Jump to content

Talk:United States involvement in regime change

Page contents not supported in other languages.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by 24.57.43.93 (talk) at 04:08, 19 July 2019 (Iraq 1963). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

Template:Findsourcesnotice


Regime change focus

This big and detailed article seems to include several instances of US interventions that did result in regime change, and even some that were not aimed at that. Given the number of (often quite short) articles on adjacent topics, e.g. Timeline of United States military operations or Foreign interventions by the United States, I wonder if some of the material should be taken out of this article and put in them. For instance:

  • The 1846 US–Mexico War was a war over territory, not an attempted regime change; it did not result in regime change.
  • 1887–1889 Samoa seems more of an imperialist battle for control, rather than a "regime change", although eventually it resulted in loss of nominal independence
  • 1898–1901 China was an intervention in which the US supported the existing regime against a rebellion, so seems like it definitely shouldn't be here; it was a regime preservation intervention
  • 1914 Mexico was not a regime change intervention
  • 1918 Russia the US was attempting to stop Bolshevik regime change; it was a failed regime preservation intervention
  • 1946–1949 China the US was attempting to stop Communist regime change; it was a failed regime preservation intervention
  • 1946–1949 Greece the US was attempting to stop Communist regime change; it was a regime preservation intervention
  • 1948–1970s Italy: this was interference, but it wasn't regime change
  • 1955–1960 Laos: this was a regime preservation intervention
  • 1958 Lebanon: this was explicitly a regime preservation intervention
  • 1965–66 Dominican Republic: this was explicitly a regime preservation intervention, against Communist regime change
  • 1980–1992 El Salvador: ditto
  • 1991 Kuwait: I think it is quite a stretch to call this a regime change intervention. The US was defending the sovereignty of Kuwait against a foreign occupation, and chose not to continue the war and depose Saddam.
  • 1991–2003 Iraq: This might count, though it wasn't a military intervention, but economic sanctions

BobFromBrockley (talk) 12:18, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]

You can't discount a regime change simply because it involves civil war. When the USSR sent troops into various eastern European countries, it was also to defend "existing regimes". The Kurds and Shia were in a state of de facto civil war with Saddam Hussein in 2003, but that is the classic case of regime change.-GPRamirez5 (talk) 14:15, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
Sorry, GPRamirez5, which of the examples I listed are you referring to? I agree, civil war itself doesn't preclude calling something regime change, but preserving existing regimes surely does? I agree, 2003 Iraq is an obvious example of a regime change intervention - but how was the Boxer Rebellion or Kuwait 1991, for example? BobFromBrockley (talk) 14:23, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
Most of this disputed, inaccurate, and misleading content has been added by User:NYCJosh using synthesis. I've long thought that cases of the U.S. supporting established governments against insurgent groups, particularly Greece and El Salvador, have no place in this article. I have also previously challenged NYCJosh regarding the criteria by which he determined that the Gulf War but not the Korean or Vietnam Wars is relevant here, but never received what I considered a satisfactory response. (Arguably only the Korean War might belong, given that allied troops crossed the 38th parallel in an effort to remove the North Korean regime, before being pushed back by the Chinese.) Similarly, I share your confusion over what the Mexican–American War has to do with this topic (although I admittedly can't blame NYCJosh for that long-standing content). Where GPRamirez5 is likely correct is with regard to the Allied intervention in the Russian Civil War.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 14:33, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
I agree that regime preservation is not regime change. But, yes, intervention in Russia was attempted regime change because the Bolsheviks had been in power since November 1917, and the Tsar had been out of power since March. In the case of the Korean War, yes, the US was trying to overthrow the North Korean government and unify the country under Rhee. But if that is regime change, WW1 and 2 should be regime change. For example, US troops invaded Germany and helped remove Hitler!--Jack Upland (talk) 16:34, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
The very first sentence of the article is: "United States involvement in regime change has entailed both overt and covert actions aimed at altering, replacing, or preserving foreign governments." So the article was conceived as encompassing actions aimed at "preserving" regimes against hostile foreign forces or in civil wars or popular rebellions. I have added some content based on this guidance.
It would be silly in my view to argue that intervening in a civil war is a regime change action only when it's on the side of one but not the other. The outcome of the civil war will determine the regime and intervening will help determine it. Also, often the opposition/insurgency declares a new govt and there are rival claims to be THE legitimate govt. It wouldn't make sense from a realistic/political standpoint--it would be overly legalistic--to say it's regime change to intervene in a civil war only if the opponents have declared a rival govt.
In WWII, the US was responding to an armed attack against it in self defense so that's not what is usually thought of under this category.--NYCJosh (talk) 18:44, 9 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
I think the civil war point is a fair one, and US support for the Whites in Russia is therefore justified. But if the lede encourages us to include regime preservation in an article about regime change, then there's something wrong. The regime change article quite straightforwardly describes it as "Regime change is the replacement of one government regime with another." The defence of existing governments, whether democratic or dictatorial, is not regime change. So it seems to me sensible to more straightforwardly align the lede with the main regime change article and trim out all the examples that don't fit, on a case by case basis. The alternative, if there's a strong reason for the article to be more capacious, is to change the name, which seems silly. At the moment, we risk WP:SYN, unless we can find reliable sources saying these are examples of regime change, which seems unlikely in many cases. BobFromBrockley (talk) 22:19, 11 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
In WWII, the US was responding to an armed attack against it in self defense so that's not what is usually thought of under this category I agree with that. But what about when the US was responding to an armed attack against an ally, in particular one it had a treaty obligation towards? This would be the case with the Kuwait Gulf War, and some of the "banana war" interventions in Honduras for example.BobFromBrockley (talk) 22:23, 11 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
I am glad we agree about interventions in civil wars.
Not sure to what treaty obligation you are referring regarding defending Kuwait in 1990-1991 or the Honduras civil war. In any case, my comment focused on self-defense against armed attack against the US. But notwithstanding my reservation, if you want to add regime change in Germany (and Japan?) following WWII, I will not stand in your way. --NYCJosh (talk) 15:33, 28 May 2018 (UTC)[reply]
As discussed above, I don't think regime preservation is regime change. I agree that the lead is wrong. I don't think it's different in a civil war. I raised WW2 as a reductio ad absurdum, but it seems arguable. I don't know how "self-defence" is relevant. And I don't see how self-defence is different from defence of an ally. Wikipedia is neutral, so we can't say defeat of Hitler is a good thing, while regime change is a bad thing. Perhaps you are arguing that the US wasn't planning on regime change, but just defending itself. However, I think Roosevelt was planning on regime change. Even though Hitler declared war on the US in solidarity with the Japanese, there was no significant threat to the US from Germany, and US forces certainly had no need to go into Europe to defend themselves. There was no attack on the United States proper. Rather, Japan attacked the US imperial possessions in the Pacific. If this is self-defence, why shouldn't self-defence include the defence of a less formal American empire or the defence of a network of allies? The article says there was regime change in South Korea in 1945, but this was an immediate consequence of the WW2. It is inconsistent that the US occupation of Japan is not treated the same way. There was certainly regime change in Germany, which went beyond simply defeating Hitler. The country was divided. In West Germany, there was a process of denazification. The Communist Party was banned, and the SPD abandoned Marxism. The US has maintained a continuous military presence. The regime in Germany after WW2 was clearly different from the Nazi government, but it was also different from the Weimar Republic. And it is odd that the section on post-war Italy ignores the fact that the US had largely created the political system there.--Jack Upland (talk) 04:19, 8 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]
I don't feel strongly about any particular conflict here; I can see arguments either way for WWII. (The arguments for WWII, though, tend to suggest almost any conflict other than border skirmishes could potentially be included as they might lead to regime change?) I'm more concerned about the mismatch between the lede and the title, with the former being massively broader than the latter. Can we agree to tighten the lead, and then to remove instances from the article that definitely don't fit the topic, moving any material and citations to Timeline of United States military operations or Foreign interventions by the United States? BobFromBrockley (talk) 09:40, 10 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]
I agree that the lead should be tightened.--Jack Upland (talk) 06:24, 11 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]

Egypt 2013?

https://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2013/07/06/us-backed-coup-hijacks-egypts-revolution/ — Preceding unsigned comment added by Jwray (talkcontribs) 22:37, 7 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]

Where is Venezuela?

It would be strange if the United States has not involvement in regime change in Venezuela, especially the current crisis. — Preceding unsigned comment added by 62.68.51.117 (talk) 15:30, 22 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]

Deleting 2005: Iran?

