2024 European Parliament election: Difference between revisions
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|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite web |title=EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag |url=https://europeelects.eu/2020/04/02/rally-around-the-flag-corona-and-voting-behaviour-in-europe/ |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=4 March 2020}}</ref> |
|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite web |title=EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag |url=https://europeelects.eu/2020/04/02/rally-around-the-flag-corona-and-voting-behaviour-in-europe/ |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=4 March 2020}}</ref> |
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|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite web |title=EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining |url=https://europeelects.eu/2020/05/02/april2020/ |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=4 April 2020}}</ref> |
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|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite news |title=EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=}}</ref> |
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|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite news |title=EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=}}</ref> |
|style="text-align:left;"| [[Europe Elects]]<ref>{{cite news |title=EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag |website=[[Europe Elects]] |accessdate=}}</ref> |
Revision as of 12:04, 4 May 2020
The next election to the European Parliament is scheduled to be held in 2024.[1] This will be the first European Parliament election scheduled after the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union.
Popular vote and seat projections
There are no pan-European polls for the European elections. However, several organizations calculate the theoretical seat distribution in the European Parliament in advance to the EU election based on national polls in all member states. The table below displays these different projections. The projections prior to 31 January 2020 still include the United Kingdom, which left the EU on that date.[2]
Seats
The following table shows the projected number of seats for the groups in the EU Parliament.
Institute | Date | Scope | EPP | S&D | RE | ID | Greens/EFA | ECR | GUE/NGL | NI | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:European People's Party group/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Party of European Socialists/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Identity and Democracy/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Greens–European Free Alliance/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Alliance of European Conservatives and Reformists/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:European United Left–Nordic Green Left/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Non-Inscrits/meta/color; width:75px;"| | ||||
Europe Elects[3] | 2020-04-30 | EU27 | 193 | 140 | 94 | 78 | 46 | 72 | 55 | 23 | 4 |
Europe Elects[4] | 2020-03-31 | EU27 | 188 | 135 | 92 | 83 | 51 | 72 | 57 | 21 | 6 |
Europe Elects[5] | 2020-02-29 | EU27 | 184 | 133 | 99 | 85 | 55 | 68 | 56 | 21 | 6 |
Europe Elects[6] | 2020-01-31 | EU27 | 182 | 130 | 101 | 85 | 53 | 70 | 55 | 23 | 6 |
Europe Elects[7] | 2019-12-31 | EU27 | 182 | 131 | 102 | 86 | 52 | 70 | 54 | 25 | 3 |
Europe Elects[8] | 2019-12-31 | EU28 | 177 | 153 | 103 | 82 | 52 | 103 | 53 | 25 | 3 |
Europe Elects[9] | 2019-11-30 | EU28 | 176 | 157 | 107 | 80 | 61 | 95 | 49 | 25 | 1 |
Europe Elects[10] | 2019-10-31 | EU28 | 175 | 151 | 115 | 78 | 62 | 92 | 46 | 30 | 2 |
Europe Elects[11] | 2019-09-30 | EU28 | 170 | 151 | 118 | 79 | 63 | 87 | 48 | 32 | 3 |
Europe Elects[12] | 2019-08-31 | EU28 | 166 | 154 | 116 | 80 | 64 | 89 | 47 | 32 | 3 |
Europe Elects[13] | 2019-07-31 | EU28 | 168 | 153 | 117 | 79 | 65 | 85 | 48 | 33 | 3 |
Europe Elects[14] | 2019-06-30 | EU28 | 167 | 145 | 119 | 80 | 74 | 64 | 46 | 54 | 2 |
post-Brexit EU Parliament | 2020-02-01 | EU27 | 187 | 148 | 97 | 76 | 68 | 62 | 40 | 27 | - |
pre-Brexit EU Parliament | 2019-05-26 | EU28 | 182 | 154 | 108 | 73 | 74 | 62 | 41 | 57 | - |
Popular Vote
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level.
Institute | Date | Scope | EPP | S&D | RE | Greens/EFA | ID | ECR | GUE/NGL | NI | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:European People's Party group/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Party of European Socialists/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Greens–European Free Alliance/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Identity and Democracy/meta/color; width:75px;" | | style="background:Template:Alliance of European Conservatives and Reformists/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:European United Left–Nordic Green Left/meta/color; width:75px;"| | style="background:Template:Non-Inscrits/meta/color; width:75px;"| | ||||
Europe Elects[15] | 2020-04-30 | EU27 | 25.3% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[16] | 2020-03-31 | EU27 | 24.1% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[17] | 2020-02-29 | EU27 | 22.7% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[18] | 2020-01-31 | EU27 | 20.5% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects[19] | 2019-12-31 | EU28 | 20.9% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects[20] | 2019-11-30 | EU28 | 20.3% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
Europe Elects[21] | 2019-10-31 | EU28 | 20.3% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% |
Europe Elects[22] | 2019-09-30 | EU28 | 19.6% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% |
Europe Elects[23] | 2019-08-31 | EU28 | 20.0% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[24] | 2019-07-31 | EU28 | 19.3% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[25] | 2019-06-30 | EU28 | 19.1% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
European election 2019[26] | 2019-05-26 | EU28 | 21.0% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% |
References
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 27 September 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
- ^ "EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 April 2020.
- ^ "European Parliament Projection: Ireland, Thuringia, and the Aftermath". Europe Elects. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
- ^ "European Parliament Projection: The EU Parliament Post-Brexit". Europe Elects. February 2020. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Twitter. Retrieved 31 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 31 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining". Europe Elects.
- ^ "EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag". Europe Elects.
- ^ "European Parliament Projection: Ireland, Thuringia, and the Aftermath". Europe Elects.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
- ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.