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* [[Felicity Party|Felicity Party (SP)]]
* [[Felicity Party|Felicity Party (SP)]]
* [[Democrat Party (Turkey, current)|Democrat Party (DP)]]
* [[Democrat Party (Turkey, current)|Democrat Party (DP)]]
* [[Democracy and Progress Party|Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA)]]
* [[Future Party (Turkey)|Future Party (GP)]]
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* [[Progressivism]]
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* [[Minority rights]]<ref name="NN">{{Cite web |title=Sosyalist Güç Birliği kuruldu: Kürt sorununa yaklaşımı nasıl, HDP neden yer almadı? |url=https://www.rudaw.net/turkish/middleeast/turkey/210820221-amp |archive-date= |access-date=4 December 2022 |website=Rûdaw |language=tr}}</ref>
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Revision as of 14:42, 29 January 2023

2023 Turkish presidential election

← 2018 18 June 2023 or earlier (first round)
2 July 2023 or earlier (second round, if necessary)
2028 →
Opinion polls
 
Candidate TBD TBD TBD
Alliance People's Alliance Nation Alliance Labour and Freedom


Incumbent President

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
AK Party



Presidential elections are scheduled to take place in Turkey on 18 June 2023 as part of the 2023 general elections, alongside parliamentary elections. Voters will elect a new president for a term of five years. President Erdoğan signalled that the election might be held early on 14 May 2023, a reference to the 1950 election that ended Turkey's one party regime.[1]

Background

Elections of 2018

The previous Turkish general election took place on 24 June 2018. The election marked the country's transition from a parliamentary system to a presidential one, as narrowly endorsed by voters in the controversial 2017 constitutional referendum. That election resulted in a victory for incumbent president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who had held the position since 2014. Meanwhile, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) lost its absolute majority in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey for the first time since June 2015, forcing it to rely on its coalition partner, the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) of Devlet Bahçeli, to pass legislation.

Date

The regular scheduled date for the first round of the elections was set for 18 June 2023. However, the electoral system allowed for moving the date forward.

In 2020, there were speculations about a snap election prior to the regular one in 2023. At the time, Devlet Bahçeli, the leader of coalition partner MHP, ruled them out. In a written statement, he said that elections would not be held before 2023. He also confirmed that the current coalition between AKP and MHP will remain intact and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan will be their joint nominee for President.[2] In early January 2023 the AKP mentioned eventual snap elections to take place on either the 16 or 30 April or the 14 May.[3] But the so called "Table of Six" composed by six opposition parties announced that they would not agree to snap elections after the 6 April.[3]

On 18 January 2023, Erdoğan, the President of Turkey, signaled that the elections will be held earlier than the scheduled date, specifically on 14 May 2023, in a symbolic reference to the election victory of former President Adnan Menderes on 14 May in the 1950 Turkish general election, beating the candidate of the (then governing) party CHP.[4] On 22 January 2023, Erdoğan stated that the elections will be held on 14 May. In view of that date, the Table of Six announced that Erdogan can not run for president without the consent of the parliament.[5]

Electoral system

The President of Turkey is directly elected through the two-round system, under which a candidate must obtain a simple majority (more than 50%) of the popular vote in order to be elected. If no candidate secures an overall majority outright, then a runoff is held between the two most voted-for candidates from the first round, the winner of which is then declared elected. The first direct election to the Turkish presidency was held in 2014, after a referendum in 2007 abolished the previous system under which the head of state was elected by the legislature, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey. The President of Turkey is subject to term limits, and may serve at most two consecutive five-year terms.[6] If snap elections were held before the end of the second term, a third term would be permitted.[7][8] Snap elections can be held either with the consent of 60% of the MPs in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey or ordered by presidential decree. Only snap elections via the consent of the Grand National Assembly during a president's second term can allow the president a third term[9] In February 2022 Mustafa Sentop, the Parliamentary Speaker of the Grand National Assembly of Turkey claimed Erdoğan could run for a third presidency despite existing a two term-limit to the presidency in the Turkish constitution.[10] Şelçuk Özdag of the Future Party argued that the Government wants to violate the constitution with his candidacy as Erdoğan was already elected twice.[8]

Prospective presidential candidates must be at least 40 years old and must have completed higher education. Any political party that has won 5% of the vote in the previous parliamentary election can put forward a candidate, although parties that have not met this threshold can form alliances and field joint candidates as long as their total vote share exceeds 5%. Independents can run if they collect 100,000 signatures from the electorate.[11]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined to be candidates

Candidates and parties

Presidential candidates

People's Alliance Nation Alliance Labour and Freedom Alliance
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan[26] to be determined to be determined
AK PARTİ MHP BBP CHP İYİ DP SAADET DEVA GELECEK HDP

Contesting parties

Justice and Development Party Republican People's Party Peoples' Democratic Party Nationalist Movement Party Good Party
Last election:
42.56%
21,335,579 votes

295 / 600
Last election:
22.64%
11,348,899 votes

146 / 600
Last election:
11.70%
5,866,309 votes

67 / 600
Last election:
11.10%
5,564,517 votes

49 / 600
Last election:
9.96%
4,990,710 votes

43 / 600

Opinion polls

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2023 Turkish Presidential Election

Alliances

1 Name Members Ideology Seats
People's Alliance
336 / 600
2 Nation Alliance
175 / 600
3 Labour and Freedom Alliance
60 / 600
4 Turkey Alliance[29]
3 / 600
5 Union of Socialist Forces
0 / 600