User "185.125.206.135" deleted the section on "2005: Iran", saying "Iran Topic was based on unreliable information and was simply a lie." That article included citations to ABC News as well as a Seymour Hersh article in The New Yorker and an article on Foreign Policy magazine. I did not check to see if the citations supported the claims made here. However, if user "185.125.206.135" feels that section is inappropriate, s/he will need to provide more evidence than a simple claim that it's "a lie." I'm reverting this change for lack of evidence to support the claim. DavidMCEddy (talk) 15:46, 24 December 2018 (UTC)[reply]

Recentism?

I'm a bit worried that the section on Venezuela at the end is getting rather inflated due to WP:Recentism. It is now one of the longest (if not the very longest) section in the article, despite not being more noteworthy than eariler more significant events. I think, as per WP:NOTNEWS, as the situation is unfolding, it is safer to keep it lean and flesh it out if necessary when the dust settles. BobFromBrockley (talk) 17:26, 29 January 2019 (UTC)[reply]

WW2 France

Not sure why it's here.--Jack Upland (talk) 09:12, 11 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]

It was a regime change. The US was involved.Adoring nanny (talk) 09:15, 11 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I would suggest one sentence saying the USA helped overthrow Hitler.--Jack Upland (talk) 09:35, 11 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
More is needed, per WP:DUE.Adoring nanny (talk) 10:01, 11 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I don't see why there can be any objection to including this and giving it more than one sentence (the current four or five sentences seems DUE to me, although it should maybe also mention the US role in the end of the Vichy regime too?) as it is a really clear case of US military action helping to topple regimes (the Nazi occupation government and the Vichy puppet government) and helping impose a new one (the Fourth Republic). The only reason not to would be if we consider overthrowing occupations differently from changes to regimes, in which case we need to get rid of the sections on S Korea, China, Greece and the Philippines. Another grey area would be interference in elections once regimes are established, which is what the final (1948+) para of the Italy section is. BobFromBrockley (talk) 13:45, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I guess the problem is there was a lot of "regime change" in and after WW2. Based on that we could have a huge amount of text on this. However, this is well-covered in other articles.--Jack Upland (talk) 18:37, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
So shouldn't we at least link to those articles? E.g. a See also tag at the start of the section? BobFromBrockley (talk) 10:43, 3 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Good idea. Just added several.Adoring nanny (talk) 12:58, 3 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Map is inaccurate

The map is inaccurate because it ignores US involvement in the removal of multiple Nazi and Japanese regimes during World War 2, as well as the regime changes in Germany and Japan after WW2. It should be fixed or removed. Adoring nanny (talk) 10:54, 20 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Korea

Korea from 1945 is a case of regime change because the Koreans were willing and able to take over the government once Japan was defeated. If the Americans hadn't intervened, it is clear that a different government would have emerged. The subsequent events up to the installation of Syngman Rhee as President are also regime change as they amount to the prevention of any other government.--Jack Upland (talk) 08:53, 25 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]

We should cover actual change. Per WP:Crystal, we should not cover what "would have" happened. Adoring nanny (talk) 10:59, 25 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Change is a constant. The difference is between what would have happened without US intervention and what happened because of US intervention. To some extent the future is always unknowable, but certainly we can say that the US government destroyed the new Korean government that was emerging under Lyuh.--Jack Upland (talk) 08:00, 26 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
As soon as you write about what "would have happened", you run afoul of WP:Crystal. The relevant change in South Korea, the one that actually happened, was from the Japanese Administration to the Republic of Korea. If you look at my preferred version, it does cover Lyuh in a fashion consistent with WP:DUE.Adoring nanny (talk) 11:30, 26 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
But necessarily the concept of regime change includes a recognition of what would have happened without the US involvement. If subsequent events would have happened anyway, then there is no change. Change, of necessity, involves conceptualising alternative realities. But nothing in the text I've added includes speculation about things that might have happened. And, furthermore, the period of Japanese Administration to the Republic of Korea, which you call the "relevant change", is from 1945 to 1948, which is exactly the period my text covers. Your preferred version removes a lot of information about the US involvement between 1945 and 1948, including an explanation of why the Division of Korea became permanent. This means the description of the foundation of South Korea is devoid of an explanation as to why it is South Korea. So a lot of the "actual change" is missed out.--Jack Upland (talk) 09:37, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
If we are going to ignore WP:Crystal, what "would have happened without US involvement" is surely a continuation of Japanese rule. Are you arguing that the article should focus on what would have happened with certain portions of US involvement, but without other portions of US involvement?Adoring nanny (talk) 11:13, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
No, I'm supporting the current text, which doesn't involve any crystal ball gazing, as far as I can see.--Jack Upland (talk) 18:39, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
You've twice attempted to justify the additional material by saying it is rooted in an understanding of "what would have happened", and now you are saying that it doesn't involve any WP:Crystal. The bottom line is that your arguments are self-contradictory, which certainly doesn't meet your WP:Burden as the person who adds or restores material. So I'm deleting it. Please recognize that until you meet your WP:Burden, you should not restore the material. Thank you.Adoring nanny (talk) 22:38, 28 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
You have not identified any crystal ball gazing with the previous text. Since you agree that the regime change stretches from 1945 to 1948, there seems no reason you should object to the description of the US involvement in this process. Do you have any specific disagreement with the text you removed? Also, I don't understand why the US defence of the ROK amounts to regime change.--Jack Upland (talk) 08:42, 29 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
The negotiation business is WP:UNDUE. A negotiation is obviously a complex affair with proposals by both sides. Are you going to go into detail about all of them? Lyuh's assassination was not a US action and is again WP:UNDUE. Regarding Rhee and the Korean war, one was a fight against an uprising, the other against an invasion. However the war is more deserving of inclusion because it was a US action, while what Rhee did was not. Additionally, the Korean War is obviously more WP:DUE. Going into depth about Rhee's assiciations is again WP:UNDUE. Rhee was not the regime; he merely won that election. Adoring nanny (talk) 10:18, 29 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
The failure of negotiation led to permanent division of Korea and the establishment of the ROK; hence it is fundamental to regime change. I don't think the war was regime change; it was regime survival. Rhee's associations are notable. It is also notable that his opponents like Lyuh and Kim Koo were assassinated. He was not simply the guy who won the election.--Jack Upland (talk) 19:56, 31 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
You're missing the point and skipping past the reasons I've explained above. I have nothing to add.Adoring nanny (talk) 20:59, 31 March 2019 (UTC)[reply]
What you're claiming about Jack Upland applies to yourself and read about this regime change that did happen, do not double down on your narrative as to not demonstrate that facts/sources about regime change being ignored: United States Army Military Government in Korea — Preceding unsigned comment added by RBL2000 (talkcontribs) 13:49, 13 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Scope (again)

I want to try to re-animate the discussion from last year here on the scope and focus of this article. The title of the article refers to regime change but the lede and current article seem to include other things, such as regime preservation and election interference. Questions include: 1) should the title change to reflect this wider focus?, or 2) should the lead and article be tightened to keep the focus on the topic signalled by the title? Specifically, 3) should the article include regime preservation (e.g. China 1898, Laos 1955-60)? 4) should it include tussles for imperial territory that didn't involve regime change (e.g. Somoa 1887-89)?, 5) should it include support for liberation from occupying powers (e.g. France 1945, Kuwait 1991)?, and 6) should it include election interference, given that (e.g. Italy 1948+)? If the answer is yes to most of questions 3-6, I'd argue the answer to (1) needs to be yes too. If the answer is no to any of 3-6, we need to make sure appropriate material is moved to Timeline of United States military operations or Foreign interventions by the United States before deletion. In the last discussion, I think three of us argued for removing regime preservation actions and tightening the lede in relation to that, with maybe two editors disagreeing, so not really a consensus. BobFromBrockley (talk) 14:03, 4 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

While I tend to agree with this in principle, I take issue with your removal if the Indonesian mass killings from the lede. This was PART on the regime change action, in fact the most significant part, and facilitated and encouraged by the US and its allies for the express purpose of regime change. Giving it more thought, perhaps this is preferable and provides proper context in terms of the scope of the article, especially given the details of how the US was complicit in this regime change are still provided in the body.--C.J. Griffin (talk) 14:10, 4 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • According to this Foreign Policy article by Stephen M. Walt, failed attempts at regime change count as involvement in regime change. See its Suez 1950s section and Yemen 1960s section.

    For the US, he names recent scheming in Somalia, Yemen and Syria as involvement in regime change.

