2016 Saskatchewan general election

Saskatchewan general election, 2016

April 4, 2016 (2016-04-04)
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan 31 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party   Leader Brad Wall Cam Broten Party Saskatchewan New Democratic Leader since March 15, 2004 March 9, 2013 Leader's seat Swift Current Saskatoon Massey Place (lost in Saskatoon Westview) Last election 49 seats, 64.25% 9 seats, 31.97% Seats before 47 9 Seats won 51 10 Seat change 4 1 Popular vote 267,242 129,528 Percentage 62.63% 30.36% Swing 1.62pp 1.61pp
Electoral map.
Premier before election Brad Wall Saskatchewan Premier after_election = Brad Wall Saskatchewan

The 28th Saskatchewan general election, was held on April 4, 2016, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. The Lieutenant Governor dissolved the Legislature on March 8, 2016, setting the election date for April 4. The election resulted in the Saskatchewan Party winning its third majority government. This is the first time in 90 years that a party other than the Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) or its predecessor the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) has won a third consecutive majority mandate in Saskatchewan. It is also the first time that a centre-right party has won three consecutive elections in the province.

Date

Under The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), the election "must be held" on the first Monday of November in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be November 2, 2015. However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April. Under the federal fixed-term act, the 42nd general election occurred on October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately two weeks. Because the federal Conservatives called the election on August 2, 2015 for October 19, the Saskatchewan election was held on April 4, 2016, even though the Lieutenant Governor retained the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early on the Premier's advice.

Results

The Saskatchewan Party maintained its sweep of the southern and central rural ridings, and also held on to a majority of seats in Regina and Saskatoon. The NDP seemed to have some momentum after winning federal seats for the first time in a decade at the 2015 federal election. However, it was unable to recover much of the ground it lost in its severe defeat of almost five years earlier. It only netted a one-seat gain, and for the second consecutive election saw its leader unseated in his own riding; Cam Broten was defeated in the reconfigured riding of Saskatoon Westview by a slim margin of 232 votes. The results reflected the opinion polling done prior to the election, with the popular vote falling within the margins of error, though the Saskatchewan Party won more seats than what was projected.

Election summary

Summary of the April 4, 2016 Saskatchewan Legislature election

Party		Leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2011	Dissol.	2016	+/-	Votes	%	% change
	Saskatchewan	Brad Wall	61	49	47	51	+2	267,242	62.63%	-1.62
	New Democratic	Cam Broten	61	9	9	10	+1	129,528	30.36%	-1.61
	Liberal	Darrin Lamoureux	61	–	–	0	–	15,399	3.61%	+3.05
	Green	Victor Lau	58	–	–	0	–	7,895	1.85%	-1.02
	Progressive Conservative	Rick Swenson	18	–	–	0	–	5,515	1.29%	+0.96
	Western Independence	Frank Serfas	4	–	–	0	–	318	0.1%
	Independent		5	–	–	0	–	1,680	0.4%
	Vacant			–	2	—
Total			268	58	58	61			100%

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

2

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Saskatchewan	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	PC	Other
Forum Research	April 1–2, 2016	PDF	60.8	30.1	3.3	5.5		0.4
Insights West	March 31–April 2, 2016	HTML	61	29	4	4
Mainstreet Research	March 31, 2016	HTML	60	31	5	4
Insightrix	March 28–30, 2016	HTML	60	30	3	5	3
Insights West	March 23–25, 2016	HTML	56	34	3	6
Insightrix	March 14–16, 2016	HTML	61	29	2	6	2	0
Mainstreet Research	March 15, 2016	HTML	53	35	4	8
Insightrix	March 8–10, 2016	HTML	57	29		7
Mainstreet Research	March 8, 2016	HTML	51	37	3	8
Forum Research	March 7, 2016	PDF	57	33	3	7
Mainstreet Research	March 1, 2016	HTML	55	33	3	9
Mainstreet Research	February 23, 2016	HTML	52	34	4	10
Mainstreet Research	February 11, 2016	HTML	56	32	4	8
Mainstreet Research	January 4, 2016	HTML	59	28	3	7	2
Insightrix	November 10–12, 2015	HTML	54	25	4	14	3
Mainstreet Research	October 6, 2015	HTML	57	32	3	8
Oracle	May 19–25, 2015	PDF	60.8	26.7	4.1	4.8		3.7
Insightrix	April 7–9, 2015	HTML	58	31	3	6	2
Insightrix	April 9–13, 2014	HTML	63.2	27.4	3.8	5.1	0.5
Insightrix	July 6–13, 2013	HTML	60.1	28.7	6	5
Insightrix	May 1–8, 2013	HTML	60.7	29.4	3	4
Insightrix	June 4–8, 2012	HTML	60.8	29.4	4.3	1	0.2
2011 election	November 7, 2011	PDF	64.25	31.97	2.87	0.56	0.33	0.02

Riding-by-riding results

People in bold represent cabinet ministers and the speaker. Party leaders are italicized. The symbols ** indicates MLAs who are not running again.

