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Opinion polling for the 2015 French regional elections

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French regional elections, which were held in two rounds on 6 and 13 December 2015.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

National

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. EXG PCF PCF-PG-EELV EELV PS-PRG DVG ECO MoDem UDI LR-UDI-MoDem DVD DLF FN UPR DIV
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 50.09% 1.54% 4.06% 2.80% 3.83% 23.43% 1.85% 0.59% 0.39% 0.01% 26.84% 0.66% 3.81% 27.73% (DIV) 2.46%
Odoxa 3 Dec 2015 945 2% 7% 4.5% 22% 29% 2.5% 30% 1% 2%
Harris Interactive 1–3 Dec 2015 1,015 1% 5% 6% 24% 2% 27% 4% 28% 1% 2%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–3 Dec 2015 1,105 51% 1% 5% 2% 4% 23% 1% 28% 1% 3.5% 28.5% 1% 2%
Elabe 1–2 Dec 2015 968 50% 1% 5% 6.5% 23% 1% 28% 0.5% 3% 28.5% 3.5%
Ipsos 29 Nov–2 Dec 2015 8,053 51% 1% 4% 7% 23% 1% 28.5% 0.5% 3.5% 29.5% 0.5% 1.5%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 23,061 52% 1% 4.5% 6% 22% 1% 29% 0.5% 3.5% 30% 1% 1.5%
Harris Interactive 24–26 Nov 2015 1,005 1% 6% 6% 24% 1% 27% 5% 28% 1% 1%
Ifop 23–25 Nov 2015 926 54% 1% 3% 5% 4% 22% 2% 28% 1% 3% 28% 1% 2%
Ipsos 21–24 Nov 2015 939 55% 1% 4% 7% 22% 1.5% 29% 0.5% 3% 30% 1% 1%
TNS Sofres 20–23 Nov 2015 1,522 1.5% 4% 7% 22% 2% 27% 0.5% 4% 29% 1% 2%
OpinionWay 18–19 Nov 2015 984 51% 1% 4% 9% 22% 28% 4% 30% 2%
Harris Interactive 17–19 Nov 2015 1,011 2% 5% 7% 26% 1% 25% 5% 27% 1% 1%
OpinionWay 13 Nov 2015 1% 4% 8% 22% 30% 4% 28% 3%
Ipsos 30 Oct–2 Nov 2015 936 60% 1.5% 5% 3.5% 3.5% 20% 1% 1% 32% 4% 26% 2.5%
TNS Sofres 13–23 Oct 2015 2,200 1% 6% 8% 21% 1% 2% 27% 3% 28% 2% 1%
Ifop 12–16 Oct 2015 24% 31% 26%
Elabe 13–14 Oct 2015 972 60% 0.5% 5% 8.5% 23% 1.5% 0.5% 30% 3% 26% 2%
OpinionWay 7–9 Oct 2015 993 55% 2% 5% 3% 3% 23% 31% 2% 28% 3%
Odoxa 24–25 Sep 2015 929 2% 7% 3% 23% 35% 3% 26% 1%
Elabe 22–23 Sep 2015 986 57% 1.5% 6% 8.5% 22.5% 1.5% 1.5% 27% 3% 26% 2.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar 2015 4,286 1% 7% 7% 20% 5% 7% 25% 2% 22% 4%
2010 election 21 Mar 2010 53.67% 3.40% 5.84% 12.18% 29.13% 3.06% 4.20% 26.02% 1.24% 11.42% 3.52%

Second round

[edit]

Second round configurations were tested across all regions in France. In two regions, Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, the left-wing list withdrew after the first round to block the National Front from winning control.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. PS-PRG-EELV-PCF-PG LR-UDI-MoDem FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 41.59% 32.12% 40.24% 27.10%
Harris Interactive 6 Dec 2015 1,029 34% 35% 31%
Odoxa 6 Dec 2015 2,193 34% 35% 31%
59% 41%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 23,061 34% 36% 30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 10,842 33% 36% 31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 12,408 36% 36% 28%
2010 election 14 Mar 2010 48.79% 54.06% 36.22% 9.17%

Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Wostyn
LO
Peron
PCF-PGMRC
Bélier
EELVPRG
Masseret
PS
Richert
LRUDIMoDem
Jacobelli
DLF
Wentzel
UPR
Trouillet
ULPMPLAEI
Philippot
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 52.09% 1.48% 3.22% 6.70% 16.11% 25.83% 4.78% 1.08% 4.73% 36.07%
Elabe 26–30 Nov 2015 922 55% 1% 5% 5% 20% 28% 3% 1% 3% 34%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,218 52% 1% 5% 5% 16% 29% 3% 1% 5% 35%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,203 1% 4% 4% 17% 34% 2.5% 1% 3.5% 33%
Odoxa 2–5 Nov 2015 1,001 1% 6.5% 6% 19% 30% 2.5% 1% 2% 32%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,189 1% 7% 6% 19% 31% 2.5% 0.5% 3% 30%

