2021 Nova Scotia general election: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 04:09, 20 July 2021

2021 Nova Scotia general election
← 2017 August 17, 2021
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  File:TimHouston2020.jpg
Leader Iain Rankin Tim Houston Gary Burrill
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since February 6, 2021 October 27, 2018 February 27, 2016
Leader's seat Timberlea-Prospect Pictou East Halifax Chebucto
Last election 27 seats, 39.47% 17 seats, 35.73% 7 seats, 21.51%
Current seats 24 17 5
Seats needed Increase4 Increase11 Increase23
Incumbent Premier

Iain Rankin
Liberal



The 2021 Nova Scotia general election (formally the 41st Nova Scotia general election) will be held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

In April 2019, the Electoral Boundaries Commission released its final report entitled, Balancing Effective Representation with Voter Parity. The report recommended increasing the number of electoral districts from 51 to 55, including reinstating the four former districts of Argyle, Clare, Preston and Richmond. In the fall of 2019, the House of Assembly passed the recommended electoral changes into law and they will be in effect for this election.[1]

Timeline

See also: 63rd General Assembly of Nova Scotia
Changes in seats held (2017–2021)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Cumberland South January 24, 2018[8] Jamie Baillie █ PC Resignation[a 1] June 19, 2018[9] Tory Rushton █ PC
Sackville-Cobequid November 16, 2018[10] Dave Wilson █ New Democratic Resignation June 18, 2019[11] Steve Craig █ PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River June 9, 2019[12] Lenore Zann █ New Democratic Resigned from caucus[a 2] █ Independent
Cape Breton-Richmond June 24, 2019[13] Alana Paon █ PC Removed from caucus[a 3] █ Independent
Argyle-Barrington July 31, 2019[14] Chris d'Entremont █ PC Resignation[a 4] September 3, 2019[15] Colton LeBlanc █ PC
Northside-Westmount July 31, 2019[14] Eddie Orrell █ PC Resignation[a 5] September 3, 2019[15] Murray Ryan █ PC
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg July 31, 2019[14] Alfie MacLeod █ PC Resignation[a 6] September 3, 2019[15] Brian Comer █ PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River September 12, 2019 Lenore Zann █ Independent Resignation[a 7] March 10, 2020 Dave Ritcey █ PC
Cape Breton Centre February 6, 2020 Tammy Martin █ New Democratic Resignation[a 8] March 10, 2020 Kendra Coombes █ New Democratic
Chester-St. Margaret's February 23, 2020 Hugh MacKay █ Liberal Resigned from caucus[a 9] █ Independent
Annapolis May 3, 2021 Stephen McNeil █ Liberal Resignation[a 10]
Hants East June 1, 2021 Margaret Miller █ Liberal Resignation[a 11]
Cumberland North June 24, 2021 Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin █ PC Removed from caucus[a 12] █ Independent
  1. ^ amid an allegation of harassment
  2. ^ in order to seek the federal Liberal nomination in Cumberland-Colchester
  3. ^ amid a conflict over constituency office accessibility
  4. ^ to run in the federal district of West Nova
  5. ^ to run in the federal district of Sydney-Victoria
  6. ^ to run in the federal district of Cape Breton-Canso
  7. ^ to run in the federal district of Cumberland—Colchester
  8. ^ due to ongoing health issues
  9. ^ amid charges of impaired driving
  10. ^ retired from political life
  11. ^ retired from political life
  12. ^ amid encouraging a protest that blocked the provincial border

Party standings

Party Party leader # of
candidates 		Seats Popular vote
2017 Dissolution Elected % Change # % Change (pp)
  Liberal Iain Rankin 53 27 24
  Progressive Conservative Tim Houston 53 17 17
  New Democratic Gary Burrill 54 7 5
Green Jessica Alexander 24 0 0
Atlantica Jonathan Dean 0 0 0

Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Independents/row

Independent 4 0 3
  Vacant 2  
Total valid votes
Blank and invalid ballots
Total 51 51 55
Registered voters / turnout

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs have announced that they will not be running in the next provincial election:

