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{{pp-semi-vandalism|expiry=6 February, 2008}}
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{{Future election in the United States}}
{{Future election in the United States}}
[[Image:Super Duper Tuesday 2008.png|thumb|320px|Currently 24 states are scheduled to hold caucuses or primary elections on Super Tuesday, 2008. <font color="Blue">'''Blue'''</font> denotes Democratic-only caucuses (3), <font color="Red">'''Red'''</font> denotes Republican-only state conventions (2), and <font color="Purple">'''Purple'''</font> represents states holding elections for both parties (19).]]
[[Image:Super Duper Tuesday 2008.png|thumb|320px|Currently 22 states, American Samoa and Democrats Abroad are scheduled to hold caucuses or primary elections on Super Tuesday, 2008. <font color="Blue">'''Blue'''</font> denotes Democratic-only caucuses (3), <font color="Red">'''Red'''</font> denotes Republican-only state conventions (2), and <font color="Purple">'''Purple'''</font> represents states holding elections for both parties (19).]]


'''Super Tuesday''' (2008), '''Super Duper Tuesday'''<ref name="ICABOAcnn" /><ref name="CPMCSDTcnn" /><ref name="IJCOSDTct" /><ref name="GMICTSTst" />, '''Giga Tuesday'''<ref>http://www.observer.com/2008/news-producers-gird-their-loins-giga-tuesday</ref>, '''Tsunami Tuesday'''<ref>
'''Super Tuesday''' (2008), '''Super Duper Tuesday'''<ref name="ICABOAcnn" /><ref name="CPMCSDTcnn" /><ref name="IJCOSDTct" /><ref name="GMICTSTst" />, '''Giga Tuesday'''<ref>http://www.observer.com/2008/news-producers-gird-their-loins-giga-tuesday</ref>, '''Tsunami Tuesday'''<ref>

Revision as of 02:27, 31 January 2008

Template:Future election in the United States

Currently 22 states, American Samoa and Democrats Abroad are scheduled to hold caucuses or primary elections on Super Tuesday, 2008. Blue denotes Democratic-only caucuses (3), Red denotes Republican-only state conventions (2), and Purple represents states holding elections for both parties (19).

Super Tuesday (2008), Super Duper Tuesday[1][2][3][4], Giga Tuesday[5], Tsunami Tuesday[6], and The Tuesday of Destiny[7] are names for February 5, 2008, the day on which the largest-ever simultaneous number of state U.S. presidential primary elections will be held.[8] Twenty-four states are scheduled to hold either caucuses or primary elections for one or both parties on this date.[9]

The large number of states holding elections on February 5 could shorten the period between the first caucus in Iowa, on January 3 2008, and the de facto selection of a party's nominee to just a few weeks.[1] By comparison, only about 1% of nominating convention delegates had been selected by early February in the 2000 election cycle, whereas Super Tuesday 2008 shall see 52% of the Democratic and 41% of the Republican delegates awarded.[10][11]

Names and prior election cycles

The name Super Duper Tuesday is a reference to earlier Super Tuesdays, which have always been the date on which the largest number of primaries were held. The term Super Duper Tuesday has been repeatedly re-coined to refer to even more states holding their primaries on this date, with the first recorded usage so far found dating back to 1985.[12] In 2004, Super Tuesday was on March 2.[1] In 2004, the equivalent cohort of primaries, on February 3 2004, was called Mini-Tuesday – only seven states held their elections on that date.

On June 3 2007, the name Tsunami Tuesday – conveying the potential of the large number of simultaneous primaries to completely change the political landscape – was mentioned on Meet the Press during a round-table discussion with presidential campaign strategists James Carville, Bob Shrum, Mary Matalin, and Mike Murphy.

History of the 2008 Primaries

As of February 2007, eight states were scheduled to hold primary or caucus elections on Super Tuesday, 5 February 2008: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Missouri, New Mexico Democrats, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah and West Virginia Republicans‡.[1][2] However to increase their importance in the candidate selection process, several states moved up their contests, which some pundits criticized as being "pure self-interest."[8]

The following states have changed their elections to February 5: Alaska,[13] Arizona,[14][15] California,[2] Colorado,[14] Connecticut,[16] Georgia,[13] Idaho Democrats,[17] Illinois,[3] Kansas Democrats†,[18] Massachusetts,[19] Minnesota,[4] Montana Republicans††,[20] New Jersey,[21] New York,[22] and Tennessee.[23]

