Talk:Conspiracy theory
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Semi-protected edit request on 8 December 2018
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Dear Reader, I want to edit the Conspiracy theory page because I just sow something. I checked an american dollar bill and sow the "Eye of God". I want to add that remark.
Greetings to you,
Bloxed Bloxed (talk) 14:41, 8 December 2018 (UTC)
- It is not clear what you want to do. Please make suggestions for specific edits, backed up by reliable sourcing. Acroterion (talk) 14:43, 8 December 2018 (UTC)
"Without credible evidence"
There is a case at the DRN regarding this page.
Discussion continued below
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This message is to inform interested editors of a discussion at the Dispute resolution noticeboard regarding a content dispute related to this page. Content disputes can hold up article development and make editing difficult for editors. Any editors are welcome to add themselves as a party, and you are both invited and encouraged to help this dispute come to a resolution. Please join us to help form a consensus. Thank you! Autonova (talk) 09:36, 20 February 2019 (UTC) (DRN Volunteer) The lead statement ending with the phrase "without credible evidence" does not present a neutral point of view, does not contain any reliable sources at all, and directly contradicts material in the Etymology and definition section. I added five reliable sources - four dictionary definitions and a citation of the Political Psychology journal. This has now been reverted, back to the "without credible evidence" statement with no citations at all. Moreover, one editor even tried to use the journal citation to support the statement when it does not. I argue that we should remove the "without credible evidence" phrase as it presents an overly simplistic, biased viewpoint (which basically implies that the crime of conspiracy never occurs), and furthermore does so without a single reliable source. Autonova (talk) 17:41, 16 February 2019 (UTC)
Lets try this another way, provide a quote form an RS that says that a notable feature of these theories is that they lack " credible evidence", just one quote form one source.Slatersteven (talk) 14:18, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
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Arbitrary break ("Without credible evidence")
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Mark Crispin Miller
Was told in an edit summary that there are sources that contradict what professor Mark Crispin Miller states regarding the use of the term "conspiracy theory" in the United States. Could you please provide these sources before removing information that is sourced? Thank you.----ZiaLater (talk) 08:59, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- @Calton: I don't see the contradiction. Someone "suggested" that it began in 1964. Mark Crispin Miller states that the usage began in the 1960s as well. In fact, de Haven-Smith states "In 1964, the year the Warren Commission issued its report, the New York Times published five stories in which conspiracy theory' appeared". This is along the same lines as Crispin Miller. Literally the first sentence in the book, de Haven-Smith states "This book would not have been written without the encouragement of Mark Crispin Miller ... He convinced me to undertake the project and also helped me frame the analysis" (Page ix). The argument that the two have contradicting views is dubious at best.----ZiaLater (talk) 09:58, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- NYU Professor Uses Tenure to Advance 9/11 Hoax Theory. Wow, he sounds like an...interesting guy. - LuckyLouie (talk) 13:55, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- That "someone" who "suggested" that is an expert on conspiracy theories. Miller is a conspiracy theorist trying to denigrate the very idea of a conspiracy theory being anything other than a CIA smokescreen, in order to legitimize his own pet conspiracy theory. Your attempt to put them on an equal footing is WP:UNDUE. --Calton | Talk 13:59, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- I'm not feeling good about this, either. - LuckyLouie (talk) 14:02, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- @LuckyLouie: @Calton: Should de Haven-Smith be included in this article since the book's framework was provided by Mark Crispin Miller? Just asking what is relevent here.----ZiaLater (talk) 17:03, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
- Although de Haven-Smith's advocacy of JFK asassination and 9-11 conspiracy theories are generally discredited by scholars, I see he's currently being cited as a source for a mundane assertion regarding the historical usage of the term "conspiracy theory" by The New York Times. Which is probably why no one has objected to his inclusion to date. - LuckyLouie (talk) 13:53, 20 February 2019 (UTC)
- @LuckyLouie: The only issue I see is that if they are used once, then it may justify future users to cite them and Mark Crispin Miller as well. I know that biased sources can give a fairly neutral statement, but where do we draw the line on what is appropriate from an otherwise inappropriate source?----ZiaLater (talk) 09:17, 21 February 2019 (UTC)
- @ZiaLater: It doesn't really concern me at the moment. If you have others consensus for removing it as well, do so. - LuckyLouie (talk) 14:00, 21 February 2019 (UTC)
- @LuckyLouie: The only issue I see is that if they are used once, then it may justify future users to cite them and Mark Crispin Miller as well. I know that biased sources can give a fairly neutral statement, but where do we draw the line on what is appropriate from an otherwise inappropriate source?----ZiaLater (talk) 09:17, 21 February 2019 (UTC)
- Although de Haven-Smith's advocacy of JFK asassination and 9-11 conspiracy theories are generally discredited by scholars, I see he's currently being cited as a source for a mundane assertion regarding the historical usage of the term "conspiracy theory" by The New York Times. Which is probably why no one has objected to his inclusion to date. - LuckyLouie (talk) 13:53, 20 February 2019 (UTC)
- @LuckyLouie: @Calton: Should de Haven-Smith be included in this article since the book's framework was provided by Mark Crispin Miller? Just asking what is relevent here.----ZiaLater (talk) 17:03, 19 February 2019 (UTC)
Opening para
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A lot of the drama is the result of years of ratchet-effect as we compromise endlessly between the status quo and what conspiracy theorists want the article to say. Having done some reading over the last couple of days, I find Aaronovich's definition to be clearer and more succinct than what we have now:
Alternatively there's Pipes:
Also:
So the opening para could be:
I don't suppose the conspiracists will like this any more, though. Guy (Help!) 23:10, 20 February 2019 (UTC) References
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RfC wording
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We've decided an RfC would be the best course of action - having been shown the ropes very helpfully by Levivich it's best if we decide on the wording first. The subject will be the opening sentence, since this is the part which was initially disagreed over: a conspiracy theory is [x]. I'm proposing an A/B question - the wording as it is now (A) and my proposed wording (B):
Adding the prior long-standing version
Everyone involved in this discussion would seem to agree with one of these options, apart from perhaps Slatersteven, who I think wanted a mention of "consistent standards of evidence". Slatersteven do you have any suggestions on an option C, or perhaps an edit of option A or B? Or perhaps you could incorporate the "consistent standards of evidence" elsewhere in the lede and it doesn't need to be included in the first statement? Anyone with any comments please post. Autonova (talk) 17:35, 22 February 2019 (UTC) References
My understanding of this dispute:
We're discussing whether the lead sentence should follow the pattern of #2, #3, or #4, right? If that's the case, my !vote would be for #2 or #3, but not #4. Maybe a straw poll would help narrow down the options into two A/B choices (or three A/B/C if needed). I'll note if nobody likes my suggestions, then there's no point in including them in the RfC, though I obviously would !vote for either of my suggestions, both of which are edits that basically turn #4 into #3 by having "generally" modify "without credible evidence". Leviv ich 18:39, 22 February 2019 (UTC)
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Important facets of the definition of conspiracy theory
We're not going to agree on a form of words if we don't agree on what reality the form of words should be reflecting. From my reading, these are the essential facets of conspiracy theories and conspiracist ideation:
- It involves a conspiracy - this seems to be common ground, and if this were a grade school dictionary we could stop there I guess.
- The conspiracy is nefarious and involves powerful actors - also appears to be common ground?
- The conspiracy is not real - supported by multiple sources but consistently disputed here by conspiracy theorists.
- The theory is unfalsifiable and insulates itself form refutation by circular reasoning - subject of much recent work due to study of the life-threatening effects of conspiracist ideation around climate change, vaccines etc. (e.g. Douglas, Karen M.; Sutton, Robbie M.; Cichocka, Aleksandra (2017-12-07). "The Psychology of Conspiracy Theories". Current Directions in Psychological Science. 26 (6): 538–542. doi:10.1177/0963721417718261. ISSN 0963-7214. PMC 5724570. PMID 29276345.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: PMC format (link); Goertzel, Ted (2010-07-11). "Conspiracy theories in science". EMBO Reports. 11 (7): 493–499. doi:10.1038/embor.2010.84. ISSN 1469-221X. PMC 2897118. PMID 20539311.{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: PMC format (link); van der Linden, Sander (2015-12-07). "The conspiracy-effect: Exposure to conspiracy theories (about global warming) decreases pro-social behavior and science acceptance". Personality and Individual Differences. 87: 171–173. doi:10.1016/j.paid.2015.07.045.; "The ironclad logic of conspiracy theories and how to break it". phys.org. Retrieved 2019-02-22.; Berinsky, Adam J. (2017-04-05). "Rumors and Health Care Reform: Experiments in Political Misinformation". British Journal of Political Science. pp. 241–262. doi:10.1017/S0007123415000186. Retrieved 2019-02-22.; Oliver, J. Eric; Wood, Thomas J. (2014-03-05). "Conspiracy Theories and the Paranoid Style(s) of Mass Opinion: CONSPIRACY THEORIES AND MASS OPINION". American Journal of Political Science: 952–966. doi:10.1111/ajps.12084. Retrieved 2019-02-22. - Conspiracist ideation may be considered pathological, or at least be indicative of pathological psychology (Freeman, Daniel; Bentall, Richard P. (2017-03-29). "The concomitants of conspiracy concerns". Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology. 52 (5): 595–604. doi:10.1007/s00127-017-1354-4. ISSN 0933-7954. PMC 5423964. PMID 28352955.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: PMC format (link), Barron, David; Morgan, Kevin; Towell, Tony; Altemeyer, Boris; Swami, Viren (November 2014). "Associations between schizotypy and belief in conspiracist ideation". Personality and Individual Differences. 70: 156–159. doi:10.1016/j.paid.2014.06.040.) - Conspiracist ideation is irrational ("Crazy Beliefs, Sane Believers: Toward a Cognitive Psychology of Conspiracy Ideation - CSI".
