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2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Results by municipality
The 2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire , concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election , as well as elections to the United States Senate , elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections .
The primaries were held on September 13.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan was eligible to run for re-election to a third term in office, but she instead successfully ran for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Kelly Ayotte .[1] [2] [3] [4] In the general election, Republican nominee Chris Sununu defeated Democrat Colin Van Ostern and Libertarian state representative Max Abramson to become the first Republican governor of New Hampshire elected since 2002 . With a margin of 2.27%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 gubernatorial election cycle , behind only the election in North Carolina .
Background
Governor Maggie Hassan , the incumbent from the Democratic Party, declined to run for reelection, choosing to seek a U.S. Senate seat instead. Both major parties had multiple declared candidates, leading to primary elections that were held September 13, 2016.
New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Jackie Cilley , state representative, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012 [8]
Dan Feltes , state senator[8]
Maggie Hassan , incumbent governor (running for U.S. Senate)[4]
Andrew Hosmer , state senator[9] [10]
Ann McLane Kuster , U.S. Representative (running for re-election) [11]
Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running for NH-01 )[8] [12] [13]
Chris Pappas , Executive Councilor [8]
Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth City Councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen [8]
Carol Shea-Porter , former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01 )[14] [15]
Donna Soucy , state senator[11]
Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for Senator Shaheen[8]
Polling
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Endorsements
Frank Edelblut
603 Alliance[25]
New Hampshire Liberty Alliance [26]
Fifty-seven current members of the New Hampshire House of Representatives : Chris Adams, Glen Aldrich, Keith Ammon, John Balcom, Steven Beaudoin, Rick Christie, James Coffey, Allen Cook, Susan Delemus, Dan Donovan, Eric Eastman, Tracy Emerick, Elizabeth Ferreira, Valerie Fraser, Harold French, Bart Fromuth, Dick Gordon, Linda Gould, Warren Groen, Joe Hannon, J.R. Hoell, Edith Hogan, Werner Horn, Ray Howard, Paul Ingbretson, Dan Itse, Tom Kaczynski, Joe Lachance, Don Lebrun, Don McClarren, Jim McConnell, Mark McLean, Carol McGuire, Dan McGuire, Josh Moore, Bill Ohm, Jeff Oligny, Jason Parent, Joe Pitre, Katherine Prudhomme-O'Brien, Kimberly Rice, Eric Schleien, Carl Seidel, Tammy Simmons, Kathleen Souza, Greg Smith, James Spillane, Victoria Sullivan, Mike Sylvia, Dan Tamburello, Len Turcotte, Jordan Ulery, Peter Varney, Michael Vose, Joshua Whitehouse, Ted Wright, Kurt Wuelper[27]
The Conway Daily Sun [28]
Chris Sununu
Individuals
Charles Bass , former U.S. Representative[34]
Scott Brown , former United States Senator from Massachusetts [35]
Bill Cahill, former Executive Councilor[36]
Louis Georgopoulos, former Executive Councilor[36]
Judd Gregg , former Governor of New Hampshire [37]
Ruth Griffin, former Executive Councilor[36]
John Kasich , Governor of Ohio and 2016 presidential candidate [38]
Joseph Kenney , Executive Councilor [36]
Steve Merrill , former Governor of New Hampshire[37]
Chuck Morse , President of the New Hampshire Senate [39]
Earl Rinker, former Executive Councilor[36]
Dan St. Hilaire, former Executive Councilor[36]
Raymond Wieczorek , former Executive Councilor[36]
Newspapers
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Frank Edelblut
Jeannie Forrester
Ted Gatsas
Jon Lavoie
Chris Sununu
Other
Undecided
NH Journal[citation needed ]
July 19–21, 2016
619
± 5.1%
4%
5%
21%
2%
27%
—
41%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University
May 25–28, 2016
405
± 4.9%
0%
7%
10%
—
44%
3%
36%
Public Policy Polling
November 30–December 2, 2015
454
± 4.6%
12%
—
—
—
60%
—
28%
Results
Libertarian Party
Candidates
Declared
Independents
Candidates
Declared
Mike Gill, businessman[43]
Jilletta Jarvis, training project manager[44] [45]
General election
Debates
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Colin Van Ostern (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other/Undecided[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics
October 28 – November 6, 2016
November 6, 2016
43.2%
44.4%
12.4%