Independent

Liberal Party

New Democratic Party


Nominated candidates

Annapolis Valley

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Annapolis Carman Kerr Jennifer Ehrenfeld-Poole Cheryl Burbidge Krista Grear Vacant
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc Carl Deveau Cameron Pye Gordon Wilson†
Clare-Digby
Digby-Annapolis Jimmy MacAlpine Jill Balser Michael Carty New riding
Hants West Brian Casey Melissa Sheehy-Richard Caet Moir Jenn Kang Chuck Porter†
Kings North Geof Turner John Lohr Erin Patterson Doug Hickman Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving Derrick Kimball Mercedes Brian Barry Leslie Keith Irving
Kings West Emily Lutz Chris Palmer Jason Langille Sue Earle Leo Glavine†

South Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Argyle Nick d'Entremont Colton LeBlanc Robin Smith Colton LeBlanc
Argyle-Barrington
Chester-St. Margaret's Jacob Killawee Danielle Barkhouse Amy Reitsma Jessica Alexander Hugh MacKay†
Lunenburg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft Susan Corkum-Greek Alison Smith Thomas Trappenberg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
Lunenburg West Jennifer Naugler Becky Druhan Merydie Ross Eric Wade Mark Furey†
Queens Susan MacLeod Kim Masland Mary Dahr Kim Masland
Queens-Shelburne
Shelburne Penny Smith Nolan Young[26] Darren Stoddard New riding
Yarmouth Zach Churchill Candice Clairmont SJ Rogers Adam Randall Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Rhonda MacLellan Larry Harrison Janet Moulton Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Larry Harrison
Colchester North Merlyn Smith Tom Taggart Sean Foley Ivan Drouin Karen Casey†
Cumberland North Bill Casey Lauren Skabar Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin[27] Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Tory Rushton Larry Duchesne Nick Hendren Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Tory Rushton
Hants East Michael Blois John A. MacDonald Abby Cameron Simon Greenough Vacant
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Tamara Powell Dave Ritcey Darlene DeAdder Shaun Trainor Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo Nargis DeMolitor Reena Davis Richard Zurawski Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab Nicole Mosher Joanne Hussey Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Ali Duale Richard MacLean Julie Melanson Jo-Ann Roberts Stephen Chafe Lena Diab†
Halifax Chebucto Jackie Kinley John Wesley Chisholm Gary Burrill Lily Barraclough Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Labi Kousoulis Sheri Morgan Lisa Lachance Noah Hollis Labi Kousoulis
Halifax Needham Colin Coady Scott Ellis Suzy Hansen Kai Trappenberg Carl Gannon Jr Lisa Roberts†

Suburban Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan Jacob Wilson Kelly Regan
Bedford
Bedford South Braedon Clark Sura Hadad David Paterson Ron Parker New riding
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire Tim Cranston Shauna Hatt Sarah Weston Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome Julie Chaisson Angela Downey Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Mary Leroy Steve Craig Lara Fawthrop Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Steve Craig
Sackville-Uniacke Donalda MacIsaac Brad Johns Thomas Hill Brad Johns
Sackville-Beaver Bank
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin Bill Healy Raymond Theriault Harry Ward Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Marni Tuttle Brian Wong Christina McCarron Anthony Edmonds Bill Horne†

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Cole Harbour Tony Ince Darryl Johnson Jerome Lagmay Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll Karina Sanford Melody Pentland New riding
Dartmouth East D'Arcy Poultney Tim Halman Tyler Colburne Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Pamela Cooley Lisa Coates Susan Leblanc Carolyn Marshall Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Chris Curtis Claudia Chender Skylar Martini Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Joyce Treen Barbara Adams Tammy Jakeman Corey Myers Barbara Adams
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
Eastern Shore Kevin Murphy Kent Smith Deirdre Dwyer Kevin Murphy
Preston Angela Simmonds Archy Beals Colter Simmonds Keith Colwell†
Preston-Dartmouth