{{cite journal}}
: Cite journal requires|journal=
(help)) or at least is countered by rational patterns of thought (Swami, Viren; Voracek, Martin; Stieger, Stefan; Tran, Ulrich S.; Furnham, Adrian (December 2014). "Analytic thinking reduces belief in conspiracy theories". Cognition. 133 (3): 572–585. doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2014.08.006.).
As long as we're thinking about the lede, those are the points I think we need to bring out. Guy (Help!) 22:24, 22 February 2019 (UTC)
- That does seem to cover most of the major points.Frankly, I think the current lede covers this nicely. — The Hand That Feeds You:Bite 23:01, 22 February 2019 (UTC)
- Excellent summary, —PaleoNeonate – 10:07, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Very good JzG, thanks for the summary. I agree that the current lead covers that very well. -Roxy, the dog. wooF 11:22, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I looked at the above very carefully, and my conclusion is that the current lead isn't broken and does not need fixing. --Guy Macon (talk) 12:52, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Current lead looks pretty good, IMO. JoelWhy?(talk)
- The current lead is fine, and certainly not worth all this. Why don't we call it a local consensus, and go do something else instead? One user disagreeing with everyone else does not constitute a crisis on our part and does not necessitate an RfC. GMGtalk 14:46, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- It's multiple editors now, not just me. Autonova (talk) 15:11, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- @GreenMeansGo: One doesn't need a "crisis" in order to post an RfC. Indeed, the "crisis" mentality seems to be coming entirely from the editors who are opposed to the RfC, not the editors who are proponents of it. Leviv ich 17:14, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- 99% of this discussion is one editor banging their head against a fairly strong local consensus and trying to find some way around it. You need an RfC when the local consensus is unclear; not when the local consensus doesn't sit well with a single editor who hasn't gotten anywhere after dozens of pages of discussion. GMGtalk 17:22, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I refer to Robert McClenon's comment below, the comments at DRN, and the comments by other editors here. It's not one editor. And, in my opinion, 99% of this conversation is one editor being badgered, not badgering. Leviv ich 17:26, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
Some counter points
- This is a good summary of one side, I have no problem with including the above material. My issue is that there is an entire other side to the argument, reliably sourced, which is currently not present in the lead and thus leaves it presenting a non-neutral point of view:
- Joseph Uscinki: "Given that conspiracy theories could be true, I warn against labeling conspiracy theories using a true/false dichotomy. I instead argue in favor of treating conspiracy theories as relatively more or less suspect based upon the amount of verifiable evidence in their favor", "Over the long term, conspiracy theories incentivize good behavior by the powerful: if the powerful conspire, someone will be watching, investigating, and publicizing" [10]
- Charles Pigden: "we are rationally entitled to believe in conspiracy theories, if that is what the evidence suggests. Some conspiracy theories are sensible and some are silly, but if they are silly this is not because they are conspiracy theories but because they suffer from some specific defect –for instance, that the conspiracies they postulate are impossible or far-fetched. But conspiracy theories as such are not epistemologically unclean, and it is often permissible - even obligatory - to believe them. For sometimes the case for conspiracy can be rationally overwhelming, ‘proved beyond reasonable doubt’, and even when it is not, belief in a conspiracy is often a rational option." [11]
- Matthew X R Dentith: "the fact that some theory is a conspiracy theory is not itself a reason for rejecting the theory", "All a conspiracy theory is is a candidate explanation of an event that cites a conspiracy as a salient cause. Like any explanation, we must have good grounds for believing it to be the best explanation. Whilst we might be worried about claims that conspiracies exist because backing up such claims requires that all the conditions of conspiratorial activity have been satisfied or because they might be vague with respectto the who or the how, this does not mean that we have a warranted prima facie suspicion that conspiracy theories, in general, are bunk" [12]
- David Coady: "Yesterday’s conspiracy theories often become today’s incontrovertible facts.", "It’s reasonable to suppose many of the views that are now dismissed or mocked as conspiracy theories will one day be recognised as having been true all along. Indeed, the net effect of terms such as “conspiracy theory” and “conspiracism” is to silence people who are the victims of conspiracy, or who (rightly or wrongly) suspect conspiracies may be occurring. These terms serve to herd respectable opinion in ways that suit the interests of the powerful.", "Conspiracy theories, like scientific theories, and virtually any other category of theory, are sometimes true, sometimes false, sometimes held on rational grounds, sometimes not.", "When someone asserts that a conspiracy has taken place (especially when it is a conspiracy by powerful people or institutions) that person’s word is automatically given less credence than it should because of an irrational prejudice associated with the pejorative connotations of these terms." [13]
- Kurtis Hagen: "controversial conspiracy theories might sometimes be on to something, and thus help reveal important truths, thwart pernicious conspiracies, and serve as a deterrent to other would-be conspiracies", "one must worry that bias against conspiracy theories is influencing the results of social science scholarship, with one biased finding building upon another" [14]
If we could combine these points into the other points, we could reach a consensus and give a more neutral point of view in the lead. If not, we should decide on the options for the RfC. Autonova (talk) 17:43, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- That's not really a counterpoint at all. "But maybe a conspiracy theory could be true in the future" is pure wishing on a star. David Coady conflates them with scientific theories, which are demonstrable & repeatable, unlike conspiracy theories. It's the reverse of the tired old "it's just a theory!" bullshit creationists use when arguing against evolution. Just a rehash of "but it says theory, therefore it must be rigorous!" nonsense.
- In short, none of those opinions add up to anything but pablum. They might be useful later in the article as examples of the arguments conspiracy theorists believe, but they've got no place in the lede. — The Hand That Feeds You:Bite 17:53, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Coady is not predicting the future, he's merely asserting that previous conspiracy theories have turned out to be true, so it's "reasonable" to think this will happen again at some point. He's not saying conspiracy theories are exactly like scientific theories, only that they are sometimes true, sometimes false, sometimes rational, sometimes not. Autonova (talk) 18:29, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I wasn't referring to Coady with that statement, but to #1 by Uscinki. I then referred to a separate point by Coady.— The Hand That Feeds You:Bite 20:45, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Coady is not predicting the future, he's merely asserting that previous conspiracy theories have turned out to be true, so it's "reasonable" to think this will happen again at some point. He's not saying conspiracy theories are exactly like scientific theories, only that they are sometimes true, sometimes false, sometimes rational, sometimes not. Autonova (talk) 18:29, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- This is not a "both sides" issue. You seek to "balance" weighty academic sources with material that is either not academic, or is stated to be in forthcoming books which have not appeared, or whatever. I already reviewed these sources, they are definitely at a lower level than those I cited above - and your interpretation of them also appears to be coloured by a desire not only to take the sting out of the term "conspiracy theory" but also to allow for the possibility that manifestly false theories such as those of the Truther movement, might be, or even are, true, and should continue to be investigated, even though they have been shown to be without merit. It is entirely false to assert that "Yesterday’s conspiracy theories often become today’s incontrovertible facts". In fact most of them have become less compelling with time - unless you define conspiracy theory in the way yous eem to prefer, which is to say, incorporating actual conspiracies as well - but that is not how the term is commonly used. Guy (Help!) 18:39, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Seeing as compromise or consensus seems out of the question, please define your option for the RfC. Autonova (talk) 18:42, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- The thing is, Coady's claim on which you place such emphasis, is erroneous. What he is saying is that some conspiracies were originally characterised as conspiracy theories by those vested in the conspiracy, with some success in the wider media. That's not in doubt. But Iran-Contra or Watergate, which were investigated and rapidly shown to be true, are not like 9/11 "truth" and anti-vaccination conspiracies which have been investigated and rapidly - and repeatedly, across multiple investigations - shown to be false. A provisional label that turns out to be incorrect does not undermine the label or its normal definition. Most people who claim to cure cancer with one patent treatment are quacks. One day, there may be one such treatment that actually works, but it won't undermine the fact that all previous claims have been quackery and it won't undermine the definition of cancer quackery as fraudulent claims to cure cancer.