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Prog. Conservative
Athabasca		Philip Elliott	Buckley Belanger	Max Morin	Michael Wolverine			Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford		Larry Doke	Danica Lorer	Tammy Fairley Saunders	Rod Gopher	Rick Cline		Larry Doke
Lloydminster		Colleen Young	Michelle Oleksyn	Lisa Grant	Dolores Pahtayken			Colleen Young
Meadow Lake		Jeremy Harrison	Dwayne Lasas	Eric Schalm	Eric McCrimmon			Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook		Scott Moe	Rose Freeman	Jade Duckett	Orrin M. Greyeyes			Scott Moe
The Battlefords		Herb Cox	Rob Feist	Josh Hunt	Dexter Gopher			Herb Cox

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Other
Batoche		Delbert Kirsch	Clayton DeBray	B Garneau I	Graham Tweten			Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly		Terry Dennis	Theresa Wilson	Rachel Gregoire	Kyle Budz	Merv Malish (PC) David Sawkiw (WIP)		Ken Krawetz**
Carrot River Valley		Fred Bradshaw	Sandy Ewen	Koreena Fibke	Karalasingham Sadadcharam			Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland		Thomas Sierzycki	Doyle Vermette	Michael Taylor-Lessard	George Morin			Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena		Hugh Nerlien	Dan Hiscock	Owen Swiderski	Bernie Yuzdepski	Tim Atchison (PC) Walter Hrappsted (WIP)		June Draude**
Melfort		Kevin Phillips	Linsey Thornton	Tanner Wallace	Bruce Ber			Kevin Phillips
Prince Albert Carlton		Joe Hargrave	Shayne Lazarowich	Asia Yellowtail	Winston McKay			Vacant
Prince Albert Northcote		Victoria Jurgens	Nicole Rancourt	Trace Yellowtail	Jonathan Fraser			Victoria Jurgens
Saskatchewan Rivers		Nadine Wilson	Lyle Whitefish		Brenda McKnight			Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Other
Arm River		Greg Brkich	Denise Leduc	Dale Dewar	Russ Collicott	Raymond Carrick (PC)		Greg Brkich Arm River-Watrous
Biggar-Sask Valley		Randy Weekes	Dan Richert	Ryan Lamarche	Faiza Kanwal			Randy Weekes Biggar
Humboldt-Watrous		Donna Harpauer	Adam Duke	Lori Ellen Harper	Robert Tutka			Donna Harpauer Humboldt
Kindersley		Bill Boyd	Charles Jedlicka		Darren Donald	Jason Dearborn (Ind.) Terry Smith (PC)		Bill Boyd
Martensville-Warman		Nancy Heppner	Jasmine Calix	Darcy Robilliard	Michael McAteer	Pamela Spencer (WIP)		Nancy Heppner Martensville
Rosetown-Elrose		Jim Reiter	Glenn Wright	Yvonne Potter Pihach	Adrian Janssens			Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Prog. Conservative
Cypress Hills		Doug Steele	Barb Genert	Marie Crowe	Charles Tait	John Goohsen		Wayne Elhard**
Lumsden-Morse		Lyle Stewart	Rhonda Phillips	Patricia Crowther	Gerry Hiebert			Lyle Stewart Thunder Creek
Moose Jaw North		Warren Michelson	Corey Atkinson	Caleb MacLowich	Brenda Colenutt			Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow		Greg Lawrence	Karen Purdy	Shaun Drake	Terry Gabel			Greg Lawrence
Swift Current		Brad Wall	Hailey Clark	George Watson	Glenn Smith			Brad Wall
Wood River		Dave Marit	Brenda Shenher	Judy Mergel	Edward Ives	Brian Archer		Yogi Huyghebaert**