Central Nova

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Antigonish Randy Delorey Michelle Thompson Moraig MacGillivray Will Fraser Randy Delorey
Guysborough–Tracadie Lloyd Hines Greg Morrow Lloyd Hines
Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
Pictou Centre Jim McKenna Pat Dunn Vernon Theriault Laura Moore Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Pat Dunn
Pictou East Joe MacDonald Tim Houston Joy Polley Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Tim Houston
Pictou West Mary Wooldridge-Elliott Karla MacFarlane Rick Parker Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Karla MacFarlane

Cape Breton

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Michelle Wilson Bryden Mombourquette Kendra Coombes Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton Centre
Cape Breton East Heather Peters Brian Comer Barbara Beaton Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Brian Comer
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Glace Bay-Dominion John John McCarthy John White John Morgan Geoff MacLellan†
Glace Bay
Inverness Damian MacInnis Allan MacMaster Joanna Clark Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley Murray Ryan Jennifer Morrison Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Murray Ryan
Richmond Matt Haley Trevor Boudreau Bryson Syliboy Alana Paon Alana Paon
Cape Breton-Richmond
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette Pauline Singer Madonna Doucette Derek Mombourquette
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Victoria-The Lakes Nadine Bernard Keith Bain Adrianna MacKinnon Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives| Keith Bain

Opinion polls

Voting Intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2017 Election
Polling Firm Poll Published Link Liberal PC NDP Green
Angus Reid June 9, 2021 HTML 41 33 20 4
Narrative Research June 3, 2021 HTML 52 24 19 5
Narrative Research March 9, 2021 HTML 50 26 18 6
MQO Research February 25, 2021 HTML 51 27 15 4
Iain Rankin is sworn in as Premier of Nova Scotia (February 23, 2021)
Iain Rankin is elected leader of the Liberal Party (February 6, 2021)
Angus Reid December 10, 2020 HTML 37 29 25 7
Narrative Research December 8, 2020 HTML 49 25 21 5
Narrative Research September 3, 2020 HTML 47 27 19 6
Stephen McNeil announces his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and Premier of Nova Scotia (August 6, 2020)
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 HTML 42 31 19 7
Narrative Research May 25, 2020 HTML 57 22 15 6
Innovative Research Group May 12, 2020 PDF 49 24 18 9
Narrative Research March 12, 2020 HTML 43 27 21 10
MQO Research March 3, 2020 PDF 34 32 22 9
Narrative Research December 10, 2019 HTML 42 26 21 9
MQO Research August 31, 2019 PDF 35 35 20 8
Narrative Research July 31–August 22, 2019 PDF 39 28 16 15
Narrative Research June 13, 2019 HTML 31 33 21 13
MQO Research May 13, 2019 PDF 30 38 18 12
Corporate Research Associates March 6, 2019 PDF 37 34 24 5
MQO Research February 13, 2019 PDF 41 33 19 7
Mainstreet Research January 30, 2019 HTML 32.1 31 25.2 8.1
Corporate Research Associates December 12, 2018 PDF 38 31 24 6
Mainstreet Research November 16, 2018 HTML 32.7 33.2 20.7 8.9
MQO Research November 8, 2018 PDF 42 36 15 6
Tim Houston is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (October 27, 2018)
Corporate Research Associates September 6, 2018 PDF 43 32 21 4
MQO Research August 9, 2018 PDF 45 31 20 4
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 36.7 33.8 22.9 5
Corporate Research Associates June 6, 2018 PDF 45 29 23 3
MQO Research May 11, 2018 PDF 40 31 23 4
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 HTML 40.2 34.7 17.3 5.6
Corporate Research Associates March 8, 2018 PDF 37 34 25 4
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2018 HTML 40.6 38.5 15.7 5.2
MQO Research January 24, 2018 PDF 47 30 17 5
Corporate Research Associates December 6, 2017 PDF 38 29 27 5
MQO Research October 24, 2017 PDF 44 32 19 4
Corporate Research Associates September 13, 2017 PDF 45 29 22 4
MQO Research July 27, 2017 PDF 46 30 21 3
Corporate Research Associates June 7, 2017 PDF 40 29 28 2
Election 2017 May 30, 2017 HTML 39.5 35.7 21.5 2.8

