Small power

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The international system is for the most part made up by small powers or small states. While a small power in the international system may never equal or surpass the effect of larger powers, they can nevertheless influence the workings of the international system together with others. The formalization of the division between small and great powers came about with the signing of the Treaty of Chaumont in 1814. Before that the assumption had been that all independent states were in theory equal regardless of actual strength and responsibilities. From the second half of the twentieth century, the bipolar power blocs decreased the strategic room for manoeuvre for smaller actors.

According to a 2017 review study, "What scholars can agree on is that small states generally prefer multilateralism as both a path to influence and a means to restrain larger states. Studies of influential small states indicate that they are able to develop issue-specific power to make up for what they lack in aggregate structural power. Small states can therefore develop power disproportionate relative to their size on the few issues of utmost importance to them. In addition to prioritization, small states have successfully employed the strategies of coalition-building and image-building. Even though small state administrations lack the resources of their larger counterparts, their informality, flexibility, and the autonomy of their diplomats can prove advantageous in negotiations and within institutional settings."[1]

Powers great and small

Almost all studies of power in international relations focus on great power politics and it will for this reason not be discussed here. For, as László Réczei noted, power status hinges on the capacity for violence: "If the notion of war were unknown in international relations, the definition of ‘small power’ would have no significance; just as in the domestic life of a nation it has no significance whether a man is less tall or has a weaker physique than his fellow citizen.[2]

Most of the small-state studies that make up the backbone of the small power research tradition were carried out in the heyday of non-alignment by scholars such as David Vital,[3] Robert Rothstein,[4] Maurice East[5] and Robert Keohane.[6]

The weakening of the non-alignment movement during the 1970s coincided with a gradual decline in small-state studies, culminating in Peter Baehr’s critical appraisal of the research tradition in which he questioned smallness as a useful framework for analysis. The small-power category was first taken into serious account with David Mitrany’s study on world government (pax oecumenica) in 1933. Mitrany argued that the international community consisted only of two tiers of state powers: great and small.[7]

Asle Toje takes a view where great powers and small powers distinguish themselves through patterns of behaviour. Small powers are not down scaled great powers – or oversized microstates.[8]

Defining small powers

There is no one definition of small powers. Therefore they have been defined in various ways. As Thorhallsson and Steinsson point out, shortage of the resources and capabilities that determine power and influence are central to most definitions of small powers.[9] The most common factor for defining state size, however, they continue is population size. Besides the size of population, other variables such as territory, economy, and military capabilities are also used.[1]

Even though the most common factor for defining small powers is the size of the population, there is not an agreement of how populous states should be to be defined as small or middle powers. Although states with less than 10 or 15 million inhabitants are regarded as small by most academics, states with up to 30 million inhabitants are sometimes considered small.[1] Others, however, think of size as a relative concept where the influence of great powers is seen as far greater and the influence of of middle powers moderately greater than those of small powers.[10] Additionally, small states barely have the capabilities to influence the international system.[11]

Instead of focusing solely on one factor, Thorhallsson proposes a framework that intertwines multiple factors. In that regard, factors such as fixed size (population and territory), sovereignty size (the degree to which a state controls its internal affairs and borders and is recognized), political size (military and administrative capabilities, domestic cohesion, and foreign policy consensus), economic size (GDP, market size, and development), perceptual size (how a state is perceived by internal or external actors), and preference size (the ideas, ambitions, and priorities of domestic elites regarding their role in the international system) are given equal value as opposed to just a single factor.[12]

Evaluating the size of a state

To answer the question of what constitutes a small state, many different criteria must be regarded. Many factors, both subjective and objective, can contribute to what is perceived as the size of a state, so there is no one entirely fulfilling definition. No matter how diverse criteria are used to define the size of states, no one method will suffice to group the states of the world today because of their diversity. For example the easiest and most often used indicators of the size of a state, population and geographical area, already pose a problem if the world's states are to be grouped in two: small or large. In that case, extremely different countries like San Marino and Sweden on one hand and Italy and China on the other would get grouped together.[13]

