2022 United States Senate election in Missouri: Difference between revisions
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*[[Dennis Prager]], founder of [[PragerU]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/EricGreitens/status/1383523181521035271|website=Twitter}}</ref> |
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Revision as of 01:13, 19 May 2021
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Elections in Missouri |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri. On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office.[1][2]
Although otherwise expected to be a safe Republican seat, members of both parties have noted that the race could become competitive if Eric Greitens, who resigned from the state's governorship in 2018 after facing a threat of impeachment over sexual misconduct allegations, wins the Republican nomination. The possibility of a Greitens candidacy in the general election has been compared to Todd Akin's from 2012. Greitens maintains that he was "exonerated" of any charges and has described the probe against him as a "witch hunt."[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Rik Combs, retired U.S. Air Force officer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[4]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri (2017–2018)[5]
- Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker[6]
- Eric Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–present) and former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019)[7]
Publicly expressed interest
- Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–present)[8]
- Billy Long, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–present)[9]
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present)[8]
- Dave Schatz, State Senator[10]
- Jason Smith, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[11]
- Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg (2005–2009)[12]
Potential
- John Brunner, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012, and candidate for Governor of Missouri in 2016[13]
- Carl Edwards, former NASCAR driver[11]
- Scott Fitzpatrick, Missouri State Treasurer (2019–present)[13]
Withdrew
Declined
- Jay Ashcroft, Missouri Secretary of State (2017–present) and son of former U.S. Senator and former U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft[15]
- Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present) (running for Missouri Governor in 2024)[16]
- Peter Kinder, former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2005–2017)[17]
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[18]
- Kathy Swan, former state representative[17]
Endorsements
- Federal officials
- Ryan Zinke, 52nd United States Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative[19]
- Sebastian Gorka, former Deputy Assistant to the President[19]
- Municipal officials
- Rudy Giuliani, 107th mayor of New York City[20]
- Individuals
- Joseph diGenova, former attorney to President Donald Trump[19]
- Jessie Jane Duff, Women for Trump Advisory Board member and Veterans for Trump Co-Chair[21]
- Victoria Toensing, former attorney to President Donald Trump[19]
- Dennis Prager, founder of PragerU[22]
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, journalist and political commentator[23]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens |
Eric Schmitt |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | March 24–25, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jewel Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran[24]
- Lucas Kunce, former U.S. Marine officer, veteran of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and National Security Director at the American Economic Liberties Project[25]
- Tim Shepard, tech executive and LGBT rights activist[26]
- Scott Sifton, former state senator from Missouri's 1st Senate district (2013–2021), former state representative from Missouri's 96th House district (2011–2013)[27]
- Spencer Toder, small business owner and entrepreneur[24]
Publicly expressed interest
- Quinton Lucas, Mayor of Kansas City[28]
- Brian Williams, state senator from Missouri's 14th Senate district (2019–)[29]
Potential
- Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former Missouri Assistant Attorney General, and candidate for Missouri Attorney General in 2020[26]
- Chris Koster, former Missouri Attorney General (2009–2017) and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2016[1]
Declined
- Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[30][31]
- Nicole Galloway, Missouri State Auditor and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020 (running for reelection) (endorsed Sifton)[32][33]
- Jason Kander, former Missouri Secretary of State, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and candidate for Mayor of Kansas City in 2019[26]
- Claire McCaskill, political analyst for MSNBC and former U.S. Senator (2007–2019) from Missouri[26]
- Jay Nixon, former Governor of Missouri (2009–2017) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998[26][29]
- Clint Zweifel, former Missouri State Treasurer (2009–2017)[1][29]
Endorsements
- Statewide officials
- Nicole Galloway, Missouri state auditor and nominee for Governor in 2020[33]
- State Senators
- Doug Beck, State Senator[34]
- Gina Walsh, former Missouri Senate Democratic leader[33]
- Groups
- United Rural Democrats[35]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[37] | Solid R | January 25, 2021 |
Inside Elections[38] | Solid R | May 7, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] | Likely R | March 11, 2021 |
Polling
- Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | February 17–18, 2021 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
- Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ a b c Drebes, Dave (November 5, 2020). "Drebes: A look ahead at the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat in 2022". St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Ballentine, Summer; Salter, Jim (March 8, 2021). "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Former Missouri governor announces campaign for U.S. Senate". CNN. March 22, 2021. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
- ^ "Rik Combs announces candidacy for US Senate". Jefferson City News Tribune. March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Held, Kevin S. (March 22, 2021). "Eric Greitens announces Senate bid for Blunt's seat". KTV (FOX 2). Retrieved March 22, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Mark McCloskey announces candidacy for US Senate". FOX 2. May 18, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
- ^ "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
- ^ a b Rosenbaum, Jason (March 10, 2021). "Jay Ashcroft Won't Run For Missouri Senate — Opening The Door To A Crowded Field". St. Louis Public Radio. Retrieved March 10, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Southwest Missouri Congressman Billy Long reflects on possible run for U.S. Senate". KY3. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Missouri Senate leader Dave Schatz mulls entry into 2022 U.S. Senate race • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
- ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (March 8, 2021). "Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Gerber, Cameron (April 26, 2021). "Wagner on possible US Senate run: 'We're taking a look at it'". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
- ^ a b Hancock, Jason (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Becket, Stefan (March 8, 2021). "GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022". CBS News. Retrieved March 8, 2021 – via MSN.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 10, 2021). "Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri". The Hill. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (March 22, 2021). "Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid". The Missouri Times. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b Long, Jeff (March 10, 2021). "After Roy Blunt: Local politicians react to senator's retirement". The Southeast Missourian. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Erickson, Kurt (March 11, 2021). "Gov. Parson won't seek Blunt's seat in U.S. Senate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b c d Tyler Olson (March 29, 2021). "Ex-Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens back in arena as pro-Trump Senate candidate, aims to replace retiring Blunt". FoxNews.
- ^ Grace Segers (March 24, 2021). "2 staunch Trump allies launch Senate bids in Missouri and Alabama". CBS.
- ^ Marc Cox (March 29, 2021). "OPINION: Veteran's for Trump co-chair endorses former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens". Audacy.
- ^ Twitter https://twitter.com/EricGreitens/status/1383523181521035271.
{{cite web}}
: Missing or empty|title=
(help) - ^ Twitter https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1394821438570442754.
{{cite web}}
: Missing or empty|title=
(help) - ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (May 4, 2021). "St Louis startup owner and real estate broker joins list of Democrats running for US Senate". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Robillard, Kevin (March 9, 2021). "Marine Veteran Launches Missouri Senate Bid After Roy Blunt Retirement". HuffPost. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b c d e Hancock, Jason (March 11, 2021). "Jay Nixon comeback? Democrats lining up for shot at open Missouri Senate seat". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Ballentine, Summer (February 8, 2021). "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". Associated Press. Retrieved February 10, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Wilson, Reid (May 12, 2021). "Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run". The Hill. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b c "Missouri Democrats see a winnable Senate seat but no obvious front-runner". NBC News. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
- ^ Cori Bush [@CoriBush] (March 9, 2021). "I ran for Congress to legislate in defense of Black lives & do the most for St. Louis, starting with those who have the least. I was surprised to learn of Sen. Blunt's retirement. I'm grateful to everyone reaching out. As always, I'm focused on how best to deliver for St. Louis" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Fandos, Nicholas (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt of Missouri, No. 4 Senate Republican, Plans to Retire". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Smith, Jeff (November 17, 2020). "2020 was a bloodbath for Missouri Democrats. Will 2022 be any better?". KTTN-FM. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b c "Former Missouri Sen. Scott Sifton announces campaign for U.S. Senate". KMOV. February 8, 2021. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Jack Suntrup (February 8, 2021). "South County Democrat Scott Sifton launches bid for U.S. Senate in 2022". STL Today.
- ^ "We are endorsing @ScottSifton for the US Senate in Missouri today because he has a record for winning the tough races and understands what needs to be done across the Show Me State to improve the lives of working Missourians. His knowledge would be well suited in the Senate".
- ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 9, 2021). "Democratic Marine veteran jumps into Missouri Senate race after Blunt retirement". TheHill. Retrieved March 10, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. January 25, 2021. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
External links
- Official campaign websites