- A conspiracy theory is not actually a conspiracy. By definition. The fact that Weinberger, Abrams and the rest conspired to violate US Federal law does not in any way prove that 9/11 was an inside job - in fact, it is a proof point to the contrary, because despite the relatively small size of the Iran/Contra conspiracy and the seriousness of the crime, the entire thing was blown wide open almost immediately. A point Grimes makes rather well, in fact (Grimes, David Robert (2016-01-26). Bauch, Chris T. (ed.). "On the Viability of Conspiratorial Beliefs". PLOS ONE. 11 (1): e0147905. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0147905. ISSN 1932-6203. PMC 4728076. PMID 26812482.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: PMC format (link) CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link)), but which can neatly be summed up as: any conspiracy large enough to be considered significant, would remain secret for no more than a few years. Guy (Help!) 19:02, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Seeing as compromise or consensus seems out of the question, please define your option for the RfC. Autonova (talk) 18:42, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
Back to that RfC wording
...unless you guys want to write a few more thousand words, it seems like there is broad consensus that the "A" language for an RfC to change the lead paragraph should be the current lead paragraph, which is: A (current lead):
References
...which means, I think, the next step is to develop the "B" proposed language. There were several suggestions above by a few editors. If needed, a B and a C could be proposed. But I'd suggest it's a better use of time to figure out the B language and run the RfC, than it is to convince editors who support A to change their minds. Leviv ich 18:51, 23 February 2019 (UTC) B1 (prior lead):
References
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RfC wording
Option A
A conspiracy theory is the fear of a nonexistent conspiracy[1] or the unnecessary assumption of conspiracy when other explanations are more probable.[2] Evidence showing it to be false, or the absence of proof of the conspiracy, is interpreted by believers as evidence of its truth, thus insulating it from refutation.[3][4]
References
- ^ 1949-, Pipes, Daniel, (1997). Conspiracy : how the paranoid style flourishes and where it comes from. New York: Free Press. ISBN 0684831317. OCLC 36900981.
{{cite book}}
:|last=
has numeric name (help)CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ David., Aaronovitch, (2009). Voodoo histories : the role of the conspiracy theory in shaping modern history. London, England: Jonathan Cape. ISBN 9780224074704. OCLC 310154675.
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Jovan., Byford, (2011). Conspiracy theories : a critical introduction. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 9780230349216. OCLC 802867724.
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Keeley, Brian L. (March 1999). "Of Conspiracy Theories". The Journal of Philosophy. 96 (3): 109. doi:10.2307/2564659.
Option B
A conspiracy theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy—generally one involving an illegal or harmful act supposedly carried out by government or other powerful actors—without credible evidence.
Option C
A conspiracy theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy – generally one involving an illegal or harmful act supposedly carried out by government or other powerful actors.[1][2][3]
References
- ^ Dictionary definitions:
- Oxford English Dictionary Second Edition on CD-ROM (v. 4.0), Oxford University Press, 2009, s.v. 4
- "Conspiracy theory definition". Macmillan Dictionary. Macmillan Dictionary. Retrieved 16 February 2019.
- "Conspiracy theory definition". Dictionary by Merriam-Webster. Merriam-Webster. Retrieved 16 February 2019.
- "Conspiracy theory definition". Cambridge Dictionary. Cambridge Dictionary. Retrieved 16 February 2019.
- "Conspiracy theory definition". Dictionary.com. Dictionary.com. Retrieved 16 February 2019.
- "Conspiracy theory definition". The Free Dictionary. Farlex. Retrieved 24 February 2019.
- "Conspiracy theory definition". Longman Dictionary. LDOCE Online. Retrieved 24 February 2019."a belief by a number of people that something is the result of a conspiracy"
- ^ Definitions in academic journals:
- Goertzel, T (December 1994). "Belief in conspiracy theories". Political Psychology. 15 (4): 731–742. doi:10.2307/3791630.
{{cite journal}}
: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=
(help) "explanations for important events that involve secret plots by powerful and malevolent groups" - Sunstein; Vermule (2009). "Conspiracy Theories: Causes and Cures". The Journal of Political Philosophy. 17 (2): 202–227. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9760.2008.00325.x. "an effort to explain some event or practice by reference to the machinations of powerful people, who attempt to conceal their role (at least until their aims are accomplished)"
- Dentith, Matthew, X. (2012). In defence of conspiracy theories (PDF) (Thesis). University of Auckland. Retrieved 24 February 2019.
{{cite thesis}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)"an explanation of an event that cites the existence of a conspiracy as a salient cause" - van Prooijen, Jan Willem; Douglas (2017). "Conspiracy theories as part of history: The role of societal crisis situations". Memory Studies. 10 (3): 323–333. doi:10.1177/1750698017701615. "commonly defined as explanatory beliefs of how multiple actors meet in secret agreement in order to achieve a hidden goal that is widely considered to be unlawful or malevolent"
- Douglas, Karen M.; Sutton, Robbie M.; Cichocka, Aleksandra (2017). "The Psychology of Conspiracy Theories". Memory Studies. 26 (6): 538–542. doi:10.1177/0963721417718261. "[explanations] of important events as secret plots by powerful and malevolent groups"
- Oliver, Eric; Wood, Thomas (2014). "Conspiracy Theories and the Paranoid Style(s) of Mass Opinion". American Journal of Political Science. 58 (4): 952–966. doi:10.1111/ajps12084. "narratives about hidden, malevolent groups secretly perpetuating political plots and social calamities to further their own nefarious goals"
- Basham, Lee (2013). "Malevolent Global Conspiracy". Journal of Social Philosophy. 34 (1): 91–103. doi:10.1111/1467-9833.00167. "an explanation of important events that appeals to the intentional deception and manipulation of those involved in, affected by, or witnessing these events. These deceptions/manipulations involve multiple, cooperating players."
- Keeley, Brian (2013). "Of conspiracy theories". Journal of Philosophy. 96 (3): 109–126. doi:10.2139/ssrn.1084585. "Many millions of people hold conspiracy theories; they believe that powerful people have worked together in order to withhold the truth about some important practice or some terrible event"
- Wood, Michael J. (2014). "Dead and alive: beliefs in contradictory conspiracy theories". Social Psychology and Personality Science. 3: 767–773. "A conspiracy theory is defined as a proposed plot by powerful people or organizations working together in secret to accomplish some (usually sinister) goal"
- Goertzel, T (December 1994). "Belief in conspiracy theories". Political Psychology. 15 (4): 731–742. doi:10.2307/3791630.
- ^ Definitions in books:
- Ucsinki, Parent (2014). American conspiracy theories. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780190203955. OCLC 888964309."an explanation of historical, ongoing, or future events that cites as a main causal factor a small group of powerful persons, the conspirators, acting in secret for their own benefit against the common good"
- Sunstein, Cass (2014). Conspiracy theories & other dangerous ideas. New York: Simon & Schuster. ISBN 978-1-4767-2662-5. "an effort to explain some event or practice by referring to the secret machinations of powerful people who have also managed to conceal their role"
Option D
A conspiracy theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy – generally one involving an illegal or harmful act supposedly carried out by government or other powerful actors – that lacks consistent evidence and relies on circular reasoning.
Any objections to this? Autonova (talk) 19:47, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I'd like to suggest a tweak to A. The second sentence bothers me, because when I read it, I apply "absence of" to both clauses when it only applies to the first. If we reversed them, it would reduce the chance of misinterpretation. Suggest: "Evidence showing it to be false, or the absence of proof of the conspiracy, is interpreted..." Schazjmd (talk) 21:16, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Done. Any other objections? Autonova (talk) 21:29, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
Objection: There no need for an RfC
An RfC is needed when talk page discussion has hit a snag and a consensus cannot be found. That is absolutely not the case here. The clear consensus in this discussion is that not being supported by factual evidence is a necessary defining component of a conspiracy theory. Only Autonova, and Autonova alone, thinks otherwise. It is Autonova's continuing objections to reasonable adjustments of the lede sentence that has been the engine driving this discussion from day one. However, unanimity is not required to have a consensus, and the objections of a single editor, however vociferously and continually expressed, do not mean that there has not been a consensus formed. Since that has been the case here, there is no need for an RfC.
