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2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election

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2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Lithuania
← 2016 11 October 2020 (first round)
25 October 2020 (second round)
Party Leader Current seats
LVŽS Ramūnas Karbauskis
TS–LKD Gabrielius Landsbergis
LSDDP Gediminas Kirkilas
LS Viktorija Čmilytė
LSDP Gintautas Paluckas
LLRA Valdemar Tomaševski
scope="row" style="border-left: 4px solid Template:Independent politician/meta/color;" | Non-attached Andrius Mazuronis
Incumbent Prime Minister
Saulius Skvernelis
LVŽS

Parliamentary elections will be held in Lithuania on 11 and 25 October 2020 to elect the 141 members of the Seimas.[1] 71 will be elected in single-member constituencies using the two-round system, and the remaining 70 in a single nationwide constituency using proportional representation. The first round will be held on 11 October and the second round on 25 October.

The 2016 election was a surprise landslide victory for the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union (LVŽS), which won 54 seats, including half of the single-member constituencies. The Skvernelis Cabinet took office with the support of LVŽS and Social Democratic Party of Lithuania (LSDP). The latter party split in 2017 due to disagreement about government participation, with some of its MPs forming the Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania (LSDDP) with members of the Labour Party. Lacking support in Parliament, the government passed a cooperation agreement with Order and Justice (TT) in 2018.

A proposal to reduce the size of the Seimas from 141 to 121 seats failed following a referendum held in May 2019.

Electoral system

Main article: Elections in Lithuania

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies and 70 members elected by proportional representation.[2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[2]

To be eligible for election, candidates must be at least 25 years old on the election day, not under allegiance to a foreign state and permanently reside in Lithuania. Persons serving or due to serve a sentence imposed by the court 65 days before the election are not eligible. Also, judges, citizens performing military service, and servicemen of professional military service and officials of statutory institutions and establishments may not stand for election.[2] In addition, a person who has been removed from office through impeachment may not be elected.[3]

Parties

Party / Electoral list[4] Abbr. Leader Ideology Political
position 		Last election
Votes (%) Seats
bgcolor=Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color| Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga 		LVŽS Ramūnas Karbauskis Technocracy
Agrarianism
Green conservatism 		Centre to centre-right 22.45%
54 / 141
bgcolor=Template:Homeland Union/meta/color| Homeland Union
Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai 		TS-LKD Gabrielius Landsbergis Conservatism
Christian democracy
Liberal conservatism
National conservatism
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-right 22.63%
31 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" | Social Democratic Party of Lithuania
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija 		LSDP Gintautas Paluckas Social democracy
Democratic socialism
Pro-Europeanism 		Centre-left to left-wing 15.04%
17 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" | Liberal Movement
Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis 		LRLS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen Classical liberalism
Liberalism 		Centre-right 9.45%
14 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" | Freedom and Justice
Laisvė ir teisingumas 		LT Remigijus Žemaitaitis Lithuanian nationalism
National conservatism
Conservative liberalism 		Centre-right to right-wing 7.78%
8 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" | Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija – Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga
Akcja Wyborcza Polaków na Litwie – Związek Chrześcijańskich Rodzin 		LLRA–KŠS Valdemar Tomaševski Polish minority interests
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Christian right 		Centre-right 5.72%
8 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" | Labour Party
Darbo Partija 		DP Viktor Uspaskich Social liberalism
Populism 		Centre to centre-left 4.88%
2 / 141
Centre Party–Nationalists
Centro partija – Tautininkai 		CP-T Naglis Puteikis Lithuanian nationalism
National conservatism
Christian democracy 		Centre to far-right 6.88%
1 / 141
bgcolor="Template:Lithuanian Green Party/meta/color" | Lithuanian Green Party
Lietuvos Žaliųjų Partija 		LŽP Remigijus Lapinskas Green politics Centre 2.03%
0 / 141
Lithuanian People's Party
Lietuvos liaudies partija 		LLP Vaidotas Prunskus Paternalistic conservatism
Russophilia
Left-wing nationalism
Hard euroskepticism 		Left-wing 1.05%
0 / 141
The Way of Courage
Drąsos Kelias 		DK Jonas Varkala Anti-corruption
Populism 		Centre 0.29%
0 / 141
Union of Intergenerational Solidarity - Cohesion for Lithuania
Kartų Solidarumo Sąjunga – Santalka Lietuvai 		KSSL Arvydas Juozaitis Pensioners' interests
Single-issue politics
Nationalism 		Did not run
Lithuania - For everyone
Lietuva – Visų 		LV Tomas Pačėsas Lithuanian diaspora rights Did not run
Social Democratic Labour Party of Lithuania
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 		LSDDP Gediminas Kirkilas Social democracy
Pro-Europeanism
Nordic model 		Centre-left Did not exist
Split from LSDP
Freedom Party
Laisvės Partija 		LP Aušrinė Armonaitė Social liberalism
Pro-Europeanism
Progressivism 		Centre Did not exist
Split from Liberal Movement
Christian Union
Krikščionių sąjunga 		KS Rimantas Dagys Christian democracy
Christian right 		Right-wing Did not exist
Split from Homeland Union
National Association
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas 		NS Vytautas Radžvilas Lithuanian nationalism
Conservatism 		Right-wing to far-right Did not exist

