13% 9% 3%
19–20 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,106 28% 34% 9% 20% 9% 6%
19–20 May YouGov/The Sun 1,874 33% 35% 11% 13% 8% 2%
18–19 May YouGov/The Sun 1,740 33% 37% 9% 11% 10% 4%
16–18 May ComRes/Independent 1,008 30% 35% 8% 14% 13% 5%
16–18 May Lord Ashcroft 1,006 29% 35% 9% 14% 12% 6%
16–18 May Populus 2,026 35% 34% 8% 14% 9% 1%
15–16 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,892 34% 37% 9% 13% 7% 3%
14–15 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,045 29% 33% 8% 19% 11% 4%
14–15 May YouGov/The Sun 2,083 34% 36% 8% 13% 9% 2%
14–15 May Populus 2,043 32% 36% 10% 13% 9% 4%
13–14 May YouGov/The Sun 1,968 32% 35% 10% 13% 9% 3%
12–13 May YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 34% 8% 15% 8% Tied
11–12 May YouGov/The Sun 1,680 35% 36% 9% 14% 6% 1%
10–12 May Ipsos-MORI/Evening Standard 1,003 31% 34% 9% 11% 15% 3%
9–11 May ICM/The Guardian 1,000 33% 31% 13% 15% 9% 2%
9–11 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001 34% 32% 9% 15% 11% 2%
9–11 May Populus 2,056 35% 36% 8% 13% 8% 1%
9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 28% 33% 10% 20% 9% 5%
8–9 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,905 31% 38% 9% 13% 9% 7%
7–8 May Populus 2,006 32% 36% 8% 16% 9% 4%
7–8 May YouGov/The Sun 1,875 34% 35% 8% 13% 10% 1%
6–8 May Opinium/The Observer 1,997 29% 33% 9% 20% 9% 4%
6–7 May YouGov/The Sun 1,858 34% 37% 8% 13% 8% 3%
5–6 May YouGov/The Sun 1,933 34% 35% 9% 14% 8% 1%
2–5 May Populus 2,034 33% 36% 8% 14% 9% 3%
2–3 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,005 33% 34% 8% 18% 7% 1%
1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,945 33% 36% 9% 15% 7% 3%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 1,844 33% 36% 10% 15% 6% 3%
30 Apr–1 May Populus 2,060 34% 35% 9% 14% 8% 1%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,813 33% 36% 10% 14% 7% 3%
2 Apr–1 May Populus/Financial Times 18,448 34% 36% 10% 13% 7% 2%
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,898 31% 37% 9% 15% 8% 6%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,804 32% 37% 9% 14% 8% 5%
27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 37% 10% 15% 6% 5%
25–27 Apr Populus 2,052 32% 35% 10% 15% 8% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,835 31% 36% 9% 15% 9% 5%
22–25 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,965 32% 34% 7% 18% 9% 2%
23–24 Apr Populus 2,055 35% 35% 9% 13% 8% Tied
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,072 32% 38% 8% 14% 8% 6%
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,143 32% 37% 10% 15% 6% 5%
21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,190 34% 37% 10% 12% 7% 3%
17–21 Apr Populus 2,049 33% 36% 10% 13% 7% 3%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,884 33% 35% 11% 15% 6% 2%
15–16 Apr Populus 2,069 34% 35% 9% 14% 8% 1%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,166 33% 39% 9% 11% 8% 6%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,162 34% 37% 10% 13% 6% 3%
13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,541 33% 38% 9% 12% 8% 5%
11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent 1,000 30% 36% 9% 12% 13% 6%
11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,000 32% 37% 12% 11% 8% 5%
11–13 Apr Populus 2,011 33% 35% 11% 13% 8% 2%
10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,036 32% 38% 8% 14% 8% 6%
9–10 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,003 29% 35% 7% 20% 9% 6%
9–10 Apr Populus 2,051 34% 35% 11% 12% 8% 1%
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,111 32% 38% 8% 14% 7% 6%
8–10 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,972 30% 36% 7% 18% 9% 6%
8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,061 33% 36% 10% 14% 7% 3%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,144 33% 37% 10% 13% 6% 4%
6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,748 33% 36% 10% 14% 7% 3%
5–7 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 31% 34% 9% 15% 8% 3%
4–6 Apr Populus 2,034 34% 37% 9% 14% 7% 3%
4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 29% 36% 10% 20% 6% 7%
3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,998 34% 39% 9% 12% 6% 5%
2–3 Apr Populus 2,067 33% 37% 10% 13% 7% 4%
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,076 32% 38% 10% 13% 7% 6%
