2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
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All 40 seats in the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 55.2%[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. A star (*) marks the party leader’s riding. An (X) means the party leader ran in this riding but failed to win the seat. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election, formally the 49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election, elected members of the House of Assembly in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party which had formed a majority government since the 2011 election, was defeated by the Liberal Party, which won a majority in the new assembly.[2]
The election had been scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the House of Assembly amended the act in June 2015, to delay the election until November 30, 2015, so that the election campaign would not overlap with the federal election scheduled on October 19, 2015.[3]
Following the result of the election no party with the word "Conservative" in its name formed the government in either a provincial or federal jurisdiction in Canada for the first time since 1943.[4][5]
With 55.2% of eligible voters casting a ballot, this election had the lowest turnout of any provincial election since confederation.
Party leadership
Following the 2011 provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen.[6] On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[7][8] Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013. On November 17, 2013 Dwight Ball was elected leader of the Liberal Party.[9]
On January 22, 2014, Kathy Dunderdale announced she was resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) later that week and that Finance Minister Tom Marshall would replace her until the party selected a new leader.[10] On January 24, 2014, Marshall was sworn in as the province's 11th premier.[11] Marshall had indicated that he would not be seeking re-election as the member of the House of Assembly for Humber East and therefore would not contest the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party. The party held its leadership convention on September 13, 2014 and chose Paul Davis as its leader.[12] Davis was sworn in as the 12th Premier on September 26, 2014.
Timeline
- 2011
- October 11, 2011: Election held for members of the Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly in the 47th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.
- October 26, 2011: Liberal Leader Kevin Aylward announces his resignation after failing to win the district of St. George's-Stephenville East in the election.[6]
- December 15, 2011: The Liberal Party announces that Humber Valley MHA Dwight Ball will become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[13]
- 2012
- January 3, 2012: Dwight Ball becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador.[13]
- September 13, 2012: Progressive Conservative MHA Tom Osborne announces that he has left the party and will sit as an independent.[14]
- 2013
- April 8, 2013: Yvonne Jones (Liberal) resigns her Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair seat to run in a federal by-election in Labrador.[15]
- June 25, 2013: Lisa Dempster (Liberal) is elected MHA for Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair, following the resignation of Yvonne Jones.
- July 18, 2013: Bay of Islands MHA Eddie Joyce is named Leader of the Opposition and Interim Liberal Leader replacing Dwight Ball who resigned to run for the leadership permanently in the party's 2013 leadership election.[16][17]
- August 29, 2013: Independent MHA Tom Osborne (former PC) joins the Liberal caucus.[18]
- October 2, 2013: Jerome Kennedy (PC) resigns his Carbonear-Harbour Grace seat.[19]
- October 21, 2013: The media reports that NDP Leader Lorraine Michael received a letter signed by all four members of her caucus over the previous weekend calling for a leadership election to be held in 2014.[20][21] Michael subsequently asks the party to hold a leadership review in 2014 in which her leadership would be voted on, but not a full party convention.[22]
- October 29, 2013: NDP MHAs Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore announce that they have left the NDP caucus and will sit as independents.[23]
- November 17, 2013: Dwight Ball is elected as leader of the Liberal Party.[24]
- November 26, 2013: Liberal Sam Slade is elected MHA for Carbonear-Harbour Grace.[25]
- 2014
- January 20, 2014: PC MHA Paul Lane for Mount Pearl South crosses the floor to the Liberal Party.[26]
- January 24, 2014: Kathy Dunderdale resigns as Premier. Finance Minister Tom Marshall is sworn in as premier until Dunderdale's successor is chosen.[10]
- January 27, 2014: Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore resign their NDP memberships and are now full Independents.[27]
- February 4, 2014: Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore cross the floor to the Liberal Party.[28]
- February 28, 2014: Kathy Dunderdale resigns her Virginia Waters seat.[29]
- April 9, 2014: Cathy Bennett (Liberal) is elected MHA for Virginia Waters.[30]
- April 17, 2014: Frank Coleman becomes leader-designate of the Progressive Conservative Party following the withdrawal of sole competitor Bill Barry from the leadership election.[31]
- May 18, 2014: Following a party crisis in October 2013, Lorraine Michael is endorsed by 75% of NDP members during a leadership review.[32]
- June 2, 2014: Joan Shea (PC) resigns her St. George's-Stephenville East seat.[33]
- June 16, 2014: Citing a "significant and challenging family matter," Frank Coleman announces his withdrawal from the Progressive Conservative leadership race.[34] As the only candidate left in the race, Coleman was to officially become Progressive Conservative leader at the party's convention on July 5, 2014.[12] Following his withdrawal, Premier Tom Marshall announced that a convention would likely be postponed until after Labour Day.[34]
- August 26, 2014: Scott Reid (Liberal) is elected MHA for St. George's-Stephenville East.[35]
- September 5, 2014: Charlene Johnson (PC) resigns her Trinity-Bay de Verde seat.[36]
- September 13, 2014: Paul Davis is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[37]
- September 18, 2014: Terry French (PC) resigns his Conception Bay South seat.[38]
- September 26, 2014: Paul Davis is sworn in as premier.
