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Revision as of 17:34, 6 August 2012

United States Senate election in Texas, 2012

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
  File:Paul Sadler.jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Paul Sadler John Jay Myers
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian

Incumbent U.S. senator

Kay Bailey Hutchison
Republican



The 2012 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on 6 November 2012, along with other elections to the United States Senate in other states, and elections to the United States House of Representatives. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth full term. Libertarian John Jay Myers was elected by nomination at the Texas Libertarian Party State Convention on June 8, 2012. A runoff was held on July 31, 2012 for both the Democratic and Republican primaries, with Paul Sadler and Ted Cruz winning, respectively.

Background

In an interview with Texas Monthly published in December 2007, incumbent senator Kay Bailey Hutchison stated that she would not seek re-election and might also resign from the Senate as early as 2009 to run for Governor of Texas.[1] After the 2008 elections, Hutchison formed an exploratory committee to run for governor in 2010. Hutchison indicated that she might possibly resign from the Senate before her current term is up to seek the governorship.[2] State Republican Party Chairman Cathie Adams later called upon Hutchison to clarify when she would vacate the Senate so that other Republican candidates could make preparations to run.[3]

On December 4, 2008, Hutchison set up an exploratory committee, setting up a primary battle with incumbent Republican governor Rick Perry.[4] Fellow Texas senator and National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn tried to convince Hutchison to stay in the Senate, for fear of losing the seat to the Democrats.[5] On January 15, 2009, Hutchison transferred nearly all the money, approximately $8 million, from her federal campaign account to her gubernatorial exploratory committee.[6] On November 13, 2009, Hutchison announced that she would not resign from the Senate seat until after the primary on March 2, 2010.[7]

Hutchison lost the gubernatorial primary to Perry and on March 31, 2010, she announced her intention to serve out her third term.[8] On January 13, 2011, after some discussion about whether she would change her mind,[9] Hutchison announced she would not seek re-election in 2012.[10]

Requirements for Nomination

Texas requires a majority for nomination, and a second round runoff between the two candidates with the two highest pluralities if none win a majority on the first round. [11] No candidate won a majority in either 2012 major party first round primary, so both parties had a runoff on July 31, 2012.

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Runoff

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ted
Cruz
David
Dewhurst
Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28-29, 2012 665 ±3.8% 52% 42% 6%
Public Policy Polling July 10-11, 2012 468 ±4.5% 49% 44% 7%
Public Policy Polling May 22-23, 2012 482 ±4.5% 34% 59% 7%

Primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ted
Cruz
David
Dewhurst
Tom
Leppert
Others
Public Policy Polling May 22-23, 2012 482 ±4.5% 29% 46% 15% Craig James (5%)
Other (2%)
Undecided (5%)
Burnt Orange Report/People Calling People May 15-16, 2012 557 ±4.2% 30% 43% 14% Craig James (5%)
Lela Pittenger (4%)
Glenn Addison (2%)
Curt Cleaver (1%)
Joe Agris (0%)
Ben Gambini (0%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune May 2012 274 ±5.92% 31% 40% 17% Craig James (4%)
Lela Pittenger (3%)
Glenn Addison (2%)
Joe Agris (1%)
Curt Cleaver (1%)
Ben Gambini (0%)
Don't know (2%)
Public Policy Polling April 19-22, 2012 400 ±4.9% 26% 38% 8% Craig James (7%)
Someone else/Undecided (22%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune February 8–15, 2012 366 ±5.12% 27% 38% 7% Craig James (7%)
Glenn Addison (1%)
Lela Pittenger (1%)
Curt Cleaver (0%)
Charles Holcomb (0%)
Other (19%)
Public Policy Polling January 12–15, 2012 559 ±4.2% 18% 36% 7% Craig James (4%)
Joe Agris (2%)
Glenn Addison (1%)
Lela Pittenger (1%)
Charles Holcomb (0%)
Someone else/Undecided (31%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune October 19–26, 2011 800 ± 4.93% 10% 22% 5% Michael McCaul (5%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (2%)
Glenn Addison (0%)
Another Republican candidate (7%)
Don't know (50%)
Public Policy Polling September 15–18, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 12% 41% 6% Elizabeth Ames Jones (7%)
Someone else/Undecided (34%)
Public Policy Polling June 25–27, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 11% 40% 5% Dan Patrick (11%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (3%)
Glenn Addison (2%)
Roger Williams (2%)
Lela Pittenger (0%)
Someone else/Not sure (26%)
Dresner Wickers Barber Sanders+ June 4–5, 2011 450 ± 4.62% 2% 11% Dan Patrick (19%)
Roger Williams (6%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (4%)
Not sure/Refused (58%)
6% Dan Patrick (29%)
Not sure/Refused (64%)
Texas Lyceum May 24–31, 2011 147 ± 8.08% 1% 27% 3% Roger Williams (4%)
Michael McCaul (3%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (2%)
Michael Williams (0%)
Haven't thought much about it (56%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune May 11–18, 2011 388 ± 4.98% 2% 25% 4% Michael Williams (6%)
Roger Williams (2%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (1%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune February 11–17, 2011 374 ± 5.07% 3% 27% Michael Williams (5%)
Michael McCaul (4%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (2%)
Roger Williams (2%)
Another Republican candidate (5%)
Don't know (52%)
Public Policy Polling January 14–16, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 3% 23% 3% Ron Paul (21%)
Greg Abbott (14%)
Joe Barton (7%)
Elizabeth Ames Jones (6%)
Michael Williams (3%)
Roger Williams (1%)
Someone else/Undecided (19%)
  •  • Commissioned by David Dewhurst
  • + Commissioned by Dan Patrick

Results

Primary

Republican primary Results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Dewhurst 624,170 44.6
Republican Ted Cruz 479,079 34.2
Republican Tom Leppert 186,675 13.3
Republican Craig James 50,211 3.6
Republican Glenn Addison 22,888 1.6
Republican Lela Pittenger 18,028 1.3
Republican Ben Gambini 7,193 0.5
Republican Curt Cleaver 6,649 0.5
Republican Joe Argis 4,558 0.3
Total votes 1,399,451 100

Runoff

Republican runoff results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ted Cruz 631,316 56.8
Republican David Dewhurst 480,165 43.2
Total votes 1,111,481 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Filed

Withdrew

Declined

  • Bill White, former Mayor of Houston, originally announced that he would be running for the seat when it is vacated by Hutchison. On December 4, 2009, White announced that he was running for governor instead.[63] After receiving the Democratic nomination for governor and losing the general election, White declared on November 15, 2010, that he would not run for the U.S. Senate in 2012.[64]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Addie Dainell
Allen
Sean
Hubbard
Paul
Sadler
Grady
Yarbrough
Others
University of Texas/Texas Tribune May 2012 234 ±6.41% 22% 22% 35% 12% Don't know (9%)

Results

Primary

Democratic primary results[65]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Sadler 174,020 35.1
Democratic Grady Yarbrough 128,058 25.8
Democratic Addie Allen 113,447 22.9
Democratic Sean Hubbard 80,037 16.2
Total votes 495,562 100

Runoff

Democratic runoff results[66]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paul Sadler 148,805 63.1
Democratic Grady Yarbrough 87,090 36.9
Total votes 235,895 100

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party is qualified for the ballot (based on its 2010 performance at the polls). The Texas Libertarian Party nominated John Jay Myers as its Senate candidate on June 8-9 at the state convention in Fort Worth. The nominating process followed a two round debate featuring six candidates for the nomination.

Candidates

  • John Jay Myers (Nomination Winner), restaurant owner[67][68]
  • Scott Jameson
  • Jon Roland
  • Robert Butler
  • S. Ropal Raju
  • Wayne Huffman

Results

Libertarian convention approval vote[69]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian John Jay Myers 97 78.9
Libertarian Scott Jameson 28 22.8
Libertarian John Roland 27 21.9
Libertarian Robert Butler 19 15.4
Libertarian S. Ropal Raju 3 2.4
Libertarian Wayne Huffman 2 1.6
Total ballots 123 1.431 v/b
Total votes {{{votes}}}

Note: percentages correspond to the approval rates, as the nomination was conducted under approval voting.