Politicians not standing

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Lithuanian parliamentary election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Party vote

The following are opinion polls conducted for the legislative elections, measuring estimated percentage of the vote. Highlighted parties successfully pass the electoral threshold and win seats.

Polling Firm/Link Last date
of polling 		TS-LKD LVŽS LSDP LSDDP LT LRLS LLRA LCP DP Laisves
style="background:Template:Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" |
Vilmorus 4–12 September 2020 20.8 21 11.8 4.2 5.3 7.7 3.5 2.6 11.7 3.5
Spinter tyrimai 26 August – 4 September 2020 21.7 19.4 12.6 3.7 4.5 5.9 4.5 3.3 8.6 6.8
Baltijos tyrimai 22 August – 4 September 2020 18.8 19.6 18.2 2.7 7.4 8.2 4 4 11.4 4
Spinter tyrimai 16–26 July 2020 22.8 22.1 13.9 5.4 8.8 4.7 3.4 7.5 5.7
Vilmorus 10–18 July 2020 25.3 25.8 10.4 4.6 5.4 6.9 3.2 2.3 9.1 2.3
Spinter tyrimai 18–26 June 2020 25.2 19.8 13.5 4.9 7.7 5.7 8 6.1
Baltijos tyrimai 15–25 June 2020 18.2 22.5 17 2.9 7.8 8.8 6.6 1.9 8.4 3.7
Polling Firm/Link Last date
of polling 		TS-LKD LVŽS LSDP LSDDP TT LRLS LLRA LCP DP Laisves
style="background:Template:Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party of Lithuania/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Order and Justice/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Liberal Movement (Lithuania)/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Labour Party (Lithuania)/meta/color" |
Vilmorus 5–13 June 2020 24.9 23.3 15.9 3.7 5.4 7.5 3.8 3.0 8.0 3.5
Spinter tyrimai 20–30 April 2020 26.4 19.3 13.7 3.2 8.5 5.9 6.4 4.3
Spinter tyrimai 17–30 March 2020 30.1 15.1 12.2 3.6 3.6 7.3 5.1 6.5 6.5
Vilmorus 5–13 March 2020 17 12.4 8.3 2.5 3.8 3.5 5.1
Spinter tyrimai 18–25 February 2020 18.6 9.9 8.3 2.9 3.3 6.8 4.2 2 5.1 2.7
Vilmorus 7–13 February 2020 17.7 11.6 9.7 2.3 5.7 3.1 1.6 1.1 5.9 1.2
Spinter tyrimai 20-28 January 2020 18.1 9.8 7.7 2 3.8 6.2 4.2 2.5 6.7 3.9
Vilmorus 10-18 January 2020 16.5 11.3 8.9 2.4 4.3 3.2 1.7 2.8 6 1.3
Baltijos tyrimai 10–21 December 2019 16.6 6.9 12.2 2.2 5.5 5.2 4.2 3.1 8.9 2.3
Baltijos tyrimai 14–27 November 2019 17.3 8.3 13 2.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 2.1 9.1 2.2