- November 3, 2014: Tom Marshall (PC) resigns his Humber East seat.[39]
- November 5, 2014: Rex Hillier (Liberal) is elected MHA for Conception Bay South.[40]
- November 25, 2014: Steve Crocker (Liberal) and Stelman Flynn (Liberal) are elected as MHAs for Trinity-Bay de Verde and Humber East respectively.[41]
- 2015
- January 6, 2015: Lorraine Michael announces she will resign as NDP leader.[42]
- March 7, 2015: Earle McCurdy is elected leader of the NDP.[42]
- July 3, 2015: Kevin O'Brien (PC) resigns his Gander seat.[43]
Campaign
The Liberals consistently held a massive lead in public opinion polling throughout the campaign, with 66 per cent support among decided voters at the outset[44] and 67 per cent support in a poll released just one week before election day.[45]
Their lead was so large and so unshakable that some pundits openly speculated that the party could potentially sweep every seat in the province,[46] although others suggested that this was unlikely.[47] Numerous ridings in and around St. John's remained more competitive than provincewide polling suggested,[46] and some voters appeared to be swayed in the final days by the argument that even if they were inclined to support the Liberals, the province's democratic process would not be well-served by giving one party a clean sweep of the legislature with no opposition party to challenge them.[47]
In the final results, the Liberals did win almost every seat in most of the province, except for a single Progressive Conservative incumbent hanging on in Central Newfoundland; in St. John's, however, the New Democrats successfully retained two of the three seats they held in the city, while the Progressive Conservatives held onto almost every seat in the city's suburbs.
The largest victory in the province was won by Liberal MLA Andrew Parsons in Burgeo-La Poile, who took fully 96.5 per cent of the more than 4,000 votes cast in his riding while neither of his opponents garnered even 100 votes.[48]
Party standings
This election saw the fourth change-in-government since Newfoundland and Labrador joined confederation in 1949. Template:49th Newfoundland and Labrador provincial election-mini
Results by party
This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (June 2016) |
Liberal Party
The Liberal Party won 31 seats making this election their best election since 1999 when the party won 32. However in 1990, the party won 32 of 48 seats (66.7%) while in 2015 they won 31 of 40 seats (77.5%). By percentage, this is the party's best result since 1966 when the party won 39 of 42 seats (92.9%). Dwight Ball is the province's first liberal premier since Roger Grimes. 6 liberal candidates won over 80% of the popular vote in their respective ridings and 4 of these 6 candidates were later appointed to the Executive Council.
Progressive Conservative Party
With this election PC leader Paul Davis became the fourth incumbent premier to not lead his party to re-election (after Joey Smallwood in 1972, Tom Rideout in 1989 and Roger Grimes in 2003). Davis's government had also been the only provincial government where a party with the word "conservative" in the name formed the government. With 7 of 40 seats (17.5%), this is the party's worst result since 1966 when it won 3 of 42 seats.
New Democratic Party
In the 2011 election the NDP placed second in total votes and won 5 seats (a record-high for the party) however since the election 2 NDP MHAs defected to the Liberal Party. Only 2 of the 3 remaining NDP MHAs ran for re-election and these 2 MHAs were the only NDP candidates to win in this election. By percentage of seats however, this is the second-best result the provincial NDP has ever had winning 2 of 40 seats (5%).
