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Toronto—St. Paul's (federal electoral district)

Coordinates: 43°41′46″N 79°24′27″W / 43.696°N 79.4076°W / 43.696; -79.4076
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Toronto—St. Paul's
Ontario electoral district
Location in Toronto
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Carolyn Bennett
Liberal
District created1933
First contested1935
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]116,953
Electors (2015)75,852
Area (km²)[2]14
Pop. density (per km²)8,353.8
Census division(s)Toronto
Census subdivision(s)Toronto
File:Toronto St Pauls Elections Canada map 35090 (2015 boundaries).gif
Map of Toronto-St. Paul's

Toronto—St. Paul's is a federal electoral district in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1935. Its current MP is Carolyn Bennett. Prior to the 2015 election, the riding was known as St. Paul's.[3]

The small but densely populated riding covers the area to the north and northeast of Downtown Toronto (often called "Midtown" Toronto). In the past, it had been considered a bellwether riding, having been represented by only three opposition MPs. However, like most Toronto-based ridings, the Liberals have dominated recent elections. Since the Liberals won all but one seat in Ontario in their 1993 landslide, they have won all but one election in St. Paul's by 10,000 votes or more.

As of 2015, it includes the southern two-thirds of the wealthy Toronto neighbourhood of Forest Hill, plus the neighbourhoods of Deer Park, Davisville Village, Chaplin Estates, South Hill, Humewood-Cedarvale, the southern two-thirds of Fairbank, and the northern half of Summerhill.

Demographics

According to the Canada 2021 Census[4]

Ethnic groups: 63.9% White, 6.3% South Asian, 6.0% Black, 5.0% Chinese, 4.5% Filipino, 4.1% Latin American, 2.0% West Asian, 1.8% Korean, 1.1% Indigenous, 1.0% Arab, 1.0% Southeast Asian
Languages: 62.3% English, 3.7% Spanish, 2.9% Portuguese, 2.2% Tagalog, 1.8% French, 1.8% Mandarin, 1.6% Italian, 1.5% Russian, 1.5% Persian, 1.3% Korean, 1.3% Cantonese
Religions: 40.9% Christian (21.1% Catholic, 3.7% Anglican, 3.5% Christian Orthodox, 2.1% United Church, 10.5% Other), 15.1% Jewish, 3.7% Muslim, 3.2% Hindu, 1.1% Buddhist, 34.8% None

Median income: $50,400 (2020)
Average income: $96,000 (2020)

History

The riding of Toronto—St. Pauls was created in 1933 from parts of the Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast, Toronto South and Toronto West Centre ridings.

It consisted initially of the central part of the City of Toronto ("Downtown Toronto"). It was bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by Sherbourne Street and on the north and west by a line drawn from Sherbourne Street west along Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the belt line railway, south and west along the western limit of the city, south along Dunvegan Road, east along St. Clair Avenue, south along Poplar Plains Road, west along Dupont Street, south along St. George and Beverley Streets, east along Queen Street, south along John Street.

In 1947, it was redefined to consist of the part of the city of Toronto bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by a line drawn from the Bay north along Sherbourne Street, west along Bloor Street East and north along Yonge Street, on the north by the south boundary of Ward Nine of the city of Toronto, and on the west by a line drawn from the Bay north on John Street, west along Queen Street West, north on Beverley Street and along St. George Street, east along Dupont Street, north along Davenport Road and Poplar Plains Road, west along St. Clair Avenue West, north along Dunvegan Road, east and north along the city limit to the southern boundary of Ward Nine.

In 1966, the southern part of the riding, what would be considered to be "Downtown Toronto" was removed from the electoral district (added to Rosedale electoral district) and the riding was shifted northward redefined to consist of the part of Metropolitan Toronto bounded by a line drawn from Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the Canadian National Railway line, north along Elmsthorpe Avenue, west along Eglinton Avenue, north along Castlewood Road, west along Briar Hill Avenue, south along Old Park Road and Glen Cedar Road, southeast along Claxton Boulevard, south along Bathurst Street and east along Bloor Street to Yonge Street.

In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway line north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north and east along the eastern limit of the City of York, east and north along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Yonge Street and westerly along the CPR line to Ossington Avenue (removing lands between the CPR lands and Bloor Street).

In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north along the eastern limit of the City of York, east along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Bathurst Street, southeast along the Belt Line (formerly the Canadian National Railway), east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south and east along the eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, south along the ravine situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south and east along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Woodlawn Avenue East, south along Yonge Street, and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.