In an attempt to keep states from moving their primary or caucus elections even earlier, the Democratic National Committee and Republican National Committee have established penalties for states holding elections earlier than 5 February 2008.[10] As a result, the Democratic National Committee has stripped the states of Michigan and Florida of all convention delegates.[24] The Republican National Committee has reduced by half the number of convention delegates from five states: Wyoming, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, and Michigan.[25]

Support

Advocates for earlier elections point out that voters could have fewer candidates to select from with a later contest, because candidates who do not fare well in the early primaries and caucuses often drop out. Likewise, presidential campaigns spend "big bucks" on advertising, hotel rooms, and campaign staff, which can be an economic boon to states holding earlier elections.[14]

Criticisms

Critics of the earlier polling date claim it will compress the primary campaign cycle down to a three week national campaign where only financially well-off candidates can compete. CNN political pundit Bill Schneider states:

Those states may move up on the calendar because they want a cut of the action. They want less attention paid to small states like Iowa and New Hampshire and more attention paid to big, diverse states like Florida and California. To run in those big states, you need big money and national name recognition. Obscure contenders need not apply.[1]

Others indicate it will ultimately leave voters out of the process. In a BBC News interview, William F. Galvin, the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth said:

The people who are being left out of this are the voters, especially those who aren't active in party affairs ... There won't be enough time for voters to focus on these candidates.[8]

Regardless of the number of states moving their election dates earlier and earlier, New Hampshire vigorously maintains its 'first in the nation' primary status. By New Hampshire state law, the secretary of state has sole discretion to set the date of the primary. Bill Gardner, the Secretary of State of New Hampshire for the past 31 years, did not rule out any dates for the primary election, and even intimated that "it could be this year [2007]."[8] Ultimately, however, the New Hampshire primary was held on January 8 2008.

Primaries held February 5

Democratic

Main article: Democratic Party (United States) presidential primaries, 2008
Under Democratic Party rules, all delegates are awarded via proportional representation, with a minimum 15% threshold required to receive delegates.
State Type District Level
Delegates 		At-Large
Delegates 		PLEO
Delegates 		Pledged
Delegates 		Unpledged
Delegates 		Voting Delegation
Size
Alabama primary 34 11 7 52 8 60
Alaska caucus 8 3 2 13 5 18
American Samoa primary 3 3 10 13
Arizona primary 37 12 7 56 11 67
Arkansas[26] primary 22 8 5 35 12 47
California[27] primary 241 81 48 370 71 441
Colorado[28] caucus 36 12 5 55 16 71
Connecticut[18] primary 33 11 6 48 13 61
Delaware primary 10 3 2 15 8 23
Democrats Abroad primary 6 1 7 4 11
Georgia[29] primary 57 19 11 87 17 104
Idaho[30] caucus 12 4 2 18 5 23
Illinois primary 100 33 20 153 32 185
Kansas caucus 21 7 4 32 8 40
Massachusetts primary 61 20 12 93 28 121
Minnesota[18] caucus 47 16 9 72 16 88
Missouri primary 47 16 9 72 16 88
New Jersey primary 70 23 14 107 20 127
New Mexico caucus 17 6 6 26 12 38
New York[31] primary 151 51 30 232 48 280
North Dakota caucus 8 3 2 13 8 21
Oklahoma primary 25 8 5 38 9 47
Tennessee primary 44 15 9 68 17 85
Utah primary 15 5 3 23 6 29

Republican

Main article: Republican Party (United States) presidential primaries, 2008

NOTE: WTA refers to "Winner Takes All", as opposed to any type of proportional assignment of delegates.

State Type District-Level Delegates At-Large Delegates State Party Delegates Bonus Delegates Total Size of Delegation Delegate Selection Process
Alabama primary 21 10 3 14 48 modified WTA district + proportional at-large/bonus[32]
Alaska caucus 3 10 3 13 29 District/state convention[33]
Arizona presidential preference election[34] 24 10 3 16 53 Statewide WTA[35]
Arkansas primary 12 10 3 9 34 modified WTA district + proportional at-large/bonus (WTA if 50%+)[36]
California primary 159 10 3 1 173 WTA district + WTA at-large/bonus[37]
Colorado caucus 21 10 3 12 46 district/state convention[38]
Connecticut primary 15 10 3 2 30 Statewide WTA[39]
Delaware primary 3 10 3 2 18 Statewide WTA[40]
Georgia primary 39 10 3 20 72 WTA district + WTA at-large/bonus[41]
Illinois presidential preference primary+delegate election[42] 57 10 3 0 70 District delegate election + unpledged state delegates
Massachusetts primary 30 10 3 0 43 statewide proportional[43]
Minnesota caucus 24 10 3 4 41 BPOU[44]/district/state convention[45]
Missouri primary 27 10 3 18 58 statewide WTA[46]
Montana invited caucus[47][48] 3 10 3 9 25[49] Statewide WTA
New Jersey primary 39 10 3 0 52 Statewide WTA[50]
New York primary 87 10 3 1 101 Statewide WTA[51]
North Dakota caucus 3 10 3 10 26 statewide WTA[52]
Oklahoma primary 15 10 3 13 41 district WTA + at-large/bonus WTA
Tennessee primary 27 10 3 15 55 District proportional (WTA 50%+) + At-large/bonus proportional (WTA 50%+)[53]
Utah primary 9 10 3 14 36 Statewide WTA[54]
West Virginia convention 9 10 3 8 18/30[55] multiple ballot WTA[56][57]