Second round

[edit]

After Jean-Pierre Masseret refused to withdraw his list in the second round, PS spokeswoman Corinne Narassiguin announced on 7 December that Masseret would "not have the socialist label" in the second round.[1]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Masseret
PS
Richert
LRUDI
MoDem
Philippot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 40.98% 15.51% 48.40% 36.08%
Elabe 8–10 Dec 2015 920 16% 43% 41%
Elabe 26–30 Nov 2015 922 30% 34.5% 35.5%
56% 44%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,218 28% 35% 37%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,203 26% 39% 35%
Odoxa 2–5 Nov 2015 1,001 28% 37% 35%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,189 30% 37% 33%

Aquitaine-Limousin-Poitou-Charentes

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The October 2015 BVA poll described the list led by Olivier Dartigolles as one of the French Communist Party, and the June 2015 Ifop poll offered the options of an extreme left, Left Front, and National Front lists without naming a list leader, and also described Samuel Morillon as the list leader for Debout la France.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Perchet
LO
Dartigolles
PCF-PG
Coutant
EELV
Rousset
PSPRG
Boussion
DVG
Pereira
ND
Daniel
FD
Camels
LRUDI-MoDem
Setze
DLF
Douet
UPR
Colombier
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 49.03% 1.41% 4.85% 5.60% 30.39% 1.85% 1.21% 27.19% 3.35% 0.92% 23.23%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,098 51% 1% 7% 5% 27% 0.5% 1% 29% 2.5% 1% 26%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 901 0.5% 6.5% 6% 28% 1.5% 2% 28% 2% 0.5% 25%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,212 1% 7% 6% 26% 0.5% 3% 32% 1.5% 1% 22%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,200 1% 5% 5% 36% 1% 30% 2% 20%
Ifop 5–6 Jun 2015 1,303 2% 8% 9% 30% 29% 2% 19% 1%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Rousset
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Camels
LRUDIMoDem
Colombier
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 42.22% 44.27% 34.06% 21.67%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,098 39% 35% 26%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 901 39% 35% 26%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,212 39% 37% 24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,200 46% 33% 21%
Ifop 5–6 Jun 2015 1,303 49% 33% 18%

Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes

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First round

[edit]

The January 2015 Ifop poll did not specify list leaders, only parties, and mentioned an "extreme-left" list without reference to Lutte Ouvrière.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Gomez
LO
Cukierman
PCFMRC
Kohlhaas
EELVPG
Queyranne
PSPRG
MoDem Wauquiez
LRUDIMoDem
Lafond
NC
Rambaud
DLF
Fédèle
UPR
Boudot
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 51.09% 1.25% 5.39% 6.90% 23.93% 31.73% 1.56% 2.85% 0.87% 25.52%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 2015 900 1% 5% 7.5% 24% 31% 1.5% 2.5% 0.5% 27%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,977 54% 1.5% 4.5% 6% 23% 32% 1% 2.5% 0.5% 29%
Ifop 19–23 Nov 2015 822 54% 1% 4% 9% 25% 32% 1% 2% 1% 25%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 931 1% 6% 7% 21% 32% 2.5% 3% 0.5% 27%
Elabe 18–21 Nov 2015 904 55% 1.5% 3% 7.5% 27% 30% 1% 2.5% 1.5% 26%
OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 2015 805 53% 1% 6% 6% 25% 30% 1% 2% 1% 28%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 2015 908 1% 4% 10% 26% 32% 2.5% 0.5% 24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 900 2% 7% 8.5% 24% 35% 2% 21.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 2015 903 1% 4% 10% 26% 35% 1.5% 0.5% 22%
BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 823 0.5% 3% 15% 23% 7% 30% 2.5% 19%
1% 17% 25.5% 34.5% 3% 19%
Ifop 23–27 Jan 2015 1,008 2% 2% 17% 17% 7% 30% 23% 2%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Kohlhaas
EELVPGND
Queyranne
PSPRGEELVPGPCFMRC
Wauquiez
LRUDIMoDem
Boudot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 42.32% 36.84% 40.62% 22.55%
Ifop 8–10 Dec 2015 1,088 37% 38% 25%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 2015 900 35% 36% 29%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,977 36% 37% 27%
Ifop 19–23 Nov 2015 822 37% 37% 26%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 931 36% 36% 28%
Elabe 18–21 Nov 2015 904 37% 37% 26%
OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 2015 805 36% 37% 27%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 2015 908 37% 37% 26%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 900 37% 40% 23%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 2015 903 37% 39% 24%
BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 823 38% 40% 22%
18% 25% 36% 21%