Spinter tyrimai 19–29 November 2019 19.1 7.5 8 1.5 3.1 6.6 3.3 2.7 7.2 3.4
Baltijos tyrimai October 2019 15.6 7 12.5 1.6 3.1 4.4 4.6 2.6 9 1.8
Spinter tyrimai October 2019 18 10.2 6.9
Spinter tyrimai 18–27 September 2019 19.2 14.6 9 2 3.9 5.2 3 2.3 5 3
Vilmorus 6–14 September 2019 14.4 14.6 8.4 3.2 4.4 3.2 2.1 2.4 7.3 1.8
Baltijos tyrimai 26 August – 3 September 2019 15.2 14.6 14.1 1.4 6.4 5.8 4 3.5 8.3 2.7
Baltijos tyrimai August 2019 14 12.1 12.8
Spinter tyrimai 17–26 July 2019 18.2 11.5 9.5 2 4.9 5 3.2 2.1 5.3 3.3
Vilmorus 5–13 July 2019 15.5 12.2 7.1 2.6 5.7 2.6 2.4 1.2 8.1 2.8
Vilmorus 7–15 June 2019 17 15 8.1 2.2 5.9 2.9 3.1 1.4 6.8 2.2
Spinter tyrimai June 2019 20.2 13.7 10.5 2.2 4.9 4.6 3.5 2.2 5.2 3.5
Spinter tyrimai 20–29 April 2019 20.4 17.3 8.3 5 6.4 4.6 2 5.6
Vilmorus 4–13 April 2019 20.8 15.8 7.3 2.8 6 2.8 3.1 2.6 5.8
Vilmorus March 2019 16.3 18.6 8.5 4.8 5.3
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 March 2019 19.6 16.5 10.5 5.5 6.2 4.2 3.1 5.4
Vilmorus 23 February 2019 18.9 16.6 4.9 2.2 4.3 3.5 2.1 2.4 4.8
Spinter tyrimai 18–28 February 2019 21.1 17.1 7.4 4.4 4 4.5 2 5.6
Baltijos tyrimai 15–26 February 2019 16.2 14.6 7.8 2.5 6.7 3.9 2.9 3.8 7.2
Baltijos tyrimai January 2019 18.5 16.8 9.8 2.8 9.2 4.8 2.3 3.7 6.3
Spinter tyrimai 15–26 January 2019 18.3 15.5 7.6 2.2 5.7 3.1 4.5 2.2 4.8
Vilmorus 11–20 December 2018 14.6 15.7 6 2.6 5.3 2.8 2.2 2.8 5.2
Vilmorus December 2018 18.2 14.8 5.7 2.4 6.6 2.8 2.5 2.8 6.9
Spinter tyrimai 19–30 November 2018 19.9 16.2 8.4 2.7 8.1 3.2 5 3.6 4.5
Baltijos tyrimai 9–26 November 2018 20.2 15.2 9.2 4.1 7.3 2.9 3 4.1 6.1
Vilmorus 9–18 November 2019 17.6 14.5 5.6 2.8 7 4 2.7 3.9 7
Baltijos tyrimai October 2018 16 12.3 8.7 4.6 7.5 5 3.7 3.8 5.1
Spinter tyrimai 16–30 October 2019 19 15.2 6.2 3.5 6.2 3.4 4.3 3.3 4.6
Vilmorus 5–14 October 2018 16.9 13.1 7.2 3.1 8.3 2.5 3.1 2.5 4.8
Baltijos tyrimai 24 September – 7 October 2018 17.7 12.4 8.6 3.9 8.3 5.2 3.1 3.2 5.3
Spinter tyrimai September 2018 19.3 18.2 5.4 4.4 5.4 4.5 4.5 3 4.7
Vilmorus 7–16 September 2018 14.5 14.9 7.2 4.5 6.3 3.4 6.4
Vilmorus 5–17 July 2018 16.7 15 5.1 3.5 6.8 2.2 2.9 4 6.1
Spinter tyrimai 19–27 June 2018 17.1 15.4 7.8 4.5 8.2 4.6 4 2.9 6.7
Vilmorus 8–17 June 2018 16.6 14.9 5.3 4.8 6.2 2 2.7 3.1 6.7
Spinter tyrimai 22–29 May 2018 17.8 16.2 5.4 4.9 7.4 3.9 3.9 3.1 4.9