2 Apr Broadcast of The European Union: In or Out debate ahead of the European Parliament election.
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,148 32% 38% 10% 13% 7% 6%
31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,981 33% 37% 10% 12% 8% 4%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,696 34% 37% 11% 13% 5% 3%
28–30 Mar Populus 2,008 34% 37% 10% 11% 8% 3%
5–30 Mar Populus/Financial Times 16,424 34% 37% 9% 12% 8% 3%
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 33% 40% 9% 11% 7% 7%
27–28 Mar Populus 2,066 35% 37% 8% 12% 8% 2%
25–28 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,936 32% 33% 10% 15% 10% 1%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,039 35% 36% 10% 11% 7% 1%
26 Mar LBC radio debate on the European Union between the Liberal Democrats' Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage of the UK Independence Party.
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,070 35% 37% 9% 11% 7% 2%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,958 35% 38% 10% 10% 7% 3%
23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,558 36% 38% 10% 10% 6% 2%
21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,024 31% 36% 9% 11% 13% 5%
21–23 Mar Populus 2,039 34% 35% 10% 13% 8% 1%
20–21 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,103 36% 37% 9% 11% 7% 1%
20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 34% 35% 9% 15% 7% 1%
19–20 Mar Populus 2,122 34% 38% 9% 12% 7% 4%
19–20 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,904 34% 39% 10% 10% 7% 5%
19 Mar United Kingdom Budget, 2014 read to Parliament by The Chancellor of the Exchequer.
18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,088 33% 38% 11% 11% 7% 5%
17–18 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,284 34% 38% 11% 11% 7% 4%
16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,919 32% 40% 9% 11% 7% 8%
14–16 Mar Populus 2,053 32% 36% 10% 13% 9% 4%
13–14 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,946 33% 40% 8% 12% 7% 7%
12–13 Mar ComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,001 32% 35% 9% 16% 8% 3%
12–13 Mar Populus 2,053 34% 35% 10% 13% 8% 1%
12–13 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,098 33% 38% 11% 10% 8% 5%
11–12 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,971 30% 35% 10% 16% 9% 5%
11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,095 35% 37% 9% 13% 6% 2%
8–12 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,000 32% 35% 13% 11% 9% 3%
10–11 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,040 34% 38% 10% 12% 6% 4%
7–11 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,003 35% 38% 12% 9% 6% 3%
9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun 3,195 32% 39% 8% 13% 8% 7%
7–9 Mar Populus 2,058 34% 38% 9% 12% 7% 4%
6–7 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,029 32% 39% 10% 14% 5% 7%
5–6 Mar Populus 2,025 34% 37% 9% 12% 8% 3%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,833 31% 40% 9% 13% 7% 9%
4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,868 34% 37% 10% 11% 8% 3%
3–4 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,041 34% 38% 9% 13% 6% 4%
2–3 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,868 32% 41% 8% 12% 7% 9%
28 Feb–2 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,004 30% 38% 10% 11% 11% 8%
28 Feb–2 Mar Populus 2,055 34% 37% 10% 12% 7% 3%
27–28 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,098 33% 38% 9% 13% 7% 5%
25–28 Feb Opinium/Observer 1,946 29% 34% 10% 19% 8% 5%
26–27 Feb Populus 2,011 34% 39% 8% 12% 7% 5%
5–27 Feb Populus/Financial Times 14,203 33% 37% 10% 14% 6% 4%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,868 34% 39% 8% 12% 7% 5%
25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,062 34% 40% 10% 11% 5% 6%
24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,936 33% 39% 10% 11% 7% 6%
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,773 33% 38% 10% 13% 7% 5%
21–23 Feb Populus 2,052 32% 37% 10% 15% 6% 5%
20–21 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,141 32% 39% 8% 12% 8% 7%
19–20 Feb Populus 2,066 32% 38% 9% 13% 8% 6%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,756 34% 39% 9% 12% 6% 5%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,766 33% 37% 10% 12% 8% 4%