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Other
Cannington		Dan D'Autremont	Nathaniel Cole	Tierra Lemieux	Patrick Dennie	Kurt Schmidt (PC)		Dan D'Autremont
Estevan		Lori Carr	Tina Vuckovic	Branden Schick	Oskar Karkabatov	Paul Carroll (PC) Cam Robock (Ind.)		Doreen Eagles**
Indian Head-Milestone		Don McMorris	Ashley Nemeth	Andrea Huang	David Delainey	Sheila Olson (PC)		Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood		Glen Hart	Mary Ann Harrison	Justin Stranack	David Buchocik	Rick Swenson (PC) Frank J. Serfas (WIP)		Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats		Warren Kaeding	Leonard Dales		Igor Riabchyk	Diana Lowe (PC) Trever Ratti (Ind.)		Bob Bjornerud**
Moosomin		Steven Bonk	Ashlee Hicks	Kate Ecklund	Janice Palmer	Lloyd Hauser (PC) Trevor Bearance (Ind.)		Don Toth**
Weyburn-Big Muddy		Dustin Duncan	Karen Wormsbecker	Barry Dickie	Dylan Hart	Glenn Pohl (PC)		Dustin Duncan
Yorkton		Greg Ottenbreit	Greg Olson	Chad Gregoire	Aaron Sinclair			Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Prog. Conservative
Saskatoon Centre		Brad Hoffmann	David Forbes	Kathryn McDonald	Roman Todos			David Forbes
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood		Lisa Lambert	Tanya Dunn-Pierce	Colleen Kennedy	Chris Chovin			Vacant Saskatoon Greystone
Saskatoon Eastview		Corey Tochor	Jesse Todd	Shawn Setyo	Ana Ashraf			Corey Tochor
Saskatoon Fairview		Jennifer Campeau	Vicki Mowat	Debbie McGraw	Shah Rukh			Jennifer Campeau
Saskatoon Meewasin		Roger Parent	Nicole White	Daeran Gall	Constance Sacher			Roger Parent
Saskatoon Northwest		Gordon Wyant	Dennel Pickering	Nylissa Valentine	Eric Steiner			Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana		Jamie Brandrick	Cathy Sproule	Jaime Fairley	Robin Schneider			Cathy Sproule
Saskatoon Riversdale		Marv Friesen	Danielle Chartier	Julia MacKay	Robert Rudachyk			Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland		Paul Merriman	Zaigham Kayani	Evangeline Godron	James Gorin	Jeff Wortman		New District
Saskatoon Southeast		Don Morgan	Michael Karras	Deanna Robilliard	Pradipta Das			Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota		Bronwyn Eyre	Steve Jimbo	Michelle Wendzina	Kevin Ber			New District
Saskatoon University		Eric Olauson	Jennifer Bowes	Garnet Hall	Ezaz Jaseem	Rose Buscholl		Paul Merriman‡ Saskatoon Sutherland
Saskatoon Westview		David Buckingham	Cam Broten	Tammy McDonald	Naveed Anwar			Cam Broten Saskatoon Massey Place
Saskatoon Willowgrove		Ken Cheveldayoff	Tajinder Grewal	Sarah Risk	Jason Gorin			Ken Cheveldayoff Saskatoon Silver Springs

Regina

Electoral District		Candidates					Incumbent
		SK Party	New Democratic	Green	Liberal	Other
Regina Coronation Park		Mark Docherty	Ted Jaleta	Melvin Pylypchuk	Tara Jijian	Douglas Hudgin (Ind.)		Mark Docherty
Regina Douglas Park		CJ Katz	Nicole Sarauer	Victor Lau	Curt Schroeder			Russ Marchuk**
Regina Elphinstone-Centre		Bill Stevenson	Warren McCall	Dianna Holigroski	Patrick Denis			Warren McCall
Regina Gardiner Park		Gene Makowsky	Faycal Haggui	Liam Becker Lau	Jesse Albanez			Gene Makowsky Regina Dewdney
Regina Lakeview		Dan Cooper	Carla Beck	Larry Neufeld	Stewart Kerr			John Nilson**
Regina Northeast		Kevin Doherty	Kathleen O’Reilly	Marlene Macfarlane	Hafeez Chaudhuri			Kevin Doherty
Regina Pasqua		Muhammad Fiaz	Heather McIntyre	Mike Wright	Darrin Lamoureux	Desmond Bilsky (PC)	New District
Regina Rochdale		Laura Ross	Brett Estey	Billy Patterson	Nadeem Islam			Laura Ross Regina Qu'Appelle Valley
Regina Rosemont		Kevin Dureau	Trent Wotherspoon	Sara Piotrofsky	Reid Hill			Trent Wotherspoon
Regina University		Tina Beaudry-Mellor	Aleana Young	Yordanos Tesfamariam	Silvia Volodko			Bill Hutchinson** Regina South
Regina Walsh Acres		Warren Steinley	Gloria Patrick	Leonie Williams	Reina Sinclair			Warren Steinley
Regina Wascana Plains		Christine Tell	Kaytlyn Criddle	Jeremy O'Connor	Gulraiz Tariq	Allen Mryglod (PC)		Christine Tell