2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Appearance
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Elections in Nebraska |
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Government |
The 2014 United States Senate election in Nebraska took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Johanns did not run for re-election to a second term. Republican Ben Sasse defeated Democrat David Domina to succeed him.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Sid Dinsdale, President of Pinnacle Bank[1]
- Clifton Johnson, businessman[2]
- Bart McLeay, attorney[3]
- Shane Osborn, former Treasurer of Nebraska[4]
- Ben Sasse, President of Midland University[5]
Declined
- Patrick Borchers, former Vice President of Academic Affairs of Creighton University and former Dean of Creighton University School of Law[6][7]
- Jon Bruning, Attorney General of Nebraska (running for Governor)[8]
- Mike Foley, Auditor of Public Accounts (running for Governor)[9]
- Jeff Fortenberry, U.S. Representative[10]
- Dave Heineman, Governor of Nebraska[11]
- Charles Herbster, businessman[12]
- Charlie Janssen, state senator (running for state auditor)[13]
- Mike Johanns, incumbent U.S. Senator[14]
- Bob Krist, state senator[15]
- Pete Ricketts, former COO of TD Ameritrade and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006 (running for Governor)[16]
- Adrian Smith, U.S. Representative[17]
- Don Stenberg, Treasurer of Nebraska, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1996, 2006 and 2012 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000[18]
- Lee Terry, U.S. Representative[17]
Endorsements
Sid Dinsdale
- Individuals
- Tom Osborne, former U.S. Representative (R-NE) and former University of Nebraska football coach[19]
- Charles Thone, former Governor of Nebraska[20]
Bart McLeay
- Individuals
- Jon Christensen, former U.S. Representative[21]
- David Karnes, former U.S. Senator[21]
Shane Osborn
- Individuals
- Ray Aguilar, former state senator[22]
- Bill Barrett, former U.S. Representative[23]
- Patrick Borchers, former Vice President of Academic Affairs of Creighton University and former Dean of Creighton Law School[7]
- Colby Coash, state senator[22]
- Doug Cunningham, former state senator[24]
- Pat Engle, former state senator[24]
- Steve Forbes, publishing executive and candidate for President in 1996 and 2000[25]
- Bill Kintner, state senator[22]
- Scott Lautenbaugh, state senator[22]
- John Murante, state senator[22]
- Rich Pahls, former state senator[24]
- Scott Price, state senator[22]
- Jim Scheer, state senator[22]
- Ken Schilz, state senator[22]
- Phyllis Schlafly, conservative activist and founder of the Eagle Forum[26]
- Organizations
- Rescinded Endorsement
Ben Sasse
- Individuals
- Dick Armey, former House Majority Leader and former Chairman of FreedomWorks[32]
- Tom Coburn, U.S. Senator (R-OK)[33]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[34]
- Erick Erickson, conservative political commentator and editor-in-chief of RedState[35]
- Mark Fahleson, former Chairman of the Nebraska Republican Party[36]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[37]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host and conservative political commentator[38]
- Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative (R-WI), Chairman of the House Committee on the Budget and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2012[39]
- Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska, nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[citation needed]
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator (R-PA)[40]
- Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator (R-PA)[41]
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sid Dinsdale |
Clifton Johnson |
Bart McLeay |
Shane Osborn |
Ben Sasse |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | September 6–7, 2013 | 1,842 | ± 2.2% | 7% | — | 2% | 41% | 5% | — | 45% |
Public Opinion Strategies^ | October 27–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 7% | — | 1% | 39% | 7% | — | 46% |
Harper Polling | February 3–4, 2014 | 565 | ± 4% | 13.1% | — | 4.3% | 30.4% | 29% | — | 23.2% |
The Polling Company | February 25–28, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 35% | 24% | — | 30% |
NSON Opinion Strategy | April 16–20, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 13% | — | — | 27% | 29% | — | 28% |
Not disclosed* | April 26–28, 2014 | 507 | ± ? | 22% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 31% | — | 14% |
Strategic National | May 7–8, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.9% | 23% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 34% | — | 11.5% |
Magellan Strategies | May 8, 2014 | 525 | ± 4.28% | 24% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 38% | 3% | 7% |
- * Internal poll for Ben Sasse campaign