My feeling is -- and I believe that Guy has shown this throughout the discussion -- that Autonova is pushing the RfC simply because he or she personally disagrees with the consensus opinion, and is therefore pushing their POV, using the unnecessary and unwanted RfC as cover. I object to that, and will bring my objections to the noticeboards if the RfC is posted, on the basis of a violation of WP:CPUSH. Beyond My Ken (talk) 22:27, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I agree, but Autonova thinks there should be no mention of conspiracy theories being false and Slatersteven wants the original opening sentence with a minor tweak to the last part. Guy (Help!) 22:28, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Since Slatersteven does not agree with Autonova as far as my reading of the discussion goes, then Autonova's views are not consensus views and can be ignored. We can discuss Slatersteven's tweak without the need for an all-encompassing RfC in which Autonova's non-consensual viewpoint is included, that's clearly simply a way of trying to sneak it in by the back door. Beyond My Ken (talk) 22:34, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- User:ZiaLater recommended an RfC and said that "There needs to be a more neutral way to word the lede". So the assertion that I'm the only one who has an issue with the wording of the lede is false. An RfC was also recommended by User:Robert McClenon. Autonova (talk) 22:49, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I already worded it more neutrally. It's now 100% in line with high quality sources, no possible accusation of synthesis. Guy (Help!) 22:56, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Originally the dispute was over synthesis. The latest edit does not have a dispute over synthesis but one over NPOV as it selects only certain sources which give a biased POV. This view is apparently held by User:ZiaLater also. Autonova (talk) 23:24, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Wikipedia IS biased when it comes to fringe concepts, of which conspiracy theories are a prime example. As as one academic paper put it, conspiracy theories are commonly classified with other "epistemically unwarranted beliefs" such as pseudoscientific and paranormal claims. There is no requirement to be neutral when describing WP:FRINGE theories. - LuckyLouie (talk) 14:10, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The definition of conspiracy theory as given in proposal C is not fringe, as it is supported by all dictionary sources and the vast majority of academic sources. There is agreement in the literature about what a conspiracy theory is. Autonova (talk) 17:17, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Wikipedia IS biased when it comes to fringe concepts, of which conspiracy theories are a prime example. As as one academic paper put it, conspiracy theories are commonly classified with other "epistemically unwarranted beliefs" such as pseudoscientific and paranormal claims. There is no requirement to be neutral when describing WP:FRINGE theories. - LuckyLouie (talk) 14:10, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Originally the dispute was over synthesis. The latest edit does not have a dispute over synthesis but one over NPOV as it selects only certain sources which give a biased POV. This view is apparently held by User:ZiaLater also. Autonova (talk) 23:24, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I already worded it more neutrally. It's now 100% in line with high quality sources, no possible accusation of synthesis. Guy (Help!) 22:56, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- User:ZiaLater recommended an RfC and said that "There needs to be a more neutral way to word the lede". So the assertion that I'm the only one who has an issue with the wording of the lede is false. An RfC was also recommended by User:Robert McClenon. Autonova (talk) 22:49, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Since Slatersteven does not agree with Autonova as far as my reading of the discussion goes, then Autonova's views are not consensus views and can be ignored. We can discuss Slatersteven's tweak without the need for an all-encompassing RfC in which Autonova's non-consensual viewpoint is included, that's clearly simply a way of trying to sneak it in by the back door. Beyond My Ken (talk) 22:34, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- Newcomer to this discussion here -- the current lede I believe is an excellent summary of what a 'conspiracy theory' is. It's a bit better than what was there a week ago, particularly because of the "insulation from refutation" characterization, and it's strongly sourced. I agree with Guy that the discussion above shows consensus. Not unanimity, which is not required, but consensus. Antandrus (talk) 23:29, 23 February 2019 (UTC)
- I agree with Antandrus just above; there is a consensus for the present wording. Tom Harrison Talk 14:25, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Per WP:Consensus, "reaching consensus involves an effort to incorporate all editors' legitimate concerns". All of my concerns have been legitimate, per my reliable sources. In all of the discussion above I have used reliable sources and addressed all points put to me. Several times I have offered compromises and none whatsoever have been offered to me. I have been disallowed from adding any of my own reliable sourced material to the article. I have even been disallowed from adding an NPOV tag to the article while the discussion was underway, and threatened to have an admin ban me if I restored the tag. I have consistently used respectful, objective language, while several personal attacks and abusive language have been used on me (examples: "start fucking reading or get fucking lost", "Go back and actually read my fucking comment", "Fine with that, right after we topic ban the conspiracy kooks so they don't derail the discussion"). The definition of the term given in the article's first section is different than in the lede, so as it is, the article even contradicts itself. Two editors agree the lede is not neutral and four editors have agreed to hold an RfC. I'm sorry, that is not consensus. All the preparation for an RfC has been made and I think it could help us reach consensus. Autonova (talk) 00:03, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- When I began watching this discussion, the lede was "A conspiracy theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy—generally one involving an illegal or harmful act supposedly carried out by government or other powerful actors—without credible evidence." Autonova objected to "without credible evidence". That phrase has been removed from the current lede. I think the opening paragraph is much subtler and stronger now, but it definitely seems like the rewrite was a compromise to try and address your objections, Autonova. so it doesn't seem quite fair to insist that no compromises whatsoever have been offered to you. Schazjmd (talk) 00:13, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The initial disagreement was over WP:synthesis, since the lede wasn't reliably sourced. The current disagreement is over WP:NPOV, since the current lede ignores many reliable sources which would provide any balance whatsoever. In both disagreements I have offered to incorporate reliably sourced suggestions into other editors' suggestions and have been flat out refused every time. Just because the article has changed, doesn't mean the level of agreement has. Autonova (talk) 00:20, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- One legitimate concern was raised: that the phrase "without credible evidence" was potentially a synthesis form primary sources. That has been addressed. Not reflecting conspiracy theorists' preference that we portray conspiracy theories as real, does not constitute a legitimate concern - it is instead special pleading. Guy (Help!) 00:25, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- That was addressed but the lack of NPOV of the lede was not. Autonova (talk) 00:34, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- When I began watching this discussion, the lede was "A conspiracy theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy—generally one involving an illegal or harmful act supposedly carried out by government or other powerful actors—without credible evidence." Autonova objected to "without credible evidence". That phrase has been removed from the current lede. I think the opening paragraph is much subtler and stronger now, but it definitely seems like the rewrite was a compromise to try and address your objections, Autonova. so it doesn't seem quite fair to insist that no compromises whatsoever have been offered to you. Schazjmd (talk) 00:13, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Beyond My Ken, perhaps you've forgotten, but this matter has already been to the noticeboards–DRN–where an RfC was suggested. Leviv ich 00:22, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I have not forgotten, but it was simply an advisory opinion, not a royal command. There is absolutely no obligation to run an RfC when a consensus has already been established. Beyond My Ken (talk) 03:24, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Few opinions were logged at DRN, not least because, as one editor put it on my talk page, "I'm not going to waste my limited time at DRN with someone who has declared themselves "involved" with a conspiracy theory movement and tried conceal it." We've had conspiracists agitating about this article since forever. I suspect that if they did not agitate, that would be an indication that we were not doing our job. Autonova is an admitted Truther. That is one conspiracy theory that can be definitively stated to be false, and yet here we are. Guy (Help!) 00:25, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Per Wikipedia:No_personal_attacks, comment on content, not on the contributor. Autonova (talk) 00:33, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- It's not a personal attack to note that you openly espouse a fringe belief that is the subject of the normal definition of conspiracy theory, and therefore you have a clear ideological imperative to undermine the consensus view that conspiracy theories are definitionally false. Guy (Help!) 10:34, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Per Wikipedia:No_personal_attacks, comment on content, not on the contributor. Autonova (talk) 00:33, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I think the recent change in the lede is dramatic enough to warrant an RfC. It went from being an explanation to a feeling (fear). It's a big enough shift to put into question it's relevance in all the articles where it's currently linked. 74.195.159.155 (talk) 01:16, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Baloney. Beyond My Ken (talk) 03:24, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
Comment on RFC
In my opinion, an RFC is useful in two situations. The first is when it is needed because there is no consensus. In the first case, the RFC establishes consensus. The second is when there is disagreement as to whether it is needed, because most of the editors think that there is consensus, but there are one or two editors who disagree. In the second situation, the RFC can finalize consensus. Admins are more likely to be willing to take action against an editor who ignores the consensus of an RFC than to assess a consensus without an RFC. An RFC is more likely to be beneficial than to be harmful. Is the matter so urgent that it can't wait the 30 days for the RFC? Robert McClenon (talk) 00:51, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The matter is not in any respect urgent, because a consensus has been established. This is totally a situation where a single editor is pushing an RfC because they don't agree with the clear consensus. This completely undermines WP:CONSENSUS, a core policy, for the sake of unnecessary process. This is no longer any dispute, except in the mind of Autonova. Beyond My Ken (talk) 03:21, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Beyond My Ken, are you afraid consensus will be against you? Leviv ich 03:35, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Nope. I simply think it's important not to allow fringe advocates to disrupt Wikipedia in the hope of pushing their POV. Beyond My Ken (talk) 03:37, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Do you think Wikipedia editors are so stupid that they'll be fooled by a fringe advocate's RfC (not saying that's what he is)? This talk page is like 10x the size it would have been if everyone had just let him post the RfC without all the bullshit. The RfC would have been much less disruptive. Leviv ich 03:41, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The discussion would be of zero length if Autonova hadn't objected to something in the lede because it did not comport with their distorted view of reality. As for Wikipedia editors being "stupid", where did I say that? Where did I even imply that? I didn't anywhere. What I've said is that a consensus has already been determined, so running an RfC undermines WP:CONSENSUS in favor of unnecessary process, hence violating WP:BURO. Further, CPUSH fringe editors should not be rewarded for their disruptive POV-pushing by having their rejected POVs re-considered as part of an RfC. please don't draw improper inferences from what I write. Beyond My Ken (talk) 04:08, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I didn't say you said that (nor was it my intent to imply it). C'mon, by now you know if I have something to say to you I'd say it outright :-) Anyway I meant it in the opposite way: obviously you don't think WP editors are easily fooled, and neither do I. So there really is no harm in letting someone post an RfC. I also don't agree that an RfC undermines consensus; I think it strengthens it; for the exact reasons posted by Robert McClenon at the top of this thread. The users who