GPRamirez5 (talk) 19:04, 4 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

I totally agree that failed attempts at regime change should be included. (Obviously not those two cases, as US wasn't involved, but I don't think that's what you're saying!) My question (3) is about when the US involvement is in regime preservation, successful or failed. BobFromBrockley (talk) 20:22, 4 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
IMO the main thing is that the title should drive the content. The phrase "regime change" denotes a change of the regime. So anything that is unambiguously a change of regime should be included, regardless of whether sources describe it as a liberation, a revolution, a coup, or whatever else. Other things you are arguable, such as whether or not an election is a regime change, whether or not attempted regime change should count, regime preservation, and so forth. So on those issues, the main thing is consistency. I don't think it should depend on finding a source that describes one of the above as "regime change". Just try to treat analogous situations similarly.Adoring nanny (talk) 23:07, 4 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
"I don't think it should depend on finding a source that describes one of the above as 'regime change'" Actually, reliable sources is exactly what it should depend on. Any methodology that doesn't find RS refuting the classifications found in the Walt and O'Rourke scholarship is in violation of WP:VERIFY from the outset.GPRamirez5 (talk) 00:12, 5 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Verifiability is not about finding particular words. It's about verifiability of events. For example, suppose you find an article that says "Joe shot John. John died of his wounds the next day." It would be entirely correct to write an article that said "Joe killed John", even though the source didn't use the word "killed". Just apply a little WP:COMMON.Adoring nanny (talk) 01:06, 5 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
"Verifiability is not about finding particular words. It's about verifiability of events." That's a distinction without a difference: in encyclopedias, words are how historical events are represented. GPRamirez5 (talk) 01:18, 5 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Is it your position that if, for example, a source were to say "The X Government of country Y was deposed by a CIA-supported coup", that this would not be a case of US-supported regime change, since neither the phrase "United States" nor the phrase "regime change" appeared?Adoring nanny (talk) 11:38, 5 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
No. But ironically that seems to be your position. GPRamirez5 (talk) 01:23, 6 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I'm sorry, I'm having a hard time assuming good faith here. What is the value of attacking me for supposedly arguing the opposite of what I have been arguing? Adoring nanny (talk) 09:04, 6 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I'm sorry if you're feeling attacked, but all I did was answer your question and make an observation about the irony of your thought experiment.GPRamirez5 (talk) 13:19, 6 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
What irony? As I have been arguing, the phrase "regime change" is not relevant. What is relevant is whether or not there was such an event, not the words one uses to describe it. My example was a case of regime change, adequately sourced, but without the phrase. As you appear to agree, at least in the context of the example, the relevance comes from the event, even when the phrase is lacking. If you agree with the example, why the disagreement with saying it in words?Adoring nanny (talk) 14:10, 6 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Joe killed John. Clearly. GPRamirez, as to that tendency to personalize discussions that I mentioned below. Could you just ... knock it off? SandyGeorgia (Talk) 14:01, 24 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@SandyGeorgia: GPRamirez5 has personalized nothing in the discussion above. As to the substantive issue, it's reasonable (and wholly consistent with policy) to consider a foreign policy intervention to be a regime change operation if reliable sources describe it as such. -Darouet (talk) 17:12, 26 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

To summarise the substantive rather than personalised part of this discussion, Adoring nanny argues that we should adopt a consistent approach to what we include, and GPRamirez5 provides a decent source (an academic press book by a political science assistant professor) suggesting what I've called "regime preservation" should be considered "preventative regime change" and therefore included (i.e. an answer of Yes to my question (3) at the start of this talk section). I'm not sure if I understand O’Rourke's idea of "preventative regime change" but it would be good to have more views on this, and views on my other questions. I realise I didn't explain the election interference one (my question 6). What I meant to say was that a change of administration via a democratic election is not generally seen as a regime change, as the regime form remains stable. Again, any views on that? BobFromBrockley (talk) 09:58, 24 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

I'd definitely think that intervening in an election amounts to something like a "regime change operation," and indeed O'Rourke lists Italy among her examples. In that particular case the involvement of the CIA, the clandestine nature of the operation, and the significant sums of money spent all further argue for listing here. -Darouet (talk) 10:19, 24 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Having two scholarly sourced definitions of regime change does not (yet) convince me, since the possibility of cherrypicking exists-- I'd like to see more sources on which to base this discussion. SandyGeorgia (Talk) 14:05, 24 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
A title such as "United States involvement in regime change, in regime preservation, in foreign election interference and in attempts and combinations of the foregoing" would be quite awkward and not in keeping with general WP style. It's sufficient that the title conveys the thrust of the article. The introduction clarifies the scope by providing a more comprehensive description. Also as noted by others in this section, this broader scope is consistent with how scholars in this field understand the scope of regime change actions.--NYCJosh (talk) 22:56, 8 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Venezuela

Jamez42 reverted the addition of post-1998 Venezuela, claiming that "support of opposition is not regime change." Not only is it generally understood to be such, it is widely understood to be the case particularly with the US and Venezuela.. This well-documented material should be restored immediately.GPRamirez5 (talk) 22:59, 14 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

@GPRamirez5: The Venezuelan government has accused the US of attempting a regime change for nearly 20 years. As early as 1999, when there were massive mudslides in the north country during the Vargas tragedy, Chávez rejected help from the United States. There are countless accusations of coup attempts, assassination plots, sabotage, etc, most of the times without providing proof. Sadly this has also been used to dismiss or persecute the opposition, including groups financed by the National Endowment for Democracy, and as a scapegoat for protests. My fear is that due to recentism the section is hastly included; the earliest Venezuelan events that the Bloomberg refers to are from 2018, and parallels are only drawn between government recognition, not regime change. In short, this is a lot different from, say, CIA financement or operations. Please notify me the next time I'm involved in the matter. --Jamez42 (talk) 00:22, 15 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • "...the earliest Venezuelan events that the Bloomberg refers to are from 2018, and parallels are only drawn between government recognition, not regime change." That is blatantly false Jamez42. The Bloomberg article reads "[Maduro's] critics inside and outside the country have talked for years of regime change."[1]GPRamirez5 (talk) 17:24, 15 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

References

  1. ^ Laya, Patricia. "The Standoff in Venezuela, Explained". Bloomberg News.
@GPRamirez5: Precisely, that sentence doesn't specify any events either. --Jamez42 (talk) 20:43, 15 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • And let the record show that contrary to these sad arguments, the source for the section was not Chavez, nor any Chavistas, but The Washington Post, one of the most anti-Chavez organs in the hemisphere.GPRamirez5 (talk) 12:42, 16 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Defining the arguments as "sad" is unnecessary; I ask you to please refrain from it. The Washington Post details about National Endowment for Democracy, USAID and OTI financement, the recognition of Juan Guaidó and the threat of military intervention, not the "coup attempts, assassination plots, sabotage" that I have explained before; in short, regime change. The article was even written this year, which confirms part of my fear about recentism. Namely, the section focused on Guaidó as the sole leader that arised from the student movements, were there have been several others such as Yon Goicoechea, Stalin González, Freddy Guevara, Miguel Pizarro and Daniel Ceballos [es]. --Jamez42 (talk) 16:55, 16 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
What a flawed argument! It's not about the Washington Post, is about who writes the articles in the Washington Post. Some WaPo contributors, like noname academic Timothy Gill are longtime Chavez fanboys producing dozens of garbage papers that usually get zero academic citations anyway.--ColumbiaXY (talk) 03:45, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Please treat other users with respect. Thank you.Adoring nanny (talk) 02:21, 17 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
No, it doesn't. Quoting from the article's lead, no "alteration, replacement, or preservation" of said foreign government has taken place. I can argue that the United States has not been the only country to not recognize Maduro as the president of Venezuela, if it helps, and it has been discussed in other talk pages how a military invervention is unlikely. Elliott Abrams even admitted in a prank call that he dismisses the option. In any case, if it is argued that these, indeed, constitute involvement in regime change, then it must be reasoned here. Only one of the four paragraphs of the removed section mentioned "delegitimizing an established government and threatening it with military invasion"; the others did no mention of it whatsoever, meaning that if a section of Venezuela is to be included, it should not talk about of all of its 20 recent years. I also ask to please use a more respectful tone not only in your comments, but also your edit summaries, since this isn't the first time that you have used it. --Jamez42 (talk) 12:51, 17 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@GPRamirez5: Are you saying I deserve less respect for allegedly "misrepresenting" references? I'm not sure if you claim that I'm offering a wrong interpretation in purpose, but if that's the case you would not be assuming good faith either. You also wrote in your edit summary "Lying is the greatest disrespect"; I believe this isn't the first time you call me a liar, so I ask you again to please stop personalizing the comments, since it only makes the discussion more difficult.
I understand there could have been a confusion that when I mentioned the article, the main space in Wikipedia, I meant the Bloomberg article, but I specified that a section focused about Guaidó, and in my later comments I continued referring the paragraphs of said section and how it includes events since 1999, not only 2019. Again, there should be an agreement that these actions constitute "involvement with regime change", when there wasn't with the removed section. --Jamez42 (talk) 13:47, 18 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Before the discussion gets any longer: I should leave clear that in any case I think it is WP:TOOSOON to include the section, and from what I'm reading in the talk page it seems my fear of recentism is shared. --Jamez42 (talk) 13:55, 18 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Summary: someone wrote an entire section around one (demonstrably one-sided and easily refuted) BLOG.[1] And then, to make things even better, put that one blog opinion in Wikipedia's voice, with no attribution as the opinion of one bloke. Someone else rightly removed the text.[2] And the first someone is complaining and using personal attacks along with the complaining. [3]

Who is looking not so good here?