In their article Introduction: Small states and the European Union Clive Archer and Neill Nugent mention Raimo Väyrynen’s definition of the axes along which the properties of small states had been measured in international relations literature by the time of Väyrynen’s survey’s publication in 1971.[14] Although not perfect, it remains useful now despite its age, to capture the different approaches used when small states are identified:

"One axis considers whether the factors involved are endogenous or exogenous: that is to say, whether the smallness lies in the internal aspects of a country itself (such as its population or Gross Domestic Product  [GDP] or in its relations with other states (such as the size of its armed forces or its alliance status). The other axis involves objective and subjective evaluations: that is, whether the smallness is seen in terms of ‘measureable’ elements (such as geographical area or size of the diplomatic corps) or ‘impressionistic’ elements (notably veiws held and/or expressed by practitioners and commentators either at home or abroad)."[13]

Foreign policy of small states

Small states are usually more vulnerable to changes in the international system since they are more focused on survival than the bigger states. The costs of being exploited are way higher for small states and the effects of foreign-policy mistakes are much bigger, since the bigger states have a larger margin of time and error. So in some ways statesmen in small states have to watch more closely for external constraints. Using that reasoning, IR-theorists tend to believe that the foreign-policy of small states is more greatly influenced by the international system rather than their domestic politics.[15]

Miriam Fendius Elman talks about this in her article The foreign policies of small states: challenging neorealism in its own backyard, adding that foreign policy of bigger states tends to be more influenced by their domestic politics:

“By contrast, domestic politics will necessarily play a greater role in an explanation of great power foreign policy. Generally speaking, great powers are faced with a lower level of external threat in comparison to small states and thus have more options for action. This increased range of choice will tend to make foreign policy formation more susceptible to domestic political influences. Consequently, unit level variables cannot be ignored when explaining great power foreign policy.”[15]

She continues to quote Snyder where he points out the importance of the size of state when its foreign policy is being analised:

“Similarly, Snyder assumes that the study of small state and great power behaviour require different analytical foci. He points out that 'among the great powers, domestic pressures often outweigh international ones in the calculations of national leaders'.'1 Since great powers 'enjoy a substantial buffer from the pressures of international competition', domestic political explanations are good predictors of their foreign policy strategies. When studying the foreign policies of small states, Snyder does not expect domestic political theories to fit as well. Whereas 'great powers adapt their foreign strategies to their domestic circumstances', small states are more 'exposed to the vagaries of international security and economic competition'. Since small state foreign policy strategies will reflect an attentiveness to external exigencies, international/structural explanations should suffice.”[15]

More and more research is being done specifically on small states, how they develop their foreign policy, and how they are at some level completely different from larger states. Authors Alyson J.K. Bailes, Bradley A. Thayer, and Baldur Thorhallsson make the argument that small states differ from larger states in how they form alliances in their article Alliance theory and alliance 'Shelter': the complexities of small state alliance behavior.[16] They acknowledge that small states are naturally more vulnerable than larger states, due to smaller militaries, economies, and overall population size. However, they also argue that small states are not without power, especially when viewed through the theory of alliance of shelter.

In comparison with the more traditional international relations view that small states will always be obligated to seek protection from more power neighboring states and form alliances with them, the theory of alliance of shelter expands on and differs from this claim and viewpoint in six key ways.