have expressed that an RfC would be either permissible or advisable in this situation are me, Robert, Ad Orientem, Slatersteven and ZiaLater (correct me if I'm wrong). I don't know what their feelings are on the matter at this point, but obviously we're not all CPUSHing or violating BURO or any other policy in expressing our thoughts here, and neither is the editor who wants to change the lead. We have a process for these situations, why impede it? Leviv ich 04:24, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Autonova's proposal has been well-sourced (more than the current lede) and neutral. By continuing to call him POV pusher you either haven't comprehended what he's been saying or you are being disingenuous. Also, painting him as "fringe" for supporting what's essentially been the lead since 2016 is fairly absurd. --74.195.159.155 (talk) 13:38, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- No, Autonova's proposals are not "well sourced". This is discussed above. Autonova's main source is dictionary definitions, which are useless by comparison with the published books and academic studies that support the current version. Other sources Autonova promotes are either as-yet unpublished, self-published, or taken out of context. The consensus of reliable sources is that the term "conspiracy theory" is understood to mean that there is, in fact, no conspiracy. This applies even to sources that would like it not to be true. Books by conspiracists bemoan the fact and argue that it should be otherwise, using arguments identical to those advanced by Autonova above. That's the real problem here. Even conspiracists acknowledge that conspiracy theories are definitionally false, and Autonova is trying to reshape Wikipedia to reflect the world as conspiracists would wish it to be, rather than as it actually is. This is familiar ground for Wikipedia: we have the same from creationists and homeopaths. As to "good faith", hiding your involvement with the Truther movement until it's noted that you did so, is scarcely a good faith action. Neither is proposing versions of the lede which purport to be the historical versions but, crucially, omit the bots you don't like, as if the only neutral options are the versions that don't hurt your feels. I understand why Autonova does this, the psychology of fringe and conspiracist belief is well documented, but it's not in the spirit of honesty and good faith. Guy (Help!) 13:59, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I have added more sources in support of proposal C. I've also removed the source you had a problem with because it was for a yet-to-be-published book. Autonova (talk) 15:04, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- No, Autonova's proposals are not "well sourced". This is discussed above. Autonova's main source is dictionary definitions, which are useless by comparison with the published books and academic studies that support the current version. Other sources Autonova promotes are either as-yet unpublished, self-published, or taken out of context. The consensus of reliable sources is that the term "conspiracy theory" is understood to mean that there is, in fact, no conspiracy. This applies even to sources that would like it not to be true. Books by conspiracists bemoan the fact and argue that it should be otherwise, using arguments identical to those advanced by Autonova above. That's the real problem here. Even conspiracists acknowledge that conspiracy theories are definitionally false, and Autonova is trying to reshape Wikipedia to reflect the world as conspiracists would wish it to be, rather than as it actually is. This is familiar ground for Wikipedia: we have the same from creationists and homeopaths. As to "good faith", hiding your involvement with the Truther movement until it's noted that you did so, is scarcely a good faith action. Neither is proposing versions of the lede which purport to be the historical versions but, crucially, omit the bots you don't like, as if the only neutral options are the versions that don't hurt your feels. I understand why Autonova does this, the psychology of fringe and conspiracist belief is well documented, but it's not in the spirit of honesty and good faith. Guy (Help!) 13:59, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The discussion would be of zero length if Autonova hadn't objected to something in the lede because it did not comport with their distorted view of reality. As for Wikipedia editors being "stupid", where did I say that? Where did I even imply that? I didn't anywhere. What I've said is that a consensus has already been determined, so running an RfC undermines WP:CONSENSUS in favor of unnecessary process, hence violating WP:BURO. Further, CPUSH fringe editors should not be rewarded for their disruptive POV-pushing by having their rejected POVs re-considered as part of an RfC. please don't draw improper inferences from what I write. Beyond My Ken (talk) 04:08, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Do you think Wikipedia editors are so stupid that they'll be fooled by a fringe advocate's RfC (not saying that's what he is)? This talk page is like 10x the size it would have been if everyone had just let him post the RfC without all the bullshit. The RfC would have been much less disruptive. Leviv ich 03:41, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Nope. I simply think it's important not to allow fringe advocates to disrupt Wikipedia in the hope of pushing their POV. Beyond My Ken (talk) 03:37, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Beyond My Ken, are you afraid consensus will be against you? Leviv ich 03:35, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
A 9/11 truther writing an RfC on the Conspiracy Theory article. Watts Wrong With That? -Roxy, the dog. wooF 14:17, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- If you don't take ad hominem fallacies seriously then nothing. --74.195.159.155 (talk) 14:27, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- An assertion that his sources are "useless" compared to yours isn't sufficient to claim his proposal isn't well-sourced.--74.195.159.155 (talk) 14:24, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I have added more sources (see proposal C above). Autonova (talk) 15:03, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Cite bombing half the previous lede para does not fix the fact that your only substantive change is to remove references to conspiracy theories being definitionally false, in line with your fringe POV - especially since a healthy number of the sources you propose also make the same point. Guy (Help!) 17:00, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- There is clear support in reliable sources for the single definition of "conspiracy theory". To give another definition and only refer to one or two sources would be undue weight. Autonova (talk) 17:23, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- You do realize that the bulk of the academic sources in your citation list also support option A and B? None of them reach the conclusion that conspiracy theories DON'T lack credible evidence. - LuckyLouie (talk) 17:33, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I'm using them in support of my proposed change, as they directly support the explicit definition. If you have an alternative proposal for RfC, now's the time to decide on what it is. Autonova (talk) 17:51, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- You do realize that the bulk of the academic sources in your citation list also support option A and B? None of them reach the conclusion that conspiracy theories DON'T lack credible evidence. - LuckyLouie (talk) 17:33, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- There is clear support in reliable sources for the single definition of "conspiracy theory". To give another definition and only refer to one or two sources would be undue weight. Autonova (talk) 17:23, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Cite bombing half the previous lede para does not fix the fact that your only substantive change is to remove references to conspiracy theories being definitionally false, in line with your fringe POV - especially since a healthy number of the sources you propose also make the same point. Guy (Help!) 17:00, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- ...because using good sources (published books and academic studies) doesn't give the conspiracy theorist the result he wants, so the conspiracy theorist has to claim that a proposal that ignores all published books and academic studies and relies soly on dictionary definitions is "well sourced". BTW, if you want THE TRUTH, here it is:[15] --Guy Macon (talk) 14:43, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I have added more sources. Autonova (talk) 15:03, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
On the subject of sources, whilst it is true that a definition mmay be X, it is not true that one definition trumps another. If we have contradictory definitions (that is to say they say opposite, not merely different, things) we include both viewpoints. However exclusion (I.E. not saying something) is not contradicting another viewpoint that does say something.Slatersteven (talk) 17:58, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I'm always open to having multiple definitions which satisfy all sources, however compromise has been ruled out by the others. I'm still open to it though. Autonova (talk) 18:28, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- And as I said there are only "multiple definitions" if there is stated disagreement, not all sources say explicitly the sea is wet [[16]], that does not mean there is disagreement over its wetness.Slatersteven (talk) 18:37, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- If you’re arguing that there’s no disagreement that “all conspiracy theories are false/have no evidence”, that’s untrue. I have posted multiple reliable sources above which say “conspiracy theories should be judged as more or less suspect by their evidence”, or similar. Autonova (talk) 18:50, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- The sources are essentially unanimous on the question of whether being labelled a conspiracy is generally understood to imply falsity. They then fall into two camps: one that implicitly or explicitly accepts it, and treats conspiracist ideation as a possibly pathological psychological issue of irrationality, and one, a minority, that argues that the common usage should be changed. Virtually the entire literature is predicated on the idea that the defining difference between a conspiracy theory and a conspiracy in everyday usage, is the existence of credible evidence. See also: "evolution is only a theory". Guy (Help!) 15:11, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- If you’re arguing that there’s no disagreement that “all conspiracy theories are false/have no evidence”, that’s untrue. I have posted multiple reliable sources above which say “conspiracy theories should be judged as more or less suspect by their evidence”, or similar. Autonova (talk) 18:50, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- And as I said there are only "multiple definitions" if there is stated disagreement, not all sources say explicitly the sea is wet [[16]], that does not mean there is disagreement over its wetness.Slatersteven (talk) 18:37, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
Reviewing Autonova's added proposed sources indicates quote mining and motivated reasoning. Ignoring dictionary definitions, which are necessarily facile in context,
- Goertzel is about belief in conspiracy theories and does nto address the question of truth other than in its implicit assumption that the ten theories surveyed are both false and obviously so to any rational observer.
- Uscinski: "Inevitably, we have all debated a conspiracy theory with a true believer. These conversations start reasonably enough but then quickly crumble as the conspiracy theorist tries to make up in quantity of evidence what is lacking in quality of logic." Well, yes. And, relevant here, "while reasonable people can disagree on details, no one wants to live in a world of “anything goes” theoretical nihilism." And "To ward off the hurtful slur of conspiracy theorist, [Glenn] Beck invokes yet another conspiracy theory. “Why is it a concentrated effort now to label me a conspiracy theorist?”" He identifies Watergate as the defining example separating conspiracy from conspiracy theory, and, citing Levy, defines the difference as being the presence of credible evidence from reliable soruces. In other words, a conspiracy theory is a claim of conspiracy which lacks credible evidence, the precise point Autonova seeks to suppress.
- Sunnstein & Vermeule assumes CTs to be false - "Are they important and perhaps even threatening, or merely trivial and even amusing?" - and cites prominent theories in the context of their being clearly false, e.g. 9/11 and Rothschild conspiracies. "Our focus throughout is on demonstrably false conspiracy theories, such as the various 9/11 conspiracy theories".
- Sunnstein (2014) discusses conspiracy theories in the explicit context of them being false. "While most people do not accept false conspiracy theories, they can nonetheless hear the voice of their inner conspiracy theorist, at least on occasion" and "many erroneous judgments [...] are products of the same forces that produce conspiracy theories". A book onthe danger that conspiracy theories present is an interesting choice for a proposal to remove the fact that conspiracy theories are not true.
- Dentith is a thesis, we typically do not cite theses because they do not have the rigorous debate that attends publication in the peer reviewed literature. Regulars will know why: if Wilyman's PhD thesis had been published in a journal, it would have been retracted long ago. And of course it's "in defense of conspiracy theories". Not our remit. His Twitter handle is @conspiracism. Uh-huh.