GPRamirez5, your editing habits are coming across my radar all too often. (And I haven't even started with WP:CLOSEPARAPHRASE. Or making personal attacks in edit summaries, which is a whole 'nother level of bad.)

  • The U.S. has quietly supported the Venezuelan opposition for years. Gill, Timothy M. Washington Post – Blogs, Washington: WP Company LLC d/b/a The Washington Post. Feb 19, 2019. From ProQuest.

SandyGeorgia (Talk) 02:55, 19 April 2019 (UTC)[reply]

1959 Iraq

The 1959 Iraq section[4] strikes me as speculative and tenuous. I'm not removing it yet, but I'm interested in what others think.Adoring nanny (talk) 01:58, 10 May 2019 (UTC)[reply]

It's not speculative, please read the footnotes. The section was watered down to obscure the cooperation between US intelligence and Saddam Hussein. The cooperation also existed after Saddam had to flee because the operation was botched. Because it was watered down, you got the misimpression that it's "speculative." Please read the sources and think of ways to remove weazel words and of other ways to improve it.--NYCJosh (talk) 18:28, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Of course the section is highly speculative; it's based entirely on anonymous sources speaking out nearly 50 years after the fact in 2003 to just one news outlet (UPI) and never confirmed by any other news agencies (including the U.S.'s major papers of record, The New York Times and The Washington Post) or any academic sources or any declassified documents. As can be seen from the archives (here, here, and here), both of the proponents of including this content—most prominently NYCJosh—candidly acknowledged when pressed that they were not in confident possession of additional corroborative evidence of U.S. involvement but rather relied solely on that single dodgy source from 2003; neither could name an academic expert that wholeheartedly endorsed Sale's allegations, although I am aware of several academics that have raised major concerns about their veracity, as well as others that take the more neutral stance that there is no definitive proof either way (then again, it is a matter of basic logic that one cannot prove a negative). Unless he has new sources or bombshell declassified documents at his disposal, I have no idea why NYCJosh would continue to blithely act as though the content in question isn't even controversial in the slightest and is the equivalent of the many undisputed historical facts cited throughout this article. Given the rancorous debates of the past and the fact that there has been some serious academic inquiry into this matter in recent years, I would not support any effort by Adoring nanny (or anyone else) to remove this content at this time (although it is better-suited for other articles than this one); however, the standard of evidence that NYCJosh would like to apply (selectively, I hope) to this case is extraordinarily low and inconsistent with Wikipedia's core content polices, starting with WP:NPOV. Wikipedia can't treat Sale/UPI 2003 as gospel truth, ignoring all other sources/evidence, no matter how strongly NYCJosh might choose to believe every word of it.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 20:59, 9 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

RFC on Venezuela

I propose to add text to the article concerning Venezuela (1998-present). GPRamirez5 (talk) 00:05, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

I propose to add the following text to the article:

1998-present:Venezuela

Shortly after Hugo Chávez’s election as president, the US government-funded National Endowment for Democracy (NED) initiated guidance of Venezuelan political parties towards his defeat.[1] NED agents traveled to Venezuela and met individually with Venezuelan party leaders from the opposition, offering guidance on how to electorally defeat Chávez, construct coalition political platforms and reach out to youth.[2] Stephen Kinzer and other scholars have cited the NED as a successor to the CIA’s regime change programs of the 1960s, dedicated to a neoliberal economic agenda. [3][4] A coalition of all the main NED funded organizations spearheaded the two-month lockout and production stoppage at Venezuela’s central oil company, which, when it ended in February 2003, had cost the Venezuelan people approximately $10 billion in economic damage as a means of destabilizing the Chavez government. .[5] US diplomats also met with the opposition over the course of a decade to advise strategy against Chavez.

Agencies such as the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) and Office of Transition Initiatives (OTI) initiated operations developing neutral-looking organizations in poor neighborhoods focused on community initiatives such as participatory democracy. U.S. ambassador William Brownfield described how USAID/OTI, “directly reached approximately 238,000 adults through over 3,000 forums…providing opportunities for opposition activists to interact with hardcore Chavistas, with the desired effect of pulling them slowly away from Chavismo.”

USAID/OTI also materially supported the recently developed anti-Chávez student movement, which produced the political career of Juan Guaidó and other young opposition leaders. OTI functionaries provided students with resources including paper and microphones, paid for travel expenses, and organized seminars to maximize resistance to the socialist government. According to a Washington Post analysis, “U.S. diplomats regularly met with opposition student leaders who primarily operated in Caracas, discussing plans of action against the Chávez government.”

The campaign against Venezuela’s left-leaning government continued under four US presidents, Most recently, the Trump administration has recognized the opposition leader Juan Guaido as president and openly threatened to launch military action to overthrow the government of Nicolas Maduro.[6]

References

  1. ^ Timothy M. Gill, "The Possibilities and Pitfalls of Left-Wing Populism in Socialist Venezuela" Journal of World-Systems Research, Vol. 24, Issue 2,University of Pittsburgh Press
  2. ^ Timothy M. Gill, "The US has quietly supported the Venezuelan opposition for years" The Washington Post
  3. ^ Stephen Kinzer, “Trump Is Gutting the National Endowment for Democracy, and That’s a Good Thing” The Boston Globe, March 14, 2018
  4. ^ "The US government…supports the nominally non-partisan NED, which has funded groups in a variety of countries (such as Haiti and Venezuela) that support neoliberalism and other US foreign policy aims. The NED performs, in the words of a former director, some of the very same tasks the CIA used to carry out to promote regimes that were favorable to the United States. Schell describes this strategy as 'faking civil society' noting that this has long been practice by agents of the US government acting in other countries, but that more recently its use has grown within the United States." Jackie Smith, Social Movements for Global Democracy(Johns Hopkins University Press, 2010), p. 21.
  5. ^ Barry Cannon, Hugo Chavez and the Bolivarian Revolution (Oxford University Press, 2009), p. 160, 190-191
  6. ^ Timothy M. Gill, "The US has quietly supported the Venezuelan opposition for years" The Washington Post

GPRamirez5 (talk) 00:05, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Support new text

  • I'm not sure why there is even debate about this, other than WP:STONEWALLING and anti-Chavez POV. Even this mainstream book on Venezuela acknowledges:

    Felix Rodriguez, a former CIA operative and influential Bush supporter in south Florida, claimed in an interview with Miami’s Channel 22 that the administration has “contingency plans.” When pressed to explain, Rodriguez said the plans “could be economic measures and even military measures.” Rodriguez and his views must be taken seriously…it is not as if the Venezuelan leader is unjustified in feeling paranoid. In the run up to the April 2002 coup d'etat against the Chavez regime, the Bush administration funneled US taxpayer money to the Venezuelan opposition through the National Endowment for Democracy.