Bourgogne-Franche-Comté

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First round

[edit]

The June 2015 Ifop poll was conducted for Alain Joyandet and featured Joyandet leading a list for The Republicans (LR) separate from a Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) list led by François Sauvadet without naming a Left Front list leader, whereas the June 2015 BVA poll was conducted for Sauvadet and featured a unified LR–UDI list.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Rocher
LO
Vermorel
PCF-PGMRC
Prudhomme
EELV
Dufay
PSPRG
Gonzalez
AEI
Grudler
MoDem
Sauvadet
UDI-LR
Joyandet
LRUDI
Thiébaut
DLF
Gallois
UPR
Montel
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 49.44% 1.51% 4.62% 3.92% 22.99% 2.14% 3.26% 24.00% 5.17% 0.92% 31.48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,084 53% 2% 7.5% 3% 22% 0.5% 4.5% 24% 4% 0.5% 32%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 748 50% 1.5% 8.5% 7% 19% 0.5% 3.5% 26% 3% 1.5% 30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 797 2% 8% 3% 20% 0.5% 5% 27% 2% 0.5% 32%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 803 2% 8% 5% 19% 6% 31% 3% 0% 26%
Ifop 5–8 Jun 2015 807 7% 6% 23% 4% 10% (UDI) 25% (LR) 2% 23%
BVA 3–8 Jun 2015 937 10% 5% 24% 34% 25%
10% 5% 24% 33% 25%

Second round

[edit]

The November 2015 Ifop poll considered three scenarios: one in which the Democratic Movement (MoDem) did not secure enough support to be present in the second round, one in which it allied with the left, and one in which it allied with the right.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Dufay
PSPRGPCF-PGMRCEELV
Sauvadet
UDI-LR
Joyandet
LRUDI
MoDem
Montel
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 38.85% 34.67% 32.89% 32.44%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,084 35% 33% 32%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 748 35.5% 34.5% 30%
36% (MoDem) 34% 30%
35% 36% (MoDem) 29%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 797 30% 35% 35%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 803 34% 36% 30%
Ifop 5–8 Jun 2015 807 39% 40% 21%
BVA 3–8 Jun 2015 937 38% 35% 27%
39% 34% 27%

Brittany

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The October 2015 BVA poll tested a Left Front list led jointly by Xavier Compain and Sylvie Larue.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. RCB Hamon
LO
Roblin
NPA
Compain
PCF-PG
Louail
EELV
Le Drian
PSPRG
Le Fur
LRUDIMoDem
Foucher
DLF
Gourvenec
UPR
Pennelle
FN
Troadec
MBPUDB
Deléon
PB
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 48.42% 1.37% 0.62% 3.74% 6.70% 34.92% 23.46% 2.90% 0.87% 18.17% 6.71% 0.54%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,418 52% 1.5% 1.5% 6% 5% 29% 24% 2% 1% 22% 7% 1%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 838 1% 1.5% 4.5% 6% 29% 29% 1.5% 0.5% 20% 6% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 2015 979 0.5% 6.5% 7.5% 32% 27% 2% 0.5% 16% 8%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 806 2% 1% 1% 4% 7% 26% 30% 2.5% 0.5% 16% 9% 1%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Le Drian
PSPRG
Le Fur
LRUDIMoDem
Pennelle
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 43.12% 51.41% 29.72% 18.87%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,418 45% 33% 22%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 838 42% 35% 23%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 806 46% 36% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 2015 979 46% 36% 18%

Centre-Val de Loire

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The September 2015 Ifop poll tested three scenarios: one in which Nicolas Sansu and Charles Fournier presented separate lists for the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens, respectively, and two other scenarios in which Sansu and Fournier led a unified list. The May 2015 OpinionWay poll described Marc Brynhole as leader of the Left Front list, and considered separate lists for the Union of Democrats and Independents led by Philippe Vigier and for the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP), later The Republicans, led by Guillaume Peltier.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Megdoud
LO
Sansu
PCF-PG
Fournier
EELV
Bonneau
PSPRG
Le Moine
FD
Fesneau
MoDem
Vigier
UDILRMoDem
Peltier
LR
Penloup
DLF
Fouquiau
UPR
Loiseau
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 50.46% 1.70% 4.59% 6.60% 24.31% 26.25% 4.58% 1.48% 30.48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,119 53% 1% 8% 4% 22% 29% 3.5% 1.5% 31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 794 1% 9% 5.5% 20% 34% 3% 0.5% 27%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 1% 9% 4% 22% 2% 33% 4% 1% 24%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 720 9% 7% 22% 35% 4% 23%
15% (Sansu) 23% 35% 4% 23%
15% (Fournier) 23% 34% 4% 24%
OpinionWay 12–13 May 2015 963 8% 5% 22% 7% 7% (UDI) 24% 25% 2%

