2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona. Arizona is one of twenty-seven states that prohibits its governors from serving more than two consecutive terms. Therefore, incumbent Republican Governor Doug Ducey is term-limited and ineligible to run for a third consecutive term.
Arizona's primaries are scheduled to be held on August 2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Steve Gaynor, businessman and nominee for Arizona Secretary of State in 2018[1]
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor[2]
- Bryan Masche, nurse and Air Force veteran[3]
- Daniel McCarthy, skincare company executive and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020[4]
- Karrin Taylor Robson, land developer and member of the Arizona Board of Regents[5]
- Matt Salmon, former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 1st congressional district (1995–2001) and Arizona's 5th congressional district (2013–2017) and nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002[6]
Republican candidates[a]
-
Businessman
Steve Gaynor -
Regent
Karrin Taylor Robson -
Former U.S. Representative
Matt Salmon
Potential
- Kirk Adams, former chief of staff to Governor Doug Ducey (2015–2018) and former speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2009–2011)[7]
- Steve Chucri, Maricopa County supervisor (2013–2021)[8]
- Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–present), former state senator (2013–2015), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[9]
Withdrew
- Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present) (running for re-election)[10]
Declined
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present) (endorsed Salmon)[9][11]
- Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General (2015–present) (running for U.S. Senate)[12]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 1st congressional district (2011–2013) (endorsed Lake)[13][14]
- Debbie Lesko, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 8th congressional district (2018–present) (endorsed Yee)[15]
- David Schweikert, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2011–2013) (endorsed Salmon)[16][17]
Endorsements
Karrin Taylor Robson
- Governors of Arizona
- Fife Symington, 19th Governor of Arizona (1990–1997)[18]
- Jan Brewer, 22nd Governor of Arizona (2009–2015)[19]
- Executive Branch officials
- William Bennett, Secretary of Education (1985-1988)[19]
Kari Lake
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[20]
- Michael Flynn, U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former U.S. Army lieutenant general (Democrat)[21]
- U.S. Representatives
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th congressional district (2011–present)[22]
- State legislators
- Wendy Rogers, member of the Arizona Senate from the 6th district (2021–present)[23]
- Individuals
- Rob Schneider, comedian and actor[24]
- Mike Lindell, founder of My Pillow[25]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump[26]
- Scott Presler, voter registration activist and organizer of the 2019 Baltimore cleanup[27]
Matt Salmon
- Executive Branch officials
- Sam Brownback, former United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom (2018-2021), and 46th Governor of Kansas (2011-2018)[28]
- U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[29]
- Jim DeMint, former U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2005-2013)[17]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[30]
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021–present)[31]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011–present)[17]
- U.S. Representatives
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 6th congressional district (2007–2015)[17]
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[32]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[17]
- David McIntosh, former U.S. Representative for Indiana's 2nd congressional district (1995–2001)[33]
- Frank Riggs, former U.S. Representative for California's 1st congressional district (1995-1999)[17]
- David Schweikert, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district (2011-present)[17]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner (2000-2001), acting Interior Minister of Iraqi Coalition Provisional Authority (2003)[17]
- Ted Nugent, entertainer, musician and activist[17]
Kimberly Yee (withdrew)
- U.S. Representatives
- Barry Goldwater Jr., U.S. Representative from California's 27th congressional district (1969–1975) and California's 20th congressional district (1975–1983); son of former U.S. Senator from Arizona and 1964 Republican presidential nominee Barry Goldwater[35]
- Debbie Lesko, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2018–present)[15]
Polling
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Steve Gaynor |
Kari Lake |
Daniel McCarthy |
Jorge Rivas |
Karrin Taylor Robson |
Matt Salmon |
Kimberly Yee |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 4% | 43% | – | – | 13% | 15% | – | – | 25% | ||||||
Data Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 8% | 37% | – | – | 9% | 13% | – | – | 34% | ||||||
Yee withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 5% | 21% | – | 1% | 6% | 17% | 5% | – | 46% | ||||||
OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 252 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 2% | 28% | – | 1% | 1% | 11% | 6% | – | 51% | ||||||
OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 311 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 5% | 25% | – | 2% | 1% | 9% | 6% | – | 53% | ||||||
HighGround Public Affairs (R) | May 3–5, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 10% | 5% | – | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 66% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | May 12–13, 2021 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 42% | – | – | 48% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Katie Hobbs, Arizona Secretary of State (2019–present)[36][37][38]
- Aaron Lieberman, state representative (2019–2021)[39]
- Marco López Jr., former chief of staff for the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (2009–2011) and former mayor of Nogales (2001–2004)[40]
Democratic candidates[a]
Potential
- Charlene Fernandez, minority leader of the Arizona House of Representatives (2019–2021)[36]
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix (2019–present)[41]
Declined
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 7th congressional district (2015–present) (running for re-election)[42]
- Tom O'Halleran, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 1st congressional district (2017–present) (running for re-election)[43]
- Greg Stanton, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 9th congressional district (2019–present) and former Mayor of Phoenix (2012–2018) (running for re-election)[44]
Endorsements
Marco López Jr.