GPRamirez5 (talk) 00:10, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

  • Support. Frankly I'm surprised there isn't already a section on Venezuela and the presented text looks like a good and well-referenced start. I've browsed the discussion on this matter that appeared earlier on this talk page and the objection on the grounds of 'recentism' is, I feel, bogus. Oska (talk) 02:20, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support — this is an important addition to the article.--Jack Upland (talk) 08:01, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support, although I would imagine that such a section should include more mention of the 2002 Venezuelan coup d'état attempt. signed, Rosguill talk 19:06, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support — As editors have already mentioned, this is well-referenced and fills an important gap in the article as it currently stands. I don't think WP:TOOSOON applies here at all; US involvement in regime change in Venezuela is clearly notable based on its coverage in the sources listed, among others. I agree with Rosguill that the 2002 Venezuelan coup d'état attempt would be useful to include. I also did some minor copyediting of the text, which you can see here. Hope it helps. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 18:29, 2 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support--Our article is about "overt and covert actions aimed at altering, replacing, or preserving foreign governments..." I agree with Cmonghost. --NYCJosh (talk) 18:44, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support the text, with modifications if necessary. Reading this cited piece from Gill in the news section of the Washington Post [5], it's clear there is ample material available (in reliable sources) showing long-term US interest in replacing the Venezuelan government. -Darouet (talk) 02:22, 8 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Support. It seems strange to cite recentism at this point - this isn't that recent - but even beyond that, there has been extensive, sustained coverage both in the news and academia, so I don't see how recentism could apply. --Aquillion (talk) 04:51, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Oppose

  • Oppose as written I am not opposed to having a section on Venezuela. However, as written, the proposal is inconsistent with WP:NPOV. In addition to the problem of ignoring the rest of the world, which I discuss below, Obama didn't sanction Venezuela until it started shooting demonstrators. So it's really accurate to say the campaign against Venezuela "continued" under Obama; rather, he put an end to it until the shootings and similar outrages.Adoring nanny (talk) 13:07, 5 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Adoring nanny: A start has to be made and, in my opinion, this is a decent start. Edits (and discussion of edits) to the proposed text can be made once the text is added (as is, of course, usual wikipedia practice). Previously added sections on Venezuela have been removed completely rather than an attempt being made to find a good compromise text. It's important that this article has a section on Venzuela (as you agree) and so we must make a start otherwise GPRamirez5's charge of stonewalling would appear to have some validity. Oska (talk) 09:46, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I suspect the stonewalling charge does not pertain to me. Typically in this type of RfC, the creator is willing to make adjustments in response to reasonable criticisms. This time, the opposite appears to be the case, which is concerning as I imagine the resistance would be likely to continue after insertion, resulting in an unfortunate situation. I made considerable efforts below to get a more acceptable text, which as you can see went nowhere. Had they been successful, I would have supported.Adoring nanny (talk) 11:44, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Oppose in current form Can't find much supporting evidence for claims in sections 2 & 3, detailing the USAID & OTI involvement. I'm also highly skeptical of Timothy M. Gill and his attempts at substituting verbosity for scholarship. He has more than 2 dozen borderline irrelevant papers on Venezuela & Lat Am that have failed to make a noteworthy impact in the research community. More reliable research should be used for claims like those proposed for inclusion in the article.--ColumbiaXY (talk) 03:36, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@ColumbiaXY: For supporting info on USAID and OTI, the WaPo article links to this article, written by Gill and Rebecca Hanson, another academic researching Latin America. They conducted interviews with USAID/OTI employees and contractors through their research. There is also this William Brownfield cable released by Wikileaks outlining USAID/OTI goals, which related directly to weakening and dividing chavismo. Your criticism of Gill doesn't seem particularly substantive; his work has appeared in numerous peer-reviewed journals and has been cited by other researchers, clear indicators that his work is being taken up by others. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 13:31, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Cmonghost: I've checked TM Gill's work via Researchgate and Web of Science. His papers offering some support to the ideas he presents in WaPo and thenation are very new and have between 0 and 2 citations each. Data backing his claims and numbers I could not find from other researches. Rebecca Hanson's trak record on Venezuela does not look better -her papers are also very recent and don't seem to have made an impact -at least not yet. Should other academic sources confirm those mentions i will support including the sections. --ColumbiaXY (talk) 05:44, 8 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Oppose Besides the recentism and neutrality issues pointed out in the past, the section is vague and broad regarding the reported involvement of the United States. For example, the section mentions the 2002 oil strike and the student movement, but it doesn't mention that, at first, the purpose of the strike was to protest against the firing of oil executives (which Chávez even admitted later that he abused power) and that the latter sought to protest against the closure of one of Venezuela's oldest television stations, Radio Caracas Televisión, as well as a constitutional referendum that would have allowed indefinite presidential reelection. This is opposition to the government, but not regime change. It's also important to note that foreign funding of political parties and NGOs was prohibited in 2010, which mean there hasn't be financing ever since. The section is based mostly in the position of a single author Timothy M. Gill, as well as opinion articles, which makes me worry about cherrypicking and the need of secondary sources. Without going into detail about which opposition parties or non-government organizations have been funded, like it is done in the Poland and Yugoslavia sections, as well as its efforts, can lead to a worrying oversimplification.
Chávez has been accusing the US of conspiring to carry out a coup, an invasion or an assassination, which means that allegations of US involvement and fearmongering aren't new; the thing is that most of the time it's only that, accusations and allegations. The articles describes mostly involvement in coups, discredit campaigns, electoral intervention or financement, military interventions, assassinations, weapon assistance, etc, but most importantly, actual regime change. This is not the case in Venezuela. Even if this involvement is politically or electorally indirect, like I've mentioned, the extent of its effects on regime change is disputed, or even if it can be considered as such. Pinging editors involved in previous discussions: @BobFromBrockley and SandyGeorgia:--Jamez42 (talk) 18:40, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Jamez42: So, for clarity, is your position that there should be no section for Venezuela in this article?
And by the way, regarding your pinging of two editors, I hope they weren't chosen for holding views similar to your own. Perhaps you might like to review WP:CANVAS. Oska (talk) 01:03, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Answering last things first, my pinging was chosen, like I said, in the participants of previous discussions regarding Venezuela in this talk page, namely the "Recentism?" and "Scope (again)" sections. GPRamirez5 opened this RfC and Adoring nanny has already joined the discussion, so the editors left were BobFromBrockley and SandyGeorgia. Please remember to assume good faith.
That being said, my position at the very least would is opposed of using 1998 as a starting year. I fear that quoting financement of political parties and NGOs, whose purposes can be completely different from politics or electoral participation (see Súmate, for instance), without going into detail about which ones they are and their role in seeking a regime change would be ambiguous, broad, or even far-fetched. Again: mere opposition should not be considered, by itself, regime change.
I imagine that a section could be started given the recent events and the presidential crisis, but In think that we need a discussion to agree on what constitutes regime change. However, I still fear that there might be bias due to recentism (and Donald Trump's rhetoric has certainly not helped with that), and I would be support having the discussion once an actual change of government occurs. Before that, I think direct involvement should be considered; for instance, if it is referenced that Guaidó received help to be chosen as deputy, as president of the National Assembly or if he was influenced to declare himself as president.
In short, I'm don't rule out completely the idea of having the section. --Jamez42 (talk) 13:04, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Oppose text as written per Jamez42. The text suffers from WP:RECENTISM, NPOV and is strongly based on Timothy Gill. Comment: better criteria need to be defined in this article to understand where do we want to go with a section on Venezuela in this article.--MaoGo (talk) 20:10, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Oppose text as written I think there should be such a section in this article and certainly some account of the 1998+ period, but it needs to be phrased much more carefully. The proposed text is highly POV, very selective in its sources, and gives a misleading impression. In particular, especially for the 2019 period, it makes it seem as if the US role was far more unilateral and exceptional than it has been, given that the US has acted in concert with several other countries, including in the region. The case illustrates some of the blurry lines between different forms of action which get linked into “regime change”: legitimate support for democratic opposition movements, humanitarian aid or rhetorical support for allied politicians - through to electoral interference and armed intervention. BobFromBrockley (talk) 11:25, 16 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Discussion

The last paragraph should note that most of Europe and South America followed the US lead.Adoring nanny (talk) 23:13, 1 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

