2020 Polish presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Polish presidential election, 2020

← 2015 Between April and May 2020

Incumbent President

Andrzej Duda
Independent



Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Poland in 2020, although they may be held earlier if the office of President become vacated as a result of death, resignation or removal from office. Incumbent president, Andrzej Duda, is eligible for reelection.

Electoral system[edit]

The President of Poland is directly elected using the two-round system. They are limited to two five-year terms. The term of Andrzej Duda will expire on 6 August 2020, and the president-elect will take oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of the Sejm and Senat).

Possible candidates[edit]

Law and Justice[edit]

  • Andrzej Duda, President of Poland is eligible to run for a second term. His approval ratings are high – In September 2017, his approval rating stood at 71% and in February 2018, at 72%. A record surpassed only by Aleksander Kwaśniewski from 1995 to 2005, whose approval ratings surpassed 75%.[1] [2]

Civic Platform[edit]

Modern[edit]

Kukiz'15[edit]

  • Paweł Kukiz, leader of Kukiz'15, presidential candidate in 2015, Polish punk rock musician. He declared that he supports the current president for now. However, Kukiz has indicated that he would run in the next presidential election, "should the president [Andrzej Duda] retreat to partisan party politics".[5]

Liberty[edit]

Independent[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

First round[edit]

Poll source Date(s) administered Undecided/would not vote Others
Duda
PiS
Kaczyński
PiS
Szydło
PiS
Tusk
PO
Schetyna
PO
Kopacz
PO
Komorowski
PO
Czarzasty
SLD
Kukiz
K'15
Petru
.N
Lubnauer
.N
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
IN
Zandberg
Razem
Korwin-Mikke
Liberty
Rzepliński
IN
Nowacka
IN
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 - - 40% - - 39% - - - 1% 2% - - 6% 9% - - - -
IBRiS 13 November 2018 9% - 37% - - 36% - - - - 4% - - 3% 10% - 1% - -
Ariadna 17-21 August 2018 14% 6%[a] 34% 1% - 21% - - - - 6% - - 1% 14% 1% 2% - -
Pollster 11-12 July 2018 - 19% 32% - - 21% - - - - 7% - - - 17% - 4% - -
Millward Brown 25-26 April 2018 6% 4% 44% - - 24% - - - - 4% - - 2% 15% 1% - - -
Pollster 5 April 2018 - 4%[b] 36% - - 26% - - - - 7% - 3% 2% 19% - 3% - -
IBRiS 4 April 2018 9.3% - 33.5% - - 33.0% - - - - 6.8% - - 3.0% 11.4% 1.3% 1.7% - -
Pollster 3-5 January 2018 - - 39% - - 21% - - - 1% 9% - 2% 3% 15% 3% 4% - 3%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 14.3% - 42.7% - - 17.1% - - - 0.4% 9.6% - - 0.9% 12.7% 1.0% - - 1.3%
Pollster 16-17 August 2017 - - 39% - 6% 31% 1% - - 3% 7% 2% - 3% - 3% 5% - -
Ariadna 28-31 July 2017 14% - 37% - - 23% - - - 0% 7% - - 2% 14% 2% - - 1%
IBRiS 26-27 July 2017 9.9% 1.2%[c] 36.2% - - 20.5% - - - - 7.7% 1.5% - 4.1% 16.3% - 2.6% - -
Ariadna 23-26 June 2017 14% - 35% - - 23% - - - 2% 11% - - 4% 9% 1% - - 1%
Ariadna 9-12 June 2017 14% - 32% - - 27% - - - 1% 9% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 3%
21% - 34% - - - 8% - - 1% 8% - - 4% 17% 2% - - 5%
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 15.4% - 31.9% - - 26.9% - - - - 8% - - - 17.8% - - - -
Kantar Public 26-27 April 2017 10% 1% 38% - - 31% - - - - 12% - - - 8% - - - -
Dobra Opinia 30 March-3 April 2017 - - 37.4% - - 25.8% - - - - 9.5% 7.9% - 4.8% 11.1% - 3.5% - -
Pollster 7-8 March 2017 - 8% 45% - - 25% - - 4% - 5% 2% - - 8% - 3% - -
Pollster 2-3 January 2017 - 17.18% 41.23% 0.59% 1.60% 11.55% 0.24% 0.17% 3.96% - 7.36% 7.89% - - 2.62% 0.44% 3.93% 1.27% -
IPSOS 19-21 December 2016 16% 1% 36% 1% - 18% 1% - - - 5% 8% - - 8% 1% - - -
Pollster 5-8 February 2016 - 9% 38% - - 16% 3% - - - 14% 17% - 3% - - - - -
Presidential election 10 May 2015 - 7.3% 34.8% - - - - - 33.8% - 20.8% - - - - - 3.3% - -