In 2003, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Toronto bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Holland Park Avenue, north along Oakwood Avenue, west along Rogers Road, north along Dufferin Street, east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south along the former eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, southeast along the Don River Tributary situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Jackes Avenue, south along Yonge Street and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.

In the 2012 electoral redistribution, St. Paul's lost territory to Don Valley West, gained a small fraction from Davenport and was renamed Toronto—St. Paul's.

Churches named for St Paul in the electoral district

From its creation until 1966, the electoral district included two prominent churches named for St Paul the apostle: St. Paul's, Bloor Street at 227 Bloor Street East, which is the largest Anglican church in Toronto by seating capacity; and St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church at Avenue Road and Webster Avenue, which was the church of many of Toronto's elite. The electoral district ceased to include 227 Bloor Street East after a redefinition of the district's boundaries in 1966. In 1980, the congregation at St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church moved to 427 Bloor Street West during a church merger creating Trinity-St. Paul's United Church. The electoral district ceased to include 427 Bloor Street West after a boundary redefinition in 1987. Therefore, Toronto—St Paul's no longer contains a St Paul's.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
St. Paul's
Riding created from Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast,
Toronto South and Toronto West Centre
18th  1935–1940     Douglas Ross Conservative
19th  1940–1945     National Government
20th  1945–1949     Progressive Conservative
21st  1949–1953     James Rooney Liberal
22nd  1953–1957     Roland Michener Progressive Conservative
23rd  1957–1958
24th  1958–1962
25th  1962–1963     Ian Wahn Liberal
26th  1963–1965
27th  1965–1968
28th  1968–1972
29th  1972–1974     Ron Atkey Progressive Conservative
30th  1974–1979     John Roberts Liberal
31st  1979–1980     Ron Atkey Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984     John Roberts Liberal
33rd  1984–1988     Barbara McDougall Progressive Conservative
34th  1988–1993
35th  1993–1997     Barry Campbell Liberal
36th  1997–2000 Carolyn Bennett
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
Toronto—St. Paul's
42nd  2015–2019     Carolyn Bennett Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Toronto—St. Paul's (parties that never received 2% of the vote are omitted)

Toronto—St. Paul's, 2015–present

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 22,844 48.86 -5.64 $88,807.52
Conservative Stephanie Osadchuk 12,126 25.83 +4.23 $26,751.24
New Democratic Sidney Coles[5] 7,749 16.51 +0.71 $31,250.09
Green Phil De Luna 2,890 6.16 -0.64 $30,817.63
People's Peter Remedios 1,340 2.85 +1.35 $1,412.77
Total valid votes/Expense limit 46,949 $112,245.61
Total rejected ballots
Turnout 46,949 56.77
Eligible voters 82,707
Source: Elections Canada[6]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 32,494 54.31 -0.95 $88,263.67
Conservative Jae Truesdell 12,933 21.61 -5.37 $95,161.27
New Democratic Alok Mukherjee 9,442 15.78 +1.06 $48,947.09
Green Sarah Climenhaga 4,042 6.76 +3.72 $447.10
People's John Kellen 923 1.54 - $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 59,834 99.04
Total rejected ballots 384 0.64 +0.20
Turnout 60,218 70.39 -2.15
Eligible voters 85,544
Liberal hold Swing +2.21
Source: Elections Canada[7][8]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 31,481 55.26 +15.34 $128,256.52
Conservative Marnie MacDougall 15,376 26.99 -5.43 $186,719.71
New Democratic Noah Richler 8,386 14.72 -7.91 $53,022.76
Green Kevin Farmer 1,729 3.03 -1.45 $3,643.09
Total valid votes/Expense limit 56,972 100.0     $210,412.41
Total rejected ballots 252
Turnout 57,224 73.9
Eligible voters 77,433
Source: Elections Canada[9][10][11]
2011 federal election redistributed results[12]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 19,563 39.92
  Conservative 15,887 32.42
  New Democratic 11,088 22.63
  Green 2,195 4.48
  Others 267 0.54