Vilmorus 4–12 May 2018 16.3 16.3 5.1 6.4 7.6 3.8 2.8 4.4 7.1
Spinter tyrimai 17–26 April 2018 17.3 15.2 5.2 4.6 7.7 7 4.5 3.1 1.7
Vilmorus 6–15 April 2018 17.6 11.9 4.9 5 7.2 4.7 2.7 4 2.9
Spinter tyrimai March 2018 18.6 16.9 6.5 3.7 7.5 5.8 4 3.3
Vilmorus March 2018 16.8 16.2 10.1 9 5.1 2.5 3.7 1.9
Spinter tyrimai 19–27 February 2018 17.3 15.4 8.2 7.7 5.1 3 4.7
Vilmorus 9–18 February 2018 16.8 13.5 7.6 7 3.4 2.5 2.6 4.3
Vilmorus 12–21 January 2018 17.8 13.9 8.3 8.4 4 2.3 1.9 2.7
Vilmorus December 2017 16.3 13.4 8.1 5.6 4 2.3 1.9 2.7
Spinter tyrimai 11–19 December 2017 18.7 14.9 9.3 7.5 4.9 4 5.2
Spinter tyrimai November 2017 20.4 19.4 8 6.2 5.3 4 3.3
Vilmorus November 2017 15.4 12.1 7.9 6.4 3.1 4.1
RAIT 10–27 November 2017 19 16 10 4 5 6
Spinter tyrimai 16–28 October 2017 19.1 17 7.2 4.8 5.6 5 5.4
Vilmorus 5–16 October 2017 15 12.4 10 6.2 4.1 4.2
Spinter tyrimai 19–28 September 2017 17 16.6 9.1 4.9 5.7 3.9
Vilmorus September 2017 14.1 13.5 9 4.5 4.1 2.4
Baltijos tyrimai 29 August – 9 September 2017 13 12 10 7 9 4 3 4
Spinter tyrimai August 2017 16.3 15.9 11.3 6.8
RAIT 15–27 July 2017 17 16 12 4 7 4 4
Spinter tyrimai 17–23 July 2017 16.6 17 11.3
Vilmorus 30 June – 9 July 2017 13.5 12.9 9.7 4.9
RAIT 9 June – 2 July 2017 16 19 9 9
Vilmorus June 2017 15.5 15.7 10.7 5
Baltijos tyrimai 13–26 June 2017 13 14 13 7 7 6 3 4
RAIT 10–26 March 2017 10 26 3 9 2
RAIT 9–26 February 2017 14 29 9 5 7
Spinter tyrimai December 2016 12 30.7 8.9
2016 Elections 22.63 22.45 15.04 5.55 9.45 5.72 6.32 4.88

References

  1. ^ "Numatomi rinkimai" [Upcoming elections] (in Lithuanian). Central Elections Commission. Retrieved 2 December 2015.
  2. ^ a b c "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
  3. ^ "Konstitucinis Teismas R. Paksui vilties nesuteikė" [The constitutional court did not give R. Paksas hope]. Delfi.lt (in Lithuanian). 20 March 2014. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
  4. ^ https://www.vz.lt/verslo-aplinka/2020/08/27/partijos-issirikiavo-rinkimu-biuletenyje-drasos-kelias--pirmaslvzs-gavo-13-numeri
  5. ^ ://www.lrytas.lt/lietuvosdiena/aktualijos/2020/08/27/news/niuksas-ramunui-karbauskiui-is-partijos-ir-jos-kandidatu-saraso-pasitrauke-algimantas-kirkutis-16120281/
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