Notes

  • † The Kansas state legislature voted to neither fund nor hold a primary in 2008.[18]
  • ‡ West Virginia Republicans will select 18 of their 30 delegates on February 5, with the final 12 chosen on May 13.[18]
  • †† Montana Republicans chose to select delegates using a "closed caucus" comprising approximately 3,000 Republican elected officials and state party officials, such as precinct captains.[20]

References

  1. ^ a b c d e Schneider, Bill (2007-02-07). "It could all be over after 'Super Duper Tuesday'". CNN. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  2. ^ a b c "California primary move creates Super-duper Tuesday". CNN. 2007-03-15. Retrieved 2007-06-03. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)
  3. ^ a b Rick, Pearson (2007-06-21), "Illinois joins crush on Super Duper Tuesday", Chicago Tribune, retrieved 2007-06-21
  4. ^ a b von Sternberg, Bob (2007-07-11), "GOP moves its caucuses to Super Tuesday 2008 to gain national clout", Star Tribune, Minneapolis, Minnesota, retrieved 2007-08-06
  5. ^ http://www.observer.com/2008/news-producers-gird-their-loins-giga-tuesday
  6. ^ Chuck Todd (2007-05-10). "Will Tsunami Tuesday be an Afterthought?". MSNBC. Retrieved 2008-01-16.
  7. ^ http://www.pe.com/localnews/politics/stories/PE_News_Local_D_relevant10.2e0fc95.html
  8. ^ a b c d Greene, Richard Allen (2007-05-30). "States jostle for primary power". BBC News. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  9. ^ "Presidential primary and caucus dates" (PDF). Stateline.org. Pew Research Center. 2007-08-30. p. 1. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  10. ^ a b Mooney, Brian C. (2007-08-21), "Michigan set to send slate of primaries into revision", The Boston Globe, retrieved 2007-08-31
  11. ^ Balz, Dan (2008-01-15), "Feb. 5 Primaries to Pose A Super Test of Strategy", The Washington Post, pp. A01, retrieved 2008-01-22
  12. ^ Barrett, Grant (2007-03-29). "Double-Tongued Dictionary entry for Super-Duper Tuesday". Retrieved 2008-01-28.
  13. ^ a b Kapochunas, Rachel (2007-05-30), "Georgia, Alaska Join [[5 February]] Front-Loading Frenzy", The New York Times, retrieved 2007-06-03 {{citation}}: More than one of |work= and |newspaper= specified (help); URL–wikilink conflict (help)
  14. ^ a b c "Earlier primary boosts Arizona in several ways", Arizona Daily Star, Tucson, Arizona, 2007-08-23, retrieved 2007-08-31
  15. ^ Wilson, Reid (2007-08-30). "A Calendar In Chaos". RealClearPolitics. Fox News Channel. Retrieved 2008-01-12. The event, dubbed "Super Duper Tuesday," got more crowded this week when Arizona became the twenty-first state to announce plans to hold their primary that day.
  16. ^ "Our view: Candidates deserve our attention now", Norwich Bulletin, Norwich, Connecticut, 2007-08-18, retrieved 2007-08-31
  17. ^ "Democrats re-elect chairman Stallings, change caucus date" (Press release). Idaho Democratic Party. 2007-03-05. Retrieved 2007-08-06. the state central committee selected 5 February 2008, as the party's new presidential caucus date
  18. ^ a b c d e "State-by-state primary and caucus schedule". Campaign 2008. The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2007-06-03. Cite error: The named reference "SBSPACAbg" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  19. ^ Maguire, Ken (2007-11-20), "Presidential Primary Appears Moving To February", The Boston Globe, vol. 122, no. 155, Boston, Massachusetts, retrieved 2007-08-31
  20. ^ a b Johnson, Charles (2007-12-27), "GOP Officials Outline How New Caucus Will Work", Missoulian, Missoula, Montana, retrieved 2008-01-02
  21. ^ Smothers, Ronald (2007-02-27), "New Jersey Moves to Join Early Presidential Primaries", The New York Times, retrieved 2007-06-03