St. Paul's, 1935–2015

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 22,409 40.6 -9.9
Conservative Maureen Harquail 17,864 32.4 +5.8
New Democratic William Molls 12,124 22.0 +8.7
Green Jim McGarva 2,495 4.5 -4.6
Libertarian John Kittredge 303 0.5 -0.1
Total valid votes/Expense limit 55,195 100.0
Total rejected ballots 276 0.5
Turnout 55,471 68.2
Eligible voters 81,288
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 26,326 50.5 +0.2 $69,331
Conservative Heather Jewell 13,800 26.6 +0.8 $53,617
New Democratic Anita Agrawal 6,880 13.3 -5.9 $13,606
Green Justin Erdman 4,713 9.1 +4.3 $3,526
Libertarian John Kittredge 313 0.6 $182
Total valid votes/Expense limit 52,032 100.0 $86,488
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 29,295 50.3 -8.1
Conservative Peter Kent 15,021 25.8 +5.4
New Democratic Paul Summerville 11,189 19.2 +3.5
Green Kevin Farmer 2,785 4.8 -0.7
Total valid votes 58,290 100.0
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 32,171 58.4 +4.1
Conservative Barry Cline 11,226 20.4 -13.1*
New Democratic Norman Tobias 8,667 15.7 +6.3
Green Peter Elgie 3,031 5.5 +3.9
Total valid votes 55,095 100.0

*Comparison to total of Progressive Conservative and Canadian Alliance vote in 2000.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 25,358 54.0 -0.3
Progressive Conservative Barry Cline 10,099 21.5 -2.2
Alliance Theo Caldwell 5,457 11.6 +4.3
New Democratic Guy Hunter 4,451 9.5 -2.9
Green Don Roebuck 769 1.6 +0.4
Marijuana Andrew Potter 514 1.1
Canadian Action Mark Till 128 0.3 -0.1
Marxist–Leninist Barbara Seed 88 0.2 -0.1
Natural Law Ron Parker 83 0.2 -0.3
Total valid votes 46,947 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Carolyn Bennett 26,389 54.3 -0.1
Progressive Conservative Peter Atkins 11,520 23.7 -0.7
New Democratic Michael Halewood 6,028 12.4 +7.3
Reform Francis Floszmann 3,564 7.3 -3.8
Green Don Roebuck 597 1.2 +0.3
Natural Law Neil Dickie 221 0.5 -0.2
Canadian Action Daniel Widdicombe 182 0.4
Marxist–Leninist Fernand Deschamps 135 0.3 +0.1
Total valid votes 48,636 100.0
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Barry Campbell 27,878 54.4 +13.6
Progressive Conservative Isabel Bassett 12,500 24.4 -23.1
Reform Paul Chaplin 5,707 11.1
New Democratic David Jacobs 2,629 5.1 -4.9
National Mario Godlewski 1,253 2.4
Green Jim Harris 491 1.0 +0.3
Natural Law Rick C. Weberg 314 0.6
Independent Jim Conrad 262 0.5
Libertarian Rick Stenhouse 107 0.2 -0.4
Marxist–Leninist David Gershuny 87 0.2
Abolitionist Marion Velma Joyce 19 0.0
Commonwealth of Canada Mike Twose 10 0.0
Total valid votes 51,257 100.0
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Barbara McDougall 25,206 47.5 0.0
Liberal Aideen Nicholson 21,655 40.8 +3.0
New Democratic Diane Bull 5,303 10.0 -2.6
Green Philip Sarazen 348 0.7 -0.5
Libertarian Christian P. Sorensen 346 0.7 +0.2
Communist John MacClennan 171 0.3 +0.1
Total valid votes 53,029 100.0
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Barbara McDougall 20,914 47.6 +8.0
Liberal John Roberts 16,659 37.9 -7.4
New Democratic John Webb 5,545 12.6 -0.8
Green Joell Vanderwagen 514 1.2
Libertarian Jocelyne Demers 210 0.5 +0.1
Communist Gerry Van Houten 99 0.2 0.0
Commonwealth of Canada William Gerby 36 0.1
Total valid votes 43,977 100.0
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal John Roberts 17,905 45.3 +4.0
Progressive Conservative Ron Atkey 15,643 39.5 -4.6
New Democratic James Lockyer 5,301 13.4 +0.1
Rhinoceros Liza Armour 311 0.8 +0.5
Libertarian Dan A. Kornitzer 162 0.4 -0.3
Independent Robert Smith 108 0.3
Communist Mel Doig 76 0.2 0.0
Independent Naomi Jolliffe 37 0.1
Marxist–Leninist Keith Ramdeen 22 0.1 0.0
Total valid votes 39,565 100.0
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Ron Atkey 19,161 44.1 +1.7
Liberal John Roberts 17,949 41.3 -4.2
New Democratic James Lockyer 5,779 13.3 +2.2
Libertarian Ronald F. Bailey 325 0.7
Rhinoceros Jacques Gauthier 117 0.3
Communist Ruth Fitzgerald 97 0.2 -0.2
Marxist–Leninist Nola Moore 29 0.1 -0.1
Total valid votes 43,457 100.0
1974 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal John Roberts 16,124 45.5 +6.2
Progressive Conservative Ron Atkey 15,010 42.4 -0.1
New Democratic Lukin Robinson 3,913 11.1 -0.8
Communist Barbara Cameron 165 0.5
Independent Richard Carl Bolster 138 0.4
Marxist–Leninist Crawford McNair 56 0.2
Total valid votes 35,406 100.0
1972 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Ron Atkey 15,676 42.5 +11.7
Liberal Ian Wahn 14,484 39.3 -20.1
New Democratic Mary Boyce 4,376 11.9 +4.1
Independent Kay Macpherson 2,044 5.5
Independent Elizabeth Hill 133 0.4
Social Credit John Bilan 87 0.2
Independent Crawford McNair 48 0.1
Total valid votes 36,848 100.0
1968 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ian Wahn 20,981 59.4 +10.9
Progressive Conservative Barry Lowes 10,882 30.8 -1.6
New Democratic Robert Fenn 2,743 7.8 -11.3
Independent W.J. Russell Taylor 420 1.2
Communist Rae Allan Murphy 292 0.8
Total valid votes 35,318 100.0
1965 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ian Wahn 12,251 48.5 -8.2
Progressive Conservative Ward Markle 8,204 32.5 +4.6
New Democratic Alan Rimmer 4,821 19.1 +5.5
Total valid votes 25,276 100.0
1963 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ian Wahn 15,891 56.7 +14.8
Progressive Conservative Joel W. Aldred 7,795 27.8 -13.6
New Democratic Don Stevenson 3,794 13.5 +0.2
Social Credit Neil Carmichael 543 1.9 -0.2
Total valid votes 28,023 100.0
1962 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Ian Wahn 11,140 41.9 +16.3
Progressive Conservative Roland Michener 11,013 41.4 -23.4
New Democratic Don Stevenson 3,533 13.3 +3.7
Social Credit Neil Carmichael 563 2.1
Independent Douglas Campbell 328 1.2
Total valid votes 26,577 100.0