- Van Prooijen and Douglas discusses the prevalence of belief in conspiracy theories based ont he implicit premise that theya re false. The authors conclude that "[the] relationship between societal crisis situations and belief in conspiracy theories is attributable to feelings of fear, uncertainty, and being out of control. These feelings instigate sense-making processes that increase the likelihood that people perceive conspiracies in their social environment." This places CTs squarely in the bucket of paranoid responses. This source does not support removal of references to definitional falsity but does suggest addition of a sentence on the paranoid origins of conspiracist ideation.
- Douglas et. al. is written form the perspective that conspiracy theories are false. It references numerous known false theories (e.g. that global warming is a hoax) and says "conspiracy theories have attributes that set them apart from other types of causal explanation [...] they are speculative in that they posit actions that are hidden from public scrutiny,[...] resistant to falsification in that they postulate that conspirators use stealth and disinformation to cover up their actions—implying that people who try to debunk conspiracy theories may, themselves, be part of the conspiracy" and "A related property of conspiracy theories is that they can protect cherished beliefs (e.g., vaccination is harmful; climate change is not a serious concern) by casting overwhelmingly disconfirmatory evidence (e.g., scientific findings) as the product of a conspiracy" - it supports the current lede better than Autonova's proposed version, which omits the crucial factors of existence of, and insulation from refutation or disconfirming evidence.
- Oliver et. al. discusses conspiracy theories in the sense of their "paranoid" component. I agree this is important and it may well be valid to extend the existing lede to cover this (see my essential features of a conspiracy theory above). "Given the fantastical and implausible assertions of many conspiracy theories, it is understandable that they are often dismissed as manifestations of a latent psychopathology" also points toward this. The article certainly cannot be taken as evidence for the inherent truth or falsity of theories because, as the authors say, "For this research, we remain decidedly agnostic about the truth claims, accuracy, or epistemological integrity of common conspiracy theories. Our interest is simply in explaining why some people endorse them." As such, this cannot be held to support removal of text about the definitional falsity of conspiracy theories.
- Basham is old (2003, predating much of the study on 9/11 and other bogus "conspiracies"), a single-author paper in a low impact factor journal (0.144 at time of publication) and his argument that a grand malevolent worldwide conspiracy is not inherently impossible, is refuted by later work (e.g. Grimes). It is an argument for the possiblity of malevolent global conspiracies which have never been shown to exist in reality. It is cited by the sources used in the current lede, which disagree with its conclusions. The consensus of sources where it is cited is that the salient part is the deceit (e.g. "Alternatively, some theorists have suggested that the key aspect of conspiracy theorizing is the assumption that the public have been intentionally deceived about particular social or political events" in 10.1111/pops.12015). As such, it is fully consistent with the current lede but bnot useful as it speaks only to one vision of what a conspiracy may look like and is essentially silent on the actual existence of the conspiracies other than to say, basically, "Whoa, dude, that would be baaaaad".
- Keeley et. al. opens with: "Those who subscribe to conspiracy theories may create serious risks, including risks of violence, and the existence of such theories raises significant challenges for policy and law. [...] Such theories typically spread as a result of identifiable cognitive blunders [...] A distinctive feature of conspiracy theories is their self-sealing quality. Conspiracy theorists [...] may even characterize that very attempt as further proof of the conspiracy. Because those who hold conspiracy theories typically suffer from a “crippled epistemology,” [...] the question whether it is better for government to rebut conspiracy theories or to ignore them, are explored in this light." In other words, conspiracy theories are irrational, the results of poor reasoning, and insulate themselves from refutation. This is more in line with the current lede than with Autonova's preferred version, and this is reflected in the fact that it's currently referenced within the lede.
- The actual opening of Wood et. al is: "Conspiracy theories can form a monological belief system: A self-sustaining worldview comprised of a network of mutually supportive beliefs. The present research shows that even mutually incompatible conspiracy theories are positively correlated in endorsement. In Study 1 (n ¼ 137), the more participants believed that Princess Diana faked her own death, the more they believed that she was murdered. In Study 2 (n ¼ 102), the more participants believed that Osama Bin Laden was already dead when U.S. special forces raided his compound in Pakistan, the more they believed he is still alive." To take this article as support for a sentence omitting mention of conspiracy theories being false, is a gross misrepresentation: what it's actually saying is that conspiracist ideation is irrational, as exemplified by the ability to simultaneously espouse mutually contradictory conspiracy theories. This is, in fact, more in line with the current lede than with Autonova's proposal.
That was a waste of an hour. Guy (Help!) 18:55, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Above, Guy ignores all my dictionary sources saying they're facile (ignoring the complexities of the issue) even though the issue here is the definition of a conspiracy theory. The entire article deals with the complexities of the issue, a simple definition would seem to suit dictionary sources best (indeed, the article itself uses them). Then Guy labels the quoting of journals and books as motivated reasoning/quote mining, before doing exactly that with the sources, presenting a biased POV. The question of the definition of a CT is simple and unambiguous - explicitly quoting sources is not quote mining. Taking isolated quotes from the sources presents a biased POV of each source - we could present the counterbalancing POV by taking other quotes:
- Keeley: "There is no a priori method for distinguishing warranted conspiracy theories (say, those explaining Watergate) from those which are unwarranted (say, theories about extraterrestrials abducting humans)"
- Uskinski (another paper): "Given that conspiracy theories could be true, I warn against labeling conspiracy theories using a true/false dichotomy. I instead argue in favor of treating conspiracy theories as relatively more or less suspect based upon the amount of verifiable evidence in their favor", "Over the long term, conspiracy theories incentivize good behavior by the powerful: if the powerful conspire, someone will be watching, investigating, and publicizing"
- Sunstein and Vermule: “Of course some conspiracy theories have turned out to be true, and under our definition, they do not cease to be conspiracy theories for that reason. The Watergate hotel room used by Democratic National Committee was, in fact, bugged by Republican officials, operating at the behest of the White House. In the 1950s, the Central Intelligence Agency did, in fact, administer LSD and related drugs under Project MKULTRA, in an effort to investigate the possibility of “mind control.” Operation Northwoods, a rumored plan by the Department of Defense to simulate acts of terrorism and to blame them on Cuba, really was proposed by high-level officials (though the plan never went into effect).”
- Douglas et al: “Furthermore, history has repeatedly shown that corporate and political elites do conspire against public interests. Conspiracy theories play an important role in bringing their misdeeds into the light”
- Van Proojen and Douglas: “While some conspiracy theories have turned out to be true (e.g. the Watergate and Iran–Contra scandals), most conspiracy theories in history have no evidence to support them”
- Oliver et al: “respondents who endorse conspiracy theories are not less informed about basic political facts than average citizens. Far from being an aberrant expression of some political extreme or a product of gross misinformation, a conspiratorial view of politics is a widespread tendency across the entire ideological spectrum.”
- Lee Basham, Phd, has been cited by 53 and is reliable. Dentith’s thesis has been cited in other literature, however I can use his published book instead. As I included elsewhere above, there is material from other reliable sources, which, while not giving the explicit definition discussed here, contain points worth mentioning and/or agreeing with some of the above quotes: (e.g. [17], [18], [19]). Autonova (talk) 21:00, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Once again, you are engaging in quote-mining and motivated reasoning. Example: Sunstein and Vermule: “Of course some conspiracy theories have turned out to be true, and under our definition, they do not cease to be conspiracy theories for that reason" - they go on to lay out why Watergate ceased to be a conspiracy theory, and it's because credible evidence was presented. As they say, "Our focus throughout is on false conspiracy theories, not true ones" but they go on to note "conspiracy theories are a subset of the large category of false beliefs, and also of the somewhat smaller category of beliefs that are both false and harmful". Implicit in this is that a definition which does not include the fact that a conspiracy theory with evidence is no longer a conspiracy theory, but instead a conspiracy, is incorrect! As Uscinski puts it, "Following this standard, the Watergate conspiracy was a conspiracy theory until [...] [a]uthorities with known expertise in the relevant areas determined that the accusatory perception of a conspiracy by the Nixon administration was valid because there was verifiable evidence." In other words, evidence of the conspiracy renders it no longer a conspiracy theory as commonly understood. All the sources you cite, I think, focus on known false conspiracy theories. 9/11, vaccines, climate change, the Rothschilds, all the subjects of study are false and one hundred percent of the argument over the term is due to people not liking the fact that it implies falsehood. This is the message of pretty much all the sources, even the outliers who decry the fact that the term conspiracy theory is considered pejorative precisely because it is presumptive false, and argue that the world's use of the term should change accordingly. That's what you're trying to accomplish, but that's not our job. Our job is to reflect the world as it is, not as we wish it to be.
- And yes, we do exclude dictionary definitions, because this is an encyclopaedia not a dictionary and the whole thing is vastly more complex than a dictionary definition can cover. In the context of what is commonly understood to be a conspiracy theory, a dictionary definition is indeed facile.