Sununu +1.2%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Colin Van Ostern (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey
November 1–7, 2016
696
± 4.6%
55%
42%
—
3%
WMUR/UNH
November 3–6, 2016
707
± 3.7%
48%
37%
2%
13%
SurveyMonkey
Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016
672
± 4.6%
56%
41%
—
3%
WMUR/UNH
November 2–5, 2016
645
± 3.7%
47%
38%
3%
12%
WMUR/UNH
November 1–4, 2016
588
± 3.7%
47%
37%
2%
14%
WMUR/UNH
Oct 31–Nov 3, 2016
515
± 3.7%
47%
37%
2%
14%
SurveyMonkey
Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016
672
± 4.6%
54%
42%
—
4%
Suffolk University
Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016
500
± 4.4%
37%
41%
6%
15%
American Research Group
Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016
600
± 4.0%
44%
48%
2%
6%
WMUR/UNH
Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016
466
± 3.7%
46%
38%
2%
14%
WBUR/MassINC
Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016
500 LV
± 4.4%
44%
49%
1%
5%
43%
45%
<1%
10%
UMass Lowell/7News
Oct 28–Nov 2, 2016
695 LV
± 4.3%
43%
47%
5%
4%
901 RV
± 3.8%
41%
45%
5%
8%
SurveyMonkey
Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016
658
± 4.6%
54%
42%
—
4%
Public Policy Polling
Oct 31–Nov 1, 2016
781
± 3.5%
47%
44%
—
9%
WMUR/UNH
Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016
468
± 3.7%
43%
40%
3%
14%
WBUR/MassINC
Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016
500
± 4.4%
44%
49%
1%
5%
43%
45%
—
10%
SurveyMonkey
Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016
635
± 4.6%
53%
43%
—
4%
WMUR/UNH
October 28–31, 2016
513
± 3.7%
44%
40%
2%
14%
SurveyMonkey
October 25–31, 2016
659
± 4.6%
53%
43%
—
4%
WMUR/UNH
October 27–30, 2016
463
± 3.7%
43%
40%
2%
14%
WMUR/UNH
October 26–30, 2016
641
± 3.9%
43%
40%
2%
14%
WMUR/UNH
October 26–29, 2016
516
± 3.7%
42%
41%
5%
12%
NH Journal
October 26–28, 2016
408
± 4.2%
42%
45%
2%
11%
Monmouth University
October 22–25, 2016
401
± 4.9%
48%
43%
4%
5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist
October 20–24, 2016
768 LV
± 3.5%
47%
46%
2%
4%
1,020 RV
± 3.1%
47%
46%
2%
5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ
October 17–21, 2016
772
± 4.5%
44%
43%
6%
7%
42%
39%
5%
14%
WMUR/UNH
October 11–17, 2016
770
± 3.5%
44%
38%
4%
15%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey
October 8–16, 2016
569
± 0.5%
53%
43%
—
4%
WBUR/MassINC
October 10–12, 2016
501
± 4.4%
47%
44%
2%
8%
41%
41%
2%
15%
7News/UMass Lowell
October 7–11, 2016
517
± 4.9%
39%
41%
6%
13%
Suffolk University
October 3–5, 2016
500
± 4.4%
36%
40%
2%
20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Save the Children Action Network
Sept 29–Oct 4, 2016
500
± 4.3%
44%
44%
6%
6%
WBUR/MassINC
September 27–29, 2016
502
± 4.4%
44%
47%
2%
7%
41%
44%
2%
11%
American Research Group
September 20–25, 2016
522
± 4.2%
44%
45%
1%
10%
Monmouth University
September 17–20, 2016
400
± 4.9%
43%
49%
1%
7%
Public Policy Polling
January 4–6, 2016
1,036
± 3.0%
35%
39%
—
26%
Public Policy Polling
November 30–December 2, 2015
990
± 3.1%
34%
40%
—
25%
Public Policy Polling
October 16–18, 2015
880
± 3.3%
34%
41%
—
25%
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
32%
39%
—
29%
WMUR/UNH
July 7–20, 2015
472
± 4.5%
26%
36%
—
37%
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
34%
37%
—
29%
Hypothetical polling
with Maggie Hassan
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Maggie Hassan (D)
Jeb Bradley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
48%
39%
—
13%
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
53%
36%
—
11%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Maggie Hassan (D)
Donnalee Lozeau (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
55%
25%
—
20%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Maggie Hassan (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
48%
41%
—
11%
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
52%
35%
—
13%
with Stefany Shaheen
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Stefany Shaheen (D)
Jeb Bradley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
October 16–18, 2015
880
± 3.3%
37%
39%
—
23%
with Chris Pappas
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Chris Pappas (D)
Jeb Bradley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
33%
38%
—
29%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Chris Pappas (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
34%
38%
—
28%
with Terie Norelli
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Terie Norelli (D)
Jeb Bradley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
33%
39%
—
29%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Terie Norelli (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
August 21–24, 2015
841
± 3.4%
34%
39%
—
27%
with Mark Connolly
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Mark Connolly (D)