- ^ Internal poll for Shane Osborn campaign
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ben Sasse | 109,847 | 49.37% | |
Republican | Sid Dinsdale | 49,832 | 22.39% | |
Republican | Shane Osborn | 46,856 | 21.06% | |
Republican | Bart McLeay | 12,700 | 5.71% | |
Republican | Clifton Johnson | 3,285 | 1.48% | |
Total votes | 222,520 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- David Domina, trial attorney and candidate for Governor in 1986[48]
- Larry Marvin, Air Force veteran and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2008 and 2012[49]
Declined
- Brad Ashford, state senator[50]
- Chris Beutler, Mayor of Lincoln[51]
- Annette Dubas, state senator[52]
- Mike Fahey, former Mayor of Omaha[53]
- Chuck Hassebrook, former Regent of the University of Nebraska and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (running for Governor)[54]
- Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator and former Governor[55]
- Steve Lathrop, state senator[56]
- Mike Meister, attorney, nominee for Attorney General of Nebraska in 2002 and nominee for governor in 2010[57]
- Kim M. Robak, former Lieutenant Governor of Nebraska[58]
Endorsements
Dave Domina
Polling
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Domina | 44,813 | 67.46% | |
Democratic | Larry Marvin | 21,615 | 32.54% | |
Total votes | 66,428 | 100.00% |
General election
Candidates
- Ben Sasse (R), President of Midland University
- David Domina (D), trial attorney and candidate for Governor in 1986
- Dan Buhrdorf (I), former educator and peace activist[65]
- Jim Jenkins (I), rancher, restaurant owner and former Chairman of the Nebraska Ethanol Board[66][67]
- Todd Watson (I), businessman[68]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 14, 2014
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[69] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[71] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[72] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ben Sasse (R) |
David Domina (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | April 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 52% | 27% | 5% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14–15, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 51% | 34% | 5% | 10% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 858 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 1% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 987 | ± 4% | 56% | 30% | 1% | 13% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 721 | ± 4% | 58% | 31% | 0% | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 681 | ± 5% | 59% | 30% | 0% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ben Sasse | 347,636 | 64.39% | +6.90% | |
Democratic | Dave Domina | 170,127 | 31.51% | −8.60% | |
By Petition | Jim Jenkins | 15,868 | 2.94% | n/a | |
By Petition | Todd Watson | 6,260 | 1.16% | n/a | |
Majority | 177,509 | ||||
Turnout | 539,891 | ||||
Republican hold | Swing |
See also
- Nebraska gubernatorial election, 2014
- United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2014
- United States Senate elections, 2014
- United States elections, 2014
References
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (September 16, 2013). "Omaha banker Sid Dinsdale enters the U.S. Senate race". Omaha World-Herald. Archived from the original on September 17, 2013. Retrieved September 17, 2013.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|dead-url=
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suggested) (help) - ^ Walton, Don (December 11, 2013). "New Senate candidate voices tea party values". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (July 1, 2013). "Attorney Bart McLeay to run for Nebraska U.S. Senate seat". Omaha World-Herald. Archived from the original on July 8, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|dead-url=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) - ^ Walton, Don (June 2, 2013). "Shane Osborn enters GOP Senate race". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved June 2, 2013.
- ^ Beck, Margery A. (July 23, 2013). "University president Sasse files for US Senate". SF Gate. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Borchers, Patrick (July 1, 2013). "Friends: I have decided not to be a candidate for Senate in 2014..." Facebook. Retrieved October 3, 2013.
- ^ a b Osborn, Shane (August 13, 2013). "Thank you Patrick Borchers for the kind comments on my campaign..." Facebook. Retrieved October 3, 2013.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (March 4, 2013). "Nebraska: Bruning Won't Seek Open Senate Seat". Roll Call. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
- ^ Walton, Don (September 5, 2013). "Foley pledges fiscally conservative governorship". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved September 5, 2013.