Independent

Candidates

  • Chris Tina Bruce, personal trainer[70]
  • Mike Champion[71]

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ted
Cruz (R)
Paul
Sadler (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19-22, 2012 591 ± 4.0% 44% 34% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 12–15, 2012 700 ± 3.7% 41% 31% 28%

See also

References

  1. ^ Smith, Evan (December, 2008). "Kay Bailey Hutchison". Texas Monthly. Retrieved December 19, 2010. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |date= (help)
  2. ^ "Hutchison ponders 'what ifs' of Texas governor run". USA Today. Associated Press. November 6, 2008. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  3. ^ "Cathie Adams refuses to withdraw endorsement of Rick (Perry)". ricvskay.blogspot.com, October 26, 2009. Retrieved October 28, 2009.
  4. ^ Johnson, Sasha (December 4, 2008). "Hutchison move sets up possible Texas primary fight". CNN. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  5. ^ Blake, Aaron (January 14, 2009). "Cornyn urges Hutchison to stay, keep Texas seat red". The Hill. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  6. ^ Wilson, Reid (January 15, 2009). "Hutchison transfers millions to gubernatorial account". The Hill. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  7. ^ Root, Jay (November 13, 2010). "Hutchison won't resign seat before Texas primary". The Seattle Times. The Associated Press.
  8. ^ "Texas GOP Sen. Hutchison to stay in Senate". News 8 Austin. TWEAN News Channel of Austin, L.P. March 31, 2010.
  9. ^ Benning, Tom (May 28, 2010). "Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison undecided on running, but foes aren't". Dallasnews.com. Dallas Morning News.
  10. ^ Janda, Greg (January 13, 2011). "Sen. Hutchison Won't Run for Re-Election in 2012". KXAS-TV. NBC Universal, Inc.
  11. ^ Texas Election Code - Section 172.003. Majority Vote Required - Texas Attorney Resources - Texas Laws
  12. ^ "Addison announces candidacy for Senate".
  13. ^ Texans Have a Voice in 2012 Presidential Primary at State-Wide “Saddle Up” Straw Poll in Houston Jan 12 – 14 | Texas GOP Vote
  14. ^ "candidate's website".
  15. ^ "Ted Cruz for U.S. Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2011.
  16. ^ Grissom, Brandi (January 19, 2011). "Former Solicitor General Ted Cruz Joins Senate Race". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved January 19, 2011.
  17. ^ "Texas Lt. Gov. Enters Race for US Senate". Boston Globe. July 19, 2011. Retrieved July 19, 2011. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help) [dead link]
  18. ^ "Candidates for United States Senator". Republican Party of Texas. Retrieved January 26, 2012.
  19. ^ Dewhurst files for U.S. Senate, race to succeed Hutchison taking shape | kvue.com Austin
  20. ^ Vertuno, Jim (December 19, 2011). "ESPN Football Analyst Craig James Runs for Senate". Google News. Associated Press.
  21. ^ Watson, Brad (February 25, 2011). "Leppert says he is running for U.S. Senate". WFAA-TV. Retrieved February 25, 2011.
  22. ^ "Lela Pittenger for U.S. Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2011.
  23. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (November 7, 2011). "Elizabeth Ames Jones leaves U.S. Senate race to run for State Senate". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved November 7, 2011.
  24. ^ "Florence Shapiro Drops Run for U.S. Senate". The Texas Tribune. March 31, 2011. Retrieved December 24, 2011.
  25. ^ "Williams drops Senate race to run for Congress". Houston Chronicle. June 22, 2011. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
  26. ^ Ramsey, Ross (June 28, 2011). "Williams Drops Senate Bid to Run for Congress". Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 28, 2011.
  27. ^ a b "Ron Paul and Sarah Palin Make Strange Bedfellows by Supporting Texas Tea Party Ted Cruz". PolicyMic. May 12, 2012. Retrieved May 12, 2012.
  28. ^ Austin news, sports, weather, Longhorns, business | Statesman.com
  29. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Ted Cruz for U.S. Senate - Endorsements