17–18 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,758 33% 40% 8% 12% 7% 7%
16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,645 33% 40% 9% 11% 7% 7%
14–16 Feb Populus 2,031 33% 38% 10% 13% 6% 5%
13–14 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,868 32% 39% 9% 12% 9% 7%
11–14 Feb Opinium/Observer 1,969 28% 37% 8% 17% 10% 9%
13 Feb Labour retains its seat in the Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election, 2014.
12–13 Feb Populus 2,015 32% 38% 9% 14% 7% 6%
12–13 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,031 32% 37% 9% 15% 7% 5%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,896 33% 39% 9% 12% 7% 6%
11–12 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,826 32% 39% 8% 13% 8% 7%
10–11 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,899 34% 39% 10% 11% 6% 5%
9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,685 33% 39% 10% 12% 6% 6%
7–9 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,002 34% 38% 10% 11% 8% 4%
7–9 Feb Populus 2,013 34% 36% 11% 12% 7% 2%
6–7 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 1,521 35% 39% 10% 10% 6% 4%
5–6 Feb Populus 2,015 33% 36% 9% 15% 7% 3%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,911 32% 38% 10% 14% 6% 6%
4–5 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,902 35% 39% 9% 10% 6% 4%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,942 33% 39% 8% 13% 7% 6%
2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,741 33% 38% 11% 11% 7% 5%
1–3 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,012 31% 38% 12% 10% 9% 7%
31 Jan–2 Feb Populus 2,043 32% 41% 11% 9% 7% 9%
30–31 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,885 34% 39% 8% 11% 8% 5%
28–31 Jan Opinium/Observer 1,972 29% 36% 8% 17% 10% 7%
29–30 Jan Populus 2,044 32% 39% 11% 10% 8% 7%
29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,942 32% 42% 8% 12% 6% 10%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,884 35% 38% 10% 11% 6% 3%
27–28 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,814 34% 37% 9% 12% 8% 3%
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,381 35% 37% 9% 13% 7% 2%
24–26 Jan ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 33% 9% 14% 12% 1%
24–26 Jan Populus 2,052 33% 40% 11% 8% 8% 7%
23–24 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,859 32% 39% 9% 13% 7% 7%
22–23 Jan Populus 2,051 32% 40% 11% 9% 8% 8%
22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,840 35% 38% 8% 12% 7% 3%
21–22 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,843 32% 40% 8% 12% 8% 8%
20–21 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,961 34% 38% 9% 13% 6% 4%
19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,682 32% 40% 11% 12% 5% 8%
17–19 Jan Populus 2,027 32% 39% 12% 9% 8% 7%
16–17 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,957 33% 39% 8% 13% 7% 6%
15–16 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,029 30% 35% 8% 19% 8% 5%
15–16 Jan Populus 2,039 33% 40% 13% 9% 5% 7%
15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,981 32% 39% 10% 12% 7% 7%
14–16 Jan Opinium/Observer 1,930 30% 36% 8% 17% 9% 6%
14–15 Jan Survation/Sky News 1,005 30% 34% 12% 18% 6% 4%
14–15 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,893 33% 39% 10% 12% 6% 6%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,000 34% 37% 9% 13% 7% 3%
11–14 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,035 30% 39% 13% 11% 7% 9%
12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,762 33% 38% 11% 12% 6% 5%
10–12 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,005 32% 35% 14% 10% 9% 3%
10–11 Jan Populus 2,079 33% 38% 12% 9% 8% 5%
9–10 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,904 31% 40% 9% 14% 6% 9%
8–9 Jan Populus 2,012 33% 40% 11% 8% 8% 7%
8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,887 32% 38% 9% 13% 8% 6%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,958 32% 38% 9% 13% 8% 6%
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,972 32% 37% 10% 14% 7% 5%
5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,729 32% 40% 9% 12% 7% 8%
3 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 31% 35% 11% 16% 7% 4%
30 Dec–2 Jan Opinium/Observer 1,939 30% 37% 8% 17% 8% 7%