- The important thing is that, per WP:LEDE, the opening paragraph(s) summarise the subject as commonly understood. There's no reason we can't explore the minor differences between sources as to whether the term conspiracy theory can justly be applied to actual conspiracies or not, in the body. We have no word limit, after all. But the overwhelming preponderance of sources are written from the base assumption that a conspiracy theory is false, even the ones that argue this should not be so. That's the important part. And in fact it's why you're here, I think: you also are conscious of the fact that when your beliefs are termed conspiracy theories, they are generally understood to be incorrect. That is not Wikipedia's problem to fix. Guy (Help!) 21:39, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Above, Guy ignores all my dictionary sources saying they're facile (ignoring the complexities of the issue) even though the issue here is the definition of a conspiracy theory. The entire article deals with the complexities of the issue, a simple definition would seem to suit dictionary sources best (indeed, the article itself uses them). Then Guy labels the quoting of journals and books as motivated reasoning/quote mining, before doing exactly that with the sources, presenting a biased POV. The question of the definition of a CT is simple and unambiguous - explicitly quoting sources is not quote mining. Taking isolated quotes from the sources presents a biased POV of each source - we could present the counterbalancing POV by taking other quotes:
- After discussing it with Autonova, I'm going to be posting the RfC in the next day or so. I plan to list the (A) current/Guy's version; (B) Autonova's proposal; (C) Slatersteven's proposal; and I will probably also submit a fourth (D) proposal of my own. I'm going to review Guy's analysis above of Autonova's sources and incorporate it into my proposal before posting all four here for any final comment before the RfC goes live. Please post here if anyone has any additional proposals they'd like to have included. Thanks. Leviv ich 19:05, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- I would like the prior lede (Option B from the previous discussion) back in the mix. It had consensus support for some time and I still consider it the most accurate per common use. --74.195.159.155 (talk) 20:42, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- As above, you also need the original in there. There's another option as well, which is to add the issues of rationality and pathology in the lede as these are also discussed explicitly in the sources, including the ones Autonova promotes I'll propose an A2 including that. Guy (Help!) 20:51, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- It has already been noted by at least four separate editors, and implicitly by at least a few more, that a consensus already exists. (I can add myself to that group as well.) In my opinion, posting an RfC under these circumstances, when it is clearly unnecessary and this fact has already been explained, would be wasting the time of the community and would constitute disruptive editing. Sunrise (talk) 23:05, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- Sunrise, thanks for that passive-aggressive threat suggesting that my posting an RfC would violate a conduct policy. You'll find such bullshit ineffective with me. ANI is thataway. Leviv ich 03:26, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- No threats are intended, and I only described my assessment of the situation. Of course, you can interpret it as you will. Sunrise (talk) 08:30, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I interpret "no threats are intended" as more bullshit. Leviv ich 17:38, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- No threats are intended, and I only described my assessment of the situation. Of course, you can interpret it as you will. Sunrise (talk) 08:30, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Sunrise, thanks for that passive-aggressive threat suggesting that my posting an RfC would violate a conduct policy. You'll find such bullshit ineffective with me. ANI is thataway. Leviv ich 03:26, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Got it – prior lead (Option B from previous discussion) will be included. As of right now, I'm thinking: A) prior lead, B) current lead, C) Guy's proposal below, D) Autonova's, E) Slatersteven's, and if I propose one I'll make it F. Given the next thread posted by Guy, I'll hold off on going live until the proposals are settled. Leviv ich 03:51, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- As far as I can see, my proposal below supersedes A and Slatersteven's proposal. In fact we can probably simply go with my proposed lede below and see if anyone disagrees, then fix it if they do. Obviously Beyond My Ken and Slatersteven have already expressed support for that version. I suspect that Antandrus, Tom harrison, Schazjmd, JoelWhy, Guy Macon, Roxy the dog, HandThatFeeds, PaleoNeonate and GreenMeansGo would also be fine with it, as it's a refinement of the existing lede, which they have already said they support. If that is true then it leaves only you and Autonova thinking that any alternative formulation is required. Guy (Help!) 11:00, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I have not commented on this specific reincarnation of this debate, but on the one that was born last August and died last September (Archive 19). Count me in as a proponent of your proposal below. --Hob Gadling (talk) 11:31, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Let me make my support explicit. I disagree with Autonova -- I think he is taking us in the wrong direction, and support the proposal below. I think it is well-thought-out and improves an already good lead. In fact, the only thing I wi`sh was different is that I wish "The Other Guy" would read [ http://howardowens.com/lede-vs-lead/ ]. I'm just saying. --Guy Macon (talk) 15:58, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Heh! I have only recently started using lede because it seems to be the term of art preferred here. I always knew it as lead, myself. Guy (Help!) 16:59, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- [ https://www.merriam-webster.com/words-at-play/bury-the-lede-versus-lead ] Leviv ich 17:34, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Well, it is a bit easier for foreigners like me if different words with different pronounciations are not spelled the same. When I first encountered the term "lead guitar", I asked myself, "Isn't that too heavy to be practical? Musicians are weird." So I still like "lede".
- Man, has this become far off-topic. So, to be worthy of this Talk page, I'll just say that Guy's characterization "well-thought-out and improves an already good lead" is right on. --Hob Gadling (talk) 06:57, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- I use "lede" because that's what it's traditionally called in journalism, specifically to differentiate it from lead, which is (as I understand it) what type was made of. Beyond My Ken (talk) 07:06, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- As far as I can see, my proposal below supersedes A and Slatersteven's proposal. In fact we can probably simply go with my proposed lede below and see if anyone disagrees, then fix it if they do. Obviously Beyond My Ken and Slatersteven have already expressed support for that version. I suspect that Antandrus, Tom harrison, Schazjmd, JoelWhy, Guy Macon, Roxy the dog, HandThatFeeds, PaleoNeonate and GreenMeansGo would also be fine with it, as it's a refinement of the existing lede, which they have already said they support. If that is true then it leaves only you and Autonova thinking that any alternative formulation is required. Guy (Help!) 11:00, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- It has already been noted by at least four separate editors, and implicitly by at least a few more, that a consensus already exists. (I can add myself to that group as well.) In my opinion, posting an RfC under these circumstances, when it is clearly unnecessary and this fact has already been explained, would be wasting the time of the community and would constitute disruptive editing. Sunrise (talk) 23:05, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
Proposed lede
I've been re-reading the lede, it could do with a little tightening up to reduce redundancy, and also because it is actually rather short for the length and complexity of the article.
This version encompasses additional points in the sources presented here, including those presented by Autonova, with added extra brevity. I have pulled together what I hope is the essential core of Slatersteven's proposal, folded in redundancy from the section on Barkun and expanded the last paragraph to include additional sources I noted above.
- A conspiracy theory is the fear[1] or assumption of conspiracy by government or other powerful actors to carry out some illegal or nefarious purpose,[2][3] when other explanations are more probable.[4] Conspiracy theories are generally unfalsifiable and reinforced by circular reasoning - both evidence against and an absence of evidence for the conspiracy are re-interpreted as evidence of its truth,[5][6] the conspiracy becomes a matter of faith rather than proof.[7][8]
- According to the political scientist Michael Barkun, conspiracy theories rely on the view that the universe is governed by design, and embody three principles: nothing happens by accident, nothing is as it seems, and everything is connected.[9]
- Belief in conspiracy theories is often considered irrational,[10][11] and sometimes harmful or pathological[12][13] - to describe something as a conspiracy theory is considered pejorative and implies that it is untrue, based on superstition, prejudice or at least insufficient evidence.Cite error: A
<ref>
tag is missing the closing</ref>
(see the help page).
References
- ^ 1949-, Pipes, Daniel, (1997). Conspiracy : how the paranoid style flourishes and where it comes from. New York: Free Press. ISBN 0684831317. OCLC 36900981.
{{cite book}}
:|last=
has numeric name (help)CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Goertzel, T (December 1994). "Belief in conspiracy theories". Political Psychology. 15 (4): 731–742. doi:10.2307/3791630.
{{cite journal}}
: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=
(help) "explanations for important events that involve secret plots by powerful and malevolent groups" - ^ Ucsinki, Parent (2014). American conspiracy theories. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780190203955. OCLC 888964309."an explanation of historical, ongoing, or future events that cites as a main causal factor a small group of powerful persons, the conspirators, acting in secret for their own benefit against the common good"
- ^ Aaronovitch,, David (2009). Voodoo histories : the role of the conspiracy theory in shaping modern history. London, England: Jonathan Cape. ISBN 9780224074704. OCLC 310154675.
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) - ^ Jovan., Byford, (2011). Conspiracy theories : a critical introduction. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 9780230349216. OCLC 802867724.
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Keeley, Brian L. (March 1999). "Of Conspiracy Theories". The Journal of Philosophy. 96 (3): 109. doi:10.2307/2564659.
- ^ Barkun 2003, p. 7.
- ^ Barkun, Michael (2011). Chasing Phantoms: Reality, Imagination, and Homeland Security Since 9/11. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press. p. 10.
{{cite book}}
: Invalid|ref=harv
(help) - ^ Barkun, Michael (2003). A Culture of Conspiracy: Apocalyptic Visions in Contemporary America. Berkeley: University of California Press. pp. 3–4.
{{cite book}}
: Invalid|ref=harv
(help) - ^ "Crazy Beliefs, Sane Believers: Toward a Cognitive Psychology of Conspiracy Ideation - CSI".
{{cite journal}}
: Cite journal requires|journal=
(help) - ^ Swami, Viren; Voracek, Martin; Stieger, Stefan; Tran, Ulrich S.; Furnham, Adrian (December 2014). "Analytic thinking reduces belief in conspiracy theories". Cognition. 133 (3): 572–585. doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2014.08.006.