Second round

[edit]

The May 2015 OpinionWay poll tested Guillaume Peltier as the leader of the list of the right in the second round.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bonneau
PSPRG-EELV
Vigier
UDILRMoDem
Loiseau
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 40.78% 35.42% 34.58% 30.00%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,119 34% 36% 30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 794 30% 39% 31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 33% 40% 27%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 720 36% 40% 24%
OpinionWay 12–13 May 2015 963 35% 38% 27%
43% 57%

Corsica

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bucchini
PCF-PG
De Gentili
PS
Orsucci
CSD
Giacobbi
DVG
Zuccarelli
PRG
Talamoni
CL
Benedetti
Rinnovu
Simeoni
FC
Rossi
LRUDI-CCB
De Rocca Serra
LR
Santoni
DLF
Canioni
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 40.34% 5.56% 3.25% 4.13% 18.42% 3.15% 7.73% 2.58% 17.62% 13.17% 12.70% 1.12% 10.58%
OpinionWay 24–28 Nov 2015 801 40% 7% 4% 4% 13% 4% 8% 1% 19% 14% 14% 1% 11%
OpinionWay 27–30 Oct 2015 805 43% 7% 4% 4% 12% 5% 8% 1% 18% 12% 16% 1% 12%

Île-de-France

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The October 2015 BVA poll tested both a French Communist Party list led by Pierre Laurent and a Left Party list led by Éric Coquerel. The BVA poll conducted from 22 to 24 September 2015 was conducted for the Socialist Party (PS), while the BVA survey fielded between 1 and 3 September 2015 was commissioned by Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The June 2015 Ifop poll tested a list led by Chantal Jouanno for the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) and specified an "extreme-left" list without naming a party or leader. The April 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the PS, and tested a joint Lutte Ouvrière and New Anticapitalist Party list led by Olivier Besancenot. The Ifop poll conducted from 31 March to 4 April 2015 tested two sets of scenarios: two with a divided right and centre, and the other two with the right and centre united behind Valérie Pécresse; it also tested only an "extreme-left" list without specifying a party or leader. The November 2014 Ifop poll did not specify "extreme-left", Left Front, or National Front list leaders, and proposed a joint list between the Democratic Movement (MoDem) and the UDI led by Jean-Christophe Lagarde as well as a unified list with Pécresse.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Laurent
PCF-PG
Coquerel
PG
Cosse
EELVCap21
Bartolone
PSPRG
Huchon
PSPRG
De la Gontrie
PSPRG
Pereira
FD
Wehrling
MoDem
Jouanno
UDI
Pécresse
LRUDIMoDem
Sachs
NC
Véron
PLD
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
De Saint-Just
FN
Horsfall
UC
De Smet
FLUO
Bourchada
UDMF
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 54.10% 1.40% 6.63% 8.03% 25.19% 30.51% 0.63% 0.76% 6.57% 0.94% 18.41% 0.23% 0.30% 0.40%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 4,055 55% 1% 8% 6% 23% 32% 1% 0.5% 5.5% 0.5% 21% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Ifop 24–26 Nov 2015 898 1% 7% 7.5% 23% 33% 0.5% 0.5% 5.5% 1% 21% <0.5% <0.5% <0.5%
Elabe 20–25 Nov 2015 913 55% 1% 7.5% 7.5% 23% 30% 1% 0.5% 6% 0.5% 21% 0.5% 1% 0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 800 0.5% 7% 7% 23% 33% 0.5% <0.5% 5% 0.5% 22% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 815 59% 1% 7.5% 6% 22% 33% 1% 0.5% 5% 1.5% 22% 0.5% <0.5% <0.5%
Odoxa 19–21 Nov 2015 1,000 2% 8% 6% 23% 33% 4% 23% 1%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,000 60% 1% 8.5% 7% 21% 34% 1% 0.5% 5% 1% 20% 0.5% 0.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Nov 2015 902 1.5% 7.5% 9% 25% 32% 6% 0.5% 18.5%
OpinionWay 3–6 Nov 2015 801 55% 2% 7% 7% 22% 35% <1% 5% 1% 21% <1%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 802 1% 2% 5% 8% 23% 1% 35% <0.5% 8% 17%
Odoxa 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 1,000 1% 8% 6% 24% 34% 7% 20%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 903 1% 9.5% 7.5% 24% 32% 7% 1% 18%
BVA 22–24 Sep 2015 901 2% 7% 9% 25% 31% 8% 18%
BVA 1–3 Sep 2015 878 2% 8% 10% 24% 33% 8% 15%
Ifop 3–5 Jun 2015 900 2% 7% 10% 24% 8% 28% 5% 16%
Harris Interactive 10–14 Apr 2015 900 2% 6% 8% 21% 5% 10% 25% 4% 19%
2% 7% 9% 18% 6% 10% 25% 6% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 930 2% 8% 8% 22% 5% 6% 26% 5% 18%
2% 10% 8% 20% 5% 6% 26% 5% 18%
2% 8% 9% 23% 33% 6% 19%
2% 9% 9% 22% 33% 6% 19%
Ifop 30 Jan–2 Feb 2015 911 9% 21% 12% 23% 6% 19%
10% 20% 12% 23% 6% 19%
Ifop 21–26 Nov 2014 1,710 1.5% 7.5% 11% 21% 12% (Lagarde) 23% 6% 18%
2% 7.5% 13% 22% 30% 6.5% 19%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bartolone
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Huchon
PSPRGEELV-PCF-PG
De La Gontrie
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Pécresse
LRUDI
MoDem
De Saint-Just
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 45.54% 42.18% 43.80% 14.02%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–10 Dec 2015 1,055 40% 42% 18%
Elabe 7–9 Dec 2015 905 41.5% 41% 17.5%
Odoxa 6–7 Dec 2015 1,200 40% 42% 18%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 4,055 38% 40% 22%
Ifop 24–26 Nov 2015 898 37% 39% 24%
Elabe 20–25 Nov 2015 913 37% 39% 24%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 800 36% 41% 23%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 815 36% 40% 24%
Odoxa 19–21 Nov 2015 1,000 35% 40% 25%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,000 37% 41% 22%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Nov 2015 902 38% 39% 23%
OpinionWay 3–6 Nov 2015 801 35% 42% 23%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 802 39% 41% 20%
Odoxa 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 1,000 38% 41% 21%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 903 39% 40% 21%
BVA 22–24 Sep 2015 901 41% 39% 20%
BVA 1–3 Sep 2015 878 41% 41% 18%
Ifop 3–5 Jun 2015 900 41% 41% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 930 39% 41% 20%
39% 41% 20%
Ifop 21–26 Nov 2014 1,710 38% 41% 21%