2013

2012

2011

2010

Note: some polls in 2010 did not give an individual figure for the UK Independence Party. In these cases, the percentage intending to vote UKIP is included with the 'others'.

Detailed poll results

The tables above show poll results just for the four largest parties. Detailed poll results are given below. Often poll companies publish a combined result for SNP and Plaid Cymru, indicated by a merged cell below. Other cases of Party results' not being shown individually are included in the "Others" column, with the individual party's box remaining empty. Results showing <0.5% imply percentages ranging from 0.01% to 0.49%. 0.5% to 1.49% are rounded to 1%.

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP SNP
[n 1] 		PC
[n 2] 		Green
[n 3] 		BNP Others Lead
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 31% 34% 6% 17% 7% 3%
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 32% 33% 8% 17% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 32% 8% 18% 4% 6% 0% <0.5% Tied
24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent 651 30% 30% 9% 19% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 3% Tied
24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft 511 31% 31% 7% 18% 4% 1% 5% <0.5% 3% Tied
24–26 Oct Populus 2,004 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,069 33% 33% 7% 16% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% Tied
21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,462 33% 33% 6% 18% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% Tied
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,020 34% 34% 6% 15% 4% 6% <0.5% 1% Tied
22–23 Oct Populus 1,132 33% 35% 9% 15% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 31% 33% 7% 17% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% 2%
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,103 32% 33% 8% 16% 4% 5% 0% 1% 1%
19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,727 31% 33% 7% 15% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% 2%
17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,000 28% 31% 7% 18% 5% 1% 8% <0.5% 2% 3%
17–19 Oct Populus 1,190 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
16–17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,966 32% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
15-16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,045 31% 32% 8% 18% 4% 7% 0% <0.5% 1%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 757 29% 31% 7% 24% 4% <0.5% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
15–16 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 761 31% 34% 7% 19% 4% 0% 4% 1% <0.5% 3%
15–16 Oct Populus 1,144 33% 35% 10% 14% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
14-15 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 31% 33% 7% 19% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
13-14 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,144 30% 34% 8% 18% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
11–14 Oct Ipsos-MORI 542 30% 33% 8% 16% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%
12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,782 31% 34% 7% 17% 5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
10–12 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 32% 8% 19% 5% <0.5% 5% 2% 4%
10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian[n 4] 696 31% 35% 11% 14% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% 2% 4%
10–12 Oct Populus 2,067 35% 36% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
9–10 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,167 32% 34% 9% 16% 4% 5% 1% 1% 2%
10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 849 31% 31%[n 5] 7% 25% 4% <0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,049 30% 35% 9% 15% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
8–9 Oct Lord Ashcroft 3,956 31% 34% 8% 18% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
8–9 Oct Populus 2,055 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 1%
7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,968 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 7%
7-8 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,862 33% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,155 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,739 35% 33% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1% 1% 2%
3–5 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,002 32% 30% 7% 17% 4% <0.5% 7% 2% 2%
3–5 Oct Populus 1,134 31% 37% 8% 15% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
2-3 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,130 36% 34% 7% 13% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
1–2 Oct Populus 1,131 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 5%
1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,133 35% 34% 6% 14% 4% 5% 1% 1% 1%
30 Sep-1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,068 31% 38% 7% 15% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 7%
29-30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,106 31% 36% 7% 15% 5% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,715 31% 36% 7% 16% 5% 4% <0.5% 1% 5%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent 651 29% 35% 10% 15% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 3% 6%
26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 32% 8% 17% 4% 1% 4% 2% Tied
26–28 Sep Populus 1,257 34% 36% 7% 14% 3% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,992 31% 36% 6% 15% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% 5%
24–26 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,003 29% 35% 7% 19% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 6%
23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,984 32% 34% 7% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 2%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 37% 7% 13% 6% 5% 0% 1% 6%
24–25 Sep Populus 2,034 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,117 33% 37% 7% 13% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4%
22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,141 31% 37% 7% 15% 5% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,671 33% 35% 7% 14% 4% 5% 1% 1% 2%
19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 33% 9% 17% 4% 1% 6% 3% 6%
19–21 Sep Populus 2,048 33% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
18–19 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,126 31% 36% 7% 16% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 4%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,072 33% 35% 8% 14% 4% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,029 33% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 37% 7% 12% 4% 6% <0.5% 1% 3%
14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,703 31% 35% 7% 15% 4% 6% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,002 33% 35% 10% 9% 4% 1% 7% <0.5% 2% 2%
12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 33% 33% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 6% 3% Tied
12–14 Sep Populus 2,052 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,090 31% 35% 8% 19% 2% <0.5% 3% 2% 1% 4%
11–12 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,900 32% 35% 7% 15% 4% 6% 1% 1% 3%
10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,068 31% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4%
9–11 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,960 29% 37% 7% 19% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% 1% 8%
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,122 32% 38% 6% 14% 4% 5% 1% <0.5% 6%
8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,099 30% 36% 8% 16% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
6–9 Sep Ipsos-MORI 1,010 34% 33% 7% 15% 4% <0.5% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,724 31% 36% 8% 16% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