  1. Shelter theory recognizes that small states are 'fundamentally different' that large states and therefore must act and make decisions using different logic.
  2. The alliances that small states form reflect not only the international reasons why the alliance is necessary, but the domestic reasons as well.
  3. Small states are able to benefit from alliances with larger states and reap greater relative gains than the larger state.
  4. In order to survive and thrive, small states rely heavily on alliance of shelter theory.
  5. Alliance of shelter theory allows small states to avoid isolation with the outside world their their alliances, which can have a profound social and cultural impact on the small state.
  6. Due to these alliances, small states may undergo a transformation, both internationally and domestically, which can come at a high cost to the small state.[17]

Characteristics of small powers

Though a single definition has proved elusive due to the number of potential variables and their particular interpretation under given conditions, Asle Toje claims to have found recurring traits in the research literature regarding the behavioural patterns of small powers on the international stage:[18]

  1. The strategic behaviour of small powers is characterized by dependence. A small power recognizes that it cannot obtain security by relying solely on its own capabilities. They cannot affect the international system alone but with some concerted effort they can affect the way the system works. A small power plays a dispensable and non-decisive part in a great power’s array of political and military resources. Small powers therefore tend towards a policy of either strict neutrality or alliance. Those ‘located in geopolitical regions critical to maintaining a great power’s position in the international system [tend] to opt for alliance’. In an alliance, small powers tend to follow the alliance leader closely, lend it what support they can and avoid antagonizing it. Under regional hegemony with a low probability of punishment, small powers tend to adopt neutrality.
  2. Small powers display variable geometry. In terms of military capabilities there is no ability to project power on a global scale. They are forced by their limited resources, their location and by the international system itself to establish clear priorities. To this end, they identify a hierarchy of risks and attempt to internationalize those considered to be most serious. Small power policies, argues David Vital, are aimed at altering the external environment by ‘reducing an unfavourable discrepancy in strength, broadening the field of manoeuvre and choice, and increasing the total resources on which the state can count in times of stress’.[19] Small powers are therefore status quo oriented. They work within the established order rather than attempting to revise the order itself.
  3. Small powers are the primary beneficiaries of international institutions and are, by necessity, lovers of the law. A small power will often seek to minimize the costs of conducting foreign policy and will increase the weight behind its policies by engaging in concerted efforts with other actors. Generally, this leads to a high degree of participation in and support for international organizations, which leads to a tendency to adopt ‘moral’ or ‘normative’ policy positions. Formal rules are actively encouraged in order to curb the great powers and strengthen their own position.
  4. Small powers are risk averse. They see more dangers than opportunities in international politics, which leads them both to shun system-upholding tasks and to display a penchant for token participation in such endeavours. Zaki Laidi defines a risk averse power as an international actor that ‘defines and responds to the political states of a given identified risk in terms of a will to reduce its uncertainties and uncontrollable effects’.[20] Due to the risks of extermination when challenging more powerful states, their ambitions are generally ‘defensive’. They have a narrow range of interests and little freedom of activity. Annette Baker Fox sees small powers as being geographically bound in the sense that their demands are restricted to their own and immediately adjacent areas, while great powers exert their influence on a global scale. Subsequently, small power strategic behaviour is characterized by a general reluctance to coerce and a tendency to promote multilateral, non-military solutions to security challenges.”[21]

Small powers in international organizations

Small states can under some circumstances have a disproportionately great influence. According to Diana Panke, "Small states tend to be most likely to punch above their weight if the negotiations take place in an institutionalised arena with majority-based decision-making rules in which each state has one vote or in contexts in which decisions are made unanimously, if they are selective in negotiations and concentrate their capacities on the most important issues, engage in capacity-building activities to maximise their ideational resources, if they make use of institutional opportunity structures such as chairing meetings and engaging in agenda-setting, and if they individually or collectively apply persuasion strategies from early on".[22]

List of small powers

The following is a list of countries that are described as being small powers:

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c Thorhallsson, Baldur; Steinsson, Sverrir (24 May 2017). "Small State Foreign Policy". doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.001.0001/acrefore-9780190228637-e-484. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  2. ^ Réczei, (1971). The Political Aims and Experiences of Small Socialist States. In Schou, A. & Brundtland, A. O. (eds) Small States in International Relations. New York: Wiley Interscience Division, p. 76.
  3. ^ Vital, D. (1967). The Inequality of States: a Study of Small Power in International Relations. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press.
  4. ^ Rothstein, R. L. (1968). Alliances and Small Powers. New York: Columbia University Press.
  5. ^ East, Maurice A. (1973). "Size and Foreign Policy Behavior: A Test of Two Models". World Politics. 25 (4): 556–576. doi:10.2307/2009952.
  6. ^ Keohane, Robert O. (1969). "Lilliputians' Dilemmas: Small States in International Politics". International Organization. 23 (2): 291–310. doi:10.1017/S002081830003160X.
  7. ^ Mitrany, D. (1933). The Progress of International Government. London: George Allen & Unwin Ltd, p. 9.
  8. ^ Toje, A. (2010). The European Union as a small power: After the post-Cold War. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
  9. ^ Thorhallsson, Baldur; Steinsson, Sverrir (24 May 2017). "Small State Foreign Policy". doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.001.0001/acrefore-9780190228637-e-484. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  10. ^ Morgenthau, Hans (1972). Science: Servant or Master?. New American Library.
  11. ^ Keohane, Robert O. (April 1969). "Lilliputians' Dilemmas: Small States in Internatinal Politics". International Organization. 23 (2): 291–310. doi:10.1017/S002081830003160X. ISSN 1531-5088.
  12. ^ Thorhallsson, Baldur (1 March 2006). "The Size of States in the European Union: Theoretical and Conceptual Perspectives". Journal of European Integration. 28 (1): 7–31. doi:10.1080/07036330500480490. ISSN 0703-6337.
  13. ^ a b Archer, Clive; Neill, Nugent (2002). "Introduction: Small States and EU". Current Politics and Economics of Europe. 11: 1–10.
  14. ^ Väyrynen, Raimo (1971). "On the definition and measurement of small power status". Cooperation and Conflict. VI: 91–102.
  15. ^ a b c Elman, Miriam Fendius (April 1995). "The foreign policies of small states: challenging neorealism in its own backyard". British journal of political science. 25, No. 2: 171–217 – via JSTOR.
  16. ^ . doi:10.1080/23802014.2016.1189806 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23802014.2016.1189806. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help); Missing or empty |title= (help)
  17. ^ Thorhallsson, Baldure (10/08/16). "Alliance theory and alliance 'Shelter': the complexities of small state alliance behavior" (PDF). {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)[dead link]
  18. ^ Toje, Asle (2010). "The European Union as a Small Power". JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies. 49 (1): 43–60. doi:10.1111/j.1468-5965.2010.02128.x.
  19. ^ Vital, D. (1967) The Inequality of States: A Study of Small Power in International Relations, Oxford: Oxford University Press. p.134
  20. ^ Laïdi, Z. (2010) Europe as a Risk Averse Power – A hypothesis, Garnet Policy Brief No. 11, p. 1.
  21. ^ Fox, A. B. (1959) The Power of Small States: Diplomacy in World War Two, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, p. 3, fn. 8.
  22. ^ Panke, Diana (1 September 2012). "Small states in multilateral negotiations. What have we learned?". Cambridge Review of International Affairs. 25 (3): 387–398. doi:10.1080/09557571.2012.710589. ISSN 0955-7571.
  23. ^ a b c d e f Small States and International Security: Europe and Beyond, Routledge, 14 Mar 2014, Page 130
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h "Why Small Powers Also Deserve Respect". 22 November 1993. Retrieved 14 March 2015.
  25. ^ Small States' Responses to the Great Depression: A case study of Bulgaria
  26. ^ a b c d e Lessons From Europe For the Economic Policy of Small States, March 2007
  27. ^ "Connecting the Basque and Icelandic Cases: An Ethnographic Chronicle about Democratic Regeneration". 2015. Retrieved 24 February 2016. {{cite journal}}: Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  28. ^ The Influence of Small States in the EU, UCD Dublin European Institute , 2008
  29. ^ Latvia: Some Notes on Small State Security, February 26, 2014
  30. ^ interdependencies of a small state, 2012
  31. ^ P Balík, role of small states in international organizations, 2008