It doesn't seem to be noted in the relevant source material.GPRamirez5 (talk) 01:07, 2 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
It took me about 30 seconds to find this via Google.[6] I'm sure there are better sources, and frankly they can't be hard to find.Adoring nanny (talk) 03:08, 2 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
I see, but that Times article also notes the neutrality of the United Nations and the position of China. If we're noting every third party then we're starting a tangent that's non-encyclopedic. The relevant matter is the United States-Venezuela relationship.GPRamirez5 (talk) 13:56, 2 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
The problem is that you make it look like some unilateralist thing, which it isn't. See Responses to the 2019 Venezuelan presidential crisis. No one has objected to mentioning British and Canadian involvement in the liberation of Western Europe, or the 34-country coalition for Desert Storm, so it's not just the Venezuela portion.Adoring nanny (talk) 02:39, 3 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Well then I'll object to it now. Third parties shouldn't be mentioned unless necessary. The US is the world's only superpower, it goes without saying that many countries would follow its lead for political reasons. The US has a track record of using its power and privilege to coerce other countries' foreign policy in these matters, so we should avoid WP:UNDUE emphasis on it.GPRamirez5 (talk) 05:52, 5 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
"Obama didn't sanction Venezuela until it started shooting demonstrators." That's an dubious point User:Adoring nanny. Do you have any theories as to why Obama did not sanction Saudi Arabia for shooting demonstrators in Bahrain, or bombing masses of civilians in Yemen? Or perhaps on why he did not sanction Colombia for its links to death squads that kill dozens of union leaders and journalists every year? GPRamirez5 (talk) 14:16, 5 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Whataboutism. --Jamez42 (talk) 17:12, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
It is not whataboutism to point out that the US ignores some human rights abuses and not others. The value of the comparison between Venezuela and say Saudi Arabia, as I see it, is not just to call the US a hypocrite to make them look bad (which would be whataboutism)—it is to point out that the US's standard human-rights excuse for intervention in other nations' affairs does not really hold water because it is only ever applied to the US's opponents (ideological or otherwise). Thus it doesn't matter whether "Obama didn't sanction Venezuela until it started shooting demonstrators"; if the US's goal in sanctioning Venezuela was to protect demonstrators it would have sanctioned Saudia Arabia and many others long ago. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 02:08, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Actually you and the Nanny would seem to be engaging in the "whataboutism" Jamez42, using recent Venezuelan abuses to excuse US subversion which was already well underway.GPRamirez5 (talk) 20:52, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Continue with personal attacks and I will start a complaint in the admin's noticeboard. You have already been warned in the past about this and it is already a long lasting behavior. --Jamez42 (talk) 21:03, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Jamez42: Perhaps I can contribute an 'outsider' opinion here (as I haven't ever edited this article and only came to it after seeing the RfC notification). I looked through the talk page before making my first comments here and I have noticed a number of times when you call out supposed 'personal attacks' by GPRamirez5 when there seems to be very little to complain about (including this example that I am replying to). It would seem to me that such call-outs are inflammatory in themselves and derail proper discussion. I suggest you tone it down. Oska (talk) 00:49, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
By your own reasoning wouldn't you have initiated the personal attack, since you cried "whataboutism" first? Mind the boomerang on those noticeboards, they're a mother...GPRamirez5 (talk) 22:39, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Let me point out additionally that there is nothing to impugn about the scholarship of Timothy Gill. Anyone who has an issue should take it up with The Washington Post and the University of Pittsburgh Press who've published this research by him. They can also take it up with Johns Hopkins University Press and Oxford University Press, who've published the other sources.GPRamirez5 (talk) 16:51, 6 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Everyone please cool down. We have a content dispute. We don't need to make it about other editors.Adoring nanny (talk) 01:23, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Thought I would note a reference I saw just today indicating a general recognition of US regime change campaigns against Venezuela (4th element in list):

In concrete terms, this means the Quincy Institute will likely advocate a withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan and Syria; a return to the nuclear deal with Iran; less confrontational approaches to Russia and China; an end to regime-change campaigns against Venezuela and Cuba; and sharp reductions in the defense budget.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2019/06/30/soros-and-koch-brothers-team-end-forever-war-policy/WhyENwjhG0vfo9Um6Zl0JO/story.html

Oska (talk) 12:53, 2 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

2019

@Jamez42: re: your suggestion above that the US's actions in Venezuela don't constitute regime change—such claims are belied by stories like this, which describes how groups working to get humanitarian aid into Venezuela are having difficulty with US aid because of the degree to which it is politicized:

  • President Donald Trump has so closely linked U.S. humanitarian assistance to his attempt to oust Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro — even placing goods along the country’s border as an incentive for Venezuelans to revolt — that some groups are citing security concerns and asking U.S. officials if they can strip legally required U.S. branding from aid sent to Venezuela, three aid officials told POLITICO.
  • “This whole idea that in Venezuela aid was going to be part of a political change process — it’s rare to see it that overt,” said Joel Charny of the Norwegian Refugee Council
  • Over the next few weeks, the U.S. dropped off more than 200 tons of food, medicine and other humanitarian aid at points along Venezuela’s border, with the goal of spurring Venezuelans — including military leaders — to rally against Maduro and push him out.

It's clear that reliable sources, as well as people on the ground involved with USAID, recognize the goal of US involvement. Direct foreign funding to NGOs and political parties is not the only way to carry out regime change. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 02:01, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

@Cmonghost: Sure, but my response was addressed directly at the section proposed, and there's not mention of the aid shipment on it. Even in that case, like I mentioned above, we should have a discussion on the definition or what constitutes a involvement in regime change. Shipment of humanitarian aid is very different of election interference, for example. --Jamez42 (talk) 13:24, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Is it your position that actions with the goal of spurring Venezuelans — including military leaders — to rally against Maduro and push him out do not constitute regime change efforts? Reliable sources, including peer-reviewed journal articles such as the ones cited in the proposed text, as well as the news article I cited, clearly indicate otherwise. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 16:44, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Cmonghost: It is my position that attribution and secondary sources should be used before concluding that shipping humanitarian aid ultimately had the goal to "spurring Venezuelans — including military leaders — to rally against Maduro and push him out". I'm not sure which other sources or articles you mean, but please provide them if there are others. Yes, there were criticisms regarding the politicization of the shipment, including from the UN, but politicization is different from regime change. --Jamez42 (talk) 18:22, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Jamez42: Why is attribution necessary? We have only seen sources supporting one perspective. If there is another, no one has provided any sources for it yet—only opinions. As for secondary sourcing, the article I just linked and then quoted from is a secondary source, per the definition at WP:SECONDARY. Here's another from NPR:
  • The U.S. effort to distribute tons of food and medicine to needy Venezuelans is more than just a humanitarian mission. The operation is also designed to foment regime change in Venezuela — which is why much of the international aid community wants nothing to do with it.
  • U.S. officials acknowledge that positioning the aid on the border is, in part, designed to provoke. The idea is to convince Venezuelan military officers to defy Maduro's orders and allow the aid into the country.
  • "Members of the army are Venezuelan citizens. ... Our hope is that they will be able to persuade Maduro, or they will simply disobey orders to continue the starvation of the people of Venezuela," Elliott Abrams, the U.S. special envoy for Venezuela, said at a State Department briefing earlier this month. [...] Such a rebellion could lead to Maduro's ouster
I am sure you can find more if you put in a little effort. This isn't meaningfully contested, even by US officials. The explicit goal is regime change. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 20:39, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Because per WP:NPOV (WP:WIKIVOICE), opinions and seriously contested assertions must avoid being presented as fact. Politico's quotes of the unnamed three aid officials appears to have been regarding "security concerns and asking U.S. officials if they can strip legally required U.S. branding from aid", and not the "attempt to oust Venezuelan", and Joel Charny of the Norwegian Refugee Council was the one quoted to asset that the "idea that in Venezuela aid was going to be part of a political change process". Even though government change is the most expected political change, this change could be any other than government change, such as changing the members of the Electoral Council. The transcript of the NPR source you provided doesn't talk about government change in an editorial voice, saying that "The risks of linking aid to regime change are already coming into focus" and quoting Daniel Almeida, a CARE International volunteer, warning that "Local AGOs received sort of retaliations or warnings because of their engagement with international aid." and that The whole environment is becoming more aggressive." Allegations of intentions of military intervention aren't new, including along the shipment of the humanitarian aid, which has been rejected by the US and OAS secretary general Luis Almagro. Vice President Delcy Rodríguez even went has far as saying that the aid was "carcinogenic", a claim dismissed by the and the US administration, USAID administrator Mark Green and deputy José Manuel Olivares.
These are quotes and contested assertions, and as such they should be attributed at the very least. Per WP:BURDEN, you are the one that must provide references and demonstrate that the "explicit goal is regime change". In any case, this would be the case with this year's events, any my previous points stand for the rest of the pre-2019 allegations. --Jamez42 (talk) 13:37, 8 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Jamez42: I'll first address your attempts to rule out the sources I provided. Politico says, in their editorial voice, Over the next few weeks, the U.S. dropped off more than 200 tons of food, medicine and other humanitarian aid at points along Venezuela’s border, with the goal of spurring Venezuelans — including military leaders — to rally against Maduro and push him out. The NPR article I posted says, in their editorial voice, The operation is also designed to foment regime change in Venezuela. The transcript of the audio version also links aid to regime change, stating The U.S. is trying to convince Venezuelan military officers to defy Maduro's orders and allow the aid into the country. Such a rebellion could lead to Maduro's ouster. Furthermore, the part you quote, the risks of linking aid to regime change are already coming into focus, when read in context is a clear statement that the US is doing so (otherwise why would the risks thereof be coming into focus?). Here's another example, from the editorial voice of the NYT: The United States military began flying humanitarian aid to a Colombian city close to the Venezuelan border on Saturday in an effort to turbocharge a relief plan that has become a cornerstone of the quest to oust President Nicolás Maduro.
To establish that the assertions made in these reliable sources are "seriously contested" we would need to see some sources contesting them. Otherwise we're just talking about your opinions, which unfortunately are not relevant in this context. You have yet to provide any (the sources you linked are denials of military intervention plans, not denials that the aid program has the goal of removing Maduro), but here are some more sources describing the US as having the goal of regime change anyway:
Your points actually don't stand for the rest of the pre-2019 "allegations" for the same reason they don't stand for the 2019 ones: because you haven't provided any evidence that reliable sources contest them. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 20:33, 9 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