  30. ^ DeMint Endorses Ted Cruz in Texas Primary : Roll Call Politics
  31. ^ Gillman, Todd. "Ted Cruz gets Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorsement for Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved March 23, 2011.
  32. ^ "Ron Paul Joins Son and Ted Cruz at Tea Party Rally".
  33. ^ "Santorum endorses Ted Cruz in Texas Senate race".
  34. ^ a b c d Will, George F. (June 16, 2011). "In Ted Cruz, a candidate as good as it gets". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
  35. ^ "George P. endorses Cruz".
  36. ^ "Santorum Endorses Cruz, Cites "Wow Factor"".
  37. ^ "Endorsement: Ted Cruz for TX Senate".
  38. ^ Tea Party Express | 2012 Endorsements | Tea Party Express
  39. ^ Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund Endorses Ted Cruz for Senate | GOA-PVF 2012 Favorites
  40. ^ Rick Perry Stars in Ad for Dewhurst in Texas Senate Race - Yahoo! News
  41. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Endorsements for David Dewhurst | Dewhurst for Texas
  42. ^ Editorial: Dewhurst deserves GOP nod | Dallas Morning News Editorials - Opinion and Commentary for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News
  43. ^ Huck PAC - Blogs - Gov. Huckabee and Huck PAC endorse David Dewhurst for US Senate
  44. ^ IBAT Endorses David Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  45. ^ Texas Agricultural Aviation Association endorses Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  46. ^ Texas Apartment Association endorses Dewhurst for Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  47. ^ Texas Association of Business BACPAC endorses Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  48. ^ Manufacturers Endorse Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  49. ^ Texas Hospital Association HOSPAC endorses Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  50. ^ Texas Retailers Association PAC endorses Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  51. ^ TSPE Endorses David Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  52. ^ Texas Wildlife Association Endorses Dewhurst for U.S. Senate | Dewhurst for Texas
  53. ^ 2012 Republican Party Primary Election - RESULTS
  54. ^ http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/results/july31_162_state.htm
  55. ^ a b Batheja, Aman (May 3, 2012). "Democrats to Take Stage in U.S. Senate Forum". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  56. ^ a b c "Senate races take the spotlight". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. May 12, 2012. Retrieved May 21, 2012.
  57. ^ Scharrer, Gary (December 19, 2011). "Former rep files for Senate, filling Dem void left by Sanchez". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved December 20, 2011.
  58. ^ "Boone Enters US House Race Against Smith". Blanco County News. March 14, 2012. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
  59. ^ "Texas Secretary of State Election Results". July 9, 2012.
  60. ^ Two Dems to seek Senate nomination - Houston Chronicle
  61. ^ Embry, Jason (February 2, 2012). "Democrat Gibson drops out of Senate race". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved February 3, 2012.
  62. ^ Lederman, Josh (December 16, 2011). "Lone Democrat drops out of Senate race in Texas". The Hill. Retrieved December 16, 2011.
  63. ^ Olson, Bradley; Ratcliff, R.G. (December 4, 2009). "White, Perry lock down governor bids". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  64. ^ Holley, John (November 15, 2010). "What's next on Bill White's agenda". Houston Chronicle. Retrieved December 19, 2010.
  65. ^ 2012 Democratic Party Primary Election - RESULTS
  66. ^ http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/results/july31_163_state.htm
  67. ^ "John Jay Myers Campaign". Retrieved July 27, 2011.
  68. ^ "2012 Texas Candidates". Retrieved July 15, 2011.
  69. ^ Independant Political Report - LIVE Blogging from Texas LP Convention
  70. ^ Wright, John (January 11, 2011). "WATCH: Chris Tina Bruce on discrimination". Dallas Voice. Retrieved January 11, 2011.
  71. ^ Home Page
Official campaign websites