5–7 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 8% 18% 2% <0.5% 6% 3% 7%
5–7 Sep Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2%
4–5 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,961 33% 35% 7% 15% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 2%
3–4 Sep Populus 2,026 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,043 32% 36% 7% 16% 3% 5% 1% 1% 4%
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,103 33% 36% 7% 14% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,068 32% 35% 8% 15% 4% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
31 Aug–1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 35% 7% 14% 5% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent 1,001 28% 35% 9% 17% 2% 1% 6% <0.5% 2% 7%
29–31 Aug Populus 2,010 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 4%
29–30 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,010 32% 36% 7% 16% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,974 30% 36% 7% 16% 5% 1% 4% 1% 1% 6%
27–28 Aug Populus 2,006 35% 34% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 33% 36% 7% 13% 4% 5% 1% 1% 3%
26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,129 34% 35% 7% 14% 4% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,021 33% 37% 8% 13% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
22–25 Aug Populus 2,062 32% 38% 8% 15% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 6%
21–22 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,866 34% 36% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
20–22 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,058 32% 34% 8% 18% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
20–21 Aug Populus 2,065 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,028 33% 38% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,070 34% 38% 9% 11% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,036 36% 37% 9% 12% 3% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,710 33% 38% 8% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 5%
15–17 Aug Populus 2,049 32% 37% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 5%
14–15 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,019 34% 38% 7% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 4%
12–15 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,963 28% 32% 10% 21% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
13–14 Aug Populus 2,018 32% 35% 9% 14% 2% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,984 35% 35% 8% 12% 3% 5% 1% 1% Tied
12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,116 34% 36% 10% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 2%
11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,942 35% 38% 8% 11% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,676 33% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
9–11 Aug Ipsos-MORI 1,003 33% 33% 7% 13% 3% 1% 7% <0.5% 2% Tied
8–11 Aug Populus 2,031 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 4%
8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 38% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 7%
7–8 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,943 33% 37% 8% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
6–7 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 35% 9% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 1%
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,016 33% 38% 7% 12% 4% 4% 1% 1% 5%
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,944 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,977 33% 38% 8% 12% 4% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,617 34% 38% 6% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 33% 8% 18% 2% <0.5% 6% <0.5% 2% 3%
1–3 Aug Populus 2,021 35% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,083 35% 38% 7% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
29 Jul–1 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,979 32% 35% 7% 15% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%
30–31 Jul Populus 2,027 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 2% 4% 1% 1% 4%
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,100 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 2%
28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,004 34% 35% 8% 12% 3% 6% 1% <0.5% 1%
27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,658 33% 39% 8% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 6%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 27% 33% 8% 17% 2% <0.5% 7% 1% 3% 6%
25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 34% 9% 14% 2% 1% 6% <0.5% 2% 2%
25–27 Jul Populus 2,024 33% 37% 9% 12% 2% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,741 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
23–24 Jul Populus 2,035 35% 37% 9% 9% 4% 1% 4% 1% <0.5% 2%
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,065 35% 38% 8% 11% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 38% 8% 12% 3% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,904 34% 37% 7% 14% 2% 5% 1% 1% 3%
20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 34% 38% 9% 11% 3% 4% 1% 1% 4%
18–20 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 35% 7% 17% 2% <0.5% 7% 1% 4% 8%
18–20 Jul Populus 2,035 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 5%
17–18 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,078 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
16–18 Jul ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,054 31% 34% 9% 17% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
16–17 Jul Populus 2,007 35% 35% 8% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% Tied
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,038 32% 39% 8% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 7%
15–17 Jul TNS BMRB 1,191 29% 36% 7% 19% 3% 6% 7%
15–17 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,967 30% 34% 9% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,107 33% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3%
14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 34% 38% 6% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
12–15 Jul Ipsos-MORI 1,000 32% 35% 8% 12% 4% <0.5% 8% <0.5% 1% 3%
13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,745 35% 38% 8% 10% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
11–13 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,000 34% 33% 12% 9% 4% 1% 4% <0.5% 3% 1%
11–13 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 36% 7% 14% 2% <0.5% 6% 1% 3% 4%
11–13 Jul Populus 2,055 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
10–11 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,963 33% 38% 9% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
9–10 Jul Populus 2,052 34% 36% 8% 12% 4% 1% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,022 34% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,034 32% 36% 10% 12% 3% 5% 1% 1% 4%
7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 31% 38% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 7%
6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,650 34% 37% 9% 13% 2% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
4–6 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,005 27% 34% 11% 15% 3% <0.5% 6% 1% 3% 7%
4–6 Jul Populus 2,053 31% 38% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 7%
3–4 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,095 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
2–3 Jul Populus 2,029 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,611 35% 36% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
1–3 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 35% 7% 18% 4% <0.5% 5% 1% 1% 6%
1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,991 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 1% 1% 2%
30 Jun–1 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,073 33% 38% 8% 11% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,729 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2%