Languedoc-Roussillon-Midi-Pyrénées

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The December and September 2015 OpinionWay polls were conducted for Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The July 2015 PollingVox survey proposed a list of Europe Ecology – The Greens and the Left Party led by Gérard Onesta, a list of the Socialist Party and French Communist Party led by Carole Delga, a miscellaneous left list led by Philippe Saurel supported by the Radical Party of the Left, and a list led by Louis Aliot under the banner of the Rassemblement bleu Marine. The Ifop poll conducted from 30 June to 2 July 2015 proposed separate lists for the Left Front led by Guilhem Sérieys and for the EELV led by Onesta.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Torremocha
LO
Sérieys
PCF-PG
Onesta
EELVPCF-PGPOC
Delga
PSPRGMRC
Saurel
DVG
Fabre
ND
Cavard
UDECap21
Canzian
AEICDC
Rochefort
MoDem
Reynié
LRUDIMoDem
Lempereur
DLF
Hirimiris
UPR
Aliot
FN
Martinez
FFS
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 47.73% 1.81% 10.26% 24.41% 5.00% 0.83% 1.70% 18.84% 3.91% 0.71% 31.83% 0.69%
OpinionWay 1–2 Dec 2015 1,029 <1% 13% 20% 5% 2% <1% 22% 4% 1% 32% 1%
Ifop 28 Nov–1 Dec 2015 905 1% 9.5% 20% 6% 1.5% 2.5% 23.5% 3.5% 1% 31% 0.5%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,079 50% 1% 11% 23% 4% 2% 0.5% 20% 3.5% 0.5% 34% 0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,015 0.5% 14% 19% 6% 1% 2% 22% 3% 0.5% 32% <0.5%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 810 53% 1% 11% 23% 5% 2% 0.5% 21% 3.5% 0.5% 32% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Nov 2015 899 0.5% 12% 21% 6% 1.5% 2.5% 0.5% 22.5% 2.5% 1% 29% 1%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,001 52% 2% 10% 24% 5% 1.5% 0.5% 21% 3.5% 1% 31% 0.5%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,000 1% 11% 19% 6% 3% 3% 5% 20% 2% 1% 29%
Ifop 8–12 Oct 2015 923 0.5% 11% 20% 8% 2% 2.5% 25% 2% 1% 28% <0.5%
Ifop 10–14 Sep 2015 916 16% 21% 7% 26% 3% 27%
OpinionWay 3–8 Sep 2015 1,090 46% 16% 22% 8% 24% 3% 27%
PollingVox 3–5 Jul 2015 818 14% 19% 11% 25% 4% 27%
Ifop 30 Jun–2 Jul 2015 917 9% 7% 22% 9% 23% 2% 27% 1%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Onesta
EELVPCF-PGPOCPSPRGMRC
Delga
PSPRGMRCEELVPCF-PGPOC
Saurel
DVG
Reynié
LRUDIMoDem
Aliot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 37.98% 44.81% 21.32% 33.87%
Ifop 8–10 Dec 2015 1,086 43% 22% 35%
OpinionWay 1–2 Dec 2015 1,029 38% 29% 33%
37% 30% 33%
Ifop 28 Nov–1 Dec 2015 905 37% 29% 34%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,079 40% 26% 34%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,015 39% 26% 35%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 810 40% 27% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Nov 2015 899 40% 29% 31%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,001 41% 28% 31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,000 39% 29% 32%
Ifop 8–12 Oct 2015 923 38% 32% 30%
Ifop 10–14 Sep 2015 916 39% 32% 29%
OpinionWay 3–8 Sep 2015 1,090 45% 42% 30% 28%
45% 41% 31% 28%
PollingVox 3–5 Jul 2015 818 36% 32% 32%
Ifop 30 Jun–2 Jul 2015 917 39% 32% 29%
31% 11% 29% 29%

Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The October 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the French Communist Party (PCF), and the October 2015 BVA poll did not specify a list leader for Nous Citoyens. The September 2015 Odoxa poll offered an "extreme-left" list without noting a party or leader, and in one scenario proposed a common list of the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) led by Fabien Roussel and Sandrine Rousseau. The September 2015 Ifop poll offered three scenarios: one in which the Left Front was divided between Roussel (supported by the PCF) and Rousseau (supported by EELV, the Left Party, and New Deal), one in which the parties of the Left Front united behind Roussel while Rousseau ran only an EELV list, and one in which the Left Front and EELV joined a single list conducted by Pierre de Saintignon of the Socialist Party (PS). The September 2015 Odoxa poll and June 2015 OpinionWay and Ifop polls each described separate Left Front and EELV lists; the first did not specify the party or leader of an "extreme-left" list, and also proposed a scenario with a united PS–EELV list led by Saintignon. The June 2015 Ifop poll, which was conducted for EELV, did not specify an "extreme-left" list leader or party, and neither did it specify a list leader for the Left Front when not in alliance, in which case Sandrine Rousseau conducted the list. It also tested two unified PS–EELV list scenarios: one in which the list was led by Saintignon, and the other by Rousseau.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Pecqueur
LO
Roussel
PCF
Rousseau
EELVPGND
De Saintignon
PSPRGMRC
Vanlerenberghe
MoDem
Bertrand
LRUDIMoDemCPNT
Blondel
NC
Tanguy
DLF
Mascaro
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Gernigon
PFE
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 45.19% 1.75% 5.32% 4.83% 18.12% 24.97% 1.36% 2.39% 0.64% 40.64%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,494 49% 1.5% 3.5% 6% 20% 25% 1.5% 2% 0.5% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Nov 2015 941 1.5% 5.5% 6.5% 20% 24% 1% 2% 0.5% 39%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 902 2.5% 5% 6% 17% 24% 1% 2% 0.5% 42%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 802 53% 2% 3.5% 5% 20% 26% 1% 2% 0.5% 40%
OpinionWay 17–20 Nov 2015 807 46% 1% 6% 5% 20% 26% <1% 2% <1% 40%
Ifop 10–13 Nov 2015 968 1.5% 5.5% 8% 19% 26% 1% 2% 0.5% 36.5%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 992 55% 1% 5% 6% 20% 24% 2% 3% <0.5% 40%
Ifop 20–23 Oct 2015 978 1% 4% 9% 19% 26% 1.5% 1.5% <0.5% 38% <0.5%
Harris Interactive 14–19 Oct 2015 1,022 2% 9% 8% 16% 25% 2% 35%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 903 1% 5% 8% 15% 25% 2% 2% 42%
Odoxa 15–18 Sep 2015 991 4% 6% 4% 19% 26% 2% 36% 3%
4% 9% 21% 26% 1% 37% 2%
Ifop 9–14 Sep 2015 924 2% 5% 10% 18% 28% 2.5% 34% 0.5%
2% 9% (FG) 5% (EELV) 17% 28% 3% 35% 1%
3% 28% (PS–PRG–FG–EELV) 30% 3% 35% 1%
OpinionWay 25–29 Jun 2015 825 4% 5% 8% 18% 26% 1% 32% 6%
5% 6% 23% (PS–EELV) 26% 1% 33% 6%
Ifop 4–8 Jun 2015 876 2% 7% (FG) 7% (EELV) 18% 5% 28% 2% 31%
3% 14% (EELV–FG) 17% 5% 28% 2% 31%
2% 7% (FG) 23% (PS–PRG–EELV) 5% 28% 3% 32%
2% 7% (FG) 23% (EELV–PS–PRG) 6% 28% 2% 32%

Second round

[edit]