@Cmonghost: Wait, now hold on a second. This is at least the second time you suggest that I'm presenting my opinions as justifications for the changes, which is an unjust treatment since I have quoted references and policy guidelines. Since this is a controversial topic, I ask you to please refrain from it. That being said, we are mixing and confusing three different issues here at hand: pre-2019 events, the presidential crisis as a whole and the humanitarian aid shipment.

Since you and I have talked about 2019 and the president crisis so far, we should ask: does the United States want a government change in Venezuela? Sure, this is an issue that is uncontested based on public declarations, and not only the US but also the Organization of American States, the European Union and more than 50 other countries. Otherwise they wouldn't have asked Maduro to summon new elections, declared him as illegitimate when he didn't and recognize Guaidó as legitimate president; however, these are just wishes, willingness and supoort at most. Is different to say that the United States wants government change instead of promoting it. Let's remember that we are discussing and considering "overt and covert actions". Sure, diplomatic declarations and actions can count as such, but the article deals mostly with the actions I described in my first response. I will use your same quotes to point this out, "President Donald Trump is still committed to a pressure campaign to force Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to step aside to make way for opposition leader Juan Guaido.", "U.S. Vice President Mike Pence told the Security Council on Wednesday the Trump administration is determined to remove President Nicolás Maduro from power in Venezuela, preferably through diplomatic and economic pressure, but "all options are on the table"."

There are arguably three main events during the presidential crisis that have had the intention to undermine Maduro's authority: the 23 January proclamation of Guaidó, the 23 February aid shipment and the 30 April uprising. Direct involvement of the US in the first and third ones hs not been discussed here, besides possible diplomatic support. If we are going to focus on the aid shipment, we have to reference which is this involvement, which are these actions, specifically focused on producing a regime change, and not only intent. Copying the quotes above:

  1. President Donald Trump has so closely linked U.S. humanitarian assistance to his attempt to oust Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro — even placing goods along the country’s border as an incentive for Venezuelans to revolt — that some groups are citing security concerns and asking U.S. officials if they can strip legally required U.S. branding from aid sent to Venezuela, three aid officials told POLITICO.
  2. This whole idea that in Venezuela aid was going to be part of a political change process — it’s rare to see it that overt,” said Joel Charny of the Norwegian Refugee Council
  3. Over the next few weeks, the U.S. dropped off more than 200 tons of food, medicine and other humanitarian aid at points along Venezuela’s border, with the goal of spurring Venezuelans — including military leaders — to rally against Maduro and push him out.
  4. The U.S. effort to distribute tons of food and medicine to needy Venezuelans is more than just a humanitarian mission. The operation is also designed to foment regime change in Venezuela — which is why much of the international aid community wants nothing to do with it.
  5. U.S. officials acknowledge that positioning the aid on the border is, in part, designed to provoke. The idea is to convince Venezuelan military officers to defy Maduro's orders and allow the aid into the country.
  6. "Members of the army are Venezuelan citizens. ... Our hope is that they will be able to persuade Maduro, or they will simply disobey orders to continue the starvation of the people of Venezuela," Elliott Abrams, the U.S. special envoy for Venezuela, said at a State Department briefing earlier this month. [...] Such a rebellion could lead to Maduro's ouster.
  7. The U.S. is trying to convince Venezuelan military officers to defy Maduro's orders and allow the aid into the country. Such a rebellion could lead to Maduro's ouster.

Only quotes 1 and 3 mention that there's a specific intention to promove a rebellion, which are from the Politico source. While quote 5 mentions willingness for "military officers to defy Maduro's orders", it continues saying that it is only to allow the aid into the country; quote 6 doesn't specify what disobeying orders means, and quote 7 also says that the goal of defying orders was to allow aid into the country, not regime change. Yes, military insubordination is related with regime change, but the reference needs to say that was the goal, and not allowing the trucks across the border, or otherwise it simply is original research.

I need to ask again. It is the case that the humanitarian aid shipment, which intended to deliver food and medicines to Venezuelans that needed them, had the "explicit goal of regime change"?. Let's not lose focus of this, this is what needs attribution and secondary sources. I will remind that my first response to the RfC was completely unrelated with the shipment of humanitarian aid, and before I continue contesting the allegations it must be decided first which one of these are going to be included to the article. WP:BURDEN stands. --Jamez42 (talk) 19:56, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

@Jamez42: Sorry, but I don't see a problem with pointing out when claims, such as that reliably sourced information is "seriously contested", are based on reliable sources or on editors' opinions. That isn't intended to denigrate you, just to indicate that you have not supported your claims with any sources.
I initially brought up the aid shipment as an additional example, because you suggested that the US's actions did not constitute regime change; the reaction to the shipment indicates that those working on the ground, as well as reliable sources, think otherwise. I didn't feel it necessary to provide more sources for the incidents mentioned in the draft because they are already sourced in the draft, and no one has brought forward sources indicating that they are contested. If you don't think it is relevant here since the RfC text doesn't mention it directly, I would be open to continuing the discussion outside the RfC itself, but I do think that the aid shipment should be part of the eventual Venezuela section of this article for the reasons I've already stated.
I'll point out the following about your list of quotations:
(a) You appear to have chosen selectively. For example, you left out this quote from the NPR article: The operation is also designed to foment regime change in Venezuela. You also missed the article from NYT, which says The United States military began flying humanitarian aid to a Colombian city close to the Venezuelan border on Saturday in an effort to turbocharge a relief plan that has become a cornerstone of the quest to oust President Nicolás Maduro (emphasis added).
(b) Even if we rule out all sources but the Politico article (which I would contest), we are still left with (at least) 1 RS asserting that the aid shipment had the goal of regime change and 0 RS asserting the inverse. In other words, you still haven't shown evidence that the assertions in the quotations are "seriously contested" by anyone other than yourself.
I fail to understand why you continue to suggest that "attribution and secondary sources" are necessary. I have provided numerous secondary sources, including those above, and attribution is not necessary for uncontested and uncontroversial factual assertions. Note that, again, "uncontested and uncontroversial" means among reliable sources, not among Wikipedia editors. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 20:28, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Cmonghost: I didn't include quotes unrelated to the shipment, sorry if I missed those. Still, neither of them go into depths about any actions (which and how), only intent. Almagro's quote directly contests the claims. He's quoted saying that the aid es puramente ayuda alimentaria y humanitaria, and nadie está planificando ninguna invasión ni nada de ese tipo, which translated as "[the aid] is purely food and humanitarian aid", and "nobody is planning an invasion and nothing similar". He also was present during the delivery of the aid, and he wished that everything went along peacefully. --Jamez42 (talk) 20:41, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
@Jamez42: What more depth do you need them to go into? The NYT source clearly lists the actions ("flying humanitarian aid to a Colombian city close to the Venezuelan border") as well as the goal ("to oust Maduro").
As for Almagro, I don't see how he can be considered a reliable source for the intentions of the United States—he's an involved and clearly biased individual. That's not comparable to NYT or even Politico. Even if he was a reliable source, though, he's not contesting that the aid has the goal of weakening Maduro's position or encouraging an ouster, he's just contesting claims that the aid is a pretext for military invasion, or that the aid contains weapons. That's not what's being asserted in the sources I provided, so to bring it up here seems a bit of a strawman argument. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 20:52, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
  • Comment I want to seek clarification here on a couple vague arguments I'm seeing in the "oppose" section.
  • Recentism — A number of opposing editors have suggested that the text suffers from recentism. None have specified what part of the text is problematic due to recentism.
  • Timothy Gill — Several opposing editors have suggested that it is a problem that Timothy Gill's research is cited several times in the text. None have made substantive criticism of the research itself; none have explained why it is a problem for our article to be based on research by an academic subject-matter expert; and none have provided alternative experts or any peer-reviewed studies contradicting Gill's work.
  • Ambiguity about what constitutes regime change — Some opposing editors have mentioned that better or more clear criteria on what constitutes regime change in this article are needed; none have suggested any. (Note that as NYCJosh points out, there are quite clear criteria in the first line of the article itself, which reads: United States involvement in regime change has entailed both overt and covert actions aimed at altering, replacing, or preserving foreign governments.)
I would welcome further discussion on any of the above points, or some supporting sources, if anyone is willing to elaborate. Thanks. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 21:04, 7 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Laos section/Third World Traveler

