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Israel and weapons of mass destruction

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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Galar71 (talk | contribs) at 00:15, 11 October 2006 (Seems that nobody knows for sure and the section below does state ambiguity etc.). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

Israel is widely believed to possess a substantial arsenal of nuclear weapons and intermediate-range ballistic missiles to deliver them. There is also speculation that it may have chemical and biological weapons programs. Israel acceded to the Geneva Protocol on February 20, 1969.

Nuclear weapons

The Israeli government refuses to officially confirm or deny that it has a nuclear weapon program, and has an unofficial but rigidly enforced policy of deliberate ambiguity, saying only that it would not be the first to "introduce nuclear weapons in the Middle East" [1]. Israel is suspected to be one of the four nuclear-armed, sovereign nation-states not to sign or ratify the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), the other three being India, Pakistan and North Korea.[2]

Israel's nuclear weapons program was aided by other countries. After the Suez crisis in 1956 France agreed to help Israel build a nuclear reactor and reprocessing plant near Dimona which used natural uranium moderated by heavy water. Plutonium production started in about 1964. Top secret British documents obtained by BBC Newsnight show that Britain made hundreds of secret shipments of restricted materials to Israel in the 1950s and 1960s. These included specialist chemicals for reprocessing and samples of fissile material - uranium 235 in 1959 and plutonium in 1966 - as well as highly enriched Lithium 6 which is used to boost atom bombs and fuel hydrogen bombs. The investigation also showed that Britain shipped 20 tons of heavy water directly to Israel in 1959 and 1960 to start up the Dimona reactor. The transaction was made through a Norwegian front company called Noratom which took a 2% commission on the transaction. Britain was challenged about the heavy water deal at the IAEA after it was exposed on Newsnight in 2005. British Foreign Minister Kim Howells hid behind the Noratom contract and claimed this was a sale to Norway. But a former British intelligence officer who investigated the deal at the time confirmed that this was really a sale to Israel and the Noratom contract was just a charade. [3] The Foreign Office finally admitted in March 2006 that Britain knew the destination was Israel all along. [4]

In 1961 the Israeli Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion informed the Canadian Prime Minister, at that time John Diefenbaker, that a pilot plutonium separation plant would be built at Dimona. British intelligence concluded from this and other information that this "can only mean that Israel intends to produce nuclear weapons". [5]. By 1969 U.S. Defense Secretary Melvin Laird believed that Israel might have a nuclear weapon that year [6] [7]. Later that year U.S. President Nixon in a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir pressed Israel to "make no visible introduction of nuclear weapons or undertake a nuclear test program", so maintaining a policy of nuclear ambiguity. [8]

File:Vanuunu-Article.jpg
On October 5, 1986, the British newspaper The Sunday Times ran Mordechai Vanunu's story on its front page under the headline: "Revealed: the secrets of Israel's nuclear arsenal."

The first public revelation of Israel's nuclear capability (as opposed to development program) came in the London-based Sunday Times on October 5, 1986, which printed information provided by Mordechai Vanunu, formerly employed at the Negev Nuclear Research Center, a facility located in the Negev desert south of Dimona. For publication of state secrets, he was sentenced to 18 years in prison for treason and espionage. Although there had been much speculation prior to Vanunu's revelations that the Dimona site was creating nuclear weapons, Vanunu's information indicated that Israel had also built thermonuclear weapons.[9]

In 1998, former Prime Minister Shimon Peres said that Israel "built a nuclear option, not in order to have a Hiroshima but an Oslo." [10]. ("Hiroshima" refers to the Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, while "Oslo" refers to the Oslo Accords). The "nuclear option" may refer to a nuclear weapon or to the nuclear reactor near Dimona, which Israel claims is used for scientific research. Peres, in his capacity as the Director General of the Ministry of Defense in the early 1950s, was responsible for building Israel's nuclear capability. [11]

According to The Nuclear Threat Initiative, based on Vanunu's information, Israel has approximately 100-200 nuclear explosive devices and a Jericho missile delivery system. A United States Defense Intelligence Agency report (leaked and published in the book "Rumsfeld's War: The Untold Story of America's Anti-Terrorist Commander" by journalist Rowan Scarborough in 2004) puts the number of weapons at 82. U.S. intelligence sources in the late 1990s estimated 75-130 [12]. The difference might lie in the amount of material Israel has on store versus assembled weapons.