References

  1. ^ Province to restore four protected ridings for Acadians, African Nova Scotians CTV News
  2. ^ CBC Nova Scotia (January 24, 2018). "Nova Scotia PC Leader Jamie Baillie forced out over allegations of 'inappropriate behaviour'". Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  3. ^ Gorman, Michael (October 27, 2018). "Houston surges to victory in PC leadership race". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  4. ^ Jerrett, Andrea; Pace, Natasha (6 August 2020). "Nova Scotia Premier Stephen McNeil to step down, leave public office". CTV News Atlantic. Retrieved 6 August 2020.
  5. ^ Gorman, Michael (February 6, 2021). "Iain Rankin will be next premier of Nova Scotia". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  6. ^ Doucette, Keith (23 February 2021). "Premier Iain Rankin, new Nova Scotia cabinet sworn in by lieutenant-governor". Atlantic. Bell Media. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
  7. ^ Gorman, Michael (July 17, 2021). "Nova Scotians headed to the polls Aug. 17". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  8. ^ "Nova Scotia PC Leader Jamie Baillie forced out over allegations of 'inappropriate behaviour'". CBC Nova Scotia. January 24, 2018. Retrieved November 29, 2018.
  9. ^ Prentiss, Mairin (June 19, 2018). "Tories win in Jamie Baillie's former Cumberland South riding". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved November 29, 2018.
  10. ^ Laroche, Jean (November 16, 2018). "Dave Wilson steps down as MLA for Sackville-Cobequid". CBC News. Retrieved November 29, 2018.
  11. ^ Laroche, Jean (June 19, 2019). "Tories take Sackville-Cobequid byelection in political landscape shakeup". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  12. ^ "Longtime NDP MLA Lenore Zann to run for federal Liberal nomination". CTV News. June 9, 2019. Retrieved 2019-06-09.
  13. ^ Laroche, Jean; Gorman, Michael (June 24, 2019). "Parking lot fight 'final straw' as MLA Alana Paon kicked out of PC caucus". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  14. ^ a b c Laroche, Jean (July 19, 2019). "3 PC MLAs jumping to federal politics co-ordinate resignations". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved August 2, 2019.
  15. ^ a b c Michael, Gorman (September 3, 2019). "Progressive Conservatives make it 3-for-3 in byelections". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved September 4, 2019.
  16. ^ Laroche, Jean (June 28, 2021). "Nova Scotia Independent MLA Hugh MacKay won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 28, 2021.
  17. ^ April, Allan (January 21, 2020). "N.S. Deputy Premier, finance minister Karen Casey won't reoffer in next election". CTV News Atlantic. Retrieved January 21, 2021.
  18. ^ Grant, Taryn (July 12, 2021). "Long-time Liberal MLA Keith Colwell will not reoffer in next N.S. election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  19. ^ Gorman, Michael (June 8, 2021). "N.S. Immigration Minister Diab to run for Parliament". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  20. ^ Gorman, Michael (February 19, 2021). "Justice Minister Mark Furey will not reoffer in next provincial election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  21. ^ April, Allan (November 26, 2020). "Nova Scotia Health Minister Leo Glavine to retire from politics". CTV News Atlantic. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
  22. ^ Laroche, Jean (February 4, 2021). "Geoff MacLellan latest Liberal MLA leaving N.S. politics". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  23. ^ Laroche, Jean (April 15, 2021). "Liberal cabinet minister Chuck Porter announces he will not run again". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved April 15, 2021.
  24. ^ "N.S. Environment Minister Gordon Wilson not reoffering in next election". CBC News. September 16, 2020. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  25. ^ "MLA Lisa Roberts to seek federal NDP nomination in Halifax". Halifax Today. February 1, 2021. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  26. ^ "Nolan Young is the PC Candidate for Shelburne". PC Party of Nova Scotia. April 12, 2021. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  27. ^ https://electionsnovascotia.ca/RegisteredCandidates41PGE

Notes

Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2021_Nova_Scotia_general_election&oldid=1034484800"