Results by region
The district with the highest turnout was Cape St. Francis (71.68%). The district with the lowest turnout was Torngat Mountains (39.50%).[49]
This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (June 2016) |
Party Name | St. John's | St. John's Metro | Avalon/Burin | Central | Western | Labrador | Total | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parties winning seats in the legislature: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Progressive Conservative | Seats: | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||
Popular Vote: | 19.81% | 54.74% | 29.71% | 34.51% | 13.50% | 18.90% | |||||||||||||||||||
Liberal | Seats: | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||
Popular Vote: | 50.27% | 36.97% | 61.80% | 55.76% | 79.19% | 63.41% | New Democratic | Seats: | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Popular Vote: | 29.92% | 8.29% | 8.19% | 7.17% | 7.31% | 17.69% | |||
Parties that won no seats in the legislature | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Independent | Popular Vote: | 0.30% | 2.56% |
Candidates by district
Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. The premier's name is boldfaced and italicized.
- All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly.
- Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
- † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
- § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
- ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
- ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.
St. John's
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Mount Scio
46.81% turnout
|
|Rhonda Churchill Herder
1,104
27.4%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Dale Kirby
1,899
47.1%
|
|Sean Panting
1,030
25.5%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Dale Kirby
St. John's North
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's Centre
47.58% turnout
|
|Kathie Hicks
490
10.6%
|
|Lynn Sullivan
1,923
41.7%
|bgcolor="#F4A460"|
|Gerry Rogers
2,195
47.6%
|
|
|Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP|
|Gerry Rogers
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
56.40% turnout
|
|Joshua Collier
478
8.1%
|
|Paul Antle
2,365
40.2%
|Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP|
|Lorraine Michael
3,035
51.6%
|
|
|Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP|
| George Murphy†
St. John's East
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. John's West
55.63% turnout
|
|Dan Crummell[50]
1,364
26.8%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Siobhan Coady[50]
2,342
46.0%
|
|Earle McCurdy[50]
1,384
27.2%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Dan Crummell
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Virginia Waters-Pleasantville
56.55% turnout
|
|Beth Crosbie
1,826
32.5%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Bernard Davis
2,528
45.0%
|
|Bob Buckingham
1,259
22.4
|
|
|Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP|
| Lorraine Michael‡
Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Waterford Valley
55.13% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Alison Stoodley
792
14.6%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3| Tom Osborne
3,588
65.9%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3| Alison Coffin
1,062
19.5%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|John Dinn
Kilbride
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Tom Osborne
St. John's South
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Windsor Lake
52.59% turnout
|
|Ryan Cleary
970
20.2%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Cathy Bennett
3,182
66.3%
|
|Don Rowe
647
13.5%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Cathy Bennett
Virginia Waters
|}
St. John's suburbs
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cape St. Francis
71.68% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Kevin Parsons
4,086
66.3%
|
|Geoff Gallant
1,613
26.2%
|
|Mark Gruchy
460
7.5%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Kevin Parsons
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay South
55.03% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Barry Petten
2,360
47.7%
|
|Steve Porter
2,187
44.2%
|
|Jeanne Clarke
398
8.0%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Rex Hillier‡
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl North
63.09% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Steve Kent
3,120
51.5%
|
|Randy Simms
2,571
42.4%
|
|Cameron Mercer-Maillet
370
6.1%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Steve Kent
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl-Southlands
56.58% turnout
|
|Jim Lester
2,318
42.9%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Paul Lane
2,559
47.4%
|
|Roy Locke
522
9.7%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Paul Lane
Mount Pearl South
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Conception Bay East – Bell Island
55.46% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|David Brazil
3,463
59.2%
|
|Danny Dumaresque
1,582
27.1%
|
|Bill Kavanagh
803
13.7%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|David Brazil
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Topsail-Paradise
57.58% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Paul Davis
3,381
58.3%
|
|Rex Hillier
2,137
36.9%
|
|Chris Bruce
281
4.8%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Paul Davis
Topsail
|}
Avalon Peninsula
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde
49.02% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Tomas Shea
529
9.1%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Steve Crocker
4,952
85.0%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|David Coish
304
5.2%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Ed Cole (Ind.)
38
0.7%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Steve Crocker
Trinity-Bay de Verde
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Sam Slade§
Carbonear-Harbour Grace
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ferryland
62.34% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Keith Hutchings
3,093
49.8%
|
|Jeff Marshall
2,550
41.1%
|
|Mona Rossiter
564
9.1%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Keith Hutchings
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Harbour Grace-Port de Grave
59.50% turnout
|
|Glenn Littlejohn
2,289
36.3%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Pam Parsons
3,877
61.5%
|
|Kathleen Burt
133
2.1%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Glenn Littlejohn
Port de Grave
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Main
56.31% turnout
|
|Curtis Buckle
1,998
34.9%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Betty Parsley
2,253
39.4%
|
|Raymond Flaherty
1,381
24.2%
|
|Ted Noseworthy
85
1.5%
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Tom Hedderson†
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia-St. Mary's
61.71% turnout
|
|Judy Manning
1,751
30.5%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Sherry Gambin-Walsh
3,789
66.0%
|
|Peter Beck
197
3.4%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Felix Collins†
|}
Eastern Newfoundland
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bonavista
57.80% turnout
|
|Glen Little
1,436
27.0%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Neil King
3,504
65.8%
|
|Adrian Power
116
2.2%
|
|Johanna Ryan Guy (Ind.)