- ^ Walton, Don (May 29, 2013). "Fortenberry will not seek Senate seat". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
- ^ Stoddard, Martha; Duggan, Joe; Morton, Joseph (May 25, 2013). "Gov. Heineman opts against U.S. Senate run in '14". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved May 30, 2013.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (August 24, 2013). "Surprises in governor's race: Herbster out; McCoy in". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
- ^ Hendee, David (February 18, 2013). "State Sen. Charlie Janssen to run for governor; Clare won't run". Omaha World-Herald. Archived from the original on February 20, 2013. Retrieved February 18, 2013.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|dead-url=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) - ^ Raju, Manu; Reis, Patrick (February 18, 2013). "Nebraska Sen. Mike Johanns to retire". Politico. Retrieved February 18, 2013.
- ^ Hammel, Paul (July 23, 2013). "State Sen. Bob Krist opts to not run for higher office". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ "Ricketts Running For Governor". WOWT. September 8, 2013. Retrieved September 9, 2013.
- ^ a b Giaritelli, Anna (October 16, 2013). "Democrats Continue to Fight Nebraska GOP's Grasp". Roll Call. Retrieved October 17, 2013.
- ^ Hammel, Paul (October 1, 2013). "Nebraska treasurer Stenberg won't run for Senate; door 'slightly' open for governor run". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved October 13, 2013.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (September 16, 2013). "Omaha banker Sid Dinsdale enters the U.S. Senate race". Omaha World-Herald. Archived from the original on October 13, 2013. Retrieved October 13, 2013.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|dead-url=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) - ^ "We appreciate today's endorsement by Charley Thone..." Facebook. September 20, 2013. Retrieved October 13, 2013.
- ^ a b Tysver, Robynn (January 15, 2014). "Bart McLeay grabs Senate endorsements from Christensen, Karnes". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved January 19, 2014.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "State senators endorse Osborn". Lincoln Journal Star. November 20, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ Moring, Roseann (February 13, 2014). "Shane Osborn wins Bill Barrett's nod for Senate". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ a b c "News Release: Osborn Endorsed by Nebraska Leaders from across the State". ShaneOsborn.com. November 20, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ^ Walton, Don (December 10, 2013). "Steve Forbes endorses Shane Osborn". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ Moring, Roseann (March 4, 2014). "Phyllis Schlafly backs Shane Osborn's Senate candidacy". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ Moring, Roseann (February 20, 2014). "D.C.-based women's group backs Shane Osborn in U.S. Senate bid". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ "Release: Family-Pac Federal Endorses Shane Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska". Shane Osborn for Senate. March 11, 2014. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ "Shane Osborn Nebraska Senate - National Defense PAC" (PDF). National Defense PAC. August 26, 2013. Retrieved October 13, 2013.
- ^ "Senate candidate Shane Osborn picks up FreedomWorks endorsement". FreedomWorks. November 11, 2013. Retrieved November 12, 2013.
- ^ a b James, Hohmann (March 28, 2014). "FreedomWorks dumps Shane Osborn, backs Ben Sasse". Politico. Retrieved March 28, 2014.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (November 14, 2013). "Senate hopeful Ben Sasse picks up endorsement of ex-House Majority Leader Dick Armey". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ Cahn, Emily (February 10, 2014). "Coburn Endorses in Competitive Nebraska Senate Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved February 11, 2014.
- ^ Sullivan, Sean (April 23, 2014). "Ted Cruz endorses Ben Sasse in Nebraska Senate race". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 23, 2014.
- ^ Erickson, Erick (January 15, 2014). "You Need Ben Sasse in the Senate". RedState. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (September 11, 2013). "The Open-Seat Race No One's Talking About". Roll Call. Retrieved October 13, 2013.
- ^ Kyle Trygstad (March 4, 2014). "Mike Lee Backs Sasse in Nebraska Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved March 4, 2014.