27–29 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,005 30% 32% 7% 18% 3% 1% 5% 1% 4% 2%
27–29 Jun Populus 2,049 33% 37% 10% 12% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
27–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 33% 31% 9% 15% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2%
27 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 896 27% 36% 7% 22% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% 1% 9%
26–27 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,936 33% 37% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
25–26 Jun Populus 1,105 34% 35% 8% 13% 3% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,996 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,044 32% 37% 7% 14% 3% 5% 1% 1% 5%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,984 33% 36% 8% 15% 4% 4% 0% 1% 3%
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,652 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
20–22 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 28% 33% 9% 17% 3% 1% 7% 3% 5%
20–22 Jun Populus 1,192 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 5%
19–20 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,016 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
18–19 Jun Populus 1,122 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 2%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,097 33% 37% 8% 15% 3% 3% 0% 1% 4%
17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,946 31% 35% 7% 17% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 4%
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,066 34% 38% 7% 13% 3% 5% 1% <0.5% 4%
16–17 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 37% 7% 13% 4% 4% 1% 1% 3%
14–17 Jun Ipsos-MORI 1,001 31% 34% 8% 14% 4% 1% 8% 1% 1% 3%
15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,696 32% 36% 10% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian[n 6] 1,001 31% 32% 10% 16% 4% 1% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
13–15 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,001 29% 35% 8% 15% 3% 1% 6% 3% 6%
13–15 Jun Populus 1,171 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
12–13 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,106 33% 37% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
11–13 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 1,539 32% 34% 7% 18% 3% 1% 4% 1% <0.5% 2%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,337 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
11–12 Jun Populus 1,180 32% 35% 8% 15% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,183 32% 38% 8% 12% 3% 5% 0% 1% 6%
10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 896 29% 35% 6% 23% 3% 5% 6%
10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,157 34% 36% 6% 14% 2% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
9–10 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,974 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2%
8–9 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,685 31% 37% 7% 15% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
6–8 Jun Lord AshcroftSummary 1,003 28% 32% 8% 17% 3% 1% 7% 4% 4%
6–8 Jun Populus 1,157 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
5–6 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,134 33% 37% 7% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
4–6 Jun Populus 1,119 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,107 31% 37% 8% 15% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
3–5 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,950 31% 35% 6% 19% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
3–4 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,951 32% 37% 7% 13% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
2–3 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,962 32% 36% 8% 14% 4% 5% 0% <0.5% 4%
1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,740 30% 36% 8% 17% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
30 May–1 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,000 25% 34% 6% 19% 3% 1% 7%[n 7] 1%[n 8] 4%[n 9] 9%
30 May–1 Jun Populus 1,151 32% 37% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
29–30 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,090 33% 36% 7% 15% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
28–29 May Populus 1,135 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 2,123 31% 38% 7% 16% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 7%
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 2,109 32% 36% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1% 1% 4%
26–27 May YouGov/The Sun 2,079 32% 34% 8% 15% 4% 5% 1% <0.5% 2%
23–26 May Populus 1,168 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
23–25 May Lord Ashcroft 1,000 29% 31% 8% 17% 3% 1% 7%[n 10] 2%[n 11] 4%[n 12] 2%
23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% 2% 5%
22–23 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,898 34% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
20–23 May Opinium/The Observer 1,968 32% 33% 7% 19% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 1%
21–22 May Populus 1,150 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,922 34% 34% 9% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% Tied
20–21 May YouGov/The Times, The Sun 6,124 33% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3%
19–20 May Survation/Daily Mirror 895 28% 34% 9% 20% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 6%
19–20 May YouGov/The Sun 1,874 33% 35% 11% 13% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 2%
18–19 May YouGov/The Sun 1,740 33% 37% 9% 11% 3% 6% 1% 1% 4%
16–18 May ComRes/Independent 682 30% 35% 8% 14% 2% 1% 5% 1% 5% 5%
16–18 May Lord Ashcroft 1,006 29% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 5%[n 13] 1%[n 14] 3%[n 15] 6%
16–18 May Populus 1,122 35% 34% 8% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%
15–16 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,892 34% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3%
14–15 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,045 29% 33% 8% 19% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
14–15 May YouGov/The Sun 2,083 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2%
14–15 May Populus 1,116 32% 36% 10% 13% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
13–14 May YouGov/The Sun 1,968 32% 35% 10% 13% 4% 4% 1% 1% 3%
12–13 May YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 34% 8% 15% 3% 3% 1% 1% Tied
11–12 May YouGov/The Sun 1,680 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1%
10–12 May Ipsos-MORI/Evening Standard 1,003 31% 34% 9% 11% 4% 8% 1% 1% 3%
9–11 May ICM/The Guardian[n 16] 1,000 33% 31% 13% 15% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2%
9–11 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001 34% 32% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 5%[n 17] 1%[n 18] 2%[n 19] 2%
9–11 May Populus 1,180 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 28% 33% 10% 20% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5%
8–9 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,905 31% 38% 9% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 7%
7–8 May Populus 2,006 32% 36% 8% 16% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
7–8 May YouGov/The Sun 1,875 34% 35% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1%
6–8 May Opinium/The Observer 1,997 29% 33% 9% 20% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
6–7 May YouGov/The Sun 1,858 34% 37% 8% 13% 4% 3% <0.5% 1% 3%
5–6 May YouGov/The Sun 1,933 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
2–5 May Populus 1,133 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%
2–3 May Survation/Daily Mirror 837 33% 34% 8% 18% 3% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1%