- State legislators
- Art Hamilton, state representative for Arizona's 22nd legislative district (1973–1999)[45]
- Organizations
Polling
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Katie Hobbs |
Aaron Lieberman |
Marco López Jr. |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 274 (RV) | ± 5.9% | 46% | 5% | 9% | 39% |
– | 23% | 27% | 50% | ||||
OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 229 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 42% | 6% | 8% | 44% |
OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 283 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 40% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Steve Remus, U.S. Air Force veteran and former candidate for Arizona House of Representatives[47]
- Robert "Bob" Baxter Jr.[47]
- Barry Hess, perennial candidate[47]
- William "Bill" Moritzky[47]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[48] | Tossup | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections[49] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] | Tossup | September 15, 2021 |
RCP[51] | Tossup | January 10, 2022 |
Polling
- Steve Gaynor vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Steve Gaynor (R) |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
- Kari Lake vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kari Lake (R) |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | – | 16% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 10, 2021 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 34% | 39% | 2% | 19% |
592 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 41% | 2% | 18% |
- Matt Salmon vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Matt Salmon (R) |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 41% | – | 20% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 10, 2021 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 31% | 40% | 4% | 17% |
592 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 4% | 16% |
- Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Karrin Taylor Robson (R) |
Katie Hobbs (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 42% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 855 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 35% | 26% |
OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 713 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 36% | 25% |
Data for Progress (D)[B] | September 15–22, 2020 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Notes
- ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ a b c d e f g Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ "Steve Gaynor joins Arizona governor race". The Kingman Daily Miner. Associated Press. June 26, 2021. Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
- ^ Valencia, Peter. "Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor". AZFamily. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
- ^ "Former Havasu resident throws his name in crowded GOP field of gubernatorial candidates". The Kingman Daily Miner. Associated Press. August 26, 2021. Archived from the original on August 27, 2021. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
- ^ Daniel McCarthy for Arizona [@DemandDanielAZ] (December 8, 2020). "@gatewaypundit Jim, thank you! I am not a state Rep. State Reps have signed it, but I am setting up a run for Governor of Arizona. The source you republished got it wrong. I'll be on the War Room with Owen Shroyer around 4:30 ET to give the latest" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 26, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Regent to seek governor's office". Arizona Capitol Times. May 17, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
- ^ "Former Rep. Matt Salmon launches gubernatorial bid in Arizona". The Hill. June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
- ^ "Three-quarters of states will elect governors in the next 2 years. Here's a field guide". POLITICO. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
- ^ "Former Nogales mayor announces bid for governor". Azcapitaltimes.com. March 16, 2021. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
- ^ a b CATargetBot [@CATargetBot] (April 24, 2021). "NEW DNS REGISTRATIONS - 2021-04-24 https://t.co/fxSLCWWTuX" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Arizona State Treasurer Kimberly Yee pulls out of governor race, to run for re-election". KNXV. January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
- ^ Biggs, Andy [@andybiggs4az] (June 16, 2021). "Today is a big day for AZ. My good friend and co-founder of the House Freedom Caucus, @MattSalmonAZ, got in the race for governor. If there's one thing I know about Matt it's that he will stand up for AZ conservatives. Join me in showing your support at https://t.co/DwBW6Fa6WV" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Greenwood, Max (June 10, 2021). "Arizona AG Mark Brnovich launches Senate challenge to Mark Kelly". The Hill. Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
- ^ Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (March 8, 2021). "Find out if the people demand I be governor or senator. I'm not saying I'd run. Just saying we need to find out. https://t.co/0ENIkmeeVo" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (June 1, 2021). "1/2 Once again I am asking for your support....and I do thank you. https://t.co/czWXG8ZJ6X" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 7, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Lesko, Debbie [@DebbieLesko] (May 19, 2021). "Excited to endorse my friend @KimberlyYeeAZ for Governor! She is just what Arizona needs to lead our great state! https://t.co/MJJdHubTCg" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ "U.S. Rep. David Schweikert floats run for Arizona governor in 2022". KTAR. October 26, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Endorsements - Matt Salmon for Governor". Matt Salmon for Governor. Retrieved February 14, 2022.
- ^ ktar.com (September 13, 2021). "Brewer, Symington join Taylor Robson campaign for Arizona governor". KTAR.
- ^ a b "News- Karrin Taylor Robson". Karrin Taylor Robson for Governor.
- ^ Shapiro, Danny (September 28, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Kari Lake for Arizona governor". KTAR-FM. Archived from the original on September 29, 2021. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
- ^ Lake, Kari [@KariLake] (September 29, 2021). "I am so honored to receive the endorsement of General Michael Flynn. He is a true patriot who loves this country. With men like General Flynn and President Trump by my side, we can't lose. 1/8 #KariLakeForAZGovernor https://t.co/9UVcLtRSkD" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 30, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (October 6, 2021). "1/3 I am proud to endorse Kari Lake to be our next Governor. Arizona is at a cross-roads and the state needs a governor who will work with the people, and for the people, and not just special interests. Kari is America First all day, 24-7. https://t.co/sk26VloGxY" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 28, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Smith, Allan (November 14, 2021). "Wendy Rogers embraced Trump's stolen election lie and watched her star rise". NBC News.