Second round[edit]

Duda v. Tusk[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Tusk
PO
Millward Brown 19-20 November 2018 50% 45% 5%
IBRiS 13 November 2018 46% 44% 10%
Pollster 9-10 August 2018 51% 49% -
IBRiS 26-27 July 2018 50% 45% 5%
Pollster 13-14 June 2018 52.5% 47.5% -
Millward Brown 25-26 April 2018 53% 44% 3%
Kantar Public 20-21 November 2017 48% 27% 25%
IBRiS 14-15 October 2017 49.4% 37.8% 12.8%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 47.5% 36.0% 16.5%
Pollster 20-21 September 2017 47% 53% -
Ariadna 28-31 July 2017 45% 41% 14%
Millward Brown 11-12 July 2017 52% 44% 4%
Pollster 30 June-4 July 2017 52% 48% -
Ariadna 23-26 June 2017 45% 38% 17%
IPSOS 19-21 June 2017 49.9% 37.2% 13%
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 33% 33.8% 33.2%
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 30.8% 27.4% 41.8%[d]
Millward Brown 24-25 April 2017 45% 50% 5%
Pollster 20-21 April 2017 39% 49% 12%
IPSOS 17-19 March 2017 43.7% 43.9% 12.4%
Millward Brown 5 October 2016 49% 45% 6%
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Biedroń[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Biedroń
IN
IBRiS 13 November 2018 49% 41% 10%
Millward Brown 25-26 April 2018 58% 40% 2%
IBRiS 14-15 October 2017 51.4% 35.1% 13.5%
Ariadna 28-31 July 2017 51% 32% 17%
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 47% 31% 22%
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 28.3% 28.1% 43.6%[e]
IPSOS 17-19 March 2017 46.9% 34.6% 18.4%
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 49% 32% 19%

Duda v. Kukiz[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Kukiz
K'15
Ariadna 12-16 May 2017 26.4% 16.3% 57.3%[f]
IPSOS 17-19 March 2017 44.9% 26.7% 28.4%
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 44% 26% 30%

Duda v. Petru[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Petru
.N
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Schetyna[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Schetyna
PO
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 48% 33% 19%

Duda v. Nowacka[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Nowacka
TR
Millward Brown 20-22 May 2016 50% 30% 20%

Kaczyński v. Tusk[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Kaczyński
PiS
Tusk
PO
Pollster 9-10 August 2018 35% 65% -
IBRiS 26-27 July 2018 41% 50% 9%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Includes: 5% – Mateusz Morawiecki, 1% – Zbigniew Ziobro.
  2. ^ Includes: 4% – Monika Jaruzelska.
  3. ^ Includes: 1.2% – Marian Kowalski.
  4. ^ 17.3% undecided, 24.5% would not vote
  5. ^ 13.8% undecided, 29.8% would not vote
  6. ^ 16.7% undecided, 40.6% would not vote

References[edit]

  1. ^ {{cite web|url=https://dorzeczy.pl/kraj/40293/Sondaz-CBOS-Wielki-wzrost-poparcia-dla-prezydenta-Dudy.html%7Ctile=Sondaż CBOS: Wielki wzrost poparcia dla prezydenta Dudy|website=dorzeczy.pl|accessdate=2 March 2018}}
  2. ^ {{cite web|url=http://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/cbos-prezydent-duda-z-najwiekszym-poparciem-premier-morawiecki-na-drugim-miejscu/lr073kx%7Ctitle: Prezydent Duda z największym poparciem|website=fakt.pl|accessdate: 2 March 2018}}
  3. ^ "Wybory prezydenckie w 2020 r. Czy Donald Tusk ma szansę wygrać?" [Will Donald Tusk have a chance to win the 2020 presidential elections?]. Parlamentarny.pl. 29 December 2015. Retrieved 28 March 2017.
  4. ^ "Schetyna: Marzy mi się, żeby Donald Tusk był kandydatem na prezydenta koalicji rządzącej" ["Schetyna: I dream of Donald Tusk being the ruling coalition's presidential candidate"]. wprost.pl. 2017-04-26. Retrieved 2017-10-07.
  5. ^ "Wybory prezydenckie 2020: Paweł Kukiz kandydatem na prezydenta Polski?" [Presidential election 2020: Paweł Kukiz being the presidential candidate?]. Parlamentarny.pl. 12 October 2017. Retrieved 22 October 2017.
  6. ^ "Biedroń: jeśli Kaczyński mnie wkurzy, wystartuję w wyborach i zostanę tym prezydentem" [Biedroń: If Kaczyński pisses me off, I will run for election and become president.]. gazeta.pl. Retrieved 2017-10-07.