269
5.1%
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Glen Little
Bonavista South
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Burin-Grand Bank
53.60% turnout
|
|Terence Fleming
441
8.8%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Carol Anne Haley
3,962
79.4%
|
|Ambrose Penton
590
11.8%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Darin King†
Grand Bank
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Placentia West-Bellevue
59.10% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Calvin Peach
1,931
33.7%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Mark Browne
3,645
63.7%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Bobbie Warren
146
2.6%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Calvin Peach
Bellevue
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Clyde Jackman†
Burin-Placentia West
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Terra Nova
57.29% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Sandy Collins
2,422
42.8%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Colin Holloway
2,476
43.7%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Bert Blundon
763
13.5
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Sandy Collins
Terra Nova
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Ross Wiseman†
Trinity North
|}
Central Newfoundland
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Baie Verte-Green Bay
55.90% turnout
|
|Kevin Pollard
2,197
39.4%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Brian Warr
3,130
56.1%
|
|Matt Howse
253
4.5%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Kevin Pollard
Baie Verte-Springdale
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Exploits
56.16% turnout
|
|Clayton Forsey
2,489
47.0%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Jerry Dean
2,654
50.2%
|
|Bridget Henley
148
2.8%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Clayton Forsey
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fogo Island-Cape Freels
48.20% turnout
|
|Eli Cross
1,387
27.6%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Derrick Bragg
3,516
69.9%
|
|Rebecca Stuckey
128
2.5%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Eli Cross
Bonavista North
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Gander
47.40% turnout
|
|Ryan Menchion
351
7.5%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|John Haggie
3,151
67.7%
|
|Lukas Norman
1,152
24.8%
|
|
|
|Vacant
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune
67.66% turnout
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Tracey Perry
1,830
49.1%
|
|Bill Carter
1,405
37.7%
|
|Mildred Skinner
494
13.2%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Tracey Perry
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans
54.32% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Mark Whiffen
1,061
22.8%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Al Hawkins
2,534
54.6%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Meaghan Keating
141
3.0%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Rex Barnes (Ind.)
908
19.6%
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Susan Sullivan†
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Ray Hunter†
Grand Falls-Windsor-Green Bay South
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Lewisporte-Twillingate
58.44% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Derrick Dalley
2,686
44.5%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Derek Bennett
3,254
53.9%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Hillary Bushell
99
1.6%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Wade Verge†
Lewisporte
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Derrick Dalley
The Isles of Notre Dame
|}
Western Newfoundland
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Burgeo-La Poile
57.73% turnout
|
|Georgia Darmonkow
93
2.2%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Andrew Parsons
3,998
96.5%
|
|Kelly McKeown
53
1.3%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Andrew Parsons
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Corner Brook
45.03% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Neville Wheaton
779
16.6%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Gerry Byrne
3,121
66.7%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Holly Pike
781
16.7%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Vaughn Granter
Humber West
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Stelman Flynn§
Humber East
|-
|style="background-color:whitesmoke" rowspan=3|Humber - Gros Morne
64.85% turnout
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Graydon Pelley
983
16.2%
|rowspan=3 bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|rowspan=3|Dwight Ball
4,610
76.0%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Mike Goosney
474
7.8%
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Jim Bennett₰
St. Barbe
|-
| style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|-
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Dwight Ball