- ^ Hamilton, Heather (December 30, 2021). "WATCH: Comedian Rob Schneider endorses Arizona gubernatorial candidate in comedy show". Washington Examiner.
- ^ Dale, Daniel (October 16, 2021). "Fact-checking Kari Lake, serial promoter of election lies and early frontrunner in GOP primary for Arizona governor". CNN. Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
- ^ Kari Lake for AZ Governor [@KariLake] (March 8, 2022). "🚨 ENDORSEMENT 🚨 @DonaldJTrumpJr: "Please elect this woman if you still believe in Freedom & Liberty in Arizona" Thank you, Don Jr! It's an honor to be in this fight to Save America with you. https://t.co/EhQwhSaY9a" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 8, 2022. Retrieved March 13, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Kari Lake for AZ Governor [@KariLake] (March 2, 2022). "Beyond delighted to have received the endorsement of @ScottPresler. Scott is the foremost #AmericaFirst, grassroots activist in the country. He comes to communities with a smile, turns them red & leaves them better than he found them. I'm honored, Scott. https://t.co/5GjHK0udCe" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 2, 2022. Retrieved March 13, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Salmon, Matt [@MattSalmonAZ] (January 10, 2022). "New Endorsement! ✅ I am proud to announce that @SamuelBrownback is endorsing my campaign for Governor of AZ. His invaluable service as President Trump's U.S. Ambassador-at-Large helped secure religious freedom abroad for generations to come. https://t.co/IfLMzZoKah" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 11, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Evie Fordham (June 30, 2021). "Ted Cruz endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona governor". Fox News.
- ^ Graham, Lindsey [@LindseyGrahamSC] (July 14, 2021). "Matt will work every day to secure Arizona's border and advance policies that protect Arizona families. He also understands threats come in many forms, including from international adversaries who want to steal Arizona's trade secrets. https://t.co/krOG3OjTZI" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 18, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Lummis, Cynthia [@CynthiaMLummis] (June 16, 2021). "Pleased as punch to learn that my friend Matt Salmon is running for Governor in Arizona. Got to visit with Matt about this BIG decision and thrilled he decided to jump in with both feet. https://t.co/tIFoavK93g" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ Murray, Stephanie. "Election bill gets a vote this week". POLITICO. Retrieved June 21, 2021.
- ^ a b Cailtin McFall (June 16, 2021). "Former Rep. Matt Salmon enters Arizona gubernatorial race with Club for Growth endorsement". Fox News.
- ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona Governor". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. July 6, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ Yee, Kimberly [@KimberlyYeeAZ] (May 21, 2021). ""Kimberly is a true conservative that my father would've been proud to fight alongside against the liberals in Washington. She is a fearless leader who has advocated for conservative values in Arizona. Kimberly will make a great Governor for our state." ~Hon. Barry Goldwater, Jr. https://t.co/YXT2t8U1lW" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Herstam, Chris (January 6, 2020). "Katie Hobbs for governor – already?". The Times-Gazette. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
- ^ Rosenblatt, Dillon (May 21, 2021). "Races for 2022 statewide offices taking shape". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
- ^ Oxford, Andrew. "In spotlight of audit, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs announces run for Arizona governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 2, 2021.
- ^ Oxford, Andrew. "Democratic state Rep. Aaron Lieberman launches bid for governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 29, 2021.
- ^ POletta, Maria (March 16, 2021). "Former Nogales mayor is first to announce 2022 bid for Arizona governor". azcentral. Retrieved March 16, 2021.
- ^ Square, Cole Lauterbach | The Center. "First Democrat throws hat in ring to succeed Ducey as Arizona governor". The Center Square. Retrieved May 19, 2021.
- ^ Epstein, Kayla (January 18, 2022). "Progressives want to unseat Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, and Rep. Ruben Gallego, a Latino and veteran, is emerging as a favorite". Business Insider. Retrieved January 18, 2022.
- ^ Estrada, Melissa (December 18, 2021). "Here are the candidates running in Arizona's 1st Congressional District". www.azcentral.com. The Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah (June 26, 2021). "House Dems head off retirement crisis — for now". POLITICO.
- ^ "Former lawmaker Art Hamilton endorses Lopez for governor in latest snub of Hobbs". The Arizona Republic. November 22, 2021.
- ^ "Latino Victory endorses Hispanic Democrat for Arizona governor". The Hill. February 2, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "2022 Primary Election Interested Candidates". apps.arizona.vote. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Steve Gaynor (R) for Governor
- Katie Hobbs (D) for Governor
- Kari Lake (R) for Governor
- Aaron Lieberman (D) for Governor
- Marco A. López Jr. (D) for Governor
- Daniel McCarthy (R) for Governor
- Steve Remus (L) for Governor
- Karrin Taylor Robson (R) for Governor
- Matt Salmon (R) for Governor
- Kimberly Yee (R) for Governor