1–2 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,945 33% 36% 9% 15% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 1,844 33% 36% 10% 15% 3% 2% 1% <0.5% 3%
30 Apr–1 May Populus 2,060 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,813 33% 36% 10% 14% 3% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
2 Apr–1 May Populus/Financial Times 10,301 34% 36% 10% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,898 31% 37% 9% 15% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,804 32% 37% 9% 14% 4% 3% <0.5% 1% 5%
27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 37% 10% 15% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 5%
25–27 Apr Populus 1,155 32% 35% 10% 15% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,835 31% 36% 9% 15% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 5%
22–25 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,965 32% 34% 7% 18% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
23–24 Apr Populus 1,125 35% 35% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% Tied
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,072 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,143 32% 37% 10% 15% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 5%
21–22 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,190 34% 37% 10% 12% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 3%
17–21 Apr Populus 1,123 33% 36% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,884 33% 35% 11% 15% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2%
15–16 Apr Populus 1,173 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,166 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% 3% 1% 1% 6%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,162 34% 37% 10% 13% 3% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,541 33% 38% 9% 12% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 5%
11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent 663 30% 36% 9% 12% 4% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6%
11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian[n 20] 681 32% 37% 12% 11% 4% 1% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
11–13 Apr Populus 1,098 33% 35% 11% 13% 3% 1% 2% <0.5% 1% 2%
10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,036 32% 38% 8% 14% 4% 2% <0.5% 2% 6%
9–10 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 1,537 29% 35% 7% 20% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 6%
9–10 Apr Populus 1,150 34% 35% 11% 12% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,111 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 2% 1% 1% 6%
8–10 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,972 30% 36% 7% 18% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 6%
8–9 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,061 33% 36% 10% 14% 4% 2% <0.5% 1% 3%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,144 33% 37% 10% 13% 3% 2% 1% <0.5% 4%
6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,748 33% 36% 10% 14% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3%
5–7 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 31% 34% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
4–6 Apr Populus 1,147 34% 37% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 887 29% 36% 10% 20% 4% 0.4% 2% 0.3% 0.5% 7%
3–4 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,998 34% 39% 9% 12% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 5%
2–3 Apr Populus 1,176 33% 37% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 2% 1% <0.5% 4%
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,076 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 6%
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,148 32% 38% 10% 13% 3% 2% 1% 1% 6%
31 Mar–1 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,981 33% 37% 10% 12% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,696 34% 37% 11% 13% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3%
28–30 Mar Populus 1,118 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 3%
5–30 Mar Populus/Financial Times 9,162 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3%
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 33% 40% 9% 11% 3% 2% 1% 1% 7%
27–28 Mar Populus 1,169 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
25–28 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,936 32% 33% 10% 15% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,039 35% 36% 10% 11% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,070 35% 37% 9% 11% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 2%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,958 35% 38% 10% 10% 3% 2% 0% 1% 3%
23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,558 36% 38% 10% 10% 3% 2% <0.5% 1% 2%
21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent 614 31% 36% 9% 11% 3% 1% 5% 1% 3% 5%
21–23 Mar Populus 1,126 34% 35% 10% 13% 4% <0.5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
20–21 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,103 36% 37% 9% 11% 4% 2% 1% <0.5% 1%
2014
2013
2012
2011
4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,424 40% 36% 16% 2% 6% 4%
2 Jul Opinium - 37% 33% 18% 12% 4%
1–2 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times - 41% 36% 16% 7% 5%
30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun - 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun – 42% 36% 15% 6% 6%
28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sun – 42% 36% 15% 7% 6%
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun – 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%
25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent 1,003 40% 31% 18% 3% 3% <0.5% 2% 2% 1% 8%
24–25 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,038 43% 36% 16% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 7%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun – 43% 34% 17% 5% 9%
23–24 Jun ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1,006 41% 35% 16% 2% 2% 1% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,641 42% 34% 17% 3% 1% 1% 1% <0.5% 8%
22–23 Jun Populus/The Times 1,003 39% 33% 18% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6%
21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,295 41% 37% 15% 2% 1% 1% 1% <0.5% 4%
20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,042 41% 33% 18% 3% 2% 1% 1% <0.5% 8%
18–20 Jun Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 39% 31% 19% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 8%
18–20 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,000 39% 31% 21% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 8%
18 Jun Opinium – 40% 31% 19% 10% 9%
17–18 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,491 39% 34% 19% 3% 2% 1% 1% <0.5% 5%
16–17 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday 1,004 36% 30% 23% 4% 3% <0.5% 2% 2% <0.5% 6%
10–11 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,482 40% 32% 18% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 8%
10–11 Jun BPIX/Mail on Sunday[4] 2,117 39% 32% 19% 10% 7%
1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro 1,906 36% 30% 25% 9% 6%
4 Jun Opinium – 42% 28% 19% 11% 14%
28–31 May ComRes/The Independent 1,000 37% 33% 21% 4% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
21–23 May ICM/The Guardian 1,001 39% 32% 21% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% <0.5% 7%
21 May Opinium – 38% 29% 21% 12% 9%
20–21 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,477 39% 32% 21% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 7%
13–14 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,489 37% 34% 21% 8% 3%
12–13 May ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1004 38% 33% 21% 1% 2% 1% 2% <0.5% 2% 5%
12–13 May ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 1,010 38% 34% 21% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results (GB only) N/A 36.9% 29.7% 23.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 7.2%

