2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
	Democratic gain Republican hold

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. Representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28.^[1] The state congressional delegation changed from 5-0 majority for Republicans to a 4-1 Republican majority. This is the first time since the 2012 election that Democrats held a seat in the state.

Results Summary

Statewide

Popular vote

Republican			61.97%
Democratic			36.35%
Independent			1.33%
Libertarian			0.35%

House seats

Republican			80.00%
Democratic			20.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:^[2]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color"\|	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color"\|
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	150,129	59.30%	103,042	40.70%	0	0.00%	253,171	100.00%	Republican Hold
District 2	140,451	65.02%	65,021	30.10%	10,530	4.87%	216,002	100.00%	Republican Hold
District 3	172,913	73.87%	61,152	26.13%	0	0.00%	234,065	100.00%	Republican Hold
District 4	149,227	63.06%	78,088	33.00%	9,323	3.94%	236,638	100.00%	Republican Hold
District 5	117,811	49.30%	121,149	50.70%	0	0.00%	238,960	100.00%	Democratic Gain
Total	730,531	61.97%	428,452	36.35%	19,853	1.68%	1,178,836	100.00%

District 1

The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent was Republican Jim Bridenstine, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected unopposed in the general election and with 81% of the vote in the Republican primary.

During his initial election in 2012, Bridenstine self-imposed a three term limit. Bridenstine has confirmed he will honor his term-limit pledge.^[3]^[4]

Bridenstine has become Administrator of NASA in the Donald Trump administration.^[5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Andy Coleman, veteran
Nathan Dahm, State Senator
Tim Harris, Tulsa district attorney
Kevin Hern, businessman
Danny Stockstill

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tim Harris	28,392	27.5
	Republican	Kevin Hern	23,425	22.7
	Republican	Andy Coleman	22,584	21.9
	Republican	Nathan Dahm	20,843	20.2
	Republican	Danny Stockstill	8,086	7.8
Total votes			103,330	100.0

Runoff

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Harris	Kevin Hern	Undecided
SoonerPoll	July 24–29, 2018	811	± 3.4%	38%	26%	36%

Results

Republican primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kevin Hern	40,373	54.9
	Republican	Tim Harris	33,138	45.1
Total votes			73,511	100.0

Democratic primary

Declared

Amanda Douglas, business analyst, energy consultant and member of the Cherokee Nation^[6]
Tim Gilpin, attorney, and former Oklahoma State Board of Education member^[7]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Tim Gilpin	24,532	34.5
	Democratic	Amanda Douglas	23,045	32.4
	Democratic	Gwendolyn Fields	13,947	19.6
	Democratic	Mark Keeter	6,013	8.5
	Democratic	David Hullum	3,573	5.0
Total votes			71,110	100.0

Runoff results

Democratic primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Tim Gilpin	16,985	59.4
	Democratic	Amanda Douglas	11,620	40.6
Total votes			28,605	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kevin Hern (R)	Tim Gilpin (D)	Undecided
SoonerPoll	September 15–25, 2018	306	± 5.6%	54%	32%	14%

Results

Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kevin Hern	150,129	59.3
	Democratic	Tim Gilpin	103,042	40.7
Total votes			253,171	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district is located in the regions of Green Country and Kiamichi Country and includes the city of Muskogee and numerous sparsely populated counties. The incumbent is Republican Markwayne Mullin, who has represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016.

Mullin had pledged to serve only three terms when he was first elected in 2012. During the 2016 campaign, Mullin stated he was reassessing his pledge, and refused to rule out running again in 2018.^[8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Markwayne Mullin, incumbent
Brian Jackson
Jarrin Jackson^[9]
John McCarthy

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)	32,624	54.1
	Republican	Jarrin Jackson	15,191	25.2
	Republican	Brian Jackson	6,899	11.5
	Republican	John McCarthy	5,536	9.2
Total votes			60,250	100.0

Endorsements

Jarrin Jackson

U.S. Senators

Tom Coburn, Former U.S. Senator (R-OK)^[10]

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jason Nichols	32,549	37.9
	Democratic	Clay Padgett	20,796	24.2
	Democratic	Elijah McIntosh	16,343	19.0
	Democratic	Virginia Jenner	16,204	18.9
Total votes			85,892	100.0

Runoff results

Democratic primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jason Nichols	19,548	56.8
	Democratic	Clay Padgett	14,845	43.2
Total votes			34,393	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Markwayne Mullin (R)	Jason Nichols (D)	Other	Undecided
SoonerPoll	September 15–25, 2018	306	± 5.6%	46%	32%	10%^[11]	12%

Results

Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)	140,451	65.0
	Democratic	Jason Nichols	65,021	30.1
	Independent	John Foreman	6,390	3.0
	Libertarian	Richard Castaldo	4,140	1.9
Total votes			216,002	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district is located in Western Oklahoma. The largest district in Oklahoma and one of the largest in the country, it includes the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City and the city of Stillwater as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent is Republican Frank Lucas, who has represented the district since 2003 and previously represented the 6th district from 1994 to 2003. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Frank Lucas, incumbent

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Frankie Robbins	38,733	64.8
	Democratic	Murray Thibodeaux	20,998	35.2
Total votes			59,731	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Frank Lucas (R)	Frankie Robbins (D)	Undecided
SoonerPoll	September 15–25, 2018	267	± 6.0%	54%	24%	22%