I don't have any strong opinions about this latest addition by NYCJosh concerning the U.S. role in Laos during the Vietnam War, but I removed the link to Third World Traveler as a source; as I recall, Third World Traveler was blacklisted on Wikipedia several years ago because of large-scale copyright violations. I don't have the internal wikilinks on hand, but there was even a clean-up project to remove any references to the site from Wikipedia, and I have no reason to believe that the situation today is any different.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 21:13, 9 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

I found this page which makes reference to the cleanup project User:Groupuscule/Third World Traveler. It's also an open task on Wikipedia:WikiProject Countering systemic bias/open tasks. — cmonghost 👻 (talk) 21:05, 11 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
If you can show that the specific page of TWT that is linked to by our article, the article by William Blum cited, infringes a copyright, then you may have a point. But just because other pages of TWT are alleged to infringe copyrights does not mean this one does. That's like saying any webpage that links to any article of WP is a contributory copyright infringer because you can show that there are a couple of other articles of WP that infringe copyrights--not that any article of our precious WP would even do such a thing :-) ````
Blum was a published author that profited from his writings. Where is the evidence that he waived copyright and consented to have Third World Traveler republish this article or any of his work? This is precisely the issue: Third World Traveler has "reprinted" much copyrighted content without necessarily having the rights to it. Frankly, Blum isn't a very reliable source—his Wikipedia bio labels him as an "historian" but he has no historical training or degree, and there's no shortage of actual historians out there—but I wouldn't necessarily have any issue with you citing Blum as a source but merely dropping the link to this blacklisted site, because I don't know that Blum's claims about Laos are exceptional or at odds with the consensus of historians.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 21:08, 13 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Also, Josh, I can't tell if you are genuinely unaware, but this "article" is actually chapter 24 of Blum's book Rogue State: A Guide to the World's Only Superpower ([7]), complete with all of the footnotes. It's just bizarre that you would assert that Third World Traveler has the right to "reprint" it unless I am able to prove that Blum didn't waive the copyright, when you have produced zero evidence that he did. Again, basic logic suggests that you have the burden of proof reversed.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 21:17, 13 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Iraq 1963

I added information from several major newspapers (e.g. The Indepedent (U.K.)) that had based reporting in part on work by the late Said Aburish, a journalist who had been a reported for Radio Free Europe and the London Daily Mail and a writer whose tomes on major Middle East figures were published by major American and other publishing houses.

TheTimesAreChanging deleted some of this with the note that Aburish is "a conspiracy theorist." This seems pretty cavalier and inconsistent with WP rules (e.g. RS, OR)

I also added information from a piece published by a U.S. national security council staff member, author and Harvard PhD Roger Morris.

This same editor deleted this based on his personal assessment of Morris' information. Morris is giving us an inside look into the workings of the national security policy for part of the writing--telling us what CIA officials were saying at the time. --NYCJosh (talk) 23:05, 18 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]

You're using an op-ed by a non-expert and a twenty-plus years-old newspaper article to "refute" a 2011 book published by Oxford University Press, one of the world's leading academic publishers. That's unacceptable, and I don't know how often we are going to rehash these same arguments from the archives (see, e.g., here, here, and here), but any acceptable text for this article is going to have to conform to the more nuanced picture of the evidence found in recent academic RS rather than, say, the writings of Said Aburish. For example (copied at random from the archives):
  • Hahn, Peter (2011). Missions Accomplished?: The United States and Iraq Since World War I. Oxford University Press. p. 48. ISBN 9780195333381. Declassified U.S. government documents offer no evidence to support these suggestions.
  • Gibson, Bryan R. (2015). Sold Out? US Foreign Policy, Iraq, the Kurds, and the Cold War. Palgrave Macmillan. pp. xvii, 58, 200. ISBN 978-1-137-48711-7. However, a careful examination of a wide range of documents and interviews raises important questions about the veracity of these claims as to whether the CIA was behind the 1963 B'athist coup. ... In sum, barring the release of new information, the preponderance of evidence substantiates the conclusion that the CIA was not behind the February 1963 B'athist coup.
  • Citino, Nathan J. (2017). "The People's Court". Envisioning the Arab Future: Modernization in US-Arab Relations, 1945–1967. Cambridge University Press. p. 222. ISBN 9781108107556. Although the United States did not initiate the 14 Ramadan coup, at best it condoned and at worst it contributed to the violence that followed. (emphasis added)
There is much to object to in your recent edit and I provided a detailed rationale for each sentence that I removed in all of my recent edit summaries, which I would be happy to expand on here if further clarification is needed. Even on relatively minor points such as its assertion that Saddam personally participated in the 1963 purge, the Morris op-ed appears to be strikingly cavalier about the facts as this is not an assertion that I can find in Saddam's biographies; to the contrary, Karsh and Rautsi 2002 expressly states (pp. 22–23) that "Saddam, nevertheless, had nothing to do with these events" (emphasis added) as he remained "on the fringes of the newly installed Ba'thi administration and [had] to content himself with the minor position of a member of the Party's central bureau for peasants."
And, yes, Aburish is a highly unreliable source, according to relevant academic experts. Albeit on a different subject, see, for example:
  • Podeh, Elie (May 2007). "Nasser: The Last Arab by Said K. Aburish". International Journal of Middle East Studies. 39 (2): 305–307. JSTOR 30069584. Methodologically, the most serious flaw in the book is the (mis)use of sources. Aburish has ignored new sources on Nasser and Nasserism based on declassified archival material that has been published in recent years and that sheds new light on Nasser's personality, his attitude toward both East and West, his relations with other Arab leaders, and his domestic policies. Instead, Aburish has relied on old, well-known biographies as well as several biased interviews, which he accepts at face value (especially with Hasanayn Haykal and Nasser's daughter, Huda). ... The book suffers from factual mistakes and unwarranted statements ... serious students of the Nasserite period will have to wait for another biography.
Serious students of Iraq would also be well-advised to stick to the academic literature.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 00:13, 19 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
Roger Morris' editorial has been approvingly cited in academic literature. Here it is cited in a Yale University Press book.GPRamirez5 (talk) 02:45, 19 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]
"With regards to declassified documents, they are heavily classified and allow for plasuible deniability as some scholars have pointed out. I agree with Ramirez and NYCJosh Aburish has been published in many RS and books, just because he has received criticism doesn't mean we just throw his work in the garbage, especially when others have spoken good about him.
For example here's William Zeman from California State Polytechnic University:
Said K. Aburish is perhaps the most complete writer on the topic of U.S. intervention in Iraq from 1958 to1963. His books, A Brutal Friendship: The West and the Arab Elite, 1997 and Saddam Hussein: The Politics of Revenge, 2000 acknowledge the research of previous writers such as Malik Mufti, Hanna Batatu, Muhammad Heikal, and the Slugletts but go much further. Aburish’s great contribution is that he adds detailed information gained from personal experience as well as numerous interviews with key figures in the 1963 coup such as James Critchfield, CIA chief of the Middle East during 1963; Hani Fkaiki, member of the Ba’ath Party Command during 1963; and many other Americans and Iraqis both named and confidential. A Brutal Friendship cites 58 named interviews and 29 off-the-record interviews; Saddam Hussein cites 67 named interviews and 46 off-the-record interviews."24.57.43.93 (talk) 04:08, 19 July 2019 (UTC)[reply]