  22. ^ "New York legislature votes to move up primary". Political Ticker. CNN. 2007-03-21. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  23. ^ Dries, Bill (2007-08-17), "Repubs and Dems Fix On [[5 February]] as State Primary Date", The Daily News, vol. 122, no. 155, Memphis, Tennessee, retrieved 2007-08-31 {{citation}}: URL–wikilink conflict (help)
  24. ^ Martelle, Scott (2008-01-15). "Rancor runs deep among Michigan Democrats". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2008-01-15. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Cite has empty unknown parameter: |coauthors= (help)
  25. ^ Gruver, Mead (2008-01-13). "Republicans stripped of delegates want them back". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2008-01-15. {{cite news}}: Check date values in: |date= (help); Cite has empty unknown parameter: |coauthors= (help)
  26. ^ "Arkansas Act 501 of 2005 (SB235 - As engrossed: S2/8/05 H2/22/05)" (PDF). Arkansas Bureau of Legislative Research, Information Systems Dept. Retrieved 2007-02-19.
  27. ^ Vogel, Nancy (2007-02-14). "Senate agrees to move '08 vote to Feb". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2007-02-19.
  28. ^ Krummy, Karen (2007-03-08). "Colorado strongly showing interest in Feb. 5th". Colorado Confidential. Retrieved 2008-03-08.
  29. ^ Jacobs, Sonji (2007-04-21). "New primary date headed toward final passage". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved 2007-04-21.
  30. ^ "Democrats re-elect chairman Stallings, change caucus date". Idaho Democratic Party. 2007-03-05. Retrieved 2007-03-06.
  31. ^ Associated Press (2007-03-21). "New York Senate Endorses Feb. 5 Primary". Breitbart.com. Retrieved 2007-03-21.
  32. ^ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/AL-R.phtml
  33. ^ http://www.alaskarepublicans.com/
  34. ^ http://www.azag.gov/opinions/1999/I99-025.html
  35. ^ http://www.foxnews.com/wires/2007Nov12/0,4670,RepublicanMath,00.html
  36. ^ http://www.arkansasgop.org/images/AR/AR_Delegate_Selection.pdf
  37. ^ http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/04/30/schneider.california/index.html
  38. ^ http://www.cologop.org/20070906.html
  39. ^ http://www.sots.ct.gov/releases/2007/11-19-07PresidentialBallot.pdf
  40. ^ http://www.newhouse.com/giuliani-eyes-winner-take-all-primaries-2.html
  41. ^ http://www.gagop.org/docs/2007gagoprules.pdf
  42. ^ http://www.elections.il.gov/downloads/ElectionInformation/PDF/delegate_alt.pdf
  43. ^ http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/07/13/state_republican_committee_dumps_winner_take_all_policy/
  44. ^ Basic Political Organizational Unit, the second level hierarchy (above precinct) of the Minnesota Republican Party.
  45. ^ http://www.gop-mn.org/info.cfm?x=2&pname=seltype&pval=2&pname2=tdesc&pval2=Constitution
  46. ^ http://wcbstv.com/national/Rudy.Giuliani.election.2.566265.html
  47. ^ Approximately 3,000 party leaders and grassroots activists, and other pre-credentialed persons, will be permitted to vote.
  48. ^ http://www.mtgop.org/images/MT/Gallery/Presidential%20Caucus%20-%20FAQ.pdf
  49. ^ Montana GOP Approves Caucus
  50. ^ http://politickernj.com/giuliani-campaign-scores-big-victory-n-j-procedural-vote-9505
  51. ^ http://www.newhouse.com/giuliani-eyes-winner-take-all-primaries-2.html
  52. ^ http://www.dakotapolitics.com/North_Dakota_Republican_Caucus_2008
  53. ^ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/TN-R.phtml
  54. ^ http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2007/11/giulianis_nomination_strategy.html
  55. ^ West Virginia will select its eighteen at-large Delegates on February 5 at a state party convention, but then select its nine district delegates and three unpledged delegates during the party primary on Tuesday, May 13.
  56. ^ A runoff is held amongst the top three candidates, and if no candidate receives a majority, a runoff is held amonst the top two remaining candidates, with the winner receiving all 18 at large delegates.
  57. ^ [1]

See also


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