The November 2015 BVA poll tested two duels, the second of which specified a scenario in which the PS supported the list of the right.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. De Saintignon
PSPRGMRC-EELVPCF-PG
Bertrand
LRUDIMoDemCPNT
Marine Le Pen
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 38.76% 57.77% 42.23%
BVA 9–10 Dec 2015 908 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–10 Dec 2015 1,091 54% 46%
TNS Sofres 7–8 Dec 2015 805 53% 47%
Odoxa 6–8 Dec 2015 1,274 52% 48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,494 30% 30% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Nov 2015 941 50.5% 49.5%
30% 28% 42%
48% 52%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 902 48% 52%
49% (PS) 51%
26% 30% 44%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 802 29% 30% 41%
OpinionWay 17–20 Nov 2015 807 50% 50%
27% 30% 43%
46% 54%
Ifop 10–13 Nov 2015 968 53% 47%
31% 31% 38%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 992 30% 29% 41%
Ifop 20–23 Oct 2015 978 30% 31% 39%
Harris Interactive 14–19 Oct 2015 1,022 32% 31% 37%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 903 48% 52%
25% 29% 46%
Odoxa 15–18 Sep 2015 991 29% 32% 39%
Ifop 9–14 Sep 2015 924 32% 33% 35%
OpinionWay 25–29 Jun 2015 825 31% 32% 37%

Normandy

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The February 2015 OpinionWay poll was commissioned by Debout la France, and did not specify a list leader for the Left Front or an "extreme-left" list (for which no party was specified).

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Le Manach
LO
Jumel
PCF-PG
Soubien
EELV
Mayer-Rossignol
PSPRG
Lecoeur
ND
Morin
UDILRMoDem
Calbrix
DLF
Loutre
UPR
Bay
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 50.05% 1.83% 7.04% 6.14% 23.52% 0.78% 27.91% 4.14% 0.93% 27.71%
Ifop 2–3 Dec 2015 788 7.5% 6.5% 19% 31% 29%
Odoxa 27–30 Nov 2015 980 1% 7% 5% 23% 2% 28% 2% 2% 30%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,222 52% 0.5% 7% 5% 20.5% 2% 31% 2.5% 0.5% 31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 810 1% 9% 5% 21% 1% 31% 2% <0.5% 30%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 800 1% 9% 7% 23% 32% 1% 0% 27%
OpinionWay Feb 2015 1,005 2% 6% 9% 22% 29% 5% 22% 5%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Mayer-Rossignol
PSPRGEELV-PCF-PG
Morin
UDILRMoDem
Bay
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 40.92% 36.08% 36.42% 27.50%
Ifop 2–3 Dec 2015 788 34% 37% 29%
BVA 8–10 Dec 2015 776 36% 36% 28%
Odoxa 27–30 Nov 2015 980 35% 34% 31%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,222 34% 35% 31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 810 34% 33% 33%
BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 800 34% 36% 30%

Pays de la Loire

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Le Beller
LO
Terrien
EXG
Pagano
PCFMRC
Bringuy
EELV
Clergeau
PSPRG
Le Gal La Salle
MEI
Retailleau
LRUDIMoDem
Bayle
DLF
Parisot
UPR
Gannat
FN
Denigot
UDBMBP
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 50.03% 1.47% 0.17% 3.33% 7.82% 25.75% 33.49% 4.09% 1.26% 21.35% 1.27%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,642 55% 1.5% 0.5% 2% 6% 27% 32% 4% 1% 25% 1.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 795 0.5% 0.5% 4% 6% 24% 38% 1.5% <0.5% 23% 2.5%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 1% 6% 7% 23% 5% 36% 2% 16% 4%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Clergeau
PSPRG-EELVPCFMRC
Retailleau
LRUDIMoDem
Gannat
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 42.75% 37.56% 42.70% 19.74%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,642 37% 39% 24%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 795 34% 42% 24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 37% 45% 18%

Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur

[edit]

First round

[edit]