Methodology

Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods are as follows:

  • Angus Reid Public Opinion collect their data through online internet surveys, and demographically weight their data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country they live in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England & Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[5]
  • ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect their data, although all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. All respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensate for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response.[6]
  • ICM also collect their data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weight their respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. They weight their respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls, and if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weight their respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, whilst if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced to half its value.[7]
  • Ipsos MORI collect their data through telephone interviews, and weight their respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. They do not weight their data according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, discount any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote, and only include the responses of people who says they are certain to vote in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[8]
  • Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups.[9]
  • Populus: Populus conduct their surveys over the telephone, and weight all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, albeit at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[10]
  • Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of the United Kingdom in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how they have previously voted, and how likely a person says they are to vote in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results accordingly.[11]
  • TNS-BMRB interview a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.[12]
  • YouGov collect their data through an online survey, and weight their respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. They weight their respondents according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[13]
  • Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls under his own name.[14] On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election.[15] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The main three parties (Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat) are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisation which carried out his fieldwork, but the methodology is similar to that used by Populus in their pre-online days.[16] He is not a BPC member but has been invited to join.[17]

Northern Ireland polling

Northern Ireland has a distinct political system to the rest of the United Kingdom and is thus excluded from the polls described above. There are many Northern Irish political parties, but those with MPs elected to the House of Commons in the last decade are the Democratic Unionist Party, Sinn Féin, the Social Democratic & Labour Party, the Ulster Unionist Party and the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland. Polling in Northern Ireland is less frequent than in Great Britain.

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP SF SDLP UUP <span style="color:Black;">All]] <span style="color:Black;">Others]]
Sep 2014 Talk/Belfast Telegraph 1,089 26% 24% 15% 12% 6% 17%
22 May 2014 2014 Northern Ireland Local Election Results[n 21] 627,777 23% 24% 14% 16% 6% 17%
7 Mar 2013 Sinn Féin retains its seat in the Mid Ulster by-election, 2013.
2012 Life & Times[n 22] 27% 19% 21% 16% 13% 3%
9 Jun 2011 Sinn Féin retains its seat in the Belfast West by-election, 2011.
5 May 2011 2011 Northern Ireland Assembly Election Results[n 23] 661,753 30% 26% 14% 13% 8% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results (NI only) 673,871 25% 27% 16% 15% 6% 12%

See also

References and notes

Notes
  1. ^ Only stand in Scotland
  2. ^ Only stand in Wales
  3. ^ Polling organisations treat the two Green Parties in Great Britain, the Green Party of England & Wales and the Scottish Green Party, together
  4. ^ Percentages for SNP/Plaid Cymru/Greens/BNP based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  5. ^ Unusually amongst polling companies, Survation report to one decimal place, and reported Con 30.8%, Lab 31.2%
  6. ^ Percentages for SNP/Plaid Cymru/Greens/BNP based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  7. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  8. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  9. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  10. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  11. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  12. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  13. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  14. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  15. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  16. ^ Percentages for SNP/Plaid Cymru/Greens/BNP based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  17. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  18. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  19. ^ Percentage for Greens/BNP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  20. ^ Percentages for SNP/Plaid Cymru/Greens/BNP based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  21. ^ These elections were held using single transferable vote, a different electoral system to that used in general elections. First preference votes are given.
  22. ^ Asked about political party support, not with reference to a specific election.
  23. ^ These elections were held using single transferable vote, a different electoral system to that used in general elections. First preference votes are given.

P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.

References
  1. ^ 2013 local elections, BBC.
  2. ^ 2012 local elections, BBC.
  3. ^ 2011 local elections, BBC.
  4. ^ a b c d It should be noted that BPIX is not a member of the British Polling Council, unlike the other main pollsters such as YouGov, ComRes, Populus, Ipsos MORI, and ICM. Therefore, the full details of its polls are not subject to public disclosure.
  5. ^ "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology" (PDF). Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  6. ^ "Public Polling Methodology". ComRes. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  7. ^ "July Poll for the Guardian" (PDF). ICM Research. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  8. ^ "Data Collection". Ipsos MORI. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  9. ^ "Political Polling". Opinium Research LLP. Retrieved 18 April 2012.
  10. ^ "Populus sampling and weighting methodology". Populus. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  11. ^ "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath For The Mail On Sunday". Survation. Retrieved 27 March 2012.
  12. ^ "TNS BMBR Methodology". TNS BMBR. Retrieved 17 December 2012.
  13. ^ "Panel Methodology". YouGov. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  14. ^ "About". Lord Ashcroft. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  15. ^ "Tories lead first weekly telephone poll". Lord Ashcroft. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  16. ^ "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15". Anthony Wells. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  17. ^ "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
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