See also

References

  1. ^ "President Erdogan confirms May 14 election date in Türkiye".
  2. ^ "General elections to be held in 2023, early polls out of question, MHP's Bahçeli says | Daily Sabah". General elections to be held in 2023, early polls out of question, MHP’s Bahçeli says. Sep 7, 2020. Retrieved Dec 23, 2020.
  3. ^ a b "Are snap elections on the table in Türkiye?". Bianet.
  4. ^ "President Erdoğan hints at May 14 for general elections". Hürriyet Daily News. 18 January 2023. Retrieved January 19, 2023.
  5. ^ "Table of Six: Legally Erdoğan cannot run for a third term on May 14". Bianet. 27 January 2023.
  6. ^ Dopico, Alex (6 November 2021). "Does Turkey have term limits?". janetpanic.com. Retrieved 19 March 2022.
  7. ^ Ertan, Nazlan (18 January 2023). "Erdogan picks historically charged date of May 14 for Turkey's crucial election - Al-Monitor: Independent, trusted coverage of the Middle East". Al-Monitor. Retrieved 2023-01-21.
  8. ^ a b "Opposition Future Party says in contact with 40 lawmakers of ruling AKP". Gazete Duvar (in Turkish). 2022-01-13. Retrieved 2023-01-21.
  9. ^ "Türkei: Erdogan kündigt vorgezogene Wahlen am 14. Mai an". FAZ.NET (in German). ISSN 0174-4909. Retrieved 2023-01-23.
  10. ^ "Turkish parliament speaker claims Erdoğan can legally run for president again". Gazete Duvar (in Turkish). 2022-07-02. Retrieved 2022-06-10.
  11. ^ "Anayasa değişikliği maddeleri tam metni | Yeni anayasa maddeleri nelerdir? | Son Dakika Türkiye Haberleri". Cnnturk.com. Retrieved 23 October 2017.
  12. ^ "Turkey's Erdogan Declares His Bid for President in 2023 Election". Bloomberg.com. 9 June 2022.
  13. ^ "'İnanın, Erdoğan dönemi bitiyor'". www.sozcu.com.tr (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-01-16.
  14. ^ "Muharrem İnce, 2023 seçimlerinde aday olacağını açıkladı". www.trthaber.com (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-01-16.
  15. ^ "Meet Turkish President Erdogan's presumptive challenger". The Economist. 10 March 2022. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  16. ^ a b c d "Kılıçdaroğlu'ndan 'Aday olacak mısınız' sorusuna yanıt: 'Altı liderden biri olacak ama...'". Gerçek Gündem (in Turkish). No. 11 March 2022. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  17. ^ "Fatih Erbakan: Potansiyel cumhurbaşkanı adayıyım". BirGün (in Turkish). 12 September 2021. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  18. ^ a b c @Optimar_AS (October 7, 2021). "Türkiye'nin Nabzı Eylül Ayı Araştırmamızda katılımcılara sorduğumuz "2023' te gerçekleşecek #Cumhurbaşkanlığı #seçimler inde kime oy verirsiniz?" sorusuna aldığımız yanıtlar" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. ^ "Tansu Çiller'in başına geçeceği parti belli oldu". soL (in Turkish). 12 March 2022. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  20. ^ "Sarıgül cumhurbaşkanlığı adaylığına açık kapı bıraktı: Günü geldiğinde tartışırız". Yeni Şafak (in Turkish). 21 January 2021. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  21. ^ "Erdogan to be candidate of People's Alliance in 2023 presidential elections". Report News Agency. 7 February 2022. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  22. ^ "İstanbul mayor says he will not run for president in 2023 - Turkish Minute". Turkish Minute. 11 May 2021. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  23. ^ "Mansur Yavaş cumhurbaşkanı adayı oldu mu? Mansur Yavaş aday oldu mu?". mansuryavasadayoldumu.com (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-01-14.
  24. ^ "Mansur Yavaş: Cumhurbaşkanlığına odaklanmak gibi bir niyetim yok | DW | 28.10.2021". Deutsche Welle (in Turkish). 28 October 2021. Retrieved 12 March 2022.
  25. ^ "İYİ Party's Akşener says she will run for prime minister not president - Turkey News". Hürriyet Daily News. Retrieved 2021-10-27.
  26. ^ "Turkey's Erdogan says he will run for reelection next year". AP NEWS. 2022-06-09. Retrieved 2022-06-11.
  27. ^ "Akşener'den 'Millet İttifakı' liderlerine toplantı çağrısı; "24 Haziran öncesi bir yol haritası açıklamak millete güven verecek"". T24 (in Turkish). Retrieved 1 April 2019.
  28. ^ "Emek ve Özgürlük İttifakı deklarasyonu açıklandı". Duvar. Retrieved 5 December 2022. Farklı kültürlere, kimliklere, inançlara ve yaşam tarzlarına saygıya dayalı eşit yurttaşlık hakkının temel bir ilke olarak benimsenmesi [...] Diyalog ve çözüm zeminini kurmak ve güçlendirmek ve demokratik müzakere yöntemleriyle tüm toplum için geleceğin kazanılmasına önayak olmak; bu çerçevede, başta anadili hakkı olmak üzere tüm evrensel kimlik haklarının tanınması için gerekli düzenlemelerin yapılması büyük önem taşımaktadır.
  29. ^ "Doğru Parti: Memleket, Zafer ve Milli Yol'la ittifakı açıklayacağız". Duvar (in Turkish). Retrieved 18 December 2022.