- ^ Lowry, Rich (January 17, 2014). "Mark Levin Endorses Ben Sasse". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved January 19, 2014.
- ^ Daniel Strauss (December 2, 2013). "Paul Ryan Endorses Tea Partier In Nebraska Senate Race". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved December 3, 2013.
- ^ Roarty, Alex (May 7, 2014). "Rick Santorum Endorses Ben Sasse in Nebraska Senate Race". National Journal. Retrieved May 7, 2014.
- ^ Lazar, Alex (May 9, 2014). "Pat Toomey Endorses Ben Sasse In Nebraska Senate Primary". The Huffington Post. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (November 7, 2013). "Club for Growth Makes Endorsement in Nebraska GOP Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
- ^ Moring, Roseann (February 21, 2014). "Ben Sasse gets endorsement from Family Research Council". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ Moring, Roseann (February 12, 2014). "Gun Owners for America endorses Ben Sasse". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ "Nebraska Farm Bureau Federation - PAC Endorses Ben Sasse in U.S. Senate Primary". Kticradio.com. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ^ Cahn, Emily (October 22, 2013). "Senate Conservatives Fund Endorses in Nebraska Senate Race". Roll Call. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ^ a b "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 13, 2014". Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved May 15, 2014.
- ^ Duggan, Joe (January 19, 2014). "Omaha attorney David Domina first Democrat in Nebraska U.S. Senate race". Omaha World-Herald. Archived from the original on February 14, 2014. Retrieved January 19, 2014.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|dead-url=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) - ^ Rickerl, Stephen (October 9, 2013). "Marvin, Fremont Democrat, will seek U.S. Senate seat". Fremont Tribune. Retrieved February 4, 2014.
- ^ Winter, Deena (October 28, 2013). "Ashford running for Senate? Nope". Nebraska Watchdog. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
- ^ Winter, Deena (February 19, 2013). "Beutler doesn't rule out a run for governor, U.S. Senate". Nebraska Watchdog. Retrieved February 21, 2013.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (August 9, 2013). "Democrat Annette Dubas' bid for governor stirs excitement about the race in both parties". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
- ^ "Is Mike Fahey Being Courted to Run for U.S. Senate?". Political Insiders Report. May 16, 2013. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Walton, Don (June 2, 2013). "Hassebrook will enter 2014 governor's race". Lincoln Journal Star. Retrieved June 2, 2013.
- ^ "Twitter / MortonOWH: Bob Kerrey on Johanns: "I like". Twitter.com. February 18, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ^ Jordan, Joe (June 20, 2013). "Video special: NE Dems still looking for Senate hopeful as Lathrop says its gov or bust". Nebraska Watchdog. Retrieved October 12, 2013.
- ^ Guzman, Chabella (June 12, 2013). "Local attorney to run for Legislature". Star-Herald. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
- ^ Tysver, Robynn (September 1, 2013). "Democrats see uphill battle for federal seat". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved October 12, 2013.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". AFL-CIO. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "Official UAW Endorsements- Nebraska". UAW. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "Election 2014: Boilermakers recommend candidates". Boilermakers. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "Nebraska Farmers Union PAC Says David Domina is the Best Choice for Agriculture and Nebraska". Nebraska Farmers Union. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Dave Domina for US Senate from Nebraska". LCV. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "NEA endorses Domina in Senate race". NEA. 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
- ^ "Buhrdorf turns in petitions to run for Senate". JournalStar.com. August 4, 2014. Retrieved September 7, 2014.
- ^ "Nebraska rancher, restaurateur Jim Jenkins to run for US Senate". Washington Examiner. October 23, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
- ^ Moring, Roseann. "Independent Senate candidate Jim Jenkins makes November ballot". Omaha World-Herald. July 11, 2014. Retrieved August 2, 2014.
- ^ Tobias, Mike (September 19, 2013). "2014 Shaping Up As A Chaotic Election Year In Nebraska". NET News. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
- ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "Nebraska Secretary of State Election Results 2014". Nebraska Secretary of State. November 4, 2014. Retrieved December 23, 2014.