Northumberland—Peterborough South (federal electoral district)

Northumberland—Peterborough South
Ontario electoral district
	Northumberland-Peterborough South in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Philip Lawrence; Conservative
;
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	107,840
Electors (2015)	88,276
Area (km²)	3,001
Pop. density (per km²)	35.9
Census division(s)	Durham, Northumberland, Peterborough County
Census subdivision(s)	Alnwick/Haldimand, Brighton, Clarington, Cobourg, Cramahe, Hamilton Township, Otonabee–South Monaghan, Peterborough, Port Hope, Trent Hills

Northumberland—Peterborough South (French: Northumberland—Peterborough-Sud) is a federal electoral district in Ontario.^[2]

Northumberland—Peterborough South was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. 77% of the riding was formed from Northumberland—Quinte West, 13% from Durham and 10% from Peterborough.

The riding was originally intended to be named Northumberland—Pine Ridge.^[3]

Under the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution the riding will be renamed Northumberland—Clarke at the next federal election.^[4]

Geography

The riding is located in Central Ontario along Lake Ontario. It contains the entirety of Northumberland County, southern Peterborough and the eastern half of the municipality of Clarington.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census^[5]

Ethnic groups: 89.8% White, 5.1% Indigenous, 1.2% Black, 1.1% South Asian
Languages: 92.6% English, 1.3% French
Religions: 54.1% Christian (17.6% Catholic, 11.3% United Church, 7.6% Anglican, 2.4% Presbyterian, 1.8% Baptist, 1.2% Pentecostal, 12.2% Other), 43.8% None
Median income: $41,600 (2020)
Average income: $53,100 (2020)

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Northumberland—Peterborough South Riding created from Durham, Northumberland—Quinte West and Peterborough
42nd	2015–2019	Kim Rudd	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021	Philip Lawrence	Conservative
44th	2021–present	Philip Lawrence	Conservative

Election results

Graph of election results in Northumberland—Peterborough South (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Philip Lawrence	31,015	44.5	+4.8	$102,345.39
	Liberal	Alison Lester	23,336	33.5	-2.7	$114,472.38
	New Democratic	Kim McArthur-Jackson	9,809	14.1	+0.2	$7,800.16
	People's	Nathan Lang	3,813	5.5	+3.4	$7,035.54
	Green	Christina Wilson	1,764	2.5	-5.5	$3,692.08
Total valid votes			69,737
Total rejected ballots			459
Turnout			70,196	69.98
Eligible voters			100,308
Source: Elections Canada^[6]

2021 federal election redistributed results^[7]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	27,553	43.99
	Liberal	21,311	34.02
	New Democratic	8,735	13.95
	People's	3,430	5.48
	Green	1,608	2.57

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Philip Lawrence	27,385	39.7	+0.14	$68,864.16
	Liberal	Kim Rudd	24,977	36.2	-6.31	$83,715.67
	New Democratic	Mallory MacDonald	9,615	13.9	-0.9	$8,871.55
	Green	Jeff Wheeldon	5,524	8.0	+4.87	none listed
	People's	Frank Vaughan	1,460	2.1	–	$1,643.34
Total valid votes/expense limit			68,961	100.0
Total rejected ballots			484
Turnout			69,445	71.7
Eligible voters			96,841
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+3.23
Source: Elections Canada^[8]^[9]

2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Kim Rudd	27,043	42.51	+21.42	$114,323.76
	Conservative	Adam Moulton	25,165	39.56	-13.80	$135,349.14
	New Democratic	Russ Christianson	9,411	14.80	-5.79	$41,225.56
	Green	Patricia Sinnott	1,990	3.13	-1.55	$1,350.03
Total valid votes/Expense limit			63,609	100.00		$229,426.74
Total rejected ballots			267	0.42	–
Turnout			63,876	71.67	–
Eligible voters			89,128
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+17.61
Source: Elections Canada^[10]^[11]^[12]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[13]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	29,377	53.37
	Liberal	11,611	21.09
	New Democratic	11,331	20.58
	Green	2,576	4.68
	Others	154	0.28

References

^ ^a ^b Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Final Report – Ontario
^ "Government Bill (House of Commons) C-37 (41-2) - Third Reading - Riding Name Change Act, 2014 - Parliament of Canada".
^ "Northumberland—Clarke – Final boundaries". Federal electoral districts redistribution 2022. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Northumberland--Peterborough South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Northumberland—Peterborough South, 30 September 2015
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
^ Elections Canada - Preliminary Results 2015-10-20
^ "Northumberland—Peterborough South, ON (2013 Rep. Order)". Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections. Archived from the original on August 25, 2015.

44°10′N 78°07′W / 44.16°N 78.11°W / 44.16; -78.11

[ReferenceA-1] Statistics Canada: 2012

[report-2] Final Report – Ontario

[3] "Government Bill (House of Commons) C-37 (41-2) - Third Reading - Riding Name Change Act, 2014 - Parliament of Canada".

[4] "Northumberland—Clarke – Final boundaries". Federal electoral districts redistribution 2022. Retrieved March 19, 2024.

[5] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Northumberland--Peterborough South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.

[6] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.

[7] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[8] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

[9] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.

[10] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Northumberland—Peterborough South, 30 September 2015

[11] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates

[12] Elections Canada - Preliminary Results 2015-10-20

[13] "Northumberland—Peterborough South, ON (2013 Rep. Order)". Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections. Archived from the original on August 25, 2015.

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v t e Federal ridings in Central Ontario
Conservative	Barrie—Innisfil Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Dufferin—Caledon Durham Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Northumberland—Peterborough South Peterborough—Kawartha Simcoe—Grey Simcoe North York—Simcoe
Liberal	Newmarket—Aurora