Frank Edelblut (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
January 4–6, 2016
1,036
± 3%
31%
24%
—
45%
Public Policy Polling
November 30–December 2, 2015
990
± 3.1%
33%
24%
—
43%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Mark Connolly (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
January 4–6, 2016
1,036
± 3%
36%
38%
—
25%
Public Policy Polling
November 30–December 2, 2015
990
± 3.1%
36%
40%
—
24%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Stefany Shaheen (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
October 16–18, 2015
880
± 3.3%
40%
41%
—
19%
with Jackie Cilley
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jackie Cilley (D)
Jeb Bradley (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
31%
37%
—
31%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jackie Cilley (D)
Donnalee Lozeau (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
32%
26%
—
43%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jackie Cilley (D)
Chris Sununu (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
36%
37%
—
27%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Colin Van Ostern (D)
Frank Edelblut (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
January 4–6, 2016
1,036
± 3%
30%
25%
—
45%
Public Policy Polling
November 30–December 2, 2015
990
± 3.1%
30%
26%
—
44%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Colin Van Ostern (D)
Donnalee Lozeau (R)
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling
April 9–13, 2015
747
± 3.6%
31%
27%
—
42%
Results
Results by county:
Results by county
County
Sununu#
Sununu%
Van Ostern#
Van Ostern%
Abramson#
Abramson%
Scatter#
Scatter%
Total votes
Margin
Belknap
18,798
54.70%
14,069
40.94%
1,403
4.08%
94
0.00%
34,364
13.76%
Carroll
15,192
52.38%
12,503
43.29%
1,126
3.90%
58
0.00%
28,879
9.09%
Cheshire
17,107
42.25%
21,471
53.02%
1,802
4.45%
114
0.00%
40,494
-10.77%
Coos
7,424
48.90%
7,006
46.14%
702
4.62%
51
0.00%
15,183
2.76%
Grafton
19,685
39.65%
27,621
55.64%
2,215
4.46%
122
0.00%
49,643
-15.99%
Hillsborough
103,811
49.70%
95,231
45.59%
9,128
4.37%
698
0.00%
208,868
4.11%
Merrimack
37,295
45.51%
41,195
50.26%
3,245
3.96%
222
0.00%
81,957
-4.75%
Rockingham
94,385
53.52%
74,076
42.00%
7,499
4.25%
411
0.00%
176,371
11.52%
Strafford
29,578
44.12%
34,173
50.97%
3,128
4.67%
164
0.00%
67,043
-6.85%
Sullivan
10,765
48.80%
10,244
46.43%
995
4.51%
57
0.00%
22,061
2.37%
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
References
^ Abby Livingston (October 30, 2013). "For N.H. Republicans, Pain Is Probably Temporary" . Roll Call. Retrieved October 30, 2013 .
^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_VSGBW8ADk Pundit prediction: Hassan knocks off Ayotte in 2016
^ Andrea Drusch (February 19, 2015). "Why the Country's Most Powerless Governor Might Run for Senate" . National Journal. Archived from the original on April 19, 2015. Retrieved April 18, 2015 .
^ a b Cahn, Emily (October 5, 2015). "Maggie Hassan Will Run for Senate in New Hampshire (Video)" . Roll Call . Retrieved October 5, 2015 .
^ "Mark Connolly planning to run for governor" . Union LeaderWMUR . October 19, 2015. Retrieved October 19, 2015 .
^ DiStaso, John (March 31, 2016). "WMUR interview: Former Portsmouth Mayor Marchand running for governor" . WMUR . Retrieved March 31, 2016 .
^ Josh McElveen (October 8, 2015). "Democrat Colin Van Ostern running for governor" . WMUR . Retrieved October 8, 2015 .
^ a b c d e f John DiStaso (November 14, 2014). "Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016" . New Hampshire Journal . Retrieved November 14, 2014 .
^ "Hosmer for Governor?" . The Laconia Daily Sun . August 24, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ Adam Sexton (October 6, 2015). "Governor's race wide open after Hassan announcement" . WMUR . Retrieved October 6, 2015 .
^ a b Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate" . Politico . Retrieved December 29, 2014 .
^ James Pindell (November 25, 2014). "Bedford Democrat quietly preparing to run for U.S. Senate against Ayotte" . WMUR . Retrieved December 1, 2014 .
^ DiStaso, John (February 10, 2015). "Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat" . NH Journal . Retrieved April 9, 2015 .
^ Paul Steinhauser (December 11, 2014). "Paul Steinhauser: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter talks 2016, achievements in Congress" . NH1 . Archived from the original on December 15, 2014. Retrieved December 12, 2014 .
^ DiStaso, John. "Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016" . WMUR.com . Manchester Hearst Properties Inc. Retrieved 20 September 2015 .
^ a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primaries Results" . Politico. Retrieved September 14, 2016 .