Israel has operated three modern German-built Dolphin class submarines [13] since 1999. Various reports indicate that these submarines are equipped with American-made Harpoon missiles modified to carry small nuclear warheads [14] and/or the larger Israeli-made 'Popeye Turbo' cruise missiles, originally developed for air-to-ground strike capability [15].

No known nuclear weapons test has been conducted within Israel, although the boosted weapons shown in Vanunu's photographs may well have required testing. It is also possible that the Israelis received results from French nuclear testing in the 1960s. In June 1976, the West Germany Army Magazine, Wehrtechnik, claimed that a 1963 underground test took place in the Negev, and other reports indicate that some type of non-nuclear test, perhaps a zero yield or implosion test, may have occurred on 2 November 1966. [16] In September 1979, a Vela satellite may have detected a 3 kiloton oceanic nuclear explosion near to South Africa, accompanied by underwater acoustic and ionospheric effects which may have been a joint nuclear test between Israel and South Africa (see Vela Incident).

Chemical weapons

Israel has signed but not ratified the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). There are speculations that a chemical weapons program might be located at the Israel Institute for Biological Research (IIBR) in Ness Ziona. Professor Marcus Klingberg, deputy director of the institute, was sentenced in 1983 to 20 years in prison for being a Soviet spy, a matter so sensitive that it was kept secret for a decade.[17]

190 liters of dimethyl methylphosphonate, a CWC schedule 2 chemical used in the synthesis of Sarin nerve gas, was discovered in the cargo of El Al Flight 1862 after it crashed in 1992 en-route to Tel Aviv. Israel insisted the material was non-toxic, was to have been used to test filters that protect against chemical weapons, and that it had been clearly listed on the cargo manifest in accordance with international regulations. The shipment was from a U.S. chemical plant to the IIBR under a U.S. Department of Commerce licence. [18]

In 1993, the U.S. Congress Office of Technology Assessment WMD proliferation assessment recorded Israel as a country generally reported as having undeclared offensive chemical warfare capabilities.

Biological weapons

Israel is not a signatory to the Biological Weapons Convention (BWC). It is assumed that the Israel Institute for Biological Research in Ness Ziona develops vaccines and antidotes for chemical and biological warfare. However, some sources speculate that the IIBR also develops offensive capabilities in these fields. Professor Ernst David Bergmann started an Israeli chemical/biological warfare program in April 1948. [19]

References

  1. ^ Dawoud, Khaled (1999-12-02). "Redefining the bomb". Al-Ahram Weekly. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  2. ^ "Background Information, 2005 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons". United Nations. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  3. ^ Jones, Meirion (2006-03-13). "Britain's dirty secret". New Statesman. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  4. ^ "Statement from the Foreign Office". Newsnight. BBC. 2006-03-09. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  5. ^ "Atomic Activities in Israel" (PDF). UK Cabinet Submission from Joint Intelligence Bureau. Cabinet Office, Government of the United Kingdom. 1961-07-17. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  6. ^ "Israel crosses the threshold". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. May/June 2006. pp. 22–30. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)
  7. ^ "Stopping the introduction of nuclear weapons into the middle east" (PDF). Memorandum to the secretary of state. National Security Archive. 1969-03-17. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  8. ^ "Discussions with the Israelis on nuclear matters" (PDF). Memorandum for the President. National Security Archive. 1969-10-07. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  9. ^ "Mordechai Vanunu: The Sunday Times articles". The Times. 2004-04-21. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  10. ^ "Peres admits to Israeli nuclear capability". Federation of American Scientists. 1998-07-14. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  11. ^ "Israel and the Bomb: Principal players". National Security Archive. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  12. ^ "Nuclear weapons - Israel". Federation of American Scientists. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  13. ^ "Dolphin Class Submarines". Uri Dotan-Bochner. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  14. ^ Frantz, Douglas (2003-12-10). "Israel Adds Fuel to Nuclear Dispute". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  15. ^ "Popeye Turbo". globalsecurity.org. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  16. ^ "The Third Temple's holy of holies: Israel's nuclear weapons". The Counterproliferation Papers, Future Warfare Series No. 2. USAF Counterproliferation Center, Air War College, Air University, Maxwell Air Force Base. September 1999. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  17. ^ Chirkin, Dmitri (2003-01-15). "Last KGB Spy to be Released in Israel". Pravda. Retrieved 2006-07-02.
  18. ^ "Israel says El Al crash chemical 'non-toxic'". BBC. 1998-10-2. Retrieved 2006-07-02. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  19. ^ "New Ziyyona". globalsecurity.org. Retrieved 2006-07-02.