Note: NDP vote is compared to CCF vote in 1958 election.

1958 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Roland Michener 18,213 64.8 +7.9
Liberal Joseph S. Williams 7,212 25.7 -2.6
Co-operative Commonwealth Margot Thompson 2,686 9.6 -2.9
Total valid votes 28,111 100.0
1957 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Roland Michener 13,243 56.9 +15.4
Liberal James Rooney 6,586 28.3 -11.0
Co-operative Commonwealth Margot Thompson 2,906 12.5 -3.6
Social Credit Burton Ford 533 2.3 +0.7
Total valid votes 23,268 100.0
1953 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Roland Michener 9,738 41.5 +3.0
Liberal James Rooney 9,223 39.3 -2.4
Co-operative Commonwealth Andrew Brewin 3,786 16.1 -3.7
Communist Annie Buller Guralnick 369 1.6
Social Credit Neil Carmichael 363 1.5
Total valid votes 23,479 100.0
1949 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal James Rooney 14,000 41.7 +1.6
Progressive Conservative Roland Michener 12,922 38.5 -2.2
Co-operative Commonwealth Andrew F. Brewin 6,677 19.9 +3.6
Total valid votes 33,599 100.0
1945 Canadian federal election: St. Paul's
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Douglas Ross 12,390 40.7 -10.6
Liberal James Rooney 12,211 40.1 -8.6
Co-operative Commonwealth Andrew F. Brewin 4,958 16.3
Labor–Progressive William Kashtan 895 2.9
Total valid votes 30,454 100.0

Note: Progressive Conservative vote is compared to "National Government" vote in 1940 election.

1940 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
National Government Douglas Ross 15,591 51.3 +10.3
Liberal James Rooney 14,816 48.7 +9.8
Total valid votes 30,407 100.0

Note: "National Government" vote is compared to Conservative vote in 1935 election.

1935 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Conservative Douglas Ross 10,852 40.9
Liberal Salter Hayden 10,322 38.9
Reconstruction James Robertson 2,713 10.2
Co-operative Commonwealth Ted Jolliffe 2,628 9.9
Total valid votes 26,515 100.0

See also

References

  • "Toronto—St. Paul's (federal electoral district) (Code 35077) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

43°41′46″N 79°24′27″W / 43.696°N 79.4076°W / 43.696; -79.4076