Results

Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Frank Lucas (incumbent)	172,913	73.9
	Democratic	Frankie Robbins	61,152	26.1
Total votes			234,065	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and includes the suburbs of Oklahoma City, such as the counties of Canadian, Comanche and Cleveland and numerous other sparsely populated counties. The incumbent is Republican Tom Cole, who has represented the district since 2003. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Cole (incumbent)	55,891	64.7
	Republican	James Taylor	30,441	35.3
Total votes			86,332	100.0

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Brannon	25,736	34.4
	Democratic	Fred Gipson	22,744	30.4
	Democratic	Mallory Varner	13,938	18.6
	Democratic	Roxann Klutts	12,482	16.7
Total votes			74,900	100.0

Runoff results

Democratic primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Brannon	15,245	57.5
	Democratic	Fred Gipson	11,264	42.5
Total votes			26,509	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Cole (R)	Mary Brannon (D)	Rudy Peters (I)	Undecided
SoonerPoll	September 15–25, 2018	291	± 5.74%	58%	25%	6%	11%

Results

Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Cole (incumbent)	149,227	63.1
	Democratic	Mary Brannon	78,088	33.0
	Independent	Ruby Peters	9,323	3.9
Total votes			236,638	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

The 5th district is located in Central Oklahoma and centered around the state capital, Oklahoma City, and the surrounding areas such as Edmond and Shawnee. The incumbent was Republican Steve Russell, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. He was defeated by Democratic challenger Kendra Horn in the 2018 election.

Republican primary

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Russell (incumbent)	65,982	83.6
	Republican	Gregory Dunson	7,638	9.7
	Republican	DeJuan Edwards	5,284	6.7
Total votes			78,904	100.0

Democratic primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kendra Horn	34,857	43.8
	Democratic	Tom Guild	14,242	17.9
	Democratic	Elysabeth Britt	10,739	13.5
	Democratic	Eddie Porter	8,447	10.6
	Democratic	Leona Kelley-Leonard	6,693	8.4
	Democratic	Tyson Todd Meade	4,527	5.7
Total votes			79,505	100.0

Runoff results

Democratic primary runoff results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kendra Horn	22,052	75.8
	Democratic	Tom Guild	7,039	24.2
Total votes			29,091	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
538^[12]	Likely R	November 6, 2018
Daily Kos^[13]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP^[14]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[15]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections^[16]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Cook Political Report^[17]	Likely R	November 5, 2018

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Russell (R)	Kendra Horn (D)	Undecided
SoonerPoll	October 29, 2018	440	± 4.66%	49%	37%	14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)	October 14–15, 2018	974	± 3.14%	51%	35%	14%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)	September 24–25, 2018	1,407	± 2.61%	50%	37%	13%
SoonerPoll	September 15–25, 2018	303	± 5.63%	47%	37%	16%
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)	September 4–6, 2018	1,182	± 2.85%	49%	35%	16%

Results

Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2018^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kendra Horn	121,149	50.7
	Republican	Steve Russell (incumbent)	117,811	49.3
Total votes			238,960	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

References

^ "Oklahoma Elections — 2018". Oklahoma State Election Board. The State of Oklahoma. Retrieved 20 August 2018.
^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
^ Krehbiel, Randy (November 10, 2015). "Congressman Jim Bridenstine says third term would be his last". Tulsa World. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
^ Casteel, Chris (October 17, 2016). "After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
^ Davenport, Christian (November 11, 2016). "GOP congressman being considered for NASA administrator in Trump administration". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
^ "Amanda Douglas is the latest candidate for Native Vote18 in Oklahoma - IndianCountryToday.com". Retrieved 12 September 2018.
^ "TIM". Retrieved 12 September 2018.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ Casteel, Chris (March 30, 2016). "Oklahoma Congressman Mullin may reassess term limits pledge". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
^ "JACKSON, JARRIN DALE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
^ "Coburn will work to oust Mullin after congressman breaks term limit pledge". 8 July 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
^ John Foreman (I) with 6%, Richard Castaldo (L) with 4%
^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
^ "Official Results - General Election — November 6, 2018" (PDF). Oklahoma Secretary of State. November 6, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2019.

External links

Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia
Campaign finance at FEC
Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates

[1] "Oklahoma Elections — 2018". Oklahoma State Election Board. The State of Oklahoma. Retrieved 20 August 2018.

[clerk2018-2] Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.

[3] Krehbiel, Randy (November 10, 2015). "Congressman Jim Bridenstine says third term would be his last". Tulsa World. Retrieved November 22, 2016.

[ho-hum-4] Casteel, Chris (October 17, 2016). "After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 4, 2016.

[5] Davenport, Christian (November 11, 2016). "GOP congressman being considered for NASA administrator in Trump administration". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 22, 2016.

[6] "Amanda Douglas is the latest candidate for Native Vote18 in Oklahoma - IndianCountryToday.com". Retrieved 12 September 2018.

[7] "TIM". Retrieved 12 September 2018.^{[permanent dead link]}

[8] Casteel, Chris (March 30, 2016). "Oklahoma Congressman Mullin may reassess term limits pledge". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 22, 2016.

[9] "JACKSON, JARRIN DALE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved 12 September 2018.

[10] "Coburn will work to oust Mullin after congressman breaks term limit pledge". 8 July 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2018.

[11] John Foreman (I) with 6%, Richard Castaldo (L) with 4%

[12] Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.

[13] "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[permanent dead link]}

[14] "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[15] "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[16] "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[CPRratings1-17] "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.

[election18-18] "Official Results - General Election — November 6, 2018" (PDF). Oklahoma Secretary of State. November 6, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2019.

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