- ^ Freeman, Daniel; Bentall, Richard P. (2017-03-29). "The concomitants of conspiracy concerns". Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology. 52 (5): 595–604. doi:10.1007/s00127-017-1354-4. ISSN 0933-7954. PMC 5423964. PMID 28352955.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: PMC format (link) - ^ Barron, David; Morgan, Kevin; Towell, Tony; Altemeyer, Boris; Swami, Viren (November 2014). "Associations between schizotypy and belief in conspiracist ideation". Personality and Individual Differences. 70: 156–159. doi:10.1016/j.paid.2014.06.040.
Needless to say I don't think we're anywhere near ready for an RfC yet, as this discussion is still bringing new ideas. Guy (Help!) 22:45, 24 February 2019 (UTC)
- This seems to me to be a good, tight lede section. Beyond My Ken (talk) 04:32, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Yep, this seems a good option.Slatersteven (talk) 10:10, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Looks good. Tom Harrison Talk 11:18, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- This is a satisfying lede. It differentiates the concept "conspiracy theory" from the literal "theory about a conspiracy". I especially like the additions of "unfalsifiable" and "circular reasoning", which really seem to be the heart of the phenomena. Schazjmd (talk) 13:34, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- This lead is an excellent improvement to the article. Thanks to Guy for his hard work and research. - LuckyLouie (talk) 13:37, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I think that this is an improvement. I'm wondering if "proof" in "faith rather than proof" is the ideal word (I also didn't check yet if the sources termed it this way). The following is also my own synthesis which may not matter unless also supported by sources: the summary of Barkun's description strikes me as very similar to magical thinking principles... —PaleoNeonate – 13:54, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Are there any more sources to support the fear part besides the one cited? Having that as the opening statement seems to violate WP:DUE.--74.195.159.155 (talk) 14:00, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Pipes' "fear" statement is referenced and echoed in Byford. Hofstadter says "[T]he fact that movements employing the paranoid style are not constant but come in successive episodic waves suggests that the paranoid disposition is mobilized into action chiefly by social conflicts that involve ultimate schemes of values and that bring fundamental fears and hatreds, rather than negotiable interests, into political action." Uscinski makes numerous references to fear as a motivator, especially around the "red menace" conspiracy theories of the 1950s. van Prooijen says "Evidence suggests that the aversive feelings that people experience when in crisis—fear, uncertainty, and the feeling of being out of control—stimulate a motivation to make sense of the situation, increasing the likelihood of perceiving conspiracies in social situations". Basham contextualises conspiracist ideation as a response to fears, when discussing if such fears might be rational or not. Oliver and Wood open by saying that throughout history, "[o]ften these sentiments go beyond a general distrust of government and encapsulate fears of larger, secretive conspiracies." I don't think it's a particularly contentious view that belief in conspiracies would evoke fear. Guy (Help!) 15:02, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Fear is indeed an important factor. —PaleoNeonate – 16:00, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Every time I read a new version, I like it better than the last. In my view "A conspiracy theory is the fear" is incorrect and unsupported by the sources. "Fear" is an important factor, and an important motivator, per the sources. But that doesn't mean a conspiracy theory = fear. The sources provide for other possible motivators (uncertainty, the feeling of being out of control, hatred, distrust). Fear is an emotion; the RSes don't portray a conspiracy theory as being an emotion. It's an idea or an explanation–in short, a theory. Also, I disagree with name-dropping one of the sources in the lead as WP:UNDUE. Leviv ich 17:42, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- If grammar/wordsmithing is the only issue, there are many possible variations, such as:
- A conspiracy theory is the fearful speculation or assumption of conspiracy...
- A conspiracy theory is the fear-based belief or assumption of conspiracy...
- A conspiracy theory is the fear-inspired construct or assumption of conspiracy...
- ...Etc. - LuckyLouie (talk) 18:20, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I Strongly oppose replacing the current lead with seven characters
...Etc.
Oh... Wait. Never mind. --Guy Macon (talk) 18:44, 25 February 2019 (UTC) - As I understand it, the suggestion is that it is the fear of a conspiracy or the assumption of a conspiracy. Either is plausible, both are supported in the literature. Guy (Help!) 21:50, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I Strongly oppose replacing the current lead with seven characters
- If grammar/wordsmithing is the only issue, there are many possible variations, such as:
- Pipes' "fear" statement is referenced and echoed in Byford. Hofstadter says "[T]he fact that movements employing the paranoid style are not constant but come in successive episodic waves suggests that the paranoid disposition is mobilized into action chiefly by social conflicts that involve ultimate schemes of values and that bring fundamental fears and hatreds, rather than negotiable interests, into political action." Uscinski makes numerous references to fear as a motivator, especially around the "red menace" conspiracy theories of the 1950s. van Prooijen says "Evidence suggests that the aversive feelings that people experience when in crisis—fear, uncertainty, and the feeling of being out of control—stimulate a motivation to make sense of the situation, increasing the likelihood of perceiving conspiracies in social situations". Basham contextualises conspiracist ideation as a response to fears, when discussing if such fears might be rational or not. Oliver and Wood open by saying that throughout history, "[o]ften these sentiments go beyond a general distrust of government and encapsulate fears of larger, secretive conspiracies." I don't think it's a particularly contentious view that belief in conspiracies would evoke fear. Guy (Help!) 15:02, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- The problem that immediately springs to mind is the use of "proof." I might try "both evidence against the conspiracy and an absence of evidence for the conspiracy are re-interpreted as evidence of its truth." --tronvillain (talk) 21:19, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- Mark it up, let's have a look. Guy (Help!) 21:44, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- That's good, Tronvillain Schazjmd (talk) 01:58, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- Mark it up, let's have a look. Guy (Help!) 21:44, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
I don't think it's a particularly contentious view that belief in conspiracies would evoke fear.
That's not what's being contended. What's being contended is it's placement in the very first statement of the lede. The view that ' firetrucks are red' is also not contentious, but that doesn't mean that firetrucks are red by definition. They aren't. --74.195.159.155 (talk) 22:13, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- "Firetrucks are red" is simply not an accurate statement, and can never be. "Most firetrucks are red" might be accurate, but would need support from reliable sources. "Many firetrucks are red" is a "sky is blue" truism and does not require referencing. Given this, it is not true that the statement "Firetrucks are red" is not contentious, so your analogy is false. "Firetrucks are red" is a contentious statement. Beyond My Ken (talk) 22:33, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- That's an idiosyncratic interpretation of what's written and what I said. Note the existence of the word "or" in the text. The example of the colour of fire appliances looks like a non-sequitur, unless you can show me a substantial literature dealing with the pathological psychology of belief in fire appliances. Guy (Help!) 22:20, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- I don't think the RSes support the view that a conspiracy theory is either a fear or an assumption. That dichotomy doesn't make sense to me, as some assumptions are based on fears, and some fears are based on assumptions, and I don't think any RS frames it as that kind of dichotomy (either a fear or an assumption). I think this is synth. A conspiracy theory is an "idea", an "explanation", a "theory". Fear is a motivating factor but it shouldn't be the word that follows "a conspiracy theory is" IMO. Leviv ich 22:53, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- It's not an exclusive or. It could be either or both. Guy (Help!) 00:24, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- What about the contrapositives? If it's not based on fear, or if it's not an assumption, but it otherwise has all the other criteria, is it still a conspiracy theory? What if it's based on hatred or ignorance instead of fear? What if it's a "deduction" or a "hypothesis" instead of an "assumption"? I don't think any RS says it has to either be based on fear or be an assumption, or otherwise it's not a conspiracy theory. Echoing the above, just because fire trucks are red doesn't mean that "a fire truck is a red truck"; just because conspiracy theories are often based in fear or assumptions doesn't mean a conspiracy is a fear or an assumption... it could be something else. Leviv ich 01:17, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- I agree. The proposed lede sums up the psychological/pathological aspects well, but the literature is in sharp agreement on the definition. To give two definitions which disagree with 18 is a clear example of undue weight. Autonova (talk) 08:26, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- What about the contrapositives? If it's not based on fear, or if it's not an assumption, but it otherwise has all the other criteria, is it still a conspiracy theory? What if it's based on hatred or ignorance instead of fear? What if it's a "deduction" or a "hypothesis" instead of an "assumption"? I don't think any RS says it has to either be based on fear or be an assumption, or otherwise it's not a conspiracy theory. Echoing the above, just because fire trucks are red doesn't mean that "a fire truck is a red truck"; just because conspiracy theories are often based in fear or assumptions doesn't mean a conspiracy is a fear or an assumption... it could be something else. Leviv ich 01:17, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- It's not an exclusive or. It could be either or both. Guy (Help!) 00:24, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- I don't think the RSes support the view that a conspiracy theory is either a fear or an assumption. That dichotomy doesn't make sense to me, as some assumptions are based on fears, and some fears are based on assumptions, and I don't think any RS frames it as that kind of dichotomy (either a fear or an assumption). I think this is synth. A conspiracy theory is an "idea", an "explanation", a "theory". Fear is a motivating factor but it shouldn't be the word that follows "a conspiracy theory is" IMO. Leviv ich 22:53, 25 February 2019 (UTC)
- It sounds good. I think it should also say that the conspirators are seen as superhumanly powerful, all-knowing and evil. TFD (talk) 00:50, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
- In other words, Arbcom. :) --Guy Macon (talk) 04:13, 26 February 2019 (UTC)
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