The October 2015 BVA poll also named Jean-Marc Coppola as a list leader for the joint Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) and Left Front list alongside Sophie Camard, while the June 2015 proposed two separate lists, a Left Front list led by Coppola and an EELV list led by Camard, without naming list leaders for "extreme-left", Democratic Movement (MoDem), or Debout la France lists.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bonnet
LO
Coppola
PCF-PG
Camard
EELVPCF-PG
Castaner
PSPRGMRC
Jarny
ND
Governatori
AEI
MoDem Estrosi
LRUDIMoDem
Chuisano
DLF
Romani
UPR
Maréchal-Le Pen
FN
Bompard
LS
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 48.06% 1.48% 6.54% 16.59% 0.64% 4.05% 26.47% 1.95% 0.61% 40.55% 1.12%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,733 49% 1% 7.5% 16% 1% 1.5% 30% 2% 0.5% 40% 0.5%
Ifop 25–27 Nov 2015 907 0.5% 8% 18% 2% 1.5% 29% 1.5% <0.5% 39% 0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 808 1% 8% 16% 0.5% 2% 28% 1% 0.5% 42% 1%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 830 51% 1% 8% 16% 1% 1% 30% 2% 0.5% 40% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Nov 2015 919 0.5% 8.5% 19% 2% 1% 30% 1.5% <0.5% 37% 0.5%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,000 54% 1% 8% 16% 1% 2% 32% 2% 0.5% 37% 0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Nov 2015 833 52% 1% 8% 18% 1% 2% 31% 2% <1% 37% <1%
Ifop 13–17 Oct 2015 915 0.5% 11.5% 18% 1.5% 32% 1.5% <0.5% 34% 1%
Odoxa 12–16 Oct 2015 927 1.5% 10% 18% 2% 30% 2% 0.5% 35% 1%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 798 1% 10% 16% 2% 32% 2% 36% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jun 2015 905 1% 7% 7% (EELV) 17% 5% 29% 2% 32%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Castaner
PSPRGMRCEELVPCF-PG
Estrosi
LRUDIMoDem
Maréchal-Le Pen
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 39.69% 54.78% 45.22%
BVA 8–10 Dec 2015 828 51% 49%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Dec 2015 1,089 52% 48%
Harris Interactive 7–9 Dec 2015 1,000 51% 49%
TNS Sofres 7–8 Dec 2015 803 54% 46%
Odoxa 6–8 Dec 2015 1,299 52% 48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,733 25% 34% 41%
Ifop 25–27 Nov 2015 907 27% 34% 39%
BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 808 50% 50%
25% 32% 43%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 2015 830 25% 34% 41%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Nov 2015 919 29% 33% 38%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 2015 1,000 26% 36% 38%
OpinionWay 10–12 Nov 2015 833 52% 48%
27% 35% 38%
43% 57%
Ifop 13–17 Oct 2015 915 28% 36% 36%
Odoxa 12–16 Oct 2015 927 29% 34% 37%
BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 798 27% 36% 37%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jun 2015 905 32% 35% 33%

Guadeloupe

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Nomertin
CO
Plaisir
CIPPA
Cadoce
PCG
Lurel
PS
Chalus
GUSR
Bernier
LRUDIMoDem
Seymour
AG
Yoyotte
Nofrap
Viennet
FN
Myre-Quidal
UPLG
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 52.79% 1.42% 1.85% 0.92% 41.09% 43.55% 4.49% 3.18% 1.58% 1.40% 0.50%
Qualistat 21–28 Oct 2015 565 3% 3% 2% 41% 43% 6% 1% 1%

French Guiana

[edit]

First round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Létard
WalwariEELV
Taubira
PPG
Tien-Liong
MDES
Fabien Canavy
MDES
Chantal Berthelot
PSG
Rodolphe Alexandre
GR
Rémy-Louis Budoc
LR
Muriel Icaré Nourel
UG
Sylvio Létard
DIG
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 57.38% 7.10% 0.97% 30.24% 5.71% 8.49% 42.34% 3.08% 1.59% 0.48%
Qualistat 16–28 Nov 2015 504 6% 4% 23% 7% 13% 43% 2% 2% 1%

Réunion

[edit]

First round

[edit]

Hugues Maillot was tested as list leader for Debout la France in the September 2015 Ipsos poll.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Payet
LO
Bello
PLRPSEELV
Lebreton
PSPCR
Ratenon
ARCP
Robert
MoDem
Robert
LRUDIOR
Victoria
LR
Morel
DLF
Appadoo
UPR
Grondin
FN
Boyer
NR
Payet
Demorun
Allamèle
DIV
Mouen
MCP
2015 election 6 Dec 2015 55.55% 0.48% 23.80% 7.12% 1.69% 20.32% 40.36% 1.02% 0.37% 0.48% 2.39% 0.52% 1.47%
Abaksys 23–28 Nov 2015 1,257 0.1% 32.5% 9.8% 1.9% 17.9% 35.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.5%
Abaksys 15–22 Oct 2015 1,177 0.0% 31.5% 8.3% 0.7% 17.9% 38.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ipsos 8–15 Sep 2015 502 1% 34.5% 8% 1% 15% 38% 2% 2.5% 1% 1%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Bello
PLRPSEELVMoDemPCR
Robert
LRUDIOR
2015 election 13 Dec 2015 44.72% 47.31% 52.69%
Ipsos 8–10 Dec 2015 618 46.5% 53.5%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine : pas "d'étiquette socialiste" pour Masseret s'il se maintient, indique le PS". franceinfo. Agence France-Presse. 7 December 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2018.
[edit]