Humber Valley
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Humber-Bay of Islands
52.56% turnout
|
|Ronald Jesseau
564
10.3%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Eddie Joyce
4,622
84.5%
|
|Conor Curtis
282
5.2%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Eddie Joyce
Bay of Islands
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows
52.65% turnout
|
|Ford Mitchelmore
404
8.3%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Chris Mitchelmore
4,359
89.3%
|
|Genevieve Brouillette
117
2.4%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Chris Mitchelmore
The Straits-White Bay North
|-
|style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. George's-Humber
49.68% turnout
|
|Greg Osmond
708
15.2%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Scott Reid
3,618
77.5%
|
|Shane Snook
341
7.3%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Scott Reid
St. George's-Stephenville East
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Stephenville-Port au Port
51.24% turnout
|
|Tony Cornect
1,273
25.3%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|John Finn
3,262
64.8%
|
|Bernice Hancock
499
9.9%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Tony Cornect
Port au Port
|}
Labrador
Template:Canadian politics/candlist header 3plus
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair
49.30% turnout
|
|Jason Mackenzie
48
3.2%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Lisa Dempster
1,405
93.0%
|
|Jenn Deon
57
3.8%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Lisa Dempster
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Labrador West
53.60% turnout
|
|Nick McGrath
712
21.5%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Graham Letto
1,453
43.8%
|
|Ron Barron
1,152
34.7%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Nick McGrath
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lake Melville
47.97% turnout
|
|Keith Russell
850
28.6%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Perry Trimper
1,840
62.0%
|
|Arlene Michelin-Pittman
280
9.4%
|
|
|bgcolor="#9999FF"|
|Keith Russell (politician)|Keith Russell
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Torngat Mountains
39.50% turnout
|
|Sharon Vokey
23
2.7%
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Randy Edmunds
779
92.6%
|
|Mark Sharkey
39
4.6%
|
|
|bgcolor="#EA6D6A"|
|Randy Edmunds
|}
Preliminary results as of 1 December 2015.[51]
MHAs not running again
Progressive Conservative
|
Liberal New Democratic Party
|
Opinion polls
Polling Firm | Date of Polling | Link | Progressive Conservative | Liberal | Template:Canadian politics/party colours/NDP align="center" width=19%| New Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | November 29, 2015 | [1] | 31 | 54 | 15 |
Abacus Data | November 22–24, 2015 | [2] | 22 | 64 | 13 |
Forum Research | November 24, 2015 | [3] | 29 | 52 | 19 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 5–22, 2015 | [4] | 22 | 67 | 10 |
MQO | November 5–11, 2015 | [5] | 17 | 74 | 9 |
Forum Research | November 6, 2015 | [6] | 21 | 65 | 13 |
Abacus Data | October 30–November 4, 2015 | [7] | 19 | 66 | 15 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 11–September 2, 2015 | [8] | 27 | 48 | 25 |
Abacus Data/VOCM | June 17–21, 2015 | [9] | 21 | 53 | 25 |
Corporate Research Associates | May 11–June 1, 2015 | [10] | 27 | 50 | 22 |
Corporate Research Associates | February 9–March 2, 2015 | [11] | 31 | 56 | 13 |
Abacus Data | February 17–25, 2015 | [12] | 32 | 57 | 9 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 5–30, 2014 | [13] | 29 | 60 | 10 |
MQO | October 20–25, 2014 | [14] | 28 | 62 | 11 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 7–September 1, 2014 | [15] | 26 | 58 | 15 |
Abacus Data/VOCM | July 28–August 1, 2014 | [16] | 34 | 48 | 16 |
Corporate Research Associates | May 12–31, 2014 | [17] | 29 | 53 | 16 |
Corporate Research Associates | February 11– March 4, 2014 | [18] | 33 | 53 | 13 |
Abacus Data/VOCM | January 27–30, 2014 | [19] | 34 | 49 | 15 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 7–30, 2013 | [20] | 29 | 52 | 19 |
MQO | October 22–26, 2013 | [65] | 29 | 52 | 18 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 8–31, 2013 | [21] | 26 | 41 | 33 |
Corporate Research Associates | May 8–30, 2013 | [22] | 27 | 36 | 37 |
Corporate Research Associates | February 11–March 8, 2013 | 38 | 22 | 39 | |
MQO | January 21–27, 2013 | [66] | 36 | 28 | 35 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 13-December 1, 2012 | [67] | 46 | 23 | 31 |
Corporate Research Associates | August 9–September 2, 2012 | 45 | 22 | 33 | |
Environics Research Group | June 19–29, 2012 | 35 | 26 | 38 | |
Corporate Research Associates | May 10–June 4, 2012 | 49 | 18 | 33 | |
Corporate Research Associates | February 13–29, 2012 | HTML | 54 | 18 | 28 |
Corporate Research Associates | November 9–29, 2011 | 60 | 13 | 26 | |
Election 2011 | October 11, 2011 | – | 56.1 | 19.1 | 24.6 |
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