^ "Timeline Photos - Rep Frank Edelblut | Facebook" . www.facebook.com . Retrieved 2015-08-12 .
^ John DiStaso (September 8, 2015). "Republican Forrester says she is considering run for governor" . WMUR9. Retrieved October 5, 2015 .
^ DiStaso, John (March 31, 2016). "Forrester focuses on modest upbringing, conservative values in announcing run for governor" . WMUR . Retrieved March 31, 2016 .
^ DiStaso, John (March 17, 2016). "Updated: WMUR first: Manchester Mayor Gatsas running for governor" . WMUR . Retrieved March 17, 2016 .
^ "Chris Sununu announces run for NH Governor" . NH1.com. January 14, 2015. Archived from the original on September 19, 2015. Retrieved September 7, 2015 .
^ a b c James Pindell (November 30, 2014). "Will O'Brien decide who runs for governor in 2016?" . Seacoast online. Retrieved April 18, 2015 .
^ John DiStaso (April 28, 2015). "Havenstein says he won't run for governor in 2016" . WMUR-TV . Retrieved April 28, 2015 .
^ Adam Sexton (January 14, 2015). "Lozeau says she's not running for Nashua mayor again" . WMUR9. Retrieved January 16, 2015 .
^ "603 Alliance Endorsements" . The 603 Alliance . 7 July 2016. Retrieved 21 July 2016 .
^ "New Hampshire Liberty Alliance 2016 State Candidate Endorsements" . New Hampshire Liberty Alliance . 11 July 2016. Archived from the original on 14 August 2016. Retrieved 21 July 2016 .
^ "Long List of NH House Members Endorsing Frank Edelblut for Governor" . Frank Edelblut for Governor of New Hampshire 2016 . 2 August 2016. Archived from the original on 12 October 2016. Retrieved 13 August 2016 .
^ "SUMMER'S OVER, NOW VOTE" . The Conway Daily Sun . September 8, 2016.
^ "An Editorial - Joseph W. McQuaid, Publisher: Jeanie Forrester for governor" . New Hampshire Union Leader . August 31, 2016.
^ "Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Jeanie Forrester for NH Governor" . Susan B. Anthony List . September 9, 2016.
^ "SENATE MAJORITY LEADER JEB BRADLEY ENDORSES GATSAS AHEAD OF REPUBLICAN GUBERNATORIAL PRIMARY" . Gatsas for Governor . September 7, 2016.
^ "Gatsas tops GOP gubernatorial candidates" . The Keene Sentinel . September 9, 2016.
^ "GOP: Ted Gatsas" . Nashua Telegraph . September 4, 2016.
^ "Charlie Bass Endorses Chris Sununu for Governor" . Manchester Sun Times . February 4, 2016. Archived from the original on February 6, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016 .
^ "Updated NH Primary Source: Ayotte outraises Hassan by $6K, returns $2K to disgraced ex-congressman" . wmur.com . April 19, 2016.
^ a b c d e f g "Sununu endorsed by fellow executive councilors" . Union Leader . November 23, 2015.
^ a b "Former NH governors Gregg, Merrill endorse Christopher Sununu in gubernatorial contest" . Keene Sentinel . November 19, 2015.
^ "FIRST on NH1 News: Kasich returns to NH Aug 28; will back Sununu in race for governor" . nh1.com . August 16, 2016. Archived from the original on August 17, 2016. Retrieved August 17, 2016 .
^ "Senate President Chuck Morse endorses Chris Sununu for Governor" . June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on August 11, 2016. Retrieved June 17, 2016 .
^ "Editorial: For Republicans, Chris Sununu" . Concord Monitor . September 4, 2016.
^ "Sununu deserves to be GOP standard-bearer" . The Portsmouth Herald . September 11, 2016.
^ Sullivan, Max (13 June 2016). "Seabrook Rep. Max Abramson running for governor" . Seacoastonline.com. Retrieved 14 August 2016 .
^ "Forrester to become fourth Republican candidate for governor" . WMUR. 22 March 2016. Retrieved 14 August 2016 .
^ Schinella, Tony (18 May 2016). "Jarvis Launches Indie Bid for Governor of NH" . Concord Patch. Retrieved 14 August 2016 .
^ "Jilletta Jarvis for NH Governor 2016" . Jilletta Jarvis for NH Governor 2016 . Retrieved 14 August 2016 .
^ "2016 Governor Race ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "Elections 2015-16" . Daily Kos . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .[permanent dead link ]
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "Our Final 2016 picks" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races" . Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News" . Governing Magazine. Retrieved October 28, 2016 .
^ "2016 General Election Information and Results" . Secretary of State, New Hampshire. Retrieved November 27, 2016 .
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